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Poll suggests that the LAB lead would be just 3% with PM Sunak – politicalbetting.com

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  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,155

    Well quite. I think this is the plan, or outline idea, but I’m not in favour. I hoped that two divisions and promotion/relegation would work. I got endlessly fed up with radio 5 not understanding that division 1 was above division 2. How often did they report on second division games ahead of first? They would never report on championship football ahead of the premiership.
    I think the ecb needs to look at what it wants to achieve. It’s clear the main focus has been world cups (T20 and one day), and fair enough we won one, and lost the other on the toss. But the test team is being done no favours. Back in the day of 17 counties all playing each other home and away (more or less), batsmen got time in the middle. It’s easy to mock Boycott, but by god he’d be first on the sheet right now.
    If the ECB want to grab some more power over the domestic game, the most useful thing they could do would be to directly employ all the groundstaff, and take over control of the preparation of the county pitches. There is a bit too much preparation of pitches to suit the competitive interests of the home team, rather than providing a fair surface for a good contest and the skills development of the players.
  • moonshine said:

    It’s going to take until 2024 for people to fully return to their senses I reckon. To stop being scared of the spectre of the invisible bringer of doom. Even now when the hospitalisation data (and transmission stats) are plain to see, some of the weaker minded here are still clinging to the idea that mandates restrictions are desirable and worthwhile. I predict most will look back in the same way they look back on backing Corbyn. “What was I thinking?”.
    How about 'Johnson, what was I thinking'? Quite a few of those weaker minded on here.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Nobody is ever "enduring" electoral magic.

    Saying that a political career will end doesn't make you wise or insightful.
    White Star Line statement 17/4/1912 "It would be naive to overlook the fact that all ships have a finite lifespan..."
  • ydoethur said:

    All political careers end in failure, as Enoch Powell once said.

    Johnson is currently vying with Eden, Chamberlain and Asquith for the most spectacular career ending implosion since householder suffrage was brought in in 1884-85.
    Well, Boris wanted to go down in history.

    Admittedly, not quite like this.

    Be careful what you wish for.
  • Johnson is not focusing on anything other than self-preservation. He is not in control, he is not making decisions based on evidence or possible outcomes for the NHS.

    Johnson is being held hostage by the CRG and ambitious cabinet colleagues. He is Prime Minister in name only. He is a PM with no decision making power.
    Good!

    We don't have an elected President. If MPs and the Cabinet are against such restrictions then the PM should be listening to them and respecting them.

    That's not a bad thing. Especially given the CRG called this right.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,097
    IshmaelZ said:

    "environmental deserts" is, with respect, unfettered wankerspeak. I thought you said you had climbed all sorts of munros, which tend to be deer forests. Do they look like deserts to you? They don't to me. And here's the RSPB (not a pro-grouse front organisation) saying basically it's really really hard to tell whether grouse moors are a net gain or loss environmentally

    http://ww2.rspb.org.uk/images/grant_mallord_stephen_thompson_2012_tcm9-318973.pdf

    "Deer forests don't have trees" and a good thing too. People think in the abstract woods are lovely. In fact they create a true environmental desert at ground level because all the light is stolen by the canopy, they are hopeless at sequestering carbon because they fail to duplicate the afungal environment which used to turn them into coal, when felled they leave a landscape as horrible as the Somme, and the only sound reasons for planting them are to build wooden navies, or for cricket bats.
    Climbed all of them, actually :)

    I agree that the sitka plantations to which you refer are probably even worse. I'm talking about natural regeneration. Upper Glen Nevis another example.

  • EndillionEndillion Posts: 4,976
    Roger said:
    By reminding everyone of his previous display of exceptionally poor judgment?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,896
    edited December 2021
    Foxy said:

    Yes, it does affect other sectors too, but farming is particularly prone to price fluctuations.

    New Zealand is a very different place, with possibly the cheapest high quality agricultural land in the world.

    If you think people voted Brexit to shut down British farming then you are likely to not like the next election result.
    Farmers have plenty of opportunity to sell to Australia and New Zealand too. It seems for some Remainers unless free trade is with the EU, who we have a trade deal with too, it is irrelevant and we should put up tariffs as high as possible.

    Some supposed liberals on here this morning would even bring back the Corn Laws it seems
  • British fish caught by British fisherfolk. Good job there’s a big labour pool to draw from and fishing is such an attractive career choice.

    'Fishing boats must carry higher quota of UK crew'

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/fishing-boats-must-carry-higher-quota-of-uk-crew-jsdf3w2mv
  • Dura_Ace said:

    HYUFD has a point. If the tories novichok Johnson now they are stuck with his successor right up to the next GE. Far better to let him take a few more arrows first and change closer to the election.
    I concur. The Tories should stick with Johnson. But then I would say that wouldn’t I?
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,097
    The latest full-ish specimen date cases was 21 Dec at 135,000.

    I stand by my 230,000 figure for max specimen cases in 2021.
  • HYUFD said:

    Actually all alternative leaders bar Sunak poll worse than Boris and the Tory membership do not want Sunak on the latest ConHome survey
    That is not true

    He does not lead conhome, but that is not the definitive voice of the membership by some distance
  • Dura_Ace said:

    HYUFD has a point. If the tories novichok Johnson now they are stuck with his successor right up to the next GE. Far better to let him take a few more arrows first and change closer to the election.
    Maybe, maybe not. The case for early replacement is that incoming arrows are aimed at Boris personally, such as the return of wallpapergate and the ongoing partygate. These personal scandals needlessly contaminate the Conservative Party if Boris is still at Number 10.

    Boris is only useful as a human shield against scandals that impact the wider government, and to be fair, there are some of those brewing up, such as contracts for croneys.
  • IshmaelZ said:

    White Star Line statement 17/4/1912 "It would be naive to overlook the fact that all ships have a finite lifespan..."
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wRxHYHPzs7s

    Boris got an eighty seat majority, Brexit done and thanks to vaccines handled Covid better than almost every other country on the planet. His candle burnt brightly but now its burnt out and its time to be replaced.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,133

    If the ECB want to grab some more power over the domestic game, the most useful thing they could do would be to directly employ all the groundstaff, and take over control of the preparation of the county pitches. There is a bit too much preparation of pitches to suit the competitive interests of the home team, rather than providing a fair surface for a good contest and the skills development of the players.
    It seems clear to me that cricket is no longer competitive and should be allowed to fade away, like British agriculture and manufacturing.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    My memory of the isolation rules is that there was a fairly prolonged period where one didn’t have to isolate if vaccinated. Is this correct? If so, why and when did it change back?

    In any case, we can’t continue with compulsory seven day isolation for much longer. I have friends who under the ten day regimen spent all or some of the term locked inside despite their being perfectly well. Society cannot function under that protocol, so we need to consider other options.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    Re EU/the farmers and fishermen.

    It's not that they are going to get shafted; small children in Grimsby knew that. It's that they were told they wouldn't be shafted.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,896
    ydoethur said:

    All political careers end in failure, as Enoch Powell once said.

    Johnson is currently vying with Eden, Chamberlain and Asquith for the most spectacular career ending implosion since householder suffrage was brought in in 1884-85.
    All careers end but that does not mean overall they were failures.

    Whatever happens to Boris now he will always be the PM who delivered Brexit, one of the biggest postwar changes in UK policy. He also deserves credit for the vaccine rollout and the booster programme on which the UK is also leading the way
  • CiceroCicero Posts: 3,390
    Stocky said:

    Yes I agree. Baker knows this too.
    "Whom the Gods would destroy, they first make mad".

    Whether Sunak, Truss, Hunt or (God forbid) Baker, the general outlook is extremely bleak for the Tories. The push polls for any given leader fail to pick up that the voters are very pissed off indeed. The economic outlook is now extremely grim and getting worse. So what with sleaze and Covid failures and Brexit failures and general slimy incompetence, I think we will lose the vocabulary to adequately describe the punishment that the Conservatives are likely to take over the next two years. Then there is the general election...
  • British fish caught by British fisherfolk. Good job there’s a big labour pool to draw from and fishing is such an attractive career choice.

    'Fishing boats must carry higher quota of UK crew'

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/fishing-boats-must-carry-higher-quota-of-uk-crew-jsdf3w2mv

    It was the career that sustained generations of my wife's family
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,050
    "There are no Americans at the airport"... https://twitter.com/btsportcricket/status/1475641312993071110
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,454
    Late morning all :)

    I've just seen why no one is on here talking about the gallant and heroic English resistance in Melbourne. I don't mind losing the tenner but that was just painful.

    On topic (vaguely), political parties face an issue when it comes to an unpopular leader. There's an argument and we saw it with Major, Brown and Clegg that the only way is to allow the electorate to exercise their desire to give you a good kicking and accept that both as part of the democratic process and in the knowledge you can start again with a clean slate.

    The leader personalises and carries the sins of the whole party on his/her shoulders but once that is exorcised through the ballot box, the party can start again and in time what happened will cease to matter.

    In truth, Major and Brown carried the can for Thatcher and Blair respectively - we will never know how Thatcher would have fared in a 1991 or 1992 election vs Kinnock or Blair in a 2010 election vs Cameron. They might have prevailed - I think there's a strong argument to say they would not.

    It might help your historical reputation to retire undefeated (to be fair, WSC only won one election out of three as Conservative leader) but your party's reputation suffers as a result. If we accept all political careers end in failure part of that failure (the closure if you like) is to allow the electorate to pass their final judgement and it doesn't matter how loyally they backed you in the past, if they turn on you now, as a politician, you can have no cause for complaint.

    I've seen councillors who worked tirelessly for their constituents for 20 years turned out not because they did a bad job but because either the national picture went against them or people just wanted a change.

    Boris Johnson's genius (and I'm happy to call it that) in the run up to the 2019 GE was to portray himself almost as an Opposition leader opposing the May Government (even though he had supported that Government and served as Foreign Secretary). He was a Conservative seemingly opposing a Conservative Government - it's something you see in states with long periods of one party dominance. The sense of change comes from within.
  • franklynfranklyn Posts: 327
    How long Boris hands on depends, more than anything else, on what Princess Nut Nut is telling him to do.
    I doubt that she is in a hurry to lose the chauffeur-driven cars, high security, Chequers, and above all the opportunity to influence (and largely control) the Prime Minister.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,896
    TOPPING said:

    Re EU/the farmers and fishermen.

    It's not that they are going to get shafted; small children in Grimsby knew that. It's that they were told they wouldn't be shafted.

    The UK has left the CFP, exactly as the fishermen of Grimsby voted for
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    HYUFD said:

    Farmers have plenty of opportunity to sell to Australia and New Zealand too. It seems for some Remainers unless free trade is with the EU, who we have a trade deal with too, it is irrelevant and we should put up tariffs as high as possible.

    Some supposed liberals on here this morning would even bring back the Corn Laws it seems
    Aus & NZ pop in aggregate 30m, how much imported food do you think they could physically eat even if they wanted to?
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,050
    TOPPING said:

    It's that they were told they wouldn't be shafted.

    By BoZo the Shaftsman...
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,368
    edited December 2021

    My memory of the isolation rules is that there was a fairly prolonged period where one didn’t have to isolate if vaccinated. Is this correct? If so, why and when did it change back?

    In any case, we can’t continue with compulsory seven day isolation for much longer. I have friends who under the ten day regimen spent all or some of the term locked inside despite their being perfectly well. Society cannot function under that protocol, so we need to consider other options.

    You didn't have to isolate if you were a double jabbed contact. You had to if you were actually infected.

    With Omicron they changed it back if you were a contact of an identified Omicron case, although I'm not sure whether that still holds good.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,896

    That is not true

    He does not lead conhome, but that is not the definitive voice of the membership by some distance
    ConHome surveys predicted correctly Cameron would beat Davis in 2005 and Boris would beat Hunt in 2019
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Foxy said:

    It seems clear to me that cricket is no longer competitive and should be allowed to fade away, like British agriculture and manufacturing.
    Or outsourced to PRC
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,155
    edited December 2021

    My memory of the isolation rules is that there was a fairly prolonged period where one didn’t have to isolate if vaccinated. Is this correct? If so, why and when did it change back?

    In any case, we can’t continue with compulsory seven day isolation for much longer. I have friends who under the ten day regimen spent all or some of the term locked inside despite their being perfectly well. Society cannot function under that protocol, so we need to consider other options.

    Yes, that was correct. It changed back because of Omicron. EDIT: Or maybe this was just for contacts. I forget. Don't really try to keep up with all the changing rules.

    Maybe it's worth keeping for the Omicron wave, to slow the spread a bit, so that the peak rate of absenteeism due to symptomatic illness in critical sectors is lower than it otherwise would be, but feels like a marginal decision to me.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    HYUFD said:

    The UK has left the CFP, exactly as the fishermen of Grimsby voted for
    Absolutely. And they were told it would be in their best interests to do so.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,537

    The 18 county system was able to provide the players that have done well in limited overs cricket. Not sure why it isn't possible for it to do the same for the Test side.

    If we are to reduce the number of first-class sides then I hope there is an explicit link to the counties in the tier of cricket below them. I'd think a Wessex team, explicitly linked to counties like Somerset and Hampshire, would be a more sensible approach than the city-based franchises they invented for the decimal competition.
    Too much crash-bang-wallop cricket means not enough attention to 'proper' batting. Including defence.
  • TOPPING said:

    Absolutely. And they were told it would be in their best interests to do so.
    Not by the Government of the day they weren't.

    Everyone makes their own informed decision, I see no reasons to pander to Luddites.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,537
    Eabhal said:

    Climbed all of them, actually :)

    I agree that the sitka plantations to which you refer are probably even worse. I'm talking about natural regeneration. Upper Glen Nevis another example.

    Were not much of Britain's uplands forested at one time before they were cleared by humans? A long time ago, admittedly.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668

    Not by the Government of the day they weren't.

    Everyone makes their own informed decision, I see no reasons to pander to Luddites.
    They were told by the leave campaign. Headed by Nigel Farage.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    Too much crash-bang-wallop cricket means not enough attention to 'proper' batting. Including defence.
    Yep, as was pointed out by many of us when the big-money T20 tournaments started. The professional emphasis on the shorter forms of the game, has hollowed-out a lot of the skills required of particularly Test Match batting.
  • TOPPING said:

    They were told by the leave campaign. Headed by Nigel Farage.
    Maybe they shouldn't vote for Nigel Farage next time then. Kick him out of Parliament by not re-electing him.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,155

    Were not much of Britain's uplands forested at one time before they were cleared by humans? A long time ago, admittedly.
    Yes, pretty much trees everywhere, except for the marshlands. However, some places, such as Dartmoor, lost so much soil after the trees were cleared, that I'm not sure the trees would be able to make their way back in the short term.
  • HYUFD said:

    Farmers have plenty of opportunity to sell to Australia and New Zealand too. It seems for some Remainers unless free trade is with the EU, who we have a trade deal with too, it is irrelevant and we should put up tariffs as high as possible.

    Some supposed liberals on here this morning would even bring back the Corn Laws it seems
    This cheesemaker sounds cheesed off with our new trade deals:-
    “And now we’ve also lost Norway since the trade deal, as duty for wholesale is 273%. Then we tried Canada but what the government didn’t tell us is that duty of 244% is applied on any consignment over $20 [£15].”
    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/dec/27/brexit-the-biggest-disaster-that-any-government-has-ever-negotiated
  • Sandpit said:

    Yep, as was pointed out by many of us when the big-money T20 tournaments started. The professional emphasis on the shorter forms of the game, has hollowed-out a lot of the skills required of particularly Test Match batting.
    This series has been a flashback to the nineties and I don't think you can blame the nineties on T20.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,487
    HYUFD said:

    Farmers have plenty of opportunity to sell to Australia and New Zealand too. It seems for some Remainers unless free trade is with the EU, who we have a trade deal with too, it is irrelevant and we should put up tariffs as high as possible.

    Some supposed liberals on here this morning would even bring back the Corn Laws it seems
    What do you propose farmers sell them. I vaguely remember this conversation before and I think we were down to root veg and even that didn't pan out. There aren't that many people there and they are a long way away. Other than some specialities, which we probably provide anyway, I can't think of anything else.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,399
    TOPPING said:

    Re EU/the farmers and fishermen.

    It's not that they are going to get shafted; small children in Grimsby knew that. It's that they were told they wouldn't be shafted.

    They interviewed a Welsh farmer who said he'd have to give up farming because of Brexit. It had taken away his livelihood. He was later asked which way he'd voted in the referendum and he said 'to leave'.

    Unfortunately it was an early morning farming program and the obvious question wasn't asked.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,097

    Were not much of Britain's uplands forested at one time before they were cleared by humans? A long time ago, admittedly.
    Yes, this island was a big rainforest once upon a time before being cleared for agriculture. It's also been deforested multiple times as we went to war.

    I heard that there is more forest in the UK at moment than any time since Henry VIII, mainly because of our huge plantations.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,118
    Carnyx said:

    An interesting piece here, if slightly dated and in a generally emphatically Unionist newspaper btw: does suggest that the SNP might srtruggle to get some votes from the hard Breixters even if the latter abstain (or indeed vote LD, but then the LDs are against Brexit too).

    https://www.thecourier.co.uk/fp/news/scotland/2190229/without-a-doubt-some-will-call-it-a-day-warns-east-neuk-prawn-fisherman-as-covid-19-and-brexit-impact-bites/
    I find your description of the Courier somewhat odd. It seems to me to be very careful to be neutral which is commercial good sense given the predilections of its main circulation areas. They carry lots of SNP columnists and faithfully print rants by the same group of SNP fanatics in their letters column pretty much every day (although, admittedly, that is something a Unionist might be minded to do).
  • Sandpit said:

    Yep, as was pointed out by many of us when the big-money T20 tournaments started. The professional emphasis on the shorter forms of the game, has hollowed-out a lot of the skills required of particularly Test Match batting.
    Don't forget the Hundred ;-)
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,564
    edited December 2021

    Most British farms will no longer be economically viable and will stop producing food! Fantastic!
    That's far too premature and imo somewhat hysterical.

    The devolved Govts are keeping significant elements of the CAP area / production subsidies, and are moving very slowly.

    AIUI in England, which is moving more quickly, only one of three schemes has been detailed, and that is money for public goods such as soil retention and hedges, which is a small amount of iirc £30 per hectare. I may be about a week or two behind with the news.

    It will be years before we see how things are going to work out. We can't possibly know yet.

    Don't forget that the farming lobby are world champion whingers. Witness all the squealing about 30k pigs being 'culled', and how it is all the Govt's fault, which is largely the result of a significant increase in the pig herd of 4% (200k) since last year.

    https://ahdb.org.uk/news/uk-pig-population-was-higher-in-june

    The politics are more interesting - the Govt need to have an improved situation, or a perceived clear path to an improved situation, in place before the next election.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,155
    Sandpit said:

    Yep, as was pointed out by many of us when the big-money T20 tournaments started. The professional emphasis on the shorter forms of the game, has hollowed-out a lot of the skills required of particularly Test Match batting.
    Until the County Championship can make as much money for the players as the IPL (or even the T20 Blast), this will inevitably be the case.

    There were some great games in the County Championship last year. Some great stories. I got to watch lots of it, for free, on the streams from the county grounds. Someone has to work out how to sell the game to more people, and how to make money out of followers like me.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668

    Maybe they shouldn't vote for Nigel Farage next time then. Kick him out of Parliament by not re-electing him.
    Good point only idiots vote for Nigel Farage.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    This series has been a flashback to the nineties and I don't think you can blame the nineties on T20.
    Oh indeed. It’s not helping develop the Test side though, when the players know they can go smash the ball around in India and earn six figures in a month.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,201

    Good!

    We don't have an elected President. If MPs and the Cabinet are against such restrictions then the PM should be listening to them and respecting them.

    That's not a bad thing. Especially given the CRG called this right.
    You don't know the CRG have called this right yet.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,118
    IshmaelZ said:

    "environmental deserts" is, with respect, unfettered wankerspeak. I thought you said you had climbed all sorts of munros, which tend to be deer forests. Do they look like deserts to you? They don't to me. And here's the RSPB (not a pro-grouse front organisation) saying basically it's really really hard to tell whether grouse moors are a net gain or loss environmentally

    http://ww2.rspb.org.uk/images/grant_mallord_stephen_thompson_2012_tcm9-318973.pdf

    "Deer forests don't have trees" and a good thing too. People think in the abstract woods are lovely. In fact they create a true environmental desert at ground level because all the light is stolen by the canopy, they are hopeless at sequestering carbon because they fail to duplicate the afungal environment which used to turn them into coal, when felled they leave a landscape as horrible as the Somme, and the only sound reasons for planting them are to build wooden navies, or for cricket bats.
    Well we certainly don't seem to need any of the latter.

    But the timber is used for construction and reduces imports. And the Somme effects are pretty short term. Around here there are crops of Christmas trees that are cut pretty young. Fields are back in production again within a season.
  • Maybe they shouldn't vote for Nigel Farage next time then. Kick him out of Parliament by not re-electing him.
    There used to be a guy here who said voting for a party led by Farage wasn't voting for Farage (somewhat unconvincingly it has to be said), dunno what happened to him.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,368

    Don't forget the Hundred ;-)
    The tournament that had lower average crowds than the T20 blast and £2.1 million of whose profit (it's not clear if there was any more) was shared among the board members of the ECB not invested in the game?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,896

    Too much crash-bang-wallop cricket means not enough attention to 'proper' batting. Including defence.
    Same applies to Australia the fact is we Poms almost always get thrashed by the Aussies in the winter tests. It is just a Christmas tradition
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,050
    At least the bowlers will be fresh for Sydney…
    https://twitter.com/alexmassie/status/1475772992114368515
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    300k new cases a day would do more harm.
    Presumably not all people are infectious for all the 7 days. Some will have been missed in the early days, some will get better quicker.

    So it’s a trade off between economic damage and number of cases.

    I’m sure they have modelled although I haven’t seen
  • This cheesemaker sounds cheesed off with our new trade deals:-
    “And now we’ve also lost Norway since the trade deal, as duty for wholesale is 273%. Then we tried Canada but what the government didn’t tell us is that duty of 244% is applied on any consignment over $20 [£15].”
    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/dec/27/brexit-the-biggest-disaster-that-any-government-has-ever-negotiated
    'It turns out our greatest competitor on the planet is the UK government' is a phrase for the obituaries of governments.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,896
    TOPPING said:

    Absolutely. And they were told it would be in their best interests to do so.
    UK fishermen have always wanted that as it means they get more of their catch.

    For goodness sake fishermen in Grimsby and the Southwest voted UKIP for years before the EU referendum they got what they voted for
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,537
    edited December 2021
    Eabhal said:

    Yes, this island was a big rainforest once upon a time before being cleared for agriculture. It's also been deforested multiple times as we went to war.

    I heard that there is more forest in the UK at moment than any time since Henry VIII, mainly because of our huge plantations.
    Agreed; there's a heath not far away from here which was ploughed up during WWII but has now reverted to scrub and 'forest'..... well, a small wood.
    And the birds, small mammals and insects have slowly come back. Takes time though.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Yes, pretty much trees everywhere, except for the marshlands. However, some places, such as Dartmoor, lost so much soil after the trees were cleared, that I'm not sure the trees would be able to make their way back in the short term.
    I don't think that is right. Plenty of soil on Dartmoor except the tops of the tors and 1000s of acres of forestry round Postbridge. The Highlands otoh seem to have a tree line above which nothing grows but the odd rowan.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,896

    This cheesemaker sounds cheesed off with our new trade deals:-
    “And now we’ve also lost Norway since the trade deal, as duty for wholesale is 273%. Then we tried Canada but what the government didn’t tell us is that duty of 244% is applied on any consignment over $20 [£15].”
    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/dec/27/brexit-the-biggest-disaster-that-any-government-has-ever-negotiated
    On current polls Starmer will become PM and we will be back in the single market or closely aligned to it anyway.

  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,371
    edited December 2021
    ydoethur said:

    The tournament that had lower average crowds than the T20 blast and £2.1 million of whose profit (it's not clear if there was any more) was shared among the board members of the ECB not invested in the game?
    Did it really? I didn't know that. I was under the impression the attendance was higher, BUT a huge amount of it had been padded by free give aways to existing members of clubs and to kids.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,564
    Foxy said:

    It isn't just subsidies, but rather price stabilisation that matters to farmers. In order to have a viable harvest they need to have some idea of the selling price. Otherwise they are just gambling on the weather, vs the weather in other parts of the world.

    Why should price stabilisation not happen?
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,050
    HYUFD said:


    UK fishermen have always wanted that as it means they get more of their catch.

    Unfortunately they also wanted to be able to sell it.

    Unlucky...
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,564
    edited December 2021
    Carnyx said:

    Not completely sure it works that way; grain is a problem (bread wheats tend to be imported). And in an earlier era of free trade (within the Empire), the farms abandoned grain and went for cattle and milk instead. Caused huge problems changing over in 1939 with the coming of war. And some upland is only good for sheep (which produce wool too). But some impact on intensive stockrearing seems likely. Yet why close it down in the UK for the benefit of intensive stockrearers in other countries?

    Not saying you are wrong - just that it's a huge problem.
    Tend to agree - there will be four different support regimes, and the space to adjust them as the status changes.

    Over a period of years I'm expecting more UK based production, especially in horticulture, but we will see.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    kjh said:

    What do you propose farmers sell them. I vaguely remember this conversation before and I think we were down to root veg and even that didn't pan out. There aren't that many people there and they are a long way away. Other than some specialities, which we probably provide anyway, I can't think of anything else.
    We could send them Marmite, but a. it's a bit marmite and b. Vegemite.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,371
    edited December 2021

    This cheesemaker sounds cheesed off with our new trade deals:-
    “And now we’ve also lost Norway since the trade deal, as duty for wholesale is 273%. Then we tried Canada but what the government didn’t tell us is that duty of 244% is applied on any consignment over $20 [£15].”
    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/dec/27/brexit-the-biggest-disaster-that-any-government-has-ever-negotiated
    Arhhh thought we hadn't heard from the Pagel of Brexit for a while....
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,368
    edited December 2021

    Did it really? I didn't know that. I was under the impression the attendance was higher, BUT a huge amount of it had been padded by free give aways to existing members of clubs and to kids.
    Generally speaking, the crowds at the main grounds were slightly smaller - e.g. Trent Rockets got 12,000 as against 12,300 for Nottinghamshire's blast games in 2019.

    However, there were only half the number of grounds in use...made worse by the number of matches that were double headers where previously the Kia Series for women was at a different ground again.

    So yes, attendance was quite well down overall. That's even before we ponder how many actually paid as against having free tickets.

    Equally, (1) it was in the middle of a pandemic so it's not altogether surprising, and (2) it was the TV rights they were trying to make a profit on.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,118
    MattW said:

    Why should price stabilisation not happen?
    It does. Very few farmers sell on the open market. They either have long term contracts with supermarkets or they sell their crop on the futures markets which are available for almost all products. This may mean that they miss the premium price in times of shortage but it takes a lot of risk out of producing crops that are basically available once a year.

    Where farmers will get twitchy is the open market rate because if that is trending down the supermarkets will squeeze them even tighter in the next contract but, like those with fixed gas tariffs, the effect is not normally immediate.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,399

    This cheesemaker sounds cheesed off with our new trade deals:-
    “And now we’ve also lost Norway since the trade deal, as duty for wholesale is 273%. Then we tried Canada but what the government didn’t tell us is that duty of 244% is applied on any consignment over $20 [£15].”
    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/dec/27/brexit-the-biggest-disaster-that-any-government-has-ever-negotiated
    Extraordinary. Whoever is standing against Liz Truss has got enough ammunition to bury her several times over.
  • ydoethur said:

    Generally speaking, the crowds at the main grounds were slightly smaller - e.g. Trent Rockets got 12,000 as against 12,300 for Nottinghamshire's blast games in 2019.

    However, there were only half the number of grounds in use...made worse by the number of matches that were double headers where previously the Kia Series for women was at a different ground again.

    So yes, attendance was quite well down overall. That!s even before we ponder how many actually paid as against having free tickets.

    Equally, (1) it was in the middle of a pandemic so it's not altogether surprising, and (2) it was the TV rights they were trying to make a profit on.
    Actually to (1).... This was when restrictions had been lifted and people were taking every opportunity to make use of their freedoms, so I would say the opposite. We haven't been able to go to any live sport for months, lets go to the cricket as its a nice summer evening.
  • Scott_xP said:

    Unfortunately they also wanted to be able to sell it.

    Unlucky...
    Once again, be careful what you wish for.

    Otherwise, you end up like the Dudley Moore character in "Bedazzled".
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Agreed; there's a heath not far away from here which was ploughed up during WWII but has now reverted to scrub and 'forest'..... well, a small wood.
    And the birds, small mammals and insects have slowly come back. Takes time though.
    And there's another misconception, that if you want a wood you plant trees. Actually you just fence off a piece of land and leave it for 10 years and there's your wood, without all the stakes and treeguards and stuff
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    DavidL said:

    I find your description of the Courier somewhat odd. It seems to me to be very careful to be neutral which is commercial good sense given the predilections of its main circulation areas. They carry lots of SNP columnists and faithfully print rants by the same group of SNP fanatics in their letters column pretty much every day (although, admittedly, that is something a Unionist might be minded to do).
    Oh good, it's changed from what I recall of my limited experience of it. We could do with more papers like that - particularly if the Herald and Scotsman returned to that. The article I referenced did seem pretty eclectic hence my mild surprise.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,368

    Actually to (1).... This was when restrictions had been lifted and people were taking every opportunity to make use of their freedoms, so I would say the opposite. We haven't been able to go to any live sport for months, lets go to the cricket as its a nice summer evening.
    In my admittedly purely anecdotal experience, there were still people nervous about large sporting events, even if they shouldn't have been.

    Put it this way, I will be interested to see if the crowds match those of the Blast when it gets to next summer, and especially the summer after.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,716
    edited December 2021

    You don't know the CRG have called this right yet.
    Just keep saying "It's like the flu" until, finally, with mass protection in place from vaccination and prior infection, plus a virus mutation away from the lungs, it IS like the flu!

    The deep deep wisdom of the CRG.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,133
    HYUFD said:

    UK fishermen have always wanted that as it means they get more of their catch.

    For goodness sake fishermen in Grimsby and the Southwest voted UKIP for years before the EU referendum they got what they voted for
    Yes, but people who vote for the Face Eating Leopards Party are famous for not expecting it to apply to them...
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,155
    .
    IshmaelZ said:

    And there's another misconception, that if you want a wood you plant trees. Actually you just fence off a piece of land and leave it for 10 years and there's your wood, without all the stakes and treeguards and stuff
    The trendy thing now is to plant lots of smaller samplings much more densely, without the stakes and treeguards, and with a greater diversity of species than with normal tree-planting. It gets you a forest more quickly than waiting for natural regeneration, but without some of the problems associated with normal ways of planting trees.

    See, for example, https://earthwatch.org.uk/get-involved/tiny-forest
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,368

    I have about as much sympathy for Brexit voting fishermen as fishermen have for fish.
    Are you saying it's all pollocks?
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,118

    Actually to (1).... This was when restrictions had been lifted and people were taking every opportunity to make use of their freedoms, so I would say the opposite. We haven't been able to go to any live sport for months, lets go to the cricket as its a nice summer evening.
    Where the 100 was a spectacular success was for women's cricket. It gave them more profile, more money and more TV time than they have ever had. It is probably the most successful women's tournament in the world for them.

    For the men it really did not seem worth producing yet another format that was so similar to T20 with some frankly odd rule changes (not allowing the batsmen to cross, for example). But its early days and it might well bring more money into the game. Its not likely to assist with the shockingly poor performance of our test team though.
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,765
    On cricket, it's no surprise that we are struggling in test matches. The long form of the game in domestic cricket is now utterly desultory, consisting of 10 matches per county played in April, May and September. Nothing, or virtually nothing, in June, July and August, which are given over to fun cricket. I resigned my county membership over this, when it became clear that there was no "proper" 4-day cricket to attend in the summer.
  • MISTYMISTY Posts: 1,594
    Scott_xP said:

    "There are no Americans at the airport"... https://twitter.com/btsportcricket/status/1475641312993071110

    The players just aren't there. They aren't there because county cricket isn't providing them.

    It isn't providing them because it isn't fit for purpose, and hasn't been for a hundred years.

    A reorganisation into ten regional teams would make professionals fight for contracts, up the standard of the competition and make the games mean something.

    Right now, whole swathes of the country are completely unrepresented by this most bankrupt of bankrupt competitions and all too few have any interest whatever.

    Who do you follow at county level if you live in Cornwall, Devon, Bedfordshire, Buckinghamshire, Hertfordshire or Lincolnshire?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,371
    edited December 2021
    ydoethur said:

    In my admittedly purely anecdotal experience, there were still people nervous about large sporting events, even if they shouldn't have been.

    Put it this way, I will be interested to see if the crowds match those of the Blast when it gets to next summer, and especially the summer after.
    I don't see how both the T20 Blast and Hundred survive. IMO, there is room for one, but not both. And it is clear the ECB want it to be the Hundred.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,564
    edited December 2021

    The 18 county system was able to provide the players that have done well in limited overs cricket. Not sure why it isn't possible for it to do the same for the Test side.

    If we are to reduce the number of first-class sides then I hope there is an explicit link to the counties in the tier of cricket below them. I'd think a Wessex team, explicitly linked to counties like Somerset and Hampshire, would be a more sensible approach than the city-based franchises they invented for the decimal competition.
    There are 11 current international grounds.

    If theyw ant a list of about 10 .... ?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,368

    On cricket, it's no surprise that we are struggling in test matches. The long form of the game in domestic cricket is now utterly desultory, consisting of 10 matches per county played in April, May and September. Nothing, or virtually nothing, in June, July and August, which are given over to fun cricket. I resigned my county membership over this, when it became clear that there was no "proper" 4-day cricket to attend in the summer.

    Well, it did this year, but next year it's back to 14.

    Not that that's much better, I'll admit.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    MattW said:

    Tend to agree - there will be four different support regimes, and the space to adjust them as the status changes.

    Over a period of years I'm expecting more UK based production, especially in horticulture, but we will see.
    When I was a student I came across - I think - Adrian Bell's accounts of farming between the wars (on checking, I find he also initiated the Times crossword, and was father of Martin Bell MP). It was either Bell, or a contemporary, who memorably described the impact of Empire free trade and the way in which the farmers changed over to completely different farming at considerable expense, and many went bust. It was not a happy time for them.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,368

    I don't see how both the T20 Blast and Hundred survive. IMO, there is room for one, but not both. And it is clear the ECB want it to be the Hundred.
    The one day cup is the one that will go. Because it has smaller crowds and so is less profitable.

    This will not help our 50 over team but ODIs are a format living on borrowed time anyway in the T20 age.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    I have about as much sympathy for Brexit voting fishermen as fishermen have for fish.
    Quite a few in Scotland - notably the inshore ones who sent a lot of e.g. crustaceans to France - didn't, I be lieve.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,399

    I have about as much sympathy for Brexit voting fishermen as fishermen have for fish.
    Can anyone point to someone who has benefited from BREXIT? It would seem to the layman that if you walk away from a market of 400,000,000 people and replace it with one of 30,000,000 which is inaccessible there is a prima facie case for saying you have lost out!
  • There used to be a guy here who said voting for a party led by Farage wasn't voting for Farage (somewhat unconvincingly it has to be said), dunno what happened to him.
    As a result of that person's vote is Farage in Parliament? Does Farage hold any elected post in the UK Government or any Parliament at all? 🤔

    If the answer is no, then I think that guy was entirely correct. A vote to elect to Parliament, and a vote to eject from Parliament, are two entirely different votes.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,564

    .

    The trendy thing now is to plant lots of smaller samplings much more densely, without the stakes and treeguards, and with a greater diversity of species than with normal tree-planting. It gets you a forest more quickly than waiting for natural regeneration, but without some of the problems associated with normal ways of planting trees.

    See, for example, https://earthwatch.org.uk/get-involved/tiny-forest
    For all the aggregate good it does, and the cost, that's just a fashionable marketing gimmick.

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,896

    I have about as much sympathy for Brexit voting fishermen as fishermen have for fish.
    To be fair to them even if we were back in the single market as long as we were still out of the EU we would also be out of the CFP.

    Hence Norway and Iceland are in the EEA but not the EU
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    IshmaelZ said:

    I don't think that is right. Plenty of soil on Dartmoor except the tops of the tors and 1000s of acres of forestry round Postbridge. The Highlands otoh seem to have a tree line above which nothing grows but the odd rowan.
    PB pedantry: trees do grow - just they are a bit short. About ankle height. Dwarf willow etc.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,371
    edited December 2021
    The big problem is if you listen to the likes of Livingstone talk about batting for T20, its totally different game. And i don't just mean a mindset of wallop it versus defend. I mean he has totally changed everything about how he bats in order to facilitate the massive hitting. Stance, backlift, feet movement. It just isn't the same game, he is trying to launch balls in the air more like a baseball player (or a golfer) by generating bat speed. Everything is geared around that, not how can I ensure that i don't get out for the next 2 hours against a variety of bowling with a swinging / seaming red ball.

    And why wouldn't you, you can earn a £1 million a year getting very good at it.

    And you see this with especially Bairstow in test cricket, his whole game now isn't built for it.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,495
    Dura_Ace said:

    HYUFD has a point. If the tories novichok Johnson now they are stuck with his successor right up to the next GE. Far better to let him take a few more arrows first and change closer to the election.
    A new leader is likely to call an election relatively soon, I think.
    And carrying on with the lame porker for too long is also damaging to Tory prospects.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180

    Nobody is ever "enduring" electoral magic.

    Saying that a political career will end doesn't make you wise or insightful.
    Spot on - the site is full of very wise folk predicting with various degrees of certainty that the w/e will come and the being all smug when it happens - only to be saddos again the following Monday..
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,118
    Carnyx said:

    Oh good, it's changed from what I recall of my limited experience of it. We could do with more papers like that - particularly if the Herald and Scotsman returned to that. The article I referenced did seem pretty eclectic hence my mild surprise.
    I don't think that there is much hope for the Scotsman. It is really a rag that seems increasingly focused on Morningside. The Herald is not great either. To describe the National as a comic would be to insult the output of DC Thomson's.

    Journalism in Scotland is not in a good place. With so much "free" content online how do they compete or monetise their product? I think that the BBC are doing a lot of damage with their local pages.
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