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Poll suggests that the LAB lead would be just 3% with PM Sunak – politicalbetting.com

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  • TazTaz Posts: 17,625
    edited December 2021
    dixiedean said:

    So. What ideas do you have for solving all this?
    It can't simply be "attract more private investment and well-paid jobs.'"
    Cos no one's managed that for decades.
    I want to see what labours offer is. My point is labour need to make a Concrete offer to the red wall rather than just rely on not being Tories. I’d like to see investment in transport and infrastructure but if I had all the answers I’d be lobbying Parliament. It can’t be do what we have done previously at it has not worked. I want to see what they propose
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,209
    IshmaelZ said:

    Those are attributes of a fascist system and its leaders, not of an individual fascist. No fascist movement would ever have got off the ground if the rank and file adherents had to be capable of entertaining a minimum of 14 abstract beliefs.
    It's not a bad list of the attributes of fascism. The Cult Of Action For Action's Sake.....
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,491
    edited December 2021

    I believe under 18s are allowed to watch BBC4.
    Every youngster i know barely watches broadcast telly, and they certainly aren't scrolling down the guide to check out the old fuddy channel. And remember BBC One and especially Two is rammed full of repeats.

    It well known they stick something on BBC One compared to Two and they instantly get higher viewership. And BBC Four is the nobody watches channel.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,365

    Take a look at pictures of the people making the decisions.

    Do they look like someone who goes for a run or participates in outdoor sport?

    My favourite in lockdown, in London, was when a councillor was demanding that the rowing clubs be completely shut. At this point, the only people going out were single sculling, or couples in doubles....

    So you have a sport that is

    - completely outside
    - your are double digit meters away from others at all times, unless you hold a rave on the pontoon....

    The bloke in question looked like a whale.
    TBF, the rowers I know in Cambridge spend more time in the clubhouse gyms than on the water.
  • Take a look at pictures of the people making the decisions.

    Do they look like someone who goes for a run or participates in outdoor sport?

    My favourite in lockdown, in London, was when a councillor was demanding that the rowing clubs be completely shut. At this point, the only people going out were single sculling, or couples in doubles....

    So you have a sport that is

    - completely outside
    - your are double digit meters away from others at all times, unless you hold a rave on the pontoon....

    The bloke in question looked like a whale.
    There's that but there's also a horrible mentality that has inflicted some people that they genuinely don't want others to have any fun at all.

    These people you mention would be the first to sign up to a British Taliban or Cromwell's Commonwealth trying to stamp out any enjoyment from other people's lives.
  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,106
    pm215 said:

    Personally I incline to the pessimistic take that nobody knows a solution for the regional imbalance and that this is because there may well not be one. This is an extension of my opinion that the global economy and finance system is a massive and chaotic one that nobody can or does comprehend[*], but to which we have for better or worse yoked all our livelihoods.
    [*] Some people have managed to identify points in the system where they can siphon off money, but deliberately predicting and adjusting the system to achieve productive ends is harder.
    It’ll take a brave individual to go against the centralisation of power.

    I agree, though, that federalism and regional “areas” are the way to go, particularly in England. I just can’t see a Tory leader ever wanting to go that route.

    Remember the whole regional devolution agenda in England? Has gone very quiet..particularly as some of the existing mayors have been vocal against Westminster
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,209

    Every youngster i know barely watches broadcast telly, and they certainly aren't scrolling down the guide to check out the old fuddy channel. And remember BBC One and especially Two is rammed full of repeats.

    It well known they stick something on BBC One compared to Two and they instantly get higher viewership. And BBC Four is the nobody watches channel.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/m0012tzd/royal-institution-christmas-lectures-2021-1-the-invisible-enemy

    for those Down Wiv De Kidz
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,365

    Why the hell do they stick it away on BBC4, a channel for oldies, when this is for youngsters.
    I think it was on Channel 5 for a few years.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,491
    edited December 2021

    Take a look at pictures of the people making the decisions.

    Do they look like someone who goes for a run or participates in outdoor sport?

    My favourite in lockdown, in London, was when a councillor was demanding that the rowing clubs be completely shut. At this point, the only people going out were single sculling, or couples in doubles....

    So you have a sport that is

    - completely outside
    - your are double digit meters away from others at all times, unless you hold a rave on the pontoon....

    The bloke in question looked like a whale.
    Poshos do innit....like golf, that famously socially distance past time where you spend 4-5 hrs miles from every other sod, even the people you are supposedly to be playing with.

    Remember the outrage at shooting sports being allowed to go ahead.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,209

    Poshos do innit....like golf, that famously socially distance past time where you spend 4-5 hrs miles from every other sod, even the people you are supposedly to be playing with.

    Remember the outrage at shooting sports being allowed to go ahead.
    The funny bit is that rowing is the sport where if you manage to spend £500 a year on club membership*, people think you are spending a lot.

    How crap a seat can you buy to *watch* one game of football for that.

    *The actual equipment is owned by the club. You don't even need shoes....
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,625

    I agree with you about borrowing to invest. But in 1997 that simply wasn't an option politically. So the realistic options were expand Ken Clarke's PFI or let the schools and hospitals crumble further.

    The challenge for the red wall is that whilst I entirely agree with you that tradition and manufacturing was replaced by transience and call centres, neither party have any solutions. These areas didn't recover after the 1980s dismantling of manufacturing. They have now voted for the party who did the dismantling and amazingly enough we aren't seeing a renaissance in it. Brexit hampers manufacturing further, and the long-term strategic investment required is beyond both whats left of industry and government.
    It wasn’t just the 1980s dismantling of manufacturing. Look what happened to manufacturing as a share of GDP and employment from 97-2010. New labour did little to arrest the decline and, at least, Osborne recognised we needed a manufacturing base. His reforms were insignificant and gave the north east a grade a plank as a metro mayor. I agree neither party has any solutions and the point I’m making is labour needs to get one rather than just saying ‘vote for us, we’re not Tories’ while holding these communities in a barely disguised contempt.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,043

    Andrew RT Davies is hopeless
    RT won 16 AMs in May, the highest number of Conservative Senedd seats ever
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 5,173
    Eabhal said:

    The park run thing. I'm still pissed off we didn't have a big national effort to get more people below BMI 25, given how important it is as a comorbidity.

    Closing the gyms I understand. But outdoor sport is just counter-productive.

    Losing weight is typically rather difficult and the majority of the entire UK population (around two-thirds of all adults are overweight) arguably falls into one or more of a variety of difficult to resolve groups: those who try to lose weight but fail; those who would like to lose weight but find it difficult or impossible due to medical conditions or disabilities; those who really know being fat is a bad idea, but nonetheless ignore it (because that's the easiest option) and simply lean on the NHS to put them right as their health disintegrates; those who really don't care about being fat at all; and those who are fat because they wallow in the slough of despond for various, usually wholly understandable, reasons and choose to self-medicate with food. Lockdown, and the general atmosphere of misery pervading much of the past two years, is liable to have cut the number of dieters and increased the total numbers covered by many of the other categories - even before you consider the physical activity problem. Whilst there are no shortage of noble exceptions, the country as a whole eschews exercise almost as enthusiastically as it embraces family size tins of Quality Street.

    Amongst all of the other problems that we've had to contend with since this all kicked off, it's really no surprise that nobody has tried to get to grips with the tremendous question of the nation's waistline - and I don't expect that any serious effort will be devoted to the problem in future, either. I mean, would any of us want to be appointed Minister for Getting the Nation Fit? With the possible exception of Minister for Stopping the Boat People, it's probably the most forlorn and thankless task imaginable.
  • It’ll take a brave individual to go against the centralisation of power.

    I agree, though, that federalism and regional “areas” are the way to go, particularly in England. I just can’t see a Tory leader ever wanting to go that route.

    Remember the whole regional devolution agenda in England? Has gone very quiet..particularly as some of the existing mayors have been vocal against Westminster
    A significant problem that needs fixing is the lack of pride and identity. Regions that were defined by mining or shipbuilding or steel production or cars have nothing particular left to define them. So regions and regional mayors have a place when the region is one they recognise.

    When big bad Westminster is seen as a significant problem then yes of course power and money has to be devolved. But as you say neither Labour nor Tory governments will want to accept that they aren't the answer...
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,209
    Taz said:

    It wasn’t just the 1980s dismantling of manufacturing. Look what happened to manufacturing as a share of GDP and employment from 97-2010. New labour did little to arrest the decline and, at least, Osborne recognised we needed a manufacturing base. His reforms were insignificant and gave the north east a grade a plank as a metro mayor. I agree neither party has any solutions and the point I’m making is labour needs to get one rather than just saying ‘vote for us, we’re not Tories’ while holding these communities in a barely disguised contempt.
    Part of the problem is/was the core belief by some in the Labour party that there was no manufacturing. I tried to talk to an MP, under Blair, and was told that multi-axis machine tools weren't important in the UK, because we had no industry.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,150

    Take a look at pictures of the people making the decisions.

    Do they look like someone who goes for a run or participates in outdoor sport?

    My favourite in lockdown, in London, was when a councillor was demanding that the rowing clubs be completely shut. At this point, the only people going out were single sculling, or couples in doubles....

    So you have a sport that is

    - completely outside
    - your are double digit meters away from others at all times, unless you hold a rave on the pontoon....

    The bloke in question looked like a whale.
    In Edinburgh some local group tried to ban running on the glorious dismantled railways that criss-cross the city. They thought we were spreading Covid that way.

    If they'd pulled that off I wouldn't have made it through the first lockdown. Dicks.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,209

    TBF, the rowers I know in Cambridge spend more time in the clubhouse gyms than on the water.
    In normal times the gyms are ram packed - yes. They closed the rowing club gyms at the same time the other gyms closed, under the same advice/legal authority.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,625

    A significant problem that needs fixing is the lack of pride and identity. Regions that were defined by mining or shipbuilding or steel production or cars have nothing particular left to define them. So regions and regional mayors have a place when the region is one they recognise.

    When big bad Westminster is seen as a significant problem then yes of course power and money has to be devolved. But as you say neither Labour nor Tory governments will want to accept that they aren't the answer...
    Yup, you’re right. Look at the north of Tyne mayor. Original Plan was to include Gateshead, Sunderland, S Shields and Durham but they squabbled and couldn’t come to an agreement. But will Sunderland and Newcastle ever accept they have more in common as opposed to being divided due to bloody footballl.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,365
    edited December 2021
    Eabhal said:

    In Edinburgh some local group tried to ban running on the glorious dismantled railways that criss-cross the city. They thought we were spreading Covid that way.

    If they'd pulled that off I wouldn't have made it through the first lockdown. Dicks.
    I've only ever done a couple of them, but Edinburgh is blessed to have those routes. I particularly like the ?Innocent Railway? and the tunnel under the flank of Arthur's Seat.

    Now all I need is the opportunity to get back to Edinburgh ...
  • Part of the problem is/was the core belief by some in the Labour party that there was no manufacturing. I tried to talk to an MP, under Blair, and was told that multi-axis machine tools weren't important in the UK, because we had no industry.
    Which is why I said "these areas didn't recover after the 1980s dismantling of manufacturing". The economic reforms of the 80s demolished so much of what we had, New Labour thought it had all gone and focused on groovy alternatives, then the Coalition said industry couldn't have any of the cash it needed because Austerity.

    It is a very British problem. We used to lead the world in industrial innovation, investment and long-term drive. Now? We own nothing, we think a quick profit is better than long term dominance, and we have this mindset that investment is communism.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,939
    edited December 2021

    A significant problem that needs fixing is the lack of pride and identity. Regions that were defined by mining or shipbuilding or steel production or cars have nothing particular left to define them. So regions and regional mayors have a place when the region is one they recognise.

    When big bad Westminster is seen as a significant problem then yes of course power and money has to be devolved. But as you say neither Labour nor Tory governments will want to accept that they aren't the answer...
    Spot on about the first.
    My small home town has recently seen two nice wine bars open, a hipster dessert place and a swish steak bar. Amongst the main street of convenience shops, pubs, bookies, charity shops and hairdressers.
    The reaction hasn't been positive at all.
    Wine bars? Only snobs drink there.
    Dessert place? Neon signs? It belongs in Las Vegas.
    Steak place is bringing the tone of the area down. Why? It's name is a pun on the local accent "Summat to Eight." The logo is a clock set at 7:55. Apparently, other people will laugh at us.
    Needless to say, they are the only thriving businesses on the Main Street. Yet many folk want them closed forthwith.
    They simply don't want to see people younger than them having fun in better places than they had.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,150

    I've only ever done a couple of them, but Edinburgh is blessed to have those routes. I particularly like the ?Innocent Railway? and the tunnel under the flank of Arthur's Seat.

    Now all I need is the opportunity to get back to Edinburgh ...
    You can run from my flat along them all the way to Cramond. I think the council will open up a new one soon as the line to powderhall closes.
  • darkagedarkage Posts: 5,398
    edited December 2021
    rcs1000 said:

    Just as a matter of interest, would it have been right for the British government to use "the full force of the state" to deter independence movements (via ample use of body bags) in the former Empire?

    And can you give me a couple of examples of where forcing people to remain part of a country has worked out well for either group?
    Independence movements are not always virtuous, and do not always represent the will of the people.

    There are a large proportion of the Scottish population that are opposed to Independence. It is not too difficult to foresee a situation where the use of force would be justified, to uphold the integrity of the state and due process. Otherwise you are potentially allowing mob rule.

    That all said, on the subject of Scotland, the argument that independence was sorted out for a generation in 2014 is not convincing; mainly because of Brexit. It is obviously a material change in circumstance that justifies revisiting the question, in another referendum. The reluctance of the SNP to do so is interesting.
  • dixiedean said:

    Spot on about the first.
    My small home town has recently seen two nice wine bars open, a hipster dessert place and a swish steak bar. Amongst the main street of convenience shops, pubs, bookies, charity shops and hairdressers.
    The reaction hasn't been positive at all.
    Wine bars? Only snobs drink there.
    Dessert place? Neon signs? It belongs in Las Vegas.
    Steak place is bringing the tone of the area down. Why? It's name is a pun on the local accent "Summat to Eight." Apparently, other people will laugh at us.
    Needless to say, they are the only thriving businesses on the Main Street. Yet folk want them closed forthwith.
    I don't get this kind of negativity. Stockton-on-Tees gets widespread acclaim for its regeneration of the town centre. "Come see what they are doing" says expert Bill Grimes. But what do the local naysayers and Tory councillors say?

    Don't rebuild the high street - waste of money.
    Building a hotel? Will be a disaster (its a roaring success)
    Rebuilt the theatre? Whats the point (its booming)
    Demolishing the empty shops that nobody wants? A disaster!
  • darkage said:

    Independence movements are not always virtuous, and do not always represent the will of the people.

    There are a large proportion of the Scottish population that are opposed to Independence. It is not too difficult to foresee a situation where the use of force would be justified, to uphold the integrity of the state and due process. Otherwise you are potentially allowing mob rule.

    That all said, on the subject of Scotland, the argument that independence was sorted out for a generation in 2014 is not convincing; mainly because of Brexit. It is obviously a material change in circumstance that justifies revisiting the question, in another referendum. The reluctance of the SNP to do so is interesting.
    How are they reluctant? I read on here that they don't want to, yet Sturgeon says "as soon as Covid passes we're on it"
  • eekeek Posts: 29,736
    edited December 2021
    Taz said:

    Yup, you’re right. Look at the north of Tyne mayor. Original Plan was to include Gateshead, Sunderland, S Shields and Durham but they squabbled and couldn’t come to an agreement. But will Sunderland and Newcastle ever accept they have more in common as opposed to being divided due to bloody footballl.
    It’s not football - it’s a fear that if Newcastle is within the region, Gateshead and Sunderland will never see a penny.

    And past form shows that Sunderland is right given how long it took to get the metro there given the original plans.

    Equally newton Aycliffe has more in common with Teesside than Newcastle.
  • pm215pm215 Posts: 1,236

    I agree, though, that federalism and regional “areas” are the way to go, particularly in England. I just can’t see a Tory leader ever wanting to go that route.

    Remember the whole regional devolution agenda in England? Has gone very quiet..particularly as some of the existing mayors have been vocal against Westminster

    Thing is, US states get effectively very sweeping local powers, but AIUI some of them are nonetheless bailed out by being net recipients of money from the federal government, and the traditional manufacturing and mining regions suffer just as badly from the collapse of those industries as ours have. So I'm not convinced that having the decisions made locally will help much (though I'm happy to go for it on other grounds).
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,175
    Taz said:

    What a stupid counterpoint. Typical of the labour mentality that the red wall needs to return home. Labour need to offer something. Not being the Tories isn’t enough. Labour need to enthuse people to vote for them and, as @RochdalePioneers said a few threads back, people may just choose not to bother.
    It isn't a stupid counterpoint and you know too well that my own vote isn't guaranteed to go to Labour in any event.

    Regardless, Tories not bothering to vote will return a majority of the red wall to Labour anyway.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,939

    I don't get this kind of negativity. Stockton-on-Tees gets widespread acclaim for its regeneration of the town centre. "Come see what they are doing" says expert Bill Grimes. But what do the local naysayers and Tory councillors say?

    Don't rebuild the high street - waste of money.
    Building a hotel? Will be a disaster (its a roaring success)
    Rebuilt the theatre? Whats the point (its booming)
    Demolishing the empty shops that nobody wants? A disaster!
    The saga of Workington Sports Village is instructive in this regard.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,175
    eek said:

    It’s not football - it’s a fear that if Newcastle is within the region, Gateshead and Sunderland will never see a penny.

    And past form shows that Sunderland is right given how long it took to get the metro there given the original plans.

    Equally newton Aycliffe has more in common with Teesside than Newcastle.
    The Sunderland arm of the Metro was a complete waste of time and money
  • Everton v Newcastle postponed, the softarse Geordies have cried off.
  • CorrectHorseBatteryCorrectHorseBattery Posts: 21,436
    edited December 2021
    COVID: More than 500 children admitted to hospital with coronavirus in England in week to Boxing Day

    A total of 512 children were admitted to hospital with COVID in England in the week leading up to Boxing Day, figures have revealed.

    The numbers, released on the government's coronavirus dashboard, also show that 59 children under five were admitted to hospital between Christmas Day and Boxing Day alone.

    A further 50 children in the same age bracket were admitted in the 24 hours prior.

    https://news.sky.com/story/covid-more-than-500-children-admitted-to-hospital-with-coronavirus-in-england-in-week-to-boxing-day-12505306
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,175
    edited December 2021
    eek said:

    It’s not football - it’s a fear that if Newcastle is within the region, Gateshead and Sunderland will never see a penny.

    And past form shows that Sunderland is right given how long it took to get the metro there given the original plans.

    Equally newton Aycliffe has more in common with Teesside than Newcastle.
    And it is football, to an extent.

    In my experience, Newcastle supporters from Gateshead, South Tyneside, etc. generally are accepting of being part of Greater Newcastle whereas Sunderland supporters from Gateshead etc. refuse to entertain the thought.

    Holds the region back
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,625

    Part of the problem is/was the core belief by some in the Labour party that there was no manufacturing. I tried to talk to an MP, under Blair, and was told that multi-axis machine tools weren't important in the UK, because we had no industry.
    This from the party of the working man and woman. Sad
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,175

    Everton v Newcastle postponed, the softarse Geordies have cried off.

    Thank god
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,939

    Everton v Newcastle postponed, the softarse Geordies have cried off.

    Hurrah!
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,491
    edited December 2021

    COVID: More than 500 children admitted to hospital with coronavirus in England in week to Boxing Day

    A total of 512 children were admitted to hospital with COVID in England in the week leading up to Boxing Day, figures have revealed.

    The numbers, released on the government's coronavirus dashboard, also show that 59 children under five were admitted to hospital between Christmas Day and Boxing Day alone.

    A further 50 children in the same age bracket were admitted in the 24 hours prior.

    https://news.sky.com/story/covid-more-than-500-children-admitted-to-hospital-with-coronavirus-in-england-in-week-to-boxing-day-12505306

    This is where we need to know with or because of....
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,209
    Eabhal said:

    In Edinburgh some local group tried to ban running on the glorious dismantled railways that criss-cross the city. They thought we were spreading Covid that way.

    If they'd pulled that off I wouldn't have made it through the first lockdown. Dicks.
    I briefly considered setting up a business to market t-shirt etc with the following slogan -

    Same Shit
    Different Assholes
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,296
    Blimey 179,807 new cases in France today.

    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/france/
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 5,173
    Charles said:

    It undermines one of the founding principles of the NHS
    If you're trying to imply that prioritisation and care rationing would undermine those principles then you are way, way too late. Leaving aside the plain fact that there have always been waiting lists, postcode lotteries, and that people have always been denied some treatments on the grounds of value for money, prioritisation and care rationing are both basic features of the NHS approach to Covid care. Covid patients are prioritised and care for many other conditions is rationed as a consequence.

    As to the specific case of deprioritising treatment for vaccine refusers, there is ample precedent for this as well. Patients suffering from a variety of conditions are routinely denied surgery until they lose a prescribed amount of weight, and let's not even get started on alcoholics and liver transplants...

    Or is it your contention that it's the responsibility of the state to save one particular group of its citizens from all the consequences of their bad decisions, regardless of the fact that so doing heaps misery and death upon others? Each intensive care bed blocked by a refuser could mean permanent disability or death for people whose treatment is delayed as a result. And then there's the enormous burden of emergency panic restrictions if the hospitals start to buckle under the weight of Covid patients - the sickest of whom are now predominantly unvaccinated.

    So, why should we regard the welfare of the refusers as sacrosanct, whilst breezily dismissing the collateral damage caused to everybody else by their choices?
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,939

    Thank god
    We seem to have reached a rare consensus on here.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,296

    Thank god
    dixiedean said:

    Hurrah!
    Call it 1-1?
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,175
    dixiedean said:

    We seem to have reached a rare consensus on here.
    It means we now have 0 games before we can start spunking the Saudi blood billions
  • darkagedarkage Posts: 5,398
    edited December 2021

    How are they reluctant? I read on here that they don't want to, yet Sturgeon says "as soon as Covid passes we're on it"
    We are 5+ years on from Brexit, and there is no urgency at all on the part of the SNP, despite the fervour of its supporters. Excuses, excuses. Of course, the underlying problem that they have is that their position is not certain, it is 50/50 and could go either way; and this really would settle the matter for a generation. But the deeper issue is that whilst Brexit justifies a referendum, it also creates a whole load of more problems about how such a seperation would be administered; as the EU provided ready made solutions to problems such as what would happen to the border, freedom of movement for jobs, and on the trading relationship between the two countries post independence. So there would be more issues that, when examined by voters in the campaign, may ultimately deter them from voting for independence come election day.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,209
    dixiedean said:

    Spot on about the first.
    My small home town has recently seen two nice wine bars open, a hipster dessert place and a swish steak bar. Amongst the main street of convenience shops, pubs, bookies, charity shops and hairdressers.
    The reaction hasn't been positive at all.
    Wine bars? Only snobs drink there.
    Dessert place? Neon signs? It belongs in Las Vegas.
    Steak place is bringing the tone of the area down. Why? It's name is a pun on the local accent "Summat to Eight." The logo is a clock set at 7:55. Apparently, other people will laugh at us.
    Needless to say, they are the only thriving businesses on the Main Street. Yet many folk want them closed forthwith.
    They simply don't want to see people younger than them having fun in better places than they had.
    They are still waiting for the steelworks to reopen, probably.

    It's a common thing - the river authority in London used to spend all its time trying to stop the Thames being used for transport and leisure. Needed to keep it clear for when the vast fleets of Tea Clippers arrive.... Pointing out that the only commercial traffic on the river was (pretty much) garbage barges was described as "rude".
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,625
    eek said:

    It’s not football - it’s a fear that if Newcastle is within the region, Gateshead and Sunderland will never see a penny.

    And past form shows that Sunderland is right given how long it took to get the metro there given the original plans.

    Equally newton Aycliffe has more in common with Teesside than Newcastle.
    So,where would durham go ? North durham has more in common with Newcastle and Gateshead. Rural parts of west durham have.more in common with Cumbria or, in the case of blanchland and that area Northumberland,

  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,175
    Taz said:

    So,where would durham go ? North durham has more in common with Newcastle and Gateshead. Rural parts of west durham have.more in common with Cumbria or, in the case of blanchland and that area Northumberland,

    Logically (and the best for the region), it should be:

    Newcastle + North Tyneside + South Tyneside + Gateshead

    Northumberland

    Co. Durham + Sunderland

    However realistically it will remain how it is now, which is basically just the old Northumberland/Co. Durham split.

    Northumberland + North Tyneside + Newcastle

    Co. Durham + Sunderland + South Tyneside + Gateshead.

    I'm happy with both options to be honest.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,209

    This is where we need to know with or because of....
    I put the up every day... and then someone "breaks the news".... sigh....

    image
  • What is going on in France?
  • What is going on in France?

    Where do we start?
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,175

    What is going on in France?

    Where do we even begin?
  • darkagedarkage Posts: 5,398
    edited December 2021

    COVID: More than 500 children admitted to hospital with coronavirus in England in week to Boxing Day

    A total of 512 children were admitted to hospital with COVID in England in the week leading up to Boxing Day, figures have revealed.

    The numbers, released on the government's coronavirus dashboard, also show that 59 children under five were admitted to hospital between Christmas Day and Boxing Day alone.

    A further 50 children in the same age bracket were admitted in the 24 hours prior.

    https://news.sky.com/story/covid-more-than-500-children-admitted-to-hospital-with-coronavirus-in-england-in-week-to-boxing-day-12505306

    Inevitable though given that something like 1 in 10 people in the UK currently have Covid. There's no evidence that they are being admitted because of Covid.
  • darkage said:

    We are 5+ years on from Brexit, and there is no urgency at all on the part of the SNP, despite the fervour of its supporters. Excuses, excuses. Of course, the underlying problem that they have is that their position is not certain, it is 50/50 and could go either way; and this really would settle the matter for a generation. But the deeper issue is that whilst Brexit justifies a referendum, it also creates a whole load of more problems about how such a seperation would be administered; as the EU provided ready made solutions to problems such as what would happen to the border, freedom of movement for jobs, and on the trading relationship between the two countries post independence. So there would be more issues that, when examined by voters in the campaign, may ultimately deter them from voting for independence come election day.
    Covid.
  • What is going on in France with COVID?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,788
    Friend of a very close friend committed suicide this week. 28 years old. A young woman, in France, despairing of ever having a life again, because of Covid

    I do not seek personal sympathy. I never knew her (tho she was very close to MY friend, as I say)

    Just illustrating that, even tho the epidemic seems to ebb in some ways, it is quietly doing some devastating damage to mental health, everywhere. By all accounts this woman was not the suicidal type beforehand, but prolonged separation from friends, family, and future did her in

    RIP
  • 1,700,156 people are currently predicted to have symptomatic COVID-19 in the UK, up by 82,377. Yesterday was 1,617,779 (+5%) and last Tuesday was 1,268,585 (+34%).

    188,516 daily cases in the UK, up by 4,924. Yesterday was 183,592 (+3%) and last Tuesday was 137,067 (+38%).

    Link (Today’s Data): https://covid.joinzoe.com/data/.
    Link (Nation/Region Charts): https://covid.joinzoe.com/your-contribution?utm_source=App.

    https://www.reddit.com/r/CoronavirusUK/comments/rqgplx/281221_zoe_covid19_study_update/
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,625

    Logically (and the best for the region), it should be:

    Newcastle + North Tyneside + South Tyneside + Gateshead

    Northumberland

    Co. Durham + Sunderland

    However realistically it will remain how it is now, which is basically just the old Northumberland/Co. Durham split.

    Northumberland + North Tyneside + Newcastle

    Co. Durham + Sunderland + South Tyneside + Gateshead.

    I'm happy with both options to be honest.
    North of the river/south of the river. Makes sense but.....Newcastle/Gateshead do so much together in terms of trying to get the nighttime economy going as well as other things.
  • Blimey 179,807 new cases in France today.

    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/france/

    And that's with them having restrictions and border closures.

    I hope them not learning to live with cases in the summer doesn't come back to bite them too hard now.
  • Leon said:

    Friend of a very close friend committed suicide this week. 28 years old. A young woman, in France, despairing of ever having a life again, because of Covid

    I do not seek personal sympathy. I never knew her (tho she was very close to MY friend, as I say)

    Just illustrating that, even tho the epidemic seems to ebb in some ways, it is quietly doing some devastating damage to mental health, everywhere. By all accounts this woman was not the suicidal type beforehand, but prolonged separation from friends, family, and future did her in

    RIP

    That is so sad and chimes with many

    Mental health is a very real and ever expanding issue and covid lockdowns are not helping
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,296
    edited December 2021

    I put the up every day... and then someone "breaks the news".... sigh....

    image
    It's almost as if someone dares to post on here without reading every other post on the thread first. Outrageous! ;-)
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,625
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,939

    They are still waiting for the steelworks to reopen, probably.

    It's a common thing - the river authority in London used to spend all its time trying to stop the Thames being used for transport and leisure. Needed to keep it clear for when the vast fleets of Tea Clippers arrive.... Pointing out that the only commercial traffic on the river was (pretty much) garbage barges was described as "rude".
    What's doubly annoying is this is a local entrepreneur in his thirties. Actually putting summat back.
    Course, he lives in one of the biggest houses, and therefore, obviously, "thinks he's better than us."
    Course. He could have bought up houses and rented them in poor condition. He could have not bothered taking the risk and done exactly the same in Manchester. And lived in the same house.
    That would have been fine, apparently.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,175
    dixiedean said:

    What's doubly annoying is this is a local entrepreneur in his thirties. Actually putting summat back.
    Course, he lives in one of the biggest houses, and therefore, obviously, "thinks he's better than us."
    Course. He could have bought up houses and rented them in poor condition. He could have not bothered taking the risk and done exactly the same in Manchester. And lived in the same house.
    That would have been fine, apparently.
    Sounds like Morpeth
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 5,173

    What is going on in France with COVID?

    They've been suppressing Delta relatively successfully for some months, then Omicron has rocked up and negated the effort. A guess on my part, but feels like a reasonable one.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    I don't know if people have seen that a handful of red states are subsidising people to be unvaccinated.

    https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/1475889284192165891?t=FRv9Xi_Mtf1nu5TCIRIVsQ&s=19
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,625
    Leon said:

    Friend of a very close friend committed suicide this week. 28 years old. A young woman, in France, despairing of ever having a life again, because of Covid

    I do not seek personal sympathy. I never knew her (tho she was very close to MY friend, as I say)

    Just illustrating that, even tho the epidemic seems to ebb in some ways, it is quietly doing some devastating damage to mental health, everywhere. By all accounts this woman was not the suicidal type beforehand, but prolonged separation from friends, family, and future did her in

    RIP

    Sorry to hear that Leon. One of my wife’s co workers lost her husband last year for the same reason.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,296
    edited December 2021
    Leon said:

    Friend of a very close friend committed suicide this week. 28 years old. A young woman, in France, despairing of ever having a life again, because of Covid

    I do not seek personal sympathy. I never knew her (tho she was very close to MY friend, as I say)

    Just illustrating that, even tho the epidemic seems to ebb in some ways, it is quietly doing some devastating damage to mental health, everywhere. By all accounts this woman was not the suicidal type beforehand, but prolonged separation from friends, family, and future did her in

    RIP

    That's very sad - sorry to hear that. It's going to hit your friend hard, no doubt.
  • That's horrible @Leon

    Leicester scored against the run of play.
  • pingping Posts: 3,805
    Lol @ Liverpool
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,788
    Taz said:

    Sorry to hear that Leon. One of my wife’s co workers lost her husband last year for the same reason.
    I reckon the ill-effects on mental health, from Covid, could become a bigger story than the physical effects of ill-health, quite soon. And they will ripple down the years, even the decades, in ways we do not know, but we can predict they will often be very sad.

    A lot of damaged kids, for a start
  • @Foxy will be happy

    Leicester 1 up v Liverpool
  • Alistair said:

    I don't know if people have seen that a handful of red states are subsidising people to be unvaccinated.

    https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/1475889284192165891?t=FRv9Xi_Mtf1nu5TCIRIVsQ&s=19

    Don't Look Up!
  • eekeek Posts: 29,736
    Taz said:

    So,where would durham go ? North durham has more in common with Newcastle and Gateshead. Rural parts of west durham have.more in common with Cumbria or, in the case of blanchland and that area Northumberland,

    That’s the problem - County Durham makes no sense logically, it’s 4 different areas with completely different business centres (Durham and north County Durham has Newcastle, the east has Sunderland, the sputh Teesside and the west Cumbria).
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    edited December 2021
    ydoethur said:

    And then you'd almost be able to pay for your own tank force...
    To be fair, Carson’s Ulster Volunteers had its own Air Force and tanks, although that was funded by public subscription rather than personally
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,296

    That's horrible @Leon

    Leicester scored against the run of play.

    Might have benefited from being two separate posts, just saying.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,209
    dixiedean said:

    What's doubly annoying is this is a local entrepreneur in his thirties. Actually putting summat back.
    Course, he lives in one of the biggest houses, and therefore, obviously, "thinks he's better than us."
    Course. He could have bought up houses and rented them in poor condition. He could have not bothered taking the risk and done exactly the same in Manchester. And lived in the same house.
    That would have been fine, apparently.
    If I were him, I would worry about late night cooking accidents after the pub.

    For The Greater Good.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,209

    It's almost as if someone dares to post on here without reading every other post on the thread first. Outrageous! ;-)
    Farmer Tupac to the red courtesy phone, Farmer Tupac to the red courtesy phone.....
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,296
    Leon said:

    I reckon the ill-effects on mental health, from Covid, could become a bigger story than the physical effects of ill-health, quite soon. And they will ripple down the years, even the decades, in ways we do not know, but we can predict they will often be very sad.

    A lot of damaged kids, for a start
    Whilst acknowledging that for some the effects of lockdown have been literally tragic, I'd caution about assuming too much will 'ripple down the years'.

    Humans are incredibly resilient overall. Look at how people recovered after the deprivations of WW2.
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 5,173
    Taz said:
    Grimly satisfying. Each blow struck against the arguments of the lockdown ultras is one tiny step closer to the end of this nightmare.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620

    I've only ever done a couple of them, but Edinburgh is blessed to have those routes. I particularly like the ?Innocent Railway? and the tunnel under the flank of Arthur's Seat.

    Now all I need is the opportunity to get back to Edinburgh ...
    Some elderly family friends of ours had a house facing onto Arthur's Seat and with the garden backing onto the terminus, then a shunting yard/freight and coal terminal, which I remember in its last few years. It must be one of those in the distance at 0:10

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yBqfcMXL4Bw

    Here's a movie of what the railway used to be like.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XVRPmdUCwH4
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,296

    Farmer Tupac to the red courtesy phone, Farmer Tupac to the red courtesy phone.....
    Sorry - you've lost me there.
  • darkagedarkage Posts: 5,398
    Regarding mental health - I think the biggest problem comes with lockdowns. And, to some degree, enforced self isolation - effectively a form of house arrest. Forcing people to stay indoors, in each others company, in bad relationships. This is something that is very, very bad for mental health. Then there is just the continuing depression associated with events you were looking forward to being cancelled, or being made virtual instead. And people around you going mad because of Covid, in various ways.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,150
    Leon said:

    Friend of a very close friend committed suicide this week. 28 years old. A young woman, in France, despairing of ever having a life again, because of Covid

    I do not seek personal sympathy. I never knew her (tho she was very close to MY friend, as I say)

    Just illustrating that, even tho the epidemic seems to ebb in some ways, it is quietly doing some devastating damage to mental health, everywhere. By all accounts this woman was not the suicidal type beforehand, but prolonged separation from friends, family, and future did her in

    RIP

    Leon said:

    I reckon the ill-effects on mental health, from Covid, could become a bigger story than the physical effects of ill-health, quite soon. And they will ripple down the years, even the decades, in ways we do not know, but we can predict they will often be very sad.

    A lot of damaged kids, for a start
    We discussed this before and noted the oddly low rates of suicide during the pandemic.

    I mentioned this to a mental health professional I know following that convo and she reckoned it was because a lot of people actually do better during a lockdown (social anxiety?).

    The other brutal reason was that a lot of men do it spontaneously following a break up or after alcohol abuse, and there have been fewer opportunities for that.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    IshmaelZ said:

    Underestimated Starmer? Are you selling some sort of story that Boris has fallen into SKS's cunning trap? All Starmer has done is maintain a constant position at 87 in the charts, while Johnson has plummeted from No 1 to no 100. He had one good PMQ and that's it.
    That’s a better analogy than your apartment block one. I never quite understood what you were aiming at (apart from the pavement, obviously)
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,788

    Whilst acknowledging that for some the effects of lockdown have been literally tragic, I'd caution about assuming too much will 'ripple down the years'.

    Humans are incredibly resilient overall. Look at how people recovered after the deprivations of WW2.
    You can’t compare a plague to a war. Plagues are worse. Plagues just bring a lot of purposeless suffering and terrible isolation, there is no no uplifting heroism or victory. Merely a slow, bitter end

    Schools and pubs didn’t shut in WW2, for example

    That said, if I had to compare Covid to any war it would be World War One, the intense futility, the sense of idiotic waste


    And I do think the Great War ramified down the ages, generally in grisly ways (tho it can be argued that ultimately it broke ossified class structures in the West, etc)


  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Farmer Tupac to the red courtesy phone, Farmer Tupac to the red courtesy phone.....
    What?

    I was startled by CHB's post, because I look at but don't particularly understand graphs. I would concede that that's because I am stupid, except that I am about 4 SDs out to the right on the IQ bell curve. So, lovely work with the graphics, but a purely verbal commentary would help, and relieve you of the obligation to post incomprehensible sarkiness like this.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    Charles said:

    To be fair, Carson’s Ulster Volunteers had its own Air Force and tanks, although that was funded by public subscription rather than personally
    Are you sure?

    AFAIK the UVs didn't have their own tanks. Only the UKG did postwar unless you are suggesting that the UKG was, erm, bent. And nobody had them pre-1916.

    Don't recall armoured cars either. They did have unarmoured cars carring medium machine guns -

    https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-a6a-1bv_Za4/TrxYuJPtFpI/AAAAAAAAC3s/D8_N92l9rwo/s1600/Ford-T-MG-Carrier-Ulster-Volunteers.jpg
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Whilst acknowledging that for some the effects of lockdown have been literally tragic, I'd caution about assuming too much will 'ripple down the years'.

    Humans are incredibly resilient overall. Look at how people recovered after the deprivations of WW2.
    Yeah, except for the 85m who died outright, and the god knows how many who survived but were destroyed forever after from a mental health pov. Survivorship bias is puzzlingly hard to avoid.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,625
    pigeon said:

    Grimly satisfying. Each blow struck against the arguments of the lockdown ultras is one tiny step closer to the end of this nightmare.
    Yet the media still defer to them as experts inspite of their many many similar statements. Not just gurdasani but others too.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Charles said:

    That’s a better analogy than your apartment block one. I never quite understood what you were aiming at (apart from the pavement, obviously)
    I thought the penthouse suite analogy was one of my all time peaks, but there you go.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Wages grew a lot - the days of £2.20 an hour are the past. Absolute grinding poverty fell away. And the hospitals and schools that were literally crumbling away needed replacing - its not as if borrowing to do so was on the agenda. So what was the alternative?

    I do agree that the economy is heavily imbalanced to the SE. The problem is that nobody is offering a solution. The Tories are demonstrating that "levelling up" doesn't really extend beyond window dressing and a slogan. Brexit has made it worse not better for manufacturing. So what else is there?

    The sad reality is that in England there seems to be no idea - none at all - about how to fix the structural problems. As an advocate for federalism and regionalism I can see how it could be done, but neither option for government is interested so the decline will continue.
    FWIW for the last 10 years we have been pursuing regional development through partnering with museums and local councils in Blackburn, Macclesfield, Hartlepool, Sheffield, Cornwall, Walthamstow and other places. Persuading local politicians to see them as income and footfall generators to help revive town centres rather than a cost centre.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,675
    Taz said:



    It wasn’t just the 1980s dismantling of manufacturing. Look what happened to manufacturing as a share of GDP and employment from 97-2010. New labour did little to arrest the decline and, at least, Osborne recognised we needed a manufacturing base. His reforms were insignificant and gave the north east a grade a plank as a metro mayor. I agree neither party has any solutions and the point I’m making is labour needs to get one rather than just saying ‘vote for us, we’re not Tories’ while holding these communities in a barely disguised contempt.

    I don't think that's actually true of many in Labour - we got the message when the wall crumbled. I agree that we need to have some concrete proposals to cinsder rather than just rely on not being Tories. Those will come, just as nationally, but mid-pandemic two years from thre election isn't the time to make them. Suspend judgement for now?
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 5,173
    Taz said:

    Yet the media still defer to them as experts inspite of their many many similar statements. Not just gurdasani but others too.
    On the one hand, they'll want to represent a range of views. On the other, the temptation to go straight to the iSAGE types at the first sign of trouble must be enormous.

    Catastrophism = clicks.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,209
    IshmaelZ said:

    What?

    I was startled by CHB's post, because I look at but don't particularly understand graphs. I would concede that that's because I am stupid, except that I am about 4 SDs out to the right on the IQ bell curve. So, lovely work with the graphics, but a purely verbal commentary would help, and relieve you of the obligation to post incomprehensible sarkiness like this.
    Young people today. Having no idea who Farmer Tupac was... his dedication to PB was such as to make Mike Smithson look like an occasional.....
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,296
    edited December 2021
    Leon said:

    You can’t compare a plague to a war. Plagues are worse. Plagues just bring a lot of purposeless suffering and terrible isolation, there is no no uplifting heroism or victory. Merely a slow, bitter end

    Schools and pubs didn’t shut in WW2, for example

    That said, if I had to compare Covid to any war it would be World War One, the intense futility, the sense of idiotic waste

    And I do think the Great War ramified down the ages, generally in grisly ways (tho it can be argued that ultimately it broke ossified class structures in the West, etc)
    WW1 was immediately followed by the Spanish Flu pandemic of course so a double whammy.

    I'd argue that in WW2 the threat of bombs falling nightly, conscription, families torn apart, young children evacuated, rationing, etc. etc. was worse than this pandemic by a long chalk for most.

    Western civilisation, an may the human species as a whole, has become much softer in recent decades. I don't say that necessarily a bad thing, indeed it may well be a very good thing if we are less cruel and more caring.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    pigeon said:

    Grimly satisfying. Each blow struck against the arguments of the lockdown ultras is one tiny step closer to the end of this nightmare.
    You really are a complete, entire and utter fing cckskr. It isn't about what hebephrenic dweebs like you think is going to happen, it is about what actually happens, and we don't know what will happen, until it does. How hard is it to understand that if a future narrative is simple enough for someone as stupid as you to understand, it is almost certainly also too simple to be true? The nightmare is not about "lockdown ultras", it is about the wholly unpredictable evolution of a virus.

    I am now going to watch the second half of Don't Look Up. I am worried that if I stayed on PB I might find myself being ruder to you than is strictly necessary.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,296
    edited December 2021
    IshmaelZ said:

    Yeah, except for the 85m who died outright, and the god knows how many who survived but were destroyed forever after from a mental health pov. Survivorship bias is puzzlingly hard to avoid.
    Of course. The 85m who died evidence my point that WW2 was a much larger catastrophe than this pandemic. But by and large people who survived were clearly not 'destroyed forever' by mental health issues - civilisation and society recovered and carried on thriving.

    Likewise, I do not expect Covid to cast a shadow that ropples down the years. It will leave a cultural mark of course but the vast majority will, whilst not forgetting, move on.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,209

    Sorry - you've lost me there.
    Framer Tupac (aka "tim") formerly of this parish, had read every single posting in every single thread on PB since it began. And commented on them.....
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,209
    IshmaelZ said:

    Yeah, except for the 85m who died outright, and the god knows how many who survived but were destroyed forever after from a mental health pov. Survivorship bias is puzzlingly hard to avoid.
    When people ask what WWII did to people, I think of this...

    https://youtu.be/NXZF6DwKvCI?t=90
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Young people today. Having no idea who Farmer Tupac was... his dedication to PB was such as to make Mike Smithson look like an occasional.....
    I know exactly who tim was. I still don't see what you are on about tho.
This discussion has been closed.