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Poll suggests that the LAB lead would be just 3% with PM Sunak – politicalbetting.com

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  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,373
    edited December 2021
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Not to turn this into a love-in with @HYUFD but at least he doesn't pretend to not be anything other than a Tory unlike some others who seem to spend their whole time trying to pretend they're not, or that they're just about to quit the party for the third time this week...

    Anyway, I just thought @HYUFD deserved some support, I really wish people would stop jumping on him. We don't hear a lot about him beyond his political POV (something which I respect) but there is somebody behind that keyboard and it can't be easy to have sometimes a lot of abuse coming your way.

    I'm leaving this topic to one side, I have a delicious bolognese that is on the menu for this evening

    Thanks, of course your first paragraph certainly does not apply to BigG at all, no connection whatsoever....
    It cannot apply to me as I have already quit the party and demanded from my mp that he seeks the replacement of Boris
    If I got a pound for the amount of times you have said you have quit the party and will not vote for it again, then come back and done so, I would be a millionaire
    And then you'd almost be able to pay for your own tank force...
  • kjhkjh Posts: 11,786
    HYUFD said:

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    It's good to be able to choose meat with that extra added savour of ill treatment, right?


    Good to see all that Scottish Nationalist hate for our Aussie cousins.
    The Scottish Farmer is a Scottish Nationalist organ now?

    Good to see you blithely accepting that your bunch of dislikeable, untrustworthy weaklings are losing natural Tory voters at a rate of knots. Eventually there'll only be a battered head left mouthing 'tis but a flesh wound' and 'the don't knows are right behind us'.
    Farmers now have more markets to export to thanks to the new trade deals we have.

    The SNP it seems would whack up tariffs and protectionism however on imports from any country outside the EU.

    Nationalists and authoritarian Covid restriction imposers at home and protectionist abroad, the SNP in a nutshell
    Do you actually know any of the details of these trade deals? How they are better than before, for specific products, that people actually want to buy for the price we can supply them at? Last time this was up for discussion I believe you were proposing selling carrots to Australia.

    We can sign a trade deal with the moon but it doesn't generate a single sale
    So much for being a Peelite, Gladstone free trade Liberal. Seems like you too are very much in the protectionist, high tariff, Joseph Chamberlain mould if it comes to any trade outside the EU
    Nope I am all for free trade. We had a free trade agreement inside the EU. Negotiating free trade agreements that don't actually generate sales or more than we had before is in reality net negative free trade agreements.

    So how about actually answering the question I put to you.
    You are obviously not all for free trade otherwise you would not be opposing any trade deals we have negotiated beyond the EU like with Australia. Deals which also offer opportunities to UK exporters.

    So in reality you are more an EUphile protectionist than a genuine liberal free trader
    I'm still waiting for you to answer the question.
    The answer is you are an EUphile protectionist
    So you can't answer the question then? I have attempted three times to get you to answer it and you refuse to answer each time. I think that therefore it's quite clear then that you can't. Rather makes a nonsense then of all your statements doesn't it? Go on do it. Prove me wrong answer it. I suspect you may have to do a lot of research and employ a lot of bluster and exaggeration.

    Rather makes a nonesence of your protectionist statement if you can't answer it doesn't it?
    The answer is you are an EUphile protectionist. There is no other answer as you clearly oppose any trade deals we have outside the EU and opportunities for UK exporters. Instead you would just pull up the drawbridge outside the EU orbit and slam high tariffs on our trade with the rest of the world
    Lol. What a twit. That has nothing whatsoever to do with what I asked you. Just answer the question I asked. Simple factual question. You are looking very silly now you have been unable to answer after 4 requests. This has nothing to do with what you think I am.
    It had everything to do with it. You opposed the UK trade deals with Australia, New Zealand etc and the opportunities provided for UK exporters because you are an EUphile protectionist. Free trade with the EU but pull up the drawbridge and ratchet up the tariffs outside it
    No I didn't. I have never said so. You just made that up. I don't know enough about them to know if they are any good, but I approve of the idea of all free trade deals.

    Now for the 5th time answer the question? Is there any chance that you don't know the answer? You don't do you? Admit it you have been posting about something you have no idea about?
    You don't approve of them, you have made clear you oppose the main trade deals the UK has negotiated it did not have in the EU
    What nonsense. We are out of the EU now so of course I approve of trade deals even though I would have preferred we hadn't left, but I'm not going to sulk in the corner. I'm just like you in fact though aren't I? You were a remainer to so how do we differ in that respect?

    You are twisting yourself in knots.

    Now for the 6th time answer the question? Not doing so makes you look very silly. It goes to show you have no idea about the free trade deals you are pontificating on.
    No, I supported the UK trade deals with Australia and New Zealand as a result of the opportunities they provide UK exporters.

    You and your fellow Liberal Democrats opposed them
    No I don't. I just told you that.

    Now for the 7th time answer the question? You clearly can't hence you have avoided it 6 times.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 13,874
    xxxxx5 said:

    I live in a red wall seat and Labour offer me nothing. Correct Horse Battery was simply on another planet saying New Labour did more for people like me between 1997 and 2010 really? Free movement reducing wages in return for more sure start buildings the hall mark of New Labour between 1997 and 2010. What is Starmers offer? Vote Labour get more free movement?

    We heard this from someone else on here yesterday.

    I'm clear what you don't want but what DO you want? A freeze on all immigration - the forced repatriation of EU citizens within the UK?

    As a Londoner, I don't pretend to understand "the red wall" though my Borough (Newham) is solid Labour. For what kind of political/financial settlement are you looking?
  • ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    Carnyx said:

    Not to turn this into a love-in with @HYUFD but at least he doesn't pretend to not be anything other than a Tory unlike some others who seem to spend their whole time trying to pretend they're not, or that they're just about to quit the party for the third time this week...

    Anyway, I just thought @HYUFD deserved some support, I really wish people would stop jumping on him.

    I'm leaving this topic to one side, I have a delicious bolognese that is on the menu for this evening

    Excellent idea. Will do so too. Sausages and beans and mash for us tonight.
    Yum yum, what sausages have you gone for?
    Something from the community foodstore - a small local farm/meat company, not sure which one (there are two or three). Don't know what kind yet - chipolatas apparently, whatever that means apart from size (Mrs C bought them).
    That sounds delicious, just don't cremate them as I did the other day!

    I really like the Waitrose basic ones.
    Waitrose basic range being I take it the same as a premium luxury brand anywhere else?
    And there go my socialist credentials, I am entering the bourgeoisie!
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,249
    ydoethur said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Not to turn this into a love-in with @HYUFD but at least he doesn't pretend to not be anything other than a Tory unlike some others who seem to spend their whole time trying to pretend they're not, or that they're just about to quit the party for the third time this week...

    Anyway, I just thought @HYUFD deserved some support, I really wish people would stop jumping on him. We don't hear a lot about him beyond his political POV (something which I respect) but there is somebody behind that keyboard and it can't be easy to have sometimes a lot of abuse coming your way.

    I'm leaving this topic to one side, I have a delicious bolognese that is on the menu for this evening

    Thanks, of course your first paragraph certainly does not apply to BigG at all, no connection whatsoever....
    It cannot apply to me as I have already quit the party and demanded from my mp that he seeks the replacement of Boris
    If I got a pound for the amount of times you have said you have quit the party and will not vote for it again, then come back and done so, I would be a millionaire
    And then you'd almost be able to pay for your own tank force...
    Getting a Covenanter to run to the end of the road is an expensive proposition...
  • xxxxx5 said:

    I live in a red wall seat and Labour offer me nothing. Correct Horse Battery was simply on another planet saying New Labour did more for people like me between 1997 and 2010 really? Free movement reducing wages in return for more sure start buildings the hall mark of New Labour between 1997 and 2010. What is Starmers offer? Vote Labour get more free movement?

    Hello, I hope you are well.

    May I ask what the Tories have done for you since 2010 in that case? I was only referring to the statistics and evidence, that say New Labour did more levelling up than the Tories have managed.

    What do you want? FOM is over now.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,454
    xxxxx5 said:

    I live in a red wall seat and Labour offer me nothing. Correct Horse Battery was simply on another planet saying New Labour did more for people like me between 1997 and 2010 really? Free movement reducing wages in return for more sure start buildings the hall mark of New Labour between 1997 and 2010. What is Starmers offer? Vote Labour get more free movement?

    What do the Tories offer other than more broken levelling up promises?
  • HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Not to turn this into a love-in with @HYUFD but at least he doesn't pretend to not be anything other than a Tory unlike some others who seem to spend their whole time trying to pretend they're not, or that they're just about to quit the party for the third time this week...

    Anyway, I just thought @HYUFD deserved some support, I really wish people would stop jumping on him. We don't hear a lot about him beyond his political POV (something which I respect) but there is somebody behind that keyboard and it can't be easy to have sometimes a lot of abuse coming your way.

    I'm leaving this topic to one side, I have a delicious bolognese that is on the menu for this evening

    Thanks, of course your first paragraph certainly does not apply to BigG at all, no connection whatsoever....
    It cannot apply to me as I have already quit the party and demanded from my mp that he seeks the replacement of Boris
    If I got a pound for the amount of times you have said you have quit the party and will not vote for it again, then come back and done so, I would be a millionaire
    I will when Boris goes
  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,028
    TimT said:

    179,807 new confirmed cases in France (previous record 104,611). Given that their testing rates are lower than ours, that's a hell of a lot. Let's hope their booster rollout has been enough to limit the fallout, but I fear they are in for a rough time. Some other European countries will be even worse, of course.

    If your French is up to it, this long thread from a French emergency-care doctor is quite something:

    https://twitter.com/JulieOudet/status/1475197820747628548

    Didn't read it all, but powerful stuff. Ends with a "j'accuse" moment
    That is a shockingly high number.

    Anyone in France on here at the moment? Interesting they decided to ban Brits..
  • Farooq said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    It's good to be able to choose meat with that extra added savour of ill treatment, right?


    Good to see all that Scottish Nationalist hate for our Aussie cousins.
    The Scottish Farmer is a Scottish Nationalist organ now?

    Good to see you blithely accepting that your bunch of dislikeable, untrustworthy weaklings are losing natural Tory voters at a rate of knots. Eventually there'll only be a battered head left mouthing 'tis but a flesh wound' and 'the don't knows are right behind us'.
    Farmers now have more markets to export to thanks to the new trade deals we have
    That you can post this with a straight face demonstrates how clueless you are. DOn't worry, you aren't alone. The lickspittle David Duguid keeps telling local farmers and fishermen how much better off they now are. As they know (a) they are worse off and (b) he is a prannock the seat is now chalked up as an SNP gain next time.

    You can say "more markets to export to" as much as you like. As it isn't true you *will* get caught out.
    Fishermen now out of CFP as promised
    Yes. And the purpose of leaving the CFP was....?

    Find out why CAP and CFP were unpopular and you'll discover what farmers and fishermen were hoping to achieve by leaving things like the CFP.

    I'll give you a clue. It isn't what you have given them. And patronising them by lines like "Fishermen now out of CFP as promised" will just make them more determined to vote you out of office.
    Fishermen have control of their own waters, as they voted for ie to get out of the CFP and EU
    Not so 'blessed are the cheesemakers' under Brexit, it seems:

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/dec/27/brexit-the-biggest-disaster-that-any-government-has-ever-negotiated

    I take what that specific individual says with a pound of salt. He is a long time anti-Brexit, anti-Tory ranter.

    That isn't to say Brexit hasn't placed extra barriers to exports like him, but he is first to be in the Graudian saying Brexit is absolutely the end of the world and the "Johnson Variant" is responsible. He is the Brexit equivalent of Zero Covid Pagel.
    Pick out the positives in this then...

    https://www.fwi.co.uk/business/markets-and-trends/how-uk-trade-has-fared-since-withdrawal-from-the-eu
    As the article says there are lots of factors, and as I said that isn't to say Brexit hasn't placed extra barriers. You know I own a business in the EU right?

    My point is that bloke is a billy bullshitter, but the Guardian swallow his claims regardless. He has this micro cheese business that has been going for 5+ years, but all of a sudden Brexit has costs his massive amounts of money. He is hardly flogging any cheese in the UK, such that it has 1 employee, but we are supposed to believe he is being inundated right after Brexit with all these massive orders that that damn Brexit has stopped him.
    I must admit it is quite fun doing a bit of research and picking out the bullshit from these stories. This is not the first time the Guardian has featured this particular gentleman. Back in January he was splashed all over the paper making complaints.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/jan/23/cheshire-cheesemaker-says-business-left-with-250000-brexit-hole

    He claims his company employs 25 people and yet his own company returns show he only has 3 employees - including himself and his wife.
    I'm going to put my hand up and accept this guy is not a big player by any stretch and so let's disregard his pitch in the Graun.

    But, that aside...

    1. He's clearly not alone, Wyke Farms is not a one man and his dog company.
    https://www.foodmanufacture.co.uk/Article/2021/05/28/Brexit-red-tape-hampers-Wyke-Farms-despite-export-success

    2. I'm still waiting to hear all the massive export success stories.
    Not disagreeing with you. I know loads of friends with tiny companies who are having problems. And loads of tiny companies start to add up both in terms of numbers/value and of opposition to Brexit if they all get the hump.

    But the issue as I said is implementation. Getting rid of Johnson won't make it all rosy overnight but until he is gone we can do nothing to start to make Brexit work as it should.
    What a laughable idea. If it was not for Boris leading the Leave campaign in 2016 rather than Farage or Gove, Remain would likely have narrowly won. If it was not for Boris winning a landslide in 2019 Brexit would never have got through Parliament.

    As for whinging about 'making Brexit work as it should', the UK is now out of the EU, out of the single market and out of the customs union. It is no longer subject to the ECJ, no longer pays large sums to the EU, is out of the CFP, has replaced free movement with a points system and does its own trade deals.

    The likeliest replacement for Boris would likely be Starmer who would probably take the UK back into the customs union so no more trade deals and align more closely to single market regulations again
    You never cease to amaze me with the depths of your ignorance. Matched only by your arrogance and fascist tendencies.

    Starmer cannot take us back into the Customs Union. It is not in his purview to do so even should he want to. Membership of the Customs Union is dependent on membership of the EU. No non EU member can be a member of the Customs Union (bar a single microstate - Monaco). Indeed even if the EU wanted us as a member of the Customs Union they could not achieve that without rewriting the basic EU treaties.

    If you do want to comment on such matters without looking a complete moron you might try actually learning the basics in the first place.
    Wow, that's harsh. But fair.
    I will admit that HYUFD brings out the worst in me. I can accept we may differ on basic political matters just as I do with many other PB regulars who I otherwise get along with extremely well. But almost uniquely on here I consider him to be what I would refer to as a 'bad' person. His willingness to support and advocate the use of force and violence against people he differs with politically puts him beyond the pale for me. Even if he is not entirely serious, his advocacy for such action makes him someone I believe worthy of utter contempt. It all goes back to the Spanish Grandmothers originally but that has set the tone for his more recent pronouncements and my responses.
    Do I care? No, if Nationalists rioted and tried and declare UDI or hold an indyref without UK government consent the full force of the state would need to be used to stop them.

    Anything else would be weak. Catalonia remains in Spain after Madrid took tough action to stop the Catalan separatists trying to break off in 2017
    Thanks. It is nice to have my impressions reinforced. I am content with my fascist label for you. I think almost uniquely on PB as well.
    I vote not guilty. On Umberto Eco's "definition" of fascism, I score HYUFD as 4/14, which is far below the level I would expect for the charge to stick

    "The Cult of Tradition" - no. HYUFD is obsessed with aspects of the past, but has not revealed a reflexive rejection of new learning.
    "The Rejection of modernism" - probably not. HYUFD has been much less vocal about post-Enlightenment philosophy than many others, and sits on the mildly conservative part of that spectrum
    "The Cult of Action for Action's Sake" - no. HYUFD is often vocally in favour of inaction.
    "Disagreement Is Treason" - yes, this typifies a lot of HYUFD's madder output
    "Fear of Difference" - no
    "Appeal to a Frustrated Middle Class" - sometimes, but not unusually so
    "Obsession with a Plot" - occasionally. HYUFD sees treason much more readily than others.
    Enemies as "at the same time too strong and too weak." - no
    "Pacifism is Trafficking with the Enemy" - partially. HYUFD often plugs into tropes about internal and external treason.
    "Contempt for the Weak" - no, I think HYUFD tends to be fairly ignorant and uncaring about the weak, but doesn't go out of his way to look down on them.
    "Everybody is Educated to Become a Hero" - falls short. Militarist fantasies are not sufficient for this charge to stick.
    "Machismo" - partial. HYUFD strikes me as clearly sexist, but I haven't seen any homophobia.
    "Selective Populism" - definitely, but there's a lot of it about
    "Newspeak" - not really. The frequent abuse of statistics and deliberate logical evasions are not the same as deliberately impoverishing the language to prevent rational discourse.
    Whilst I understand and appreciate the response, I would suggest the fact that you had to qualify your 'noes' for so many of those means he is far closer to the line than you might give him credit for.
  • stodge said:

    xxxxx5 said:

    I live in a red wall seat and Labour offer me nothing. Correct Horse Battery was simply on another planet saying New Labour did more for people like me between 1997 and 2010 really? Free movement reducing wages in return for more sure start buildings the hall mark of New Labour between 1997 and 2010. What is Starmers offer? Vote Labour get more free movement?

    We heard this from someone else on here yesterday.

    I'm clear what you don't want but what DO you want? A freeze on all immigration - the forced repatriation of EU citizens within the UK?

    As a Londoner, I don't pretend to understand "the red wall" though my Borough (Newham) is solid Labour. For what kind of political/financial settlement are you looking?
    Hi @stodge, hope you are keeping well.

    What I was alluding to yesterday was around why we need to constantly put London against the rest of the country? There is immense poverty in parts of London, people there need/want levelling up, just as the North needs it too.

    I just don't like the idea a working class person in London isn't actually a working class person, that they're somehow actually part of the metropolitan elite and worthy of ridicule.
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,375
    edited December 2021
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Not to turn this into a love-in with @HYUFD but at least he doesn't pretend to not be anything other than a Tory unlike some others who seem to spend their whole time trying to pretend they're not, or that they're just about to quit the party for the third time this week...

    Anyway, I just thought @HYUFD deserved some support, I really wish people would stop jumping on him. We don't hear a lot about him beyond his political POV (something which I respect) but there is somebody behind that keyboard and it can't be easy to have sometimes a lot of abuse coming your way.

    I'm leaving this topic to one side, I have a delicious bolognese that is on the menu for this evening

    Thanks, of course your first paragraph certainly does not apply to BigG at all, no connection whatsoever....
    It cannot apply to me as I have already quit the party and demanded from my mp that he seeks the replacement of Boris
    If I got a pound for the amount of times you have said you have quit the party and will not vote for it again, then come back and done so, I would be a millionaire
    If I got a pound for every time you remind us that the Scottish referendum in 2014 was a 'once in a generation' vote, I would be a multi-millionaire! :)
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 4,839

    TimT said:

    179,807 new confirmed cases in France (previous record 104,611). Given that their testing rates are lower than ours, that's a hell of a lot. Let's hope their booster rollout has been enough to limit the fallout, but I fear they are in for a rough time. Some other European countries will be even worse, of course.

    If your French is up to it, this long thread from a French emergency-care doctor is quite something:

    https://twitter.com/JulieOudet/status/1475197820747628548

    Didn't read it all, but powerful stuff. Ends with a "j'accuse" moment
    That is a shockingly high number.

    Anyone in France on here at the moment? Interesting they decided to ban Brits..
    To be fair, it's only turned out to have the same effect as when we raised travel barriers against Southern Africa. Useless something-must-be-done-ism.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,373

    ydoethur said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Not to turn this into a love-in with @HYUFD but at least he doesn't pretend to not be anything other than a Tory unlike some others who seem to spend their whole time trying to pretend they're not, or that they're just about to quit the party for the third time this week...

    Anyway, I just thought @HYUFD deserved some support, I really wish people would stop jumping on him. We don't hear a lot about him beyond his political POV (something which I respect) but there is somebody behind that keyboard and it can't be easy to have sometimes a lot of abuse coming your way.

    I'm leaving this topic to one side, I have a delicious bolognese that is on the menu for this evening

    Thanks, of course your first paragraph certainly does not apply to BigG at all, no connection whatsoever....
    It cannot apply to me as I have already quit the party and demanded from my mp that he seeks the replacement of Boris
    If I got a pound for the amount of times you have said you have quit the party and will not vote for it again, then come back and done so, I would be a millionaire
    And then you'd almost be able to pay for your own tank force...
    Getting a Covenanter to run to the end of the road is an expensive proposition...
    I did say 'almost'!
  • TimSTimS Posts: 12,986
    Of course full Brexit properly gets done this coming 1 January with the removal of most transitional easements on imports into the country. It’ll be interesting to see what it does to inflation.

    My expectation is that the world won’t end and, to paraphrase a famous young Brexit fan, nobody will starve to death, but look out for a fair bit of grumbling from businesses and some cost rises flowing from the added bureaucracy. It’s all very much not with a bang but a whimper - the essence of our particular version of Brexit.
  • TimT said:

    179,807 new confirmed cases in France (previous record 104,611). Given that their testing rates are lower than ours, that's a hell of a lot. Let's hope their booster rollout has been enough to limit the fallout, but I fear they are in for a rough time. Some other European countries will be even worse, of course.

    If your French is up to it, this long thread from a French emergency-care doctor is quite something:

    https://twitter.com/JulieOudet/status/1475197820747628548

    Didn't read it all, but powerful stuff. Ends with a "j'accuse" moment
    That is a shockingly high number.

    Anyone in France on here at the moment? Interesting they decided to ban Brits..
    Worth noting that the figure is probably inflated with some delayed tests because of bank holidays.

    Hospital admissions now beginning to rise as well, thought to be as a result of Omicrom spreading into the over-40s (as in the UK, the initial surge in infections was more amongst youngsters).

    More detail here (in French, but not difficult):

    https://twitter.com/GuillaumeRozier/status/1475901046346113033
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,249

    TimT said:

    179,807 new confirmed cases in France (previous record 104,611). Given that their testing rates are lower than ours, that's a hell of a lot. Let's hope their booster rollout has been enough to limit the fallout, but I fear they are in for a rough time. Some other European countries will be even worse, of course.

    If your French is up to it, this long thread from a French emergency-care doctor is quite something:

    https://twitter.com/JulieOudet/status/1475197820747628548

    Didn't read it all, but powerful stuff. Ends with a "j'accuse" moment
    That is a shockingly high number.

    Anyone in France on here at the moment? Interesting they decided to ban Brits..
    It's a election year in France. Hating on the Roast Beefs is in season.

    The Macroon has lost the plot - first he tried to be more nationalist than the National Ramblers (deadname The Petain Memorial Tribute Band), now he is looking at sharing the second round with a non-fascist.

    Expect more funky fun....
  • Not to turn this into a love-in with @HYUFD but at least he doesn't pretend to not be anything other than a Tory unlike some others who seem to spend their whole time trying to pretend they're not, or that they're just about to quit the party for the third time this week...

    Anyway, I just thought @HYUFD deserved some support, I really wish people would stop jumping on him. We don't hear a lot about him beyond his political POV (something which I respect) but there is somebody behind that keyboard and it can't be easy to have sometimes a lot of abuse coming your way.

    I'm leaving this topic to one side, I have a delicious bolognese that is on the menu for this evening

    Yes, I have more respect for the consistent tribalism of HYUFD TBH than the behaviour of a lot of other PB commentators. I find his loyalty to Johnson/the Tories quite admirable in a funny way TBH. He is taking the rough with the smooth. I find a lot of so called centre/centre right commentators on Politicalbetting rather hypocritical and irritating TBH.

    Most of his predictions/analysis since 2019 has been pretty reasonable on GB politics at least even he talks nonsense about some other countries like Germany.

  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Farooq said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    It's good to be able to choose meat with that extra added savour of ill treatment, right?


    Good to see all that Scottish Nationalist hate for our Aussie cousins.
    The Scottish Farmer is a Scottish Nationalist organ now?

    Good to see you blithely accepting that your bunch of dislikeable, untrustworthy weaklings are losing natural Tory voters at a rate of knots. Eventually there'll only be a battered head left mouthing 'tis but a flesh wound' and 'the don't knows are right behind us'.
    Farmers now have more markets to export to thanks to the new trade deals we have
    That you can post this with a straight face demonstrates how clueless you are. DOn't worry, you aren't alone. The lickspittle David Duguid keeps telling local farmers and fishermen how much better off they now are. As they know (a) they are worse off and (b) he is a prannock the seat is now chalked up as an SNP gain next time.

    You can say "more markets to export to" as much as you like. As it isn't true you *will* get caught out.
    Fishermen now out of CFP as promised
    Yes. And the purpose of leaving the CFP was....?

    Find out why CAP and CFP were unpopular and you'll discover what farmers and fishermen were hoping to achieve by leaving things like the CFP.

    I'll give you a clue. It isn't what you have given them. And patronising them by lines like "Fishermen now out of CFP as promised" will just make them more determined to vote you out of office.
    Fishermen have control of their own waters, as they voted for ie to get out of the CFP and EU
    Not so 'blessed are the cheesemakers' under Brexit, it seems:

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/dec/27/brexit-the-biggest-disaster-that-any-government-has-ever-negotiated

    I take what that specific individual says with a pound of salt. He is a long time anti-Brexit, anti-Tory ranter.

    That isn't to say Brexit hasn't placed extra barriers to exports like him, but he is first to be in the Graudian saying Brexit is absolutely the end of the world and the "Johnson Variant" is responsible. He is the Brexit equivalent of Zero Covid Pagel.
    Pick out the positives in this then...

    https://www.fwi.co.uk/business/markets-and-trends/how-uk-trade-has-fared-since-withdrawal-from-the-eu
    As the article says there are lots of factors, and as I said that isn't to say Brexit hasn't placed extra barriers. You know I own a business in the EU right?

    My point is that bloke is a billy bullshitter, but the Guardian swallow his claims regardless. He has this micro cheese business that has been going for 5+ years, but all of a sudden Brexit has costs his massive amounts of money. He is hardly flogging any cheese in the UK, such that it has 1 employee, but we are supposed to believe he is being inundated right after Brexit with all these massive orders that that damn Brexit has stopped him.
    I must admit it is quite fun doing a bit of research and picking out the bullshit from these stories. This is not the first time the Guardian has featured this particular gentleman. Back in January he was splashed all over the paper making complaints.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/jan/23/cheshire-cheesemaker-says-business-left-with-250000-brexit-hole

    He claims his company employs 25 people and yet his own company returns show he only has 3 employees - including himself and his wife.
    I'm going to put my hand up and accept this guy is not a big player by any stretch and so let's disregard his pitch in the Graun.

    But, that aside...

    1. He's clearly not alone, Wyke Farms is not a one man and his dog company.
    https://www.foodmanufacture.co.uk/Article/2021/05/28/Brexit-red-tape-hampers-Wyke-Farms-despite-export-success

    2. I'm still waiting to hear all the massive export success stories.
    Not disagreeing with you. I know loads of friends with tiny companies who are having problems. And loads of tiny companies start to add up both in terms of numbers/value and of opposition to Brexit if they all get the hump.

    But the issue as I said is implementation. Getting rid of Johnson won't make it all rosy overnight but until he is gone we can do nothing to start to make Brexit work as it should.
    What a laughable idea. If it was not for Boris leading the Leave campaign in 2016 rather than Farage or Gove, Remain would likely have narrowly won. If it was not for Boris winning a landslide in 2019 Brexit would never have got through Parliament.

    As for whinging about 'making Brexit work as it should', the UK is now out of the EU, out of the single market and out of the customs union. It is no longer subject to the ECJ, no longer pays large sums to the EU, is out of the CFP, has replaced free movement with a points system and does its own trade deals.

    The likeliest replacement for Boris would likely be Starmer who would probably take the UK back into the customs union so no more trade deals and align more closely to single market regulations again
    You never cease to amaze me with the depths of your ignorance. Matched only by your arrogance and fascist tendencies.

    Starmer cannot take us back into the Customs Union. It is not in his purview to do so even should he want to. Membership of the Customs Union is dependent on membership of the EU. No non EU member can be a member of the Customs Union (bar a single microstate - Monaco). Indeed even if the EU wanted us as a member of the Customs Union they could not achieve that without rewriting the basic EU treaties.

    If you do want to comment on such matters without looking a complete moron you might try actually learning the basics in the first place.
    Wow, that's harsh. But fair.
    I will admit that HYUFD brings out the worst in me. I can accept we may differ on basic political matters just as I do with many other PB regulars who I otherwise get along with extremely well. But almost uniquely on here I consider him to be what I would refer to as a 'bad' person. His willingness to support and advocate the use of force and violence against people he differs with politically puts him beyond the pale for me. Even if he is not entirely serious, his advocacy for such action makes him someone I believe worthy of utter contempt. It all goes back to the Spanish Grandmothers originally but that has set the tone for his more recent pronouncements and my responses.
    Do I care? No, if Nationalists rioted and tried and declare UDI or hold an indyref without UK government consent the full force of the state would need to be used to stop them.

    Anything else would be weak. Catalonia remains in Spain after Madrid took tough action to stop the Catalan separatists trying to break off in 2017
    Thanks. It is nice to have my impressions reinforced. I am content with my fascist label for you. I think almost uniquely on PB as well.
    I vote not guilty. On Umberto Eco's "definition" of fascism, I score HYUFD as 4/14, which is far below the level I would expect for the charge to stick

    "The Cult of Tradition" - no. HYUFD is obsessed with aspects of the past, but has not revealed a reflexive rejection of new learning.
    "The Rejection of modernism" - probably not. HYUFD has been much less vocal about post-Enlightenment philosophy than many others, and sits on the mildly conservative part of that spectrum
    "The Cult of Action for Action's Sake" - no. HYUFD is often vocally in favour of inaction.
    "Disagreement Is Treason" - yes, this typifies a lot of HYUFD's madder output
    "Fear of Difference" - no
    "Appeal to a Frustrated Middle Class" - sometimes, but not unusually so
    "Obsession with a Plot" - occasionally. HYUFD sees treason much more readily than others.
    Enemies as "at the same time too strong and too weak." - no
    "Pacifism is Trafficking with the Enemy" - partially. HYUFD often plugs into tropes about internal and external treason.
    "Contempt for the Weak" - no, I think HYUFD tends to be fairly ignorant and uncaring about the weak, but doesn't go out of his way to look down on them.
    "Everybody is Educated to Become a Hero" - falls short. Militarist fantasies are not sufficient for this charge to stick.
    "Machismo" - partial. HYUFD strikes me as clearly sexist, but I haven't seen any homophobia.
    "Selective Populism" - definitely, but there's a lot of it about
    "Newspeak" - not really. The frequent abuse of statistics and deliberate logical evasions are not the same as deliberately impoverishing the language to prevent rational discourse.
    Those are attributes of a fascist system and its leaders, not of an individual fascist. No fascist movement would ever have got off the ground if the rank and file adherents had to be capable of entertaining a minimum of 14 abstract beliefs.
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,376

    xxxxx5 said:

    I live in a red wall seat and Labour offer me nothing. Correct Horse Battery was simply on another planet saying New Labour did more for people like me between 1997 and 2010 really? Free movement reducing wages in return for more sure start buildings the hall mark of New Labour between 1997 and 2010. What is Starmers offer? Vote Labour get more free movement?

    What do the Tories offer other than more broken levelling up promises?
    What a stupid counterpoint. Typical of the labour mentality that the red wall needs to return home. Labour need to offer something. Not being the Tories isn’t enough. Labour need to enthuse people to vote for them and, as @RochdalePioneers said a few threads back, people may just choose not to bother.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 12,986

    TimT said:

    179,807 new confirmed cases in France (previous record 104,611). Given that their testing rates are lower than ours, that's a hell of a lot. Let's hope their booster rollout has been enough to limit the fallout, but I fear they are in for a rough time. Some other European countries will be even worse, of course.

    If your French is up to it, this long thread from a French emergency-care doctor is quite something:

    https://twitter.com/JulieOudet/status/1475197820747628548

    Didn't read it all, but powerful stuff. Ends with a "j'accuse" moment
    That is a shockingly high number.

    Anyone in France on here at the moment? Interesting they decided to ban Brits..
    Worth noting that the figure is probably inflated with some delayed tests because of bank holidays.

    Hospital admissions now beginning to rise as well, thought to be as a result of Omicrom spreading into the over-40s (as in the UK, the initial surge in infections was more amongst youngsters).

    More detail here (in French, but not difficult):

    https://twitter.com/GuillaumeRozier/status/1475901046346113033
    Meanwhile like clockwork another near 1,000 daily deaths recorded in Russia. They’ve now lost over 300k people officially and will soon overtake the UK for deaths per million. The excess deaths number is much higher. This is likely to be predominantly Delta still. If ever there were a country - under-vaccinated as it is - that needs to welcome Omicron as a potential saviour it’s Russia.
  • Not to turn this into a love-in with @HYUFD but at least he doesn't pretend to not be anything other than a Tory unlike some others who seem to spend their whole time trying to pretend they're not, or that they're just about to quit the party for the third time this week...

    Anyway, I just thought @HYUFD deserved some support, I really wish people would stop jumping on him. We don't hear a lot about him beyond his political POV (something which I respect) but there is somebody behind that keyboard and it can't be easy to have sometimes a lot of abuse coming your way.

    I'm leaving this topic to one side, I have a delicious bolognese that is on the menu for this evening

    Yes, I have more respect for the consistent tribalism of HYUFD TBH than the behaviour of a lot of other PB commentators. I find his loyalty to Johnson/the Tories quite admirable in a funny way TBH. He is taking the rough with the smooth. I find a lot of so called centre/centre right commentators on Politicalbetting rather hypocritical and irritating TBH.

    Most of his predictions/analysis since 2019 has been pretty reasonable on GB politics at least even he talks nonsense about some other countries like Germany.

    Hi Gary, hope you are keeping well.

    HYUFD is one of the few people here to not have underestimated Starmer from the day he was elected. That has to mean something.
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 4,839
    edited December 2021
    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,376
    edited December 2021

    xxxxx5 said:

    I live in a red wall seat and Labour offer me nothing. Correct Horse Battery was simply on another planet saying New Labour did more for people like me between 1997 and 2010 really? Free movement reducing wages in return for more sure start buildings the hall mark of New Labour between 1997 and 2010. What is Starmers offer? Vote Labour get more free movement?

    Hello, I hope you are well.

    May I ask what the Tories have done for you since 2010 in that case? I was only referring to the statistics and evidence, that say New Labour did more levelling up than the Tories have managed.

    What do you want? FOM is over now.
    But their point is right, what do labour offer us in the red wall. Not being the Tories isn’t enough. I have voted labour in general elections all my life but, even though I like my MP, I have no inclination to vote for a Labour Party I think has little more than disdain for communities like mine.

    Under new labour manufacturing employment tumbled. Well paid jobs were replaced. New labour did little for our communities. We lose a manufacturing facility with well paid jobs but gain a sure start centre. Big deal. You can claim all you want new labour levelled us up. The reality is that is certainly not felt. Look at economic growth and house price growth in the south east and London and compare it to the north east in the period of new labour.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 8,647
    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    Chester is in big trouble!
  • Taz said:

    xxxxx5 said:

    I live in a red wall seat and Labour offer me nothing. Correct Horse Battery was simply on another planet saying New Labour did more for people like me between 1997 and 2010 really? Free movement reducing wages in return for more sure start buildings the hall mark of New Labour between 1997 and 2010. What is Starmers offer? Vote Labour get more free movement?

    Hello, I hope you are well.

    May I ask what the Tories have done for you since 2010 in that case? I was only referring to the statistics and evidence, that say New Labour did more levelling up than the Tories have managed.

    What do you want? FOM is over now.
    But their point is right, what do labour offer us in the red wall. Not being the Tories isn’t enough. I have voted labour in general elections all my life but, even though I like my MP, I have no inclination to vote for a Labour Party I think has little more than disdain for communities like mine.

    Under new labour manufacturing employment tumbled. Well paid jobs were replaced. New labour did little for our communities. We lose a manufacturing facility with well paid jobs but gain a sure start centre. Big deal.
    And I asked, what would you like Labour/whoever to do now? They don't like FOM but FOM is over now and Labour don't support it anymore. You won that argument.
  • Eabhal said:

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    Chester is in big trouble!
    And Bristol.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 12,986
    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    I was going to say it must be boom time for Marilyn’s and the Crystal Rooms, but I see Hereford’s nightclubs have moved on (or at least renamed themselves) since the 1990s.
  • darkagedarkage Posts: 5,398
    WRT to the 'red wall'; there seems to have been some kind of subtle realisation amongst the conservative party that its base will always be in the affluent south, and the votes of the red wall are just on loan to provide it with its parliamentary majority. This came around the time of the Chesham and Amersham by election.

    For a long time in the run up to this people like Matt Godwin were saying that the tories could have a generation in power and permanently destroy the labour party by embracing the reallignment and 'leaning in' to the red wall. But there was a change of heart which can only really be explained by the idea that the interests of voters in the red wall are fundamentally at odds with the Conservative Party and the people that comprise it.

    So, by sidelining the red wall and its levelling up agenda, as it appears to have done, the conservative party may have effectively saved the labour party, enabling it to build an alternative coalition between parts of the red wall and urban constituencies across the south. With little indication of change in Scotland, it seems unlikely that anyone will be able to build up a parliamentary majority again in the foreseeable future.

  • TazTaz Posts: 14,376

    Taz said:

    xxxxx5 said:

    I live in a red wall seat and Labour offer me nothing. Correct Horse Battery was simply on another planet saying New Labour did more for people like me between 1997 and 2010 really? Free movement reducing wages in return for more sure start buildings the hall mark of New Labour between 1997 and 2010. What is Starmers offer? Vote Labour get more free movement?

    Hello, I hope you are well.

    May I ask what the Tories have done for you since 2010 in that case? I was only referring to the statistics and evidence, that say New Labour did more levelling up than the Tories have managed.

    What do you want? FOM is over now.
    But their point is right, what do labour offer us in the red wall. Not being the Tories isn’t enough. I have voted labour in general elections all my life but, even though I like my MP, I have no inclination to vote for a Labour Party I think has little more than disdain for communities like mine.

    Under new labour manufacturing employment tumbled. Well paid jobs were replaced. New labour did little for our communities. We lose a manufacturing facility with well paid jobs but gain a sure start centre. Big deal.
    And I asked, what would you like Labour/whoever to do now? They don't like FOM but FOM is over now and Labour don't support it anymore. You won that argument.
    For me something akin to what @NickPalmer siggested a few threads back.
  • Taz said:

    Taz said:

    xxxxx5 said:

    I live in a red wall seat and Labour offer me nothing. Correct Horse Battery was simply on another planet saying New Labour did more for people like me between 1997 and 2010 really? Free movement reducing wages in return for more sure start buildings the hall mark of New Labour between 1997 and 2010. What is Starmers offer? Vote Labour get more free movement?

    Hello, I hope you are well.

    May I ask what the Tories have done for you since 2010 in that case? I was only referring to the statistics and evidence, that say New Labour did more levelling up than the Tories have managed.

    What do you want? FOM is over now.
    But their point is right, what do labour offer us in the red wall. Not being the Tories isn’t enough. I have voted labour in general elections all my life but, even though I like my MP, I have no inclination to vote for a Labour Party I think has little more than disdain for communities like mine.

    Under new labour manufacturing employment tumbled. Well paid jobs were replaced. New labour did little for our communities. We lose a manufacturing facility with well paid jobs but gain a sure start centre. Big deal.
    And I asked, what would you like Labour/whoever to do now? They don't like FOM but FOM is over now and Labour don't support it anymore. You won that argument.
    For me something akin to what @NickPalmer siggested a few threads back.
    I missed that - but I will have a look now. Thanks.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Not to turn this into a love-in with @HYUFD but at least he doesn't pretend to not be anything other than a Tory unlike some others who seem to spend their whole time trying to pretend they're not, or that they're just about to quit the party for the third time this week...

    Anyway, I just thought @HYUFD deserved some support, I really wish people would stop jumping on him. We don't hear a lot about him beyond his political POV (something which I respect) but there is somebody behind that keyboard and it can't be easy to have sometimes a lot of abuse coming your way.

    I'm leaving this topic to one side, I have a delicious bolognese that is on the menu for this evening

    Yes, I have more respect for the consistent tribalism of HYUFD TBH than the behaviour of a lot of other PB commentators. I find his loyalty to Johnson/the Tories quite admirable in a funny way TBH. He is taking the rough with the smooth. I find a lot of so called centre/centre right commentators on Politicalbetting rather hypocritical and irritating TBH.

    Most of his predictions/analysis since 2019 has been pretty reasonable on GB politics at least even he talks nonsense about some other countries like Germany.

    Hi Gary, hope you are keeping well.

    HYUFD is one of the few people here to not have underestimated Starmer from the day he was elected. That has to mean something.
    Underestimated Starmer? Are you selling some sort of story that Boris has fallen into SKS's cunning trap? All Starmer has done is maintain a constant position at 87 in the charts, while Johnson has plummeted from No 1 to no 100. He had one good PMQ and that's it.
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,376

    Taz said:

    xxxxx5 said:

    I live in a red wall seat and Labour offer me nothing. Correct Horse Battery was simply on another planet saying New Labour did more for people like me between 1997 and 2010 really? Free movement reducing wages in return for more sure start buildings the hall mark of New Labour between 1997 and 2010. What is Starmers offer? Vote Labour get more free movement?

    Hello, I hope you are well.

    May I ask what the Tories have done for you since 2010 in that case? I was only referring to the statistics and evidence, that say New Labour did more levelling up than the Tories have managed.

    What do you want? FOM is over now.
    But their point is right, what do labour offer us in the red wall. Not being the Tories isn’t enough. I have voted labour in general elections all my life but, even though I like my MP, I have no inclination to vote for a Labour Party I think has little more than disdain for communities like mine.

    Under new labour manufacturing employment tumbled. Well paid jobs were replaced. New labour did little for our communities. We lose a manufacturing facility with well paid jobs but gain a sure start centre. Big deal.
    And I asked, what would you like Labour/whoever to do now? They don't like FOM but FOM is over now and Labour don't support it anymore. You won that argument.
    I also want labour to give a fuck about our communities. Care about what we want and care about helping develop our economies. It would be great if young people in the north east felt they had opportunities and stayed rather than moving south as there is little here for them.
  • IshmaelZ said:

    Not to turn this into a love-in with @HYUFD but at least he doesn't pretend to not be anything other than a Tory unlike some others who seem to spend their whole time trying to pretend they're not, or that they're just about to quit the party for the third time this week...

    Anyway, I just thought @HYUFD deserved some support, I really wish people would stop jumping on him. We don't hear a lot about him beyond his political POV (something which I respect) but there is somebody behind that keyboard and it can't be easy to have sometimes a lot of abuse coming your way.

    I'm leaving this topic to one side, I have a delicious bolognese that is on the menu for this evening

    Yes, I have more respect for the consistent tribalism of HYUFD TBH than the behaviour of a lot of other PB commentators. I find his loyalty to Johnson/the Tories quite admirable in a funny way TBH. He is taking the rough with the smooth. I find a lot of so called centre/centre right commentators on Politicalbetting rather hypocritical and irritating TBH.

    Most of his predictions/analysis since 2019 has been pretty reasonable on GB politics at least even he talks nonsense about some other countries like Germany.

    Hi Gary, hope you are keeping well.

    HYUFD is one of the few people here to not have underestimated Starmer from the day he was elected. That has to mean something.
    Underestimated Starmer? Are you selling some sort of story that Boris has fallen into SKS's cunning trap? All Starmer has done is maintain a constant position at 87 in the charts, while Johnson has plummeted from No 1 to no 100. He had one good PMQ and that's it.
    I think Starmer is the perfect leader to counter Boris Johnson if he becomes unpopular, which is what I said when Starmer was elected. I don't know if that was @HYUFD's analysis too.

    If Johnson goes, all bets are off. But I am not sure Johnson will go. Major never did
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,376

    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    xxxxx5 said:

    I live in a red wall seat and Labour offer me nothing. Correct Horse Battery was simply on another planet saying New Labour did more for people like me between 1997 and 2010 really? Free movement reducing wages in return for more sure start buildings the hall mark of New Labour between 1997 and 2010. What is Starmers offer? Vote Labour get more free movement?

    Hello, I hope you are well.

    May I ask what the Tories have done for you since 2010 in that case? I was only referring to the statistics and evidence, that say New Labour did more levelling up than the Tories have managed.

    What do you want? FOM is over now.
    But their point is right, what do labour offer us in the red wall. Not being the Tories isn’t enough. I have voted labour in general elections all my life but, even though I like my MP, I have no inclination to vote for a Labour Party I think has little more than disdain for communities like mine.

    Under new labour manufacturing employment tumbled. Well paid jobs were replaced. New labour did little for our communities. We lose a manufacturing facility with well paid jobs but gain a sure start centre. Big deal.
    And I asked, what would you like Labour/whoever to do now? They don't like FOM but FOM is over now and Labour don't support it anymore. You won that argument.
    For me something akin to what @NickPalmer siggested a few threads back.
    I missed that - but I will have a look now. Thanks.
    It’s worth looking up as it is quite radical and I appreciated nick taking the time to reply with a thoughtful post.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Eabhal said:

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    Chester is in big trouble!
    And Bristol.
    There is a gag somewhere about a medieval law stating that candidates for peerages had to be over 4'6" tall "to prevent the accidental ennoblement of Welshmen." Perhaps the Bristol nightclubs will update their admission criteria accordingly.
  • If you thought the footy was getting a bit silly with all the COVID cases ...

    PDC World Darts Championship: Michael van Gerwen withdraws from tournament because of Covid-19 - https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/darts/59812911

    That's the second player in 2 days who have been excluded from the tournament due to a positive covid test.

    We're in danger of the tournament falling apart now. Despite the alternate suggestion of "make them play and spread the virus to as many people as possible"
  • Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    What's wrong with Alexa getting children to electrocute themselves? Death is a part of life. It's Darwinism. We shouldn't sacrifice our freedoms just to save the lives of a few people that would have walked in front of a bus or fell down an open drain anyway.

    I think you are Lev Kamanev and I claim my £10.

    :smile:
    Fixed that for you
    This was a reference to a Daily Express competition of the 60s, seeking out a lookylikey carrying a copy of the Daily Expross in a particular inland resort btw, nothing sinister.

    :smile:
    I know, I got the reference ;)
    Was it the express? thought it was the Mirror.
    Leaving aside the Soviet part of the joke to concentrate on the newspaper competition. Lots of papers did it and it dates back to before the war, at least. It was the Mcguffin in Brighton Rock, for instance. The usual style on pb is "you are XXX AICMFP (and I claim my five pounds).
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,032
    edited December 2021
    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    No - the borders are open and many will cross into England


    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/ghost-towns-confused-customers-covid-22585510#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
  • xxxxx5 said:

    I live in a red wall seat and Labour offer me nothing. Correct Horse Battery was simply on another planet saying New Labour did more for people like me between 1997 and 2010 really? Free movement reducing wages in return for more sure start buildings the hall mark of New Labour between 1997 and 2010. What is Starmers offer? Vote Labour get more free movement?

    I assume that wages rose a tad. Poverty fell, schools and hospitals rebuilt etc etc. I know it wasn't enough but "nothing" just demonstrates that you are of the Don't Look Up mentality ignoring what is in front of you.
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,376
    darkage said:

    WRT to the 'red wall'; there seems to have been some kind of subtle realisation amongst the conservative party that its base will always be in the affluent south, and the votes of the red wall are just on loan to provide it with its parliamentary majority. This came around the time of the Chesham and Amersham by election.

    For a long time in the run up to this people like Matt Godwin were saying that the tories could have a generation in power and permanently destroy the labour party by embracing the reallignment and 'leaning in' to the red wall. But there was a change of heart which can only really be explained by the idea that the interests of voters in the red wall are fundamentally at odds with the Conservative Party and the people that comprise it.

    So, by sidelining the red wall and its levelling up agenda, as it appears to have done, the conservative party may have effectively saved the labour party, enabling it to build an alternative coalition between parts of the red wall and urban constituencies across the south. With little indication of change in Scotland, it seems unlikely that anyone will be able to build up a parliamentary majority again in the foreseeable future.

    If true this shows the Tories are not a one nation party.

    A gap for labour to fill.

    The moment the Tories turned their back on levelling up was the moment the red wall, which had been their staunchest supporters, turn against them
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    IshmaelZ said:

    Not to turn this into a love-in with @HYUFD but at least he doesn't pretend to not be anything other than a Tory unlike some others who seem to spend their whole time trying to pretend they're not, or that they're just about to quit the party for the third time this week...

    Anyway, I just thought @HYUFD deserved some support, I really wish people would stop jumping on him. We don't hear a lot about him beyond his political POV (something which I respect) but there is somebody behind that keyboard and it can't be easy to have sometimes a lot of abuse coming your way.

    I'm leaving this topic to one side, I have a delicious bolognese that is on the menu for this evening

    Yes, I have more respect for the consistent tribalism of HYUFD TBH than the behaviour of a lot of other PB commentators. I find his loyalty to Johnson/the Tories quite admirable in a funny way TBH. He is taking the rough with the smooth. I find a lot of so called centre/centre right commentators on Politicalbetting rather hypocritical and irritating TBH.

    Most of his predictions/analysis since 2019 has been pretty reasonable on GB politics at least even he talks nonsense about some other countries like Germany.

    Hi Gary, hope you are keeping well.

    HYUFD is one of the few people here to not have underestimated Starmer from the day he was elected. That has to mean something.
    Underestimated Starmer? Are you selling some sort of story that Boris has fallen into SKS's cunning trap? All Starmer has done is maintain a constant position at 87 in the charts, while Johnson has plummeted from No 1 to no 100. He had one good PMQ and that's it.
    I think Starmer is the perfect leader to counter Boris Johnson if he becomes unpopular, which is what I said when Starmer was elected. I don't know if that was @HYUFD's analysis too.

    If Johnson goes, all bets are off. But I am not sure Johnson will go. Major never did
    Of course he won't go. Have you ever been PM of a G7 country? Me neither, but I bet it's the most amazing fun, certainly compared to the after dinner speech treadmill and increased exposure to 'er indoors. But if Boris becomes unpopular (if!) you don't need to be the perfect leader anyway. Even the K**ts (well known popular musical beat combo) can see what the line to take is.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,153
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    It's good to be able to choose meat with that extra added savour of ill treatment, right?


    Good to see all that Scottish Nationalist hate for our Aussie cousins.
    The Scottish Farmer is a Scottish Nationalist organ now?

    Good to see you blithely accepting that your bunch of dislikeable, untrustworthy weaklings are losing natural Tory voters at a rate of knots. Eventually there'll only be a battered head left mouthing 'tis but a flesh wound' and 'the don't knows are right behind us'.
    Farmers now have more markets to export to thanks to the new trade deals we have
    That you can post this with a straight face demonstrates how clueless you are. DOn't worry, you aren't alone. The lickspittle David Duguid keeps telling local farmers and fishermen how much better off they now are. As they know (a) they are worse off and (b) he is a prannock the seat is now chalked up as an SNP gain next time.

    You can say "more markets to export to" as much as you like. As it isn't true you *will* get caught out.
    Fishermen now out of CFP as promised
    Yes. And the purpose of leaving the CFP was....?

    Find out why CAP and CFP were unpopular and you'll discover what farmers and fishermen were hoping to achieve by leaving things like the CFP.

    I'll give you a clue. It isn't what you have given them. And patronising them by lines like "Fishermen now out of CFP as promised" will just make them more determined to vote you out of office.
    Fishermen have control of their own waters, as they voted for ie to get out of the CFP and EU
    Not so 'blessed are the cheesemakers' under Brexit, it seems:

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/dec/27/brexit-the-biggest-disaster-that-any-government-has-ever-negotiated

    I take what that specific individual says with a pound of salt. He is a long time anti-Brexit, anti-Tory ranter.

    That isn't to say Brexit hasn't placed extra barriers to exports like him, but he is first to be in the Graudian saying Brexit is absolutely the end of the world and the "Johnson Variant" is responsible. He is the Brexit equivalent of Zero Covid Pagel.
    Pick out the positives in this then...

    https://www.fwi.co.uk/business/markets-and-trends/how-uk-trade-has-fared-since-withdrawal-from-the-eu
    As the article says there are lots of factors, and as I said that isn't to say Brexit hasn't placed extra barriers. You know I own a business in the EU right?

    My point is that bloke is a billy bullshitter, but the Guardian swallow his claims regardless. He has this micro cheese business that has been going for 5+ years, but all of a sudden Brexit has costs his massive amounts of money. He is hardly flogging any cheese in the UK, such that it has 1 employee, but we are supposed to believe he is being inundated right after Brexit with all these massive orders that that damn Brexit has stopped him.
    I must admit it is quite fun doing a bit of research and picking out the bullshit from these stories. This is not the first time the Guardian has featured this particular gentleman. Back in January he was splashed all over the paper making complaints.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/jan/23/cheshire-cheesemaker-says-business-left-with-250000-brexit-hole

    He claims his company employs 25 people and yet his own company returns show he only has 3 employees - including himself and his wife.
    I'm going to put my hand up and accept this guy is not a big player by any stretch and so let's disregard his pitch in the Graun.

    But, that aside...

    1. He's clearly not alone, Wyke Farms is not a one man and his dog company.
    https://www.foodmanufacture.co.uk/Article/2021/05/28/Brexit-red-tape-hampers-Wyke-Farms-despite-export-success

    2. I'm still waiting to hear all the massive export success stories.
    Not disagreeing with you. I know loads of friends with tiny companies who are having problems. And loads of tiny companies start to add up both in terms of numbers/value and of opposition to Brexit if they all get the hump.

    But the issue as I said is implementation. Getting rid of Johnson won't make it all rosy overnight but until he is gone we can do nothing to start to make Brexit work as it should.
    What a laughable idea. If it was not for Boris leading the Leave campaign in 2016 rather than Farage or Gove, Remain would likely have narrowly won. If it was not for Boris winning a landslide in 2019 Brexit would never have got through Parliament.

    As for whinging about 'making Brexit work as it should', the UK is now out of the EU, out of the single market and out of the customs union. It is no longer subject to the ECJ, no longer pays large sums to the EU, is out of the CFP, has replaced free movement with a points system and does its own trade deals.

    The likeliest replacement for Boris would likely be Starmer who would probably take the UK back into the customs union so no more trade deals and align more closely to single market regulations again
    You never cease to amaze me with the depths of your ignorance. Matched only by your arrogance and fascist tendencies.

    Starmer cannot take us back into the Customs Union. It is not in his purview to do so even should he want to. Membership of the Customs Union is dependent on membership of the EU. No non EU member can be a member of the Customs Union (bar a single microstate - Monaco). Indeed even if the EU wanted us as a member of the Customs Union they could not achieve that without rewriting the basic EU treaties.

    If you do want to comment on such matters without looking a complete moron you might try actually learning the basics in the first place.
    Wow, that's harsh. But fair.
    I will admit that HYUFD brings out the worst in me. I can accept we may differ on basic political matters just as I do with many other PB regulars who I otherwise get along with extremely well. But almost uniquely on here I consider him to be what I would refer to as a 'bad' person. His willingness to support and advocate the use of force and violence against people he differs with politically puts him beyond the pale for me. Even if he is not entirely serious, his advocacy for such action makes him someone I believe worthy of utter contempt. It all goes back to the Spanish Grandmothers originally but that has set the tone for his more recent pronouncements and my responses.
    Do I care? No, if Nationalists rioted and tried and declared UDI or held an indyref without UK government consent the full force of the state would need to be used to stop them.

    Anything else would be weak. Catalonia remains in Spain after Madrid took tough action to stop the Catalan separatists trying to break off in 2017.

    I may agree with you on a few things like grammar schools but otherwise in my view you are an extreme libertarian whose opinion of me does not bother me at all
    Just as a matter of interest, would it have been right for the British government to use "the full force of the state" to deter independence movements (via ample use of body bags) in the former Empire?

    And can you give me a couple of examples of where forcing people to remain part of a country has worked out well for either group?
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,368

    Eabhal said:

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    Chester is in big trouble!
    And Bristol.
    It's payback for when hoardes of shoppers from the South East of England turned up at McArthur Glen, Bridgend when Johnson locked England down after our Autumn 2020 firebreak had finished.
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,376

    xxxxx5 said:

    I live in a red wall seat and Labour offer me nothing. Correct Horse Battery was simply on another planet saying New Labour did more for people like me between 1997 and 2010 really? Free movement reducing wages in return for more sure start buildings the hall mark of New Labour between 1997 and 2010. What is Starmers offer? Vote Labour get more free movement?

    I assume that wages rose a tad. Poverty fell, schools and hospitals rebuilt etc etc. I know it wasn't enough but "nothing" just demonstrates that you are of the Don't Look Up mentality ignoring what is in front of you.
    Wages may have rose a tad and relative poverty may have fallen but in comparison to the south and London it was negligible. The gap accelerated. Hospitals and schools rebuilt. All PFI which we will be paying for years. It’s merely robbing Peter to pay Paul.
  • Taz said:

    xxxxx5 said:

    I live in a red wall seat and Labour offer me nothing. Correct Horse Battery was simply on another planet saying New Labour did more for people like me between 1997 and 2010 really? Free movement reducing wages in return for more sure start buildings the hall mark of New Labour between 1997 and 2010. What is Starmers offer? Vote Labour get more free movement?

    What do the Tories offer other than more broken levelling up promises?
    What a stupid counterpoint. Typical of the labour mentality that the red wall needs to return home. Labour need to offer something. Not being the Tories isn’t enough. Labour need to enthuse people to vote for them and, as @RochdalePioneers said a few threads back, people may just choose not to bother.
    Part of Labour's challenge is getting people to recognise what positive change looks like. Many many people like @xxxxx5 say "Labour did nothing for me" despite a lot being done. Ed Milliband trashing the party's reputation really didn't help.

    By the next election the need for delivery will be critical. Generations of Labour MPs / councils did nothing. Brexit and Boris have done nothing. People need something - and the risk is that they listen to an even more extreme voice offering more extreme solutions. Or if that isn't available, simply don't vote at all.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Taz said:

    darkage said:

    WRT to the 'red wall'; there seems to have been some kind of subtle realisation amongst the conservative party that its base will always be in the affluent south, and the votes of the red wall are just on loan to provide it with its parliamentary majority. This came around the time of the Chesham and Amersham by election.

    For a long time in the run up to this people like Matt Godwin were saying that the tories could have a generation in power and permanently destroy the labour party by embracing the reallignment and 'leaning in' to the red wall. But there was a change of heart which can only really be explained by the idea that the interests of voters in the red wall are fundamentally at odds with the Conservative Party and the people that comprise it.

    So, by sidelining the red wall and its levelling up agenda, as it appears to have done, the conservative party may have effectively saved the labour party, enabling it to build an alternative coalition between parts of the red wall and urban constituencies across the south. With little indication of change in Scotland, it seems unlikely that anyone will be able to build up a parliamentary majority again in the foreseeable future.

    If true this shows the Tories are not a one nation party.

    A gap for labour to fill.

    The moment the Tories turned their back on levelling up was the moment the red wall, which had been their staunchest supporters, turn against them
    What? How do you get "staunchest supporters" from "never elected a tory in their lives, their parents' or grandparents' or ggps' lives," and how do you tie the turn to levelling up rather than lockdown parties or wallpaper or Paterson?
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 4,839

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    No - the borders are open and many will cross into England

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/ghost-towns-confused-customers-covid-22585510#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
    Interesting if true. It's not in keeping with the Welsh authorities' previous behaviour, although I spy an ulterior motive.

    Looking at the most recent 7-day case rates by specimen date, Wales's case rate is almost as bad as England's and is actually climbing more rapidly at the moment. Should the progress of the virus continues in this fashion, I wonder how long it'll take somebody from the Welsh Government to blame it on cross-border contagion - rather than being forced to concede the possibility that the extra restrictions they've chosen to impose might have been useless...?
  • Taz said:

    xxxxx5 said:

    I live in a red wall seat and Labour offer me nothing. Correct Horse Battery was simply on another planet saying New Labour did more for people like me between 1997 and 2010 really? Free movement reducing wages in return for more sure start buildings the hall mark of New Labour between 1997 and 2010. What is Starmers offer? Vote Labour get more free movement?

    I assume that wages rose a tad. Poverty fell, schools and hospitals rebuilt etc etc. I know it wasn't enough but "nothing" just demonstrates that you are of the Don't Look Up mentality ignoring what is in front of you.
    Wages may have rose a tad and relative poverty may have fallen but in comparison to the south and London it was negligible. The gap accelerated. Hospitals and schools rebuilt. All PFI which we will be paying for years. It’s merely robbing Peter to pay Paul.
    Wages grew a lot - the days of £2.20 an hour are the past. Absolute grinding poverty fell away. And the hospitals and schools that were literally crumbling away needed replacing - its not as if borrowing to do so was on the agenda. So what was the alternative?

    I do agree that the economy is heavily imbalanced to the SE. The problem is that nobody is offering a solution. The Tories are demonstrating that "levelling up" doesn't really extend beyond window dressing and a slogan. Brexit has made it worse not better for manufacturing. So what else is there?

    The sad reality is that in England there seems to be no idea - none at all - about how to fix the structural problems. As an advocate for federalism and regionalism I can see how it could be done, but neither option for government is interested so the decline will continue.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,373
    edited December 2021
    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    It's good to be able to choose meat with that extra added savour of ill treatment, right?


    Good to see all that Scottish Nationalist hate for our Aussie cousins.
    The Scottish Farmer is a Scottish Nationalist organ now?

    Good to see you blithely accepting that your bunch of dislikeable, untrustworthy weaklings are losing natural Tory voters at a rate of knots. Eventually there'll only be a battered head left mouthing 'tis but a flesh wound' and 'the don't knows are right behind us'.
    Farmers now have more markets to export to thanks to the new trade deals we have
    That you can post this with a straight face demonstrates how clueless you are. DOn't worry, you aren't alone. The lickspittle David Duguid keeps telling local farmers and fishermen how much better off they now are. As they know (a) they are worse off and (b) he is a prannock the seat is now chalked up as an SNP gain next time.

    You can say "more markets to export to" as much as you like. As it isn't true you *will* get caught out.
    Fishermen now out of CFP as promised
    Yes. And the purpose of leaving the CFP was....?

    Find out why CAP and CFP were unpopular and you'll discover what farmers and fishermen were hoping to achieve by leaving things like the CFP.

    I'll give you a clue. It isn't what you have given them. And patronising them by lines like "Fishermen now out of CFP as promised" will just make them more determined to vote you out of office.
    Fishermen have control of their own waters, as they voted for ie to get out of the CFP and EU
    Not so 'blessed are the cheesemakers' under Brexit, it seems:

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/dec/27/brexit-the-biggest-disaster-that-any-government-has-ever-negotiated

    I take what that specific individual says with a pound of salt. He is a long time anti-Brexit, anti-Tory ranter.

    That isn't to say Brexit hasn't placed extra barriers to exports like him, but he is first to be in the Graudian saying Brexit is absolutely the end of the world and the "Johnson Variant" is responsible. He is the Brexit equivalent of Zero Covid Pagel.
    Pick out the positives in this then...

    https://www.fwi.co.uk/business/markets-and-trends/how-uk-trade-has-fared-since-withdrawal-from-the-eu
    As the article says there are lots of factors, and as I said that isn't to say Brexit hasn't placed extra barriers. You know I own a business in the EU right?

    My point is that bloke is a billy bullshitter, but the Guardian swallow his claims regardless. He has this micro cheese business that has been going for 5+ years, but all of a sudden Brexit has costs his massive amounts of money. He is hardly flogging any cheese in the UK, such that it has 1 employee, but we are supposed to believe he is being inundated right after Brexit with all these massive orders that that damn Brexit has stopped him.
    I must admit it is quite fun doing a bit of research and picking out the bullshit from these stories. This is not the first time the Guardian has featured this particular gentleman. Back in January he was splashed all over the paper making complaints.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/jan/23/cheshire-cheesemaker-says-business-left-with-250000-brexit-hole

    He claims his company employs 25 people and yet his own company returns show he only has 3 employees - including himself and his wife.
    I'm going to put my hand up and accept this guy is not a big player by any stretch and so let's disregard his pitch in the Graun.

    But, that aside...

    1. He's clearly not alone, Wyke Farms is not a one man and his dog company.
    https://www.foodmanufacture.co.uk/Article/2021/05/28/Brexit-red-tape-hampers-Wyke-Farms-despite-export-success

    2. I'm still waiting to hear all the massive export success stories.
    Not disagreeing with you. I know loads of friends with tiny companies who are having problems. And loads of tiny companies start to add up both in terms of numbers/value and of opposition to Brexit if they all get the hump.

    But the issue as I said is implementation. Getting rid of Johnson won't make it all rosy overnight but until he is gone we can do nothing to start to make Brexit work as it should.
    What a laughable idea. If it was not for Boris leading the Leave campaign in 2016 rather than Farage or Gove, Remain would likely have narrowly won. If it was not for Boris winning a landslide in 2019 Brexit would never have got through Parliament.

    As for whinging about 'making Brexit work as it should', the UK is now out of the EU, out of the single market and out of the customs union. It is no longer subject to the ECJ, no longer pays large sums to the EU, is out of the CFP, has replaced free movement with a points system and does its own trade deals.

    The likeliest replacement for Boris would likely be Starmer who would probably take the UK back into the customs union so no more trade deals and align more closely to single market regulations again
    You never cease to amaze me with the depths of your ignorance. Matched only by your arrogance and fascist tendencies.

    Starmer cannot take us back into the Customs Union. It is not in his purview to do so even should he want to. Membership of the Customs Union is dependent on membership of the EU. No non EU member can be a member of the Customs Union (bar a single microstate - Monaco). Indeed even if the EU wanted us as a member of the Customs Union they could not achieve that without rewriting the basic EU treaties.

    If you do want to comment on such matters without looking a complete moron you might try actually learning the basics in the first place.
    Wow, that's harsh. But fair.
    I will admit that HYUFD brings out the worst in me. I can accept we may differ on basic political matters just as I do with many other PB regulars who I otherwise get along with extremely well. But almost uniquely on here I consider him to be what I would refer to as a 'bad' person. His willingness to support and advocate the use of force and violence against people he differs with politically puts him beyond the pale for me. Even if he is not entirely serious, his advocacy for such action makes him someone I believe worthy of utter contempt. It all goes back to the Spanish Grandmothers originally but that has set the tone for his more recent pronouncements and my responses.
    Do I care? No, if Nationalists rioted and tried and declared UDI or held an indyref without UK government consent the full force of the state would need to be used to stop them.

    Anything else would be weak. Catalonia remains in Spain after Madrid took tough action to stop the Catalan separatists trying to break off in 2017.

    I may agree with you on a few things like grammar schools but otherwise in my view you are an extreme libertarian whose opinion of me does not bother me at all
    Just as a matter of interest, would it have been was it right for the British government to use "the full force of the state" to deter independence movements (via ample use of body bags) in the former Empire?

    And can you give me a couple of examples of where forcing people to remain part of a country has worked out well for either group?
    FTFY.

    Thinking particularly of the Amritsar Massacre in light of recent events...
  • pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    No - the borders are open and many will cross into England

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/ghost-towns-confused-customers-covid-22585510#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
    Interesting if true. It's not in keeping with the Welsh authorities' previous behaviour, although I spy an ulterior motive.

    Looking at the most recent 7-day case rates by specimen date, Wales's case rate is almost as bad as England's and is actually climbing more rapidly at the moment. Should the progress of the virus continues in this fashion, I wonder how long it'll take somebody from the Welsh Government to blame it on cross-border contagion - rather than being forced to concede the possibility that the extra restrictions they've chosen to impose might have been useless...?
    But park runs are cancelled in Wales....that will do the trick.
  • pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    No - the borders are open and many will cross into England

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/ghost-towns-confused-customers-covid-22585510#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
    Interesting if true. It's not in keeping with the Welsh authorities' previous behaviour, although I spy an ulterior motive.

    Looking at the most recent 7-day case rates by specimen date, Wales's case rate is almost as bad as England's and is actually climbing more rapidly at the moment. Should the progress of the virus continues in this fashion, I wonder how long it'll take somebody from the Welsh Government to blame it on cross-border contagion - rather than being forced to concede the possibility that the extra restrictions they've chosen to impose might have been useless...?
    If Boris decision is proven correct and Drakeford has overreacted again there will be no hiding place
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,918
    edited December 2021
    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    It's good to be able to choose meat with that extra added savour of ill treatment, right?


    Good to see all that Scottish Nationalist hate for our Aussie cousins.
    The Scottish Farmer is a Scottish Nationalist organ now?

    Good to see you blithely accepting that your bunch of dislikeable, untrustworthy weaklings are losing natural Tory voters at a rate of knots. Eventually there'll only be a battered head left mouthing 'tis but a flesh wound' and 'the don't knows are right behind us'.
    Farmers now have more markets to export to thanks to the new trade deals we have
    That you can post this with a straight face demonstrates how clueless you are. DOn't worry, you aren't alone. The lickspittle David Duguid keeps telling local farmers and fishermen how much better off they now are. As they know (a) they are worse off and (b) he is a prannock the seat is now chalked up as an SNP gain next time.

    You can say "more markets to export to" as much as you like. As it isn't true you *will* get caught out.
    Fishermen now out of CFP as promised
    Yes. And the purpose of leaving the CFP was....?

    Find out why CAP and CFP were unpopular and you'll discover what farmers and fishermen were hoping to achieve by leaving things like the CFP.

    I'll give you a clue. It isn't what you have given them. And patronising them by lines like "Fishermen now out of CFP as promised" will just make them more determined to vote you out of office.
    Fishermen have control of their own waters, as they voted for ie to get out of the CFP and EU
    Not so 'blessed are the cheesemakers' under Brexit, it seems:

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/dec/27/brexit-the-biggest-disaster-that-any-government-has-ever-negotiated

    I take what that specific individual says with a pound of salt. He is a long time anti-Brexit, anti-Tory ranter.

    That isn't to say Brexit hasn't placed extra barriers to exports like him, but he is first to be in the Graudian saying Brexit is absolutely the end of the world and the "Johnson Variant" is responsible. He is the Brexit equivalent of Zero Covid Pagel.
    Pick out the positives in this then...

    https://www.fwi.co.uk/business/markets-and-trends/how-uk-trade-has-fared-since-withdrawal-from-the-eu
    As the article says there are lots of factors, and as I said that isn't to say Brexit hasn't placed extra barriers. You know I own a business in the EU right?

    My point is that bloke is a billy bullshitter, but the Guardian swallow his claims regardless. He has this micro cheese business that has been going for 5+ years, but all of a sudden Brexit has costs his massive amounts of money. He is hardly flogging any cheese in the UK, such that it has 1 employee, but we are supposed to believe he is being inundated right after Brexit with all these massive orders that that damn Brexit has stopped him.
    I must admit it is quite fun doing a bit of research and picking out the bullshit from these stories. This is not the first time the Guardian has featured this particular gentleman. Back in January he was splashed all over the paper making complaints.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/jan/23/cheshire-cheesemaker-says-business-left-with-250000-brexit-hole

    He claims his company employs 25 people and yet his own company returns show he only has 3 employees - including himself and his wife.
    I'm going to put my hand up and accept this guy is not a big player by any stretch and so let's disregard his pitch in the Graun.

    But, that aside...

    1. He's clearly not alone, Wyke Farms is not a one man and his dog company.
    https://www.foodmanufacture.co.uk/Article/2021/05/28/Brexit-red-tape-hampers-Wyke-Farms-despite-export-success

    2. I'm still waiting to hear all the massive export success stories.
    Not disagreeing with you. I know loads of friends with tiny companies who are having problems. And loads of tiny companies start to add up both in terms of numbers/value and of opposition to Brexit if they all get the hump.

    But the issue as I said is implementation. Getting rid of Johnson won't make it all rosy overnight but until he is gone we can do nothing to start to make Brexit work as it should.
    What a laughable idea. If it was not for Boris leading the Leave campaign in 2016 rather than Farage or Gove, Remain would likely have narrowly won. If it was not for Boris winning a landslide in 2019 Brexit would never have got through Parliament.

    As for whinging about 'making Brexit work as it should', the UK is now out of the EU, out of the single market and out of the customs union. It is no longer subject to the ECJ, no longer pays large sums to the EU, is out of the CFP, has replaced free movement with a points system and does its own trade deals.

    The likeliest replacement for Boris would likely be Starmer who would probably take the UK back into the customs union so no more trade deals and align more closely to single market regulations again
    You never cease to amaze me with the depths of your ignorance. Matched only by your arrogance and fascist tendencies.

    Starmer cannot take us back into the Customs Union. It is not in his purview to do so even should he want to. Membership of the Customs Union is dependent on membership of the EU. No non EU member can be a member of the Customs Union (bar a single microstate - Monaco). Indeed even if the EU wanted us as a member of the Customs Union they could not achieve that without rewriting the basic EU treaties.

    If you do want to comment on such matters without looking a complete moron you might try actually learning the basics in the first place.
    Wow, that's harsh. But fair.
    I will admit that HYUFD brings out the worst in me. I can accept we may differ on basic political matters just as I do with many other PB regulars who I otherwise get along with extremely well. But almost uniquely on here I consider him to be what I would refer to as a 'bad' person. His willingness to support and advocate the use of force and violence against people he differs with politically puts him beyond the pale for me. Even if he is not entirely serious, his advocacy for such action makes him someone I believe worthy of utter contempt. It all goes back to the Spanish Grandmothers originally but that has set the tone for his more recent pronouncements and my responses.
    Do I care? No, if Nationalists rioted and tried and declared UDI or held an indyref without UK government consent the full force of the state would need to be used to stop them.

    Anything else would be weak. Catalonia remains in Spain after Madrid took tough action to stop the Catalan separatists trying to break off in 2017.

    I may agree with you on a few things like grammar schools but otherwise in my view you are an extreme libertarian whose opinion of me does not bother me at all
    Just as a matter of interest, would it have been right for the British government to use "the full force of the state" to deter independence movements (via ample use of body bags) in the former Empire?

    And can you give me a couple of examples of where forcing people to remain part of a country has worked out well for either group?
    We did in the American colonies, in Ireland in the Irish War of Independence and arguably in South Africa in the Boer Wars and India in the Indian mutiny.

    France did in Algeria and Vietnam, Spain did in many of their Latin American colonies and the Philippines. Mexico did with Texas. Ethiopia did with Eritrea. Russia did in Chechyna. Serbia did in the former Yugoslavia, China may well do with Taiwan.

    However Scotland is not a colony but part of the United Kingdom which elects its own MPs and since the 1707 Act of Union has been subject to the sovereignty of Westminster and withing the Kingdom of the UK, much as Catalonia is part of Kingdom of Spain.

    Scots also voted to stay in the UK in a once in a generation referendum whose result must be respected
  • pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    No - the borders are open and many will cross into England

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/ghost-towns-confused-customers-covid-22585510#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
    Interesting if true. It's not in keeping with the Welsh authorities' previous behaviour, although I spy an ulterior motive.

    Looking at the most recent 7-day case rates by specimen date, Wales's case rate is almost as bad as England's and is actually climbing more rapidly at the moment. Should the progress of the virus continues in this fashion, I wonder how long it'll take somebody from the Welsh Government to blame it on cross-border contagion - rather than being forced to concede the possibility that the extra restrictions they've chosen to impose might have been useless...?
    If Boris decision is proven correct and Drakeford has overreacted again there will be no hiding place
    Its hardly likely that there will be a big Tory surge in Wales. Not whilst Peppa is PM and farming is being ravaged by his Brexit deal.
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 4,839

    pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    No - the borders are open and many will cross into England

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/ghost-towns-confused-customers-covid-22585510#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
    Interesting if true. It's not in keeping with the Welsh authorities' previous behaviour, although I spy an ulterior motive.

    Looking at the most recent 7-day case rates by specimen date, Wales's case rate is almost as bad as England's and is actually climbing more rapidly at the moment. Should the progress of the virus continues in this fashion, I wonder how long it'll take somebody from the Welsh Government to blame it on cross-border contagion - rather than being forced to concede the possibility that the extra restrictions they've chosen to impose might have been useless...?
    But park runs are cancelled in Wales....that will do the trick.
    You mean, after everything we've learned about the way this virus does and does not transmit, and the importance of exercise to both physical and mental health during this whole tragedy, they've torpedoed parkrun - again?

    It's at least gratifying to know that the Welsh administration is as full of dense fuckwits as the central government, I suppose.
  • Surely this time is the end for Drakeford?

    Checks notes, Labour now polling the highest since 2005, oh well
  • pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    No - the borders are open and many will cross into England

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/ghost-towns-confused-customers-covid-22585510#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
    Interesting if true. It's not in keeping with the Welsh authorities' previous behaviour, although I spy an ulterior motive.

    Looking at the most recent 7-day case rates by specimen date, Wales's case rate is almost as bad as England's and is actually climbing more rapidly at the moment. Should the progress of the virus continues in this fashion, I wonder how long it'll take somebody from the Welsh Government to blame it on cross-border contagion - rather than being forced to concede the possibility that the extra restrictions they've chosen to impose might have been useless...?
    If Boris decision is proven correct and Drakeford has overreacted again there will be no hiding place
    Its hardly likely that there will be a big Tory surge in Wales. Not whilst Peppa is PM and farming is being ravaged by his Brexit deal.
    I do not expect that to happen but there will be a lot of anger at the authoritarian attitude of Drakeford
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,375
    edited December 2021
    Taz said:

    xxxxx5 said:

    I live in a red wall seat and Labour offer me nothing. Correct Horse Battery was simply on another planet saying New Labour did more for people like me between 1997 and 2010 really? Free movement reducing wages in return for more sure start buildings the hall mark of New Labour between 1997 and 2010. What is Starmers offer? Vote Labour get more free movement?

    I assume that wages rose a tad. Poverty fell, schools and hospitals rebuilt etc etc. I know it wasn't enough but "nothing" just demonstrates that you are of the Don't Look Up mentality ignoring what is in front of you.
    Wages may have rose a tad and relative poverty may have fallen but in comparison to the south and London it was negligible. The gap accelerated. Hospitals and schools rebuilt. All PFI which we will be paying for years. It’s merely robbing Peter to pay Paul.
    I'm curious as to why you, and others, point to the failure of the 1997-2010 government's failure to 'level up' the north, but have so little to say on the 2010-2019 government. It strikes me that the Blair government did many things, though not enough, to help people in the north (and in less affluent areas generally) - the minimum wage, investment in education and the NHS, some investment in town centres, and so on. But surely what damaged the north more was the austerity programme since 2010, combined with the hollowing out of both the finances and the powers of local councils - especially Labour ones? Meanwhile, the outsourcing of manufacturing industry continued apace - a trend which started about 40 years ago. What did Cameron and Osborne do for the north? Apart from some rhetoric about northern powerhouses, I'm struggling to think of much.
  • pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    No - the borders are open and many will cross into England

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/ghost-towns-confused-customers-covid-22585510#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
    Interesting if true. It's not in keeping with the Welsh authorities' previous behaviour, although I spy an ulterior motive.

    Looking at the most recent 7-day case rates by specimen date, Wales's case rate is almost as bad as England's and is actually climbing more rapidly at the moment. Should the progress of the virus continues in this fashion, I wonder how long it'll take somebody from the Welsh Government to blame it on cross-border contagion - rather than being forced to concede the possibility that the extra restrictions they've chosen to impose might have been useless...?
    But park runs are cancelled in Wales....that will do the trick.
    You mean, after everything we've learned about the way this virus does and does not transmit, and the importance of exercise to both physical and mental health during this whole tragedy, they've torpedoed parkrun - again?

    It's at least gratifying to know that the Welsh administration is as full of dense fuckwits as the central government, I suppose.
    The RNLI had to cancel their boxing day dip
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 4,839

    pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    No - the borders are open and many will cross into England

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/ghost-towns-confused-customers-covid-22585510#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
    Interesting if true. It's not in keeping with the Welsh authorities' previous behaviour, although I spy an ulterior motive.

    Looking at the most recent 7-day case rates by specimen date, Wales's case rate is almost as bad as England's and is actually climbing more rapidly at the moment. Should the progress of the virus continues in this fashion, I wonder how long it'll take somebody from the Welsh Government to blame it on cross-border contagion - rather than being forced to concede the possibility that the extra restrictions they've chosen to impose might have been useless...?
    If Boris decision is proven correct and Drakeford has overreacted again there will be no hiding place
    Its hardly likely that there will be a big Tory surge in Wales. Not whilst Peppa is PM and farming is being ravaged by his Brexit deal.
    Indeed. In polities where there is a weak and divided opposition, even the most incompetent government can endure and, indeed, thrive for decades.
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,375

    pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    No - the borders are open and many will cross into England

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/ghost-towns-confused-customers-covid-22585510#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
    Interesting if true. It's not in keeping with the Welsh authorities' previous behaviour, although I spy an ulterior motive.

    Looking at the most recent 7-day case rates by specimen date, Wales's case rate is almost as bad as England's and is actually climbing more rapidly at the moment. Should the progress of the virus continues in this fashion, I wonder how long it'll take somebody from the Welsh Government to blame it on cross-border contagion - rather than being forced to concede the possibility that the extra restrictions they've chosen to impose might have been useless...?
    If Boris decision is proven correct and Drakeford has overreacted again there will be no hiding place
    He could hide in Llandudno - nobody would ever find him.
  • Surely this time is the end for Drakeford?

    Checks notes, Labour now polling the highest since 2005, oh well

    You have no idea how annoyed the businesses in North Wales are as they see their trade disappear into England and going to the office made a criminal offence
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,376

    Taz said:

    xxxxx5 said:

    I live in a red wall seat and Labour offer me nothing. Correct Horse Battery was simply on another planet saying New Labour did more for people like me between 1997 and 2010 really? Free movement reducing wages in return for more sure start buildings the hall mark of New Labour between 1997 and 2010. What is Starmers offer? Vote Labour get more free movement?

    I assume that wages rose a tad. Poverty fell, schools and hospitals rebuilt etc etc. I know it wasn't enough but "nothing" just demonstrates that you are of the Don't Look Up mentality ignoring what is in front of you.
    Wages may have rose a tad and relative poverty may have fallen but in comparison to the south and London it was negligible. The gap accelerated. Hospitals and schools rebuilt. All PFI which we will be paying for years. It’s merely robbing Peter to pay Paul.
    I'm curious as to why you, and others, point to the failure of the 1997-2010 government's failure to 'level up' the north, but have so little to say on the 2010-2019 government. It strikes me that the Blair government did many things, though not enough, to help people in the north - the minimum wage, investment in education and the NHS, some investment in town centres, and so on. But surely what damaged the north more was the austerity programme since 2010, combined with the hollowing out of both the finances and the powers of local councils - especially Labour ones. Meanwhile, the outsourcing of manufacturing industry continued apace - a trend which started about 40 years ago. What did Cameron and Osborne do for the north? Apart from some rhetoric about northern powerhouses, I'm struggling to think of much.
    The discussion was about labour and what the did for the north or didn’t and how they win back the red wall. I’m no fan of the Tories 2010-2019 either. However one thing they (Osborne) did recognise was the need to retain a manufacturing base and they did try to devolve power to local mayors. Investment in health and education was largely PFI, enriching bankers and middle men and saddling us with the debt for a generation. Jobs in manufacturing rapidly declined, well paid jobs, but the minimum wage came in so anyone losing a well paid manufacturing job could get a min wage job in a call centre. Result.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,663

    pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    No - the borders are open and many will cross into England

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/ghost-towns-confused-customers-covid-22585510#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
    Interesting if true. It's not in keeping with the Welsh authorities' previous behaviour, although I spy an ulterior motive.

    Looking at the most recent 7-day case rates by specimen date, Wales's case rate is almost as bad as England's and is actually climbing more rapidly at the moment. Should the progress of the virus continues in this fashion, I wonder how long it'll take somebody from the Welsh Government to blame it on cross-border contagion - rather than being forced to concede the possibility that the extra restrictions they've chosen to impose might have been useless...?
    If Boris decision is proven correct and Drakeford has overreacted again there will be no hiding place
    No matter how hard you cling to the hope that Boris will come good in the end, it ain't happening Big_G.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 8,647
    The park run thing. I'm still pissed off we didn't have a big national effort to get more people below BMI 25, given how important it is as a comorbidity.

    Closing the gyms I understand. But outdoor sport is just counter-productive.
  • kyf_100kyf_100 Posts: 4,941
    Taz said:

    darkage said:

    WRT to the 'red wall'; there seems to have been some kind of subtle realisation amongst the conservative party that its base will always be in the affluent south, and the votes of the red wall are just on loan to provide it with its parliamentary majority. This came around the time of the Chesham and Amersham by election.

    For a long time in the run up to this people like Matt Godwin were saying that the tories could have a generation in power and permanently destroy the labour party by embracing the reallignment and 'leaning in' to the red wall. But there was a change of heart which can only really be explained by the idea that the interests of voters in the red wall are fundamentally at odds with the Conservative Party and the people that comprise it.

    So, by sidelining the red wall and its levelling up agenda, as it appears to have done, the conservative party may have effectively saved the labour party, enabling it to build an alternative coalition between parts of the red wall and urban constituencies across the south. With little indication of change in Scotland, it seems unlikely that anyone will be able to build up a parliamentary majority again in the foreseeable future.

    If true this shows the Tories are not a one nation party.

    A gap for labour to fill.

    The moment the Tories turned their back on levelling up was the moment the red wall, which had been their staunchest supporters, turn against them
    They showed they weren't a "one nation" party when they decided it was one rule for us, one rule for them. That reflected itself most obviously in the Cummings Barnard Castle trip, but there were other minor breaches (e.g. Jenrick) during that time, along with the more recent Christmas party debacle.

    But that is the theme running through this entire government, and it's not just about lockdown. It's the theme that "we are the ruling class and we can get away with whatever because you plebs gave us a stonking majority, now we get to do what we like". It was the theme behind proroguation, remember that? Which people wanted to forgive as it helped "get brexit done"... But also the theme behind trying to save Owen Paterson, saving Jenrick after granting that $1b planning permission to a Tory donor, the countless other donors who seem to have done well out of covid related contracts, and so on, and so forth.

    The Tories are unpopular now because they are seen to be governing entirely in their own interests, at all times. As if they have no other real ideology other than power for power's sake.

    Say what you like about Fatcha, at least you know she believed in something. What does Boris, the man who wrote two columns the night before declaring for Brexit, believe in?
  • pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    No - the borders are open and many will cross into England

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/ghost-towns-confused-customers-covid-22585510#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
    Interesting if true. It's not in keeping with the Welsh authorities' previous behaviour, although I spy an ulterior motive.

    Looking at the most recent 7-day case rates by specimen date, Wales's case rate is almost as bad as England's and is actually climbing more rapidly at the moment. Should the progress of the virus continues in this fashion, I wonder how long it'll take somebody from the Welsh Government to blame it on cross-border contagion - rather than being forced to concede the possibility that the extra restrictions they've chosen to impose might have been useless...?
    If Boris decision is proven correct and Drakeford has overreacted again there will be no hiding place
    No matter how hard you cling to the hope that Boris will come good in the end, it ain't happening Big_G.
    You cannot have read my posts over the period since Paterson's debacle to even suggest I want Boris to come good

    However, HMG decision for England is correct and I support it completely

    His mps need to act ASAP to remove him
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,663
    edited December 2021
    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    It's good to be able to choose meat with that extra added savour of ill treatment, right?


    Good to see all that Scottish Nationalist hate for our Aussie cousins.
    The Scottish Farmer is a Scottish Nationalist organ now?

    Good to see you blithely accepting that your bunch of dislikeable, untrustworthy weaklings are losing natural Tory voters at a rate of knots. Eventually there'll only be a battered head left mouthing 'tis but a flesh wound' and 'the don't knows are right behind us'.
    Farmers now have more markets to export to thanks to the new trade deals we have
    That you can post this with a straight face demonstrates how clueless you are. DOn't worry, you aren't alone. The lickspittle David Duguid keeps telling local farmers and fishermen how much better off they now are. As they know (a) they are worse off and (b) he is a prannock the seat is now chalked up as an SNP gain next time.

    You can say "more markets to export to" as much as you like. As it isn't true you *will* get caught out.
    Fishermen now out of CFP as promised
    Yes. And the purpose of leaving the CFP was....?

    Find out why CAP and CFP were unpopular and you'll discover what farmers and fishermen were hoping to achieve by leaving things like the CFP.

    I'll give you a clue. It isn't what you have given them. And patronising them by lines like "Fishermen now out of CFP as promised" will just make them more determined to vote you out of office.
    Fishermen have control of their own waters, as they voted for ie to get out of the CFP and EU
    Not so 'blessed are the cheesemakers' under Brexit, it seems:

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/dec/27/brexit-the-biggest-disaster-that-any-government-has-ever-negotiated

    I take what that specific individual says with a pound of salt. He is a long time anti-Brexit, anti-Tory ranter.

    That isn't to say Brexit hasn't placed extra barriers to exports like him, but he is first to be in the Graudian saying Brexit is absolutely the end of the world and the "Johnson Variant" is responsible. He is the Brexit equivalent of Zero Covid Pagel.
    Pick out the positives in this then...

    https://www.fwi.co.uk/business/markets-and-trends/how-uk-trade-has-fared-since-withdrawal-from-the-eu
    As the article says there are lots of factors, and as I said that isn't to say Brexit hasn't placed extra barriers. You know I own a business in the EU right?

    My point is that bloke is a billy bullshitter, but the Guardian swallow his claims regardless. He has this micro cheese business that has been going for 5+ years, but all of a sudden Brexit has costs his massive amounts of money. He is hardly flogging any cheese in the UK, such that it has 1 employee, but we are supposed to believe he is being inundated right after Brexit with all these massive orders that that damn Brexit has stopped him.
    I must admit it is quite fun doing a bit of research and picking out the bullshit from these stories. This is not the first time the Guardian has featured this particular gentleman. Back in January he was splashed all over the paper making complaints.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/jan/23/cheshire-cheesemaker-says-business-left-with-250000-brexit-hole

    He claims his company employs 25 people and yet his own company returns show he only has 3 employees - including himself and his wife.
    I'm going to put my hand up and accept this guy is not a big player by any stretch and so let's disregard his pitch in the Graun.

    But, that aside...

    1. He's clearly not alone, Wyke Farms is not a one man and his dog company.
    https://www.foodmanufacture.co.uk/Article/2021/05/28/Brexit-red-tape-hampers-Wyke-Farms-despite-export-success

    2. I'm still waiting to hear all the massive export success stories.
    Not disagreeing with you. I know loads of friends with tiny companies who are having problems. And loads of tiny companies start to add up both in terms of numbers/value and of opposition to Brexit if they all get the hump.

    But the issue as I said is implementation. Getting rid of Johnson won't make it all rosy overnight but until he is gone we can do nothing to start to make Brexit work as it should.
    What a laughable idea. If it was not for Boris leading the Leave campaign in 2016 rather than Farage or Gove, Remain would likely have narrowly won. If it was not for Boris winning a landslide in 2019 Brexit would never have got through Parliament.

    As for whinging about 'making Brexit work as it should', the UK is now out of the EU, out of the single market and out of the customs union. It is no longer subject to the ECJ, no longer pays large sums to the EU, is out of the CFP, has replaced free movement with a points system and does its own trade deals.

    The likeliest replacement for Boris would likely be Starmer who would probably take the UK back into the customs union so no more trade deals and align more closely to single market regulations again
    You never cease to amaze me with the depths of your ignorance. Matched only by your arrogance and fascist tendencies.

    Starmer cannot take us back into the Customs Union. It is not in his purview to do so even should he want to. Membership of the Customs Union is dependent on membership of the EU. No non EU member can be a member of the Customs Union (bar a single microstate - Monaco). Indeed even if the EU wanted us as a member of the Customs Union they could not achieve that without rewriting the basic EU treaties.

    If you do want to comment on such matters without looking a complete moron you might try actually learning the basics in the first place.
    Wow, that's harsh. But fair.
    I will admit that HYUFD brings out the worst in me. I can accept we may differ on basic political matters just as I do with many other PB regulars who I otherwise get along with extremely well. But almost uniquely on here I consider him to be what I would refer to as a 'bad' person. His willingness to support and advocate the use of force and violence against people he differs with politically puts him beyond the pale for me. Even if he is not entirely serious, his advocacy for such action makes him someone I believe worthy of utter contempt. It all goes back to the Spanish Grandmothers originally but that has set the tone for his more recent pronouncements and my responses.
    Do I care? No, if Nationalists rioted and tried and declared UDI or held an indyref without UK government consent the full force of the state would need to be used to stop them.

    Anything else would be weak. Catalonia remains in Spain after Madrid took tough action to stop the Catalan separatists trying to break off in 2017.

    I may agree with you on a few things like grammar schools but otherwise in my view you are an extreme libertarian whose opinion of me does not bother me at all
    Just as a matter of interest, would it have been right for the British government to use "the full force of the state" to deter independence movements (via ample use of body bags) in the former Empire?

    And can you give me a couple of examples of where forcing people to remain part of a country has worked out well for either group?
    We did in the American colonies, in Ireland in the Irish War of Independence and arguably in South Africa in the Boer Wars and India in the Indian mutiny.

    France did in Algeria and Vietnam, Spain did in many of their Latin American colonies and the Philippines. Mexico did with Texas. Ethiopia did with Eritrea. Russia did in Chechyna. Serbia did in the former Yugoslavia, China may well do with Taiwan.

    However Scotland is not a colony but part of the United Kingdom which elects its own MPs and since the 1707 Act of Union has been subject to the sovereignty of Westminster and withing the Kingdom of the UK, much as Catalonia is part of Kingdom of Spain.

    Scots also voted to stay in the UK in a once in a generation referendum whose result must be respected
    Good grief! Do you not see that your list of examples is also a list of abject failures laced with a few genocides and other war crimes?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,373
    edited December 2021

    pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    No - the borders are open and many will cross into England

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/ghost-towns-confused-customers-covid-22585510#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
    Interesting if true. It's not in keeping with the Welsh authorities' previous behaviour, although I spy an ulterior motive.

    Looking at the most recent 7-day case rates by specimen date, Wales's case rate is almost as bad as England's and is actually climbing more rapidly at the moment. Should the progress of the virus continues in this fashion, I wonder how long it'll take somebody from the Welsh Government to blame it on cross-border contagion - rather than being forced to concede the possibility that the extra restrictions they've chosen to impose might have been useless...?
    If Boris decision is proven correct and Drakeford has overreacted again there will be no hiding place
    No matter how hard you cling to the hope that Boris will come good in the end, it ain't happening Big_G.
    It is amazing though that Drakeford keeps defying gravity in the way he does.

    Stripped of the verbiage, he is a fifth rate not very successful academic who owes his entire advancement to networking with a bunch of people of his own sort, whose views are stuck somewhere in 1885 and whose entire policy offering has been a disaster. He's a slightly more articulate version of Richard Burgon or Laura Pidcock. Heck, he's nearly as useless as Johnson and doesn't even have a sense of humour. I might even compare him to Edward Leigh.

    And yet he remains incredibly popular.

    Just goes to show how parochial my fellow Welsh are. They'd rather have somebody like them rather than somebody vaguely capable.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Alistair's SA Update

    Week 51 Admissions (Projected): 7768 (7% week on week fall)
    Week 51 Deaths (Projected): 572 (40% Week on week rise

    % Ventilated: 3.2% (Rising)
    % Oxygenated: 14.7 %
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,663
    ydoethur said:

    pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    No - the borders are open and many will cross into England

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/ghost-towns-confused-customers-covid-22585510#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
    Interesting if true. It's not in keeping with the Welsh authorities' previous behaviour, although I spy an ulterior motive.

    Looking at the most recent 7-day case rates by specimen date, Wales's case rate is almost as bad as England's and is actually climbing more rapidly at the moment. Should the progress of the virus continues in this fashion, I wonder how long it'll take somebody from the Welsh Government to blame it on cross-border contagion - rather than being forced to concede the possibility that the extra restrictions they've chosen to impose might have been useless...?
    If Boris decision is proven correct and Drakeford has overreacted again there will be no hiding place
    No matter how hard you cling to the hope that Boris will come good in the end, it ain't happening Big_G.
    It is amazing though that Drakeford keeps defying gravity in the way he does.

    Stripped of the verbiage, he is a fifth rate not very successful academic who owes his entire advancement to networking with a bunch of people of his own sort, whose views are stuck somewhere in 1885 and whose entire policy offering has been a disaster. He's a slightly more articulate version of Richard Burgon or Laura Pidcock. Heck, he's nearly as useless as Johnson and doesn't even have a sense of humour.

    And yet he remains incredibly popular.

    Just goes to show how parochial my fellow Welsh are. They'd rather have somebody like them rather than somebody vaguely capable.
    Tbf, your compatriots only have to look over to Westminster to see how much worse things could be.
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 4,839

    pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    No - the borders are open and many will cross into England

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/ghost-towns-confused-customers-covid-22585510#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
    Interesting if true. It's not in keeping with the Welsh authorities' previous behaviour, although I spy an ulterior motive.

    Looking at the most recent 7-day case rates by specimen date, Wales's case rate is almost as bad as England's and is actually climbing more rapidly at the moment. Should the progress of the virus continues in this fashion, I wonder how long it'll take somebody from the Welsh Government to blame it on cross-border contagion - rather than being forced to concede the possibility that the extra restrictions they've chosen to impose might have been useless...?
    But park runs are cancelled in Wales....that will do the trick.
    You mean, after everything we've learned about the way this virus does and does not transmit, and the importance of exercise to both physical and mental health during this whole tragedy, they've torpedoed parkrun - again?

    It's at least gratifying to know that the Welsh administration is as full of dense fuckwits as the central government, I suppose.
    The RNLI had to cancel their boxing day dip
    Well, to play Devil's Advocate for just a moment, it's possible that the Welsh Government was so terrified of Omicron that they really wanted to have either a total lockdown, or a near-total lockdown with the schools allowed to stay open. Lacking, however, the resources for mass business closures, they simply banned some stuff it wouldn't cost them anything to ban, to disguise their fundamental weakness.

    I believe that the structure of devolution is flawed and that the Welsh Government really ought to have enough of a devolved tax base and borrowing powers to be able to act independently in a situation such as this, without recourse to the UK Treasury, if it feels that strongly about an issue within its competence. If the consequence of that were to be, for arguments' sake, a 3p hike in all income tax bands and a substantial sum set aside each year to cover debt servicing costs - and the Welsh electorate were then happy to return the Government proposing such a thing - then fine.

    Devolution really is a dog's breakfast - that is, you can argue all you like about the principle of the thing, but the way it's been implemented in practice is grossly incompetent. The New Labour Government and it's Tory successors all have much to answer for in this regard.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,373
    edited December 2021

    ydoethur said:

    pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    No - the borders are open and many will cross into England

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/ghost-towns-confused-customers-covid-22585510#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
    Interesting if true. It's not in keeping with the Welsh authorities' previous behaviour, although I spy an ulterior motive.

    Looking at the most recent 7-day case rates by specimen date, Wales's case rate is almost as bad as England's and is actually climbing more rapidly at the moment. Should the progress of the virus continues in this fashion, I wonder how long it'll take somebody from the Welsh Government to blame it on cross-border contagion - rather than being forced to concede the possibility that the extra restrictions they've chosen to impose might have been useless...?
    If Boris decision is proven correct and Drakeford has overreacted again there will be no hiding place
    No matter how hard you cling to the hope that Boris will come good in the end, it ain't happening Big_G.
    It is amazing though that Drakeford keeps defying gravity in the way he does.

    Stripped of the verbiage, he is a fifth rate not very successful academic who owes his entire advancement to networking with a bunch of people of his own sort, whose views are stuck somewhere in 1885 and whose entire policy offering has been a disaster. He's a slightly more articulate version of Richard Burgon or Laura Pidcock. Heck, he's nearly as useless as Johnson and doesn't even have a sense of humour.

    And yet he remains incredibly popular.

    Just goes to show how parochial my fellow Welsh are. They'd rather have somebody like them rather than somebody vaguely capable.
    Tbf, your compatriots only have to look over to Westminster to see how much worse things could be.
    I would say Drakeford's government is actually somewhat worse than Johnson's.

    And I don't say that out of starry eyed admiration for Johnson.

    There are at least some vaguely sane people in the cabinet. I wouldn't go bail for the Welsh Executive.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,572
    BTW, The Royal Institution Christmas Lectures has just started on BBC Four. Professor Jonathan Can-Tam is giving a lecture on viruses and the immune system.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,918
    edited December 2021

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    It's good to be able to choose meat with that extra added savour of ill treatment, right?


    Good to see all that Scottish Nationalist hate for our Aussie cousins.
    The Scottish Farmer is a Scottish Nationalist organ now?

    Good to see you blithely accepting that your bunch of dislikeable, untrustworthy weaklings are losing natural Tory voters at a rate of knots. Eventually there'll only be a battered head left mouthing 'tis but a flesh wound' and 'the don't knows are right behind us'.
    Farmers now have more markets to export to thanks to the new trade deals we have
    That you can post this with a straight face demonstrates how clueless you are. DOn't worry, you aren't alone. The lickspittle David Duguid keeps telling local farmers and fishermen how much better off they now are. As they know (a) they are worse off and (b) he is a prannock the seat is now chalked up as an SNP gain next time.

    You can say "more markets to export to" as much as you like. As it isn't true you *will* get caught out.
    Fishermen now out of CFP as promised
    Yes. And the purpose of leaving the CFP was....?

    Find out why CAP and CFP were unpopular and you'll discover what farmers and fishermen were hoping to achieve by leaving things like the CFP.

    I'll give you a clue. It isn't what you have given them. And patronising them by lines like "Fishermen now out of CFP as promised" will just make them more determined to vote you out of office.
    Fishermen have control of their own waters, as they voted for ie to get out of the CFP and EU
    Not so 'blessed are the cheesemakers' under Brexit, it seems:

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/dec/27/brexit-the-biggest-disaster-that-any-government-has-ever-negotiated

    I take what that specific individual says with a pound of salt. He is a long time anti-Brexit, anti-Tory ranter.

    That isn't to say Brexit hasn't placed extra barriers to exports like him, but he is first to be in the Graudian saying Brexit is absolutely the end of the world and the "Johnson Variant" is responsible. He is the Brexit equivalent of Zero Covid Pagel.
    Pick out the positives in this then...

    https://www.fwi.co.uk/business/markets-and-trends/how-uk-trade-has-fared-since-withdrawal-from-the-eu
    As the article says there are lots of factors, and as I said that isn't to say Brexit hasn't placed extra barriers. You know I own a business in the EU right?

    My point is that bloke is a billy bullshitter, but the Guardian swallow his claims regardless. He has this micro cheese business that has been going for 5+ years, but all of a sudden Brexit has costs his massive amounts of money. He is hardly flogging any cheese in the UK, such that it has 1 employee, but we are supposed to believe he is being inundated right after Brexit with all these massive orders that that damn Brexit has stopped him.
    I must admit it is quite fun doing a bit of research and picking out the bullshit from these stories. This is not the first time the Guardian has featured this particular gentleman. Back in January he was splashed all over the paper making complaints.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/jan/23/cheshire-cheesemaker-says-business-left-with-250000-brexit-hole

    He claims his company employs 25 people and yet his own company returns show he only has 3 employees - including himself and his wife.
    I'm going to put my hand up and accept this guy is not a big player by any stretch and so let's disregard his pitch in the Graun.

    But, that aside...

    1. He's clearly not alone, Wyke Farms is not a one man and his dog company.
    https://www.foodmanufacture.co.uk/Article/2021/05/28/Brexit-red-tape-hampers-Wyke-Farms-despite-export-success

    2. I'm still waiting to hear all the massive export success stories.
    Not disagreeing with you. I know loads of friends with tiny companies who are having problems. And loads of tiny companies start to add up both in terms of numbers/value and of opposition to Brexit if they all get the hump.

    But the issue as I said is implementation. Getting rid of Johnson won't make it all rosy overnight but until he is gone we can do nothing to start to make Brexit work as it should.
    What a laughable idea. If it was not for Boris leading the Leave campaign in 2016 rather than Farage or Gove, Remain would likely have narrowly won. If it was not for Boris winning a landslide in 2019 Brexit would never have got through Parliament.

    As for whinging about 'making Brexit work as it should', the UK is now out of the EU, out of the single market and out of the customs union. It is no longer subject to the ECJ, no longer pays large sums to the EU, is out of the CFP, has replaced free movement with a points system and does its own trade deals.

    The likeliest replacement for Boris would likely be Starmer who would probably take the UK back into the customs union so no more trade deals and align more closely to single market regulations again
    You never cease to amaze me with the depths of your ignorance. Matched only by your arrogance and fascist tendencies.

    Starmer cannot take us back into the Customs Union. It is not in his purview to do so even should he want to. Membership of the Customs Union is dependent on membership of the EU. No non EU member can be a member of the Customs Union (bar a single microstate - Monaco). Indeed even if the EU wanted us as a member of the Customs Union they could not achieve that without rewriting the basic EU treaties.

    If you do want to comment on such matters without looking a complete moron you might try actually learning the basics in the first place.
    Wow, that's harsh. But fair.
    I will admit that HYUFD brings out the worst in me. I can accept we may differ on basic political matters just as I do with many other PB regulars who I otherwise get along with extremely well. But almost uniquely on here I consider him to be what I would refer to as a 'bad' person. His willingness to support and advocate the use of force and violence against people he differs with politically puts him beyond the pale for me. Even if he is not entirely serious, his advocacy for such action makes him someone I believe worthy of utter contempt. It all goes back to the Spanish Grandmothers originally but that has set the tone for his more recent pronouncements and my responses.
    Do I care? No, if Nationalists rioted and tried and declared UDI or held an indyref without UK government consent the full force of the state would need to be used to stop them.

    Anything else would be weak. Catalonia remains in Spain after Madrid took tough action to stop the Catalan separatists trying to break off in 2017.

    I may agree with you on a few things like grammar schools but otherwise in my view you are an extreme libertarian whose opinion of me does not bother me at all
    Just as a matter of interest, would it have been right for the British government to use "the full force of the state" to deter independence movements (via ample use of body bags) in the former Empire?

    And can you give me a couple of examples of where forcing people to remain part of a country has worked out well for either group?
    We did in the American colonies, in Ireland in the Irish War of Independence and arguably in South Africa in the Boer Wars and India in the Indian mutiny.

    France did in Algeria and Vietnam, Spain did in many of their Latin American colonies and the Philippines. Mexico did with Texas. Ethiopia did with Eritrea. Russia did in Chechyna. Serbia did in the former Yugoslavia, China may well do with Taiwan.

    However Scotland is not a colony but part of the United Kingdom which elects its own MPs and since the 1707 Act of Union has been subject to the sovereignty of Westminster and withing the Kingdom of the UK, much as Catalonia is part of Kingdom of Spain.

    Scots also voted to stay in the UK in a once in a generation referendum whose result must be respected
    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    It's good to be able to choose meat with that extra added savour of ill treatment, right?


    Good to see all that Scottish Nationalist hate for our Aussie cousins.
    The Scottish Farmer is a Scottish Nationalist organ now?

    Good to see you blithely accepting that your bunch of dislikeable, untrustworthy weaklings are losing natural Tory voters at a rate of knots. Eventually there'll only be a battered head left mouthing 'tis but a flesh wound' and 'the don't knows are right behind us'.
    Farmers now have more markets to export to thanks to the new trade deals we have
    That you can post this with a straight face demonstrates how clueless you are. DOn't worry, you aren't alone. The lickspittle David Duguid keeps telling local farmers and fishermen how much better off they now are. As they know (a) they are worse off and (b) he is a prannock the seat is now chalked up as an SNP gain next time.

    You can say "more markets to export to" as much as you like. As it isn't true you *will* get caught out.
    Fishermen now out of CFP as promised
    Yes. And the purpose of leaving the CFP was....?

    Find out why CAP and CFP were unpopular and you'll discover what farmers and fishermen were hoping to achieve by leaving things like the CFP.

    I'll give you a clue. It isn't what you have given them. And patronising them by lines like "Fishermen now out of CFP as promised" will just make them more determined to vote you out of office.
    Fishermen have control of their own waters, as they voted for ie to get out of the CFP and EU
    Not so 'blessed are the cheesemakers' under Brexit, it seems:

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/dec/27/brexit-the-biggest-disaster-that-any-government-has-ever-negotiated

    I take what that specific individual says with a pound of salt. He is a long time anti-Brexit, anti-Tory ranter.

    That isn't to say Brexit hasn't placed extra barriers to exports like him, but he is first to be in the Graudian saying Brexit is absolutely the end of the world and the "Johnson Variant" is responsible. He is the Brexit equivalent of Zero Covid Pagel.
    Pick out the positives in this then...

    https://www.fwi.co.uk/business/markets-and-trends/how-uk-trade-has-fared-since-withdrawal-from-the-eu
    As the article says there are lots of factors, and as I said that isn't to say Brexit hasn't placed extra barriers. You know I own a business in the EU right?

    My point is that bloke is a billy bullshitter, but the Guardian swallow his claims regardless. He has this micro cheese business that has been going for 5+ years, but all of a sudden Brexit has costs his massive amounts of money. He is hardly flogging any cheese in the UK, such that it has 1 employee, but we are supposed to believe he is being inundated right after Brexit with all these massive orders that that damn Brexit has stopped him.
    I must admit it is quite fun doing a bit of research and picking out the bullshit from these stories. This is not the first time the Guardian has featured this particular gentleman. Back in January he was splashed all over the paper making complaints.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/jan/23/cheshire-cheesemaker-says-business-left-with-250000-brexit-hole

    He claims his company employs 25 people and yet his own company returns show he only has 3 employees - including himself and his wife.
    I'm going to put my hand up and accept this guy is not a big player by any stretch and so let's disregard his pitch in the Graun.

    But, that aside...

    1. He's clearly not alone, Wyke Farms is not a one man and his dog company.
    https://www.foodmanufacture.co.uk/Article/2021/05/28/Brexit-red-tape-hampers-Wyke-Farms-despite-export-success

    2. I'm still waiting to hear all the massive export success stories.
    Not disagreeing with you. I know loads of friends with tiny companies who are having problems. And loads of tiny companies start to add up both in terms of numbers/value and of opposition to Brexit if they all get the hump.

    But the issue as I said is implementation. Getting rid of Johnson won't make it all rosy overnight but until he is gone we can do nothing to start to make Brexit work as it should.
    What a laughable idea. If it was not for Boris leading the Leave campaign in 2016 rather than Farage or Gove, Remain would likely have narrowly won. If it was not for Boris winning a landslide in 2019 Brexit would never have got through Parliament.

    As for whinging about 'making Brexit work as it should', the UK is now out of the EU, out of the single market and out of the customs union. It is no longer subject to the ECJ, no longer pays large sums to the EU, is out of the CFP, has replaced free movement with a points system and does its own trade deals.

    The likeliest replacement for Boris would likely be Starmer who would probably take the UK back into the customs union so no more trade deals and align more closely to single market regulations again
    You never cease to amaze me with the depths of your ignorance. Matched only by your arrogance and fascist tendencies.

    Starmer cannot take us back into the Customs Union. It is not in his purview to do so even should he want to. Membership of the Customs Union is dependent on membership of the EU. No non EU member can be a member of the Customs Union (bar a single microstate - Monaco). Indeed even if the EU wanted us as a member of the Customs Union they could not achieve that without rewriting the basic EU treaties.

    If you do want to comment on such matters without looking a complete moron you might try actually learning the basics in the first place.
    Wow, that's harsh. But fair.
    I will admit that HYUFD brings out the worst in me. I can accept we may differ on basic political matters just as I do with many other PB regulars who I otherwise get along with extremely well. But almost uniquely on here I consider him to be what I would refer to as a 'bad' person. His willingness to support and advocate the use of force and violence against people he differs with politically puts him beyond the pale for me. Even if he is not entirely serious, his advocacy for such action makes him someone I believe worthy of utter contempt. It all goes back to the Spanish Grandmothers originally but that has set the tone for his more recent pronouncements and my responses.
    Do I care? No, if Nationalists rioted and tried and declared UDI or held an indyref without UK government consent the full force of the state would need to be used to stop them.

    Anything else would be weak. Catalonia remains in Spain after Madrid took tough action to stop the Catalan separatists trying to break off in 2017.

    I may agree with you on a few things like grammar schools but otherwise in my view you are an extreme libertarian whose opinion of me does not bother me at all
    Just as a matter of interest, would it have been right for the British government to use "the full force of the state" to deter independence movements (via ample use of body bags) in the former Empire?

    And can you give me a couple of examples of where forcing people to remain part of a country has worked out well for either group?
    We did in the American colonies, in Ireland in the Irish War of Independence and arguably in South Africa in the Boer Wars and India in the Indian mutiny.

    France did in Algeria and Vietnam, Spain did in many of their Latin American colonies and the Philippines. Mexico did with Texas. Ethiopia did with Eritrea. Russia did in Chechyna. Serbia did in the former Yugoslavia, China may well do with Taiwan.

    However Scotland is not a colony but part of the United Kingdom which elects its own MPs and since the 1707 Act of Union has been subject to the sovereignty of Westminster and withing the Kingdom of the UK, much as Catalonia is part of Kingdom of Spain.

    Scots also voted to stay in the UK in a once in a generation referendum whose result must be respected
    Good grief! Do you not see that your list of examples is also a list of abject failures laced with a few genocides and other war crimes?
    Not all of them, the Boer Wars were ultimately won and the Indian mutiny put down. Ireland was partitioned, not all of it became independent.
    Chechyna is also not really fully independent of Russia and we await to see whether Taiwan can stay independent of China.

    However as I said Scotland is not a colony and respecting the result of a once in a generation referendum is a different matter

  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,663
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    No - the borders are open and many will cross into England

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/ghost-towns-confused-customers-covid-22585510#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
    Interesting if true. It's not in keeping with the Welsh authorities' previous behaviour, although I spy an ulterior motive.

    Looking at the most recent 7-day case rates by specimen date, Wales's case rate is almost as bad as England's and is actually climbing more rapidly at the moment. Should the progress of the virus continues in this fashion, I wonder how long it'll take somebody from the Welsh Government to blame it on cross-border contagion - rather than being forced to concede the possibility that the extra restrictions they've chosen to impose might have been useless...?
    If Boris decision is proven correct and Drakeford has overreacted again there will be no hiding place
    No matter how hard you cling to the hope that Boris will come good in the end, it ain't happening Big_G.
    It is amazing though that Drakeford keeps defying gravity in the way he does.

    Stripped of the verbiage, he is a fifth rate not very successful academic who owes his entire advancement to networking with a bunch of people of his own sort, whose views are stuck somewhere in 1885 and whose entire policy offering has been a disaster. He's a slightly more articulate version of Richard Burgon or Laura Pidcock. Heck, he's nearly as useless as Johnson and doesn't even have a sense of humour.

    And yet he remains incredibly popular.

    Just goes to show how parochial my fellow Welsh are. They'd rather have somebody like them rather than somebody vaguely capable.
    Tbf, your compatriots only have to look over to Westminster to see how much worse things could be.
    I would say Drakeford's government is actually somewhat worse than Johnson's.

    And I don't say that out of starry eyed admiration for Johnson.

    There are at least some vaguely sane people in the cabinet. I wouldn't go bail for the Welsh Executive.
    The Welsh polls suggest your views are not widely shared.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,859

    pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    No - the borders are open and many will cross into England

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/ghost-towns-confused-customers-covid-22585510#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
    Interesting if true. It's not in keeping with the Welsh authorities' previous behaviour, although I spy an ulterior motive.

    Looking at the most recent 7-day case rates by specimen date, Wales's case rate is almost as bad as England's and is actually climbing more rapidly at the moment. Should the progress of the virus continues in this fashion, I wonder how long it'll take somebody from the Welsh Government to blame it on cross-border contagion - rather than being forced to concede the possibility that the extra restrictions they've chosen to impose might have been useless...?
    If Boris decision is proven correct and Drakeford has overreacted again there will be no hiding place
    Wales is almost the definition of a hiding place.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    pigeon said:

    MaxPB said:

    pigeon said:

    Foxy said:

    The number of people in hospital with COVID in England has risen to 9,546, according to latest figures.

    This is up 38% from a week earlier and is the highest number since 3 March.

    The latest figure compares to 8,474 yesterday, according to NHS England and indicates a 12% rise in the number of people in hospital in a single day.

    During the second wave of coronavirus, the number peaked at 34,336 on 18 January.

    In London, there are 3,024 people in hospital with COVID - up 59% on last week and the highest since 19 February.

    Last winter's peak for the capital was 7,917 on 18 January.

    On Monday, it was revealed the number of people in hospital with the virus in England was at its highest level since March.

    https://news.sky.com/story/covid-number-of-people-with-coronavirus-in-hospital-in-england-rises-to-9-546-12505307

    Some of which will be with covid rather than due to covid (not that this is benign, there are major risks of anaesthesia in covid, so hip fracture and asymptomatic covid could be bad news indeed).

    This is broadly to be expected in a high prevalence situation, as those due to covid generally require a few days to a week before they get ill.

    I would caution over interpreting these stats as they are likely to be incomplete due to the holidays etc.
    Incomplete and/or distorted by the holiday effects, presumably?

    Some of the UK numbers that BigG has just quoted down thread are badly backdated as they're reported at the speed of the slowest contributing nation. The English admissions and total patient data are both now current and show a substantial rise over the last few days, but as you say we have no indication from these figures as to what percentage of those patients are sick from Covid or merely carrying it, and these numbers tell us nothing about the severity of the actual Covid cases - we'll presumably have to wait and see if the admissions feed through into a rise in ventilator bed occupancy to gauge that? - or whether the amount of time the less difficult cases are spending in hospital is falling.

    This will all be very frustrating to the pro and anti restriction factions alike, but it looks as though we still need more data - which, presumably, is what the UK Government has elected to keep waiting for?

    It'll also be interesting to see if the unvaccinated continue to account for a very high proportion of the most seriously ill. If the hospital situation does get a lot more difficult then the Government may soon be confronted with awkward choices about whether to impose more Covid crap on everyone, or to go easy on most of the population and opt for Draconian curbs on the refusers.
    No it's option 3, deprioritise COVID treatment for vaccine refusers but don't say anything. Even if they go to the media about not getting NHS treatment there will be little sympathy for people who have refused the vaccine.
    I have some sympathy for your frustration with the buggers, but hospital doctors are not going to euthanise them by stealth. They've consistently prioritised Covid care over everything else *and* shown no inclination to treat people in any way differently depending on vaccination status. The NHS is perfectly happy to hook refusers up to ventilators whilst abandoning other seriously ill people to die to make room for them.

    If the Government wants refusers wheeled off into a tent in the hospital car park and put down then it will have to issue explicit orders to that effect, which the medical profession will disobey and the courts would most likely strike down in any event.

    There are only two ways to approach the refuser problem: persist with gentle persuasion, which is agonizingly slow and probably won't do very much good, or find ways to make their lives so difficult that they give in. Except that measures so extreme that they would have the desired effect - basically stripping refusers of the right to work without vaccine certification - would almost certainly be vetoed by an alliance of Opposition parties and Tory libertarians.

    So we're back to persuasion, or persuasion plus useless gestures like vaxports for restaurants, which will only provoke more heel digging without really hurting the refusers and, therefore, make the situation worse rather than better. Sadly, I think that patiently listening to their "concerns" and/or talking them out of their apathy is all we've got.
    In the first wave there was a minor kerfuffle over a triage scorecard determining who would receive treatment for Covid. You would get points for various factors on an infirmity scale, and the higher your score the more likely it would be that you would not be treated, if there was someone more likely to benefit from treatment (with a lower score).

    Pretty sure it would be possible for the government and NHS to put together a similar set of triage guidelines that would prioritise care for cancer, and heart disease over Covid care for vaccine refusers, on the basis that the former were more likely to benefit from treatment that those who reject modern medical science. Also, if you were to open some specific standalone Covid wards (whether in a car park tent or not) then it's a simple matter of moving people to the appropriate wards and providing more resources to other wards in the hospital.

    The NHS has always operated by rationing care with a system of queueing. It would not be difficult to change the prioritisation order for the queue to prioritise other patients above Covid patients. It's been done before to prioritise speedy cancer diagnostics and treatment ahead of other conditions. How many people will be demanding that vaccine refusers jump ahead of them in the queue for hospital treatment?
    It undermines one of the founding principles of the NHS
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,373

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    No - the borders are open and many will cross into England

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/ghost-towns-confused-customers-covid-22585510#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
    Interesting if true. It's not in keeping with the Welsh authorities' previous behaviour, although I spy an ulterior motive.

    Looking at the most recent 7-day case rates by specimen date, Wales's case rate is almost as bad as England's and is actually climbing more rapidly at the moment. Should the progress of the virus continues in this fashion, I wonder how long it'll take somebody from the Welsh Government to blame it on cross-border contagion - rather than being forced to concede the possibility that the extra restrictions they've chosen to impose might have been useless...?
    If Boris decision is proven correct and Drakeford has overreacted again there will be no hiding place
    No matter how hard you cling to the hope that Boris will come good in the end, it ain't happening Big_G.
    It is amazing though that Drakeford keeps defying gravity in the way he does.

    Stripped of the verbiage, he is a fifth rate not very successful academic who owes his entire advancement to networking with a bunch of people of his own sort, whose views are stuck somewhere in 1885 and whose entire policy offering has been a disaster. He's a slightly more articulate version of Richard Burgon or Laura Pidcock. Heck, he's nearly as useless as Johnson and doesn't even have a sense of humour.

    And yet he remains incredibly popular.

    Just goes to show how parochial my fellow Welsh are. They'd rather have somebody like them rather than somebody vaguely capable.
    Tbf, your compatriots only have to look over to Westminster to see how much worse things could be.
    I would say Drakeford's government is actually somewhat worse than Johnson's.

    And I don't say that out of starry eyed admiration for Johnson.

    There are at least some vaguely sane people in the cabinet. I wouldn't go bail for the Welsh Executive.
    The Welsh polls suggest your views are not widely shared.
    So we come back to my earlier point - they prefer one of their own, regardless of how useless he is.

    It does go a long way towards explaining why Wales is in such a mess.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,829
    pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    No - the borders are open and many will cross into England

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/ghost-towns-confused-customers-covid-22585510#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
    Interesting if true. It's not in keeping with the Welsh authorities' previous behaviour, although I spy an ulterior motive.

    Looking at the most recent 7-day case rates by specimen date, Wales's case rate is almost as bad as England's and is actually climbing more rapidly at the moment. Should the progress of the virus continues in this fashion, I wonder how long it'll take somebody from the Welsh Government to blame it on cross-border contagion - rather than being forced to concede the possibility that the extra restrictions they've chosen to impose might have been useless...?
    But park runs are cancelled in Wales....that will do the trick.
    You mean, after everything we've learned about the way this virus does and does not transmit, and the importance of exercise to both physical and mental health during this whole tragedy, they've torpedoed parkrun - again?

    It's at least gratifying to know that the Welsh administration is as full of dense fuckwits as the central government, I suppose.
    The RNLI had to cancel their boxing day dip
    Well, to play Devil's Advocate for just a moment, it's possible that the Welsh Government was so terrified of Omicron that they really wanted to have either a total lockdown, or a near-total lockdown with the schools allowed to stay open. Lacking, however, the resources for mass business closures, they simply banned some stuff it wouldn't cost them anything to ban, to disguise their fundamental weakness.

    I believe that the structure of devolution is flawed and that the Welsh Government really ought to have enough of a devolved tax base and borrowing powers to be able to act independently in a situation such as this, without recourse to the UK Treasury, if it feels that strongly about an issue within its competence. If the consequence of that were to be, for arguments' sake, a 3p hike in all income tax bands and a substantial sum set aside each year to cover debt servicing costs - and the Welsh electorate were then happy to return the Government proposing such a thing - then fine.

    Devolution really is a dog's breakfast - that is, you can argue all you like about the principle of the thing, but the way it's been implemented in practice is grossly incompetent. The New Labour Government and it's Tory successors all have much to answer for in this regard.
    Not least because of the increased lack of clarity. The scrapping of the Sewel motions as allegedly only a convention was a particular problem, because it completely upended serious matters of legality and demarcation.
  • Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    What's wrong with Alexa getting children to electrocute themselves? Death is a part of life. It's Darwinism. We shouldn't sacrifice our freedoms just to save the lives of a few people that would have walked in front of a bus or fell down an open drain anyway.

    I think you are Lev Kamanev and I claim my £10.

    :smile:
    Fixed that for you
    This was a reference to a Daily Express competition of the 60s, seeking out a lookylikey carrying a copy of the Daily Expross in a particular inland resort btw, nothing sinister.

    :smile:
    I know, I got the reference ;)
    Was it the express? thought it was the Mirror.
    Leaving aside the Soviet part of the joke to concentrate on the newspaper competition. Lots of papers did it and it dates back to before the war, at least. It was the Mcguffin in Brighton Rock, for instance. The usual style on pb is "you are XXX AICMFP (and I claim my five pounds).
    The character was called Lobby Lud from the Westminster Gazette and later the News Chronicle. To win the competition you had to say the exact phrase without hesitation. Lobby would announce what seaside resort he would be at and then do things like join tour groups, ride on merry go rounds etc. If challenged he would try to put off the person before they could say the phrase. It was so popular that lots of other news papers did similar competitions but the phrase originates with Lobby Lud.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,991
    edited December 2021

    BTW, The Royal Institution Christmas Lectures has just started on BBC Four. Professor Jonathan Can-Tam is giving a lecture on viruses and the immune system.

    Is that the lesser known brother of JVT ;-)

    That seems like a brilliant selection for the Christmas lecture series.
  • It is fascinating from the perspective of somebody who despises Johnson and admires Drakeford, the utter disdain people here seem to have for him. I wonder if this is how people that admire Johnson feel
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,859

    pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    No - the borders are open and many will cross into England

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/ghost-towns-confused-customers-covid-22585510#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
    Interesting if true. It's not in keeping with the Welsh authorities' previous behaviour, although I spy an ulterior motive.

    Looking at the most recent 7-day case rates by specimen date, Wales's case rate is almost as bad as England's and is actually climbing more rapidly at the moment. Should the progress of the virus continues in this fashion, I wonder how long it'll take somebody from the Welsh Government to blame it on cross-border contagion - rather than being forced to concede the possibility that the extra restrictions they've chosen to impose might have been useless...?
    If Boris decision is proven correct and Drakeford has overreacted again there will be no hiding place
    No matter how hard you cling to the hope that Boris will come good in the end, it ain't happening Big_G.
    You cannot have read my posts over the period since Paterson's debacle to even suggest I want Boris to come good

    However, HMG decision for England is correct and I support it completely

    His mps need to act ASAP to remove him
    Big G was one of those who warned us what he was like, from the beginning.

    If he hadn’t gone and voted for the numpty regardless, his credibility on here would be immense.
  • https://twitter.com/BBCr4today/status/1475766151477178372

    "We've always said this will be an evolution not a revolution"

    Environment Secretary George Eustice tells @bbcnickrobinson the government will keep agriculture spending at the same level under the new subsidy system, while the old payments are phased out over 7 years

    #R4Today
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,376

    Taz said:

    xxxxx5 said:

    I live in a red wall seat and Labour offer me nothing. Correct Horse Battery was simply on another planet saying New Labour did more for people like me between 1997 and 2010 really? Free movement reducing wages in return for more sure start buildings the hall mark of New Labour between 1997 and 2010. What is Starmers offer? Vote Labour get more free movement?

    I assume that wages rose a tad. Poverty fell, schools and hospitals rebuilt etc etc. I know it wasn't enough but "nothing" just demonstrates that you are of the Don't Look Up mentality ignoring what is in front of you.
    Wages may have rose a tad and relative poverty may have fallen but in comparison to the south and London it was negligible. The gap accelerated. Hospitals and schools rebuilt. All PFI which we will be paying for years. It’s merely robbing Peter to pay Paul.
    Wages grew a lot - the days of £2.20 an hour are the past. Absolute grinding poverty fell away. And the hospitals and schools that were literally crumbling away needed replacing - its not as if borrowing to do so was on the agenda. So what was the alternative?

    I do agree that the economy is heavily imbalanced to the SE. The problem is that nobody is offering a solution. The Tories are demonstrating that "levelling up" doesn't really extend beyond window dressing and a slogan. Brexit has made it worse not better for manufacturing. So what else is there?

    The sad reality is that in England there seems to be no idea - none at all - about how to fix the structural problems. As an advocate for federalism and regionalism I can see how it could be done, but neither option for government is interested so the decline will continue.
    Wages grew a lot if you were earning well under minimum wage but that was nowhere near what many people earned minimum wage not only dragged wages up but also dragged some down. How many people earned £2.20 an hour when labour came to power. I was doing bar work then and earned more than that. What they do for productivity ? It didn’t really improve. Economic growth was based on consumer spending and manufacturing suffered catastrophic job losses and factory closures. Still, we got a few call centres.

    It would have been more cost effective to borrow so why not. If it’s better than saddling us with punitive debt and repayments then they should have had the courage to do to.
  • IanB2 said:

    pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    No - the borders are open and many will cross into England

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/ghost-towns-confused-customers-covid-22585510#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
    Interesting if true. It's not in keeping with the Welsh authorities' previous behaviour, although I spy an ulterior motive.

    Looking at the most recent 7-day case rates by specimen date, Wales's case rate is almost as bad as England's and is actually climbing more rapidly at the moment. Should the progress of the virus continues in this fashion, I wonder how long it'll take somebody from the Welsh Government to blame it on cross-border contagion - rather than being forced to concede the possibility that the extra restrictions they've chosen to impose might have been useless...?
    If Boris decision is proven correct and Drakeford has overreacted again there will be no hiding place
    No matter how hard you cling to the hope that Boris will come good in the end, it ain't happening Big_G.
    You cannot have read my posts over the period since Paterson's debacle to even suggest I want Boris to come good

    However, HMG decision for England is correct and I support it completely

    His mps need to act ASAP to remove him
    Big G was one of those who warned us what he was like, from the beginning.

    If he hadn’t gone and voted for the numpty regardless, his credibility on here would be immense.
    I did not vote for Boris in the membership vote

    I supported Boris upto Paterson's debacle and subsequently sleaze and want him replaced

    And as a matter of interest do the Lib Dems support HMG current position on covid regulations
  • pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    No - the borders are open and many will cross into England

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/ghost-towns-confused-customers-covid-22585510#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
    Interesting if true. It's not in keeping with the Welsh authorities' previous behaviour, although I spy an ulterior motive.

    Looking at the most recent 7-day case rates by specimen date, Wales's case rate is almost as bad as England's and is actually climbing more rapidly at the moment. Should the progress of the virus continues in this fashion, I wonder how long it'll take somebody from the Welsh Government to blame it on cross-border contagion - rather than being forced to concede the possibility that the extra restrictions they've chosen to impose might have been useless...?
    But park runs are cancelled in Wales....that will do the trick.
    You mean, after everything we've learned about the way this virus does and does not transmit, and the importance of exercise to both physical and mental health during this whole tragedy, they've torpedoed parkrun - again?

    It's at least gratifying to know that the Welsh administration is as full of dense fuckwits as the central government, I suppose.
    The RNLI had to cancel their boxing day dip
    Well, to play Devil's Advocate for just a moment, it's possible that the Welsh Government was so terrified of Omicron that they really wanted to have either a total lockdown, or a near-total lockdown with the schools allowed to stay open. Lacking, however, the resources for mass business closures, they simply banned some stuff it wouldn't cost them anything to ban, to disguise their fundamental weakness.

    I believe that the structure of devolution is flawed and that the Welsh Government really ought to have enough of a devolved tax base and borrowing powers to be able to act independently in a situation such as this, without recourse to the UK Treasury, if it feels that strongly about an issue within its competence. If the consequence of that were to be, for arguments' sake, a 3p hike in all income tax bands and a substantial sum set aside each year to cover debt servicing costs - and the Welsh electorate were then happy to return the Government proposing such a thing - then fine.

    Devolution really is a dog's breakfast - that is, you can argue all you like about the principle of the thing, but the way it's been implemented in practice is grossly incompetent. The New Labour Government and it's Tory successors all have much to answer for in this regard.
    The United Kingdom in its current form no longer works. We have halfway house devolution where different nations get different powers. We have no devolution at all for England and non-English MPs voting on English only affairs. We have an absurd and unsustainable concentration of power and money in England and specifically SE England. It all needs to change and quickly.

    If not? Well Scottish calls for independence are not going away. Northern Ireland, already cast out of the UK trading zone, may have a Sinn Fein government matching a Sinn Fein government in the south. And Wales is finding national voices suppressed for a millennia.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,373

    https://twitter.com/BBCr4today/status/1475766151477178372

    "We've always said this will be an evolution not a revolution"

    Environment Secretary George Eustice tells @bbcnickrobinson the government will keep agriculture spending at the same level under the new subsidy system, while the old payments are phased out over 7 years

    #R4Today

    Has to be said there are lots of ways you could cut spending while maintaining farmers' incomes. An obvious one is you could provide farmers who meet certain environmental standards with a guaranteed minimum income any year their farming income fell below it, rather than the chaotic mess of the CAP where subsidies were too often linked to production.

    That way, you would only pay up in bad years and only to farmers who accepted a level of environmental responsibility- and in my experience that would be a great many if not most of them.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,572

    BTW, The Royal Institution Christmas Lectures has just started on BBC Four. Professor Jonathan Can-Tam is giving a lecture on viruses and the immune system.

    Is that the lesser known brother of JVT ;-)

    That seems like a brilliant selection for the Christmas lecture series.
    Yep, you're right, it's JVT. I'm really having brain-finger interface trouble recently ...

    And yes, it seems like a very good choice. TBF there's rarely a poor lecture series.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,663
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    No - the borders are open and many will cross into England

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/ghost-towns-confused-customers-covid-22585510#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
    Interesting if true. It's not in keeping with the Welsh authorities' previous behaviour, although I spy an ulterior motive.

    Looking at the most recent 7-day case rates by specimen date, Wales's case rate is almost as bad as England's and is actually climbing more rapidly at the moment. Should the progress of the virus continues in this fashion, I wonder how long it'll take somebody from the Welsh Government to blame it on cross-border contagion - rather than being forced to concede the possibility that the extra restrictions they've chosen to impose might have been useless...?
    If Boris decision is proven correct and Drakeford has overreacted again there will be no hiding place
    No matter how hard you cling to the hope that Boris will come good in the end, it ain't happening Big_G.
    It is amazing though that Drakeford keeps defying gravity in the way he does.

    Stripped of the verbiage, he is a fifth rate not very successful academic who owes his entire advancement to networking with a bunch of people of his own sort, whose views are stuck somewhere in 1885 and whose entire policy offering has been a disaster. He's a slightly more articulate version of Richard Burgon or Laura Pidcock. Heck, he's nearly as useless as Johnson and doesn't even have a sense of humour.

    And yet he remains incredibly popular.

    Just goes to show how parochial my fellow Welsh are. They'd rather have somebody like them rather than somebody vaguely capable.
    Tbf, your compatriots only have to look over to Westminster to see how much worse things could be.
    I would say Drakeford's government is actually somewhat worse than Johnson's.

    And I don't say that out of starry eyed admiration for Johnson.

    There are at least some vaguely sane people in the cabinet. I wouldn't go bail for the Welsh Executive.
    The Welsh polls suggest your views are not widely shared.
    So we come back to my earlier point - they prefer one of their own, regardless of how useless he is.

    It does go a long way towards explaining why Wales is in such a mess.
    But surely all the Welsh party leaders are, er... Welsh, and therefore one of your own?
  • stodgestodge Posts: 13,874

    stodge said:

    xxxxx5 said:

    I live in a red wall seat and Labour offer me nothing. Correct Horse Battery was simply on another planet saying New Labour did more for people like me between 1997 and 2010 really? Free movement reducing wages in return for more sure start buildings the hall mark of New Labour between 1997 and 2010. What is Starmers offer? Vote Labour get more free movement?

    We heard this from someone else on here yesterday.

    I'm clear what you don't want but what DO you want? A freeze on all immigration - the forced repatriation of EU citizens within the UK?

    As a Londoner, I don't pretend to understand "the red wall" though my Borough (Newham) is solid Labour. For what kind of political/financial settlement are you looking?
    Hi @stodge, hope you are keeping well.

    What I was alluding to yesterday was around why we need to constantly put London against the rest of the country? There is immense poverty in parts of London, people there need/want levelling up, just as the North needs it too.

    I just don't like the idea a working class person in London isn't actually a working class person, that they're somehow actually part of the metropolitan elite and worthy of ridicule.
    Hello, @CorrectHorseBattery - all well thank you.

    We've heard from two "red wall" voters claiming Labour did nothing for them for years and the Conservatives have done nothing for them.

    I no more understand "Levelling Up" than I did "The Big Society". I genuinely don't know what people in parts of the Midlands and the North want - it's more than just having money thrown at them I think. It's more fundamental about how their communities work or don't work. There's a fair bit of scapegoating around immigration and migrant workers - the same could be said in London as well.

    The problem is politicians recognise there's a problem, say they want to do "something" without really understand what the nature of the problem is let alone how and even if it can be resolved.
  • BTW, The Royal Institution Christmas Lectures has just started on BBC Four. Professor Jonathan Can-Tam is giving a lecture on viruses and the immune system.

    Is that the lesser known brother of JVT ;-)

    That seems like a brilliant selection for the Christmas lecture series.
    Yep, you're right, it's JVT. I'm really having brain-finger interface trouble recently ...

    And yes, it seems like a very good choice. TBF there's rarely a poor lecture series.
    Why the hell do they stick it away on BBC4, a channel for oldies, when this is for youngsters.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,401
    edited December 2021
    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    xxxxx5 said:

    I live in a red wall seat and Labour offer me nothing. Correct Horse Battery was simply on another planet saying New Labour did more for people like me between 1997 and 2010 really? Free movement reducing wages in return for more sure start buildings the hall mark of New Labour between 1997 and 2010. What is Starmers offer? Vote Labour get more free movement?

    I assume that wages rose a tad. Poverty fell, schools and hospitals rebuilt etc etc. I know it wasn't enough but "nothing" just demonstrates that you are of the Don't Look Up mentality ignoring what is in front of you.
    Wages may have rose a tad and relative poverty may have fallen but in comparison to the south and London it was negligible. The gap accelerated. Hospitals and schools rebuilt. All PFI which we will be paying for years. It’s merely robbing Peter to pay Paul.
    Wages grew a lot - the days of £2.20 an hour are the past. Absolute grinding poverty fell away. And the hospitals and schools that were literally crumbling away needed replacing - its not as if borrowing to do so was on the agenda. So what was the alternative?

    I do agree that the economy is heavily imbalanced to the SE. The problem is that nobody is offering a solution. The Tories are demonstrating that "levelling up" doesn't really extend beyond window dressing and a slogan. Brexit has made it worse not better for manufacturing. So what else is there?

    The sad reality is that in England there seems to be no idea - none at all - about how to fix the structural problems. As an advocate for federalism and regionalism I can see how it could be done, but neither option for government is interested so the decline will continue.
    Wages grew a lot if you were earning well under minimum wage but that was nowhere near what many people earned minimum wage not only dragged wages up but also dragged some down. How many people earned £2.20 an hour when labour came to power. I was doing bar work then and earned more than that. What they do for productivity ? It didn’t really improve. Economic growth was based on consumer spending and manufacturing suffered catastrophic job losses and factory closures. Still, we got a few call centres.

    It would have been more cost effective to borrow so why not. If it’s better than saddling us with punitive debt and repayments then they should have had the courage to do to.
    So. What ideas do you have for solving all this?
    It can't simply be "attract more private investment and well-paid jobs.'"
    Cos no one's managed that for decades.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,373
    edited December 2021

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    No - the borders are open and many will cross into England

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/ghost-towns-confused-customers-covid-22585510#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
    Interesting if true. It's not in keeping with the Welsh authorities' previous behaviour, although I spy an ulterior motive.

    Looking at the most recent 7-day case rates by specimen date, Wales's case rate is almost as bad as England's and is actually climbing more rapidly at the moment. Should the progress of the virus continues in this fashion, I wonder how long it'll take somebody from the Welsh Government to blame it on cross-border contagion - rather than being forced to concede the possibility that the extra restrictions they've chosen to impose might have been useless...?
    If Boris decision is proven correct and Drakeford has overreacted again there will be no hiding place
    No matter how hard you cling to the hope that Boris will come good in the end, it ain't happening Big_G.
    It is amazing though that Drakeford keeps defying gravity in the way he does.

    Stripped of the verbiage, he is a fifth rate not very successful academic who owes his entire advancement to networking with a bunch of people of his own sort, whose views are stuck somewhere in 1885 and whose entire policy offering has been a disaster. He's a slightly more articulate version of Richard Burgon or Laura Pidcock. Heck, he's nearly as useless as Johnson and doesn't even have a sense of humour.

    And yet he remains incredibly popular.

    Just goes to show how parochial my fellow Welsh are. They'd rather have somebody like them rather than somebody vaguely capable.
    Tbf, your compatriots only have to look over to Westminster to see how much worse things could be.
    I would say Drakeford's government is actually somewhat worse than Johnson's.

    And I don't say that out of starry eyed admiration for Johnson.

    There are at least some vaguely sane people in the cabinet. I wouldn't go bail for the Welsh Executive.
    The Welsh polls suggest your views are not widely shared.
    So we come back to my earlier point - they prefer one of their own, regardless of how useless he is.

    It does go a long way towards explaining why Wales is in such a mess.
    But surely all the Welsh party leaders are, er... Welsh, and therefore one of your own?
    'They'd rather have somebody like them' includes somebody who shares the frankly antediluvian views of many in the Valleys. Which is where most - not all - of Labour's strength is concentrated.

    Although that said the Welsh Assembly Tories are a weird lot as well. The key difference between Andrew RT Davies and Drakeford as far as I can see is that Davies is a lot fatter.
  • pm215pm215 Posts: 1,130
    edited December 2021


    I do agree that the economy is heavily imbalanced to the SE. The problem is that nobody is offering a solution. The Tories are demonstrating that "levelling up" doesn't really extend beyond window dressing and a slogan. Brexit has made it worse not better for manufacturing. So what else is there?

    The sad reality is that in England there seems to be no idea - none at all - about how to fix the structural problems. As an advocate for federalism and regionalism I can see how it could be done, but neither option for government is interested so the decline will continue.

    Personally I incline to the pessimistic take that nobody knows a solution for the regional imbalance and that this is because there may well not be one. This is an extension of my opinion that the global economy and finance system is a massive and chaotic one that nobody can or does comprehend[*], but to which we have for better or worse yoked all our livelihoods.
    [*] Some people have managed to identify points in the system where they can siphon off money, but deliberately predicting and adjusting the system to achieve productive ends is harder.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,663
    edited December 2021

    BTW, The Royal Institution Christmas Lectures has just started on BBC Four. Professor Jonathan Can-Tam is giving a lecture on viruses and the immune system.

    Is that the lesser known brother of JVT ;-)

    That seems like a brilliant selection for the Christmas lecture series.
    Yep, you're right, it's JVT. I'm really having brain-finger interface trouble recently ...

    And yes, it seems like a very good choice. TBF there's rarely a poor lecture series.
    Why the hell do they stick it away on BBC4, a channel for oldies, when this is for youngsters.
    I believe under 18s are allowed to watch BBC4.
  • ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    pigeon said:

    pigeon said:

    Thousands of New Year’s Eve revellers are expected to escape strict Covid-19 restrictions in Wales by hopping across the border to visit nightspots in English towns and cities.

    Leaders of the nightlife industry in Wales are angry that they will lose trade to their counterparts in England because Welsh nightclubs have been ordered to shut and pubs told to put in social distancing measures.

    But the Welsh government said on Tuesday that its restrictions were proportionate, with the latest seven-day coronavirus rate per 100,000 people rising to 1,004 – the highest since the pandemic began. About 6,000 new infections are being confirmed daily, the majority caused by the Omicron variant.


    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/dec/28/england-braces-for-welsh-revellers-escaping-covid-restrictions

    Question for Welsh readers: given that Welsh police officers were stationed along the border earlier in the pandemic, has Mr Drakeford revealed any new plans to try to stop his own people from absconding from his dreary territory to attend forbidden parties?

    No - the borders are open and many will cross into England

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/ghost-towns-confused-customers-covid-22585510#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
    Interesting if true. It's not in keeping with the Welsh authorities' previous behaviour, although I spy an ulterior motive.

    Looking at the most recent 7-day case rates by specimen date, Wales's case rate is almost as bad as England's and is actually climbing more rapidly at the moment. Should the progress of the virus continues in this fashion, I wonder how long it'll take somebody from the Welsh Government to blame it on cross-border contagion - rather than being forced to concede the possibility that the extra restrictions they've chosen to impose might have been useless...?
    If Boris decision is proven correct and Drakeford has overreacted again there will be no hiding place
    No matter how hard you cling to the hope that Boris will come good in the end, it ain't happening Big_G.
    It is amazing though that Drakeford keeps defying gravity in the way he does.

    Stripped of the verbiage, he is a fifth rate not very successful academic who owes his entire advancement to networking with a bunch of people of his own sort, whose views are stuck somewhere in 1885 and whose entire policy offering has been a disaster. He's a slightly more articulate version of Richard Burgon or Laura Pidcock. Heck, he's nearly as useless as Johnson and doesn't even have a sense of humour.

    And yet he remains incredibly popular.

    Just goes to show how parochial my fellow Welsh are. They'd rather have somebody like them rather than somebody vaguely capable.
    Tbf, your compatriots only have to look over to Westminster to see how much worse things could be.
    I would say Drakeford's government is actually somewhat worse than Johnson's.

    And I don't say that out of starry eyed admiration for Johnson.

    There are at least some vaguely sane people in the cabinet. I wouldn't go bail for the Welsh Executive.
    The Welsh polls suggest your views are not widely shared.
    So we come back to my earlier point - they prefer one of their own, regardless of how useless he is.

    It does go a long way towards explaining why Wales is in such a mess.
    But surely all the Welsh party leaders are, er... Welsh, and therefore one of your own?
    'They'd rather have somebody like them' includes somebody who shares the frankly antediluvian views of many in the Valleys. Which is where most - not all - of Labour's strength is concentrated.

    Although that said the Welsh Assembly Tories are a weird lot as well. The key difference between Andrew RT Davies and Drakeford as far as I can see is that Davies is a lot fatter.
    Andrew RT Davies is hopeless
  • Taz said:

    Taz said:

    xxxxx5 said:

    I live in a red wall seat and Labour offer me nothing. Correct Horse Battery was simply on another planet saying New Labour did more for people like me between 1997 and 2010 really? Free movement reducing wages in return for more sure start buildings the hall mark of New Labour between 1997 and 2010. What is Starmers offer? Vote Labour get more free movement?

    I assume that wages rose a tad. Poverty fell, schools and hospitals rebuilt etc etc. I know it wasn't enough but "nothing" just demonstrates that you are of the Don't Look Up mentality ignoring what is in front of you.
    Wages may have rose a tad and relative poverty may have fallen but in comparison to the south and London it was negligible. The gap accelerated. Hospitals and schools rebuilt. All PFI which we will be paying for years. It’s merely robbing Peter to pay Paul.
    Wages grew a lot - the days of £2.20 an hour are the past. Absolute grinding poverty fell away. And the hospitals and schools that were literally crumbling away needed replacing - its not as if borrowing to do so was on the agenda. So what was the alternative?

    I do agree that the economy is heavily imbalanced to the SE. The problem is that nobody is offering a solution. The Tories are demonstrating that "levelling up" doesn't really extend beyond window dressing and a slogan. Brexit has made it worse not better for manufacturing. So what else is there?

    The sad reality is that in England there seems to be no idea - none at all - about how to fix the structural problems. As an advocate for federalism and regionalism I can see how it could be done, but neither option for government is interested so the decline will continue.
    Wages grew a lot if you were earning well under minimum wage but that was nowhere near what many people earned minimum wage not only dragged wages up but also dragged some down. How many people earned £2.20 an hour when labour came to power. I was doing bar work then and earned more than that. What they do for productivity ? It didn’t really improve. Economic growth was based on consumer spending and manufacturing suffered catastrophic job losses and factory closures. Still, we got a few call centres.

    It would have been more cost effective to borrow so why not. If it’s better than saddling us with punitive debt and repayments then they should have had the courage to do to.
    I agree with you about borrowing to invest. But in 1997 that simply wasn't an option politically. So the realistic options were expand Ken Clarke's PFI or let the schools and hospitals crumble further.

    The challenge for the red wall is that whilst I entirely agree with you that tradition and manufacturing was replaced by transience and call centres, neither party have any solutions. These areas didn't recover after the 1980s dismantling of manufacturing. They have now voted for the party who did the dismantling and amazingly enough we aren't seeing a renaissance in it. Brexit hampers manufacturing further, and the long-term strategic investment required is beyond both whats left of industry and government.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,249
    Eabhal said:

    The park run thing. I'm still pissed off we didn't have a big national effort to get more people below BMI 25, given how important it is as a comorbidity.

    Closing the gyms I understand. But outdoor sport is just counter-productive.

    Take a look at pictures of the people making the decisions.

    Do they look like someone who goes for a run or participates in outdoor sport?

    My favourite in lockdown, in London, was when a councillor was demanding that the rowing clubs be completely shut. At this point, the only people going out were single sculling, or couples in doubles....

    So you have a sport that is

    - completely outside
    - your are double digit meters away from others at all times, unless you hold a rave on the pontoon....

    The bloke in question looked like a whale.
This discussion has been closed.