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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » GE2015 polling should be put on one side so the focus for n
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » GE2015 polling should be put on one side so the focus for next next 2 weeks can be Scotland
A fortnight tomorrow a massive election is taking place north of the border. The turnout is expected to be greater than just about any other election that we’ve seen in Britain in recent times and the outcome, either way, will have huge consequence.
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Equally, Prince Philip may stick a cricket bat up his bottom, pour treacle over his head and declare himself to be a toffee apple.
I suspect we'll get some but if we didnt I'm sure we'd survive.
Bring on the polls - either to sow more panic or steady the ship.
It's a non-partisan point as both sides appear to be holding off.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scottish-independence/11072166/Alex-Salmond-refuses-three-times-to-name-independent-Scotlands-long-term-currency-without-shared-pound.html
Asked by The Telegraph to name the currency he would transition to during Q&A session with journalists on Tuesday, Mr Salmond repeatedly refused to name his preferred option and ended up criticising the line of questioning.
There's enough other aspects and consquences of independence which should be discussed and which haven't been.
@Richard_Nabavi
Long hair and a beard are a sure sign of guilt, and a suit and tie are proof of innocence?
You should become a detective with such reasoning. (and be fast tracked to the higher echelons as rapidly as possible)
Too often polling is used to set the agenda and the campaigns get lost in the noise.
Put it this way...it would be odd if there 'weren't' these rumours.
The Government’s working hard to massage the unemployment figures down, and then some here want to add to them!
I almost expect to see the referendum result reported in the "International News" section of the London papers, but I guess they'll wake up when it's too late.
Is it inconceivable that others might do the reverse - commission polls but sit on them because they don't like the results?
Edit. In reply to @Slackbladder not myself...
Something for everyone in the latest GDP figures.
Lefties can cheer they didn't crash the car at quite the speed Righties said
Righties can cheer we were out of recession 9 months earlier.
Saddos can post yellow boxes ( where is he ? )
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/finance/andrewlilico/100028021/a-few-thoughts-on-the-latest-gdp-revisions/
"We all know from the 2011 manipulation of the polls that they are lying as not only have most of the No debating pages been overrun by Yes Twibbons as previously No supporters have changed side but the only people who are staunchly No anymore are those with links to the Orange Order. Their lying polls can’t hide the fact of what we are all seeing for ourselves on our own streets where there isn’t one single No poster in anyone’s window that I have witnessed. In comparison I was driving along a different route that I rarely take and I saw three houses not just with Yes posters in their windows but with great bloody big flagpoles with Saltires in their gardens."
Jesus would have had short hair (men's fashion at the time).
I'm sure a polling company will happily do a poll if the denizens of PB are willing to get out their chequebooks.
Looks to me as though the sun will rise nearly fifteen degrees north of east tomorrow morning in London.
Roger said:
TykeJohnno
"Well you put the other side to the story then instead of smearing posters on here,thats all you have done since you have returned."
There isn't another side. To say anything on here or on the internet that makes Asian's or identifyable Muslims uncomfortable or worse is unacceptable. I don't mean to insult Socrates who seems very sincere just completely without empathy. Though it's got a long way to go how people can so quickly forget the events leading up to the pogroms in Rwanda let alone further back I can't imagine.
You going way over the top.
So to you,there isn't another side,so there right ? they is a discussion on PB about that story,just like we did with jimmy saville.
Get a grip man
It stopped being humorous about 40 years ago, and became a worry as too the intelligence, or lack thereof in society in general.
" You don't look like everyone else, so you are suspicious"
One of my friends used to get pulled up at the airport security constantly, and searched for drugs because he fitted an imaginary stereotype, while the smartly dressed drug mules were probably laughing their heads off
That'll be one it'll be hard to tell the missus...
On the other hand there's a large number of Scottish-based media publications. Surely these are the ones that should be commissioning surveys? Surely their readership will be interested? If Scotland becomes independent who is going to commission their new national surveys afterwards?
Why can't the Scottish media survey the Scottish public?
Punters beware!
Clacton by-election - best prices
UKIP 1/9 (Hills)
Con 10/1 (Betfair)
85 bar
Goodness, at 10/1 even I'm a little tempted.
I'm sooooo confused *head explodes*
PS I'd have though the Media would love a YES vote, tons of fights and news spinning out of that...
"long hair and a beard certainly seem to be sure signs of a lack of a sense of humour "
Made me laugh.......
http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2008/09/30/article-0-02D9493500000578-427_468x396.jpg
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2711368/Similar-beards-two-VERY-different-Englishmen-One-icon-Empire-The-s-pin-multicultural-Britain.html
The masters make the rules, for the wise men and the fools, I got nothing ma....to live up too....
In a world where political correctness became more important than child rape, Mr Danczuk says that too many Labour politicians adopted the attitude of former Rotherham MP Denis MacShane who, in his own words, did not want to “rock the multicultural community boat”.
Even now, astonishingly, Mr Danczuk says he has been reprimanded by a fellow Labour MP for speaking out on the matter.
If this is still typical of attitudes within the party, it says little for Mr Miliband’s hopes of successfully holding to account all those Labour politicians who ignored warnings on this matter."
http://www.yorkshirepost.co.uk/news/debate/yp-comment/victims-failed-by-labour-1-6819202
Where as on the BBC, you would be hard pushed to even know it was a Labour council and that Miliband has next to said nothing on the issue. Compare and contrast with how some other politicians have been doorstepped on numerous occasions until they give comment.
To be fair that might be to uncompetitive as Con would be big odds on
How about ukip minus 25% Hcap?
http://www.yorkshirepost.co.uk/news/debate/yp-comment/victims-failed-by-labour-1-6819202
Where I don't agree is on this silence not showing up in the polls - as Michael Forsyth claimed on R4 yesterday, again citing the 1992 GE. Polls are generally anonymous and confidential these days, through either phone or internet rather than face-to-face, and the sampling methodology pretty tight, so i suspect they're fairly accurate. There is still a slender NO lead.
A number of those who are NO are now probably staying publicly quiet, and/ or obfuscating when challenged by their more enthusiastic YES peers, but in the privacy of the voting booth will be free to make (and will make) their own decision.
That's certainly the case amongst the many Scots I'm working with in London together (now) who joke about it, or promptly change the subject whenever it comes up - particularly if several of them are in a room together.
The only ones making a big noise are the one or two who are publicly YES and can't wait to tell you either.
While the historical rapes are just as deplorable, they are historical, surely a criminal activity that is still ongoing deserves higher priority and it should not be watered down by being associated with historical crimes. So can a Labour person please explain why their Shadow Hom Sec is trying to link this organised crime to unrelated historical crimes, is the Labour party hoping to brush this under the carpet?
Or just not bothering commissioning any at all because they're scared at what it might say?
There was that instance of a shop displaying posters that had a large bin set alight outside in an apparent arson attack. Oh wait, that was a Yes posters...
Either he's engaging on another IHT-avoidance wheeze (IHT being for plebs only) or, more likely, he's been told every time he's seen on TV another 10,000 votes get lost.
I wonder what they'll do during the actual GE campaign.
If not then the relative recessions are not being properly compared. And how valid are these measurements of illegal activity?
What this shows is that sweating over 0.1% and tiny alleged double dips is truly pathetic.
HaHaHaHaHa!
Guffaw
and indeed Chortle.
Seriously? Politician gets egged! wow, these Yessers must be real cnuts!
The only >real< acts of violence that i've heard about have been perpetrated by loony right wingers in the No camp. (kicking a pregnant woman in the stomach, lobbing a chair from a balcony, hitting a kid with a broken bottle etc) not that you see any of that in the press/bbc. But an MP GET EGGED!
Wow, just wow...
But I wouldn't dismiss the idea out of hand, particularly as SD says if you're betting on the outcome.
03/09/2014 12:17
Tim Walker of @Telegraph texts to ask if it is true that "you had a stroke some years ago". Seriously. This is the level of briefing in SW1
Tight father of the bride offers Canaa wedding guests crummy second rate wine. And not a lot of it, either. When it runs out, Jesus goes down to the cellar and sees tier upon tier of unbroached casks.
"Wassss in 'ose then?" he demands suspiciously, hiccuping.
"In those? Er...er...water! Yes, that's it...water," explains the FotB.
"Definitely not wine?"
"Nope. No way. Water."
"Orrrrrright....I declare it to be wine. Abracadabra!" retorts Jesus.
Disciples crack open a barrel. "You know what, Jesus? It is wine too - and iss a lot better than that p>ss we been drinking till now! Isss a bl00dy miracle!"
"Yeah. Right. A miracle", mutters the FotB, clutching his wallet in anguish.
Cracking prank.
I recall one old lady who had a yellow "winning here" diamond in her front garden *and* a Conservative poster in her window.
When we canvassed and asked her about this peculiar state of affairs she said a Lib Dem campaign team had been around and very forcefully asked if they could place it in her garden, as it was on the street corner.
She said she felt too frightened to say 'no', but had no intention of voting Lib Dem in the election.
Some (admittedly not all) posters can represent community social peer pressure, nothing more. Would you want to be the only house in some streets not displaying a YES poster?
No, thought not.
The M25 will be the border.