Options
The polling that should scare Sunak and every Tory – politicalbetting.com

Consumer confidence falls as household finance measures fall to historic lows, our latest analysis with @Cebr_uk shows https://t.co/C5Wu3VUABa pic.twitter.com/u55Vg4MZYb
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
a) Its happened, some Belarusian forces are in Ukraine, but keeping, bit nil Publicity.
b) Its about to happen, just not on the predicted timescale.
c) it was never going to happen, but was all to put presser on the Ukrainians, by tying up forces on the boarder.
d) The Belarus dictator had to agree to it while he was in Moscow, to avoid being detained! but had no intention of invading
e) Its been ordered, but ether the generals or the men seed no way! and he is now busy suppressing a mutiny/rebellion.
I think c) is the most likely situation, but happy who knows?
Shades of Mannerheim.....
@Ave_it
It is potentially toxic to them but what is labours solution ?
We were the fancy new Restaurant / Bar in Richmond's Town Square (Rishi's constituency not London) yesterday at 1pm. Total number of customers in the place was 7 and we were outnumbered by the staff.
A month ago we had to wait for a table.
While the DfE buy cheap booze and party illegally. And get away with it.
This is not being well received, oddly.
And removing the index linking by stealth doesn't even guarantee the second part of your sentence is true.
Not good for the Russians, I mean.
Has never felt more apt
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/nov/18/average-pay-deal-britain
Perhaps Ukraine should be invited to join The Commonwealth @BorisJohnson? Ukraine should become an EU member but the bloc struggles to swap its technocratic model of accession for a strategic move. Inviting Ukraine to The @commonwealthsec would be a valuable signal of support
https://twitter.com/DanielKorski/status/1503016507508416512
https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1503019415662694402
Food price inflation means Famine in poor countries
A thread detailing why. This year’s Ukrainian harvest is probably already ruined
https://twitter.com/lugaricano/status/1503019196829126661?s=21
However new teachers did get a well above average payrise just 2 years ago
Labour's line will be "yes, things are difficult, thanks to the wat, pandemic, and Tory mismanagement - Labour will spread the burden fairly instead of loading it on low incomes as Sunak's policies are doing". That too will work up to a point, but people will want more specifics.
The underlying Tory problem is going to be "time for a change to an unthreatening alternative". Most people are up for that, and I don't see how the Conservatives avoid it. Both "No, it's not time for a change, everything is fine" and "Starmer is an dangerous menace" look unpromising.
They apparently said that without irony, which given the ways they are using public money, often illegally, is even more shocking.
Officially the removal is for this year only, but given they are on their own admission criminals I don't trust them not to find a way to extend it.
I think we can overcomplicate things. Tories will do the 'No time for a change because of X' which doesn't require that they say all is fine, just that disruption is not a good idea, and Labour will go 'Tories have been incompetent'.
Starmer is neither fool nor dangerous, so it will not be easy for the Tories. Blandness can be a positive if people don't buy attack lines.
Rethink the EU’s Common Agricultural Policy. Pledges in the Green Deal such as converting conventional production into organic and reducing pesticides need to be postponed. The Green Deal cannot come at the cost of global food security.
Tories will be able to blame Putin, which may be enough to still win in 2024.
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/teachers-pension-scheme-protected-to-ensure-it-remains-among-most-lucrative
https://www.wealthadviser.co/2021/05/26/300889/average-uk-expected-retirement-income-gbp1k-year
In China, it may be Zero Covid that goes
‘Based on experience China had accumulated and the dynamic zero-COVID policy, it is tougher for China to win battle this time, as "victory" not only means containment of cases, but also minimizing impact on economy, livelihoods.‘
Chinese state media
https://twitter.com/globaltimesnews/status/1503019442510315528?s=21
Not all workers or pensioners getting increases in line with inflation. Even those who do will pay tax at their highest rate on the increase so will be worse off in real terms
People's hard worked for savings being eroded
Bank of England doesn't seem bothered, no monetary policy control applied
People associate inflation with Labour and will think 'may as well vote for the real thing'!
😡😡😡😡😡
https://www.cityam.com/russian-economy-to-lose-nearly-third-of-its-value/
That must be almost unprecedented
You attempted the lazy "stop complaining" argument and I was happy to counter it.
(as ever, IANAE)
And then go home and put your favourite pyjama suite on. 😻
Are you there Leon? Are you in the room right now so won’t miss what I have for you? You do trust me?
Bear in mind also that pensions have always been an important part of the salary package in the public sector whose take home pay was always reduced to take this into account. Private sector, not so much, for several reasons. For that reason, too, the comparison is dodgy.
If they are so unhappy being teachers then they can leave and become investment bankers or MPs or flint knappers or sit and tend their gardens.
Or of course they can continue to be teachers and whinge like fuck about it on PB.
And it’s all happening in one year. Not 3-5 years
https://www.businessinsider.com/the-worst-gdp-collapses-since-1870-2015-7
Instructive that it didn't affect Civil Servants. Can I send that on to my union as that could be the basis for a legal challenge?
Except maybe not for social media influencers. Gosh I feel so sorry for them bawling their eyes out… NOT! 😈
Edit - and I’m not even a great supporter of teachers wanting boosted pay!
Putin is, in effect, inflicting damage on his economy equivalent to the wreckage from a world war. That chart says Belgium shrank by 32% from 1914-18
And he’s doing it in one single year, if that prediction pans out
This would have the further benefit you would no longer bore us with your pushing of Russian propaganda.
That being said I am not sure CPI got to 5.4% at any time from 1997 to 2010.
It (ok RPI, no CPI then) certainly did 1974 to 1979!