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Not a good Daily Mail front page tomorrow for the PM – politicalbetting.com

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  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,478
    Mr. Royale, hangover effect of Corbyn. Everyone looks like a Tory when you put them next to Corbyn.
  • Yes, hope he's ok.
    Thank you

    It is a big operation but he has no choice due to legacy damage from his days playing hockey and team sports
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,111

    Mr. Royale, hangover effect of Corbyn. Everyone looks like a Tory when you put them next to Corbyn.

    Even BoZo
  • Mr. Royale, hangover effect of Corbyn. Everyone looks like a Tory when you put them next to Corbyn.

    Even Corbyn (Jeremy) looks like a Tory compared to Corbyn (Piers).
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,785

    You do know the current editor is pro remain unlike Dacre
    Pro Remain? We've left, surely?
  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,106
    HYUFD said:

    New Holyrood Panelbase poll sees a collapse in SNP support.

    SNP now on just 45% on the constituency vote, below the 46.5% they got in 2016 and on just 36% on the list vote, well below the 41% they got in 2016.

    Labour and the LDs are both up 2% on the constituency vote and Labour and the Greens are up 1% each on the list vote

    https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1386964900589805572?s=20

    Though on that panel base poll Alba are due to get seats.

    Interesting dynamic if the SNP no longer have full hold on the narrative in the next parliament..
  • Pro Remain? We've left, surely?
    Yes but some want to rejoin the single market and have a closer relationship
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,563
    Selebian said:

    On body-gate (or whatever we're calling it)...

    I think we forget here, where we mostly think the government cocked up massively by having the Christmas relaxation rather than bringing in another lockdown in December, that not everyone shares that view. I know plety of people in the south who were - and still are, after all that has happened - royally pissed off that "Boris cancelled Christmas". As bad as January was, they still don't personally know anyone who died and it's all a bit abstract for them. Not everyone thinks the government was too slow and some would agree with "letting the bodies pile up" (as long as they're other people's bodies) to "save Christmas".

    I know the national polling suggests the public favours all and every restriction on freedom, but what matters is two things:
    - How much is that true of Johnson supporters? By definition, they're mostly pro-Brexit and damn the consequences - taking actions to prevent harm may not be in their psyche. Labour/Lib-Dem/SNP supporters frothing at the mouth over 'Boris the Butcher' has little relevance to Johnson's electoral prospects.
    - How much do people actually care whether the restrictions are in law? If you plan to not visit relatives, then you're unlikely to be against a ban on visiting relatives. But do you actually care if there is no ban?

    OK, I'm not a fan of our current PM. Not by any means. Dragged through Traitors Gate in chains is too good for him!

    But mid summer last year I knew of one person who had, perhaps, died of Covid, and one who had had it and recovered.

    Now I know several in the 'died within one month of test, but also had something else' category, and at least one who died who was otherwise well. I also know of a couple of sufferers from Long Covid, as well as several, including relations, who have had it.

    And a couple of weeks ago we were able, at last, to exchange Christmas presents with an adult granddaughter, presents which could not be safely posted.

    And when I Zoom, or chat about it in the pub, with friends, we're all in similar positions. And that's by no means only with friends of our political persuasion.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,350
    edited April 2021

    You do know the current editor is pro remain unlike Dacre
    Hold on a sec.

    If you look at the content of the Daily Mail, it's hardly a pro-Remain paper. It's not a gung-ho as the Express, but it's backing Brexit and seeking to narrate and make a success of it.

    Isn't it possible that the Mail's anger is nothing to do with Brexit and everything to do with the awfulness of the Prime Minister as a person? It's not as if any plausible successor is going to soften Boris's Brexit in any meaningful way.

    Admittedly, "Brexit is still in peril and we must be loyal to Comrade Napoleon Mr Johnson because we don't want Farmer Jones von der Leyen back" is a handy narrative to keep people on board. One that will work right up to the moment it doesn't.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,279

    Let the bodies pile high has arrived too late to impact most postal votes imo. Mine was returned on Thursday

    That's a good point. Are all Hartlepool votes postal - or will polling stations be open?
  • Personally, I don't think either the "bodies" comment nor the soft furnishings will cut through all that much to the public. They are stories the Conservatives could do without in an election campaign, but aren't gamechangers.

    "Bodies" won't cut through that much because there is a general mood of optimism regarding Covid so the comment has much less force than if bodies were currently piling up as they did in the early part of the year. Enough Conservatives also have a "Boris will be Boris" mentality when he says something that other politicians would be punished for, much as Republicans had a "Trump will be Trump" view. Had it emerged in January, probably a different story. But it didn't.

    The furnishings won't because the taxpayer isn't seen to be paying, and it feels a bit bogged down in who needs to declare what on which form. It ought to cut through as people don't do favours for nothing, and it was a blatant attempt to solicit personal favours without even applying the disinfectant of publicity let alone just avoiding the whole damned thing and making do with a John Lewis sofa. It would quite obviously be a resigning matter for a chairman of a Council planning committee, but Johnson will get away with it. That's a bit galling to those of us for whom corruption matters, but it's reality.

  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,422
    Nigelb said:

    The story of what is effectively another Oxford success.
    (And like everything else which has worked during the pandemic, had its genesis a decade or more back.)

    How the UK found the first effective Covid-19 treatment — and saved a million lives
    The United Kingdom is not a pandemic success story. But its massive Covid-19 trials program is.
    https://www.vox.com/22397833/dexamethasone-coronavirus-uk-recovery-trial
    ...The road to the Recovery Trial started in the 1980s, when a group of Oxford scholars was dissatisfied with the lack of treatments for heart attacks. They imagined a trial that could test different interventions — a massive trial, perhaps as many as 10,000 to 15,000 patients. For such a big trial to work, it had to be simple: Nurses and doctors would need to be able to try out the treatments the researchers were testing as part of their normal care routine....

    A friend's elderly mother has just been admitted to hospital in Jakarta with COVID - I asked if they were giving her dexamethasone - "yes, it's standard procedure now".
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Pro Remain? We've left, surely?
    That's true, but the Remain/Leave divide still exists, simply now between those thinking we should have remained and those thinking we should have left.

    Some people seem to have been able to bridge the gap to change sides - Truss has done a very good job, while our own RochdalePioneers has swapped the other direction with the added zeal of the convert. But many haven't reconciled to the result yet including eg Scott and the Mail's new Editor.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    I was on the wind-up and unfortunately you and/or @TheScreamingEagles didn't bite :/
    Courts is NatWest with a pretty cheque book. (My Dad started his career as David Money-Coutts’ EA so I have a soft spot for the place)
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,307

    Mr. Royale, hangover effect of Corbyn. Everyone looks like a Tory when you put them next to Corbyn.

    But, I don't get it. They don't seem to actively be calling for anything particularly left-wing.

    It feels like it's all for show?
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Multiple sources and a recording due in next couple of days.
    How long does it take to hand over a recording? If it existed it would have been delivered by now
  • HYUFD said:

    New Holyrood Panelbase poll sees a collapse in SNP support.

    SNP now on just 45% on the constituency vote, below the 46.5% they got in 2016 and on just 36% on the list vote, well below the 41% they got in 2016.

    Labour and the LDs are both up 2% on the constituency vote and Labour and the Greens are up 1% each on the list vote

    https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1386964900589805572?s=20

    Yes

    As I commented earlier Douglas Ross is poor and Anas Sarwar is the rising star for Labour

    And as I also said, I hope Labour do take SNP votes and do well in Scotland as it improves the union

    I am far more concerned to retain the union and if that means voting Labour then In would do it
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,257
    Cookie said:

    The extent to which Leave/Remain (or even left/right, or any other axis) matches pro/anti lockdown is a little unclear. Based purely on the people who post angry things on facebook, I can see no correlation whatsoever.
    You'd have thought there might be a correlation-by-proxy to young/old, but even here I can't see any obvious correlation between views.
    That's a fair point and it was clumsily put by me. Maybe there's no equivalence, I don't know why I brought Brexit into it other than my deep rooted mout-frothing remoaner DNA :wink: I do still think people who like Johnson are less likely to be horrified by this, unless they personally knew people who died in January. The calm, rational, cost-benefit thing to do was to lock down in December. If you like calm, rational, cost-benefit then you're a bit more Starmer than Johnson already, this might make you dislike Johnson more, but you weren't going to vote for him anyway. So maybe little effect on the polls and if little effect on the polls then little/no effect on the security of Johnson's position.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    MaxPB said:

    Yes, I remember the panic about reinfection in Brazil after that one unreviewed study which then turned out to be a load of rubbish.
    See also: the Kentish variant is more lethal; covid victims are getting younger... neither turned out to be true IIRC...
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Cyclefree said:

    It's not the fines which kill you. But the losses and the remediation costs. Well, you haven't hired me yet ...... 😉
    My current compliance team can’t spell M&A...
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    I'm not concerned about each thing individually.

    I am concerned that BoJo is a walking liability, as previously feared. If anything I am pleased that for the period of March 20 to March 2021, we seemed to have avoided that.
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,257

    Pro Remain? We've left, surely?
    I'd like to take the opportunity to back up Northen Al in asserting that the Mail is not the doyen of the left! Not unless the Grauniad typos have got bad to the extent of 'Guardian' being written as 'the Mail'.

    Much more palatable to remain voting/soft Brexiter Tories post-Dacre though, I'd have thought.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924
    Charles said:

    How long does it take to hand over a recording? If it existed it would have been delivered by now
    Much more effective to produce it after the PM vehemently denied saying it I would have thought.
  • Hold on a sec.

    If you look at the content of the Daily Mail, it's hardly a pro-Remain paper. It's not a gung-ho as the Express, but it's backing Brexit and seeking to narrate and make a success of it.

    Isn't it possible that the Mail's anger is nothing to do with Brexit and everything to do with the awfulness of the Prime Minister as a person? It's not as if any plausible successor is going to soften Boris's Brexit in any meaningful way.

    Admittedly, "Brexit is still in peril and we must be loyal to Comrade Napoleon Mr Johnson because we don't want Farmer Jones von der Leyen back" is a handy narrative to keep people on board. One that will work right up to the moment it doesn't.
    I have no doubt it is personal v Boris but there are shades of brexit as we all know

    We receive the actual paper on line every day as my wife does the puzzles but I rarely read it

    As far as UVDL is concerned she has been a spectacular failure for the EU, its peoples, and made the case for Brexit better than anyone since Farage
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Hold on a sec.

    If you look at the content of the Daily Mail, it's hardly a pro-Remain paper. It's not a gung-ho as the Express, but it's backing Brexit and seeking to narrate and make a success of it.

    Isn't it possible that the Mail's anger is nothing to do with Brexit and everything to do with the awfulness of the Prime Minister as a person? It's not as if any plausible successor is going to soften Boris's Brexit in any meaningful way.

    Admittedly, "Brexit is still in peril and we must be loyal to Comrade Napoleon Mr Johnson because we don't want Farmer Jones von der Leyen back" is a handy narrative to keep people on board. One that will work right up to the moment it doesn't.
    If this is your idea of "backing Brexit" you and I have very different ideas on what backing Brexit means.

    image
  • NerysHughesNerysHughes Posts: 3,375
    Charles said:

    How long does it take to hand over a recording? If it existed it would have been delivered by now
    If people are covertly recording the PM at No 10 would they not have broken the Offical Secrets Act?
  • BluestBlueBluestBlue Posts: 4,556

    My take is

    (a) the taxpayer (his landlord) (ie me) didn't pay for it. That is good.

    (b) who gives a flying f*** what Boris says in private? We already know he likes flowery language.

    I reckon that's how the average Tory-inclined voter will think, too.

    Unfortunately it's hiding lots of more real stuff, like cronyism, conflict of interest, etc.

    And I thought Dominic Cummings was a contemptible little man, none of what he says is to be believed. Suddenly he is He Who Talks Truth To Power. Laughable.
    And there we have it. What amazes me in particular is the confected outrage that a PM having to make life-and-death decisions in the middle on the greatest domestic crisis in 100 years might possibly have vented his emotions in his private office, which is now causing some histrionic types to faint like Victorian aunts exposed to a bare table leg.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,735
    edited April 2021
    Charles said:

    How long does it take to hand over a recording? If it existed it would have been delivered by now
    Drip, drip, drip - wait to the story to nearly end and re-ignite it?

    Orperhaps there is something coming in PMQs?
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    See also: the Kentish variant is more lethal; covid victims are getting younger... neither turned out to be true IIRC...
    Kent variant being more lethal turned out to be true. That's why the death toll was higher here, more people getting a more lethal variant. The Case Fatality Rate went up, until vaccines took it back down.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,307

    That's true, but the Remain/Leave divide still exists, simply now between those thinking we should have remained and those thinking we should have left.

    Some people seem to have been able to bridge the gap to change sides - Truss has done a very good job, while our own RochdalePioneers has swapped the other direction with the added zeal of the convert. But many haven't reconciled to the result yet including eg Scott and the Mail's new Editor.
    Most people seem to have moved on from it, in my view.

    Current battles are fulcruming around civil liberties, gender/race, "culture", and climate change.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,735
    edited April 2021
    Stocky said:

    That's a good point. Are all Hartlepool votes postal - or will polling stations be open?
    Polling stations will be open but might be in different locations (I say that as ours would be different and that might impact things).
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,566
    GIN1138 said:

    Personally I still don't think the the decor/furnishings stuff is going anywhere. Boris can brazen that out.

    The "pile bodies high" remark is much more damaging and will cut through with the public though. That's absolutely terrible for Boris if proven to be true.
    It's pretty bad even if it's not proven to be true. We've already seen that politically its treated as absolute fact already, and is prominent enough to enter public consciousness.

    Likewise, did Boris really say 'F*ck business'? I realised yesterday I have no idea, so perhaps it is certain, but even if it isnt it didn't stop me assuming it was, since it seemed like what he'd say.
  • Much more effective to produce it after the PM vehemently denied saying it I would have thought.
    Exactly. Why produce it now? Knowledge that it exists has already flushed out two witnesses willing to testify under oath. There's a whole nest of rats to be flushed out...
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,814

    Kent variant being more lethal turned out to be true. That's why the death toll was higher here, more people getting a more lethal variant. The Case Fatality Rate went up, until vaccines took it back down.
    It is hard to keep up but I thought the most recent evidence was that it was not in fact more lethal, just more transmissible.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    And there we have it. What amazes me in particular is the confected outrage that a PM having to make life-and-death decisions in the middle on the greatest domestic crisis in 100 years might possibly have vented his emotions in his private office, which is now causing some histrionic types to faint like Victorian aunts exposed to a bare table leg.
    Well said, between this and wallpaper it has to be the most boring "scandal" in decades.

    Quite frankly if the PM was against the idea of lockdowns unless absolutely necessary - good - that's not a bad thing. The hysteria from zero Covidiots over the past year has gotten so ridiculous now.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    moonshine said:

    It is hard to keep up but I thought the most recent evidence was that it was not in fact more lethal, just more transmissible.
    If it was only more transmissible the CFR wouldn't have gone up surely?

    Indeed my understanding is the CFR has been tracking down all pandemic because people have gotten better medicines (dexamethasone) and other treatments (proning). But whereever B117 has hit the CFR has gone back up again. More transmissible and more deadly is an unpleasant combination.
  • And there we have it. What amazes me in particular is the confected outrage that a PM having to make life-and-death decisions in the middle on the greatest domestic crisis in 100 years might possibly have vented his emotions in his private office, which is now causing some histrionic types to faint like Victorian aunts exposed to a bare table leg.
    The "emotion" he was venting was that he didn't want the political hit of a further lockdown, regardless of how many dead grannies it involved. That's a genuinely deeply unpleasant "emotion" that speaks appallingly about Johnson as a human being. It's not just a matter of flowery language - the opinion it expresses is foul.

    I've said that I don't think it will cut through with the wider public. But it isn't histrionics to personally find it all very unpleasant.
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,814

    The "emotion" he was venting was that he didn't want the political hit of a further lockdown, regardless of how many dead grannies it involved. That's a genuinely deeply unpleasant "emotion" that speaks appallingly about Johnson as a human being. It's not just a matter of flowery language - the opinion it expresses is foul.

    I've said that I don't think it will cut through with the wider public. But it isn't histrionics to personally find it all very unpleasant.
    You’re making quite a jump there. Lockdowns cause deaths, it’s just that SkyNews don’t have a daily tracker on their screen for it.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Exactly. Why produce it now? Knowledge that it exists has already flushed out two witnesses willing to testify under oath. There's a whole nest of rats to be flushed out...
    Or its produced two disgruntled people willing to say to Peston they're prepared to, but unwilling to actually come forward and say anything. Or perhaps they are but Peston knows their identity will discredit them?

    Cummings and Cain perhaps?
  • NerysHughesNerysHughes Posts: 3,375

    Breaking

    The ONS have just suggests that deaths involving covid 19 among people all age groups 50 and above has fallen by at least 95%

    Now that is what matters to us all

    If only that was the case, some of the interviews on Breakfast TV talking about the PMs bedding were ludicrous compared to the reports that followed from India.

    We are so lucky in the UK to have the Vaccine programme we do.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    The "emotion" he was venting was that he didn't want the political hit of a further lockdown, regardless of how many dead grannies it involved. That's a genuinely deeply unpleasant "emotion" that speaks appallingly about Johnson as a human being. It's not just a matter of flowery language - the opinion it expresses is foul.

    I've said that I don't think it will cut through with the wider public. But it isn't histrionics to personally find it all very unpleasant.
    Oh cut the crap!

    Not wanting to strip people's civil liberties, imprison them in their homes, shutter their businesses, send people out of work etc is not remotely unpleasant.

    People who are such extreme zero covidiots that they think the choice is "dead granny" or "shut everything down, there are no consequences for doing so" are deeply unpleasant and foul.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,422

    The "emotion" he was venting was that he didn't want the political hit of a further lockdown, regardless of how many dead grannies it involved. That's a genuinely deeply unpleasant "emotion" that speaks appallingly about Johnson as a human being. It's not just a matter of flowery language - the opinion it expresses is foul.

    I've said that I don't think it will cut through with the wider public. But it isn't histrionics to personally find it all very unpleasant.
    Really? Were you there? You seem to know a lot of detail and background from anonymous sources.....
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,111
    I'm told Boris has actually made the "bodies pile high" comment on more than one occasion.
    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1386980847593705472
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,350

    If this is your idea of "backing Brexit" you and I have very different ideas on what backing Brexit means.

    image
    Oh Phillip, dear sweet pirate that you are, you do come out with some silly stuff sometimes.

    One. It's perfectly possible for a newspaper hack to write a column expressing what their proprietor wants, not what they personally believe. And most proprietors have at least half an eye on commercial realities as well as megaphoning their own views. And the commercial reality of 2016 was that we were in a 52:48 world, so unless you want to pander to a niche, you cover as many bases as you can. Times went remain, Sunday Times went leave. Mail went leave, Mail on Sunday went remain. Pretty commercially rational, really.

    Two. We're post 2016, post 2019. We've left. That changes the political dynamics. Is there any evidence that the Mail's editor is currently seeking to sabotage or soften Brexit?

    Or is it just "oldthinkers unbellyfeel Brexit?"
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,330

    If this is your idea of "backing Brexit" you and I have very different ideas on what backing Brexit means.

    image
    The MoS which took the opposite view to the Mail on Brexit I believe?
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,307
    Off topic, it looks like the European Parliament will ratify the Brexit deal later today, once they've got the ranting off their chest:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/04/27/european-parliament-brands-brexit-historic-mistake-vote-ratify/
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,804


    LOL show me a UK PM whose probity wasnt questionable. Likewise a LOTO
    Ok. So you don't care about this stuff and never will.

    "Man of the World" Alanbrooke. He knows how this dirty old world ticks. Seen it all, done it all.

    LOL indeed.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    The MoS which took the opposite view to the Mail on Brexit I believe?
    The MoS whose then Editor is now the new Editor of the Mail.

    And the Editorial line of the Mail changed when the new Editor came in.

    Funny that.
  • NemtynakhtNemtynakht Posts: 2,329

    There's no need to use wallpaper, paint is a fraction of the cost and just as good in my opinion.

    But other people have other priorities. I'm a coffee snob, I love the stuff but won't drink instant, I hate it. A coffee isn't a decent coffee without a proper crema. But other people will look at it and think there's nothing wrong with instant, in the same way as I see nothing wrong with paint. 🤷‍♂️

    Everyone has stuff they want to spend their money on. So long as they're not spending mine I don't care.
    Unfortunately for any owner of a listed building they will have to follow the design guidance from relevant authorities, a must for a PM, or face their wrath if discovered. I once visited the rear of a property in Worcester taking design advice from local authority officer ahead of submission for planning. The location at rear was only accessible through the building, and after the meeting the officer asked if he could take some extra photos of neighbouring properties, as there were significant numbers of UPVC windows installed to rear elevations. He must have had a field day sending the enforcement letters.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038
    edited April 2021

    Yes

    As I commented earlier Douglas Ross is poor and Anas Sarwar is the rising star for Labour

    And as I also said, I hope Labour do take SNP votes and do well in Scotland as it improves the union

    I am far more concerned to retain the union and if that means voting Labour then In would do it
    Fair enough, Labour also have a chance of taking Edinburgh Central on this poll too from the Conservatives and beating Angus Robertson in the process too.

    With just over a week until polling day Sturgeon now faces May 2017 style humiliation if the Panelbase poll is correct, from polling showing an SNP landslide just a few months ago to now facing the prospect of the SNP actually losing seats and failing to get a majority at all
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,350

    And there we have it. What amazes me in particular is the confected outrage that a PM having to make life-and-death decisions in the middle on the greatest domestic crisis in 100 years might possibly have vented his emotions in his private office, which is now causing some histrionic types to faint like Victorian aunts exposed to a bare table leg.
    And yet, if it's a nothing, why lie about it? Had he fessed up on Sunday, the story really would have been dead by now, for the reasons you suggest.

    It's as if Cummings knew that Johnson would take the dishonest route, and that would get him into even more trouble. Sociopathic, but smart.
  • DetlefDetlef Posts: 2
    Hi,
    my thoughts on this remind me of the Winter of Discontent where rubbish piled up in the streets and bodies went unburied.

    Only in this case, Johnson has brought to mind the image of bodies piled up in the streets and him not caring.
  • The MoS which took the opposite view to the Mail on Brexit I believe?
    Actually It did and it was so ridiculous

    Daily Mail - pro brexit

    Mail on Sunday - pro remain

    The difference Dacre pro brexit editor of the Daily Mail

    Geordie Greig editor of the Mail on Sunday pro remain

    Geordie Greig now edits both

    Thereby lies your answer
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,804

    How do we know it wasn't? Just asking!
    Ah well good question. I was giving the benefit of the doubt on that one. But I think if it was it'd be going the traditional route - into weird looking "catering" establishments in quiet, affluent parts of London. Sorts pf places that you hardly ever see anybody in and yet turnover a very decent whack.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,227
    edited April 2021
    Hopefully the vaccine pushing further down to everyone in their 40s soon will put more pressure on the reproductive rate; probably counterbalanced by May 17th opening.
    Our rollout strategy was correct, get the deaths down first but I think the counterpoint is that it is backloaded in terms of those who were always going to spread the virus the most.
  • BluestBlueBluestBlue Posts: 4,556
    edited April 2021

    Exactly. Why produce it now? Knowledge that it exists has already flushed out two witnesses willing to testify under oath. There's a whole nest of rats to be flushed out...
    And at the end of the day this new Star Chamber will have proved ... what? That the PM might have said something in anger in his private office that didn't change policy in the slightest because the decision had already been made? This supposedly high crime is really just another arx e cloaca * for Boris' detractors to toss themselves off over until he mysteriously rises in the polls again and they retire in state of perplexity, if not apoplexy...

    *A mountain out of a molehill; more literally, a citadel out of shit.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Pulpstar said:

    Hopefully the vaccine pushing further down to everyone in their 40s soon will put more pressure ont he reproductive rate; probably counterbalanced by May 17th opening.

    Between vaccines and naturally acquired immunity we're probably already at the herd immunity point.
  • Or its produced two disgruntled people willing to say to Peston they're prepared to, but unwilling to actually come forward and say anything. Or perhaps they are but Peston knows their identity will discredit them?

    Cummings and Cain perhaps?
    Perhaps! That's half the fun. That the people coming forward are disgruntled is beyond question. The real question is why Boris is Ben Swain levels of dumb in not knowing that if you piss about with people like big bad Dom you get burned.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038

    Actually It did and it was so ridiculous

    Daily Mail - pro brexit

    Mail on Sunday - pro remain

    The difference Dacre pro brexit editor of the Daily Mail

    Geordie Greig editor of the Mail on Sunday pro remain

    Geordie Greig now edits both

    Thereby lies your answer
    If the Mail is not careful it risks a big defection of readers to the Express, Mail readers are even more pro Brexit than Boris is
  • HYUFD said:

    Fair enough, Labour also have a chance of taking Edinburgh Central on this poll too from the Conservatives and beating Angus Robertson in the process too.

    With just over a week until polling day Sturgeon now faces May 2017 style humiliation if the Panelbase poll is correct, from polling showing an SNP landslide just a few months ago to now facing the prospect of the SNP actually losing seats and failing to get a majority at all
    We are sometimes in disagreement but we do share the common belief that the union is valuable to all of is living in the UK

    And I hope that Sarwar further grows his support reducing the SNPs influence
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    And at the end of the day this new Star Chamber will have proved ... what? That the PM might have said something in anger in his private office that didn't change policy in the slightest because the decision had already been made? This supposedly high crime is really just another arx e cloaca * for Boris' detractors to toss themselves off over until he mysteriously rises in the polls again and they retire in state of perplexity, if not apoplexy...

    *A mountain out of a molehill; more literally, a citadel out of shit.
    When the real news going on in the world includes people building funeral pyres in India because they're so overwhelmed, while in the UK we're virtually Covid-free and planning on unlocking permanently - to be banging on about private conversations allegedly had months ago is petty meaningless crap.

    There's real news going on. The problem is the real news doesn't suit those with an agenda to push. The real news is that things are going well here and awfully elsewhere and we should be discussing how can we move on from saving lives in this country to saving lives overseas in India and whereever else is struggling not this ridiculous petty shit.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703
    Detlef said:

    Hi,
    my thoughts on this remind me of the Winter of Discontent where rubbish piled up in the streets and bodies went unburied.

    Only in this case, Johnson has brought to mind the image of bodies piled up in the streets and him not caring.

    Welcome.

    There sure does seem to be an awful lot of coverage of this given that so many on here have told us there is nothing whatsoever to the story.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,804

    On Boris, none of the current stories will bring him down, obviously. Not the redecoration. Nor the intemperate remarks. Nor the cronyism/mates' contracts. Nor the failure to replace Alex Allan. Nor the failure to update the Register of Members' Interests. Nor the failure to sack Patel for breaching the Ministerial Code. Nor the loss of lives to Covid. Nor the money wasted on track and trace. Nor Greensill and Cameron. I could go on. Individually, each of these does not have cut through. But collectively, they might, as a narrative of sleaze and cronyism is building.

    I agree with those who argue that despite the Tories being more or less in power for 11 years, the Boris government really is brand new. And it's been in power less than 18 months. It usually takes a lot longer than that for sleaze allegations to take hold. In this respect, this government is performing more swiftly than any predecessor I can think of. I'm beginning to wonder if Boris will survive as long as I'd previously assumed. Government/ministerial/civil service self-discipline seems to be severely lacking, and the level of leaks and smears so early in Boris's reign does not augur well for a prolonged Johnson premiership. Hope I'm right (though I'll probably change my mind next week).

    Apart from "Boris" instead of "Johnson" - c'mon! - a super post from you here, Al.

    Way I see it, he'll be around for a while yet, but the frightful notion of "PM for a decade or more" is receding. Great, because I was starting to give that some credence and it was making me feel a bit ill.
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,785
    edited April 2021

    And there we have it. What amazes me in particular is the confected outrage that a PM having to make life-and-death decisions in the middle on the greatest domestic crisis in 100 years might possibly have vented his emotions in his private office, which is now causing some histrionic types to faint like Victorian aunts exposed to a bare table leg.
    I'm almost sympathetic to your view; I don't have a big problem with colourful expression, and it's what we expect from Boris. But if you're right, why on earth doesn't he just admit to his colourful turn of phrase and ask folk to accept that his intentions are good? (Which makes me think of:

    I'm just a soul whose intentions are good
    Oh Lord, please don't let me be misunderstood
    ).

    The problem is his lying/denying, not his turn of phrase.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    kinabalu said:

    Apart from "Boris" instead of "Johnson" - c'mon! - a super post from you here, Al.

    Way I see it, he'll be around for a while yet, but the frightful notion of "PM for a decade or more" is receding. Great, because I was starting to give that some credence and it was making me feel a bit ill.
    Far more likely he'll be in office around a decade than out of it this year. 2024 and then either 2028 or 2029 before handing over is probably around a 50/50 shot at the minute.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703
    edited April 2021

    And at the end of the day this new Star Chamber will have proved ... what? That the PM might have said something in anger in his private office that didn't change policy in the slightest because the decision had already been made? This supposedly high crime is really just another arx e cloaca * for Boris' detractors to toss themselves off over until he mysteriously rises in the polls again and they retire in state of perplexity, if not apoplexy...

    *A mountain out of a molehill; more literally, a citadel out of shit.
    Same question for you O Bluest of Blue.

    What about if some squaddie had been zapped by the Taliban in Afghan and Boris was overheard, or it was leaked that he had said so what it's only one soldier's death vs the overall campaign?
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,820
    Pulpstar said:

    5 days of sub 100 cases reported in Israel :o !

    This is the UK in about 6 weeks. We're so close to the finish line.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,277

    And at the end of the day this new Star Chamber will have proved ... what? That the PM might have said something in anger in his private office that didn't change policy in the slightest because the decision had already been made? This supposedly high crime is really just another arx e cloaca * for Boris' detractors to toss themselves off over until he mysteriously rises in the polls again and they retire in state of perplexity, if not apoplexy...

    *A mountain out of a molehill; more literally, a citadel out of shit.
    This is a risible defence and once again misses the point ! It’s irrelevant whether he went onto bring the lockdowns in . If you don’t think the comments were callous in nature and showed zero regard for the people who might have died then you clearly are a fully paid up member of the Bozo Cult !
  • NemtynakhtNemtynakht Posts: 2,329
    GIN1138 said:

    Personally I still don't think the the decor/furnishings stuff is going anywhere. Boris can brazen that out.

    The "pile bodies high" remark is much more damaging and will cut through with the public though. That's absolutely terrible for Boris if proven to be true.
    I'll say what I said weeks ago about current 'scandals'. Saying something behind closed doors when we don't know the context, or seeking alternative ways to pay for a refurb. These don't seem overly scandalous to me. People were jailed after MPs expenses and cash for questions.

    Whilst they will role up the usual suspects on here who would find a way to criticise Boris if he came round to there house and brought them s present (Nurses deserve presents more than me, hasn't he got anything better to do!), I can't see the cut through in the general population in the way duck houses on moats, or Barnard castle have.
  • BromBrom Posts: 3,760
    edited April 2021
    HYUFD said:

    If the Mail is not careful it risks a big defection of readers to the Express, Mail readers are even more pro Brexit than Boris is
    Ted Verity now edits the MOS. So the Daily Mail & MOS flipped positions when Dacre retired. Geordie Greig is the ultimate liberal Cameronite with no love lost over Boris & Brexit. The Express remains fervently supportive of the PM.
  • HYUFD said:

    If the Mail is not careful it risks a big defection of readers to the Express, Mail readers are even more pro Brexit than Boris is
    It would have lost me long before now, but my dear wife of nearly 60 years loves the puzzle sections and she is far more important than Geordie Greig

    And I would not have the Daily Express under any circumstances

    Indeed, little would change as I obtain my news online including the Guardian, through PB which is the market leader, and other news media including the BBC and Sky
  • DetlefDetlef Posts: 2
    If I was the Opposition, I would be in a dilemma whether to portray Johnson as the Grim Reaper or as a cheerful undertaker.

    Normally, Johnson would be finished by this. The only way it could get worse is if it is found that the Government signed contracts with a gravedigging firm associated with a Tory cabinet member without a tendering process.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,804
    edited April 2021

    In many ways Starmer is like Kinnock, following Corbyn who was like Foot. It will be interesting then to see if Starmer does indeed stay to lose 2029 as well as 2024.
    Starmer might stay after losing only if the party does well enough to get a hung parliament with a very unstable Tory minority government - in which case he'll be looking for a 2nd bite GE soon after to complete the job and become PM.

    Other than that, after the next GE, it's PM Starmer or it's 'See you later' Starmer.
  • Starmer will go if they lose in 2024, have this on good authority from friends of the family
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,784
    edited April 2021
    kinabalu said:

    Ok. So you don't care about this stuff and never will.

    "Man of the World" Alanbrooke. He knows how this dirty old world ticks. Seen it all, done it all.

    LOL indeed.
    Im just older than you and have seen it all before.

    To expect perfect politicians is just plain naive, they come as a package faults and all and we judge them on how well they run the country not on who they shag or how dodgy their mates are.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    https://apnews.com/article/world-news-health-science-italy-lifestyle-ee0b8e67df7a8e84d4bbf570058625c7

    10,000 cases, 300 deaths per day and Italy are reopening, even for me that seems a tad hasty.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    kinabalu said:

    Starmer might stay after losing only if the party does well enough to get a hung parliament with a very unstable Tory minority government - in which case he'll be looking for a 2nd bite GE soon after to complete the job and become PM.

    Other than that, after the next GE, it's PM Starmer or it's 'See you later' Starmer.
    So if Boris wins 2029 who do you think it's most likely he's defeating?
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,785
    kinabalu said:

    Apart from "Boris" instead of "Johnson" - c'mon! - a super post from you here, Al.

    Way I see it, he'll be around for a while yet, but the frightful notion of "PM for a decade or more" is receding. Great, because I was starting to give that some credence and it was making me feel a bit ill.
    Thanks. Always best to lull the enemy into a false sense of security - hence 'Boris'. I know you don't like it, but I reckon on balance it's best to fake familiarity in the battle for hearts and minds. It would be different if he had a more interesting surname like Fortescue or something.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,227
    kinabalu said:

    Starmer might stay after losing only if the party does well enough to get a hung parliament with a very unstable Tory minority government - in which case he'll be looking for a 2nd bite GE soon after to complete the job and become PM.

    Other than that, after the next GE, it's PM Starmer or it's 'See you later' Starmer.
    He won't be the next PM. Of the current Labour bigwigs I think Burnham would have the best chance to beat a tired and washed up (Which is that he may well be) Boris in 2028/9.
  • MaxPB said:

    This is the UK in about 6 weeks. We're so close to the finish line.
    So long as we don't let everyone go off to Ibiza for a fortnight.
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,257

    OK, I'm not a fan of our current PM. Not by any means. Dragged through Traitors Gate in chains is too good for him!

    But mid summer last year I knew of one person who had, perhaps, died of Covid, and one who had had it and recovered.

    Now I know several in the 'died within one month of test, but also had something else' category, and at least one who died who was otherwise well. I also know of a couple of sufferers from Long Covid, as well as several, including relations, who have had it.

    And a couple of weeks ago we were able, at last, to exchange Christmas presents with an adult granddaughter, presents which could not be safely posted.

    And when I Zoom, or chat about it in the pub, with friends, we're all in similar positions. And that's by no means only with friends of our political persuasion.
    How do you find, locally, opinons are splitting between not locking down being a big mistake and "cancelling Christmas" having been a bad thing?

    Up here, it never got all that bad, but my remainery metropolitan liberal elite circle of friends, colleagues and family-in-law pretty much all think not locking down earlier was a big mistake (and many called it at the time, too). My family and friends in Essex are far more split, mostly along generational lines - my parents are still pissed off about Christmas being cancelled, while friends from my generation generally think it there should have been more restrictions earlier (but the latter were never going to be Johnson voters anyway).
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,804

    The idea Keir Starmer is going to resign if Labour loses Hartlepool is for the birds, he's in for as long as he wants the job.

    Yep. I agree. Just the one caveat - if in a year from now the polls are still showing us miles underwater and him not cutting through, then I think he might come under real pressure.

    But Hartlepool will not be a trigger. Indeed if we win there it will provide a boost.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703
    Talking about zoom - does anyone still do social zooms?

    I find them the most depressing thing going.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,939
    What will hurt the PM is if he did tip the wink to Man United.
    Can't see how that is provable, but this is the thing.
    With him, almost anything is believable because he has no ideology, blurts out florid phrases and has casual mendacity as his default setting.
    So it doesn't have to be true to ring true.
  • NerysHughesNerysHughes Posts: 3,375
    TOPPING said:

    Welcome.

    There sure does seem to be an awful lot of coverage of this given that so many on here have told us there is nothing whatsoever to the story.
    What like evidence?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,227
    Faisal Islam has just received interestingly the Moderna vaccine.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,784
    TOPPING said:

    Talking about zoom - does anyone still do social zooms?

    I find them the most depressing thing going.

    Have you tried solo Morris Dancing ?
  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,506
    Chameleon said:

    https://apnews.com/article/world-news-health-science-italy-lifestyle-ee0b8e67df7a8e84d4bbf570058625c7

    10,000 cases, 300 deaths per day and Italy are reopening, even for me that seems a tad hasty.

    From the article, it seems to be mostly outside, where viruses spead much less. And there's only a certain amount people will put up with, especially in an Italian summer.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    TOPPING said:

    Talking about zoom - does anyone still do social zooms?

    I find them the most depressing thing going.

    Not for myself but my girls do "Rainbows" meetings over Zoom. Though not many who were attending Rainbows in person chose to do the Zoom, it's good for them and they have different activities each week.
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,257
    Charles said:

    How long does it take to hand over a recording? If it existed it would have been delivered by now
    Jon Culshaw has a busy schedule and isn't available for a couple of days :wink:
  • BromBrom Posts: 3,760
    If Starmer loses Hartlepool and has a bad election I'd be surprised if there aren't rumblings of a leadership challenge. Why should the left of the party sit back and accept electoral defeat in 2024? Owen Smith has made the argument on behalf of the Labour left (though I dont expect they have anyone who can beat Starmer).
  • https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1386986988612554752

    There is a ticking time bomb coming. This is not going to be a nice decade.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038
    edited April 2021

    In many ways Starmer is like Kinnock, following Corbyn who was like Foot. It will be interesting then to see if Starmer does indeed stay to lose 2029 as well as 2024.
    Kinnock actually gained 20 seats in 1987 and 42 seats in 1992.

    It is also possible Starmer could be Wilson, who got in in 1964 with a UK Labour majority of 4 despite Home winning a Tory majority in England or he could be a Labour Cameron who gained enough seats to force a hung parliament and a deal with the LDs even if he failed to win a majority.

    2024 will be after 14 years of Tory rule, much as 1964 was after 14 years of Tory rule and 2010 after 13 years of Labour rule.

    Indeed on yesterday's Mori it would be back to 2017 with the Tories losing their majority and again reliant on the DUP
  • pingping Posts: 3,805
    https://mobile.twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1386964900589805572?s=20

    This must hit the SNP’s constituency seats. Is there a calculator anywhere?
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703

    Not for myself but my girls do "Rainbows" meetings over Zoom. Though not many who were attending Rainbows in person chose to do the Zoom, it's good for them and they have different activities each week.
    Sounds great - I would put that in the maintaining social development category for children which imo is vital.

    I'm talking about you and your mates sitting with a glass of wine or beer in front of a screen chatting.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,563

    Thank you

    It is a big operation but he has no choice due to legacy damage from his days playing hockey and team sports
    Interesting thought. 60+ years ago I smashed an ankle..... put my foot in a two-foot deep hole while running and of course all my weight went down on it. 6 months later I was back playing hockey, did so for another season, then worked standing up for another 20+ years.
    It has now come back to bite me. Very uncomfortable.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703

    Have you tried solo Morris Dancing ?
    No I haven't. Nor for that matter have I tried solo incest.

    But we have an expert (on the former) on here, apparently, so I could ask about it I suppose.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038
    edited April 2021
    Brom said:

    If Starmer loses Hartlepool and has a bad election I'd be surprised if there aren't rumblings of a leadership challenge. Why should the left of the party sit back and accept electoral defeat in 2024? Owen Smith has made the argument on behalf of the Labour left (though I dont expect they have anyone who can beat Starmer).

    On yesterday's Mori Labour will gain a lot of county council seats from the Tories next week and win London by a landslide and comfortably hold Wales even if they lose Hartlepool (which has special circumstances due to the high BXP vote in 2019).

    On today's Panelbase in Scotland Labour will also overtake the Conservatives for second at Holyrood and prevent the SNP getting a majority
This discussion has been closed.