Johnson slumps to worst ever Ipsos rating while LAB take lead – politicalbetting.com
Johnson slumps to worst ever Ipsos rating while LAB take lead – politicalbetting.com
The latest poll from Ipsos-MORI, the firm that has been political polling in the UK since the 1970s, is out and has bad news for Johnson and worrying news for the Tories. The voting figures are:
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When are Labour going to realise they've got a dead horse leading the party and take action?
GPs would be barred from taking new jobs in affluent areas to force them to work in deprived towns under plans being considered by the government.
A regulator tasked with restricting where family doctors can set up would improve health in poorer parts of the country that have far fewer doctors, in a plan put forward by a former senior official.
Poor areas can have almost half the number of doctors per head as richer places and closing the gap is essential to Boris Johnson’s levelling-up goals, the Social Market Foundation think tank says in a report today.
Ministers are understood to be interested in the plan after Sajid Javid, the health secretary, promised to address the “disease of disparity” under which poorer people die almost a decade earlier than the richest.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/doctors-set-to-be-barred-from-jobs-in-richer-areas-rl3jqf783
At some point people will realise that being a great election winner does not mean that someone will be a great PM.
This has been a bad week for the Tories, there's no doubt about that. Yet even after this awful week, Boris is still five points clear on Keir for satisfaction.
You'd think this week it would be the other way around, is it not noteworthy that it isn't?
Boy is Number 10 in for a shock, I don't think they are prepared for this.
Incidentally the government is going to fall over the Dried Fruit Famine. There isn't any, according to several people I know who want to make Christmas cakes/puddings, and Cadbury's Fruit & Nut is now Chopped Fruit & Nut and has no fruit in it. Where's yer saving Christmas the noo, Boris?
Paraphrasing one of my banker friends "not only do they want to tax us into poverty, they want to shovel the money to their donors". It's hurting the party's reputation for boring competence a lot.
The free holidays are also getting a lot more attention than I would have thought too.
What has really hurt the most though is defending Paterson. It is the most obvious case of lobbying misconduct that even the most uninitiated can see he got paid then Randox got paid. It being Randox also doesn't help because millions of people have paid £50-80 for day 2 tests with them. The connection between that money they've spent with Randox and the Tory party giving them a contract has been made.
On a connected note, very interesting interview with Fiona Hill, the official on the U.S. National Security Council & scourge of Trump, on Woman's Hour this am. Her moving description of her upbringing in Bishop Auckland made it clear that the degradation of UK working people into the hopeless underclass has been going on for a long time, from the 60s at least.
Once the Tories lose that reputation for economic competence they are more f***ed than a stepmom on pornhub.
They'll lose that magic which was 'They are bastards but they know how to run an economy' which helped them in 1992 and 2015 to some extent.
But KLE4 has a point: the Internet can provide great joy; but forums can be a hellish place. PB is one of the better ones, but if it's making your issues worse, it might be time to take a short break, from posting at least. And if you do, I hope you come back soon; for you can write good, informative posts, and your reappearance might mean your issues are lessened.
(I'd also like to add my condolences to BJO.)
The government is also ready to support banning MPs undertaking paid consultancy work now
There's a fascinating link I found between and predicting electoral outcomes, must also thank Sir Robert Worcester for his insights on this.
But yes, he is also showbiz and an election winner. No doubt about that.
We could see a loss of voters to both Green and REFUK on the same issue.
If living under lockdown equates with being dead, then shielding must be worse than being dead.
However, given the choice, I'd rather have to shield again.
If Labour start to build a consistent poll lead after this then Sunak could be Major (who was also Chancellor) to Boris' post poll tax Thatcher with Starmer as Kinnock.
It seems that France stuck with PMT for a number of decades before accepting the new standard.
So Starmer and his mates have just one job today. Pin it on the Tories. Make sure that this corruption is not pinned on MPs sui generis, but Tory MPs. And the Tory Party. And JRM. And the PM.
(This is leaving aside whether your formula for the severity of restrictions is valid.)
Thanks
(@Horse - Glad that you are feeling a little better. Even if your friend may be about to feel a little worse.)
The question was whether it was appropriate to still have restrictions and the point being that the UK is one of the only countries to have come out of the pandemic without any legal restrictions anymore already.
'Highly educated' PBers' congenital inability to spell the names of various MPs seems to extend to OGH, sadly.
I don't use voice recognition software because it doesn't like my working class Yorkshire accent.
I think it's the Grand Union flag on the left, and is that the old South African flag between the Welsh flag and the Soviet Union flag?
Because of Covid-19 they are likely to end up using the host commentators, and they make the Indian commentators sound fair and impartial.
This, IMO, is going to hurt the most. The perception that Randox are able to rip us off directly because they paid some Tory MP to enable them to do so. I don't actually think the government contracts stuff hurts as much as people think. If it was some unknown company involved the party could probably just ride it out and just point at the COVID data two weeks from now and declare victory over it to change the subject. As it stands people are still booking tests with this company they heard on the news that was paying some MP in the Tory party. Everyday this continues the worse it gets for the Tories.
I wouldn't be surprised if the day 2 testing requirement is quietly dropped soon so the name Randox disappears into obscurity again.
https://twitter.com/Mike_Fabricant/status/1017771006990090245
Just dropping in to see some of the excitable comment to this poll and perhaps some more excitable comment to come from Redfield/Wilton later (though it'll probably show a 10-point Conservative lead).
Two observations - the LDs will be disappointed to see they aren't currently the beneficiary of Conservative disenchantment - to be fair, what this doesn't tell us is how the disillusioned Conservative vote is moving in the seats where it matters rather then the ones where it doesn't. @Omnium may wish the LDs to disappear for reasons about which I am unfamiliar but what is more likely we will see a substantial undeclared and unsanctioned pact between the two parties in some key constituencies.
The other is we are seeing the end of the polling glacis caused by the pandemic. @Philip_Thompson tells us ad infinitum the pandemic ended in July - the public aren't as quick as him it would seem but the public politics are now entering the post-Covid era. The virus is there but other parts of politics are becoming more important and we are seeing how these events which had high impact before the virus are now re-establishing that importance as the virus itself becomes less of an issue.
(Quite a few TMS regulars have said they aren't going to Australia this winter.)
There's also those who say we don't focus enough on how bad the opposition parties are.
"We need to clean up our act generally, here at Westminster, that's why I'm trying so hard to get a better disciplinary & standards system, it's vital we Get This Done, show the ordinary decent people of this country that we're working for them and only them, and it's such a damn shame the Labour Party insist on playing politics with it rather than co-operating."
Look out for this outrageous take in the chamber and from the more dedicated PB Tories on here - and if he (and they) get away with it we might as well pack up right now, Al, and start thinking seriously about fly fishing.
Meanwhile "the economy stupid" is looking very bad indeed.
Covid - well that happened and was largely beyond the control of the Gov't.
Sleaze though, that's all the Gov'ts fault. And they're being rightly punished for it.
Rather bizarrely, within the society’s lengthy explanation and apology sent out to all members, they have included a link to the video just in case anyone wants to watch it for themselves.
And yet the BBC and Sky News still think that the system only opened up today.
Another example of PB being the leading source of Covid information.
The link was for people to judge for themselves if Graham-Dixon's defence was believable or if Keir Bradwell deserves opprobrium.
Hopefully if the company gets a few of those they might reconsider the wisdom of such associations. Despite the lucrative contracts.
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When you add that to the gaming of the systems that the GOP are far more willing to undertake compared to the Dems...
Anabobazina never accepts bad or botched and zero intelligence namespelling attempts?
In order to convince people of that criterion, you had moved on to an argument based on numbers. Great... except your numbers are wrong. Do you wish to engage with that and come back with numbers that are right?
Also, you never answered my question about Portugal? Has Portugal done best on the War of Drugs by dropping the most legal restrictions?
I thought it would be a few more months before we saw consistent labour leads (certainly by May next year, when the cost of living crisis really kick in).
I guess the lesson is not to underestimate Boris’ incompetence.
I expect this week (or perhaps next, after COP26 winds up) we’ll get displacement activity. Which means pouring fuel on the brexit fire. It might work.
It was Biden winning the Suburbs 50% to 48% for Trump which won him the Presidency.
Now another candidate other than Trump may be able to win the suburbs for the GOP again, as Youngkin did in Virginia.
However there is little evidence the suburbs will back Trump again yet
We trigger Article XVI and the EU responds with their own escalation.
The PUP said the consent principle, which is central to the 1998 accord, has been undermined by Brexit's Northern Ireland Protocol.
Aside from the protocol, party leader Billy Hutchinson said the peace process flowing from the agreement had not faithfully observed the text of the accord and had instead led to an incremental weakening of the Union by delivering repeated concessions to nationalists.
https://www.itv.com/news/utv/2021-11-08/pup-says-no-basis-for-unionists-to-continue-to-support-good-friday-agreement
Jagraj Singh Dhami
@jagrajdhami
Replying to
@Mike_Fabricant
So had you been alive during the 1940's and worked in Germany, you would also have a Nazi flag displayed?
James Aitkenhead
@MrPeeled
Replying to
@jagrajdhami
and
@Mike_Fabricant
Great to finally see the left equating the Soviet Union flag with the Nazi flag!
Though I'm not sure a trip to Wales is something to write home about.
Yes Portugal absolutely have by a long way done better on the "War of Drugs", as have the Netherlands, Canada and other nations. We should be legalising drugs and treating it as a health and economics issue, not a law and order one.
"Last week was a car crash," he says on vote on Parliamentary standards, "we need some more experience"
http://bbc.in/3BXe6bg #PoliticsLive https://twitter.com/BBCPolitics/status/1457698228200148995/video/1
The Unionist vote looks up for grabs at the next NI and Westminster elections.
And it doesn't explain the Grand Union flag - presumably he didn't go there in the 80s?
*this doesn't mean the French won't do stupid things at their borders mainly because they are the French and just can.
(Is that too mean? I'm supposed to be a former LD with continued LD sympathies!)
It's certainly not as bad as the headline made it seem.
(*) Is it slightly more acceptable? for instance, would I get in trouble on PB for using it - not that I intend to.
If he's going to persist with it, he might want to include that disclaimer.