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Was the CONHome members’ survey the driver of the re-shuffle? – politicalbetting.com
Was the CONHome members’ survey the driver of the re-shuffle? – politicalbetting.com
One of the features of ConHome, which was founded a few months after PB in 2004, has been its monthly survey of party members and the publication of its league table with net satisfaction levels for Cabinet members.
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The reshuffle actually feels like a little of a damp squib to me.
I want to see ideas from the government. Last night's news was a decent start; let's have some more.
New Conservative chairman tells party staff that the fight for votes starts now, with a poll as little as 20 months away"
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/09/15/exclusive-get-ready-general-election-says-oliver-dowden/
The working assumption inside Number 10 is that Boris Johnson will go to the country in May or June 2024. However, The Telegraph understands he is also eyeing up a year earlier – May or June 2023.
But actually, it's an election just a year before the the FTPA would mandate one anyway. It's May 2023, rather than May 2024.
Although early expectations were that the new boundaries would give the Conservatives a dozen or so extra seats but with recent Conservative success in the red wall seats, and LibDem and Labour success in more prosperous seats, it has been reported that some Conservative activists are sceptical of these gains.
But yes, hopefully he'll come up with some good ones. Mandatory nightclub nights for all men in their mid-fifties?
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/taiwan-proposes-extra-87-bln-defence-spending-over-5-years-2021-09-16/
Although I wonder if his ambitions are quite what they were - with the departure of Lady Macbeth from his life?
Really there is no contract signed but an undertaking to start a two year feasibility study, negotatiating work and technology transfers. The boats will be built in Australian shipyards, for instance, and there will be questions of who supplies and maintains various components. The sorts of considerations that are standard on large arms deals.
My gut is that the boundary changes help the Conservatives because they muddy the tactical voting equation. The longer a party is in power, the more their opponents will tactically vote to remove them. Look at 1992 - the Conservatives got 42% of the vote, and were eight points clear of Labour, and yet only squeaked out a majority.
Well... We shall see.
The Spanish S-80 class is probably not in the running due to the (ahem) interesting problems they've had with it. Like making it the first submarine that could sink but not surface again. So they lengthened it to add buoyancy, which added a whole host of other issues ...
It's interesting that Oz never really considered the UK for their Collins replacements because of their nuke power - despite their requirements being perfect for nuclear power, given the area they have to patrol.
(*) For train fans, these use the Paxman Valenta engines that originally powered the HST.
Jeremy Hunt – no return to the front bench.
https://twitter.com/adamfleming/status/1438374778369454081?s=20
(*Not to be confused with the since 1999 completely separate Volvo Group - trucks, buses, heavy construction, marine and aerospace.)
* Hull built in Oz.
* Sensors and weapons systems from US.
* Powerplant from UK (RR PWR-2 or 3)
Probably not, though.
French gov't: "The American choice to push aside a European ally and partner like France from a structural partnership with Australia ... shows a lack of coherence that France can only acknowledge and regret" https://theguardian.com/world/2021/sep/16/cold-war-mentality-china-criticises-aukus-us-uk-australia-submarine-pact… (Ignores fact that this was an Aus initiative.)
https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1438376859176259588?s=20
Also known for her ummm…lively private life.
All of the Australian reactor officers will have to go through the USN NPS system at Goose Creek anyway. This is going to take decades...
https://twitter.com/Birdyword/status/1438378564525694983?s=20
I would have preferred him to be at the Home Office but have no doubt the housing crisis is where the action is going to be. Interesting.
Do you actually have direct evidence for that? I know RR got access to S9G designs, but I've not seen much saying they're the same.
As for the Aussies being mad: they were mad enough to sign the Shortfin Barracuda deal in the first place ...
The new alliance is meant to bolster allies in Asia, starting with Australia, that are facing intense pressure from a China that seeks regional dominance. As Australia has pushed back, Beijing has reacted with sharp economic reprisals and meddling in Australian politics. Australia pressed the White House, soon after Biden’s inauguration, “Don’t leave us alone in the field.” The Biden team, after consulting with Johnson, who touts a “global Britain,” moved ahead quickly.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/09/15/new-us-alliance-responds-chinese-aggression-us-military-complacency/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=wp_main
And Nick Gibb is out, out, OUT!!!!
Just Spielman left, and when Rashford sees her comments this morning she’s toast too. Hopefully.
Meanwhile Swinney is now left horribly exposed as indisputably the most useless and incompetent education minister in the UK with no more cover from down south.
Row could mean English travellers are entitled to treatment in foreign countries where there is a reciprocal agreement, but Scots are not
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/09/15/scots-could-miss-international-healthcare-snp-refuse-agree-post/
An alternative explanation is that he sees Gove as a backstabbing rival and is setting him up as the fall guy for the government's abject failure to "level up".
While those who are deliberately non-compliant are subject to a 100,000 rupiah ($9) fine, visitors who admit to having slipped up, for example, bringing their mask out with them but forgetting to put it on, have been given the option of doing push ups, or even sweeping the street instead.
Badung regency Public Order Agency chief I Gusti Agung Kerta Suryanegara told the ABC that 80% of those who received a fine were travelers.
In recent weeks, various videos of tourists completing push-ups have been posted online. "The fine is absolutely nothing, but the videos might be a deterrent," says O'Regan.
-Says UK/US/Aus defence pact is ‘directed to lots of different threats’. Avoids saying it’s aimed at China.
-France remains one of ‘closest military allies’. ‘We didn’t go fishing for these opportunities’. Australians made decision.
https://twitter.com/joepike/status/1438384808728711172?s=20
There. Solved it.
Not so much point-scoring as outright trolling.
It will be interesting to see if it will be of any direct (other than in terms of global security) benefit to us.Too early to tell.
The media are highlighting the purchase of nuclear submarine technology (not weapons) by Australia in a top secret deal that excludes all other parties, certainly at this stage
However, it is more than that as the agreement will see the exclusive sharing of intelligence, AI and much more as the Trans Pacific join together to deal with the threat of China. It is ludicrous that Ardern of New Zealand has already banned Australian nuclear subs from their waters, but then she has moved very much into China's pocket
It is also clear that UK will soon join the Trans Pacific partnership and it is more than likely so will the US
It has been said that the reason this deal has come into place is not just that France's diesel subs were not suitable for Australia's defence requirements, but also that Germany is heading towards neutrality and that the EU and Germany could not be trusted not to share nuclear secrets with Russia or China
This indicates wide distrust with the EU and in the medium term they face being isolated from the World's largest trading block, giving them little choice but to negotiate their own membership and at a stroke resolve the trading impasse with the UK as they would all then trade under the same terms
Some will say fantasy, but those who support the EU need to wake up and see the direction of travel
We need to get far more comfortable with intersecting and overlapping alliances. If Germany wants to focus on local defence of the central European plain, fine. France can pursue more global interests and aspirations, and that's also fine.
Different nations, different roles, but complimentary and coherent - not contradictory.
If it starts giving up powers, there is a danger that people will realise how pointless it is. You can't justify five Presidents, a large bureaucracy, a big budget, a flag and embassies everywhere for just a trading agreement. That's what they're terrified of.
And the one before that thrice trounced them.
https://twitter.com/paul__johnson/status/1438166900761141248?s=21
"Yet Ms. Holmes is also exceptional for the basic fact that she is a woman. Time and again, we see that the boys’ club that is the tech industry supports and protects its own — even when the costs are huge. And when the door cracks open ever so slightly to let a woman in, the same rules don’t apply. Indeed, as Ms. Holmes’s trial for fraud continues in San Jose, it’s clear that two things can be true. She should be held accountable for her actions as chief executive of Theranos. And it can be sexist to hold her accountable for alleged serious wrongdoing and not hold an array of men accountable for reports of wrongdoing or bad judgment."
Can't understand this obsession with 'Global Britain', and getting involved with potential conflicts thousands of miles away. We can't really afford it and it's hardly environmentally friendly to be charging over to the other side of the globe.
Unless it's trying to bring back achievements of days of yore. Like me running for a bus; I'd like to think I could do it, but realism has to prevail.
And everybody would go back to wearing flares and listening to prog rock and punk.
"You think you are important? Well, meet your new contact point with Government..."
THAT is how you do humour, HIGNFY, Mock the Week, The News Quiz....
It is also true that China is a threat to the west, and this is widely recognised and this new defence agreement is the precursor to a wider alignment of cooperation with like minded western countries both in defence and trade whiich may in years to come result in a world wide trading association of countries
(I can't access the article at the moment.)
The point is that there is very clear evidence Holmes was guilty of blatant scientific fraud on which her business was based, and there was zero chance from the outset that its product would work.
Is there a direct comparison elsewhere ? The ones I can think of are considerably less clear cut.
https://twitter.com/iainmartin1/status/1438391557128863747?s=20
Broony: I know what Scots really want, and it’s not BJ & his muscular Unionism and it’s not the Scottish nationalists.
It’s Labour isn’t it!