Four months ago I argued that Biden is highly likely to be renominated in 2024, and tipped backing that at 5/2. I’ve since added a second bet along these lines, on him simply remaining in office the full first term. You can get 3/5 on the prospect, which is great value even given the timescale.
Australia now have a problem.
ETA hardly any money left in the market now on either side.
ETA two rounds up.
They need to get everyone vaccinated ASAP, but for some reason the Aussies have a serious anti-vax problem.
Twitter struggles within concept of rooting for the underdog.
The Kenyans and Ethiopians have utterly dominated distance running for how many decades?
Mr. 86, Twitter struggles with a lot of things.
Not the vote swing from 2017 but from 2012:
That's not tactical voting as its a traditional SLAB area and even in 2017 SLAB were ahead of SCON.
Now we know that SLAB have problems but I'll suggest that Scots found the Cameron-Osborne gang detestable in a way they no longer do.
Two golds, his tragic back story, and 100% he will be the chosen one for the BBC to ramp (like they did with Lewis Hamilton last year, article after article after article about just how amazing Lewis is as a driver, as a campaigner, as a human).
Personally I think Whitlock has the strongest claim, but the punters don’t think he has much of a chance.
ETA outside the Olympics, there is not much happening but remember the Paralympics is yet to come.
The more I see of the comments on Twitter, the more I am convinced I'm going nowhere near it!
(No, I'm not in a particularly positive mood this morning.)
I wonder if his comments will make it more likely than the Cumbrian mine is dug and/or more spending for northern towns.
What you don't go and do is follow lots of randoms, go looking for what is trending with the thought that it will be fair, impartial and balanced, and never ever ever think about trying to get into a debate about anything.
I’m still following the strategy of laying whoever just won, but as we move towards the business end of the year we need to think about how the competition might work. There’s still a lot of unknowns, with regard to the number of nominations and the voting process. Plus, as Francis mentioned, how the BBC choose to represent the nominees.
Lewis Hamilton was probably always going to win last year, as he had a world record achievement and was in one of few sports that managed to continue during the pandemic - but the wider social stuff the BBC love to champion made it a dead cert in the end.
(Note; I've amalgamated several phrases to summarise the article.)
I'd suspect the mining gaffe to discomfort Conservative backbenchers as it reinforces the idea that Boris is unreliable, too gaffe-prone. It will be interesting to see if it offends voters. Those who can remember the 1980s will be in the older age-groups that tend to move across to the blue team, but they are also the people who remember the Conservatives, as Theresa May pointed out, as the nasty party.
Your strategy of laying winners, as backers overreact to the latest news, is probably a good one (although obviously you will lay the actual winner as well). Are you backing them once they drift out again or just building a book?
Sky the skateboarder is an interesting one, she apparently has well over a million social media followers and could perhaps mobilize a vote of the kids - provided she actually gets nominated for the main prize.
Team of the year might end up being the Lions, depending on what happens tonight.
Has anyone here ever dived from a 10m board?
I looked down from the 3m springboard and chickened out!
I always thought Laura Kenny would do well because she actually has a personality but I’m not sure she’s that well known.
In 2016, Alistair Brownlee came second. I guess that might have been due to name recognition - the media talk about those two a lot. But I wonder if the public do take into account the event.
Personally I’d give it to Whitlock as I think his event is incredibly demanding and it’s one where you have to deliver on the day. The Madison is a bit of a lottery and, as well as the girls did, I don’t think it’s on a par with Whitlock or Peaty.
Quickly checking PP's odds, she's slight favourite at 6/4 in a quite open market.
Meanwhile, and on the subject of Ukraine, my wife just took off for a couple of weeks in Kiev visiting her father. The plane will take a circuitous route to avoid Crimea to the West.
I think Cavendish gets nominated. If Hamilton wins the title, he’s in. If the Lions win today then Jones is in (he might get in anyway).
Laura Kenny and Tom Daley will be nominated (non-individual winners).
There are 11 individual winners so far. That gets us close to 16 without taking into account footballers or the paralympics.
Hope everything's OK, flight and all.
My question was stimulated by a comment somewhere by some international body, I think connected with sport, that Russia's occupation of the Crimea was illegal.
*Yes, I know this statement is about as accurate as a court filing by Giuliani.
I’ll believe any sporting organisation on Crimea, when they actually sanction Russia. Look at the Olympics, the unofficial Russian team is well up in the medal table.
Kiev is Russian, and Kyiv Ukranian, both transposed from Cyrillic.
Which suggests that the GB team training must be very good.
It seems to be something which involves a lot of attractive women.
Interesting thing is that other than a couple of wins at the start, F1 teams never win team of the year. Williams really ought to have won it a few times in the 1990s.
Ummm, that is, swung the vote for him.