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It looks like there’ll be more celebrations like this over the next three days – politicalbetting.co

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  • ChelyabinskChelyabinsk Posts: 509
    Selebian said:

    While we are all busy writing the obituaries for Labour, I would be fascinated to see the comment thread following the 2005 Tory GE election defeat (did PB exist then - are the threads archived anywhere?).

    Well how was it for you? - 6 May 2005
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,266

    Could just be another age marker. If you are currently in your 60s, a fair chunk of your cohort left school with no qualifications, because they didn't stay at school long enough to get them. Leave school now, and it's pretty much unthinkable.

    And it's not "somewheres are thick". If anything, it's the other way round- people move around for HE and the sort of jobs that only happen in big cities, and that forces a degree of rootless cosmopolitanism on them.

    Which is the difference between an economic drift right with age, and one based on values. There are goodish reasons to expect the first, but not the second.
    All very true.

    There's also the fact that fewer qualifications tends to imply different kinds of jobs and different kinds of problems, which might be better addressed - in perception or indeed in reality* - by the Conservatives rather than Labour.

    *It's a dearly held truth among many on the left that the Conservatives are just doing a better job of selling themselves to e.g. the red wall than Labour are doing. Few seem to consider the possibility that the Conservatives actually have more to offer those places, too. Similar to the mistakes made by Labour during the Thatcher years (not in the red wall at that point, but in the other places that were voting Tory for the first time).
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,120
    algarkirk said:

    Two problems with this thesis: Firstly it is not cynical for any political party to try to get any voters to vote for them. That's their big job. Either all parties are cynical in this way or none are.

    Secondly Walton, Bootle and Knowsley don't seem particularly under Boris's spell but don't have conspicuously high levels of HFE and PhDs either. It's much more complicated than that.

    The PM has form in those parts
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,226
    edited May 2021

    I thought I was being nice to you there Philip! OK, so in more detail, historically skulls are associated with the far right. The Nazis referred to them as "Totenkopf" (think I have spelt that correctly) or "death's head", and it was most notably used as insignia for the SS. It is also favoured by white supremacists. Skinheads often use skulls as "cool" insignia and I think they are also used by Combat 18. Obviously if you are comfortable with those associations....
    The Deaths Head was in fact appropriated by the Nazis.

    Unless Fredrick the Great was a Nazi. In 1808.

    Or Calico Jack was a Nazi. In 1718.

    Or the 17th Lancers, of the British Army. in 1759.

    image
  • UnpopularUnpopular Posts: 913
    Pidcock on the BBC, demonstrating the intellectual heft of the Labour left. Phrases like 'working class experience is full of fear', and 'we need to remind people that Tories are conservatives, their policies are conservative'. Christ, just when I was beginning to question if I had it right, and maybe the country does want something to the left of Starmer she has managed to convince me that, even if the Country might not want Starmer (not a certainty, mind) there is no way broad swathes of the country want her kind. Yuck!
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,177
    Floater said:

    Just look at the changes on the map

    https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1390603750465748992
    Dudley is the same as the red wall. It's the same demographic.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Cicero said:

    Alba unlikely to get a single seat. Tories doing better than expected in Scotland.

    As an outsider I get the feeling that Sturgeon would rather the Tories do well than Alba.
  • EndillionEndillion Posts: 4,976
    kinabalu said:

    Excellent post, Nigel. There are valid concerns about woke but my strong sense of the more ardent antiwokerati is they are a motley mix of the plain ignorant and those more knowing who are eminently comfortable with the old hierarchies and affronted by them being challenged.
    It's a definition problem. The right of centre defines "woke" as over-obsession with D&I to the exclusion of almost everything else. Whether this is the intended usage by its proponents is a separate question, but hopefully it is clear that, based on the definition above, wokeness is necessarily bad.

    I'm totally bought into the principles of inclusivity (indeed, how can anyone reasonably object?) but current corporate attitudes go way beyond what can possibly be considered reasonable. And it's impossible to tell how many people secretly dislike it because everyone's terrified of being branded a bigot and having their career severely limited as a result.
  • ozymandiasozymandias Posts: 1,503
    edited May 2021

    I thought I was being nice to you there Philip! OK, so in more detail, historically skulls are associated with the far right. The Nazis referred to them as "Totenkopf" (think I have spelt that correctly) or "death's head", and it was most notably used as insignia for the SS. It is also favoured by white supremacists. Skinheads often use skulls as "cool" insignia and I think they are also used by Combat 18. Obviously if you are comfortable with those associations....
    Bloody far right pirates. Totenkopf isn't the sole preserve of the far right, nor Nazi's. Unless the No. 100 RAF Squadron isn't telling us something.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Totenkopf#:~:text=The Italian elite storm-troopers,death's head emblem in 1917.
  • El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 4,244

    Interesting. I know it is a non-PC thing to say but it infers susceptibility to Boris Johnson's message is proportionate to the lack of education of the overall electorate. Combine this with the more educated folk that would never vote Labour (particularly the more prosperous) and it is a cynical but winning formula.
    The big tell for me is London.

    People talk about London being a near-impregnable Labour fortress, an island whose voting behaviour doesn't influence anywhere else. As if everyone who works in London, lives in London, stays in London, has no family or friends outside London.

    This is self-evidently bollocks.

    What is really apparent round here is that it's the places with the closest ties to London that are moving away from the Tories. Put simply, people move out from London to Oxford, and from Oxford to the villages - or directly from London to the villages. But they don't start voting Tory now that they own a house in the country. They vote Labour, LibDem or Green, just as they would have done in London.

    And that's only increasing. The massive new estates round here are essentially Oxford overspill. They are not going to be full of Tory voters.

    Yes, we are seeing a massive realignment at the moment, but it's not just a one-way movement of the supposed Red Wall from Labour to Conservative, and I think we'll see more signs of that over the weekend.
  • Time_to_LeaveTime_to_Leave Posts: 2,547

    I think this country had tremendous success in becoming socially more progressive in the last 20 years and by and large brought people along with it (yes there are always people dragging their knuckles but that happens in any society). I think it shows that people are willing to be educated and become more enlightened on social topics - in my experience people generally aren’t horrible and like to help and understand others.

    Personally I think the objections to the woke narrative in the past few years has less to do with the actual principles that people are espousing, it’s more to do with the way these things are presented as if people need to self-flagellate or atone for their behaviours. It’s much easier to get people to get on board with things if you’re not implicitly or explicitly going on the attack about their “privilege”.
    Yes. Blair tended to get it right, and actually so did Cameron on gay marriage. Their approach was “we all think this now and well done us for making these changes together - isn’t Britain great” rather than “you need to move with the times you privileged, racist, homophobic bastards”.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,087
    Good result for the Tories in Epping Forest at county council level.

    We just won the Epping and Theydon Bois marginal seat by 300 votes over the LDs and the rural seats and Waltham Abbey by miles
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,226
    MattW said:

    Beautiful ambiguous comment for the non-linguists :smile:
    It's all Greek to kinabalu....
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,266

    Well how was it for you? - 6 May 2005
    Nah, must be a from different site. It's full of betting posts :open_mouth:

    Interesting though... I suggest LD supporters immerse themselves for a bit of feelgood time.

    Also, liked this "The disappointment for the Tories is that, although London moved back to them in a big way, the rest of the country didn’t follow suit." How things change, huh?
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    The Deaths Head was in fact appropriated by the Nazis.

    Unless Fredrick the Great was a Nazi. In 1808.

    Or Calico Jack was a Nazi. In 1718.

    Or the 17th Lancers, of the British Army. in 1759.

    image
    Thank you.

    I think anyone who knows me on this site would know I was going for Pirates not Nazis. ☠️

    Children's playgrounds can have skulls in them with pirate ships. The notion that people see that and think Nazis ... I think Nigel is seeing what he wants to see. 😕
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,226

    Bloody far right pirates. Totenkopf isn't the sole preserve of the far right, nor Nazi's. Unless the No. 100 RAF Squadron isn't telling us something.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Totenkopf#:~:text=The Italian elite storm-troopers,death's head emblem in 1917.
    In fact, the Royal Lancers are *still* using this

    image
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,792
    kinabalu said:

    Excellent post, Nigel. There are valid concerns about woke but my strong sense of the more ardent antiwokerati is they are a motley mix of the plain ignorant and those more knowing who are eminently comfortable with the old hierarchies and affronted by them being challenged.
    Indeed. I think part of the challenge for those of us who recognise the benefits of diversity is that it is made harder as a message by people on the woke extreme. That said, today's "PC gone mad" may well be seen by future generations as perfectly normal. Look how perceptions have changed with respect to gay people.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,526
    edited May 2021
    BBC News - Julia James: Image issued in PCSO murder case
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-kent-57023743

    Strange announcement by the plod, that picture is clearly from something like a profile pic from social media account rather than a CCTV, so presumption must be they have a name, but aren't saying.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,226

    Yes. Blair tended to get it right, and actually so did Cameron on gay marriage. Their approach was “we all think this now and well done us for making these changes together - isn’t Britain great” rather than “you need to move with the times you privileged, racist, homophobic bastards”.
    A major issue is differential rules/enforcement - people aren't impressed by "You can be fired for X. He can do X because of his membership of group Y"
  • CiceroCicero Posts: 3,402
    MaxPB said:

    Wonder whether the Tories are winning from the SNP other unionists or No voters that only turned out for the referendum.
    The 64,000 Dollar question. I think it could be both.
  • El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 4,244
    edited May 2021
    Swindon results starting to come in. No upsets for Labour yet - comfortably held Old Town. (Yes, Swindon does have one...)
  • eekeek Posts: 29,739

    The big tell for me is London.

    People talk about London being a near-impregnable Labour fortress, an island whose voting behaviour doesn't influence anywhere else. As if everyone who works in London, lives in London, stays in London, has no family or friends outside London.

    This is self-evidently bollocks.

    What is really apparent round here is that it's the places with the closest ties to London that are moving away from the Tories. Put simply, people move out from London to Oxford, and from Oxford to the villages - or directly from London to the villages. But they don't start voting Tory now that they own a house in the country. They vote Labour, LibDem or Green, just as they would have done in London.

    And that's only increasing. The massive new estates round here are essentially Oxford overspill. They are not going to be full of Tory voters.

    Yes, we are seeing a massive realignment at the moment, but it's not just a one-way movement of the supposed Red Wall from Labour to Conservative, and I think we'll see more signs of that over the weekend.
    Which is fine but it doesn't solve Labours problem - which is they are losing 100s of seats up North while gaining a few 10s of seats further South.
  • TudorRoseTudorRose Posts: 1,683

    The big tell for me is London.

    People talk about London being a near-impregnable Labour fortress, an island whose voting behaviour doesn't influence anywhere else. As if everyone who works in London, lives in London, stays in London, has no family or friends outside London.

    This is self-evidently bollocks.

    What is really apparent round here is that it's the places with the closest ties to London that are moving away from the Tories. Put simply, people move out from London to Oxford, and from Oxford to the villages - or directly from London to the villages. But they don't start voting Tory now that they own a house in the country. They vote Labour, LibDem or Green, just as they would have done in London.

    And that's only increasing. The massive new estates round here are essentially Oxford overspill. They are not going to be full of Tory voters.

    Yes, we are seeing a massive realignment at the moment, but it's not just a one-way movement of the supposed Red Wall from Labour to Conservative, and I think we'll see more signs of that over the weekend.
    Yes, really strong evidence of that from Basildon and Harlow.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,120

    The big tell for me is London.

    People talk about London being a near-impregnable Labour fortress, an island whose voting behaviour doesn't influence anywhere else. As if everyone who works in London, lives in London, stays in London, has no family or friends outside London.

    This is self-evidently bollocks.

    What is really apparent round here is that it's the places with the closest ties to London that are moving away from the Tories. Put simply, people move out from London to Oxford, and from Oxford to the villages - or directly from London to the villages. But they don't start voting Tory now that they own a house in the country. They vote Labour, LibDem or Green, just as they would have done in London.

    And that's only increasing. The massive new estates round here are essentially Oxford overspill. They are not going to be full of Tory voters.

    Yes, we are seeing a massive realignment at the moment, but it's not just a one-way movement of the supposed Red Wall from Labour to Conservative, and I think we'll see more signs of that over the weekend.
    Educated middle class mainly white voters move out from London and the Labour vote there is maintained by the growing Asian populations into which the Tories have never made much progress.

    The next strategic step from clever Tories would be to replace the clown with an asprational BAME leader, before Labour even gets to moving on from middle aged men. That could shatter another piece of red wall.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,526
    IanB2 said:

    Educated middle class mainly white voters move out from London and the Labour vote there is maintained by the growing Asian populations into which the Tories have never made much progress.

    The next strategic step from clever Tories would be to replace the clown with an asprational BAME leader, before Labour even gets to moving on from middle aged men. That could shatter another piece of red wall.
    Dishy Rishi waves....
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,280
    Completely and unashamedly off topic but worth a read for Seve fans.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/golf/56884817
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,266

    I think Nigel is seeing what he wants to see. 😕

    Well, we used to have people obsessed with reds under the beds.

    Nazis under the... khazis?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,235
    Con Gain Clay Cross North
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,226

    Dishy Rishi waves....
    Hence the interesting attempt to re-classify Hindus as "not a proper minority".
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,792

    Thank you.

    I think anyone who knows me on this site would know I was going for Pirates not Nazis. ☠️

    Children's playgrounds can have skulls in them with pirate ships. The notion that people see that and think Nazis ... I think Nigel is seeing what he wants to see. 😕

    Thank you.

    I think anyone who knows me on this site would know I was going for Pirates not Nazis. ☠️

    Children's playgrounds can have skulls in them with pirate ships. The notion that people see that and think Nazis ... I think Nigel is seeing what he wants to see. 😕
    You keep it then mate. If you don't think symbols and their associations matter then more fool you. I think combined with your often very right wing views many might make the connection I did.

    However, to be fair, I do think the children's playground for you is very apt.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,526
    edited May 2021

    Hence the interesting attempt to re-classify Hindus as "not a proper minority".
    Not just that, but that the likes of Badenoch, Patel, Javid aren't proper member of BAME... something something rich, wrong opinions for a BAME....
  • HarryFreemanHarryFreeman Posts: 210
    Hypetrain rolls on

    Peter Davidson
    @Peter_Davidson1
    ·
    32m
    Scots Tory sources saying Banffshire and Buchan Coast could be "quite close". The SNP have a 6,683 majority in the seat.

    Karen Adam (SNP) up against Mark Findlater (Tory).
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 7,012

    I still think Raab looks ridiculous to be honest
    Well I do not. There is too much woke shite and it needs standing up to......
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,792

    Bloody far right pirates. Totenkopf isn't the sole preserve of the far right, nor Nazi's. Unless the No. 100 RAF Squadron isn't telling us something.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Totenkopf#:~:text=The Italian elite storm-troopers,death's head emblem in 1917.
    The swastika was also appropriated by the Nazis. Perhaps he could use that motif too then?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620

    Dishy Rishi waves....
    Or Ms Patel.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,538
    Fergus Walsh coming across like a complete twat. The scientist quite rightly treating him with contempt.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,526
    edited May 2021
    Oh f##k off...BBC bod complaining what about a 40 year old compared to 39 year old getting AZN vaccine...
  • MangoMango Posts: 1,031
    So the consensus is that to lance the boil of identity politics, Labour need to elect a leader who is a bluff, Northern flag-waver?
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,812
    MattW said:

    Beautiful ambiguous comment for the non-linguists :smile:
    ☺ - Don't want him getting too big for his boots. Things are grim enough as they are.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Hypetrain rolls on

    Peter Davidson
    @Peter_Davidson1
    ·
    32m
    Scots Tory sources saying Banffshire and Buchan Coast could be "quite close". The SNP have a 6,683 majority in the seat.

    Karen Adam (SNP) up against Mark Findlater (Tory).

    No way is that close. If that is close then there is not going to be an IndyRef2. 😕

    After the hyper politics of the last seven, if not fourteen years what are we going to be discussing in the next couple if there's no Brexit and no IndyRef2 to debate?
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,538
    Pulpstar said:

    Con Gain Clay Cross North

    Dennis Skinner’s home patch.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,226

    The swastika was also appropriated by the Nazis. Perhaps he could use that motif too then?
    Which one?

    My wife was a bit startled when some new neighbours painted this on their door step -

    image
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,526
    tlg86 said:

    Fergus Walsh coming across like a complete twat. The scientist quite rightly treating him with contempt.

    Media never fail to disappoint during this pandemic....
  • HarryFreemanHarryFreeman Posts: 210
    edited May 2021

    No way is that close. If that is close then there is not going to be an IndyRef2. 😕

    After the hyper politics of the last seven, if not fourteen years what are we going to be discussing in the next couple if there's no Brexit and no IndyRef2 to debate?
    Flexit or Texit in the US ?
  • eekeek Posts: 29,739
    Carnyx said:

    Or Ms Patel.
    Ms Patel has something from the night about her in a way Rishi simply doesn't.
  • Time_to_LeaveTime_to_Leave Posts: 2,547

    No way is that close. If that is close then there is not going to be an IndyRef2. 😕

    After the hyper politics of the last seven, if not fourteen years what are we going to be discussing in the next couple if there's no Brexit and no IndyRef2 to debate?
    The thousand year Tory reich.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,526
    Penfold doesn't take any shit from the media....
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,177
    edited May 2021

    Well I do not. There is too much woke shite and it needs standing up to......
    I personally think it's ridiculous to object to opposing the killing of black men by US cops purely for "culture war" reasons, but hey, justify it however you like. "Woke shite" indeed.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    Cicero said:

    Alba unlikely to get a single seat. Tories doing better than expected in Scotland.

    Awesome. Watching Salmond get hammered will be a highlight of the weekend. Watching him lose to the Tories will be the icing on the cake.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    eek said:

    Ms Patel has something from the night about her in a way Rishi simply doesn't.
    Hmm, as Miss Widdicombe said of Michael Howard? That's a point. I can't see her doing a jolly Johnsonian (or Davidsonian) photo opp. Though some PBers seem rather partial to her chances.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,235
    I don't think it's an SNP majority if Banff is close.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,633
    Durham declaring in batches. First declaration in. Labour lose Chilton to Independent.
  • HarryFreemanHarryFreeman Posts: 210

    I personally think it's ridiculous to oppose the killing of black men by US cops purely for "culture war" reasons, but hey, justify it however you like. "Woke shite" indeed.
    indeed but is the best response:

    a) Make a speech condemning the act and suggesting policies to enhance policing in the Uk

    b) Take a picture in your own office doing an air guitar version of Colin Kaepernick ..

  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,235
    Sandpit said:

    Awesome. Watching Salmond get hammered will be a highlight of the weekend. Watching him lose to the Tories will be the icing on the cake.
    Quite possible ALBA has skimmed enough off the SNP vote to deny them a majority.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,633
    Labour hold Dawdon, 2 seats
  • contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818
    kinabalu said:

    It is difficult but Starmer will try his damndest. He's a fighter not a quitter.
    Surely 'lover not a fighter?....' ed
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,526
    eek said:

    Ms Patel has something from the night about her in a way Rishi simply doesn't.
    Rishi has more than that, he speaks human.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,177

    indeed but is the best response:

    a) Make a speech condemning the act and suggesting policies to enhance policing in the Uk

    b) Take a picture in your own office doing an air guitar version of Colin Kaepernick ..

    They are both good responses. However you can do (a) without pissing on (b).
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 14,012
    edited May 2021
    eek said:

    Which is fine but it doesn't solve Labours problem - which is they are losing 100s of seats up North while gaining a few 10s of seats further South.
    Agree. This issue really needs a lot of attention. As a non expert it seems to me that there are far more 'ordinary people' seats than suburban/rural seats that could go Labour under the London/urban influence.

    Accepting that Labour are impregnable in super urban, BAME and posh Guardianista seats (all mixtures thereof of course), which, axiomatically cannot be more than the about 200 they currently hold, are there enough 'Labour realignment' seats to get close to a majority? I don't think there are enough in their top 100 target seats, which include few in the London overspill area.

    And, crucially, judging from their demeanour this morning, I don't think Labour think that their realignment plan to win Hertfordshire and Surrey and Oxfordshire etc will be enough. They sound like a party whose centrist policies have been nicked, whose leftish policies have been rejected and who don't have an election strategy.

  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,324



    I thought I was being nice to you there Philip! OK, so in more detail, historically skulls are associated with the far right. The Nazis referred to them as "Totenkopf" (think I have spelt that correctly) or "death's head", and it was most notably used as insignia for the SS. It is also favoured by white supremacists. Skinheads often use skulls as "cool" insignia and I think they are also used by Combat 18. Obviously if you are comfortable with those associations....

    There's no doubt the stench of some unpleasant right wing views hangs around Thommo like the smell of incinerated grease outside the worst fucking kebab shop in Hartlepool but it's not because of the crâne et os mantled with the flag of the Genoese Navy.



  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,526
    Disappointing so far that no sporting analogy from JVT yet ...
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Pulpstar said:

    Quite possible ALBA has skimmed enough off the SNP vote to deny them a majority.
    Poor Malcolm would be inconsolable.

    Buy turnip futures.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,177
    algarkirk said:

    Agree. This issue really needs a lot of attention. As a non expert it seems to me that there are far more 'ordinary people' seats than suburban/rural seats that could go Labour under the London/urban influence.

    Accepting that Labour are impregnable in super urban, BAME and posh Guardianista seats (all mixtures thereof of course), which, axiomatically cannot be more than the about 200 they currently hold, are there enough 'Labour realignment' seats to get close to a majority? I don't think there are enough in their top 100 target seats, which include few in the London overspill area.

    And, crucially, judging from their demeanour this morning, I don't think Labour think that their realignment plan to win Hertfordshire and Surrey and Oxfordshire etc will be enough. They sound like a party whose centrist policies have been nicked, whose leftish policies have been rejected and who don't have an election strategy.

    The election strategy, at this moment, simply has to be to wait until the Tories start pissing people off, which will happen eventually.

    You can't win against a platform that promises all things to all people and has the money tap gushing.
  • ozymandiasozymandias Posts: 1,503

    The swastika was also appropriated by the Nazis. Perhaps he could use that motif too then?
    The swastika wasn't used in our culture before the Nazi's appropriated it. As explained to you, the skull and crossbones was, and continues, to be used completely separately to any Nazi affiliation. Unless of course you're currently upset by marauding Nazi pirates on the high-seas.

    The Nazi's used all sorts of emblems and imagery. Presumably the U.S.A. should cease using any eagle motif? Or the current day Luftwaffe should cease using the Iron Cross emblem? Perhaps Mercedes and BMW should re-brand - after all their insignia was adorned on Nazi-used kit.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,792

    Which one?

    My wife was a bit startled when some new neighbours painted this on their door step -

    image
    Indeed, you are making the point for me. I am not sure that even that version might be sensible for a right wing poster to have as their motif. Or perhaps you disagree?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,757
    edited May 2021
    Selebian said:

    While we are all busy writing the obituaries for Labour, I would be fascinated to see the comment thread following the 2005 Tory GE election defeat (did PB exist then - are the threads archived anywhere?).

    The rest of the month's headers don't display much in the way of political obituaries (other than Michael Howard's)...

    WOULD CHOOSING CLARKE BE THE TORIES’ “CLAUSE 4” MOMENT?

    YOUGOV: UK OPPOSITION TO EU CONSTITUTION GROWING

    COULD THIS MAN BE THE NEXT PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES?

    WILL DAVID DAVIS BE REWARDED FOR HIS FORBEARANCE IN 2003?

    WHEN WILL TONY BLAIR GO?
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,205

    BBC News - Julia James: Image issued in PCSO murder case
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-kent-57023743

    Strange announcement by the plod, that picture is clearly from something like a profile pic from social media account rather than a CCTV, so presumption must be they have a name, but aren't saying.

    AC-12 would have done a reverse image search.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Scottish elections and SNP/YES vote percentage

    2011 Scot Parl: 50.5 - 45.4
    2014 Euros: 33.5 - 29.0
    2014 Indy ref: 84.6 - 44.7
    2015 West: 71.1 - 50
    2016 Scot Parl: 55.6 - 46.5
    2017 West: 66.4 - 36.9
    2019 Euro: 39.9 - 37.8
    2019 West: 68.1 - 45

    Plotted as a graph it looks like



    Turnout on the bottom, votes share on the left
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,226

    They are both good responses. However you can do (a) without pissing on (b).
    Do a) while doing b)
  • HarryFreemanHarryFreeman Posts: 210
    Hypetrain derailled

    Joseph Anderson
    @janderson_news
    ·
    11m
    EDINBURGH CENTRAL - Tories not confident of taking seat, SNP’s Angus Robertson looking like the frontrunner to retake it #ScottishElection2021
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,867

    No way is that close. If that is close then there is not going to be an IndyRef2. 😕

    After the hyper politics of the last seven, if not fourteen years what are we going to be discussing in the next couple if there's no Brexit and no IndyRef2 to debate?
    We're all going to be out and about enjoying ourselves after lockdown. Sorry Mike. :D
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,823

    Hypetrain rolls on

    Peter Davidson
    @Peter_Davidson1
    ·
    32m
    Scots Tory sources saying Banffshire and Buchan Coast could be "quite close". The SNP have a 6,683 majority in the seat.

    Karen Adam (SNP) up against Mark Findlater (Tory).

    Wow that would be crazy.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,538
    Interesting that when women are more at risk at something, the media care about it.

    I don’t remember them asking why men weren’t prioritised for the vaccine to begin with.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,346
    Pulpstar said:

    I don't think it's an SNP majority if Banff is close.

    Is it?
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,792
    Sandpit said:

    Awesome. Watching Salmond get hammered will be a highlight of the weekend. Watching him lose to the Tories will be the icing on the cake.
    It couldn't happen to a nicer man. It will make banter with his only PB fanbois malcolmg quite entertaining too
  • Pulpstar said:

    I don't think it's an SNP majority if Banff is close.

    It would indicate the Tories are benefiting more from the high turnout then the SNP, so yes, a majority is unlikely if that's the case.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,136

    The election strategy, at this moment, simply has to be to wait until the Tories start pissing people off, which will happen eventually.

    You can't win against a platform that promises all things to all people and has the money tap gushing.

    If the market was open, I would be buying Labour seats on SPIN today
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,346
    What's Binface up to so far?

    C'mon. Need details..
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    Hypetrain derailled

    Joseph Anderson
    @janderson_news
    ·
    11m
    EDINBURGH CENTRAL - Tories not confident of taking seat, SNP’s Angus Robertson looking like the frontrunner to retake it #ScottishElection2021

    If SCons took Ed Central then that's the SNP fucked.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,177

    Do a) while doing b)
    Yes, and I think that's ridiculous.

    X wishes to oppose the killing of black men by US cops in way Y.

    Z mocks X for opposing the killing of black men by US cops in way Y because of "culture war reasons".

    Z is an imbecile.
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,795
    Nigelb said:



    COULD THIS MAN BE THE NEXT PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES?

    Was that a certain B Obama? I seem to remember people mentioning him once.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,136
    edited May 2021
    SNP confident of winning Edinburgh Central from the Tories, which would result in Angus Robertson's election #ElectionResults2021
    https://twitter.com/paulhutcheon/status/1390621413984411649
  • HarryFreemanHarryFreeman Posts: 210

    They are both good responses. However you can do (a) without pissing on (b).
    Starmer did "just b"

    Or certainly thats the bit people remember
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,346
    Can someone direct me, please, to the best channels for live news?

    BBC poor, obvs. I've tried London Mayor "live results" but the feed has nothing and keeps crashing.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,633
    Second labour loss in Durham. 1 seat in Annfield Plain to Derwentside independents.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,226

    Indeed, you are making the point for me. I am not sure that even that version might be sensible for a right wing poster to have as their motif. Or perhaps you disagree?
    You might find that trying to associate that version of the swastika with the Nazis would land you in a place of wo(k)e
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,177

    Starmer did "just b"

    Or certainly thats the bit people remember
    Yeah exactly. So what?

    Mocking Starmer for doing (b) makes you look petty and ridiculous.
  • El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 4,244
    algarkirk said:

    Agree. This issue really needs a lot of attention. As a non expert it seems to me that there are far more 'ordinary people' seats than suburban/rural seats that could go Labour under the London/urban influence.

    Accepting that Labour are impregnable in super urban, BAME and posh Guardianista seats (all mixtures thereof of course), which, axiomatically cannot be more than the about 200 they currently hold, are there enough 'Labour realignment' seats to get close to a majority? I don't think there are enough in their top 100 target seats, which include few in the London overspill area.

    And, crucially, judging from their demeanour this morning, I don't think Labour think that their realignment plan to win Hertfordshire and Surrey and Oxfordshire etc will be enough. They sound like a party whose centrist policies have been nicked, whose leftish policies have been rejected and who don't have an election strategy.

    Calling it a plan is crediting Labour with foresight that it doesn't have. It's a demographic change which is unwittingly helping them. Basically I'd agree with you: they don't have an election strategy and they don't have any distinctive policies.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    Pulpstar said:

    Quite possible ALBA has skimmed enough off the SNP vote to deny them a majority.
    That would be the cherry on the top of the icing on the cake!
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 7,012

    I personally think it's ridiculous to object to opposing the killing of black men by US cops purely for "culture war" reasons, but hey, justify it however you like. "Woke shite" indeed.
    I never said that. I said taking the knee is not necessary. You can say its not acceptable without taking the knee.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,136
    Rumours that Plaid may hold the balance of power in Wales.

    Another nail in the Union coffin...
  • HarryFreemanHarryFreeman Posts: 210

    Yeah exactly. So what?

    Mocking Starmer for doing (b) makes you look petty and ridiculous.
    I'm not running for office - the voters have seen SKS is all hat and no cattle.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,867
    Scott_xP said:

    SNP confident of winning Edinburgh Central from the Tories, which would result in Angus Robertson's election #ElectionResults2021
    https://twitter.com/paulhutcheon/status/1390621413984411649

    Is he #TeamNicola or #TeamAlex ?
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,177

    I never said that. I said taking the knee is not necessary. You can say its not acceptable without taking the knee.
    Of course you can say it's not acceptable without taking the knee.

    Likewise, people should be allowed to take the knee in opposition without being mocked. It's ridiculously petty. Who cares?
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,280

    I never said that. I said taking the knee is not necessary. You can say its not acceptable without taking the knee.
    Of course it is not necessary. Equally it is not necessary to not take the knee.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    Can someone direct me, please, to the best channels for live news?

    BBC poor, obvs. I've tried London Mayor "live results" but the feed has nothing and keeps crashing.

    London mayor live results - official feed:
    https://www.londonelects.org.uk/im-voter/live-results/live-mayoral-results
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,792

    The swastika wasn't used in our culture before the Nazi's appropriated it. As explained to you, the skull and crossbones was, and continues, to be used completely separately to any Nazi affiliation. Unless of course you're currently upset by marauding Nazi pirates on the high-seas.

    The Nazi's used all sorts of emblems and imagery. Presumably the U.S.A. should cease using any eagle motif? Or the current day Luftwaffe should cease using the Iron Cross emblem? Perhaps Mercedes and BMW should re-brand - after all their insignia was adorned on Nazi-used kit.
    You are being silly. I was referring to Philip's use of a skull adorned with a flag of St George, which I could well imagine would be loved by Tommy Robinson. Although I was partly taking the piss, I thought it might make him pause for thought and that it might do him a favour. If he is happy that might be misinterpreted (or maybe indeed not) that is clearly up to him.
This discussion has been closed.