Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

LAB’s betting gap over the Tories in Hartlepool now in double figures – politicalbetting.com

1235

Comments

  • ydoethur said:

    I don’t want the imbeciles who thought the Hundred a good idea to have access to anything, thanks.

    They’re almost as useless as the DfE.
    I'm somebody who is a member of two counties I'm so opposed to franchise cricket but I am coming round to the idea that is a necessary evil, to combat the power of India.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,730

    Like driving licences?
    Licences for driving haven't been paper based for a couple of decades.....mine still is as never had to send it off so still got the old paper one and yes they were forged in their time
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,743
    Our World In Data has added a graph for the share of people with at least one dose. We're not far behind the epidemiological position of Israel.

    image
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    alex_ said:

    The idea that vaccine passports have any role to play in allowing spectators into County cricket matches just shows to some extent how there is a danger that "passport" serving wider Government purposes become a solution to a non-existent problem. If the Government decrees that spectators at county cricket matches represents a "covid problem" then frankly they shouldn't be opening anything up. I spent all afternoon, at a time when we've barely opened up at all, outside in an environment that was far more "relatively" dangerous than anything you would encounter at a County cricket match.

    The issue is that the Government gets to decide what is a Covid problem, so gets to "encourage" passports as a solution.
    If a stadium feels confident letting 20,000 spectators in with a passport scheme, but doesn't without, then why shouldn't they have the choice?

    So long as it's their choice not a requirement.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Our World In Data has added a graph for the share of people with at least one dose. We're not far behind the epidemiological position of Israel.

    image

    Also we are past the point that Israel lifted lockdown, which was on 4 February from memory.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,454
    edited March 2021
    Evening all :)

    A few thoughts on polls - CON+LAB 74% on YouGov but 80% on Redfield & Wilton.

    Elsewhere, more awful polling for the Union in Germany - 26% with both INSA and GMS yesterday. Greens steady on 21% - SPD 17%, AfD and FDP both at 11% and Linke on 8%.

    Since the last Bundestag election in 2017, the changes are Union -7%, SPD -2.5%, AfD -1.5%, FDP +0.3%, Linke -1% and Greens +12%.

    Greens, SPD and FDP very close to a majority on these numbers (49%) while CDU/CSU/Green is on 47%.

    The fragmentation of German politics from an ostensibly two-party to a five-party system has been remarkable.

    Meanwhile, we have the Bulgarian election on Sunday.

    The latest Rego poll puts the Socialists on 28% (+2) and the governing GERB on 25.5% (-1.5%). In third, we have ITN which as we know is the populist party founded by Stanislav Trifonov which has been strongly supportive of the various protests against the GERB government led by the colourful Boyko Borisov who was once Todor Zhivkov's bodyguard.

    The centrist DPS are on 9% with ISMV on 7% - the latter are pro-EU and anti-corruption (apparently they are connected to Volt who won seats in the recent Dutch election and are a pan-European movement) and Democratic Bulgaria on 5%.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,264
    Andy_JS said:
    Wait. I thought it was the CSU in Bavaria?
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518

    The average crowd at a county cricket match is about fourteen so social distancing shouldn't be a problem - though FWIW once (at the very latest) everybody has been jabbed once, then that requirement ought to go in the dustbin.

    More generally I'm not attending any event where the pleasure of it is ruined by having to sit there throughout in a bloody stupid face mask.
    Well quite. We didn't even have to wear masks outside at the height of the pandemic in January. And yet some idiots think it should be a necessary threshold to attending a bl**dy county cricket match! And, anyway, don't most people attending County matches spend most of the day eating and drinking?

    Personally i can't wear a mask and my glasses at the same time (they just steam up). So, although my eyesight isn't that bad, wearing a mask at a spectator event like cricket is completely out.

    Also, finally, under the "official" road map, isn't 21st June supposed to be the date at which ALL restrictions (including social distancing etc) are lifted? Whether that is actually sensible or not, i don't know, but given that is the road map, why are things like sporting events bending over backwards to not take the roadmap at it's word?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,426
    Pagan2 said:

    Licences for driving haven't been paper based for a couple of decades.....mine still is as never had to send it off so still got the old paper one and yes they were forged in their time
    Tories about to make a massive mistake imho.

    Brexit/Reform Party have no traction because there is no big issue to peel off pissed off voters from Johnson. Brexit done etc.

    But covid vaccine app/passport will instantly create a new issue. Tice already tweeting recent clips of Gove saying it wont happen even though rumours are that it will now.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    I'm somebody who is a member of two counties I'm so opposed to franchise cricket but I am coming round to the idea that is a necessary evil, to combat the power of India.
    Franchise cricket is one thing.

    Why the One Hundred though? It's ridiculous, just go for a T20.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,264
    alex_ said:

    Or they've burned their bridges with Western pharmaceutical companies and are needing to keep their options open in relation to the Chinese vaccines...
    The EU will use essentially no Chinese vaccines. None have even been submitted for approval.

    The EU has annoyed a bunch of pharma companies (which will work in the UK's interests). But it is still an enormous economic bloc.

    EU production of CV19 vaccines is growing, and will continue to grow.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,585

    I'm somebody who is a member of two counties I'm so opposed to franchise cricket but I am coming round to the idea that is a necessary evil, to combat the power of India.
    #hedgingyourbets? I’ll admit to being a Hampshire man, with a fondness for Somerset. The team I play for is (just) inside Gloucestershire, but there’s no love there...
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,730

    Tories about to make a massive mistake imho.

    Brexit/Reform Party have no traction because there is no big issue to peel off pissed off voters from Johnson. Brexit done etc.

    But covid vaccine app/passport will instantly create a new issue. Tice already tweeting recent clips of Gove saying it wont happen even though rumours are that it will now.
    I agree, while I wont vote tory currently and havent done since 2010, that means I dont vote mostly. Vaxports would make me actively vote against them
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,622
    edited March 2021

    Also we are past the point that Israel lifted lockdown, which was on 4 February from memory.
    In north London, lockdown ended a few days ago

    Camden lock was rammed this evening, likewise Waterlow Park. Gorgeous weather, impromptu bands, picnics, wine evenings, queues for excellent Indonesian laksas, the works.

    It was noisy and chaotic and it was brilliant. Young people are desperate to get out, to see and be seen, to socialise, flirt, party, make love - it's what they are meant to do, and they have been repressed for a year, and prevented from doing it. All power to them - they have, in many ways, sacrificed the most.

    Animal spirits are returning.

    Until recently I thought Covid would be a major negative for big cities. Now I wonder. It is possible big cities will become MORE popular - especially with the young - as people clamour for the urban buzz and a social life, once again.

    Put it another way. After a year of sitting in the garden (at best) who wants to carry on sitting in the garden? Who wants to go for ANOTHER lonely walk in a field?

    People will want clubs, bars, theatres, galleries, restaurants. They will want CITIES
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,743
    rcs1000 said:

    The EU will use essentially no Chinese vaccines. None have even been submitted for approval.

    The EU has annoyed a bunch of pharma companies (which will work in the UK's interests). But it is still an enormous economic bloc.

    EU production of CV19 vaccines is growing, and will continue to grow.
    Hungary is using Chinese vaccines.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,368
    edited March 2021

    Franchise cricket is one thing.

    Why the One Hundred though? It's ridiculous, just go for a T20.
    They said it was to make sure it could fit in a three hour broadcasting slot.

    But there were considerably better ways of doing that, starting with making the players play more quickly rather than resetting the field every ball.

    But there has always been more than a suspicion the real reason for the Hundred is to get rid of those counties that don’t host Tests.

    Good night.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,585
    ydoethur said:

    They said it was to make sure it could fit in a three hour broadcasting slot.

    But there were considerably better ways of doing that, starting with making the players play more quickly rather than resetting the field every ball.

    But there has always been more than a suspicion the real reason for the Hundred is to get rid of those counties that don’t host Tests.

    Good night.
    I think it’s also partly to make a point of difference from T20.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    ydoethur said:

    They said it was to make sure it could fit in a three hour broadcasting slot.

    But there were considerably better ways of doing that, starting with making the players play more quickly rather than resetting the field every ball.

    But there has always been more than a suspicion the real reason for the Hundred is to get rid of those counties that don’t host Tests.

    Good night.
    The three hour thing is just bizarre.

    Do the IPL struggle to get viewers because a T20 is deemed too long?

    Ridiculous!
  • #hedgingyourbets? I’ll admit to being a Hampshire man, with a fondness for Somerset. The team I play for is (just) inside Gloucestershire, but there’s no love there...
    I'm a Yorkshireman through and through and I worked in Leeds City Centre between 2005 and 2011 so it was inevitable I became a YCCC member and I've kept my membership ever since.

    However in 2011 I moved to Manchester and have worked there since 2011 so in 2012 I went to a few t20 matches at Old Trafford (with friends) and I noticed it was cheaper to be a member but the biggest advantage to being a Lancs member is the priority window for England matches at Old Trafford.

    Plus I met someone special at Old Trafford (well The Point and the Hilton) so I can't cancel my membership or I'll get into trouble.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,426
    How is Johnson going to get vaccine app/passport through HoC?

    Only if Starmer whips his troops to support it. Pretty sure there are enough believers in a free country on the tory backbenchers to stop it otherwise.

    Over to you Starmer?
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,809


    Don't be stupid. See my answer to @Pagan2.

    Not allowing a vaccine passport isn't going to prevent a future totalitarian government, any more than having a vaccine passport is going to lead to one.

    We need to concentrate on electing MPs and governments who believe in freedom, fairness of opportunity, and the democratic process. We might start by kicking out one that feels it's fine for lots of contracts to go to their mates and schoolchums without due process.
    The issue is that the government is proposing a mass tracking system under the guise or a vaccine passport. It doesn't need to. It is using this opportunity to normalise the behaviour of checking into venues and ensuring the state knows where you are at all times. As I said, you may be comfortable with that, I'm not.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Endillion said:

    I don't think this is the issue any more. I think what counts now is whether the anti-vax movement in (particularly) France is now strong enough that the base take-up rate is insufficient to eliminate the virus and its latest variants, without additional restrictions.
    May be we should permanently lock up all French people? Just to be safe.
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518

    If a stadium feels confident letting 20,000 spectators in with a passport scheme, but doesn't without, then why shouldn't they have the choice?

    So long as it's their choice not a requirement.
    I understand your basic position. But i think you are being very naive about the idea that this idea is being pushed by the Government as a "voluntary" option for businesses. Even if it is voluntary on paper, it will be de facto compulsory for any businesses wanting to open up properly. I don't believe that any business will opt in to such a scheme unless forced to and/or majorly incentivised to do so.

    I don't remotely think its a case of "customer confidence". It's simply that the Government will impose conditions unless you opt in. Young people don't care. Older people are vaccinated and feel safe. Those that might be reluctant will be vastly dwarfed by those who are keen. And enforcement will come with a major cost to business, so very few will go for it voluntarily.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,426
    Leon said:

    In north London, lockdown ended a few days ago

    Camden lock was rammed this evening, likewise Waterlow Park. Gorgeous weather, impromptu bands, picnics, wine evenings, queues for excellent Indonesian laksas, the works.

    It was noisy and chaotic and it was brilliant. Young people are desperate to get out, to see and be seen, to socialise, flirt, party, make love - it's what they are meant to do, and they have been repressed for a year, and prevented from doing it. All power to them - they have, in many ways, sacrificed the most.

    Animal spirits are returning.

    Until recently I thought Covid would be a major negative for big cities. Now I wonder. It is possible big cities will become MORE popular - especially with the young - as people clamour for the urban buzz and a social life, once again.

    Put it another way. After a year of sitting in the garden (at best) who wants to carry on sitting in the garden? Who wants to go for ANOTHER lonely walk in a field?

    People will want clubs, bars, theatres, galleries, restaurants. They will want CITIES
    But they may only be able to have them if they are prepared to allow a government app to track every time they enter and leave one of those places.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,264

    Also we are past the point that Israel lifted lockdown, which was on 4 February from memory.
    Israel's lockdown ended slightly later than that - in early March IIRC. Also, the "time to effective" is quicker in Israel with Pfizer than in the UK with AstraZeneca.

  • isamisam Posts: 41,220

    I think it’s also partly to make a point of difference from T20.
    If they wanted to distinguish themselves from other tournaments, they could have said two women, whose runs scored count double and boundaries conceded are halved, have to play in each side
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,273

    Tories about to make a massive mistake imho.

    Brexit/Reform Party have no traction because there is no big issue to peel off pissed off voters from Johnson. Brexit done etc.

    But covid vaccine app/passport will instantly create a new issue. Tice already tweeting recent clips of Gove saying it wont happen even though rumours are that it will now.
    I'd like to see some opinion polls on the topic. I suspect it's a very minority interest. Most people will either shrug and comply or indeed actively welcome vaccine passports imo.
  • MaxPB said:

    The issue is that the government is proposing a mass tracking system under the guise or a vaccine passport. It doesn't need to. It is using this opportunity to normalise the behaviour of checking into venues and ensuring the state knows where you are at all times. As I said, you may be comfortable with that, I'm not.
    Do you have an Oyster card?
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,730

    Do you have an Oyster card?
    If you are asking me no I dont
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,426
    Pagan2 said:

    I agree, while I wont vote tory currently and havent done since 2010, that means I dont vote mostly. Vaxports would make me actively vote against them
    I will not vote for any party that supports this. It is a complete nightmare. So much for the conservatives being the party of the free born englishman and all that.

    What the hell are they thinking?
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,809
    rcs1000 said:

    The EU will use essentially no Chinese vaccines. None have even been submitted for approval.

    The EU has annoyed a bunch of pharma companies (which will work in the UK's interests). But it is still an enormous economic bloc.

    EU production of CV19 vaccines is growing, and will continue to grow.
    It may be an enormous economic bloc, but it's acting like a pauper in a thrift shop looking for a bargain, arguing interminably over pricing and delayed deliveries. They still haven't had their "whatever it takes" moment that Rishi had in April 2020 and even the Trump administration had over vaccines in the summer of 2020.
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    isam said:

    If they wanted to distinguish themselves from other tournaments, they could have said two women, whose runs scored count double and boundaries conceded are halved, have to play in each side
    Would be dangerous.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,426
    edited March 2021
    DeSantis vows to take executive action against 'vaccine passports'

    https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/545445-desantis-vows-to-take-executive-action-against-vaccine-passports


    "DeSantis said he believes people “have certain freedoms and individual liberties” to decide whether to get the vaccine and conveyed concerns about privacy if such a program was launched.

    “You’re going to do this and what, give all this information to some big corporation?” the governor said. “You want the fox to guard the hen house? I mean give me a break.”
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,743
    They'll say anything for a briefcase of €500 notes.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    Andy_JS said:

    "Porn has corrupted our children – and we let it happen
    Our offspring wander through the dank dungeon of the internet largely without supervision so we shouldn't be shocked at the damage it causes
    ALLISON PEARSON" {£}

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/women/life/porn-has-corrupted-children-let-happen/

    Is not our own TSE a prime example?!?!
  • Black_RookBlack_Rook Posts: 8,905

    T20 blast matches are rammed, full capacity, ditto England matches, I think that's the issue.
    Once the vaccination program is completed then there shouldn't be an issue, and the interval between spectator events opening up again and that happening oughtn't to be long enough to justify the creation of some elaborate enforcement system.

    The Government can simply impose limits on crowd numbers (which I believe they intend to do anyway) for the interim, and then chuck all the rules in the dustbin when the jabs are done. If the entire adult population, other than a quite modest number of anti-vaxxers, having been inoculated isn't sufficient condition for us to go back to normal - which includes not having a plod or some tinpot official demanding "papers please" twenty times a day - then we're never going back to normal ever, are we? That's not acceptable - or it shouldn't be, anyway.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,622

    I'd like to see some opinion polls on the topic. I suspect it's a very minority interest. Most people will either shrug and comply or indeed actively welcome vaccine passports imo.
    Yes, agreed. See the reaction to lockdown. Most people either agreed with it or wanted more SEVERE lockdown, not less.

    Vaccine passports will enable something like "normal" life to resume quicker than it would otherwise. This will be the case for a year or two, then we can get rid of them. Like ID cards in WW2

    Fervent opposition to Vaxports will be a niche interest, comprising less than 10% of the country. Maybe less than 5%. Like anti-vaxxery. I cannot see any major party taking up the cause

  • Is not our own TSE a prime example?!?!
    No, I was corrupted long before I ever saw any porn.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,273

    Do you have an Oyster card?
    Or a smartphone. Or a car.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559

    DeSantis vows to take executive action against 'vaccine passports'

    https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/545445-desantis-vows-to-take-executive-action-against-vaccine-passports


    "DeSantis said he believes people “have certain freedoms and individual liberties” to decide whether to get the vaccine and conveyed concerns about privacy if such a program was launched.

    “You’re going to do this and what, give all this information to some big corporation?” the governor said. “You want the fox to guard the hen house? I mean give me a break.”

    DeSantis thinks that if a clown like Trumpsky can get elected POTUS, then a clown like DeSantis can do it too.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,622

    But they may only be able to have them if they are prepared to allow a government app to track every time they enter and leave one of those places.
    They won't care. If they have to get an app, they will do it, they just want to drink and have fun and be young. A lot of them are very used to being carded down the Spoons for age. This is just another version of that

    Seriously, PB is a wildly skewed demographic when it comes to libertarian issues, most people do not think like us (I count myself still as a moderate libertarian)
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    MaxPB said:

    It may be an enormous economic bloc, but it's acting like a pauper in a thrift shop looking for a bargain, arguing interminably over pricing and delayed deliveries. They still haven't had their "whatever it takes" moment that Rishi had in April 2020 and even the Trump administration had over vaccines in the summer of 2020.
    It's absolutely astonishing. Even the latest stuff over the risks of AZ is absurd. The argument is put that "why should young people be exposed to the risk of the vaccine when the virus is harmless to them". Well it isn't. Not if you objectively assess the risks to young people from the vaccine (even assuming this blood clot stuff is justified) against the relative risk of the virus. The vaccine is being built up as potentially harmful against a "harmless" virus. The statements are not operating with the same common denominators.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,187
    edited March 2021

    Also we are past the point that Israel lifted lockdown, which was on 4 February from memory.
    I stand by my prediction that the next few months will see immense pressure to speed up reopening. I wouldn't be surprised to see a few letters to Sir Graham publicly renouncing confidence unless lockdown is lifted sooner.

    If the Govt. are stupid enough to even think about introducing vaxports for domestic use, the backbenches will rightly go crazy.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,730
    Leon said:

    Yes, agreed. See the reaction to lockdown. Most people either agreed with it or wanted more SEVERE lockdown, not less.

    Vaccine passports will enable something like "normal" life to resume quicker than it would otherwise. This will be the case for a year or two, then we can get rid of them. Like ID cards in WW2

    Fervent opposition to Vaxports will be a niche interest, comprising less than 10% of the country. Maybe less than 5%. Like anti-vaxxery. I cannot see any major party taking up the cause

    Last poll is about 30 odd percent opposed. If they impose vaxports my money will be staying in my pocket not being spent in venues I wont visit because they have to vaxport.

    Good luck with those businesses getting back on their feet if that 30% do the same thing. That also assumes that the 30% objecting aren't the same 30% that was the number of people visiting bars and restaurants in the first place
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,809

    Do you have an Oyster card?
    Of course, they still didn't know I was going to the pub and even that information requires a warrant becuase Oyster is a private company and its data isn't held by the state.

    I'm surprised that you're so willing to throw away your hard won judicial protections and due process under the guise of "saving the NHS" after that's already been achieved.

    Vaccine passports for international travel, sure. A non-biometric physical card for domestic use that has a six month or year time limit, sure. An app that requires check-ins and entry scans at all venues? Get tae fuck.
  • Mortimer said:

    I stand by my prediction that the next few months will see immense pressure to speed up reopening. I wouldn't be surprised to see a few letters to Sir Graham publicly renouncing confidence unless lockdown is lifted sooner.

    If the Govt. are stupid enough to even think about introducing vaxports for domestic use, the backbenches will rightly go crazy.
    You've been saying that for most of lockdown, no one has gone public in that time.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,622
    Pagan2 said:

    Last poll is about 30 odd percent opposed. If they impose vaxports my money will be staying in my pocket not being spent in venues I wont visit because they have to vaxport.

    Good luck with those businesses getting back on their feet if that 30% do the same thing. That also assumes that the 30% objecting aren't the same 30% that was the number of people visiting bars and restaurants in the first place
    Link?

    I'd be surprised if this "opposition" to vaxports is any firmer than Somerset snow in April
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,187
    alex_ said:

    Well quite. We didn't even have to wear masks outside at the height of the pandemic in January. And yet some idiots think it should be a necessary threshold to attending a bl**dy county cricket match! And, anyway, don't most people attending County matches spend most of the day eating and drinking?

    Personally i can't wear a mask and my glasses at the same time (they just steam up). So, although my eyesight isn't that bad, wearing a mask at a spectator event like cricket is completely out.

    Also, finally, under the "official" road map, isn't 21st June supposed to be the date at which ALL restrictions (including social distancing etc) are lifted? Whether that is actually sensible or not, i don't know, but given that is the road map, why are things like sporting events bending over backwards to not take the roadmap at it's word?
    The covid restriction Stockholm syndrome is so frustrating, isn't it.

    I've noticed mask wearing has really dropped this week. I'd say down to 60% on trains around here now. Given there is almost no community spread, I'm not surprised.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,287
    edited March 2021
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,654
    Like, they had the option of buying some?
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,187
    Leon said:

    Link?

    I'd be surprised if this "opposition" to vaxports is any firmer than Somerset snow in April
    Why would it make normality quicker? People need to get over themselves and accept a tiny amount of risk. Or if not, they can stay at home whilst the rest of us who have made sacrifices during the past year but understand basic science can flock to places.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,730
    Leon said:

    Link?

    I'd be surprised if this "opposition" to vaxports is any firmer than Somerset snow in April
    It was posted a couple of days ago on pb, didnt note the link sure you can google it
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    Leon said:

    They won't care. If they have to get an app, they will do it, they just want to drink and have fun and be young. A lot of them are very used to being carded down the Spoons for age. This is just another version of that

    Seriously, PB is a wildly skewed demographic when it comes to libertarian issues, most people do not think like us (I count myself still as a moderate libertarian)
    Read that at first as "modern libertine".

    Which sounded odd. The "moderate" bit that is!
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,187

    You've been saying that for most of lockdown, no one has gone public in that time.
    If you think Steve Baker is going to allow Vaxports to happen to appease a few fearties who don't understand basic concepts of epidemiology, I have a bridge to sell you.
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    edited March 2021
    I don't think any one of us on here concerned about the implications, real driving forces and potential consequences of vaccine passports would be concerned about them if we thought that they would be wildly unpopular.

    The issue is that they won't be which makes them easy to introduce. Especially from a Government that can (arbitrarily if it wishes) set the rules restricting what activity can be carried out without them.

    People think, "well if a vaccine passport is necessary to do X, then i will accept a vaccine passport because i really want to do X".

    What they don't realise is that a vaccine passport is only necessary because the Government decrees it so.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,622
    Pagan2 said:

    It was posted a couple of days ago on pb, didnt note the link sure you can google it
    It is customary on PB for notable claims to be notably evidenced. Like someone claiming they speak a long dead language, descended through the mother tongue via their family, against all known laws of linguistics.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,809
    Mortimer said:

    If you think Steve Baker is going to allow Vaxports to happen to appease a few fearties who don't understand basic concepts of epidemiology, I have a bridge to sell you.
    The problem is Labour. The numbers aren't there on the Tory benches to get this through but Keith is a complete chump who will blindly vote in favour of whatever Boris and the health bods controlling his puppet strings come up with.
  • MrEdMrEd Posts: 5,578

    DeSantis thinks that if a clown like Trumpsky can get elected POTUS, then a clown like DeSantis can do it too.
    So much of a clown that businesses and individuals are fleeing California and New York for Florida.
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    Mortimer said:

    I stand by my prediction that the next few months will see immense pressure to speed up reopening. I wouldn't be surprised to see a few letters to Sir Graham publicly renouncing confidence unless lockdown is lifted sooner.

    If the Govt. are stupid enough to even think about introducing vaxports for domestic use, the backbenches will rightly go crazy.
    The backbenches will cave when polling shows they are popular. Only a small number of diehards will stick to their "personal principles"
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,187
    MaxPB said:

    Of course, they still didn't know I was going to the pub and even that information requires a warrant becuase Oyster is a private company and its data isn't held by the state.

    I'm surprised that you're so willing to throw away your hard won judicial protections and due process under the guise of "saving the NHS" after that's already been achieved.

    Vaccine passports for international travel, sure. A non-biometric physical card for domestic use that has a six month or year time limit, sure. An app that requires check-ins and entry scans at all venues? Get tae fuck.
    Incidentally I didn't get the check in app last year. I tried, but it wouldn't install on my phone, which also wouldn't upgrade. I was offered paper occasionally. That paper version was only collected once in about, what, say, 25 visits to pubs or cafes...

    The idea that biz is going to turn away patrons for not using the correct app (that a good 25% of people won't be able to manage anyway) is farcical....
  • On tonight's Scotland leader debate

    Absolutely agree

    https://twitter.com/alexmassie/status/1376987656941342725?s=19
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,426
    Mortimer said:

    Why would it make normality quicker? People need to get over themselves and accept a tiny amount of risk. Or if not, they can stay at home whilst the rest of us who have made sacrifices during the past year but understand basic science can flock to places.
    "This will be the case for a year or two, then we can get rid of them."

    If you believe that I have a brace of bridges to sell you.

    If we go down the route of a health status app for entry to public places we will never be free of it.

    Wake up people!
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Can we get rid of these utterly hideous covid ads on the telly? Grim scaremongering. I can imagine they scare the shit out of lots of people. Ugh.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,550

    Do you have an Oyster card?
    I've used mine only four times since March last year!
  • MaxPB said:

    Of course, they still didn't know I was going to the pub and even that information requires a warrant becuase Oyster is a private company and its data isn't held by the state.

    I'm surprised that you're so willing to throw away your hard won judicial protections and due process under the guise of "saving the NHS" after that's already been achieved.

    Vaccine passports for international travel, sure. A non-biometric physical card for domestic use that has a six month or year time limit, sure. An app that requires check-ins and entry scans at all venues? Get tae fuck.
    I'm not, sadly I'm resigned to this government doing this and how they will try and justify it, I'm pointing out all the warning signs were there when they went for the Henry VIII powers during Brexit.

    As Matt Singh has pointed out during the pandemic one of the many consistent things during pandemic polling is this

    https://twitter.com/MattSingh_/status/1374386230989709318
    https://twitter.com/MattSingh_/status/1374386762965913609
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,730
    alex_ said:

    I don't think any one of us on here concerned about the implications, real driving forces and potential consequences of vaccine passports would be concerned about them if we thought that they would be wildly unpopular.

    The issue is that they won't be which makes them easy to introduce. Especially from a Government that can (arbitrarily if it wishes) set the rules restricting what activity can be carried out without them.

    People think, "well if a vaccine passport is necessary to do X, then i will accept a vaccine passport because i really want to do X".

    What they don't realise is that a vaccine passport is only necessary because the Government decrees it so.

    And if they introduce them they will take money out of the hospitality industry because people like you will say fuck you and not spend it. I don't need the hospitality industry it is merely convenient frankly though if it all goes bust I can manage quite happily without it with meals round peoples houses and drinks round other peoples houses as we have been doing all this year.

    The hospitality industry is a nice to have but not a necessity
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    MaxPB said:

    Of course, they still didn't know I was going to the pub and even that information requires a warrant becuase Oyster is a private company and its data isn't held by the state.

    I'm surprised that you're so willing to throw away your hard won judicial protections and due process under the guise of "saving the NHS" after that's already been achieved.

    Vaccine passports for international travel, sure. A non-biometric physical card for domestic use that has a six month or year time limit, sure. An app that requires check-ins and entry scans at all venues? Get tae fuck.
    Nobody here AFAIK is supporting check ins and entry scans at all venues.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,426
    Why do we need a covid status app when by the time it is up and running the vast majority of people will have been vaccinated?

    Just in case the herd immunity level is 98%?
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,287
    But the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines are okay.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,187
    alex_ said:

    The backbenches will cave when polling shows they are popular. Only a small number of diehards will stick to their "personal principles"
    Not sure actually. There is a not insignificant number of Tory MPs who have no real career ambitions and quite a lot of principles.
  • ClippPClippP Posts: 1,961
    They are well trained, aren't they? And brainwashed into the bargain.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,730
    Leon said:

    It is customary on PB for notable claims to be notably evidenced. Like someone claiming they speak a long dead language, descended through the mother tongue via their family, against all known laws of linguistics.
    Fine you are either too lazy or too thick to google
    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9401561/Where-vaccine-passports-used-YouGov-poll-reveals-Britons-want-IDs-place-gyms.html
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,550
    Andy_JS said:

    "Porn has corrupted our children – and we let it happen
    Our offspring wander through the dank dungeon of the internet largely without supervision so we shouldn't be shocked at the damage it causes
    ALLISON PEARSON" {£}

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/women/life/porn-has-corrupted-children-let-happen/

    Porn is "impure"!
  • TresTres Posts: 2,812
    Dougal Ross spectacularly failing to win hearts and minds in the debate tonight, consensus that the Scots Tories have managed to find someone even more unlikeable than Jackson Carlaw.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,730

    Nobody here AFAIK is supporting check ins and entry scans at all venues.
    Leon is Nick Palmer is Tse is
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,187
    MaxPB said:

    The problem is Labour. The numbers aren't there on the Tory benches to get this through but Keith is a complete chump who will blindly vote in favour of whatever Boris and the health bods controlling his puppet strings come up with.
    Indeed. I am seriously impressed with the Libs over this. It will encourage about another 25 Tory backbenchers to rebel, I suspect.

    But as you say the problem is Labour. Least useful opposition I can remember.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,654
    Mortimer said:

    If you think Steve Baker is going to allow Vaxports to happen to appease a few fearties who don't understand basic concepts of epidemiology, I have a bridge to sell you.
    If you think that Steve Baker has that much clout, you're the one buying the bridge.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,550

    Why do we need a covid status app when by the time it is up and running the vast majority of people will have been vaccinated?

    Just in case the herd immunity level is 98%?

    You catch on well, my friend :lol:
  • Pagan2 said:

    Leon is Nick Palmer is Tse is
    I'm not.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,622
    TV Recommendation

    REBELLION, on Netflix

    A retelling of the Irish Rebellion of Easter 2016 (so, timely)

    It passed me by when it came out (mid Golden Age, so we were drowned in fine TV drama) but it is really well done: good script, great acting, superbly rich scenography, you are there with the rebels and RIC as it unfolds.

    It had oddly mixed reviews, especially in America and Ireland, despite its obvious quality. I wonder if this is because it is so nuanced: it does not play to Irish hero/British villain stereotypes (tho it has sympathies for the rebels) the mixed emotions and motives of many are excellently portrayed, and it is not afraid of making the Irish look murderous (also, the Brits).

    8/10
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    Pagan2 said:

    It was posted a couple of days ago on pb, didnt note the link sure you can google it
    I'm strongly opposed to vaccine passports. For a number of reasons, including i don't understand the scientific case for them in a world when most Britons are vaccinated. If the fear is of vaccine resistant variants - well vaccines don't help in that scenario anyway. I wonder how much of the current talk/proposals is actually being driven by the scientists, as opposed to the Civil Service taking over and convincing ministers.

    But if i have to show one to go into a pub to have a drink with my friends i will still do it.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,730

    I'm not.
    Then my apologies for misunderstanding
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,187
    edited March 2021

    You catch on well, my friend :lol:
    It is still my hope that this chatter about it is all a load of guff dreamed up by the Spi-B committee to nudge people into taking a vaccine.

    However with my party activist hat on I am incensed. Frankly it makes me sick that the party which I work so hard for and donate significant amounts of money and time to can even contemplate such illiberal policies.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,011
    edited March 2021
    Tres said:

    Dougal Ross spectacularly failing to win hearts and minds in the debate tonight, consensus that the Scots Tories have managed to find someone even more unlikeable than Jackson Carlaw.

    I watched it and agree Ross was poor but Anas Sarwar was miles ahead and Sturgeon was on the defensive throughout, no more so than on independence which was not at all popular with the audience


    https://twitter.com/alexmassie/status/1376987656941342725?s=19
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,730
    alex_ said:

    I'm strongly opposed to vaccine passports. For a number of reasons, including i don't understand the scientific case for them in a world when most Britons are vaccinated. If the fear is of vaccine resistant variants - well vaccines don't help in that scenario anyway. I wonder how much of the current talk/proposals is actually being driven by the scientists, as opposed to the Civil Service taking over and convincing ministers.

    But if i have to show one to go into a pub to have a drink with my friends i will still do it.
    I won't. I don't bow to government dictat I will just buy a bottle and have some friends over which will probably be more fun than a pub anyway
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,708
    malcolmg said:
    I must admit, I don't see how what Salmond is doing is unfair. I was surprised at Sturgeon's statement implying that it was - perhaps I'm missing something. The way for the Union to flourish is for people to vote for it, not by gaming the electoral system against separatism.
  • Mortimer said:

    Indeed. I am seriously impressed with the Libs over this. It will encourage about another 25 Tory backbenchers to rebel, I suspect.

    But as you say the problem is Labour. Least useful opposition I can remember.
    And of course as has been said public opinion will be in favour
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    isam said:

    If they wanted to distinguish themselves from other tournaments, they could have said two women, whose runs scored count double and boundaries conceded are halved, have to play in each side
    Well that would just be ridiculous, and dangerous. The Hundred is a gimmick but until it’s been tested on the market (I think it will be very popular) it shouldn’t be dismissed by the pipe and slippers brigade on PB.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,782

    I'm not.
    Well, that was the impression I'd got. How would you see it working?
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,771
    edited March 2021
    Vaccine passports is the sort of issue only of interest to eccentric anoraks - the sort of people who actively want to be offended about something.

    I would like to see the precise question re this 30% opposition.

    I too would expect serious opposition to be under 5%.

    It's just like the 40 Con MPs who have consistently been way off public opinion - because they are completely out of touch with the real world.

    Most people care about practical things - not some theoretical definition of "freedom" which is debated by anoraks in University Common Rooms.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,730
    Cookie said:

    Well, that was the impression I'd got. How would you see it working?
    Glad I wasn't the only one but fair play TSE has made a definitive statement he is against them
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,426
    MikeL said:

    Vaccine passports is the sort of issue only of interest to eccentric anoraks - the sort of people who actively want to be offended about something.

    I would like to see the precise question re this 30% opposition.

    I too would expect serious opposition to be under 5%.

    It's just like the 40 Con MPs who have consistently been way off public opinion - because they are completely out of touch with the real world.

    Most people care about practical things - not some definition of freedom which is debated by anoraks in University Common Rooms.

    And that Ladies and Gentlemen is how freedom is given away in a moment.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,187
    MikeL said:

    Vaccine passports is the sort of issue only of interest to eccentric anoraks - the sort of people who actively want to be offended about something.

    I would like to see the precise question re this 30% opposition.

    I too would expect serious opposition to be under 5%.

    It's just like the 40 Con MPs who have consistently been way off public opinion - because they are completely out of touch with the real world.

    Most people care about practical things - not some definition of freedom which is debated by anoraks in University Common Rooms.

    Not being able to go to a pub because I haven't got the right papers is not a niche interest. It is a fundamental restriction on civil liberties. And what is worse, it isn't scientifically necessary.
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    Pagan2 said:

    Then my apologies for misunderstanding
    He's arguing that it will happen whether we like it or not. Because it will be (at least at first) popular. And opinion is easily manipulated by a Government wanting to bring it in.

    "Civil liberties" arguments are easily dismissed when you market them as a measure to increase the freedom to do things.
This discussion has been closed.