Ladbrokes make the Tories odds on favourites to take Hartlepool in the first Westminster by-election
Comments
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Still part of historic Yorkshire:TheScreamingEagles said:
The best thing any Prime Minister has ever done was Ted Heath's local government reorganisation when he rightly put Middlesbrough in the North East.algarkirk said:
Understanding the history of local government organisation and its changes in the area of the old Co Durham is not altogether straightforward.TheScreamingEagles said:
It is in the Tees Valley mayoral constituency ergo it is Teeside.SandyRentool said:Any candidate hoping to win in Hartlepool needs to appreciate that it should be referred to as being in County Durham, not Teesside.
Next you'll be saying Geordies and Mackems are different groups even though they all sound the same and have an 0191 area code.0 -
Is it on Britbox?Casino_Royale said:I'm watching The Hollow Crown: Richard II again, with Ben Wishart and Patrick Stewart.
Because it's excellent.0 -
Well, switch it around - if a person says they didn't rape someone (as they usually do say), is the other person's opinion of what occurred relevant? Yes, as the jury may believe the other person is telling the truth.LostPassword said:
I don't understand how it is one person's word against another. If a person says they did not consent to something I'm not sure that any other person's opinion is relevant.Cookie said:
It has grown, a bit. Though I think it was always a massive discrepancy. And I think the reason it has grown is that there has been much greater encouragement to report rape (and indeed greater keenness to take it to court).kle4 said:
That...is a pretty bold statement. And apart from anything else I have no idea what the stats were under previous governments so I have no way of knowing if the disparity between 'reports' and 'charges' has grown.williamglenn said:This is a seriously irresponsible tweet from Labour.
https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1371895792642879488
The problem with trying rape is that it is, by its nature, almost always one person's word against another. In a culture where we are innocent until proven guilty, that makes it very hard to make a conviction.
People will deny the claim of an accuser, obviously, and whilst we all want more convictions as it seems unlikely the only guilty people are the ones who got convicted, it's not like a jury can automatically believe one side over the other or regard the defence as irrelevant. The defence might be absurd or outrageous, but that's not the same thing.1 -
Abso-fucking-lutely. I have different views to you on certain things, but going soft on unscrupulous lefties is not one of them.contrarian said:
Would you support the tories playing the Rotherham card?BluestBlue said:
If that's the way they want politics to be played, then good luck to the vile little hypocrites. Let's never hear another word about civility from them ever again.williamglenn said:This is a seriously irresponsible tweet from Labour.
https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/13718957926428794880 -
Sorry I messed up my comments there! You are quite correct. I meant to say that at the time of the Uxbridge election the polls were showing a substantial pro-Government swing - though that failed to materialise at the by - election. The polls - though pretty good for the Government - are not currently showing that.ydoethur said:
Huh? In July 1997 the opinion polls showed Labour 57 Tory 23 Lib Dem 15.justin124 said:ydoethur said:
For Labour, given where they have gone to, that is a result.Pagan2 said:
Gosh labour actually managing to hold a seat will galvanise them....that really is the height of ambition....we will manage to hold seats we already have?kinabalu said:
☺ - Yep. But if Labour can somehow win this one the whole movement will be galvanized. It will be like when Ian Poulter sank that putt on the Saturday at the 2012 RC to set up the following day's Miracle at Medinah.Omnium said:It's a shame that the first by-election for ages has to happen in a safe Tory seat like Hartlepool...
That was also the issue facing Hague’s Tories. Remember how pleased they were to hold Uxbridge, which at one time was thought to be a possible by-election gain for Labour. Or to get a small uplift in the vote at Eddisbury.
I agree it *shouldn’t* be an issue after 11 years in opposition. But they are where they are.
Except that - unlike at the time of the Uxbridge by election in July 1997 - the national polls are not currently indicating a pro-Tory swing relative to 2019 despite the vaccine bounce.ydoethur said:
For Labour, given where they have gone to, that is a result.Pagan2 said:
Gosh labour actually managing to hold a seat will galvanise them....that really is the height of ambition....we will manage to hold seats we already have?kinabalu said:
☺ - Yep. But if Labour can somehow win this one the whole movement will be galvanized. It will be like when Ian Poulter sank that putt on the Saturday at the 2012 RC to set up the following day's Miracle at Medinah.Omnium said:It's a shame that the first by-election for ages has to happen in a safe Tory seat like Hartlepool...
That was also the issue facing Hague’s Tories. Remember how pleased they were to hold Uxbridge, which at one time was thought to be a possible by-election gain for Labour. Or to get a small uplift in the vote at Eddisbury.
I agree it *shouldn’t* be an issue after 11 years in opposition. But they are where they are.
That compares to the election result of lab 43 Con 30.
That does not look like a pro-Tory swing to me... unless we’re back to ‘Blair’s a Tory.’1 -
? Because they might be lying?LostPassword said:
I don't understand how it is one person's word against another. If a person says they did not consent to something I'm not sure that any other person's opinion is relevant.Cookie said:
It has grown, a bit. Though I think it was always a massive discrepancy. And I think the reason it has grown is that there has been much greater encouragement to report rape (and indeed greater keenness to take it to court).kle4 said:
That...is a pretty bold statement. And apart from anything else I have no idea what the stats were under previous governments so I have no way of knowing if the disparity between 'reports' and 'charges' has grown.williamglenn said:This is a seriously irresponsible tweet from Labour.
https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1371895792642879488
The problem with trying rape is that it is, by its nature, almost always one person's word against another. In a culture where we are innocent until proven guilty, that makes it very hard to make a conviction.
One thing that most people aren't aware of though (if i'm accurately remembering the guidance given by the judge when i was on a rape case jury, and the law may have changed since then) is that it is not sufficient for the victim to have not explicitly granted consent - a defendant can be not guilty under the law if they genuinely believe that has been given (or possibly not denied). In other words, if they say "no" then it's rape. If they are merely unwilling, but the defendant is not aware of this, then it isn't.1 -
Is THAT why you fell off the piano?Pagan2 said:
Under the strict definition of sexual assault, ie unwanted grabbing of genitalia etc. Yes I have by more than one hen nightTheuniondivvie said:‘Anyone ‘ere been sexually assaulted?’
https://twitter.com/panoparker/status/1371762846418210818?s=210 -
A card that goes back several years. Some of us were discussing at the weekend Anne Cryer raising the goings on in Keighley Many years ago and being attacked and even labelled a racist for doing so. Her own party attacked her for raising it as did columns in left,leaning papers.contrarian said:
Would you support the tories playing the Rotherham card?BluestBlue said:
If that's the way they want politics to be played, then good luck to the vile little hypocrites. Let's never hear another word about civility from them ever again.williamglenn said:This is a seriously irresponsible tweet from Labour.
https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/13718957926428794881 -
Its also worth noting that the law has already been skewed, two people meet in a pub both drunk she can consent to go home and have sex and then claim in the morning it was rape as she was too drunk to consent whereas the guy can't claim to be to drunk to realise she was too drunk to consentalex_ said:
? Because they might be lying?LostPassword said:
I don't understand how it is one person's word against another. If a person says they did not consent to something I'm not sure that any other person's opinion is relevant.Cookie said:
It has grown, a bit. Though I think it was always a massive discrepancy. And I think the reason it has grown is that there has been much greater encouragement to report rape (and indeed greater keenness to take it to court).kle4 said:
That...is a pretty bold statement. And apart from anything else I have no idea what the stats were under previous governments so I have no way of knowing if the disparity between 'reports' and 'charges' has grown.williamglenn said:This is a seriously irresponsible tweet from Labour.
https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1371895792642879488
The problem with trying rape is that it is, by its nature, almost always one person's word against another. In a culture where we are innocent until proven guilty, that makes it very hard to make a conviction.
One thing that most people aren't aware of though (if i'm accurately remembering the guidance given by the judge when i was on a rape case jury, and the law may have changed since then) is that it is not sufficient for the victim to have not explicitly granted consent - a defendant can be not guilty under the law if they genuinely believe that has been given (or possibly not denied). In other words, if they say "no" then it's rape. If they are merely unwilling, but the defendant is not aware of this, then it isn't.1 -
Yes. They are, to use the parlance, "no crimed". There is no corroborating evidence or the complainant is either reluctant, or withdraws. The police/CPS then have no choice.Philip_Thompson said:
Isn't it the case that an overwhelming majority of cases never get anywhere near court either because of a complete lack of evidence, or because the complaint chooses to drop the complaint? There's not much that can be done about that.DavidL said:
I am sure it was much better when SKS was DPP. Bound to have been, wasn't it?The_Apocalypse said:I don’t know why Labour tweeted that considering there has been issue with low conviction rates for rape for a very long time now. Certainly I don’t remember things being much different when Labour were in power, but I am happy to be corrected.
It is very hard to convict a man when it is simply her word against his, and there are absolutely no witnesses, and absolutely no corroboration (eg marks on her body implying force).
The law is then stuck. If the case does not proceed then a major injustice might be done to a truthful woman who lacks any other evidence. But if it proceeds, can you really convict a man and send him to prison for 5-7 years, and possibly ruin his life, when there is zero evidence other than a mere accusation? Then you're back to the Witchcraft Act of James II: allegation means guilt
I'm not sure how you solve it. Many legislatures have tried, and failed
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Not quite Uber until the weekend were claiming that th 's only impacted a small number of long standing drivers working under historic contracts.Black_Rook said:
Only because the Supreme Court forced them to do it. It was either comply or shut up shop.Floater said:
The big issue is that workers are "employed" by uber which means there is a very large VAT case that is going to go against Uber.1 -
There used to be a PBer, I think his name was SeanT, who said he was on remand for rape, but had the charges against him dropped.Leon said:
Yes. They are, to use the parlance, "no crimed". There is no corroborating evidence or the complainant is either reluctant, or withdraws. The police/CPS then have no choice.Philip_Thompson said:
Isn't it the case that an overwhelming majority of cases never get anywhere near court either because of a complete lack of evidence, or because the complaint chooses to drop the complaint? There's not much that can be done about that.DavidL said:
I am sure it was much better when SKS was DPP. Bound to have been, wasn't it?The_Apocalypse said:I don’t know why Labour tweeted that considering there has been issue with low conviction rates for rape for a very long time now. Certainly I don’t remember things being much different when Labour were in power, but I am happy to be corrected.
It is very hard to convict a man when it is simply her word against his, and there are absolutely no witnesses, and absolutely no corroboration (eg marks on her body implying force).
The law is then stuck. If the case does not proceed then a major injustice might be done to a truthful woman who lacks any other evidence. But if it proceeds, can you really convict a man and send him to prison for 5-7 years, and possibly ruin his life, when there is zero evidence other than a mere accusation? Then you're back to the Witchcraft Act of James II: allegation means guilt
I'm not sure how you solve it. Many legislatures have tried, and failed0 -
It is also true, i think, that you can skew the law as much as you like, but I would speculate that rape is probably one crime more than any other where juries are likely to impose their own opinions of what the law should be, rather than what they are instructed that it is. And pass verdicts accordingly.Pagan2 said:
Its also worth noting that the law has already been skewed, two people meet in a pub both drunk she can consent to go home and have sex and then claim in the morning it was rape as she was too drunk to consent whereas the guy can't claim to be to drunk to realise she was too drunk to consentalex_ said:
? Because they might be lying?LostPassword said:
I don't understand how it is one person's word against another. If a person says they did not consent to something I'm not sure that any other person's opinion is relevant.Cookie said:
It has grown, a bit. Though I think it was always a massive discrepancy. And I think the reason it has grown is that there has been much greater encouragement to report rape (and indeed greater keenness to take it to court).kle4 said:
That...is a pretty bold statement. And apart from anything else I have no idea what the stats were under previous governments so I have no way of knowing if the disparity between 'reports' and 'charges' has grown.williamglenn said:This is a seriously irresponsible tweet from Labour.
https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1371895792642879488
The problem with trying rape is that it is, by its nature, almost always one person's word against another. In a culture where we are innocent until proven guilty, that makes it very hard to make a conviction.
One thing that most people aren't aware of though (if i'm accurately remembering the guidance given by the judge when i was on a rape case jury, and the law may have changed since then) is that it is not sufficient for the victim to have not explicitly granted consent - a defendant can be not guilty under the law if they genuinely believe that has been given (or possibly not denied). In other words, if they say "no" then it's rape. If they are merely unwilling, but the defendant is not aware of this, then it isn't.
Although your point does, i suppose, restrict the ranges of defence that the accused is allowed to employ.0 -
Or is unfaithful and then risks losing a boyfriend/husband, so fabricates a rape. That is far from unknownturbotubbs said:
Because no one ever lies, or changes their mind, or gets drunk and fancies a guy but in the morning thinks they have made a mistake.LostPassword said:
I don't understand how it is one person's word against another. If a person says they did not consent to something I'm not sure that any other person's opinion is relevant.Cookie said:
It has grown, a bit. Though I think it was always a massive discrepancy. And I think the reason it has grown is that there has been much greater encouragement to report rape (and indeed greater keenness to take it to court).kle4 said:
That...is a pretty bold statement. And apart from anything else I have no idea what the stats were under previous governments so I have no way of knowing if the disparity between 'reports' and 'charges' has grown.williamglenn said:This is a seriously irresponsible tweet from Labour.
https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1371895792642879488
The problem with trying rape is that it is, by its nature, almost always one person's word against another. In a culture where we are innocent until proven guilty, that makes it very hard to make a conviction.1 -
Precisely,Leon said:
Yes. They are, to use the parlance, "no crimed". There is no corroborating evidence or the complainant is either reluctant, or withdraws. The police/CPS then have no choice.Philip_Thompson said:
Isn't it the case that an overwhelming majority of cases never get anywhere near court either because of a complete lack of evidence, or because the complaint chooses to drop the complaint? There's not much that can be done about that.DavidL said:
I am sure it was much better when SKS was DPP. Bound to have been, wasn't it?The_Apocalypse said:I don’t know why Labour tweeted that considering there has been issue with low conviction rates for rape for a very long time now. Certainly I don’t remember things being much different when Labour were in power, but I am happy to be corrected.
It is very hard to convict a man when it is simply her word against his, and there are absolutely no witnesses, and absolutely no corroboration (eg marks on her body implying force).
The law is then stuck. If the case does not proceed then a major injustice might be done to a truthful woman who lacks any other evidence. But if it proceeds, can you really convict a man and send him to prison for 5-7 years, and possibly ruin his life, when there is zero evidence other than a mere accusation? Then you're back to the Witchcraft Act of James II: allegation means guilt
I'm not sure how you solve it. Many legislatures have tried, and failed
Rape is a heinous crime and should be punished severely however maybe I am the only one who has woken up in the morning with a women and we have spent time chatting before admitting we have no idea who the other person is on either side.
Is that rape or merely colllateral drunkeness?0 -
But then he also smashed together Royalist Hereford with Parliamentarian Worcester. That really didn't go down very well for that specific reason.TheScreamingEagles said:
The best thing any Prime Minister has ever done was Ted Heath's local government reorganisation when he rightly put Middlesbrough in the North East.algarkirk said:
Understanding the history of local government organisation and its changes in the area of the old Co Durham is not altogether straightforward.TheScreamingEagles said:
It is in the Tees Valley mayoral constituency ergo it is Teeside.SandyRentool said:Any candidate hoping to win in Hartlepool needs to appreciate that it should be referred to as being in County Durham, not Teesside.
Next you'll be saying Geordies and Mackems are different groups even though they all sound the same and have an 0191 area code.1 -
Covid restrictions will surely ensure that the by election campaigning is pretty low key. 'Throwing the kitchen sink at it' is not going to be an option. The normal flooding of the seat with campaign workers will be missing. Much more difficult to generate momentum via a typical LD type campaign.1
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Err - because the person may not be being truthful. This is not difficult.LostPassword said:
I don't understand how it is one person's word against another. If a person says they did not consent to something I'm not sure that any other person's opinion is relevant.Cookie said:
It has grown, a bit. Though I think it was always a massive discrepancy. And I think the reason it has grown is that there has been much greater encouragement to report rape (and indeed greater keenness to take it to court).kle4 said:
That...is a pretty bold statement. And apart from anything else I have no idea what the stats were under previous governments so I have no way of knowing if the disparity between 'reports' and 'charges' has grown.williamglenn said:This is a seriously irresponsible tweet from Labour.
https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1371895792642879488
The problem with trying rape is that it is, by its nature, almost always one person's word against another. In a culture where we are innocent until proven guilty, that makes it very hard to make a conviction.0 -
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It wasn't a point I believe as of now the law says a woman can be to drunk to consent even if she is ripping your clothes off and going down on youalex_ said:
It is also true, i think, that you can skew the law as much as you like, but I would speculate that rape is probably one crime more than any other where juries are likely to impose their own opinions of what the law should be, rather than what they are instructed that it is. And pass verdicts accordingly.Pagan2 said:
Its also worth noting that the law has already been skewed, two people meet in a pub both drunk she can consent to go home and have sex and then claim in the morning it was rape as she was too drunk to consent whereas the guy can't claim to be to drunk to realise she was too drunk to consentalex_ said:
? Because they might be lying?LostPassword said:
I don't understand how it is one person's word against another. If a person says they did not consent to something I'm not sure that any other person's opinion is relevant.Cookie said:
It has grown, a bit. Though I think it was always a massive discrepancy. And I think the reason it has grown is that there has been much greater encouragement to report rape (and indeed greater keenness to take it to court).kle4 said:
That...is a pretty bold statement. And apart from anything else I have no idea what the stats were under previous governments so I have no way of knowing if the disparity between 'reports' and 'charges' has grown.williamglenn said:This is a seriously irresponsible tweet from Labour.
https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1371895792642879488
The problem with trying rape is that it is, by its nature, almost always one person's word against another. In a culture where we are innocent until proven guilty, that makes it very hard to make a conviction.
One thing that most people aren't aware of though (if i'm accurately remembering the guidance given by the judge when i was on a rape case jury, and the law may have changed since then) is that it is not sufficient for the victim to have not explicitly granted consent - a defendant can be not guilty under the law if they genuinely believe that has been given (or possibly not denied). In other words, if they say "no" then it's rape. If they are merely unwilling, but the defendant is not aware of this, then it isn't.
Although your point does, i suppose, restrict the ranges of defence that the accused is allowed to employ.0 -
Good point well made. I’d not considered that when I posted earlier.justin124 said:Covid restrictions will surely ensure that the by election campaigning is pretty low key. 'Throwing the kitchen sink at it' is not going to be an option. The normal flooding of the seat with campaign workers will be missing. Much more difficult to generate momentum via a typical LD type campaign.
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Yes.Pagan2 said:
Its also worth noting that the law has already been skewed, two people meet in a pub both drunk she can consent to go home and have sex and then claim in the morning it was rape as she was too drunk to consent whereas the guy can't claim to be to drunk to realise she was too drunk to consentalex_ said:
? Because they might be lying?LostPassword said:
I don't understand how it is one person's word against another. If a person says they did not consent to something I'm not sure that any other person's opinion is relevant.Cookie said:
It has grown, a bit. Though I think it was always a massive discrepancy. And I think the reason it has grown is that there has been much greater encouragement to report rape (and indeed greater keenness to take it to court).kle4 said:
That...is a pretty bold statement. And apart from anything else I have no idea what the stats were under previous governments so I have no way of knowing if the disparity between 'reports' and 'charges' has grown.williamglenn said:This is a seriously irresponsible tweet from Labour.
https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1371895792642879488
The problem with trying rape is that it is, by its nature, almost always one person's word against another. In a culture where we are innocent until proven guilty, that makes it very hard to make a conviction.
One thing that most people aren't aware of though (if i'm accurately remembering the guidance given by the judge when i was on a rape case jury, and the law may have changed since then) is that it is not sufficient for the victim to have not explicitly granted consent - a defendant can be not guilty under the law if they genuinely believe that has been given (or possibly not denied). In other words, if they say "no" then it's rape. If they are merely unwilling, but the defendant is not aware of this, then it isn't.
It used to be the case that rape law was heavily loaded against the woman. eg rape cases, uniquely, required the jury to be warned by the judge that "alleged victims are known to lie". That misogynist idiocy was rightly done away with, also the absurd idea you "can't rape within a marriage". Get rid of it? Yes. Good.
Other shifts are more controversial. Is it right complainants should have lifelong anonymity, whereas the accused is named from the moment he is charged, and forever allowed to be named, even if acquitted?
That is debatable, I personally believe both should be anonymous until the jury decides on guilt. If he is guilty, name him. Otherwise, not. But I can see arguments the other way (eg not naming an alleged perp makes it harder to find him for coppers)
Recently, ultra-feminist campaigners have crossed over the line, to my mind. The drunken thing you mention is one example. Another is this: a few years ago they tried to have all previous sexual history ruled "irrelevant" and inadmissible in court. So if you - a man - were accused of raping your girlfriend, you were not allowed to mention that fact - ie that you and she had already had sex 300 times. The jury would never know that this was an alleged "date rape", or a "rape in a relationship", they would only know the facts of the actual night.
Absurd. Yet it nearly passed into law.
This is where we risk tilting the balance against the defendant in a profoundly disturbing way0 -
Are you ignoring the whopper released by the Conservatives tonight, and highlighted by TSE, for any particular reason?BluestBlue said:
If that's the way they want politics to be played, then good luck to the vile little hypocrites. Let's never hear another word about civility from them ever again.williamglenn said:This is a seriously irresponsible tweet from Labour.
https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/13718957926428794880 -
No i understand - but i was saying that it doesn't matter what "the law" says. Somebody is only guilty if a jury says that they are.Pagan2 said:
It wasn't a point I believe as of now the law says a woman can be to drunk to consent even if she is ripping your clothes off and going down on youalex_ said:
It is also true, i think, that you can skew the law as much as you like, but I would speculate that rape is probably one crime more than any other where juries are likely to impose their own opinions of what the law should be, rather than what they are instructed that it is. And pass verdicts accordingly.Pagan2 said:
Its also worth noting that the law has already been skewed, two people meet in a pub both drunk she can consent to go home and have sex and then claim in the morning it was rape as she was too drunk to consent whereas the guy can't claim to be to drunk to realise she was too drunk to consentalex_ said:
? Because they might be lying?LostPassword said:
I don't understand how it is one person's word against another. If a person says they did not consent to something I'm not sure that any other person's opinion is relevant.Cookie said:
It has grown, a bit. Though I think it was always a massive discrepancy. And I think the reason it has grown is that there has been much greater encouragement to report rape (and indeed greater keenness to take it to court).kle4 said:
That...is a pretty bold statement. And apart from anything else I have no idea what the stats were under previous governments so I have no way of knowing if the disparity between 'reports' and 'charges' has grown.williamglenn said:This is a seriously irresponsible tweet from Labour.
https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1371895792642879488
The problem with trying rape is that it is, by its nature, almost always one person's word against another. In a culture where we are innocent until proven guilty, that makes it very hard to make a conviction.
One thing that most people aren't aware of though (if i'm accurately remembering the guidance given by the judge when i was on a rape case jury, and the law may have changed since then) is that it is not sufficient for the victim to have not explicitly granted consent - a defendant can be not guilty under the law if they genuinely believe that has been given (or possibly not denied). In other words, if they say "no" then it's rape. If they are merely unwilling, but the defendant is not aware of this, then it isn't.
Although your point does, i suppose, restrict the ranges of defence that the accused is allowed to employ.
The point is that the law change will still affect the course of a trial, because a defendant cannot use drunken-ness (their own or their alleged victim) as a defence. So in practice they have to find another, legally permissable, defence - but simply raise the issue of one or other (or both) drunkeness tangentially, and leave it to the jury to draw their own conclusions in the privacy of the jury room.0 -
First stop the rot. Then turn things around. Then triumph. That's the Medinah template for Labour. It starts in Hartlepool.Pagan2 said:
Gosh labour actually managing to hold a seat will galvanise them....that really is the height of ambition....we will manage to hold seats we already have?kinabalu said:
☺ - Yep. But if Labour can somehow win this one the whole movement will be galvanized. It will be like when Ian Poulter sank that putt on the Saturday at the 2012 RC to set up the following day's Miracle at Medinah.Omnium said:It's a shame that the first by-election for ages has to happen in a safe Tory seat like Hartlepool...
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Ah then you didnt understand what I said under law currentlyalex_ said:
No i understand - but i was saying that it doesn't matter what "the law" says. Somebody is only guilty if a jury says that they are.Pagan2 said:
It wasn't a point I believe as of now the law says a woman can be to drunk to consent even if she is ripping your clothes off and going down on youalex_ said:
It is also true, i think, that you can skew the law as much as you like, but I would speculate that rape is probably one crime more than any other where juries are likely to impose their own opinions of what the law should be, rather than what they are instructed that it is. And pass verdicts accordingly.Pagan2 said:
Its also worth noting that the law has already been skewed, two people meet in a pub both drunk she can consent to go home and have sex and then claim in the morning it was rape as she was too drunk to consent whereas the guy can't claim to be to drunk to realise she was too drunk to consentalex_ said:
? Because they might be lying?LostPassword said:
I don't understand how it is one person's word against another. If a person says they did not consent to something I'm not sure that any other person's opinion is relevant.Cookie said:
It has grown, a bit. Though I think it was always a massive discrepancy. And I think the reason it has grown is that there has been much greater encouragement to report rape (and indeed greater keenness to take it to court).kle4 said:
That...is a pretty bold statement. And apart from anything else I have no idea what the stats were under previous governments so I have no way of knowing if the disparity between 'reports' and 'charges' has grown.williamglenn said:This is a seriously irresponsible tweet from Labour.
https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1371895792642879488
The problem with trying rape is that it is, by its nature, almost always one person's word against another. In a culture where we are innocent until proven guilty, that makes it very hard to make a conviction.
One thing that most people aren't aware of though (if i'm accurately remembering the guidance given by the judge when i was on a rape case jury, and the law may have changed since then) is that it is not sufficient for the victim to have not explicitly granted consent - a defendant can be not guilty under the law if they genuinely believe that has been given (or possibly not denied). In other words, if they say "no" then it's rape. If they are merely unwilling, but the defendant is not aware of this, then it isn't.
Although your point does, i suppose, restrict the ranges of defence that the accused is allowed to employ.
The point is that the law change will still affect the course of a trial, because a defendant cannot use drunken-ness (their own or their alleged victim) as a defence. So in practice they have to find another, legally permissable, defence - but simply raise the issue of one or other (or both) drunkeness tangentially, and leave it to the jury to draw their own conclusions in the privacy of the jury room.
A drunk woman cant consent
A drunk man cant use being drunk as a reason he didnt know the woman couldnt consent as she was too drunk
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But no ultimate triumph under Starmer...kinabalu said:
First stop the rot. Then turn things around. Then triumph. That's the Medinah template for Labour. It starts in Hartlepool.Pagan2 said:
Gosh labour actually managing to hold a seat will galvanise them....that really is the height of ambition....we will manage to hold seats we already have?kinabalu said:
☺ - Yep. But if Labour can somehow win this one the whole movement will be galvanized. It will be like when Ian Poulter sank that putt on the Saturday at the 2012 RC to set up the following day's Miracle at Medinah.Omnium said:It's a shame that the first by-election for ages has to happen in a safe Tory seat like Hartlepool...
1 -
On topic - looks like it's not quite "Is it bye-bye to by-elections?"
https://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2019/04/21/is-it-bye-bye-to-by-elections/
https://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2019/04/27/bye-bye-by-elections-part-2-mps-who-resigned-their-seats-and-stood-in-the-ensuing-by-election/1 -
Yes. You said, and I quote, 'the Labour one is significantly more offensive'. You were right.Mexicanpete said:
Are you ignoring the whopper released by the Conservatives tonight, and highlighted by TSE, for any particular reason?BluestBlue said:
If that's the way they want politics to be played, then good luck to the vile little hypocrites. Let's never hear another word about civility from them ever again.williamglenn said:This is a seriously irresponsible tweet from Labour.
https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1371895792642879488
So I thought it sensible to follow your lead on this occasion.2 -
Let's see how the economy works out over the next few years.londonpubman said:
But no ultimate triumph under Starmer...kinabalu said:
First stop the rot. Then turn things around. Then triumph. That's the Medinah template for Labour. It starts in Hartlepool.Pagan2 said:
Gosh labour actually managing to hold a seat will galvanise them....that really is the height of ambition....we will manage to hold seats we already have?kinabalu said:
☺ - Yep. But if Labour can somehow win this one the whole movement will be galvanized. It will be like when Ian Poulter sank that putt on the Saturday at the 2012 RC to set up the following day's Miracle at Medinah.Omnium said:It's a shame that the first by-election for ages has to happen in a safe Tory seat like Hartlepool...
0 -
Yes it was loaded against women and that was wrong, however its always going to be a hard crime to prosecute in most cases because most are people being dragged off the streets and forced.Leon said:
Yes.Pagan2 said:
Its also worth noting that the law has already been skewed, two people meet in a pub both drunk she can consent to go home and have sex and then claim in the morning it was rape as she was too drunk to consent whereas the guy can't claim to be to drunk to realise she was too drunk to consentalex_ said:
? Because they might be lying?LostPassword said:
I don't understand how it is one person's word against another. If a person says they did not consent to something I'm not sure that any other person's opinion is relevant.Cookie said:
It has grown, a bit. Though I think it was always a massive discrepancy. And I think the reason it has grown is that there has been much greater encouragement to report rape (and indeed greater keenness to take it to court).kle4 said:
That...is a pretty bold statement. And apart from anything else I have no idea what the stats were under previous governments so I have no way of knowing if the disparity between 'reports' and 'charges' has grown.williamglenn said:This is a seriously irresponsible tweet from Labour.
https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1371895792642879488
The problem with trying rape is that it is, by its nature, almost always one person's word against another. In a culture where we are innocent until proven guilty, that makes it very hard to make a conviction.
One thing that most people aren't aware of though (if i'm accurately remembering the guidance given by the judge when i was on a rape case jury, and the law may have changed since then) is that it is not sufficient for the victim to have not explicitly granted consent - a defendant can be not guilty under the law if they genuinely believe that has been given (or possibly not denied). In other words, if they say "no" then it's rape. If they are merely unwilling, but the defendant is not aware of this, then it isn't.
It used to be the case that rape law was heavily loaded against the woman. eg rape cases, uniquely, required the jury to be warned by the judge that "alleged victims are known to lie". That misogynist idiocy was rightly done away with, also the absurd idea you "can't rape within a marriage". Get rid of it? Yes. Good.
Other shifts are more controversial. Is it right complainants should have lifelong anonymity, whereas the accused is named from the moment he is charged, and forever allowed to be named, even if acquitted?
That is debatable, I personally believe both should be anonymous until the jury decides on guilt. If he is guilty, name him. Otherwise, not. But I can see arguments the other way (eg not naming an alleged perp makes it harder to find him for coppers)
Recently, ultra-feminist campaigners have crossed over the line, to my mind. The drunken thing you mention is one example. Another is this: a few years ago they tried to have all previous sexual history ruled "irrelevant" and inadmissible in court. So if you - a man - were accused of raping your girlfriend, you were not allowed to mention that fact - ie that you and she had already had sex 300 times. The jury would never know that this was an alleged "date rape", or a "rape in a relationship", they would only know the facts of the actual night.
Absurd. Yet it nearly passed into law.
This is where we risk tilting the balance against the defendant in a profoundly disturbing way
Most rape cases are miscommunication one person thinks one thing the other thinks they said another.
For example I am lying in bed asleep having a dream about priti patel in body hugging latex and thigh high boots I get an erection. The girl in bed with me notices and I wake up to her riding me.....is that rape? I didnt give consent0 -
It is also oddly infantilising of women, in a quite Victorian way.Pagan2 said:
Ah then you didnt understand what I said under law currentlyalex_ said:
No i understand - but i was saying that it doesn't matter what "the law" says. Somebody is only guilty if a jury says that they are.Pagan2 said:
It wasn't a point I believe as of now the law says a woman can be to drunk to consent even if she is ripping your clothes off and going down on youalex_ said:
It is also true, i think, that you can skew the law as much as you like, but I would speculate that rape is probably one crime more than any other where juries are likely to impose their own opinions of what the law should be, rather than what they are instructed that it is. And pass verdicts accordingly.Pagan2 said:
Its also worth noting that the law has already been skewed, two people meet in a pub both drunk she can consent to go home and have sex and then claim in the morning it was rape as she was too drunk to consent whereas the guy can't claim to be to drunk to realise she was too drunk to consentalex_ said:
? Because they might be lying?LostPassword said:
I don't understand how it is one person's word against another. If a person says they did not consent to something I'm not sure that any other person's opinion is relevant.Cookie said:
It has grown, a bit. Though I think it was always a massive discrepancy. And I think the reason it has grown is that there has been much greater encouragement to report rape (and indeed greater keenness to take it to court).kle4 said:
That...is a pretty bold statement. And apart from anything else I have no idea what the stats were under previous governments so I have no way of knowing if the disparity between 'reports' and 'charges' has grown.williamglenn said:This is a seriously irresponsible tweet from Labour.
https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1371895792642879488
The problem with trying rape is that it is, by its nature, almost always one person's word against another. In a culture where we are innocent until proven guilty, that makes it very hard to make a conviction.
One thing that most people aren't aware of though (if i'm accurately remembering the guidance given by the judge when i was on a rape case jury, and the law may have changed since then) is that it is not sufficient for the victim to have not explicitly granted consent - a defendant can be not guilty under the law if they genuinely believe that has been given (or possibly not denied). In other words, if they say "no" then it's rape. If they are merely unwilling, but the defendant is not aware of this, then it isn't.
Although your point does, i suppose, restrict the ranges of defence that the accused is allowed to employ.
The point is that the law change will still affect the course of a trial, because a defendant cannot use drunken-ness (their own or their alleged victim) as a defence. So in practice they have to find another, legally permissable, defence - but simply raise the issue of one or other (or both) drunkeness tangentially, and leave it to the jury to draw their own conclusions in the privacy of the jury room.
A drunk woman cant consent
A drunk man cant use being drunk as a reason he didnt know the woman couldnt consent as she was too drunk
It says, women are pathetic childish beings who get drunk and then can't be held responsible for what they do, the poor lambs, whereas men are bigger and stronger and even after nine pints of vodka are the superior intellect that should be in command of things, and able to recognise consent or its absence.
I am always surprised when ardent feminists advance this argument. I personally believe if we allow it, as we have, we should repeal the law on female suffrage, as women are clearly not big or wise enough to use the vote properly, and most of them are probably drunk when they hit the ballot box, the boozy sluts.0 -
I think we're going in circles - I'm not sure we're saying different things. We agree on what the law is. I was just saying that regardless of what the law is as written, if a jury decides to acquit anyway, then they can acquit.Pagan2 said:
Ah then you didnt understand what I said under law currentlyalex_ said:
No i understand - but i was saying that it doesn't matter what "the law" says. Somebody is only guilty if a jury says that they are.Pagan2 said:
It wasn't a point I believe as of now the law says a woman can be to drunk to consent even if she is ripping your clothes off and going down on youalex_ said:
It is also true, i think, that you can skew the law as much as you like, but I would speculate that rape is probably one crime more than any other where juries are likely to impose their own opinions of what the law should be, rather than what they are instructed that it is. And pass verdicts accordingly.Pagan2 said:
Its also worth noting that the law has already been skewed, two people meet in a pub both drunk she can consent to go home and have sex and then claim in the morning it was rape as she was too drunk to consent whereas the guy can't claim to be to drunk to realise she was too drunk to consentalex_ said:
? Because they might be lying?LostPassword said:
I don't understand how it is one person's word against another. If a person says they did not consent to something I'm not sure that any other person's opinion is relevant.Cookie said:
It has grown, a bit. Though I think it was always a massive discrepancy. And I think the reason it has grown is that there has been much greater encouragement to report rape (and indeed greater keenness to take it to court).kle4 said:
That...is a pretty bold statement. And apart from anything else I have no idea what the stats were under previous governments so I have no way of knowing if the disparity between 'reports' and 'charges' has grown.williamglenn said:This is a seriously irresponsible tweet from Labour.
https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1371895792642879488
The problem with trying rape is that it is, by its nature, almost always one person's word against another. In a culture where we are innocent until proven guilty, that makes it very hard to make a conviction.
One thing that most people aren't aware of though (if i'm accurately remembering the guidance given by the judge when i was on a rape case jury, and the law may have changed since then) is that it is not sufficient for the victim to have not explicitly granted consent - a defendant can be not guilty under the law if they genuinely believe that has been given (or possibly not denied). In other words, if they say "no" then it's rape. If they are merely unwilling, but the defendant is not aware of this, then it isn't.
Although your point does, i suppose, restrict the ranges of defence that the accused is allowed to employ.
The point is that the law change will still affect the course of a trial, because a defendant cannot use drunken-ness (their own or their alleged victim) as a defence. So in practice they have to find another, legally permissable, defence - but simply raise the issue of one or other (or both) drunkeness tangentially, and leave it to the jury to draw their own conclusions in the privacy of the jury room.
A drunk woman cant consent
A drunk man cant use being drunk as a reason he didnt know the woman couldnt consent as she was too drunk
As i mentioned i was on a rape jury. The alleged victim was questioned on the stand. The defence barrister insinuated that she had been drinking and that this affected the accuracy of her recall of the events of the night. The alleged victim was adamant that she had not been drinking and was fully aware of what was going on. As the law stands, by doing so (unconvincingly) i guess she undermined her case.0 -
Presumably, now all of the accusations have been made in the Commons, they are part of the public record and can be used as ammunition in the chamber at Holyrood? Of course, it's too late for the inquiry - which, some have suggested, was rather the point of all the previous attempts to have these allegations redacted or suppressed - but it's not too late for it all to be used during the election campaign.Scott_xP said:
Will this make any significant difference to the course of said election though? Somehow I doubt it. About the best that might come out of this fiasco is the extension of Parliamentary privilege and other measures to "deliver separation of powers to Scotland," as Davis called for in his speech, but whether the UK Government will act or not, who can say?0 -
Both were rather tasteless. I would prefer the Labour Party not to indulge in such vile assertions.BluestBlue said:
Yes. You said, and I quote, 'the Labour one is significantly more offensive'. You were right.Mexicanpete said:
Are you ignoring the whopper released by the Conservatives tonight, and highlighted by TSE, for any particular reason?BluestBlue said:
If that's the way they want politics to be played, then good luck to the vile little hypocrites. Let's never hear another word about civility from them ever again.williamglenn said:This is a seriously irresponsible tweet from Labour.
https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1371895792642879488
So I thought it sensible to follow your lead on this occasion.1 -
I dont think what most of us are saying is contradictory to be honest. I think interpersonal stuff is complex. I think rape has connotations of grabbing a random women off the street but most rape isnt like that its more graduated. It goes from the sleeping with a woman who is drunk through starting to have sex with the woman you went to bed with last night though she isnt fully awake to the forceful.alex_ said:
I think we're going in circles - I'm not sure we're saying different things. We agree on what the law is. I was just saying that regardless of what the law is as written, if a jury decides to acquit anyway, then they can acquit.Pagan2 said:
Ah then you didnt understand what I said under law currentlyalex_ said:
No i understand - but i was saying that it doesn't matter what "the law" says. Somebody is only guilty if a jury says that they are.Pagan2 said:
It wasn't a point I believe as of now the law says a woman can be to drunk to consent even if she is ripping your clothes off and going down on youalex_ said:
It is also true, i think, that you can skew the law as much as you like, but I would speculate that rape is probably one crime more than any other where juries are likely to impose their own opinions of what the law should be, rather than what they are instructed that it is. And pass verdicts accordingly.Pagan2 said:
Its also worth noting that the law has already been skewed, two people meet in a pub both drunk she can consent to go home and have sex and then claim in the morning it was rape as she was too drunk to consent whereas the guy can't claim to be to drunk to realise she was too drunk to consentalex_ said:
? Because they might be lying?LostPassword said:
I don't understand how it is one person's word against another. If a person says they did not consent to something I'm not sure that any other person's opinion is relevant.Cookie said:
It has grown, a bit. Though I think it was always a massive discrepancy. And I think the reason it has grown is that there has been much greater encouragement to report rape (and indeed greater keenness to take it to court).kle4 said:
That...is a pretty bold statement. And apart from anything else I have no idea what the stats were under previous governments so I have no way of knowing if the disparity between 'reports' and 'charges' has grown.williamglenn said:This is a seriously irresponsible tweet from Labour.
https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1371895792642879488
The problem with trying rape is that it is, by its nature, almost always one person's word against another. In a culture where we are innocent until proven guilty, that makes it very hard to make a conviction.
One thing that most people aren't aware of though (if i'm accurately remembering the guidance given by the judge when i was on a rape case jury, and the law may have changed since then) is that it is not sufficient for the victim to have not explicitly granted consent - a defendant can be not guilty under the law if they genuinely believe that has been given (or possibly not denied). In other words, if they say "no" then it's rape. If they are merely unwilling, but the defendant is not aware of this, then it isn't.
Although your point does, i suppose, restrict the ranges of defence that the accused is allowed to employ.
The point is that the law change will still affect the course of a trial, because a defendant cannot use drunken-ness (their own or their alleged victim) as a defence. So in practice they have to find another, legally permissable, defence - but simply raise the issue of one or other (or both) drunkeness tangentially, and leave it to the jury to draw their own conclusions in the privacy of the jury room.
A drunk woman cant consent
A drunk man cant use being drunk as a reason he didnt know the woman couldnt consent as she was too drunk
As i mentioned i was on a rape jury. The alleged victim was questioned on the stand. The defence barrister insinuated that she had been drinking and that this affected the accuracy of her recall of the events of the night. The alleged victim was adamant that she had not been drinking and was fully aware of what was going on. As the law stands, by doing so (unconvincingly) i guess she undermined her case.
For example under swedish rape laws I am guilty of multiple rapes of my ex. I woke up was horny she was asleep so would wake her up with a gentle tongue.....she hasnt given consent so thats rape
0 -
What would be brilliant is if the Scotland Act is amended at Westminster, to give the Scottish Parliament MORE powers to hold the executive to account, the SNP voting against. That would be a really clarifying moment (though I think they'd be sensible enough to realise voting 'for' would be the only way).Black_Rook said:
Presumably, now all of the accusations have been made in the Commons, they are part of the public record and can be used as ammunition in the chamber at Holyrood? Of course, it's too late for the inquiry - which, some have suggested, was rather the point of all the previous attempts to have these allegations redacted or suppressed - but it's not too late for it all to be used during the election campaign.Scott_xP said:
Will this make any significant difference to the course of said election though? Somehow I doubt it. About the best that might come out of this fiasco is the extension of Parliamentary privilege and other measures to "deliver separation of powers to Scotland," as Davis called for in his speech, but whether the UK Government will act or not, who can say?0 -
I'm listening to the David David speech, it's extremely damning. I don't understand how this evidence was barred from the inquiry. The whole justice system in Scotland is rotten, politicised and not fit for purpose. The lines between politics and justice are so blurred that you can't tell which is which.4
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No hope for some of these people. They’ve taken Sir Keir’s boring unpopularity hard
https://twitter.com/siennamarla/status/1371920028682043392?s=21
1 -
The law is to convict you have to have "beyond reasonable doubt". That is difficult when you have cases that many juries consider borderline such as two people getting drunk and / or someone expressing remorse. The CPS doesn't pull these cases because they are anti-women, it's because they know the chances of conviction are low and even lower when an appeal is taking into account. That is the reason conviction rates are so low, together with very few cases nowadays of random men attacking strangers given the chances of getting caught have massively increased due to DNA testing.alex_ said:
It is also true, i think, that you can skew the law as much as you like, but I would speculate that rape is probably one crime more than any other where juries are likely to impose their own opinions of what the law should be, rather than what they are instructed that it is. And pass verdicts accordingly.Pagan2 said:
Its also worth noting that the law has already been skewed, two people meet in a pub both drunk she can consent to go home and have sex and then claim in the morning it was rape as she was too drunk to consent whereas the guy can't claim to be to drunk to realise she was too drunk to consentalex_ said:
? Because they might be lying?LostPassword said:
I don't understand how it is one person's word against another. If a person says they did not consent to something I'm not sure that any other person's opinion is relevant.Cookie said:
It has grown, a bit. Though I think it was always a massive discrepancy. And I think the reason it has grown is that there has been much greater encouragement to report rape (and indeed greater keenness to take it to court).kle4 said:
That...is a pretty bold statement. And apart from anything else I have no idea what the stats were under previous governments so I have no way of knowing if the disparity between 'reports' and 'charges' has grown.williamglenn said:This is a seriously irresponsible tweet from Labour.
https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1371895792642879488
The problem with trying rape is that it is, by its nature, almost always one person's word against another. In a culture where we are innocent until proven guilty, that makes it very hard to make a conviction.
One thing that most people aren't aware of though (if i'm accurately remembering the guidance given by the judge when i was on a rape case jury, and the law may have changed since then) is that it is not sufficient for the victim to have not explicitly granted consent - a defendant can be not guilty under the law if they genuinely believe that has been given (or possibly not denied). In other words, if they say "no" then it's rape. If they are merely unwilling, but the defendant is not aware of this, then it isn't.
Although your point does, i suppose, restrict the ranges of defence that the accused is allowed to employ.0 -
I think amending the act to give MSPs parliamentary privilege is absolutely necessary. There is no case for them and other devolved representatives to not have it.Luckyguy1983 said:
What would be brilliant is if the Scotland Act is amended at Westminster, to give the Scottish Parliament MORE powers to hold the executive to account, the SNP voting against. That would be a really clarifying moment (though I think they'd be sensible enough to realise voting 'for' would be the only way).Black_Rook said:
Presumably, now all of the accusations have been made in the Commons, they are part of the public record and can be used as ammunition in the chamber at Holyrood? Of course, it's too late for the inquiry - which, some have suggested, was rather the point of all the previous attempts to have these allegations redacted or suppressed - but it's not too late for it all to be used during the election campaign.Scott_xP said:
Will this make any significant difference to the course of said election though? Somehow I doubt it. About the best that might come out of this fiasco is the extension of Parliamentary privilege and other measures to "deliver separation of powers to Scotland," as Davis called for in his speech, but whether the UK Government will act or not, who can say?0 -
It is reported that the Salmond Enquiry committee have not followed through on their notice requiring Salmond's solicitors to give them all the evidence withheld by ScotGov and the Crown Office.
So no, they won't be seeing it all.
(via Wings, so attach what cautions you choose.)0 -
Hats off to Sir Keir in one respect though - he’s nailed that Ed Miliband impression. Uncanny
https://twitter.com/keir_starmer/status/1371906306387415040?s=211 -
Just to remind everyone that Hartlepool ( or rather The Hartlepools) did elect a Conservative MP. He was Commander Kerans who was the captain of HMS Amethyst involved in a dramatic escape from the Yangtze as the communists were taking power in China. It was portrayed in the film The Yangtze Incident in 1957 with Richard Todd as Kerans. The film employed a whole series of British character actors including William Hartnell, Donald Houston, Robert Urquhart, Sam Kydd, Ewen Solon, Kenneth Cope, Ian Bannen, Bernard Cribbins, Basil Dignam, Cyril Luckham, and directed by Michael Anderson.2
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I always had him down for a tin tin impersonator with that hair style I always look out for snowy and captain haddockisam said:Hats off to Sir Keir in one respect though - he’s nailed that Ed Miliband impression. Uncanny
https://twitter.com/keir_starmer/status/1371906306387415040?s=210 -
Wood wood more like with that bad acting!Pagan2 said:
I always had him down for a tin tin impersonator with that hair style I always look out for snowy and captain haddockisam said:Hats off to Sir Keir in one respect though - he’s nailed that Ed Miliband impression. Uncanny
https://twitter.com/keir_starmer/status/1371906306387415040?s=210 -
Re: Hartlepool, only time I was ever there was during the 2000 general election, when I was cruising around Britain, and pulled into Hp with the vague notion of finding Peter Mandleson, his campaign HQ or both. After about a half hour driving around, without success (but also not much effort) got back on the road north.kinabalu said:
First stop the rot. Then turn things around. Then triumph. That's the Medinah template for Labour. It starts in Hartlepool.Pagan2 said:
Gosh labour actually managing to hold a seat will galvanise them....that really is the height of ambition....we will manage to hold seats we already have?kinabalu said:
☺ - Yep. But if Labour can somehow win this one the whole movement will be galvanized. It will be like when Ian Poulter sank that putt on the Saturday at the 2012 RC to set up the following day's Miracle at Medinah.Omnium said:It's a shame that the first by-election for ages has to happen in a safe Tory seat like Hartlepool...
County Durham strikes me as pretty similar to Western Pennsylvania, geographically, economically, even (to an extent) culturally and politically. Both are famous for coal mines, hills and a very chilly riviera; North Sea for CD, Lake Erie for PA. And with Harlepool a port somewhat akin to the city of Erie, PA (aka "dreary Erie on the Lake").3 -
SKSICIPMisam said:Hats off to Sir Keir in one respect though - he’s nailed that Ed Miliband impression. Uncanny
https://twitter.com/keir_starmer/status/1371906306387415040?s=210 -
No. Tin Tin is Ian Hislop!Pagan2 said:
I always had him down for a tin tin impersonator with that hair style I always look out for snowy and captain haddockisam said:Hats off to Sir Keir in one respect though - he’s nailed that Ed Miliband impression. Uncanny
https://twitter.com/keir_starmer/status/1371906306387415040?s=210 -
well if you want bad acting and talk about wood wood you want my ex mother....most have fairies living at the bottom of their garden mine had edward woodward and michelle dotriceisam said:
Wood wood more like with that bad acting!Pagan2 said:
I always had him down for a tin tin impersonator with that hair style I always look out for snowy and captain haddockisam said:Hats off to Sir Keir in one respect though - he’s nailed that Ed Miliband impression. Uncanny
https://twitter.com/keir_starmer/status/1371906306387415040?s=21
0 -
If I understand it (and with this whole thing I'm not always convinced I do, but...), it (or at least some of it) is evidence that Salmond offered up to the committee, if they'd just nicely contact his lawyers and ask for it.MaxPB said:I'm listening to the David David speech, it's extremely damning. I don't understand how this evidence was barred from the inquiry. The whole justice system in Scotland is rotten, politicised and not fit for purpose. The lines between politics and justice are so blurred that you can't tell which is which.
Why the committee have chosen not to do that is a different thing. I'm sure it's almost certainly not related to the numerical composition of the committee. Cough.
I think Davis didn't actually say that many things today that weren't already known. There were a few, but not many. But the implication clearly seems to be that either it'll come out properly in the committee or it'll come out in the House of Commons.0 -
Have we ever seen sks and hislop in the same room?Sunil_Prasannan said:
No. Tin Tin is Ian Hislop!Pagan2 said:
I always had him down for a tin tin impersonator with that hair style I always look out for snowy and captain haddockisam said:Hats off to Sir Keir in one respect though - he’s nailed that Ed Miliband impression. Uncanny
https://twitter.com/keir_starmer/status/1371906306387415040?s=21
0 -
Agree 100%. It would just be funny if Parliament were to have a vote on giving the SP more powers, and the SNP were to vote against it.MaxPB said:
I think amending the act to give MSPs parliamentary privilege is absolutely necessary. There is no case for them and other devolved representatives to not have it.Luckyguy1983 said:
What would be brilliant is if the Scotland Act is amended at Westminster, to give the Scottish Parliament MORE powers to hold the executive to account, the SNP voting against. That would be a really clarifying moment (though I think they'd be sensible enough to realise voting 'for' would be the only way).Black_Rook said:
Presumably, now all of the accusations have been made in the Commons, they are part of the public record and can be used as ammunition in the chamber at Holyrood? Of course, it's too late for the inquiry - which, some have suggested, was rather the point of all the previous attempts to have these allegations redacted or suppressed - but it's not too late for it all to be used during the election campaign.Scott_xP said:
Will this make any significant difference to the course of said election though? Somehow I doubt it. About the best that might come out of this fiasco is the extension of Parliamentary privilege and other measures to "deliver separation of powers to Scotland," as Davis called for in his speech, but whether the UK Government will act or not, who can say?
I don't actually think they would vote against it mind - there would be little point in trashing their reputation in order to attempt unsuccessfully to block it.0 -
I think Hartlepool will be hard to hold - the CLP is deeply divided and they only have 6 councillors left. But the Tories have a certain self-congratulatory air about the Red Wall which I don't think gets the tone quite right. I do expect a Tory gain, but not by a large majority - obviously it depends partly on who else stands.
Unusually, perhaps, I went to Hartlepool for a wedding. A friend of my wife's got married on a posh ship that's permanently moored in the harbour. Nice event. The town near the harbour did look pretty bleak, though.2 -
Was the friend Roger?NickPalmer said:I think Hartlepool will be hard to hold - the CLP is deeply divided and they only have 6 councillors left. But the Tories have a certain self-congratulatory air about the Red Wall which I don't think gets the tone quite right. I do expect a Tory gain, but not by a large majority - obviously it depends partly on who else stands.
Unusually, perhaps, I went to Hartlepool for a wedding. A friend of my wife's got married on a posh ship that's permanently moored in the harbour. Nice event. The town near the harbour did look pretty bleak, though.2 -
That's exactly my take too. I'll be pleasantly surprised if Labour retain this seat. The Cons are clear favourites for me. Might put quite a wedge on.Mexicanpete said:GIN1138 said:
A lot of them won't go Conservative though. This is what Farage knew. A lot of old Labour just can't bring themselves to vote Tory... Without BXP most of their voters will stay at home.Mexicanpete said:
Have you added in all the UKIPER/BREXITY Party voters from 2019 to the Conservative column? If you do it becomes quite clear.GIN1138 said:I can't see the Tories taking this seat.
The perception is the Party led by Johnson isn't a distant, elitist cabal of overindulged Southern, public schoolboys. After all Johnson goes out to work in a hi-viz jacket or a lab coat like the rest of us grafters. Johnson and his compatriots have the interests of hard working blue collar staff in their hearts. For goodness sake they have spent the last year feeding our bank accounts with free money. This isn't the Tory Party of Home or Heath, or even Cameron and Osborne for that matter. It is the party of "Boris", infact are they even called Conservatives anymore?DavidL said:
But there is no same basis for doing such a thing. There just isn't.Mexicanpete said:
Have you added in all the UKIPER/BREXITY Party voters from 2019 to the Conservative column? If you do it becomes quite clear.GIN1138 said:I can't see the Tories taking this seat.
The perception of the Labour Party at present, is that of Southern public school elitists who have never done a day's work in their lives. They are only interested in taking the knee, supporting foreigners, Rochdale cabbies, and people who pull down statues of patriotic heroes.
For this perception to change, economic hardship will need to bite, and when it does, Dido Harding and PPE procurement scandals will become important to people struggling to pay their mortgage. If it doesn't Boris can happily celebrate a 25 year premiership.1 -
I'm sure there are other sites more suitable for you to share your fantasies on.Pagan2 said:
Yes it was loaded against women and that was wrong, however its always going to be a hard crime to prosecute in most cases because most are people being dragged off the streets and forced.Leon said:
Yes.Pagan2 said:
Its also worth noting that the law has already been skewed, two people meet in a pub both drunk she can consent to go home and have sex and then claim in the morning it was rape as she was too drunk to consent whereas the guy can't claim to be to drunk to realise she was too drunk to consentalex_ said:
? Because they might be lying?LostPassword said:
I don't understand how it is one person's word against another. If a person says they did not consent to something I'm not sure that any other person's opinion is relevant.Cookie said:
It has grown, a bit. Though I think it was always a massive discrepancy. And I think the reason it has grown is that there has been much greater encouragement to report rape (and indeed greater keenness to take it to court).kle4 said:
That...is a pretty bold statement. And apart from anything else I have no idea what the stats were under previous governments so I have no way of knowing if the disparity between 'reports' and 'charges' has grown.williamglenn said:This is a seriously irresponsible tweet from Labour.
https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1371895792642879488
The problem with trying rape is that it is, by its nature, almost always one person's word against another. In a culture where we are innocent until proven guilty, that makes it very hard to make a conviction.
One thing that most people aren't aware of though (if i'm accurately remembering the guidance given by the judge when i was on a rape case jury, and the law may have changed since then) is that it is not sufficient for the victim to have not explicitly granted consent - a defendant can be not guilty under the law if they genuinely believe that has been given (or possibly not denied). In other words, if they say "no" then it's rape. If they are merely unwilling, but the defendant is not aware of this, then it isn't.
It used to be the case that rape law was heavily loaded against the woman. eg rape cases, uniquely, required the jury to be warned by the judge that "alleged victims are known to lie". That misogynist idiocy was rightly done away with, also the absurd idea you "can't rape within a marriage". Get rid of it? Yes. Good.
Other shifts are more controversial. Is it right complainants should have lifelong anonymity, whereas the accused is named from the moment he is charged, and forever allowed to be named, even if acquitted?
That is debatable, I personally believe both should be anonymous until the jury decides on guilt. If he is guilty, name him. Otherwise, not. But I can see arguments the other way (eg not naming an alleged perp makes it harder to find him for coppers)
Recently, ultra-feminist campaigners have crossed over the line, to my mind. The drunken thing you mention is one example. Another is this: a few years ago they tried to have all previous sexual history ruled "irrelevant" and inadmissible in court. So if you - a man - were accused of raping your girlfriend, you were not allowed to mention that fact - ie that you and she had already had sex 300 times. The jury would never know that this was an alleged "date rape", or a "rape in a relationship", they would only know the facts of the actual night.
Absurd. Yet it nearly passed into law.
This is where we risk tilting the balance against the defendant in a profoundly disturbing way
Most rape cases are miscommunication one person thinks one thing the other thinks they said another.
For example I am lying in bed asleep having a dream about priti patel in body hugging latex and thigh high boots I get an erection. The girl in bed with me notices and I wake up to her riding me.....is that rape? I didnt give consent1 -
Yes, Davis has clearly threatened the committee with parliamentary privilege in Westminster to expose their blatant politicking on evidence gathering and politically convenient redactions. I assume once something has been made public in the House of Commons the committee in Holyrood can use that as evidence as the same parliamentary privilege then protects others when they repeat it publicly.solarflare said:
If I understand it (and with this whole thing I'm not always convinced I do, but...), it (or at least some of it) is evidence that Salmond offered up to the committee, if they'd just nicely contact his lawyers and ask for it.MaxPB said:I'm listening to the David David speech, it's extremely damning. I don't understand how this evidence was barred from the inquiry. The whole justice system in Scotland is rotten, politicised and not fit for purpose. The lines between politics and justice are so blurred that you can't tell which is which.
Why the committee have chosen not to do that is a different thing. I'm sure it's almost certainly not related to the numerical composition of the committee. Cough.
I think Davis didn't actually say that many things today that weren't already known. There were a few, but not many. But the implication clearly seems to be that either it'll come out properly in the committee or it'll come out in the House of Commons.
Still the way out of this is to amend the act and give MSPs the same parliamentary privilege, separate out the DPP from politics and make the Scottish civil service much more independent of the government as they are in Whitehall.1 -
A lot of self confessed betting shrewdies on here.. who wants to make a price on whether Sir Keir does better or worse in terms of Vote share at his GE than Ed Miliband? And another set of prices on whether he does better or worse in terms of seats0
-
NickPalmer said:
I think Hartlepool will be hard to hold - the CLP is deeply divided and they only have 6 councillors left. But the Tories have a certain self-congratulatory air about the Red Wall which I don't think gets the tone quite right. I do expect a Tory gain, but not by a large majority - obviously it depends partly on who else stands.
Unusually, perhaps, I went to Hartlepool for a wedding. A friend of my wife's got married on a posh ship that's permanently moored in the harbour. Nice event. The town near the harbour did look pretty bleak, though.
I really very much doubt that a Tory gain will happen. Why should that be more likely now than in December 2019? No national poll since last April would imply it. Labour is now polling circa 37 % compared with 33% at the GE. That should take Labour to 45% pus in the seat - assuming a sharp fall in Brexit Party support.NickPalmer said:I think Hartlepool will be hard to hold - the CLP is deeply divided and they only have 6 councillors left. But the Tories have a certain self-congratulatory air about the Red Wall which I don't think gets the tone quite right. I do expect a Tory gain, but not by a large majority - obviously it depends partly on who else stands.
Unusually, perhaps, I went to Hartlepool for a wedding. A friend of my wife's got married on a posh ship that's permanently moored in the harbour. Nice event. The town near the harbour did look pretty bleak, though.0 -
It was merely an example, if it got you to het up I am sure you have a loo to masturbate inNorthern_Al said:
I'm sure there are other sites more suitable for you to share your fantasies on.Pagan2 said:
Yes it was loaded against women and that was wrong, however its always going to be a hard crime to prosecute in most cases because most are people being dragged off the streets and forced.Leon said:
Yes.Pagan2 said:
Its also worth noting that the law has already been skewed, two people meet in a pub both drunk she can consent to go home and have sex and then claim in the morning it was rape as she was too drunk to consent whereas the guy can't claim to be to drunk to realise she was too drunk to consentalex_ said:
? Because they might be lying?LostPassword said:
I don't understand how it is one person's word against another. If a person says they did not consent to something I'm not sure that any other person's opinion is relevant.Cookie said:
It has grown, a bit. Though I think it was always a massive discrepancy. And I think the reason it has grown is that there has been much greater encouragement to report rape (and indeed greater keenness to take it to court).kle4 said:
That...is a pretty bold statement. And apart from anything else I have no idea what the stats were under previous governments so I have no way of knowing if the disparity between 'reports' and 'charges' has grown.williamglenn said:This is a seriously irresponsible tweet from Labour.
https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1371895792642879488
The problem with trying rape is that it is, by its nature, almost always one person's word against another. In a culture where we are innocent until proven guilty, that makes it very hard to make a conviction.
One thing that most people aren't aware of though (if i'm accurately remembering the guidance given by the judge when i was on a rape case jury, and the law may have changed since then) is that it is not sufficient for the victim to have not explicitly granted consent - a defendant can be not guilty under the law if they genuinely believe that has been given (or possibly not denied). In other words, if they say "no" then it's rape. If they are merely unwilling, but the defendant is not aware of this, then it isn't.
It used to be the case that rape law was heavily loaded against the woman. eg rape cases, uniquely, required the jury to be warned by the judge that "alleged victims are known to lie". That misogynist idiocy was rightly done away with, also the absurd idea you "can't rape within a marriage". Get rid of it? Yes. Good.
Other shifts are more controversial. Is it right complainants should have lifelong anonymity, whereas the accused is named from the moment he is charged, and forever allowed to be named, even if acquitted?
That is debatable, I personally believe both should be anonymous until the jury decides on guilt. If he is guilty, name him. Otherwise, not. But I can see arguments the other way (eg not naming an alleged perp makes it harder to find him for coppers)
Recently, ultra-feminist campaigners have crossed over the line, to my mind. The drunken thing you mention is one example. Another is this: a few years ago they tried to have all previous sexual history ruled "irrelevant" and inadmissible in court. So if you - a man - were accused of raping your girlfriend, you were not allowed to mention that fact - ie that you and she had already had sex 300 times. The jury would never know that this was an alleged "date rape", or a "rape in a relationship", they would only know the facts of the actual night.
Absurd. Yet it nearly passed into law.
This is where we risk tilting the balance against the defendant in a profoundly disturbing way
Most rape cases are miscommunication one person thinks one thing the other thinks they said another.
For example I am lying in bed asleep having a dream about priti patel in body hugging latex and thigh high boots I get an erection. The girl in bed with me notices and I wake up to her riding me.....is that rape? I didnt give consent0 -
kinabalu said:
That's exactly my take too. I'll be pleasantly surprised if Labour retain this seat. The Cons are clear favourites for me. Might put quite a wedge on.Mexicanpete said:GIN1138 said:
A lot of them won't go Conservative though. This is what Farage knew. A lot of old Labour just can't bring themselves to vote Tory... Without BXP most of their voters will stay at home.Mexicanpete said:
Have you added in all the UKIPER/BREXITY Party voters from 2019 to the Conservative column? If you do it becomes quite clear.GIN1138 said:I can't see the Tories taking this seat.
The perception is the Party led by Johnson isn't a distant, elitist cabal of overindulged Southern, public schoolboys. After all Johnson goes out to work in a hi-viz jacket or a lab coat like the rest of us grafters. Johnson and his compatriots have the interests of hard working blue collar staff in their hearts. For goodness sake they have spent the last year feeding our bank accounts with free money. This isn't the Tory Party of Home or Heath, or even Cameron and Osborne for that matter. It is the party of "Boris", infact are they even called Conservatives anymore?DavidL said:
But there is no same basis for doing such a thing. There just isn't.Mexicanpete said:
Have you added in all the UKIPER/BREXITY Party voters from 2019 to the Conservative column? If you do it becomes quite clear.GIN1138 said:I can't see the Tories taking this seat.
The perception of the Labour Party at present, is that of Southern public school elitists who have never done a day's work in their lives. They are only interested in taking the knee, supporting foreigners, Rochdale cabbies, and people who pull down statues of patriotic heroes.
For this perception to change, economic hardship will need to bite, and when it does, Dido Harding and PPE procurement scandals will become important to people struggling to pay their mortgage. If it doesn't Boris can happily celebrate a 25 year premiership.
I don't expect a repeat of Copeland February 2017.kinabalu said:
That's exactly my take too. I'll be pleasantly surprised if Labour retain this seat. The Cons are clear favourites for me. Might put quite a wedge on.Mexicanpete said:GIN1138 said:
A lot of them won't go Conservative though. This is what Farage knew. A lot of old Labour just can't bring themselves to vote Tory... Without BXP most of their voters will stay at home.Mexicanpete said:
Have you added in all the UKIPER/BREXITY Party voters from 2019 to the Conservative column? If you do it becomes quite clear.GIN1138 said:I can't see the Tories taking this seat.
The perception is the Party led by Johnson isn't a distant, elitist cabal of overindulged Southern, public schoolboys. After all Johnson goes out to work in a hi-viz jacket or a lab coat like the rest of us grafters. Johnson and his compatriots have the interests of hard working blue collar staff in their hearts. For goodness sake they have spent the last year feeding our bank accounts with free money. This isn't the Tory Party of Home or Heath, or even Cameron and Osborne for that matter. It is the party of "Boris", infact are they even called Conservatives anymore?DavidL said:
But there is no same basis for doing such a thing. There just isn't.Mexicanpete said:
Have you added in all the UKIPER/BREXITY Party voters from 2019 to the Conservative column? If you do it becomes quite clear.GIN1138 said:I can't see the Tories taking this seat.
The perception of the Labour Party at present, is that of Southern public school elitists who have never done a day's work in their lives. They are only interested in taking the knee, supporting foreigners, Rochdale cabbies, and people who pull down statues of patriotic heroes.
For this perception to change, economic hardship will need to bite, and when it does, Dido Harding and PPE procurement scandals will become important to people struggling to pay their mortgage. If it doesn't Boris can happily celebrate a 25 year premiership.1 -
The by-election is Sunak style "free" money.kinabalu said:
That's exactly my take too. I'll be pleasantly surprised if Labour retain this seat. The Cons are clear favourites for me. Might put quite a wedge on.Mexicanpete said:GIN1138 said:
A lot of them won't go Conservative though. This is what Farage knew. A lot of old Labour just can't bring themselves to vote Tory... Without BXP most of their voters will stay at home.Mexicanpete said:
Have you added in all the UKIPER/BREXITY Party voters from 2019 to the Conservative column? If you do it becomes quite clear.GIN1138 said:I can't see the Tories taking this seat.
The perception is the Party led by Johnson isn't a distant, elitist cabal of overindulged Southern, public schoolboys. After all Johnson goes out to work in a hi-viz jacket or a lab coat like the rest of us grafters. Johnson and his compatriots have the interests of hard working blue collar staff in their hearts. For goodness sake they have spent the last year feeding our bank accounts with free money. This isn't the Tory Party of Home or Heath, or even Cameron and Osborne for that matter. It is the party of "Boris", infact are they even called Conservatives anymore?DavidL said:
But there is no same basis for doing such a thing. There just isn't.Mexicanpete said:
Have you added in all the UKIPER/BREXITY Party voters from 2019 to the Conservative column? If you do it becomes quite clear.GIN1138 said:I can't see the Tories taking this seat.
The perception of the Labour Party at present, is that of Southern public school elitists who have never done a day's work in their lives. They are only interested in taking the knee, supporting foreigners, Rochdale cabbies, and people who pull down statues of patriotic heroes.
For this perception to change, economic hardship will need to bite, and when it does, Dido Harding and PPE procurement scandals will become important to people struggling to pay their mortgage. If it doesn't Boris can happily celebrate a 25 year premiership.1 -
Makes me wonder how it got approval not to be FPTP in the first place, trade off with the LDs I guess.
https://twitter.com/JohnRentoul/status/1371916576409198595
Kudos on expanding out the previous argument that because AV was rejected there is no need to revisit voting systems, by instead using it as proof there is a need to revisit voting systems, and that not only was it a vote in favour of FPTP, it was a vote against all transferable vote systems, even ones not on the ballot.0 -
The Committee should of course be asking for that evidence, but they have been given cover not to do so by threats from the Crown office that it would be illegal.solarflare said:
If I understand it (and with this whole thing I'm not always convinced I do, but...), it (or at least some of it) is evidence that Salmond offered up to the committee, if they'd just nicely contact his lawyers and ask for it.MaxPB said:I'm listening to the David David speech, it's extremely damning. I don't understand how this evidence was barred from the inquiry. The whole justice system in Scotland is rotten, politicised and not fit for purpose. The lines between politics and justice are so blurred that you can't tell which is which.
Why the committee have chosen not to do that is a different thing. I'm sure it's almost certainly not related to the numerical composition of the committee. Cough.
I think Davis didn't actually say that many things today that weren't already known. There were a few, but not many. But the implication clearly seems to be that either it'll come out properly in the committee or it'll come out in the House of Commons.
I believe that Salmond's evidence from the trial is more extensive than what the whistleblower seems to have passed to Davis, but I am not sure.0 -
David Davis's speech is verbatim at https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/david-davis-scotland-a-deficit-of-power-and-accountabilityMaxPB said:
Yes, Davis has clearly threatened the committee with parliamentary privilege in Westminster to expose their blatant politicking on evidence gathering and politically convenient redactions. I assume once something has been made public in the House of Commons the committee in Holyrood can use that as evidence as the same parliamentary privilege then protects others when they repeat it publicly.solarflare said:
If I understand it (and with this whole thing I'm not always convinced I do, but...), it (or at least some of it) is evidence that Salmond offered up to the committee, if they'd just nicely contact his lawyers and ask for it.MaxPB said:I'm listening to the David David speech, it's extremely damning. I don't understand how this evidence was barred from the inquiry. The whole justice system in Scotland is rotten, politicised and not fit for purpose. The lines between politics and justice are so blurred that you can't tell which is which.
Why the committee have chosen not to do that is a different thing. I'm sure it's almost certainly not related to the numerical composition of the committee. Cough.
I think Davis didn't actually say that many things today that weren't already known. There were a few, but not many. But the implication clearly seems to be that either it'll come out properly in the committee or it'll come out in the House of Commons.
Still the way out of this is to amend the act and give MSPs the same parliamentary privilege, separate out the DPP from politics and make the Scottish civil service much more independent of the government as they are in Whitehall.
1 -
Well there might be something in the suggestion BXP in its new form will not do as well, and a theory could be made that the Tories will do better as a result of that, but given that is not certain, and the polling is in general not as far apart as December 2019, Labour have reason to bullish, even if a loss cannot be ruled out.justin124 said:NickPalmer said:I think Hartlepool will be hard to hold - the CLP is deeply divided and they only have 6 councillors left. But the Tories have a certain self-congratulatory air about the Red Wall which I don't think gets the tone quite right. I do expect a Tory gain, but not by a large majority - obviously it depends partly on who else stands.
Unusually, perhaps, I went to Hartlepool for a wedding. A friend of my wife's got married on a posh ship that's permanently moored in the harbour. Nice event. The town near the harbour did look pretty bleak, though.
I really very much doubt that a Tory gain will happen. Why should that be more likely now than in December 2019? No national poll since last April would imply it. Labour is now polling circa 37 % compared with 33% at the GE. That should take Labour to 45% pus in the seat - assuming a sharp fall in Brexit Party support.NickPalmer said:I think Hartlepool will be hard to hold - the CLP is deeply divided and they only have 6 councillors left. But the Tories have a certain self-congratulatory air about the Red Wall which I don't think gets the tone quite right. I do expect a Tory gain, but not by a large majority - obviously it depends partly on who else stands.
Unusually, perhaps, I went to Hartlepool for a wedding. A friend of my wife's got married on a posh ship that's permanently moored in the harbour. Nice event. The town near the harbour did look pretty bleak, though.0 -
Phillip not wearing a mask, the devil.rottenborough said:0 -
Looks like Labour is going a bit core vote for May, to be honest.0
-
Apparently the EU is now accusing national governments of stockpiling the vaccine. I think.rottenborough said:
Why? Why are they so keen to have a vaccine they are so reluctant to use or for anyone else to use? Most political cock-ups involve incompetence, some involve corruption. But there's normally some point to it. This involves - what? Who benefits? I genuinely don't understand what the Europeans are playing at.1 -
I was once (until about 3 days ago) a reluctant Leaver.rottenborough said:
No more.
I now feel like someone who has escaped a cult, who gets the last round of therapy, and sees the cult for what it is.
Thank God we are out. Even if it costs 10% of GDP, we now govern ourselves. These halfwits can damage us no more, we just have to deal with our own halfwits.
But we can throw them out at elections0 -
It's OK, he's double pfizered.kle4 said:
Phillip not wearing a mask, the devil.rottenborough said:0 -
Dunno. I'm watching it on DVD.turbotubbs said:
Is it on Britbox?Casino_Royale said:I'm watching The Hollow Crown: Richard II again, with Ben Wishart and Patrick Stewart.
Because it's excellent.1 -
But you can no longer protest about them as it is annoying.Leon said:
I was once (until about 3 days ago) a reluctant Leaver.rottenborough said:
No more.
I now feel like someone who has escaped a cult, who gets the last round of therapy, and sees the cult for what it is.
Thank God we are out. Even if it costs 10% of GDP, we now govern ourselves. These halfwits can damage us no more, we just have to deal with our own halfwits.
But we can throw them out at elections1 -
Do NOT underestimate the power of powerful hair. And Starmer's hair is perhaps his most powerful PR asset, at least at present.Pagan2 said:
I always had him down for a tin tin impersonator with that hair style I always look out for snowy and captain haddockisam said:Hats off to Sir Keir in one respect though - he’s nailed that Ed Miliband impression. Uncanny
https://twitter.com/keir_starmer/status/1371906306387415040?s=21
Look what it's done for Boris Johnson. And what lack thereof did to (just naming two) Hague and IDS.
Critics of above will cite Winston Churchill. Yet that was in a simpler, sterner age, before the rug & the plug.
Ramsey Macdonald had a magnificent head of hair, whileAnthony Eden's hair was part-and-parcel of his post-war appeal, Harold Wilson wielded his quiff in political battle, and Margaret Thacher's helmet of hair was emblematic of the Iron Maiden.
Whereas Stanley Baldwin and Neville Chamberlain's hair was never what one would call truly adequate. And years of austerity clearly took their toll on Clement Attlee's hair, as did the stress of Philby and Profumo upon Harold Macmillan's follicules. As for Sir Alec Douglas-Home, his head was notoriously skeletal, which no much can be said about the hair of Ted Heath or Jim Callaghan except that the had some (I think). Same goes for Michael Howard.
John Major was another story; his superior hair was a crucial, if rarely-cited reason for his 1992 election victory. And there is no doubt that Theresa May's rise to power was facilitated by a strong, stylish yet sensible, approachable but authoritative hairdo. However, her permanent proved less so in the hothouse of No. 10 and wilted along with her electoral & political prospects.
AND wasn't it someone on THIS thred, who pointed to the Samson-like strength derived by Boris Johnson from his wild, abundant, unruly, frequently downright-delinquent locks? AND the great dangers he now runs, due to his visibly-thinning crown?1 -
I recall the very confident predictions on here in the aftermath of the May 2019 European Parliament elections that the Brexit Party was a 'shoo in' to win the Peterborough by election held just two weeks later. It did not happen - despite the Onasanya conviction.0
-
But it's rare. The problem is mainly the other way. 90% of rapes are not reported. Of the ones that are 97% lead to no charge. And half of them are acquitted. Upshot - For every rape conviction there are approximately 1000 instances which are not punished. It IS effectively decriminalised.Leon said:
Or is unfaithful and then risks losing a boyfriend/husband, so fabricates a rape. That is far from unknownturbotubbs said:
Because no one ever lies, or changes their mind, or gets drunk and fancies a guy but in the morning thinks they have made a mistake.LostPassword said:
I don't understand how it is one person's word against another. If a person says they did not consent to something I'm not sure that any other person's opinion is relevant.Cookie said:
It has grown, a bit. Though I think it was always a massive discrepancy. And I think the reason it has grown is that there has been much greater encouragement to report rape (and indeed greater keenness to take it to court).kle4 said:
That...is a pretty bold statement. And apart from anything else I have no idea what the stats were under previous governments so I have no way of knowing if the disparity between 'reports' and 'charges' has grown.williamglenn said:This is a seriously irresponsible tweet from Labour.
https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1371895792642879488
The problem with trying rape is that it is, by its nature, almost always one person's word against another. In a culture where we are innocent until proven guilty, that makes it very hard to make a conviction.0 -
A third wave or even fourth wave followed by inevitable implosion of eu debt crisis may well finish the project off the way they are going at it.Cookie said:
Apparently the EU is now accusing national governments of stockpiling the vaccine. I think.rottenborough said:
Why? Why are they so keen to have a vaccine they are so reluctant to use or for anyone else to use? Most political cock-ups involve incompetence, some involve corruption. But there's normally some point to it. This involves - what? Who benefits? I genuinely don't understand what the Europeans are playing at.0 -
Yep, just checked, it's on Britbox.Casino_Royale said:
Dunno. I'm watching it on DVD.turbotubbs said:
Is it on Britbox?Casino_Royale said:I'm watching The Hollow Crown: Richard II again, with Ben Wishart and Patrick Stewart.
Because it's excellent.0 -
-
I'm amused at your air of slight surprise that you went to a wedding in Hartlepool.NickPalmer said:I think Hartlepool will be hard to hold - the CLP is deeply divided and they only have 6 councillors left. But the Tories have a certain self-congratulatory air about the Red Wall which I don't think gets the tone quite right. I do expect a Tory gain, but not by a large majority - obviously it depends partly on who else stands.
Unusually, perhaps, I went to Hartlepool for a wedding. A friend of my wife's got married on a posh ship that's permanently moored in the harbour. Nice event. The town near the harbour did look pretty bleak, though.
I haven't been to Hartlepool since the 90s. Back then, the marina had recently been redone and looked quite smart. I bought a pair of trousers. The town had the atmosphere that with a couple of decades of good luck it could possibly be quite pleasant. I get the impression the hoped-for run of luck didn't come though.0 -
I'm on Labour to hold Hartlepool at 2.02.
Just a feeling. Only for price of a round.0 -
That's very good news for the French roll out, Macron should also get it.williamglenn said:0 -
Yes, it is one of the few political calamities when it is so calamitous it is hard to see an obvious winner. Russia with Sputnik, maybe, or China. But that is quite tenuous. Pfizer? I guess. But they would have to be quite evil to stoke all this. Are they?Cookie said:
Apparently the EU is now accusing national governments of stockpiling the vaccine. I think.rottenborough said:
Why? Why are they so keen to have a vaccine they are so reluctant to use or for anyone else to use? Most political cock-ups involve incompetence, some involve corruption. But there's normally some point to it. This involves - what? Who benefits? I genuinely don't understand what the Europeans are playing at.
The fact is, humanity loses, and it is tragic. This is an excellent vaccine with minimal side effects, sold at not for profit. You can keep it in a damn fridge. It is highly likely that tens of thousands of men and women will now die, who would otherwise have lived via AZ, because of the imbecilic "suspensions" by European governments (and a couple of others) and because this will stoke global vaccine hesitancy.
I am faintly ashamed to be a European. I have genuinely never felt that before. The continent of the Enlightenment, the home of medicine and vaccination, has, for whatever reasons, been reduced to THIS0 -
Even I, a rabid masker, will give the Devil his due on this occassion. Get well soon!kle4 said:
Phillip not wearing a mask, the devil.rottenborough said:
Actually, he doesn't look half bad in the pic, not for a gent of his degree of superannuation, after four weeks w/ Nurse Wratchet.1 -
So it was all an elaborate plan to justify their politicians jumping the queues!MaxPB said:
That's very good news for the French roll out, Macron should also get it.williamglenn said:-1 -
Comedy Dave isn't going to like tomorrow's front pages.....and this is the I!
https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/1371948210160287767?s=201 -
ALLEGED instances. ALLEGED. This is the key. This is British justice. By all means alter the law so it is balanced between plaintiff and defendant, if you wishkinabalu said:
But it's rare. The problem is mainly the other way. 90% of rapes are not reported. Of the ones that are 97% lead to no charge. And half of them are acquitted. Upshot - For every rape conviction there are approximately 1000 instances which are not punished. It IS effectively decriminalised.Leon said:
Or is unfaithful and then risks losing a boyfriend/husband, so fabricates a rape. That is far from unknownturbotubbs said:
Because no one ever lies, or changes their mind, or gets drunk and fancies a guy but in the morning thinks they have made a mistake.LostPassword said:
I don't understand how it is one person's word against another. If a person says they did not consent to something I'm not sure that any other person's opinion is relevant.Cookie said:
It has grown, a bit. Though I think it was always a massive discrepancy. And I think the reason it has grown is that there has been much greater encouragement to report rape (and indeed greater keenness to take it to court).kle4 said:
That...is a pretty bold statement. And apart from anything else I have no idea what the stats were under previous governments so I have no way of knowing if the disparity between 'reports' and 'charges' has grown.williamglenn said:This is a seriously irresponsible tweet from Labour.
https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1371895792642879488
The problem with trying rape is that it is, by its nature, almost always one person's word against another. In a culture where we are innocent until proven guilty, that makes it very hard to make a conviction.
But a man accused is an ALLEGED rapist, and until and unless he is convicted, he is innocent, and there is no crime0 -
The Starmer excuse makers are trying to say the lady who they are quoting in the ‘Tories have decriminalised rape’ advert is a government appointed QCCasino_Royale said:Looks like Labour is going a bit core vote for May, to be honest.
Well she was appointed by a government, just not this one - Theresa May appointed her...if that’s fair game then all Corbyn appointments, mistakes, anti semitism etc can be attributed to Starmer’s ‘new management’
... and she is a QC... but was also a Labour MP for 9 years before losing an unloseable seat in 2010 then getting a cushy PCC number.1 -
My wife tonight showed me her contraceptive pill notes and one of the listed severe side effects is actually thrombosis, having looked it up it's a 1 in 10,000 chance of developing severe thrombosis for the type of contraceptive pill she takes. Obviously she still takes it anyway, but she was pretty scathing over the double standards being applied to the vaccine which has no causal link proved yet Germany and other European countries have granted full licences for the pill which has a known causal link to blood clots.3
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I don't know if this is tongue in cheek or not. But I agree with it wholeheartedly.SeaShantyIrish2 said:
Do NOT underestimate the power of powerful hair. And Starmer's hair is perhaps his most powerful PR asset, at least at present.Pagan2 said:
I always had him down for a tin tin impersonator with that hair style I always look out for snowy and captain haddockisam said:Hats off to Sir Keir in one respect though - he’s nailed that Ed Miliband impression. Uncanny
https://twitter.com/keir_starmer/status/1371906306387415040?s=21
Look what it's done for Boris Johnson. And what lack thereof did to (just naming two) Hague and IDS.
Critics of above will cite Winston Churchill. Yet that was in a simpler, sterner age, before the rug & the plug.
Ramsey Macdonald had a magnificent head of hair, whileAnthony Eden's hair was part-and-parcel of his post-war appeal, Harold Wilson wielded his quiff in political battle, and Margaret Thacher's helmet of hair was emblematic of the Iron Maiden.
Whereas Stanley Baldwin and Neville Chamberlain's hair was never what one would call truly adequate. And years of austerity clearly took their toll on Clement Attlee's hair, as did the stress of Philby and Profumo upon Harold Macmillan's follicules. As for Sir Alec Douglas-Home, his head was notoriously skeletal, which no much can be said about the hair of Ted Heath or Jim Callaghan except that the had some (I think). Same goes for Michael Howard.
John Major was another story; his superior hair was a crucial, if rarely-cited reason for his 1992 election victory. And there is no doubt that Theresa May's rise to power was facilitated by a strong, stylish yet sensible, approachable but authoritative hairdo. However, her permanent proved less so in the hothouse of No. 10 and wilted along with her electoral & political prospects.
AND wasn't it someone on THIS thred, who pointed to the Samson-like strength derived by Boris Johnson from his wild, abundant, unruly, frequently downright-delinquent locks? AND the great dangers he now runs, due to his visibly-thinning crown?
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One problem (there are others) with anonymity for the accused is this:Leon said:
Yes.Pagan2 said:
Its also worth noting that the law has already been skewed, two people meet in a pub both drunk she can consent to go home and have sex and then claim in the morning it was rape as she was too drunk to consent whereas the guy can't claim to be to drunk to realise she was too drunk to consentalex_ said:
? Because they might be lying?LostPassword said:
I don't understand how it is one person's word against another. If a person says they did not consent to something I'm not sure that any other person's opinion is relevant.Cookie said:
It has grown, a bit. Though I think it was always a massive discrepancy. And I think the reason it has grown is that there has been much greater encouragement to report rape (and indeed greater keenness to take it to court).kle4 said:
That...is a pretty bold statement. And apart from anything else I have no idea what the stats were under previous governments so I have no way of knowing if the disparity between 'reports' and 'charges' has grown.williamglenn said:This is a seriously irresponsible tweet from Labour.
https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1371895792642879488
The problem with trying rape is that it is, by its nature, almost always one person's word against another. In a culture where we are innocent until proven guilty, that makes it very hard to make a conviction.
One thing that most people aren't aware of though (if i'm accurately remembering the guidance given by the judge when i was on a rape case jury, and the law may have changed since then) is that it is not sufficient for the victim to have not explicitly granted consent - a defendant can be not guilty under the law if they genuinely believe that has been given (or possibly not denied). In other words, if they say "no" then it's rape. If they are merely unwilling, but the defendant is not aware of this, then it isn't.
It used to be the case that rape law was heavily loaded against the woman. eg rape cases, uniquely, required the jury to be warned by the judge that "alleged victims are known to lie". That misogynist idiocy was rightly done away with, also the absurd idea you "can't rape within a marriage". Get rid of it? Yes. Good.
Other shifts are more controversial. Is it right complainants should have lifelong anonymity, whereas the accused is named from the moment he is charged, and forever allowed to be named, even if acquitted?
That is debatable, I personally believe both should be anonymous until the jury decides on guilt. If he is guilty, name him. Otherwise, not. But I can see arguments the other way (eg not naming an alleged perp makes it harder to find him for coppers)
Recently, ultra-feminist campaigners have crossed over the line, to my mind. The drunken thing you mention is one example. Another is this: a few years ago they tried to have all previous sexual history ruled "irrelevant" and inadmissible in court. So if you - a man - were accused of raping your girlfriend, you were not allowed to mention that fact - ie that you and she had already had sex 300 times. The jury would never know that this was an alleged "date rape", or a "rape in a relationship", they would only know the facts of the actual night.
Absurd. Yet it nearly passed into law.
This is where we risk tilting the balance against the defendant in a profoundly disturbing way
Suppose the accused is acquitted of rape, so therefore could not be named,
but is found guilty of a lesser offence still bearing a custodial sentence.
The accused would then be effectively "disappeared".
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David Davis is one of those people in politics, who most of the time comes across (to me anyway) as about 98% nuts. BUT then every once in a while (but pretty regularly) does something like this, that is (at least as I see it) a true public service.solarflare said:
If I understand it (and with this whole thing I'm not always convinced I do, but...), it (or at least some of it) is evidence that Salmond offered up to the committee, if they'd just nicely contact his lawyers and ask for it.MaxPB said:I'm listening to the David David speech, it's extremely damning. I don't understand how this evidence was barred from the inquiry. The whole justice system in Scotland is rotten, politicised and not fit for purpose. The lines between politics and justice are so blurred that you can't tell which is which.
Why the committee have chosen not to do that is a different thing. I'm sure it's almost certainly not related to the numerical composition of the committee. Cough.
I think Davis didn't actually say that many things today that weren't already known. There were a few, but not many. But the implication clearly seems to be that either it'll come out properly in the committee or it'll come out in the House of Commons.
Kinda like a snow shovel in Seattle. Most of the time it's a nuisance underfoot. Except once in a blue moon, when it's snowing like hell.1 -
I believe it is closer to 1 in a 1000. Either way, it is a pretty crushing argument against the insanity prevailing in Paris, Rome and Berlin. AZ is safer than the Pill. No one talks of banning the Pill, yet they ban life saving vaccines in a pandemic. How have democratic governments come to this, in the face of global death on an enormous scale?MaxPB said:My wife tonight showed me her contraceptive pill notes and one of the listed severe side effects is actually thrombosis, having looked it up it's a 1 in 10,000 chance of developing severe thrombosis for the type of contraceptive pill she takes. Obviously she still takes it anyway, but she was pretty scathing over the double standards being applied to the vaccine which has no causal link proved yet Germany and other European countries have granted full licences for the pill which has a known causal link to blood clots.
The British government made horrific mistakes early on. They are, perhaps, partly excusable from naivety in the face of a novel virus. Still terrible.
THIS is not excusable. There is no justification. Zero. If Boris ever does something this bad he should be sent to live just southwest of Glasgow , in an ex mining town, for the rest of his living days.0