Yvette Cooper really shouldn’t be an MP – politicalbetting.com
Yvette Cooper really shouldn’t be an MP – politicalbetting.com
Following her reappointment as Shadow Home Secretary Yvette Cooper became the third or fourth favourite with a few bookies to succeed Sir Keir Starmer as next Labour leader. I’m not keen to back her, in fact I’m a layer in this market.
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In which case, 'In the North' is not sufficient to equate to Red Wall either. Huddersfield is too fully mapped as urban, too diverse, somewhat studenty, not leavy enough (bang on the national 48.1 to 51.9 according to the main, was it Rawlings did that?, study). no long term trending to Tory. And proposed boundary changes get rid of one village, Kirkheaton which is a mix of red wall / trad Tory, and gain a quite Asian solidly Labour area of the town from Colne Valley.
Near 12% Labour majority, will be a plum.land for whoever the Labour candidate is.
On the other hand, Dewsbury, which would lose a lot of its rural hinterland and gains bona fide red wall areas from both Huddersfield and Batley and Spen - could switch back Labour, but will go from a traditional marginal seat with substantial well off rural areas to a very red wall looking seat.
No sleep till Bradford.
Heck, her majority is so small, even the tiny Yorkshire Party’s intervention saved Cooper. She was extremely lucky.
Maybe being a lucky politician is more important than being a competent politician. See Boris Johnson.
And good luck to Lewis Hamilton, he’s my best result in the Sports Personality market. Hopefully the Dutch Shunt can whack a few more walls today.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/dec/04/uks-progress-on-covid-now-squandered-warns-top-scientist
At what point does the world acknowledge what seems obvious: this virus in now endemic?
Would love to be proven wrong by any boffins out there. (Foxy?)
The new variant seems to make it even more clear that we are all getting it at some point, but thankfully we now have a wide variety of vaccines and treatments available to combat the worst effects of the virus.
Italian politics as unfathomable as ever.
I’m amazed that only 4 sitting MPs have announced their retirement at the next GE. Is the number usually not much higher by this point in a parliament?
The 3 Labour MPs you name, plus the leader of the Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party, Douglas Ross (his Moray constituency is being abolished). Surely there must be a long list of MPs highly unlikely to be candidates at the next GE?
Why are political parties still not properly vetting their candidates’ social media histories, when they know that not-so-friendly opponents and newspapers definitely will be?
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10276171/Lib-Dem-candidate-apologises-appearing-liken-Channel-migrants-Jewish-prisoners.html
Helen Morgan, Lib Dem candidate in North Shropshire with today’s Godwin award, for writing, in the context of her son reading a book about the Holocaust:
“He commented that the Nazis were only able to do such terrible things because they didn’t think their victims were people. He’s 11. On Twitter this morning, there are people talking about cancelling their RNLI donations because they have picked up “illegals”. The language used every day in this country – by the Government, press and people with thousands of followers on social media – it’s nothing short of chilling.”
Then she liked a post from someone who replied:
‘Having visited Auschwitz concentration camp in the recent past. It really brings home man’s inhumanity to man. Now on a daily basis the language and actions of the Conservative Party make me more and more concerned about the direction they are taking the UK and its people.’
Brexit and Corbyn were also probably suppressing Coopers vote in 2019, so in these respects she should recover slightly.
This is what I have been thinking for a while. If you have half the world treating Covid with indifference as they have no other option, then the virus will surely spread and mutate in these places. Who knows: they may even end up being more resilient and immune to it. The way we have tried to treat Covid may end up being a mass failed experiment that ultimately ruins us.
Omicron will be everywhere by Christmas, the only question is how many get sick. There ain't no slack in the system, and after nearly 2 years staff are sorely depleted.
To be fair though I don't think those comments will necessarily do much harm to a liberal democrat candidate.
I cannot see her as leader, but she may have a role as elder statesman.
In the context of a by-election though, they’re trying to get more than just activists to vote for them, and such comments are likely to go down badly across the constituency as a whole.
The comment she liked is worse than the one she actually wrote herself, but her own comment is a Godwin and easier for her opponent to highlight with their own social media campaign. The Tories are very good at hyper-targeted Facebook ads in particular, and these can be done quite under the radar of national journalists watching.
#topthatPBpedants
Hips may have failed, but at least she tried to make home owning easier and more affordable. That’s a good thing. It’s not the first time that a minister was defeated by a blob of vested interests.
I’m sure most rational people would love to see the overall tax burden go up a couple of points, IF the money went straight to NHS staff.
Cut white elephants like nuclear weapons and planeless aircraft carrier and there’d be tons of cash to strengthen NHS resilience.
If staff are “sorely depleted” after only 2 years of this, what is the situation going to look like in 10 years time? New talent must be attracted into the courses and into the job vacancies. Great pay and conditions is a given when young people look at their career options. They are (quite rightly) a fussy generation.
Mr. Jonathan, being lucky can also mean instant defeat when it runs out. See Alexander and Caesar.
- “For G20 countries to hoard life-saving vaccines and deny them to the poorest countries, while allowing tens of millions of doses to go to waste, is a morally indefensible act of medical and social vandalism that should never be forgotten or forgiven.”
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/covid19-pandemic-new-global-architecture-for-health-by-gordon-brown-2021-11
This is the problem with folk who cry wolf: it’s almost impossible to know when they’ve genuinely spotted one.
https://www.lrb.co.uk/the-paper/v43/n24/john-lanchester/as-the-lock-rattles
Just a couple of days ago GPs were told to abandon Diabetes and other chronic disease monitoring so as to do more vaccines. Everything non-covid is being marginalised because there is no slack in the system.
His final run was phenomenal, until it wasn't.
If everyone needs three shots, it’s probably north of $250bn total, an order of magnitude higher than the estimate.
Which means it’s likely going to continue mutating and providing a baseline to profits for Pfizer and Moderna for a very long time, unless we get lucky with its evolutionary path or we have a further scientific breakthrough. Whether that will matter or not depends on the reliability of immunity beyond sterilising antibodies.
One thing I'm going to check is Ferraris not to be classified. Both drivers have had problems already, and there's always the chance of lap 1 woe.
How are aspiring staff and current staff generally treated by training organisations and employers?
1 Very well?
2 Quite well?
3 Barely acceptable?
4 Poorly?
5 Appallingly?
Unless the answer is consistently 1 or 2 then the organisation is in profound trouble.
https://fullfact.org/election-2019/ads/
What the Tories were doing, is testing thousands of different versions of their ads, each sent to quite a small but very specific audience. As the campaign progressed, they refined the messaging based on response to these thousands of ads, to create ads aimed at larger audiences.
There was IIRC in 2015, a story that the Tories were running close to £1m a month on Facebook ads, before the election spending rules kicked in.
Facebook themselves are under pressure to try and stop the very selective targeting, especially in the US election where the spending is massive - but of course, the politicians want to stop only their opponents from effectively getting their messages across, rather than their own!
Quite what is the point of the new travel arrangements? I can, just about, see the point of my Thailand relatives not being allowed to board the plane without a negative test; they are after all going to be in the plane for around twelve hours, and neither I nor they have any issue with them having to have a PCR on arrival, but why does someone on a flight from, say Paris or the Canaries have to do two tests within a very few hours of each other.
And what will be the arrangements at, again as example, for a lorry driver bringing over a load from Europe via Dover.
Has the Sec of State for Health got relations running testing kit supply companies?
That said, I might like to check the lay price for the SC - at the first race at the similar Baku circuit, the top 20 drivers all managed to behave themselves, despite the predictions of chaos and support race havoc. 10/1 might be worth a quid.
- “As well as continuing the simple “Vote Conservative” messaging, new ads also included accusations that Labour would take SNP support in a future coalition in exchange for a second Scottish independence referendum, as well as running another Brexit referendum.”
Starmer must really curse Johan Lamont’s disastrous decision to join the Conservative “Better Together” front in 2012. Back then it was big smiles and photo ops all round. In retrospect it was the political equivalent of voluntarily letting the mafiosi set your feet in a concrete block.
Not sure behaviour will be splendid given how close both title races and the midfield is.
That said, the new race director does seem a little more likely to use the full SC than his sadly departed predecessor, amid rumours that he’s more worried about ‘the show’ than running a straight race.
I’d be surprised if Max doesn’t need a new gearbox, even as a precaution. Remember when Leclerc decided against changing one after hitting the wall in Monaco qualifying, and it failed on the way to the grid so he didn’t start the race at all?
Helen Morgan is absolutely right. I hope she is elected on the 16th to represent North Shropshire at Westminster.
https://www.samrc.ac.za/news/tshwane-district-omicron-variant-patient-profile-early-features
I thought initially this was getting beyond the level of anecdote we've had previously. But looking at it a bit more closely I'm not sure it is, given that the age profile of the patients was different from previously and that they say the patients with COVID-19 not on oxygen were admitted for other reasons.
Many of these actions are done for one thing only - to look as if our lords and masters are doing something.
The tragedy is they're so mind bendingly incompetent we'd be far better off if they did nothing.
Cooper is an accomplished performer, certainly, she seems to antagonise more on the left of,labour than she does in the Tories,
The theory is fine. But it will kill international travel for most people other than the very rich.
Even if there are net seat losses for the Conservatives then gains like this seat could net away some of the losses.
Has anyone seen this reported elsewhere?
It would merit criminal charges if true I would have thought.
Her post really isn’t. What language from the govt and media is ‘chilling’, I mean genuinely chilling as opposed to something people disagree with. The linking with Nazism too. Absurd.
If people want to cancel donations to the RNLI over this that’s up,to,them, and it’s amazing the amount of times we read posts like this of a politician, or celebrity. Recounting what words of wisdom, that just happen to chime with their worldview, that their offspring has spouted.
I have said here before we should process claims in France and bring people here safely. The current situation cannot continue. People should not be putting their lives at risk to come here in small dinghies but open door migration, as supported by many lib democrats is not the answer either.
Even if you do think the government is genuinely evil, comparing pretty much anything with the worst genocide of the last century is not a good look among floating voters.
Now for Richard Burgon so she can have a Dick and Balls.
He's struggled for relevance and income ever since. Good while it lasted though.
If true heads should roll, but they won’t.
https://twitter.com/zokko18/status/1467207404815323138?s=21
There was a chap about 2000 years ago who had some interesting observations about motes and beams. She should reflect on it.
One can only hope these restrictions will be gone not long into next year.
"...in my humble opinion..."
https://twitter.com/miamalan/status/1467172016918773775?t=DAnrPsnx4yquhTwHOOvjXg&s=19
So if a politician comes along and says effectively that all human beings matter, that all lives matter - then this is an important message. They themselves also matter to the Lib Dems. It is quite different from the Conservative message, which says that the only people who matter are the stinking rich and their chums.
At a time of capacity constraint it was obviously politically impossible to divert vaccines from our own populations, but that excuse expired some time back.
It will affect everyone.
But at least @Philip_Thompson had a say in this democratic decision by the government.
It would have been entirely possible given sufficient funding.
And the economic benefit would have been in the hundreds of billions to the developed world.
We know that the new variants of pathogens can emerge in patients with immune system diseases who have received advanced medical treatment, and who are alive but with weakened immune systems. These new variants can have severe consequences for global human health if we are not careful. High technology is a doubled-edged sword and having a very large human global population makes the risks to humanity much higher.
Edit - apparently they've redesigned the driving position to accommodate new wing mirrors, without realising that somebody under about 5 foot 5 couldn't see the mirrors and drive the bus at the same time.
That's pretty impressively incompetent. Heck, even Nicky Morgan wasn't quite that stupid.
Vaccine equity is no longer about lack of vaccine, but state capacity to distribute and vaccine hesitancy.
https://thetimes.co.uk/article/world-has-stockpiled-more-covid-vaccines-than-it-can-use-qz79rm66n
https://twitter.com/Cox_A_R
Rep. Tim Burchett (member of Foreign Affairs Committee) in a letter this week to the Pentagon:
“The American people deserve to know whether we are alone in our galaxy… it is incredibly problematic that we still do not know if these UAPs are simply airborne clutter, advanced adversarial systems, or even advanced technologies not of this world”.
That said, when I went to Greece last year and had an obligatory LFT test before departure the doc doing it was just about standing on the other side of the room and the swab only just touched my tongue. And moments later it was negative!!