Johnson’s Nightmare November continues with another bad poll – politicalbetting.com
Johnson’s Nightmare November continues with another bad poll – politicalbetting.com
Yet another pollster, Survation, has the Tories losing their poll lead although it has the main parties level pegging.
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Starmer could become PM though with SNP and LD support
https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/fcgi-bin/usercode.py?scotcontrol=Y&CON=37&LAB=36&LIB=10&Reform=2&Green=4&UKIP=&TVCON=&TVLAB=&TVLIB=&TVReform=&TVGreen=&TVUKIP=&SCOTCON=22.3&SCOTLAB=18.3&SCOTLIB=6.3&SCOTReform=0.7&SCOTGreen=0.7&SCOTUKIP=&SCOTNAT=48.3&display=AllChanged&regorseat=(none)&boundary=2019nbbase
One for the PB mask haters. As someone who attended one of my first big social functions maskless on Saturday night and now has Covid I support its message. Wear a mask.
The Tories are in a slightly weaker position out of the previous GE compared to 1987 though. The length of time with a Tory Gov't is similar though.
Other parallel is possibly 2010.
Labour should be disappointed.
The only thing standing between the Tories and oblivion is a Labour Party and leader which looks convincing.
The Tory lead is 11.7%, Tory Maj 78....
Seats gained by Lab on swings / Total seats lost by Tories with swing against the Tories (& since the DUP don't run in GB, they're all broadly anti Tory parties)
1% 8 / 14
2% 19 / 26
3% 28 / 40
4% 42 / 56
5% 51 / 70
I think if push and shove come the DUP (Or whichever unionist party is the main one in NI) will c&s the Tories again over Starmer.
So Starmer likely needs a swing over 4.5% to gain power. Which is a couple of % behind.
One more time: Wear a mask FFS!
PS: Sorry to hear you have it OLB. I hope you make a speedy recovery.
So a rich person starts getting 100% free care after 5 years while a poor person starts getting it after 15 years.
Nice to know you wish to screw the inheritance of people with little while allowing your rich mates to receive a large inheritance.
Less post trains and parcel rooms at stations. Wfh, less commuting. Zoom, less business travel. Work meet ups at hotel airports or countryside hotels instead.
Amazon delivering using drones.
Maybe doesn’t need rail or road expansion?
@GNev2
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1h
The scrapping of a major Northern Rail Route should be the final straw for this government with their “ Levelling Up “ pledge . This along with monumental corruption , the lack of planning for a post Brexit economy and their COVID ineptness should be enough to bring them down!
Demand for long distance travel will increase in the future not decrease (it's already close to pre covid levels).
@Smyth_Chris
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44m
Andrew Dilnot - author of original plan for care cap - slams this change before MPs, saying he is "very disappointed" saying "the less well off will not gain any benefit from the cap" as a result
Only the U.K. could see an opportunity to connect its second and third largest cities, both growing quickly and generating a bucket of good new jobs, and cancel the transport link for…wait for it… £4 billion
That is 8 days of NHS spending, or the cost of four naval destroyers
Labour seem to be running a joint leadership ticket. Starmer seems unable to assert his authority and leadership. It seems a mess.
I vote labour at GE’s with no enthusiasm, I don’t think I am going to bother with any party in 2023/4. Labour, once the party of the working class is now the party that has subcontracted out its LGBT Policy to Stonewall, its Green policies to Exctinction Rebellion and its Diversity policy to BLM. IT doesn’t seem to want to give a voice to working class communities it used to represent, indeed it seems to hold them in contempt.
Birmingham to Nottingham - 27 minutes under his plan.
"city centre to city centre" he said.
Is that right? The faster line will go to E Mids Parkway - miles and miles from Nottm city centre. From there it must be what 15 mins to nottm on normal lines? So Brum city to Parkway is < 15 mins??
Good line
Also, pet peeve: I wish journals would make the online supplementary material easier to find - here it apparently includes the search strategy, but I haven't yet found it. I'm not alone - I've had people emailing me asking for supplements because they can't find them on the journal website. And one journal that refused to host a supplement because it was too long (not too big data wise - well under a MB, smaller than the journal's own article PDF, but lots of pages). That was a comprehensive search strategy that would enable anyone wanting to replicate/update the review in future to do so with ease. As it is, they'll have to email me and hope I'm still available.
(For those not in academia: journals still, even online-only ones, generally have strict word limits for articles, but will enable details on methods, sensitivity analyses, further subdivision of results etc to be provided in an online-only supplement, often as a PDF file - this is important for transparency and reproducibility.)
Labour has a habit of choosing duds.
From my perspective as a LD it is pretty good compared to the last couple of years, but utter, utter crap for a mid term. Grrrr.
Get your jab and live your life. Masks served a purpose when we didn't have vaccines. No need to play into antivaxxer memes and keep on with masks or distancing or anything else. Jabs and normal life is where we're upto now.
The rest of the world that isn't vaccinated, masks may be useful for them.
Minority governments or those with very small majorities are rarely successful in this country, and are often abject failures. Only the 1964-66 Wilson government is an exception to that rule.
This is precisely what is wrong with Whitehall. Most Northerners don't give a f**k about London. What about one Northern city to another Northern town or city?
Same old fake news this time in the front page of a respected paper as The Times! And btw I am not a "he" but a "she" who has always admired the quality of British media. Sad.
https://twitter.com/xhacka_olta/status/1461262182193283077?s=20
I just don't see what is being gained by stopping at Parkway rather than another few miles and Toton, where masses of plans have been made for major investment by local government and businesses. Saving a few million?
Mike McCulloch
@memcculloch
This is the problem. I can't mention this without being fired, but here goes: I've just been sent emails re decolonising our curriculum. I object to this 100%. It's racist & sexist (anti white male) & a twisting of factual subjects for emotional reasons. It's anti science!
https://twitter.com/memcculloch/status/1461290066760900613
His bio -
Mike McCulloch
@memcculloch
Physicist/PhD/Lecturer/author/artist/proud father. I've proposed new physics that gets rid of dark matter, allows a new engine. Based. XY. Opinions r mine alone
Devon, UKphysicsfromtheedge.blogspot.co.uk
Plus of course Labour won those in social housing and renting even in 2019, so they are hardly the Tory core vote or even voters who voted Tory in 2019 when Boris won a majority of 80.
However given the average house price is now well over £200k the social care reforms ensure that most of their estate is kept exempt from the costs of care for the average person and up. For those with fewer assets there will still be means tested support
Thatcher, Major, Cameron and Boris were convincing - and all won a majority at an election too.
Hague, IDS, Howard and May were not - and none of them won a majority either.
The Minsk government has banned all flights from the Middle East in response.
1. Are masks effective?
2. Should people be forced to wear masks?
The best evidence (this review) on 1 is yes. The evidence should get better as more (and, hopefully, better) studies are published.
There is no definitive answer to 2. It depends on viewpoints on the relative costs of masks versus the apparent benefits (there are public health benefits in requiring everyone to wear a mask everywhere for ever more, but also costs to society in changed interactions, the economy in changes in behaviour, to the hard of hearing, to children learning language etc etc...)
There is, presumably a point on 2 for almost everyone where they would say that mask wearing should stop under certain conditions. For some that was comprehensive vaccination. For others linked to case numbers perhaps?
I hope I am paraphrasing you fairly
Demand for long distance travel will increase in the future not decrease…you can't deliver projects remotely…the change management side falls apart unless people think they have had a say in the changes and that really can only be done in person.
And having to do that travel whilst meeting ‘green’ commitments at same time?
And honestly truthfully can’t be done by embracing digital and reforming current culture?
https://twitter.com/jonwalker121/status/1461299146829312004?s=20
Although I think over he's done quite well out of never being PM.
The problem with Boris is the things he's handled well are mostly in the past. The things he's handling badly are in the future. That's a big concern! It suggests to me his Premiership is likely to get worse not better!
They'll be salami sliced in the coming years, bit by bit, so that most people don't notice.
On the Survation numbers though Labour + SNP or Labour + LD would still be well short of a majority even if Labour + SNP + LD would be enough to make Starmer PM
Reading through the document now. Some absolutely ludicrous claims being made. London to Leeds now via the ECML will be 20 minutes faster. 20 minutes! If they made the entire route 140mph top speed it would save 6 minutes - and that isn't the plan. So what is the plan? Closing level crossings doesn't save 14 further minutes.
And again - making trains fun raster on existing lines reduces capacity. 140mph running means longer headways which means fewer trains.
I was wrong. The new plan is to "upgrade and electrify" the freight line that winds its way through Widnes to a reinstated Warrington Bank Quay Low Level station, over the knackered viaduct over the ship canal and then a new line to connect to the HS2 Manchester Airport spur.
So no connection to HS2 for Liverpool other than the existing route to Crewe. And how can I put this - there are NOT creating a fast route between Liverpool and Warrington as that alignment is not remotely straight and fixing that would be mega expensive and disruptive - hence the proposed new line now scrapped.
My view is that if you are in a place where there are a lot of people you should use discretion, but normally wear one. Alternatively you can consider wearing a hat with SELFISH TWAT on it, though that is not entirely necessary.
Either is the person's free choice
Either way, I would say that as it isn't exactly inconvenient, wear one until we are clearly in the endemic phase. Not wearing one is like wearing a top hat in a cinema with slightly more serious consequences.
Now I have been at quite a few counts, sometimes as an agent, and there is no way a returning officer would do that. I am guessing the 3 of them were having a bit of fun considering the 1 vote didn't change anything.