Johnson drops sharply in the August CONHome satisfaction ratings – politicalbetting.com

Every month we have the Conservative Home satisfaction ratings of cabinet ministers and the big feature of the latest one is the position of the PM. He’s down since last month a massive 36% and has a net satisfaction rating of just 3.4.
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Which is the other reason why I said 2022 (and probably late 2022) to allow whoever will be the next leader sometime before an October / November 2023 election.
https://t.co/E8FowQS7N0 https://t.co/JGJrTxiieZ
His current wife has expensive tastes.
Boris Johnson is famously financially disorganised, I'm not sure he can afford to be Prime Minister for much longer.
Think of Conhome as the AFTV on the political blogs, no matter how hard you try and avoid it....
Clearly not in Boris case.
If she looks down on John Lewis I'm not sure she'll be happy sending the crotchfruit to the local bog standard comprehensive.
Even in the ConHome poll the PM still has a net positive rating even it has dipped at bit so he has secure for now.
More significant perhaps are the next Tory leader figures in the same survey where Sunak leads comfortably, cementing him as heir apparent
https://www.conservativehome.com/thetorydiary/2021/08/sunak-leads-our-first-next-tory-leader-survey-in-two-years.html
(Like the story of Harold Wilson offering all his predecessors a government car shortly before he retired...)
Perhaps you can submit a thread?
Or perhaps you would like a refund?
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/conservatives-back-rishi-sunak-as-boris-johnsons-popularity-slides-2jlzxtcvl
I forget his name, unless it was Lucullus, but there was a prominent latter day* Roman leader who might have became the man of the hour but was met with widespread contempt when he abandoned the politico-military career path to indulge his private passions (nothing dubious, just artistic stuff).
Personal preferences and needs can often trump the public good or even career advantage, as we saw with Quintus Servilius Caepio at the Battle of Arausio.
Edited extra bit: *latter day in the Republican sense.
The Tory lead was slashed in 2017 after May's dementia tax policy, yet 57% of voters support raising NI to pay for social care and even only 28% of 18 to 24s are opposed
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/05/26/conservative-poll-lead-cut-half-dementia-tax-u-turn/
https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1417517568257101824?s=20
Tories have always been about protecting estates and inheritance in the family above all, if you want to tax estates more rather than income then you are a liberal, if you want to tax both a socialist
The StatsBomb Premier League Season Previews are here!
First up, Manchester City. @olivermpw_ looks at how the reigning champions are shaping up ahead of Pep Guardiola's sixth season at the helm:
https://t.co/XEBxcZEpZ8
Equally Boris has form in the one rule for me another for everyone else which Rishi has not (yet) got.
I'm oddly looking forward to blogging about a comparison of the two versions.
As kick off time approached, fans with tickets were denied entry to the stadium by stewards because "we don't know how many are already inside".
https://twitter.com/jonworth/status/1422191899256004609?s=20
https://www.standard.co.uk/insider/chaos-live-can-gb-news-channel-survive-tv-b948773.html
I still can't see how its viable, but the article suggests it might at least be able to break even.
https://twitter.com/blairmcdougall/status/1422194063613247492?s=20
And this time they won't be how much free cash will I give the voters?
"There is only one thing worse than being talked about, and that is not being talked about" - Dick Emery.
Nor indeed backbenchers who will silently acquiesce. Most of them are ideological Thatcherites. And most have spent 10 years exhorting austerity.
Surely they must have believed it?
Even just a little of part of some of it?
Surely.
Where everything is a hell of a lot.
In England care costs are taken out of the estate until the estate drops to £27,000 (it is around £50K in Wales) when the state takes over. So sitting on the family property worth say £325,000 means either it needs to be sold to fund care home rental plus care costs, or the costs are supplemented by a loved one over and above annual earnings on the rental of said property, until it is sold.
So in order to fund my in-law, who couldn't tell you how many children she has, let alone hazard a guess at who the PM may be and how many children he has (yet the LA consider her compos mentis enough not to qualify for any nursing cost assistance) she has to pay funding in full from her pension, and income taxed at 40% for her property to be rented out, any shortfall is covered by me.
Had she partied on down for the last 40 years with nothing to show for it she would have got to keep her pension to spend (in her case on fags) and the LA would be coughing for the £1000 a week care home costs. Of around 50 residents she is the only fee payer.
So in summary, by the time any inheritance is due there will be nothing left to inherit. Now I am not criticising that, just saying I don't think your eye catching headline bears scrutiny.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/aug/02/taiwans-olympics-victory-over-china-renews-calls-to-scrap-chinese-taipei
You can see the point. It is analogous to GB competing as "English London."
Andy Murray, for one wouldn't be gruntled.
I wavered for a time at the turn of the year, but I think he is very happy as PM and would be prepared to cling on by any means necessary, whether that is by finding excuses to remove the whip from malcontents to game the internal numbers wanting to remove him or by u-turning and losing parts of the UK to increase his nominal majority.
Not that either of those things look necessary at the moment, but be sure should the need arise and should the timings fit a purpose, that is where Boris would end up. Would such would actions be ultimately self-defeating and ruinous? Perhaps, but as long ultimately is not tomorrow, living to fight another day would win out.
My tendency is therefore to think the most value is on Boris being around for a while.
It's now pushing on towards autumn 2021. Supposing covid-19 spawns a succession of virulent variants over the next two or three years? We know already that this Government whilst professing to love freedom in fact likes the opposite: this is a tactic of all oligarchies. Putin is the master at it. Tell people the opposite of the truth and some will fall for it.
We get to late 2023 and the tories declare that it's too risky to hold an election during the pandemic. The General Election is postponed 'until the time is right.'
That user friendly list is now:
Green
Green watchlist
Amber
Amber watchlist (apparently)
Amber 'plus'
Red
https://twitter.com/thejonnyreilly/status/1422201422578429959
When we worship BoZo, all will be well...
It was May proposing to tax the family home to pay for at home care too that cost her her majority
Personally, I would be content for him to go today as most of you know I am a great supporter of Rishi, but in truth I do not expect him to go this year but would not rule out 2022, not least as has been mentioned his huge expenses and relatively moderate income, especially for a prime minster.
While I do have a disagreement with those who have been seriously upset by Brexit, I do hope that the time will come when we can move towards a more friendly relationship, even a trading one, within the EU, but of course I would oppose re-joining and it does seem that is a fairly settled view of the main parties, excluding the SNP
The polls will be interesting over the coming weeks and months but if opening the economy does succeed and we do get close to herd immunity then that may well be the one thing that may see him extending his period in office, but as others have said that may also depend on his financial needs as he could make a fortune once he stands down