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You can get evens that Biden’s approval will still be in the 50-54.9 range after 100 days – politica

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  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,115

    https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1364970179344629768

    The first time Labour mentioned this was 30 mins after it started I think

    My sister, as a young girl, had a dolly made from a wooden spoon, with hair of black wool.

    Seeing that picture of Anneliese Dodds brought it back so clearly.
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,147
    DougSeal said:

    A really important thread on the global drop in cases I have been commenting upon. That drop has slowed, indeed started to reverse, because of the countries (largely in Europe) that have loose restrictions AND little in the way of antibody/T-Cell immunity. You can have either (to an extent) but you can't do neither. In the UK we have the a very strict lockdown and the benefit of an increasing amount of antibodies through vaccination. In South Africa the fall can at least in part be explained by the fact that in Eastern Cape (by way of example) peak antibody levels exceeded 60%. Those will decrease but T-Cell immunity will remain.

    https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1364963301835370497

    https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1364963342129971202

    20,000 cases in Italy today. A sudden leap. A third wave looms
  • Options
    MattWMattW Posts: 18,525
    malcolmg said:

    DavidL said:

    Yet more nonsense. Sturgeon denies that the name of one of the complainers was given to Geoff Aberdein in the run up to the meeting on 2nd April. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-56198840

    This is the same Geoff Aberdein who @sarissa told us was not going to be a witness and whose statement has been objected to by Crown Office (again) and will not officially be before the Committee.

    So this is another allegation of lying which the Committee and Mr Hamilton (the independent investigator in respect of the Ministerial code) will simply not be able to reach a view on because the relevant evidence is not before them.

    But its ok because Nicola is willing to answer questions on it and that is the most we can apparently hope for. Jeez.

    Unless someone wants to claim this reward....
    £25,000 Reward Offered for Copy of Geoff Aberdein Testimony
    This website is offering a reward of £25,000 cash to help a public spirited whistleblower to come forward and reveal a copy of Geoff Aberdein’s evidence to the Sturgeon Inquiry, which the Committee of Crooks has refused to publish, accept or consider, because it categorically proves that Sturgeon lied to Parliament.
    https://www.craigmurray.org.uk/archives/2021/02/25000-reward-offered-for-copy-of-geoff-aberdein-testimony/
    Can't Mr Aberlein just publish that himself?
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,586
    .

    https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1364970179344629768

    The first time Labour mentioned this was 30 mins after it started I think

    Probably deliberate ?
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,147

    https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1364970179344629768

    The first time Labour mentioned this was 30 mins after it started I think

    My sister, as a young girl, had a dolly made from a wooden spoon, with hair of black wool.

    Seeing that picture of Anneliese Dodds brought it back so clearly.
    Brilliant analogy. Perfect. That's exactly what she looks like
  • Options
    kinabalukinabalu Posts: 39,187
    RobD said:

    kinabalu said:

    RobD said:

    Mango said:

    MaxPB said:



    Or it will have no effect like that brexit dramatisation. The liberal left (you) will wank themselves blind and post furiously on twitter about how this will change everything, the rest of the country will roll its collective eyes and get on with life and Starmer will still lose.

    Ha. I'm that part of the liberal left that has given up all hope of anything changing for the better. I guess I have a tiny hope that when the violent change comes (which it inevitably will do, as you lot roll your collective eyes instead of fixing the constitution and the social settlement), it will lead to mass conviction/execution of Tories, the rentier class and the oligarchy, but of course it's far more likely to be fascism...

    Anyway WWIII will kick off before that happens.

    Back to the cricket now.

    Oh, bugger.
    Lol, you're funny.
    Yeah. Hoping for the mass executions of Tories? I think that’s crossing a line.
    He's talking about the danger of a break to extremism unless we wise up.
    Bollocks. It's right there in the post "I have a tiny hope that when the violent change comes, it will lead to mass conviction/execution of Tories"

    Nothing about how that would be a bad thing and should be avoided.
    I didn't read it that way. I read it as a warning that if we carry on like this there will be a slide into fascism or a violent kickback from the left. And given that choice of two evils the latter and lesser would iho be preferable.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,586
    TimT said:

    Just noticed that in the disaster that was the Third Test, Root got a five-for

    Devalued a bit by one of the half dozen worst batting performances ever by England.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,586
    kinabalu said:

    RobD said:

    kinabalu said:

    RobD said:

    Mango said:

    MaxPB said:



    Or it will have no effect like that brexit dramatisation. The liberal left (you) will wank themselves blind and post furiously on twitter about how this will change everything, the rest of the country will roll its collective eyes and get on with life and Starmer will still lose.

    Ha. I'm that part of the liberal left that has given up all hope of anything changing for the better. I guess I have a tiny hope that when the violent change comes (which it inevitably will do, as you lot roll your collective eyes instead of fixing the constitution and the social settlement), it will lead to mass conviction/execution of Tories, the rentier class and the oligarchy, but of course it's far more likely to be fascism...

    Anyway WWIII will kick off before that happens.

    Back to the cricket now.

    Oh, bugger.
    Lol, you're funny.
    Yeah. Hoping for the mass executions of Tories? I think that’s crossing a line.
    He's talking about the danger of a break to extremism unless we wise up.
    Bollocks. It's right there in the post "I have a tiny hope that when the violent change comes, it will lead to mass conviction/execution of Tories"

    Nothing about how that would be a bad thing and should be avoided.
    I didn't read it that way. I read it as a warning that if we carry on like this there will be a slide into fascism or a violent kickback from the left. And given that choice of two evils the latter and lesser would iho be preferable.
    I read it, and Big_G's response, as a good illustration of Poe's law.
  • Options
    Black_RookBlack_Rook Posts: 8,905
    Evening all.

    Was wondering earlier today exactly why it was that hacks had been asking Allegra Stratton about what would happen to Tory MPs who voted down the Budget, to which she of course replied that the whip would be removed. I thought that Budgets were always regarded as a matter of confidence, so why would anyone bother to ask?

    Anyhow, the Torygraph is now reporting ructions over a mooted hike in CGT. Now, what I know about tax accountancy could be summarised on the back of a postage stamp, but I'm guessing that this is something along the lines of bringing the bands into line with those for income tax, which I seem previously to remember reading ought to raise quite a lot of revenue - at the expense, of course, of those rich enough to be paying CGT in the first place.

    Now, I may be missing something obvious here, but I'm not at all sure why the Chancellor WOULDN'T take the opportunity to give the rich a bit of a soaking. He's got to start work on balancing the books some time, most of the affected people are probably rolling in money after having their high incomes bolstered with the abolition of commuting (and can therefore well afford the extra expense,) and the Red Wall will be more than happy to hear those pips squeak if it means more cash for Our Beloved NHS.

    After all, the next election is going to be fought primarily in the Midlands and the North, not down South. And it doesn't much matter if the Tories cause a mild wave of indignation to propagate through the stockbroker belt. It's not as if wealthy voters have anywhere preferable to go.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,586
    Blimey.

    Lady Gaga's dog-walker shot and bulldogs stolen
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-56196226
  • Options
    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,932
    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Pagan2 said:

    DougSeal said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:
    He's right, from my team the requests for remote working are zero so far. Almost all of the responses are 3 or 4 days in office with a few choosing 1 day from home every fortnight and two in the 5 days in office, only one has opted for 3 days WFH and she already did two days WFH before all this started.

    The death of inner cities and offices are overdone and I expect the young, social under 40s will hold onto city life and that will force people back into offices as they will find their career growth stunted by remote working.
    As a contrary anecdote, none of the team I work in want to go back to the office , the exceptions being managers. Indeed my company has let all but the head office leases lapse and the head office is more a paper fiction having a staff of about 8 out of the 200 the company employs
    FOMO tho.

    You'll be sat at home and the keen youngsters will go in. They will have those chance meetings, water cooler moments, important drinks, which can help a business and advance a career in multiple ways. They will have the whole shared office experience which makes a *team mentality* - the jokes and anecdotes and crises and Days to Remember - you won't.

    They will make rapid progress, and be rewarded for their eagerness, the homesters might not.

    This stuff is actually more important in areas beyond the obvious (banking, law, insurance).

    In the creative industries the face to face stuff is absolutely crucial. Brainstorming doesn't work on Zoom. The lunch with that talented actor, dancer, writer, sculptor, agent, editor, singer, flint toy knapper, which tells you if they are any good, cannot happen if everyone is in their kitchen.

    Right now most media/arts companies - publishing, journalism, events, drama, music, are WFH. I expect all of them to come back for nearly all of the week.
    Team drinks have been pretty much a myth in any company I have worked for since 1990. Simple reason being when most finish work they have a 1 to 2 hour commute to go home often by car. Even for big things like the company christmas do it was rare to get more than 50% attendance.
    You've been working for the wrong companies.
    Or maybe I am just one of those people who has a perfectly adequate social life and don't need to socialise with random work colleagues?
    I think the distinction between city dwellers and more suburban people is the biggest difference.

    If you're driving home then after work drinks are not a good option. The overwhelming majority of the country drives home, but those who don't seem to view their choices as the mainstream.

    If you drink and drive you're a bloody idiot.
    You sometimes risk a shandy, though, as I recall. A shandy and then you get behind the wheel.
    Not very often, but yes a single shandy especially over a meal, is well within the limits and not a risk.

    I won't drink more than that though, so I won't have even a single pint.
    Fair enough. A shandy is alcoholic though. Many people consider it a soft drink but it isn't. Depending how it's made it can have quite a kick.
    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Pagan2 said:

    DougSeal said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:
    He's right, from my team the requests for remote working are zero so far. Almost all of the responses are 3 or 4 days in office with a few choosing 1 day from home every fortnight and two in the 5 days in office, only one has opted for 3 days WFH and she already did two days WFH before all this started.

    The death of inner cities and offices are overdone and I expect the young, social under 40s will hold onto city life and that will force people back into offices as they will find their career growth stunted by remote working.
    As a contrary anecdote, none of the team I work in want to go back to the office , the exceptions being managers. Indeed my company has let all but the head office leases lapse and the head office is more a paper fiction having a staff of about 8 out of the 200 the company employs
    FOMO tho.

    You'll be sat at home and the keen youngsters will go in. They will have those chance meetings, water cooler moments, important drinks, which can help a business and advance a career in multiple ways. They will have the whole shared office experience which makes a *team mentality* - the jokes and anecdotes and crises and Days to Remember - you won't.

    They will make rapid progress, and be rewarded for their eagerness, the homesters might not.

    This stuff is actually more important in areas beyond the obvious (banking, law, insurance).

    In the creative industries the face to face stuff is absolutely crucial. Brainstorming doesn't work on Zoom. The lunch with that talented actor, dancer, writer, sculptor, agent, editor, singer, flint toy knapper, which tells you if they are any good, cannot happen if everyone is in their kitchen.

    Right now most media/arts companies - publishing, journalism, events, drama, music, are WFH. I expect all of them to come back for nearly all of the week.
    Team drinks have been pretty much a myth in any company I have worked for since 1990. Simple reason being when most finish work they have a 1 to 2 hour commute to go home often by car. Even for big things like the company christmas do it was rare to get more than 50% attendance.
    You've been working for the wrong companies.
    Or maybe I am just one of those people who has a perfectly adequate social life and don't need to socialise with random work colleagues?
    I think the distinction between city dwellers and more suburban people is the biggest difference.

    If you're driving home then after work drinks are not a good option. The overwhelming majority of the country drives home, but those who don't seem to view their choices as the mainstream.

    If you drink and drive you're a bloody idiot.
    You sometimes risk a shandy, though, as I recall. A shandy and then you get behind the wheel.
    Not very often, but yes a single shandy especially over a meal, is well within the limits and not a risk.

    I won't drink more than that though, so I won't have even a single pint.
    Fair enough. A shandy is alcoholic though. Many people consider it a soft drink but it isn't. Depending how it's made it can have quite a kick.
    It is half a pint of lager with same of lemonade, not enough to make a budgie over the limit.
  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 18,891
    justin124 said:

    Westminster Voting Intention:

    CON: 40% (=)
    LAB: 33% (-4)
    LDM: 11% (+1)
    GRN: 6% (+1)
    RFM: 3% (+1)
    UKIP: 2% (+1)

    Via
    @Kantar_UKI
    , 18-22 Feb.
    Changes w/ 21-25 Jan.

    SKS fans please explain

    DBMIVN (Don't blame me I voted Nandy)

    What has caused the sudden surge in LD support to 11%?
    Ed Davey doesn't try to squeeze three Union Jacks into the background every time he does an interview? It works for me,
  • Options
    CookieCookie Posts: 11,445
    TimT said:

    Just noticed that in the disaster that was the Third Test, Root got a five-for

    And is now - by the measure of batting average minus bowling average, for any player with more than 20 wickets, England's sixth best test all rounder. I think.
  • Options
    Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 8,844
    kinabalu said:

    RobD said:

    kinabalu said:

    RobD said:

    Mango said:

    MaxPB said:



    Or it will have no effect like that brexit dramatisation. The liberal left (you) will wank themselves blind and post furiously on twitter about how this will change everything, the rest of the country will roll its collective eyes and get on with life and Starmer will still lose.

    Ha. I'm that part of the liberal left that has given up all hope of anything changing for the better. I guess I have a tiny hope that when the violent change comes (which it inevitably will do, as you lot roll your collective eyes instead of fixing the constitution and the social settlement), it will lead to mass conviction/execution of Tories, the rentier class and the oligarchy, but of course it's far more likely to be fascism...

    Anyway WWIII will kick off before that happens.

    Back to the cricket now.

    Oh, bugger.
    Lol, you're funny.
    Yeah. Hoping for the mass executions of Tories? I think that’s crossing a line.
    He's talking about the danger of a break to extremism unless we wise up.
    Bollocks. It's right there in the post "I have a tiny hope that when the violent change comes, it will lead to mass conviction/execution of Tories"

    Nothing about how that would be a bad thing and should be avoided.
    I didn't read it that way. I read it as a warning that if we carry on like this there will be a slide into fascism or a violent kickback from the left. And given that choice of two evils the latter and lesser would iho be preferable.
    Given that left wing revolutions have brought an order of magnitude more death and misery than fascism I can only conclude you are as delusional as your ideology
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,964
    kinabalu said:

    RobD said:

    kinabalu said:

    RobD said:

    Mango said:

    MaxPB said:



    Or it will have no effect like that brexit dramatisation. The liberal left (you) will wank themselves blind and post furiously on twitter about how this will change everything, the rest of the country will roll its collective eyes and get on with life and Starmer will still lose.

    Ha. I'm that part of the liberal left that has given up all hope of anything changing for the better. I guess I have a tiny hope that when the violent change comes (which it inevitably will do, as you lot roll your collective eyes instead of fixing the constitution and the social settlement), it will lead to mass conviction/execution of Tories, the rentier class and the oligarchy, but of course it's far more likely to be fascism...

    Anyway WWIII will kick off before that happens.

    Back to the cricket now.

    Oh, bugger.
    Lol, you're funny.
    Yeah. Hoping for the mass executions of Tories? I think that’s crossing a line.
    He's talking about the danger of a break to extremism unless we wise up.
    Bollocks. It's right there in the post "I have a tiny hope that when the violent change comes, it will lead to mass conviction/execution of Tories"

    Nothing about how that would be a bad thing and should be avoided.
    I didn't read it that way. I read it as a warning that if we carry on like this there will be a slide into fascism or a violent kickback from the left. And given that choice of two evils the latter and lesser would iho be preferable.
    I'm not sure how you can read the quote and come to that conclusion. It is pretty explicit, without any discussion of a choice between two evils.
  • Options
    BluestBlueBluestBlue Posts: 4,556
    kinabalu said:

    RobD said:

    kinabalu said:

    RobD said:

    Mango said:

    MaxPB said:



    Or it will have no effect like that brexit dramatisation. The liberal left (you) will wank themselves blind and post furiously on twitter about how this will change everything, the rest of the country will roll its collective eyes and get on with life and Starmer will still lose.

    Ha. I'm that part of the liberal left that has given up all hope of anything changing for the better. I guess I have a tiny hope that when the violent change comes (which it inevitably will do, as you lot roll your collective eyes instead of fixing the constitution and the social settlement), it will lead to mass conviction/execution of Tories, the rentier class and the oligarchy, but of course it's far more likely to be fascism...

    Anyway WWIII will kick off before that happens.

    Back to the cricket now.

    Oh, bugger.
    Lol, you're funny.
    Yeah. Hoping for the mass executions of Tories? I think that’s crossing a line.
    He's talking about the danger of a break to extremism unless we wise up.
    Bollocks. It's right there in the post "I have a tiny hope that when the violent change comes, it will lead to mass conviction/execution of Tories"

    Nothing about how that would be a bad thing and should be avoided.
    I didn't read it that way. I read it as a warning that if we carry on like this there will be a slide into fascism or a violent kickback from the left. And given that choice of two evils the latter and lesser would iho be preferable.
    'Violent kickback from the left', indeed. We'd just use the wrong pronouns on them and they'd flee in terror...
  • Options
    MangoMango Posts: 1,013
    MaxPB said:

    Mango said:



    He is forgetting the main characteristic of violent revolution -

    "But, I *am* loyal to the party..."

    {sound of rifle bolts}....

    Oh, I have no doubt they'd haul my liberal middle class ass off to the Isle of Wight gulag. But it beats waiting for electoral reform, or a free press, or any of that make-your-society-function-fairly nonsense.
    Ah, so a blood and iron revolution will deliver a free press. Pravda editors would agree, I'm sure.
    No, of course not. But the lack of free press might deliver a blood and iron revolution.

    As I said, it's more likely to be fascist than marxist.
  • Options
    ozymandiasozymandias Posts: 1,503
    Coming as I do from the Threads generation this gives me the chills. I can understand Gen Z finding it funny on their Tik Tok but for me the realism of the spoof video sends shivers down my spine.

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9298639/TikTok-users-terrify-parents-believing-UK-nuclear-attack.html
  • Options
    algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 10,534
    Nice Guardian story climate possesses every element to make it a perfect example of the genre:

    It's unprecedented, it hasn't happened yet, we are getting warmer so Athens will all freeze over and be covered in glaciers, and just so happens we are just in time to do something or other to stop it as long as you do it now. (And it's all the fault of people who don't read the Guardian).


    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/feb/25/atlantic-ocean-circulation-at-weakest-in-a-millennium-say-scientists



  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,964
    malcolmg said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Pagan2 said:

    DougSeal said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:
    He's right, from my team the requests for remote working are zero so far. Almost all of the responses are 3 or 4 days in office with a few choosing 1 day from home every fortnight and two in the 5 days in office, only one has opted for 3 days WFH and she already did two days WFH before all this started.

    The death of inner cities and offices are overdone and I expect the young, social under 40s will hold onto city life and that will force people back into offices as they will find their career growth stunted by remote working.
    As a contrary anecdote, none of the team I work in want to go back to the office , the exceptions being managers. Indeed my company has let all but the head office leases lapse and the head office is more a paper fiction having a staff of about 8 out of the 200 the company employs
    FOMO tho.

    You'll be sat at home and the keen youngsters will go in. They will have those chance meetings, water cooler moments, important drinks, which can help a business and advance a career in multiple ways. They will have the whole shared office experience which makes a *team mentality* - the jokes and anecdotes and crises and Days to Remember - you won't.

    They will make rapid progress, and be rewarded for their eagerness, the homesters might not.

    This stuff is actually more important in areas beyond the obvious (banking, law, insurance).

    In the creative industries the face to face stuff is absolutely crucial. Brainstorming doesn't work on Zoom. The lunch with that talented actor, dancer, writer, sculptor, agent, editor, singer, flint toy knapper, which tells you if they are any good, cannot happen if everyone is in their kitchen.

    Right now most media/arts companies - publishing, journalism, events, drama, music, are WFH. I expect all of them to come back for nearly all of the week.
    Team drinks have been pretty much a myth in any company I have worked for since 1990. Simple reason being when most finish work they have a 1 to 2 hour commute to go home often by car. Even for big things like the company christmas do it was rare to get more than 50% attendance.
    You've been working for the wrong companies.
    Or maybe I am just one of those people who has a perfectly adequate social life and don't need to socialise with random work colleagues?
    I think the distinction between city dwellers and more suburban people is the biggest difference.

    If you're driving home then after work drinks are not a good option. The overwhelming majority of the country drives home, but those who don't seem to view their choices as the mainstream.

    If you drink and drive you're a bloody idiot.
    You sometimes risk a shandy, though, as I recall. A shandy and then you get behind the wheel.
    Not very often, but yes a single shandy especially over a meal, is well within the limits and not a risk.

    I won't drink more than that though, so I won't have even a single pint.
    Fair enough. A shandy is alcoholic though. Many people consider it a soft drink but it isn't. Depending how it's made it can have quite a kick.
    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Pagan2 said:

    DougSeal said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:
    He's right, from my team the requests for remote working are zero so far. Almost all of the responses are 3 or 4 days in office with a few choosing 1 day from home every fortnight and two in the 5 days in office, only one has opted for 3 days WFH and she already did two days WFH before all this started.

    The death of inner cities and offices are overdone and I expect the young, social under 40s will hold onto city life and that will force people back into offices as they will find their career growth stunted by remote working.
    As a contrary anecdote, none of the team I work in want to go back to the office , the exceptions being managers. Indeed my company has let all but the head office leases lapse and the head office is more a paper fiction having a staff of about 8 out of the 200 the company employs
    FOMO tho.

    You'll be sat at home and the keen youngsters will go in. They will have those chance meetings, water cooler moments, important drinks, which can help a business and advance a career in multiple ways. They will have the whole shared office experience which makes a *team mentality* - the jokes and anecdotes and crises and Days to Remember - you won't.

    They will make rapid progress, and be rewarded for their eagerness, the homesters might not.

    This stuff is actually more important in areas beyond the obvious (banking, law, insurance).

    In the creative industries the face to face stuff is absolutely crucial. Brainstorming doesn't work on Zoom. The lunch with that talented actor, dancer, writer, sculptor, agent, editor, singer, flint toy knapper, which tells you if they are any good, cannot happen if everyone is in their kitchen.

    Right now most media/arts companies - publishing, journalism, events, drama, music, are WFH. I expect all of them to come back for nearly all of the week.
    Team drinks have been pretty much a myth in any company I have worked for since 1990. Simple reason being when most finish work they have a 1 to 2 hour commute to go home often by car. Even for big things like the company christmas do it was rare to get more than 50% attendance.
    You've been working for the wrong companies.
    Or maybe I am just one of those people who has a perfectly adequate social life and don't need to socialise with random work colleagues?
    I think the distinction between city dwellers and more suburban people is the biggest difference.

    If you're driving home then after work drinks are not a good option. The overwhelming majority of the country drives home, but those who don't seem to view their choices as the mainstream.

    If you drink and drive you're a bloody idiot.
    You sometimes risk a shandy, though, as I recall. A shandy and then you get behind the wheel.
    Not very often, but yes a single shandy especially over a meal, is well within the limits and not a risk.

    I won't drink more than that though, so I won't have even a single pint.
    Fair enough. A shandy is alcoholic though. Many people consider it a soft drink but it isn't. Depending how it's made it can have quite a kick.
    It is half a pint of lager with same of lemonade, not enough to make a budgie over the limit.
    Welcome back, malc. I thought drink driving limits was one area where Scotland diverged from England. Is it zero-tolerance, or just lower?
  • Options
    DougSealDougSeal Posts: 11,138
    Leon said:

    DougSeal said:

    A really important thread on the global drop in cases I have been commenting upon. That drop has slowed, indeed started to reverse, because of the countries (largely in Europe) that have loose restrictions AND little in the way of antibody/T-Cell immunity. You can have either (to an extent) but you can't do neither. In the UK we have the a very strict lockdown and the benefit of an increasing amount of antibodies through vaccination. In South Africa the fall can at least in part be explained by the fact that in Eastern Cape (by way of example) peak antibody levels exceeded 60%. Those will decrease but T-Cell immunity will remain.

    https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1364963301835370497

    https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1364963342129971202

    20,000 cases in Italy today. A sudden leap. A third wave looms
    There's two ways out of this. Let it rip and end up with an outcome like South Africa, reaching some sort of population immunity but with what appears to be an off the scale bad excess death toll this past year, or vaccinate and be like Israel. They need to get on with the latter.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 53,985
    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:
    He's right, from my team the requests for remote working are zero so far. Almost all of the responses are 3 or 4 days in office with a few choosing 1 day from home every fortnight and two in the 5 days in office, only one has opted for 3 days WFH and she already did two days WFH before all this started.

    The death of inner cities and offices are overdone and I expect the young, social under 40s will hold onto city life and that will force people back into offices as they will find their career growth stunted by remote working.
    As a contrary anecdote, none of the team I work in want to go back to the office , the exceptions being managers. Indeed my company has let all but the head office leases lapse and the head office is more a paper fiction having a staff of about 8 out of the 200 the company employs
    FOMO tho.

    You'll be sat at home and the keen youngsters will go in. They will have those chance meetings, water cooler moments, important drinks, which can help a business and advance a career in multiple ways. They will have the whole shared office experience which makes a *team mentality* - the jokes and anecdotes and crises and Days to Remember - you won't.

    They will make rapid progress, and be rewarded for their eagerness, the homesters might not.

    This stuff is actually more important in areas beyond the obvious (banking, law, insurance).

    In the creative industries the face to face stuff is absolutely crucial. Brainstorming doesn't work on Zoom. The lunch with that talented actor, dancer, writer, sculptor, agent, editor, singer, flint toy knapper, which tells you if they are any good, cannot happen if everyone is in their kitchen.

    Right now most media/arts companies - publishing, journalism, events, drama, music, are WFH. I expect all of them to come back for nearly all of the week.
    Team drinks have been pretty much a myth in any company I have worked for since 1990. Simple reason being when most finish work they have a 1 to 2 hour commute to go home often by car. Even for big things like the company christmas do it was rare to get more than 50% attendance.
    Fair enough. All I know is that central London pubs - esp in the City, Soho, Mayfair, the Wharf - were, generally, absolutely rammed after about 6pm pre-Covid. And not with tourists.
    London = no need to drive.

    Once you get outside London (and other cities) the idea of going for drinks after work falls apart very rapidly
    But Pagan2 talks of a 1-2 hour commute, generally by car. The only city big enough and rich enough to justify a 2 hour commute (in the UK) is London.

    Are there people commuting for 2 hours to get to Bristol?! Manc? Edinburgh? Why?? The nice villages begin - max - 30 minutes from the centre...
    That is just your londophilia talks personally you couldn't pay me enough to work there. Plus these nice villages you talk of are expensive to live in and those earning less get pushed out further.

    In addition as its quite common to change jobs these days most people still don't want to move every few years so for example since the 90's I have worked in epsom,slough,reading,wantage,aylesbury,swindon all without moving many of those were over an hour away
    If you're driving four hours a day to work anywhere you should move house, or change job. That is inhuman.

    Relatedly, right now I am suffering from insomnia (not sure if it is plague-related). So I spent nearly all of last night awake and reading Why We Sleep, a brilliant explanation of the latest sleep science

    https://www.amazon.co.uk/Why-We-Sleep-Science-Dreams/dp/0141983760

    It argues, most convincingly, that much of the western world is chronically sleep deprived, because of the pressures of work and commuting (as you illustrate). This in turn has caused, in part, the explosion in Alzheimer's, obesity, drug abuse, depression, and so on.

    The science on exactly how important good sleep is, to us, is fascinating, and hugely persuasive. eg I had no idea that every animal that has ever been closely studied has been found to sleep: in some form.

    eg it is commonly thought that sharks don't sleep, because they never close their eyes. Not true, they sleep like all animals, they just don't have eyelids.

    Birds sleep as they fly. Insects take a nap. Sleep is a fundamental part of all life. Get More Kip.
    Margaret Thatcher.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,964
    Roger said:

    justin124 said:

    Westminster Voting Intention:

    CON: 40% (=)
    LAB: 33% (-4)
    LDM: 11% (+1)
    GRN: 6% (+1)
    RFM: 3% (+1)
    UKIP: 2% (+1)

    Via
    @Kantar_UKI
    , 18-22 Feb.
    Changes w/ 21-25 Jan.

    SKS fans please explain

    DBMIVN (Don't blame me I voted Nandy)

    What has caused the sudden surge in LD support to 11%?
    Ed Davey doesn't try to squeeze three Union Jacks into the background every time he does an interview? It works for me,
    These sorts of scenes must sicken you:

    https://www.dw.com/en/eu-leaders-clash-over-hungary-and-poland-budget-veto/a-55664684
  • Options
    TimTTimT Posts: 6,328

    Coming as I do from the Threads generation this gives me the chills. I can understand Gen Z finding it funny on their Tik Tok but for me the realism of the spoof video sends shivers down my spine.

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9298639/TikTok-users-terrify-parents-believing-UK-nuclear-attack.html

    This sort of prank always strikes me as simply mean, rather than funny.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,586
  • Options
    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,610
    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:
    He's right, from my team the requests for remote working are zero so far. Almost all of the responses are 3 or 4 days in office with a few choosing 1 day from home every fortnight and two in the 5 days in office, only one has opted for 3 days WFH and she already did two days WFH before all this started.

    The death of inner cities and offices are overdone and I expect the young, social under 40s will hold onto city life and that will force people back into offices as they will find their career growth stunted by remote working.
    As a contrary anecdote, none of the team I work in want to go back to the office , the exceptions being managers. Indeed my company has let all but the head office leases lapse and the head office is more a paper fiction having a staff of about 8 out of the 200 the company employs
    FOMO tho.

    You'll be sat at home and the keen youngsters will go in. They will have those chance meetings, water cooler moments, important drinks, which can help a business and advance a career in multiple ways. They will have the whole shared office experience which makes a *team mentality* - the jokes and anecdotes and crises and Days to Remember - you won't.

    They will make rapid progress, and be rewarded for their eagerness, the homesters might not.

    This stuff is actually more important in areas beyond the obvious (banking, law, insurance).

    In the creative industries the face to face stuff is absolutely crucial. Brainstorming doesn't work on Zoom. The lunch with that talented actor, dancer, writer, sculptor, agent, editor, singer, flint toy knapper, which tells you if they are any good, cannot happen if everyone is in their kitchen.

    Right now most media/arts companies - publishing, journalism, events, drama, music, are WFH. I expect all of them to come back for nearly all of the week.
    Team drinks have been pretty much a myth in any company I have worked for since 1990. Simple reason being when most finish work they have a 1 to 2 hour commute to go home often by car. Even for big things like the company christmas do it was rare to get more than 50% attendance.
    Fair enough. All I know is that central London pubs - esp in the City, Soho, Mayfair, the Wharf - were, generally, absolutely rammed after about 6pm pre-Covid. And not with tourists.
    London = no need to drive.

    Once you get outside London (and other cities) the idea of going for drinks after work falls apart very rapidly
    But Pagan2 talks of a 1-2 hour commute, generally by car. The only city big enough and rich enough to justify a 2 hour commute (in the UK) is London.

    Are there people commuting for 2 hours to get to Bristol?! Manc? Edinburgh? Why?? The nice villages begin - max - 30 minutes from the centre...
    That is just your londophilia talks personally you couldn't pay me enough to work there. Plus these nice villages you talk of are expensive to live in and those earning less get pushed out further.

    In addition as its quite common to change jobs these days most people still don't want to move every few years so for example since the 90's I have worked in epsom,slough,reading,wantage,aylesbury,swindon all without moving many of those were over an hour away
    If you're driving four hours a day to work anywhere you should move house, or change job. That is inhuman.

    Relatedly, right now I am suffering from insomnia (not sure if it is plague-related). So I spent nearly all of last night awake and reading Why We Sleep, a brilliant explanation of the latest sleep science

    https://www.amazon.co.uk/Why-We-Sleep-Science-Dreams/dp/0141983760

    It argues, most convincingly, that much of the western world is chronically sleep deprived, because of the pressures of work and commuting (as you illustrate). This in turn has caused, in part, the explosion in Alzheimer's, obesity, drug abuse, depression, and so on.

    The science on exactly how important good sleep is, to us, is fascinating, and hugely persuasive. eg I had no idea that every animal that has ever been closely studied has been found to sleep: in some form.

    eg it is commonly thought that sharks don't sleep, because they never close their eyes. Not true, they sleep like all animals, they just don't have eyelids.

    Birds sleep as they fly. Insects take a nap. Sleep is a fundamental part of all life. Get More Kip.
    Margaret Thatcher.
    Alzheimers...
  • Options
    Black_RookBlack_Rook Posts: 8,905
    Leon said:

    DougSeal said:

    A really important thread on the global drop in cases I have been commenting upon. That drop has slowed, indeed started to reverse, because of the countries (largely in Europe) that have loose restrictions AND little in the way of antibody/T-Cell immunity. You can have either (to an extent) but you can't do neither. In the UK we have the a very strict lockdown and the benefit of an increasing amount of antibodies through vaccination. In South Africa the fall can at least in part be explained by the fact that in Eastern Cape (by way of example) peak antibody levels exceeded 60%. Those will decrease but T-Cell immunity will remain.

    https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1364963301835370497

    https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1364963342129971202

    20,000 cases in Italy today. A sudden leap. A third wave looms
    Third wave alerts in much of Europe, it would seem. Read earlier today that Finland is entering a third lockdown starting March 8th (though it's intended to be short - 3 weeks - and not particularly strict, so what both it and the preceding delay are meant to achieve I don't know. AIUI they've handled the whole thing comparatively well so I guess one has to assume that they know what they're doing.)

    The French are also doing a re-enactment of our Tier system from last Autumn, with various regions stumbling backwards into lockdown. It'll probably end up a bit like that moment when the whole of England was in lockdown except for Cornwall, so it wasn't really a national lockdown, oh no (with Corsica perhaps playing the role of Cornwall in the French version of the pantomime.)

    And they'll end up in lockdown at the end of it anyway. And they'll still struggle to find anyone willing to take the Oxford vaccine. And if they're not desperately careful then they'll still be in lockdown when the Reading Festival kicks off.

    Poor Emmanuel.
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,147
    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:
    He's right, from my team the requests for remote working are zero so far. Almost all of the responses are 3 or 4 days in office with a few choosing 1 day from home every fortnight and two in the 5 days in office, only one has opted for 3 days WFH and she already did two days WFH before all this started.

    The death of inner cities and offices are overdone and I expect the young, social under 40s will hold onto city life and that will force people back into offices as they will find their career growth stunted by remote working.
    As a contrary anecdote, none of the team I work in want to go back to the office , the exceptions being managers. Indeed my company has let all but the head office leases lapse and the head office is more a paper fiction having a staff of about 8 out of the 200 the company employs
    FOMO tho.

    You'll be sat at home and the keen youngsters will go in. They will have those chance meetings, water cooler moments, important drinks, which can help a business and advance a career in multiple ways. They will have the whole shared office experience which makes a *team mentality* - the jokes and anecdotes and crises and Days to Remember - you won't.

    They will make rapid progress, and be rewarded for their eagerness, the homesters might not.

    This stuff is actually more important in areas beyond the obvious (banking, law, insurance).

    In the creative industries the face to face stuff is absolutely crucial. Brainstorming doesn't work on Zoom. The lunch with that talented actor, dancer, writer, sculptor, agent, editor, singer, flint toy knapper, which tells you if they are any good, cannot happen if everyone is in their kitchen.

    Right now most media/arts companies - publishing, journalism, events, drama, music, are WFH. I expect all of them to come back for nearly all of the week.
    Team drinks have been pretty much a myth in any company I have worked for since 1990. Simple reason being when most finish work they have a 1 to 2 hour commute to go home often by car. Even for big things like the company christmas do it was rare to get more than 50% attendance.
    Fair enough. All I know is that central London pubs - esp in the City, Soho, Mayfair, the Wharf - were, generally, absolutely rammed after about 6pm pre-Covid. And not with tourists.
    London = no need to drive.

    Once you get outside London (and other cities) the idea of going for drinks after work falls apart very rapidly
    But Pagan2 talks of a 1-2 hour commute, generally by car. The only city big enough and rich enough to justify a 2 hour commute (in the UK) is London.

    Are there people commuting for 2 hours to get to Bristol?! Manc? Edinburgh? Why?? The nice villages begin - max - 30 minutes from the centre...
    That is just your londophilia talks personally you couldn't pay me enough to work there. Plus these nice villages you talk of are expensive to live in and those earning less get pushed out further.

    In addition as its quite common to change jobs these days most people still don't want to move every few years so for example since the 90's I have worked in epsom,slough,reading,wantage,aylesbury,swindon all without moving many of those were over an hour away
    If you're driving four hours a day to work anywhere you should move house, or change job. That is inhuman.

    Relatedly, right now I am suffering from insomnia (not sure if it is plague-related). So I spent nearly all of last night awake and reading Why We Sleep, a brilliant explanation of the latest sleep science

    https://www.amazon.co.uk/Why-We-Sleep-Science-Dreams/dp/0141983760

    It argues, most convincingly, that much of the western world is chronically sleep deprived, because of the pressures of work and commuting (as you illustrate). This in turn has caused, in part, the explosion in Alzheimer's, obesity, drug abuse, depression, and so on.

    The science on exactly how important good sleep is, to us, is fascinating, and hugely persuasive. eg I had no idea that every animal that has ever been closely studied has been found to sleep: in some form.

    eg it is commonly thought that sharks don't sleep, because they never close their eyes. Not true, they sleep like all animals, they just don't have eyelids.

    Birds sleep as they fly. Insects take a nap. Sleep is a fundamental part of all life. Get More Kip.
    Margaret Thatcher.
    Died with dementia, after claiming she lived on five hours kip a night. Ditto Ronald Reagan, he made a very similar claim, and died with dementia.

    And you know who else boasts of his meagre need for sleep?

    The Donald.

    The book is brilliant. I highly recommend.
  • Options
    Black_RookBlack_Rook Posts: 8,905
    Roger said:

    justin124 said:

    Westminster Voting Intention:

    CON: 40% (=)
    LAB: 33% (-4)
    LDM: 11% (+1)
    GRN: 6% (+1)
    RFM: 3% (+1)
    UKIP: 2% (+1)

    Via
    @Kantar_UKI
    , 18-22 Feb.
    Changes w/ 21-25 Jan.

    SKS fans please explain

    DBMIVN (Don't blame me I voted Nandy)

    What has caused the sudden surge in LD support to 11%?
    Ed Davey doesn't try to squeeze three Union Jacks into the background every time he does an interview? It works for me,
    Who would bother to interview Ed Davey?
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,147
    DougSeal said:

    Leon said:

    DougSeal said:

    A really important thread on the global drop in cases I have been commenting upon. That drop has slowed, indeed started to reverse, because of the countries (largely in Europe) that have loose restrictions AND little in the way of antibody/T-Cell immunity. You can have either (to an extent) but you can't do neither. In the UK we have the a very strict lockdown and the benefit of an increasing amount of antibodies through vaccination. In South Africa the fall can at least in part be explained by the fact that in Eastern Cape (by way of example) peak antibody levels exceeded 60%. Those will decrease but T-Cell immunity will remain.

    https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1364963301835370497

    https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1364963342129971202

    20,000 cases in Italy today. A sudden leap. A third wave looms
    There's two ways out of this. Let it rip and end up with an outcome like South Africa, reaching some sort of population immunity but with what appears to be an off the scale bad excess death toll this past year, or vaccinate and be like Israel. They need to get on with the latter.
    Does SA even have immunity?

    They thought the same of Manaus, yet the plague still rocks along there. The other risk of letting it rip is: more mutations
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,586
    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:
    He's right, from my team the requests for remote working are zero so far. Almost all of the responses are 3 or 4 days in office with a few choosing 1 day from home every fortnight and two in the 5 days in office, only one has opted for 3 days WFH and she already did two days WFH before all this started.

    The death of inner cities and offices are overdone and I expect the young, social under 40s will hold onto city life and that will force people back into offices as they will find their career growth stunted by remote working.
    As a contrary anecdote, none of the team I work in want to go back to the office , the exceptions being managers. Indeed my company has let all but the head office leases lapse and the head office is more a paper fiction having a staff of about 8 out of the 200 the company employs
    FOMO tho.

    You'll be sat at home and the keen youngsters will go in. They will have those chance meetings, water cooler moments, important drinks, which can help a business and advance a career in multiple ways. They will have the whole shared office experience which makes a *team mentality* - the jokes and anecdotes and crises and Days to Remember - you won't.

    They will make rapid progress, and be rewarded for their eagerness, the homesters might not.

    This stuff is actually more important in areas beyond the obvious (banking, law, insurance).

    In the creative industries the face to face stuff is absolutely crucial. Brainstorming doesn't work on Zoom. The lunch with that talented actor, dancer, writer, sculptor, agent, editor, singer, flint toy knapper, which tells you if they are any good, cannot happen if everyone is in their kitchen.

    Right now most media/arts companies - publishing, journalism, events, drama, music, are WFH. I expect all of them to come back for nearly all of the week.
    Team drinks have been pretty much a myth in any company I have worked for since 1990. Simple reason being when most finish work they have a 1 to 2 hour commute to go home often by car. Even for big things like the company christmas do it was rare to get more than 50% attendance.
    Fair enough. All I know is that central London pubs - esp in the City, Soho, Mayfair, the Wharf - were, generally, absolutely rammed after about 6pm pre-Covid. And not with tourists.
    London = no need to drive.

    Once you get outside London (and other cities) the idea of going for drinks after work falls apart very rapidly
    But Pagan2 talks of a 1-2 hour commute, generally by car. The only city big enough and rich enough to justify a 2 hour commute (in the UK) is London.

    Are there people commuting for 2 hours to get to Bristol?! Manc? Edinburgh? Why?? The nice villages begin - max - 30 minutes from the centre...
    That is just your londophilia talks personally you couldn't pay me enough to work there. Plus these nice villages you talk of are expensive to live in and those earning less get pushed out further.

    In addition as its quite common to change jobs these days most people still don't want to move every few years so for example since the 90's I have worked in epsom,slough,reading,wantage,aylesbury,swindon all without moving many of those were over an hour away
    If you're driving four hours a day to work anywhere you should move house, or change job. That is inhuman.

    Relatedly, right now I am suffering from insomnia (not sure if it is plague-related). So I spent nearly all of last night awake and reading Why We Sleep, a brilliant explanation of the latest sleep science

    https://www.amazon.co.uk/Why-We-Sleep-Science-Dreams/dp/0141983760

    It argues, most convincingly, that much of the western world is chronically sleep deprived, because of the pressures of work and commuting (as you illustrate). This in turn has caused, in part, the explosion in Alzheimer's, obesity, drug abuse, depression, and so on.

    The science on exactly how important good sleep is, to us, is fascinating, and hugely persuasive. eg I had no idea that every animal that has ever been closely studied has been found to sleep: in some form.

    eg it is commonly thought that sharks don't sleep, because they never close their eyes. Not true, they sleep like all animals, they just don't have eyelids.

    Birds sleep as they fly. Insects take a nap. Sleep is a fundamental part of all life. Get More Kip.
    Margaret Thatcher.
    Died with dementia, after claiming she lived on five hours kip a night. Ditto Ronald Reagan, he made a very similar claim, and died with dementia.

    And you know who else boasts of his meagre need for sleep?

    The Donald.

    The book is brilliant. I highly recommend.
    I expect your follow up comments at 2am.

    (But you're correct, for once.)
  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 18,891
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    TOPPING said:

    Leon said:

    Andy_JS said:

    O/T

    This year is peak population year for Germany according to this page.

    https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/DEU/germany/population-growth-rate

    Could be the same for the UK. We've lost 500,000 overseas residents, at least, thanks to Covid. Are they coming back?

    And the birth rate might be crushed by the virus - as it has been in Italy.
    Isn't that because couples/husbands & wives now hate each other after living together 24x7 for the past year?
    That is, indeed, one of the theories. A few couples I know suggest it might be right
    I am in the fortunate position where my wife has gone to look after a house that some friends have been unable to visit since before Christmas. Alone, she is writing there and bringing it back to life for when they can return.

    We have been together 28 years and had lengthy periods during that when we have spent weeks, even months at a time apart with work. This past year we have not spent a night apart. We have survived it surprisingly well, but man alive am I enjoying a few days when I can do exactly as I like, when I like. This is what "normal" was - and I really like it!
    Yes.

    A happily married friend of mine (in his 40s) was going slowly insane, locked in a two bed flat with his wife and teen daughter, 24/7. Wife lost her job early on in the Rona, so was at home all the time, for the first time ever, he is a freelancer so works from home anyway.

    He was inches from divorce... when she at last got a new job, meaning she's out of the house most of the day, 5 days a week. Marriage saved. But it was close
    What a dull ending. I thought at least after finding a job she'd find a new partner. I remember when we had thriller writers on this board. Can we persuade Daisy Buchanan to post?
  • Options
    DougSealDougSeal Posts: 11,138
    Leon said:

    DougSeal said:

    Leon said:

    DougSeal said:

    A really important thread on the global drop in cases I have been commenting upon. That drop has slowed, indeed started to reverse, because of the countries (largely in Europe) that have loose restrictions AND little in the way of antibody/T-Cell immunity. You can have either (to an extent) but you can't do neither. In the UK we have the a very strict lockdown and the benefit of an increasing amount of antibodies through vaccination. In South Africa the fall can at least in part be explained by the fact that in Eastern Cape (by way of example) peak antibody levels exceeded 60%. Those will decrease but T-Cell immunity will remain.

    https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1364963301835370497

    https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1364963342129971202

    20,000 cases in Italy today. A sudden leap. A third wave looms
    There's two ways out of this. Let it rip and end up with an outcome like South Africa, reaching some sort of population immunity but with what appears to be an off the scale bad excess death toll this past year, or vaccinate and be like Israel. They need to get on with the latter.
    Does SA even have immunity?

    They thought the same of Manaus, yet the plague still rocks along there. The other risk of letting it rip is: more mutations
    It appears that Manaus was nowhere near herd immunity. Dodgy study.

    https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1364963342129971202
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,231
    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:
    He's right, from my team the requests for remote working are zero so far. Almost all of the responses are 3 or 4 days in office with a few choosing 1 day from home every fortnight and two in the 5 days in office, only one has opted for 3 days WFH and she already did two days WFH before all this started.

    The death of inner cities and offices are overdone and I expect the young, social under 40s will hold onto city life and that will force people back into offices as they will find their career growth stunted by remote working.
    As a contrary anecdote, none of the team I work in want to go back to the office , the exceptions being managers. Indeed my company has let all but the head office leases lapse and the head office is more a paper fiction having a staff of about 8 out of the 200 the company employs
    FOMO tho.

    You'll be sat at home and the keen youngsters will go in. They will have those chance meetings, water cooler moments, important drinks, which can help a business and advance a career in multiple ways. They will have the whole shared office experience which makes a *team mentality* - the jokes and anecdotes and crises and Days to Remember - you won't.

    They will make rapid progress, and be rewarded for their eagerness, the homesters might not.

    This stuff is actually more important in areas beyond the obvious (banking, law, insurance).

    In the creative industries the face to face stuff is absolutely crucial. Brainstorming doesn't work on Zoom. The lunch with that talented actor, dancer, writer, sculptor, agent, editor, singer, flint toy knapper, which tells you if they are any good, cannot happen if everyone is in their kitchen.

    Right now most media/arts companies - publishing, journalism, events, drama, music, are WFH. I expect all of them to come back for nearly all of the week.
    Team drinks have been pretty much a myth in any company I have worked for since 1990. Simple reason being when most finish work they have a 1 to 2 hour commute to go home often by car. Even for big things like the company christmas do it was rare to get more than 50% attendance.
    Fair enough. All I know is that central London pubs - esp in the City, Soho, Mayfair, the Wharf - were, generally, absolutely rammed after about 6pm pre-Covid. And not with tourists.
    London = no need to drive.

    Once you get outside London (and other cities) the idea of going for drinks after work falls apart very rapidly
    But Pagan2 talks of a 1-2 hour commute, generally by car. The only city big enough and rich enough to justify a 2 hour commute (in the UK) is London.

    Are there people commuting for 2 hours to get to Bristol?! Manc? Edinburgh? Why?? The nice villages begin - max - 30 minutes from the centre...
    That is just your londophilia talks personally you couldn't pay me enough to work there. Plus these nice villages you talk of are expensive to live in and those earning less get pushed out further.

    In addition as its quite common to change jobs these days most people still don't want to move every few years so for example since the 90's I have worked in epsom,slough,reading,wantage,aylesbury,swindon all without moving many of those were over an hour away
    If you're driving four hours a day to work anywhere you should move house, or change job. That is inhuman.

    Relatedly, right now I am suffering from insomnia (not sure if it is plague-related). So I spent nearly all of last night awake and reading Why We Sleep, a brilliant explanation of the latest sleep science

    https://www.amazon.co.uk/Why-We-Sleep-Science-Dreams/dp/0141983760

    It argues, most convincingly, that much of the western world is chronically sleep deprived, because of the pressures of work and commuting (as you illustrate). This in turn has caused, in part, the explosion in Alzheimer's, obesity, drug abuse, depression, and so on.

    The science on exactly how important good sleep is, to us, is fascinating, and hugely persuasive. eg I had no idea that every animal that has ever been closely studied has been found to sleep: in some form.

    eg it is commonly thought that sharks don't sleep, because they never close their eyes. Not true, they sleep like all animals, they just don't have eyelids.

    Birds sleep as they fly. Insects take a nap. Sleep is a fundamental part of all life. Get More Kip.
    Margaret Thatcher.
    Died with dementia, after claiming she lived on five hours kip a night. Ditto Ronald Reagan, he made a very similar claim, and died with dementia.

    And you know who else boasts of his meagre need for sleep?

    The Donald.
    Would anyone actually notice if he developed dementia?
  • Options
    DougSealDougSeal Posts: 11,138
    Leon said:

    DougSeal said:

    Leon said:

    DougSeal said:

    A really important thread on the global drop in cases I have been commenting upon. That drop has slowed, indeed started to reverse, because of the countries (largely in Europe) that have loose restrictions AND little in the way of antibody/T-Cell immunity. You can have either (to an extent) but you can't do neither. In the UK we have the a very strict lockdown and the benefit of an increasing amount of antibodies through vaccination. In South Africa the fall can at least in part be explained by the fact that in Eastern Cape (by way of example) peak antibody levels exceeded 60%. Those will decrease but T-Cell immunity will remain.

    https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1364963301835370497

    https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1364963342129971202

    20,000 cases in Italy today. A sudden leap. A third wave looms
    There's two ways out of this. Let it rip and end up with an outcome like South Africa, reaching some sort of population immunity but with what appears to be an off the scale bad excess death toll this past year, or vaccinate and be like Israel. They need to get on with the latter.
    Does SA even have immunity?

    They thought the same of Manaus, yet the plague still rocks along there. The other risk of letting it rip is: more mutations
    And have a look at that antibody (not even including T-Cell immunity) prevalence in Eastern Cape

    https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1364963313042546690
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607
    Mango said:

    MaxPB said:

    Mango said:



    He is forgetting the main characteristic of violent revolution -

    "But, I *am* loyal to the party..."

    {sound of rifle bolts}....

    Oh, I have no doubt they'd haul my liberal middle class ass off to the Isle of Wight gulag. But it beats waiting for electoral reform, or a free press, or any of that make-your-society-function-fairly nonsense.
    Ah, so a blood and iron revolution will deliver a free press. Pravda editors would agree, I'm sure.
    No, of course not. But the lack of free press might deliver a blood and iron revolution.

    As I said, it's more likely to be fascist than marxist.
    Ok, I'll bite because I'm bored. You're saying that the press isn't free in the UK?
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 53,985

    I think there is a simple explanation as to why the College's wine cellar might be exhausted.
    Skiiers?
  • Options
    FishingFishing Posts: 4,561
    edited February 2021
    RobD said:

    Fishing said:

    Westminster Voting Intention:

    CON: 40% (=)
    LAB: 33% (-4)
    LDM: 11% (+1)
    GRN: 6% (+1)
    RFM: 3% (+1)
    UKIP: 2% (+1)

    Via
    @Kantar_UKI
    , 18-22 Feb.
    Changes w/ 21-25 Jan.

    SKS fans please explain

    DBMIVN (Don't blame me I voted Nandy)

    Baxtered, just for fun, gives Con Maj 20 on current boundaries, 48 on 2018 proposed boundaries.

    The former I'd say is barely a working majority, despite the SFers not bothering to represent their constituents. The latter is obviously a comfortable one, especially as it's in a Parliament of 600 seats.
    I thought the reduction to 600 was shelved?
    Yes, but there's no more recent redistribution on the site.
  • Options
    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,610
    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:
    He's right, from my team the requests for remote working are zero so far. Almost all of the responses are 3 or 4 days in office with a few choosing 1 day from home every fortnight and two in the 5 days in office, only one has opted for 3 days WFH and she already did two days WFH before all this started.

    The death of inner cities and offices are overdone and I expect the young, social under 40s will hold onto city life and that will force people back into offices as they will find their career growth stunted by remote working.
    As a contrary anecdote, none of the team I work in want to go back to the office , the exceptions being managers. Indeed my company has let all but the head office leases lapse and the head office is more a paper fiction having a staff of about 8 out of the 200 the company employs
    FOMO tho.

    You'll be sat at home and the keen youngsters will go in. They will have those chance meetings, water cooler moments, important drinks, which can help a business and advance a career in multiple ways. They will have the whole shared office experience which makes a *team mentality* - the jokes and anecdotes and crises and Days to Remember - you won't.

    They will make rapid progress, and be rewarded for their eagerness, the homesters might not.

    This stuff is actually more important in areas beyond the obvious (banking, law, insurance).

    In the creative industries the face to face stuff is absolutely crucial. Brainstorming doesn't work on Zoom. The lunch with that talented actor, dancer, writer, sculptor, agent, editor, singer, flint toy knapper, which tells you if they are any good, cannot happen if everyone is in their kitchen.

    Right now most media/arts companies - publishing, journalism, events, drama, music, are WFH. I expect all of them to come back for nearly all of the week.
    Team drinks have been pretty much a myth in any company I have worked for since 1990. Simple reason being when most finish work they have a 1 to 2 hour commute to go home often by car. Even for big things like the company christmas do it was rare to get more than 50% attendance.
    Fair enough. All I know is that central London pubs - esp in the City, Soho, Mayfair, the Wharf - were, generally, absolutely rammed after about 6pm pre-Covid. And not with tourists.
    London = no need to drive.

    Once you get outside London (and other cities) the idea of going for drinks after work falls apart very rapidly
    But Pagan2 talks of a 1-2 hour commute, generally by car. The only city big enough and rich enough to justify a 2 hour commute (in the UK) is London.

    Are there people commuting for 2 hours to get to Bristol?! Manc? Edinburgh? Why?? The nice villages begin - max - 30 minutes from the centre...
    That is just your londophilia talks personally you couldn't pay me enough to work there. Plus these nice villages you talk of are expensive to live in and those earning less get pushed out further.

    In addition as its quite common to change jobs these days most people still don't want to move every few years so for example since the 90's I have worked in epsom,slough,reading,wantage,aylesbury,swindon all without moving many of those were over an hour away
    If you're driving four hours a day to work anywhere you should move house, or change job. That is inhuman.

    Relatedly, right now I am suffering from insomnia (not sure if it is plague-related). So I spent nearly all of last night awake and reading Why We Sleep, a brilliant explanation of the latest sleep science

    https://www.amazon.co.uk/Why-We-Sleep-Science-Dreams/dp/0141983760

    It argues, most convincingly, that much of the western world is chronically sleep deprived, because of the pressures of work and commuting (as you illustrate). This in turn has caused, in part, the explosion in Alzheimer's, obesity, drug abuse, depression, and so on.

    The science on exactly how important good sleep is, to us, is fascinating, and hugely persuasive. eg I had no idea that every animal that has ever been closely studied has been found to sleep: in some form.

    eg it is commonly thought that sharks don't sleep, because they never close their eyes. Not true, they sleep like all animals, they just don't have eyelids.

    Birds sleep as they fly. Insects take a nap. Sleep is a fundamental part of all life. Get More Kip.
    Margaret Thatcher.
    Died with dementia, after claiming she lived on five hours kip a night. Ditto Ronald Reagan, he made a very similar claim, and died with dementia.

    And you know who else boasts of his meagre need for sleep?

    The Donald.

    The book is brilliant. I highly recommend.
    Though for a critique of the evidence for what is claimed:

    https://guzey.com/books/why-we-sleep/

  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,231
    MaxPB said:

    Mango said:

    MaxPB said:

    Mango said:



    He is forgetting the main characteristic of violent revolution -

    "But, I *am* loyal to the party..."

    {sound of rifle bolts}....

    Oh, I have no doubt they'd haul my liberal middle class ass off to the Isle of Wight gulag. But it beats waiting for electoral reform, or a free press, or any of that make-your-society-function-fairly nonsense.
    Ah, so a blood and iron revolution will deliver a free press. Pravda editors would agree, I'm sure.
    No, of course not. But the lack of free press might deliver a blood and iron revolution.

    As I said, it's more likely to be fascist than marxist.
    Ok, I'll bite because I'm bored. You're saying that the press isn't free in the UK?
    Only if you have the software to break through their paywalls.

    Boom boom.
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,147

    Leon said:

    DougSeal said:

    A really important thread on the global drop in cases I have been commenting upon. That drop has slowed, indeed started to reverse, because of the countries (largely in Europe) that have loose restrictions AND little in the way of antibody/T-Cell immunity. You can have either (to an extent) but you can't do neither. In the UK we have the a very strict lockdown and the benefit of an increasing amount of antibodies through vaccination. In South Africa the fall can at least in part be explained by the fact that in Eastern Cape (by way of example) peak antibody levels exceeded 60%. Those will decrease but T-Cell immunity will remain.

    https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1364963301835370497

    https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1364963342129971202

    20,000 cases in Italy today. A sudden leap. A third wave looms
    Third wave alerts in much of Europe, it would seem. Read earlier today that Finland is entering a third lockdown starting March 8th (though it's intended to be short - 3 weeks - and not particularly strict, so what both it and the preceding delay are meant to achieve I don't know. AIUI they've handled the whole thing comparatively well so I guess one has to assume that they know what they're doing.)

    The French are also doing a re-enactment of our Tier system from last Autumn, with various regions stumbling backwards into lockdown. It'll probably end up a bit like that moment when the whole of England was in lockdown except for Cornwall, so it wasn't really a national lockdown, oh no (with Corsica perhaps playing the role of Cornwall in the French version of the pantomime.)

    And they'll end up in lockdown at the end of it anyway. And they'll still struggle to find anyone willing to take the Oxford vaccine. And if they're not desperately careful then they'll still be in lockdown when the Reading Festival kicks off.

    Poor Emmanuel.
    They've all got Kentish Covid.
  • Options
    MangoMango Posts: 1,013
    MaxPB said:



    Ok, I'll bite because I'm bored. You're saying that the press isn't free in the UK?

    I wouldn't go quite that far.

    But I would say that the interaction between the media and our political system is more reminiscent of an oligarchy than a robust and truly free democracy.
  • Options
    MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 25,173

    Westminster Voting Intention:

    CON: 40% (=)
    LAB: 33% (-4)
    LDM: 11% (+1)
    GRN: 6% (+1)
    RFM: 3% (+1)
    UKIP: 2% (+1)

    Via
    @Kantar_UKI
    , 18-22 Feb.
    Changes w/ 21-25 Jan.

    SKS fans please explain

    DBMIVN (Don't blame me I voted Nandy)

    You are becoming as tiresome as the Boris rampers, picking and choosing your polls. I don't recall you commenting on yesterday's 2 point margin "outlier".
  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 18,891
    RobD said:

    Roger said:

    justin124 said:

    Westminster Voting Intention:

    CON: 40% (=)
    LAB: 33% (-4)
    LDM: 11% (+1)
    GRN: 6% (+1)
    RFM: 3% (+1)
    UKIP: 2% (+1)

    Via
    @Kantar_UKI
    , 18-22 Feb.
    Changes w/ 21-25 Jan.

    SKS fans please explain

    DBMIVN (Don't blame me I voted Nandy)

    What has caused the sudden surge in LD support to 11%?
    Ed Davey doesn't try to squeeze three Union Jacks into the background every time he does an interview? It works for me,
    These sorts of scenes must sicken you:

    https://www.dw.com/en/eu-leaders-clash-over-hungary-and-poland-budget-veto/a-55664684
    You inadvertently make a good point. SKS should model hiimself on Merkel not on these tinsel and glitter poseurs. He's looking for an identity. Who in the world commands more respect than Angela?
  • Options
    CookieCookie Posts: 11,445
    Mango said:

    MaxPB said:



    Ok, I'll bite because I'm bored. You're saying that the press isn't free in the UK?

    I wouldn't go quite that far.

    But I would say that the interaction between the media and our political system is more reminiscent of an oligarchy than a robust and truly free democracy.
    Yes, in a proper democracy the state broadcaster would be far less all-encompassing.
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,147
    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:
    He's right, from my team the requests for remote working are zero so far. Almost all of the responses are 3 or 4 days in office with a few choosing 1 day from home every fortnight and two in the 5 days in office, only one has opted for 3 days WFH and she already did two days WFH before all this started.

    The death of inner cities and offices are overdone and I expect the young, social under 40s will hold onto city life and that will force people back into offices as they will find their career growth stunted by remote working.
    As a contrary anecdote, none of the team I work in want to go back to the office , the exceptions being managers. Indeed my company has let all but the head office leases lapse and the head office is more a paper fiction having a staff of about 8 out of the 200 the company employs
    FOMO tho.

    You'll be sat at home and the keen youngsters will go in. They will have those chance meetings, water cooler moments, important drinks, which can help a business and advance a career in multiple ways. They will have the whole shared office experience which makes a *team mentality* - the jokes and anecdotes and crises and Days to Remember - you won't.

    They will make rapid progress, and be rewarded for their eagerness, the homesters might not.

    This stuff is actually more important in areas beyond the obvious (banking, law, insurance).

    In the creative industries the face to face stuff is absolutely crucial. Brainstorming doesn't work on Zoom. The lunch with that talented actor, dancer, writer, sculptor, agent, editor, singer, flint toy knapper, which tells you if they are any good, cannot happen if everyone is in their kitchen.

    Right now most media/arts companies - publishing, journalism, events, drama, music, are WFH. I expect all of them to come back for nearly all of the week.
    Team drinks have been pretty much a myth in any company I have worked for since 1990. Simple reason being when most finish work they have a 1 to 2 hour commute to go home often by car. Even for big things like the company christmas do it was rare to get more than 50% attendance.
    Fair enough. All I know is that central London pubs - esp in the City, Soho, Mayfair, the Wharf - were, generally, absolutely rammed after about 6pm pre-Covid. And not with tourists.
    London = no need to drive.

    Once you get outside London (and other cities) the idea of going for drinks after work falls apart very rapidly
    But Pagan2 talks of a 1-2 hour commute, generally by car. The only city big enough and rich enough to justify a 2 hour commute (in the UK) is London.

    Are there people commuting for 2 hours to get to Bristol?! Manc? Edinburgh? Why?? The nice villages begin - max - 30 minutes from the centre...
    That is just your londophilia talks personally you couldn't pay me enough to work there. Plus these nice villages you talk of are expensive to live in and those earning less get pushed out further.

    In addition as its quite common to change jobs these days most people still don't want to move every few years so for example since the 90's I have worked in epsom,slough,reading,wantage,aylesbury,swindon all without moving many of those were over an hour away
    If you're driving four hours a day to work anywhere you should move house, or change job. That is inhuman.

    Relatedly, right now I am suffering from insomnia (not sure if it is plague-related). So I spent nearly all of last night awake and reading Why We Sleep, a brilliant explanation of the latest sleep science

    https://www.amazon.co.uk/Why-We-Sleep-Science-Dreams/dp/0141983760

    It argues, most convincingly, that much of the western world is chronically sleep deprived, because of the pressures of work and commuting (as you illustrate). This in turn has caused, in part, the explosion in Alzheimer's, obesity, drug abuse, depression, and so on.

    The science on exactly how important good sleep is, to us, is fascinating, and hugely persuasive. eg I had no idea that every animal that has ever been closely studied has been found to sleep: in some form.

    eg it is commonly thought that sharks don't sleep, because they never close their eyes. Not true, they sleep like all animals, they just don't have eyelids.

    Birds sleep as they fly. Insects take a nap. Sleep is a fundamental part of all life. Get More Kip.
    Margaret Thatcher.
    Died with dementia, after claiming she lived on five hours kip a night. Ditto Ronald Reagan, he made a very similar claim, and died with dementia.

    And you know who else boasts of his meagre need for sleep?

    The Donald.

    The book is brilliant. I highly recommend.
    Though for a critique of the evidence for what is claimed:

    https://guzey.com/books/why-we-sleep/

    Hmm. He disputes that lack of sleep can, eventually, kill you.

    Without even going back to Walker's book. I am fairly certain that if you do not sleep at all, you will die

    Some lovely scientists actually did this to rats: deprived them of any sleep, day after day. They all died within weeks.

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/016643289500020T?via=ihub


  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 53,985

    Evening all.

    Was wondering earlier today exactly why it was that hacks had been asking Allegra Stratton about what would happen to Tory MPs who voted down the Budget, to which she of course replied that the whip would be removed. I thought that Budgets were always regarded as a matter of confidence, so why would anyone bother to ask?

    Anyhow, the Torygraph is now reporting ructions over a mooted hike in CGT. Now, what I know about tax accountancy could be summarised on the back of a postage stamp, but I'm guessing that this is something along the lines of bringing the bands into line with those for income tax, which I seem previously to remember reading ought to raise quite a lot of revenue - at the expense, of course, of those rich enough to be paying CGT in the first place.

    Now, I may be missing something obvious here, but I'm not at all sure why the Chancellor WOULDN'T take the opportunity to give the rich a bit of a soaking. He's got to start work on balancing the books some time, most of the affected people are probably rolling in money after having their high incomes bolstered with the abolition of commuting (and can therefore well afford the extra expense,) and the Red Wall will be more than happy to hear those pips squeak if it means more cash for Our Beloved NHS.

    After all, the next election is going to be fought primarily in the Midlands and the North, not down South. And it doesn't much matter if the Tories cause a mild wave of indignation to propagate through the stockbroker belt. It's not as if wealthy voters have anywhere preferable to go.

    Changing the CGT rules will mostly just result in companies changing how they pay people. Imagine you have a business, which I shall call Fred Ltd.

    If you make profits of £100,000 a year, then you can either leave them in the business or pay them out as salary, bonus, dividends. If they taken them out as salary or bonus, then the business doesn't make a profit, but you pay income tax. If you leave them in the business, then the company pays corporation tax on them.

    If you increase CGT to income tax rates, you encourage keeping zero money in your business. Why bother, because if you wind up or sell the company later to get hold of the cash inside it, then you'll have paid both corporation tax and capital gains.

    This - of course - is why changes to things like CGT never bring in the expected revenues, because they change the behaviour of taxpayers.
  • Options
    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,610
    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:
    He's right, from my team the requests for remote working are zero so far. Almost all of the responses are 3 or 4 days in office with a few choosing 1 day from home every fortnight and two in the 5 days in office, only one has opted for 3 days WFH and she already did two days WFH before all this started.

    The death of inner cities and offices are overdone and I expect the young, social under 40s will hold onto city life and that will force people back into offices as they will find their career growth stunted by remote working.
    As a contrary anecdote, none of the team I work in want to go back to the office , the exceptions being managers. Indeed my company has let all but the head office leases lapse and the head office is more a paper fiction having a staff of about 8 out of the 200 the company employs
    FOMO tho.

    You'll be sat at home and the keen youngsters will go in. They will have those chance meetings, water cooler moments, important drinks, which can help a business and advance a career in multiple ways. They will have the whole shared office experience which makes a *team mentality* - the jokes and anecdotes and crises and Days to Remember - you won't.

    They will make rapid progress, and be rewarded for their eagerness, the homesters might not.

    This stuff is actually more important in areas beyond the obvious (banking, law, insurance).

    In the creative industries the face to face stuff is absolutely crucial. Brainstorming doesn't work on Zoom. The lunch with that talented actor, dancer, writer, sculptor, agent, editor, singer, flint toy knapper, which tells you if they are any good, cannot happen if everyone is in their kitchen.

    Right now most media/arts companies - publishing, journalism, events, drama, music, are WFH. I expect all of them to come back for nearly all of the week.
    Team drinks have been pretty much a myth in any company I have worked for since 1990. Simple reason being when most finish work they have a 1 to 2 hour commute to go home often by car. Even for big things like the company christmas do it was rare to get more than 50% attendance.
    Fair enough. All I know is that central London pubs - esp in the City, Soho, Mayfair, the Wharf - were, generally, absolutely rammed after about 6pm pre-Covid. And not with tourists.
    London = no need to drive.

    Once you get outside London (and other cities) the idea of going for drinks after work falls apart very rapidly
    But Pagan2 talks of a 1-2 hour commute, generally by car. The only city big enough and rich enough to justify a 2 hour commute (in the UK) is London.

    Are there people commuting for 2 hours to get to Bristol?! Manc? Edinburgh? Why?? The nice villages begin - max - 30 minutes from the centre...
    That is just your londophilia talks personally you couldn't pay me enough to work there. Plus these nice villages you talk of are expensive to live in and those earning less get pushed out further.

    In addition as its quite common to change jobs these days most people still don't want to move every few years so for example since the 90's I have worked in epsom,slough,reading,wantage,aylesbury,swindon all without moving many of those were over an hour away
    If you're driving four hours a day to work anywhere you should move house, or change job. That is inhuman.

    Relatedly, right now I am suffering from insomnia (not sure if it is plague-related). So I spent nearly all of last night awake and reading Why We Sleep, a brilliant explanation of the latest sleep science

    https://www.amazon.co.uk/Why-We-Sleep-Science-Dreams/dp/0141983760

    It argues, most convincingly, that much of the western world is chronically sleep deprived, because of the pressures of work and commuting (as you illustrate). This in turn has caused, in part, the explosion in Alzheimer's, obesity, drug abuse, depression, and so on.

    The science on exactly how important good sleep is, to us, is fascinating, and hugely persuasive. eg I had no idea that every animal that has ever been closely studied has been found to sleep: in some form.

    eg it is commonly thought that sharks don't sleep, because they never close their eyes. Not true, they sleep like all animals, they just don't have eyelids.

    Birds sleep as they fly. Insects take a nap. Sleep is a fundamental part of all life. Get More Kip.
    Margaret Thatcher.
    Died with dementia, after claiming she lived on five hours kip a night. Ditto Ronald Reagan, he made a very similar claim, and died with dementia.

    And you know who else boasts of his meagre need for sleep?

    The Donald.

    The book is brilliant. I highly recommend.
    Though for a critique of the evidence for what is claimed:

    https://guzey.com/books/why-we-sleep/

    Hmm. He disputes that lack of sleep can, eventually, kill you.

    Without even going back to Walker's book. I am fairly certain that if you do not sleep at all, you will die

    Some lovely scientists actually did this to rats: deprived them of any sleep, day after day. They all died within weeks.

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/016643289500020T?via=ihub


    I found it an interesting book, but he does exaggerate the evidence.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 53,985
    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:
    He's right, from my team the requests for remote working are zero so far. Almost all of the responses are 3 or 4 days in office with a few choosing 1 day from home every fortnight and two in the 5 days in office, only one has opted for 3 days WFH and she already did two days WFH before all this started.

    The death of inner cities and offices are overdone and I expect the young, social under 40s will hold onto city life and that will force people back into offices as they will find their career growth stunted by remote working.
    As a contrary anecdote, none of the team I work in want to go back to the office , the exceptions being managers. Indeed my company has let all but the head office leases lapse and the head office is more a paper fiction having a staff of about 8 out of the 200 the company employs
    FOMO tho.

    You'll be sat at home and the keen youngsters will go in. They will have those chance meetings, water cooler moments, important drinks, which can help a business and advance a career in multiple ways. They will have the whole shared office experience which makes a *team mentality* - the jokes and anecdotes and crises and Days to Remember - you won't.

    They will make rapid progress, and be rewarded for their eagerness, the homesters might not.

    This stuff is actually more important in areas beyond the obvious (banking, law, insurance).

    In the creative industries the face to face stuff is absolutely crucial. Brainstorming doesn't work on Zoom. The lunch with that talented actor, dancer, writer, sculptor, agent, editor, singer, flint toy knapper, which tells you if they are any good, cannot happen if everyone is in their kitchen.

    Right now most media/arts companies - publishing, journalism, events, drama, music, are WFH. I expect all of them to come back for nearly all of the week.
    Team drinks have been pretty much a myth in any company I have worked for since 1990. Simple reason being when most finish work they have a 1 to 2 hour commute to go home often by car. Even for big things like the company christmas do it was rare to get more than 50% attendance.
    Fair enough. All I know is that central London pubs - esp in the City, Soho, Mayfair, the Wharf - were, generally, absolutely rammed after about 6pm pre-Covid. And not with tourists.
    London = no need to drive.

    Once you get outside London (and other cities) the idea of going for drinks after work falls apart very rapidly
    But Pagan2 talks of a 1-2 hour commute, generally by car. The only city big enough and rich enough to justify a 2 hour commute (in the UK) is London.

    Are there people commuting for 2 hours to get to Bristol?! Manc? Edinburgh? Why?? The nice villages begin - max - 30 minutes from the centre...
    That is just your londophilia talks personally you couldn't pay me enough to work there. Plus these nice villages you talk of are expensive to live in and those earning less get pushed out further.

    In addition as its quite common to change jobs these days most people still don't want to move every few years so for example since the 90's I have worked in epsom,slough,reading,wantage,aylesbury,swindon all without moving many of those were over an hour away
    If you're driving four hours a day to work anywhere you should move house, or change job. That is inhuman.

    Relatedly, right now I am suffering from insomnia (not sure if it is plague-related). So I spent nearly all of last night awake and reading Why We Sleep, a brilliant explanation of the latest sleep science

    https://www.amazon.co.uk/Why-We-Sleep-Science-Dreams/dp/0141983760

    It argues, most convincingly, that much of the western world is chronically sleep deprived, because of the pressures of work and commuting (as you illustrate). This in turn has caused, in part, the explosion in Alzheimer's, obesity, drug abuse, depression, and so on.

    The science on exactly how important good sleep is, to us, is fascinating, and hugely persuasive. eg I had no idea that every animal that has ever been closely studied has been found to sleep: in some form.

    eg it is commonly thought that sharks don't sleep, because they never close their eyes. Not true, they sleep like all animals, they just don't have eyelids.

    Birds sleep as they fly. Insects take a nap. Sleep is a fundamental part of all life. Get More Kip.
    Margaret Thatcher.
    Died with dementia, after claiming she lived on five hours kip a night. Ditto Ronald Reagan, he made a very similar claim, and died with dementia.

    And you know who else boasts of his meagre need for sleep?

    The Donald.

    The book is brilliant. I highly recommend.
    Both worked at very high levels until reasonably advanced ages.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607
    rcs1000 said:

    Evening all.

    Was wondering earlier today exactly why it was that hacks had been asking Allegra Stratton about what would happen to Tory MPs who voted down the Budget, to which she of course replied that the whip would be removed. I thought that Budgets were always regarded as a matter of confidence, so why would anyone bother to ask?

    Anyhow, the Torygraph is now reporting ructions over a mooted hike in CGT. Now, what I know about tax accountancy could be summarised on the back of a postage stamp, but I'm guessing that this is something along the lines of bringing the bands into line with those for income tax, which I seem previously to remember reading ought to raise quite a lot of revenue - at the expense, of course, of those rich enough to be paying CGT in the first place.

    Now, I may be missing something obvious here, but I'm not at all sure why the Chancellor WOULDN'T take the opportunity to give the rich a bit of a soaking. He's got to start work on balancing the books some time, most of the affected people are probably rolling in money after having their high incomes bolstered with the abolition of commuting (and can therefore well afford the extra expense,) and the Red Wall will be more than happy to hear those pips squeak if it means more cash for Our Beloved NHS.

    After all, the next election is going to be fought primarily in the Midlands and the North, not down South. And it doesn't much matter if the Tories cause a mild wave of indignation to propagate through the stockbroker belt. It's not as if wealthy voters have anywhere preferable to go.

    Changing the CGT rules will mostly just result in companies changing how they pay people. Imagine you have a business, which I shall call Fred Ltd.

    If you make profits of £100,000 a year, then you can either leave them in the business or pay them out as salary, bonus, dividends. If they taken them out as salary or bonus, then the business doesn't make a profit, but you pay income tax. If you leave them in the business, then the company pays corporation tax on them.

    If you increase CGT to income tax rates, you encourage keeping zero money in your business. Why bother, because if you wind up or sell the company later to get hold of the cash inside it, then you'll have paid both corporation tax and capital gains.

    This - of course - is why changes to things like CGT never bring in the expected revenues, because they change the behaviour of taxpayers.
    Agreed and I think it hurts business investment in a country that already struggles with it.
  • Options
    rcs1000 said:

    I think there is a simple explanation as to why the College's wine cellar might be exhausted.
    Skiiers?
    One trusts that the rest of the university is in finer fettle. Disappointing to note a Cambridge chap unable to use a cliché correctly.
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,147
    edited February 2021
    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:
    He's right, from my team the requests for remote working are zero so far. Almost all of the responses are 3 or 4 days in office with a few choosing 1 day from home every fortnight and two in the 5 days in office, only one has opted for 3 days WFH and she already did two days WFH before all this started.

    The death of inner cities and offices are overdone and I expect the young, social under 40s will hold onto city life and that will force people back into offices as they will find their career growth stunted by remote working.
    As a contrary anecdote, none of the team I work in want to go back to the office , the exceptions being managers. Indeed my company has let all but the head office leases lapse and the head office is more a paper fiction having a staff of about 8 out of the 200 the company employs
    FOMO tho.

    You'll be sat at home and the keen youngsters will go in. They will have those chance meetings, water cooler moments, important drinks, which can help a business and advance a career in multiple ways. They will have the whole shared office experience which makes a *team mentality* - the jokes and anecdotes and crises and Days to Remember - you won't.

    They will make rapid progress, and be rewarded for their eagerness, the homesters might not.

    This stuff is actually more important in areas beyond the obvious (banking, law, insurance).

    In the creative industries the face to face stuff is absolutely crucial. Brainstorming doesn't work on Zoom. The lunch with that talented actor, dancer, writer, sculptor, agent, editor, singer, flint toy knapper, which tells you if they are any good, cannot happen if everyone is in their kitchen.

    Right now most media/arts companies - publishing, journalism, events, drama, music, are WFH. I expect all of them to come back for nearly all of the week.
    Team drinks have been pretty much a myth in any company I have worked for since 1990. Simple reason being when most finish work they have a 1 to 2 hour commute to go home often by car. Even for big things like the company christmas do it was rare to get more than 50% attendance.
    Fair enough. All I know is that central London pubs - esp in the City, Soho, Mayfair, the Wharf - were, generally, absolutely rammed after about 6pm pre-Covid. And not with tourists.
    London = no need to drive.

    Once you get outside London (and other cities) the idea of going for drinks after work falls apart very rapidly
    But Pagan2 talks of a 1-2 hour commute, generally by car. The only city big enough and rich enough to justify a 2 hour commute (in the UK) is London.

    Are there people commuting for 2 hours to get to Bristol?! Manc? Edinburgh? Why?? The nice villages begin - max - 30 minutes from the centre...
    That is just your londophilia talks personally you couldn't pay me enough to work there. Plus these nice villages you talk of are expensive to live in and those earning less get pushed out further.

    In addition as its quite common to change jobs these days most people still don't want to move every few years so for example since the 90's I have worked in epsom,slough,reading,wantage,aylesbury,swindon all without moving many of those were over an hour away
    If you're driving four hours a day to work anywhere you should move house, or change job. That is inhuman.

    Relatedly, right now I am suffering from insomnia (not sure if it is plague-related). So I spent nearly all of last night awake and reading Why We Sleep, a brilliant explanation of the latest sleep science

    https://www.amazon.co.uk/Why-We-Sleep-Science-Dreams/dp/0141983760

    It argues, most convincingly, that much of the western world is chronically sleep deprived, because of the pressures of work and commuting (as you illustrate). This in turn has caused, in part, the explosion in Alzheimer's, obesity, drug abuse, depression, and so on.

    The science on exactly how important good sleep is, to us, is fascinating, and hugely persuasive. eg I had no idea that every animal that has ever been closely studied has been found to sleep: in some form.

    eg it is commonly thought that sharks don't sleep, because they never close their eyes. Not true, they sleep like all animals, they just don't have eyelids.

    Birds sleep as they fly. Insects take a nap. Sleep is a fundamental part of all life. Get More Kip.
    Margaret Thatcher.
    Died with dementia, after claiming she lived on five hours kip a night. Ditto Ronald Reagan, he made a very similar claim, and died with dementia.

    And you know who else boasts of his meagre need for sleep?

    The Donald.

    The book is brilliant. I highly recommend.
    Though for a critique of the evidence for what is claimed:

    https://guzey.com/books/why-we-sleep/

    Hmm. He disputes that lack of sleep can, eventually, kill you.

    Without even going back to Walker's book. I am fairly certain that if you do not sleep at all, you will die

    Some lovely scientists actually did this to rats: deprived them of any sleep, day after day. They all died within weeks.

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/016643289500020T?via=ihub


    I found it an interesting book, but he does exaggerate the evidence.
    Actually, I agree with you, in part. I think he's a brilliant scientist with some amazing science, but he is over-invested in his cause: SLEEP IS EVERYTHING!!! He uses too many exclamation marks, and those are generally the places where he is over-egging the pudding

    Nonetheless he is pretty convincing in many places. Sleep is overlooked as a fundamental part of human health. We obsess about diet and exercise, but get a good kip too

    The stuff on dreams is wild.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607
    What I would like to see Rishi bring in is income tax CGT for non-primary residential property with an 10 year exemption from the higher rates for new builds. That would encourage huge investment in new property and shaft the lazy existing property landlords.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 53,985
    Leon said:

    DougSeal said:

    Leon said:

    DougSeal said:

    A really important thread on the global drop in cases I have been commenting upon. That drop has slowed, indeed started to reverse, because of the countries (largely in Europe) that have loose restrictions AND little in the way of antibody/T-Cell immunity. You can have either (to an extent) but you can't do neither. In the UK we have the a very strict lockdown and the benefit of an increasing amount of antibodies through vaccination. In South Africa the fall can at least in part be explained by the fact that in Eastern Cape (by way of example) peak antibody levels exceeded 60%. Those will decrease but T-Cell immunity will remain.

    https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1364963301835370497

    https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1364963342129971202

    20,000 cases in Italy today. A sudden leap. A third wave looms
    There's two ways out of this. Let it rip and end up with an outcome like South Africa, reaching some sort of population immunity but with what appears to be an off the scale bad excess death toll this past year, or vaccinate and be like Israel. They need to get on with the latter.
    Does SA even have immunity?

    They thought the same of Manaus, yet the plague still rocks along there. The other risk of letting it rip is: more mutations
    This second point is key: if the virus isn't living anywhere, it isn't mutating. If you have it lingering in millions of people, you have lots of opportunity for mutations.

    Perhaps the LibDems could have a genuinely differentiated policy around executing people with CV19 to minimise the risk of mutations?
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,147
    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:
    He's right, from my team the requests for remote working are zero so far. Almost all of the responses are 3 or 4 days in office with a few choosing 1 day from home every fortnight and two in the 5 days in office, only one has opted for 3 days WFH and she already did two days WFH before all this started.

    The death of inner cities and offices are overdone and I expect the young, social under 40s will hold onto city life and that will force people back into offices as they will find their career growth stunted by remote working.
    As a contrary anecdote, none of the team I work in want to go back to the office , the exceptions being managers. Indeed my company has let all but the head office leases lapse and the head office is more a paper fiction having a staff of about 8 out of the 200 the company employs
    FOMO tho.

    You'll be sat at home and the keen youngsters will go in. They will have those chance meetings, water cooler moments, important drinks, which can help a business and advance a career in multiple ways. They will have the whole shared office experience which makes a *team mentality* - the jokes and anecdotes and crises and Days to Remember - you won't.

    They will make rapid progress, and be rewarded for their eagerness, the homesters might not.

    This stuff is actually more important in areas beyond the obvious (banking, law, insurance).

    In the creative industries the face to face stuff is absolutely crucial. Brainstorming doesn't work on Zoom. The lunch with that talented actor, dancer, writer, sculptor, agent, editor, singer, flint toy knapper, which tells you if they are any good, cannot happen if everyone is in their kitchen.

    Right now most media/arts companies - publishing, journalism, events, drama, music, are WFH. I expect all of them to come back for nearly all of the week.
    Team drinks have been pretty much a myth in any company I have worked for since 1990. Simple reason being when most finish work they have a 1 to 2 hour commute to go home often by car. Even for big things like the company christmas do it was rare to get more than 50% attendance.
    Fair enough. All I know is that central London pubs - esp in the City, Soho, Mayfair, the Wharf - were, generally, absolutely rammed after about 6pm pre-Covid. And not with tourists.
    London = no need to drive.

    Once you get outside London (and other cities) the idea of going for drinks after work falls apart very rapidly
    But Pagan2 talks of a 1-2 hour commute, generally by car. The only city big enough and rich enough to justify a 2 hour commute (in the UK) is London.

    Are there people commuting for 2 hours to get to Bristol?! Manc? Edinburgh? Why?? The nice villages begin - max - 30 minutes from the centre...
    That is just your londophilia talks personally you couldn't pay me enough to work there. Plus these nice villages you talk of are expensive to live in and those earning less get pushed out further.

    In addition as its quite common to change jobs these days most people still don't want to move every few years so for example since the 90's I have worked in epsom,slough,reading,wantage,aylesbury,swindon all without moving many of those were over an hour away
    If you're driving four hours a day to work anywhere you should move house, or change job. That is inhuman.

    Relatedly, right now I am suffering from insomnia (not sure if it is plague-related). So I spent nearly all of last night awake and reading Why We Sleep, a brilliant explanation of the latest sleep science

    https://www.amazon.co.uk/Why-We-Sleep-Science-Dreams/dp/0141983760

    It argues, most convincingly, that much of the western world is chronically sleep deprived, because of the pressures of work and commuting (as you illustrate). This in turn has caused, in part, the explosion in Alzheimer's, obesity, drug abuse, depression, and so on.

    The science on exactly how important good sleep is, to us, is fascinating, and hugely persuasive. eg I had no idea that every animal that has ever been closely studied has been found to sleep: in some form.

    eg it is commonly thought that sharks don't sleep, because they never close their eyes. Not true, they sleep like all animals, they just don't have eyelids.

    Birds sleep as they fly. Insects take a nap. Sleep is a fundamental part of all life. Get More Kip.
    Margaret Thatcher.
    Died with dementia, after claiming she lived on five hours kip a night. Ditto Ronald Reagan, he made a very similar claim, and died with dementia.

    And you know who else boasts of his meagre need for sleep?

    The Donald.

    The book is brilliant. I highly recommend.
    Though for a critique of the evidence for what is claimed:

    https://guzey.com/books/why-we-sleep/

    Hmm. He disputes that lack of sleep can, eventually, kill you.

    Without even going back to Walker's book. I am fairly certain that if you do not sleep at all, you will die

    Some lovely scientists actually did this to rats: deprived them of any sleep, day after day. They all died within weeks.

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/016643289500020T?via=ihub


    That is quite the experiment, if you examine it.

    I'm normally quite unsqueamish about these things: medicine must have its way.

    But these boffins sat down and worked out a method of how they could torture rats to death with sleep deprivation. Ugh. I wonder how THEY sleep at night.

    "Chronic sleep deprivation may be required to reveal the most serious physiological consequences of sleep loss, but it usually requires strong stimulation which can obscure the interpretation of effects. The disk-over-water method permits chronic sleep deprivation of rats with gentle physical stimulation that can be equally applied to yoked control rats"
  • Options
    Note to rcs1000: Is there any reason why the link to past threads has disappeared from the sidebar? Sometimes it's instructive to go back and read what people were writing a year (or ten years) ago.

    For example, the other day someone repeated the charge that the government had introduced Lockdown 1 too late and I was wondering who, if anyone, was advocating a lockdown as early as, say, 1 March.
  • Options
    YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172
    edited February 2021
    rcs1000 said:

    I think there is a simple explanation as to why the College's wine cellar might be exhausted.
    Skiiers?
    I once knew the wine steward of Shitbag College, Cambridge.

    An inventory of the wine cellar revealed over £ 200,000 worth of missing, very high quality wine. Goodness know who could possibly have taken it ? Who might have had access to the College's Cellar and been interested in vast amounts of drink ?

    By sturdy Cantab logic, the Wine Steward narrowed the field of suspects down to the 100-strong Fellowship.

    I asked the Wine Steward whether the Master & Fellows of Shitbag College had called the police to investigate the grand theft.

    He smiled at me, and said ... "You still have much to learn from Cambridge, YBarddCwsc"
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,964
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:
    He's right, from my team the requests for remote working are zero so far. Almost all of the responses are 3 or 4 days in office with a few choosing 1 day from home every fortnight and two in the 5 days in office, only one has opted for 3 days WFH and she already did two days WFH before all this started.

    The death of inner cities and offices are overdone and I expect the young, social under 40s will hold onto city life and that will force people back into offices as they will find their career growth stunted by remote working.
    As a contrary anecdote, none of the team I work in want to go back to the office , the exceptions being managers. Indeed my company has let all but the head office leases lapse and the head office is more a paper fiction having a staff of about 8 out of the 200 the company employs
    FOMO tho.

    You'll be sat at home and the keen youngsters will go in. They will have those chance meetings, water cooler moments, important drinks, which can help a business and advance a career in multiple ways. They will have the whole shared office experience which makes a *team mentality* - the jokes and anecdotes and crises and Days to Remember - you won't.

    They will make rapid progress, and be rewarded for their eagerness, the homesters might not.

    This stuff is actually more important in areas beyond the obvious (banking, law, insurance).

    In the creative industries the face to face stuff is absolutely crucial. Brainstorming doesn't work on Zoom. The lunch with that talented actor, dancer, writer, sculptor, agent, editor, singer, flint toy knapper, which tells you if they are any good, cannot happen if everyone is in their kitchen.

    Right now most media/arts companies - publishing, journalism, events, drama, music, are WFH. I expect all of them to come back for nearly all of the week.
    Team drinks have been pretty much a myth in any company I have worked for since 1990. Simple reason being when most finish work they have a 1 to 2 hour commute to go home often by car. Even for big things like the company christmas do it was rare to get more than 50% attendance.
    Fair enough. All I know is that central London pubs - esp in the City, Soho, Mayfair, the Wharf - were, generally, absolutely rammed after about 6pm pre-Covid. And not with tourists.
    London = no need to drive.

    Once you get outside London (and other cities) the idea of going for drinks after work falls apart very rapidly
    But Pagan2 talks of a 1-2 hour commute, generally by car. The only city big enough and rich enough to justify a 2 hour commute (in the UK) is London.

    Are there people commuting for 2 hours to get to Bristol?! Manc? Edinburgh? Why?? The nice villages begin - max - 30 minutes from the centre...
    That is just your londophilia talks personally you couldn't pay me enough to work there. Plus these nice villages you talk of are expensive to live in and those earning less get pushed out further.

    In addition as its quite common to change jobs these days most people still don't want to move every few years so for example since the 90's I have worked in epsom,slough,reading,wantage,aylesbury,swindon all without moving many of those were over an hour away
    If you're driving four hours a day to work anywhere you should move house, or change job. That is inhuman.

    Relatedly, right now I am suffering from insomnia (not sure if it is plague-related). So I spent nearly all of last night awake and reading Why We Sleep, a brilliant explanation of the latest sleep science

    https://www.amazon.co.uk/Why-We-Sleep-Science-Dreams/dp/0141983760

    It argues, most convincingly, that much of the western world is chronically sleep deprived, because of the pressures of work and commuting (as you illustrate). This in turn has caused, in part, the explosion in Alzheimer's, obesity, drug abuse, depression, and so on.

    The science on exactly how important good sleep is, to us, is fascinating, and hugely persuasive. eg I had no idea that every animal that has ever been closely studied has been found to sleep: in some form.

    eg it is commonly thought that sharks don't sleep, because they never close their eyes. Not true, they sleep like all animals, they just don't have eyelids.

    Birds sleep as they fly. Insects take a nap. Sleep is a fundamental part of all life. Get More Kip.
    Margaret Thatcher.
    Died with dementia, after claiming she lived on five hours kip a night. Ditto Ronald Reagan, he made a very similar claim, and died with dementia.

    And you know who else boasts of his meagre need for sleep?

    The Donald.

    The book is brilliant. I highly recommend.
    Though for a critique of the evidence for what is claimed:

    https://guzey.com/books/why-we-sleep/

    Hmm. He disputes that lack of sleep can, eventually, kill you.

    Without even going back to Walker's book. I am fairly certain that if you do not sleep at all, you will die

    Some lovely scientists actually did this to rats: deprived them of any sleep, day after day. They all died within weeks.

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/016643289500020T?via=ihub


    That is quite the experiment, if you examine it.

    I'm normally quite unsqueamish about these things: medicine must have its way.

    But these boffins sat down and worked out a method of how they could torture rats to death with sleep deprivation. Ugh. I wonder how THEY sleep at night.

    "Chronic sleep deprivation may be required to reveal the most serious physiological consequences of sleep loss, but it usually requires strong stimulation which can obscure the interpretation of effects. The disk-over-water method permits chronic sleep deprivation of rats with gentle physical stimulation that can be equally applied to yoked control rats"
    Yeah, a bit uncomfortable reading that.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 53,985

    Note to rcs1000: Is there any reason why the link to past threads has disappeared from the sidebar? Sometimes it's instructive to go back and read what people were writing a year (or ten years) ago.

    For example, the other day someone repeated the charge that the government had introduced Lockdown 1 too late and I was wondering who, if anyone, was advocating a lockdown as early as, say, 1 March.

    There's currently a Google outage that is affecting a lot of sites that rely on their infrastructure.
  • Options
    Alphabet_SoupAlphabet_Soup Posts: 2,747
    edited February 2021

    rcs1000 said:

    I think there is a simple explanation as to why the College's wine cellar might be exhausted.
    Skiiers?
    I once knew the wine steward of Shitbag College, Cambridge.

    An inventory of the wine cellar revealed over £ 200,000 worth of missing, very high quality wine. Goodness know who could possibly have taken it ? Who might have had access to the College's Cellar and been interested in vast amounts of drink ?

    By sturdy Cantab logic, the Wine Steward narrowed the field of suspects down to the 100-strong Fellowship.

    I asked the Wine Steward whether the Master & Fellows of Shitbag College had called the police to investigate the grand theft.

    He smiled at me, and said ... "You still have much to learn from Cambridge, YBarddCwsc"
    I heard of a college where the fellows are obliged to pay for their booze at cost price. They are, I believe, still being charged 7/6d a bottle for the finest vintage port.
  • Options
    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,860

    Westminster Voting Intention:

    CON: 40% (=)
    LAB: 33% (-4)
    LDM: 11% (+1)
    GRN: 6% (+1)
    RFM: 3% (+1)
    UKIP: 2% (+1)

    Via
    @Kantar_UKI
    , 18-22 Feb.
    Changes w/ 21-25 Jan.

    SKS fans please explain

    DBMIVN (Don't blame me I voted Nandy)

    You are becoming as tiresome as the Boris rampers, picking and choosing your polls. I don't recall you commenting on yesterday's 2 point margin "outlier".
    manic keith preachers behind by between 2 or 7% when any other leader was going to be "ahead by 20%"

    Direction of travel is disastrous imo.


    You think SKS is doing well?

  • Options
    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,610
    Roger said:

    RobD said:

    Roger said:

    justin124 said:

    Westminster Voting Intention:

    CON: 40% (=)
    LAB: 33% (-4)
    LDM: 11% (+1)
    GRN: 6% (+1)
    RFM: 3% (+1)
    UKIP: 2% (+1)

    Via
    @Kantar_UKI
    , 18-22 Feb.
    Changes w/ 21-25 Jan.

    SKS fans please explain

    DBMIVN (Don't blame me I voted Nandy)

    What has caused the sudden surge in LD support to 11%?
    Ed Davey doesn't try to squeeze three Union Jacks into the background every time he does an interview? It works for me,
    These sorts of scenes must sicken you:

    https://www.dw.com/en/eu-leaders-clash-over-hungary-and-poland-budget-veto/a-55664684
    You inadvertently make a good point. SKS should model hiimself on Merkel not on these tinsel and glitter poseurs. He's looking for an identity. Who in the world commands more respect than Angela?
    I think Starmer always looks rather uncomfortable, as if suffering from Imposter Syndrome. His manifest success from modest beginnings, his stiffness and awkwardness and even how he dresses speak of this to me.

    We have a political system where braying self conceit are rewarded rather than conscientious self doubt and introversion, though the latter tend to be much more effective at the real work, as any employer knows.
  • Options
    rcs1000 said:

    Note to rcs1000: Is there any reason why the link to past threads has disappeared from the sidebar? Sometimes it's instructive to go back and read what people were writing a year (or ten years) ago.

    For example, the other day someone repeated the charge that the government had introduced Lockdown 1 too late and I was wondering who, if anyone, was advocating a lockdown as early as, say, 1 March.

    There's currently a Google outage that is affecting a lot of sites that rely on their infrastructure.
    OK. Thanks. Maybe Google has finally run out of storage.
  • Options
    DougSealDougSeal Posts: 11,138
    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    DougSeal said:

    Leon said:

    DougSeal said:

    A really important thread on the global drop in cases I have been commenting upon. That drop has slowed, indeed started to reverse, because of the countries (largely in Europe) that have loose restrictions AND little in the way of antibody/T-Cell immunity. You can have either (to an extent) but you can't do neither. In the UK we have the a very strict lockdown and the benefit of an increasing amount of antibodies through vaccination. In South Africa the fall can at least in part be explained by the fact that in Eastern Cape (by way of example) peak antibody levels exceeded 60%. Those will decrease but T-Cell immunity will remain.

    https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1364963301835370497

    https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1364963342129971202

    20,000 cases in Italy today. A sudden leap. A third wave looms
    There's two ways out of this. Let it rip and end up with an outcome like South Africa, reaching some sort of population immunity but with what appears to be an off the scale bad excess death toll this past year, or vaccinate and be like Israel. They need to get on with the latter.
    Does SA even have immunity?

    They thought the same of Manaus, yet the plague still rocks along there. The other risk of letting it rip is: more mutations
    This second point is key: if the virus isn't living anywhere, it isn't mutating. If you have it lingering in millions of people, you have lots of opportunity for mutations.

    Perhaps the LibDems could have a genuinely differentiated policy around executing people with CV19 to minimise the risk of mutations?
    I've been commenting for weeks now on the drop in cases in South Africa. Again, look at the antibody responses in Eastern Cape in the below.

    https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1364963313042546690
  • Options
    IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:
    He's right, from my team the requests for remote working are zero so far. Almost all of the responses are 3 or 4 days in office with a few choosing 1 day from home every fortnight and two in the 5 days in office, only one has opted for 3 days WFH and she already did two days WFH before all this started.

    The death of inner cities and offices are overdone and I expect the young, social under 40s will hold onto city life and that will force people back into offices as they will find their career growth stunted by remote working.
    As a contrary anecdote, none of the team I work in want to go back to the office , the exceptions being managers. Indeed my company has let all but the head office leases lapse and the head office is more a paper fiction having a staff of about 8 out of the 200 the company employs
    FOMO tho.

    You'll be sat at home and the keen youngsters will go in. They will have those chance meetings, water cooler moments, important drinks, which can help a business and advance a career in multiple ways. They will have the whole shared office experience which makes a *team mentality* - the jokes and anecdotes and crises and Days to Remember - you won't.

    They will make rapid progress, and be rewarded for their eagerness, the homesters might not.

    This stuff is actually more important in areas beyond the obvious (banking, law, insurance).

    In the creative industries the face to face stuff is absolutely crucial. Brainstorming doesn't work on Zoom. The lunch with that talented actor, dancer, writer, sculptor, agent, editor, singer, flint toy knapper, which tells you if they are any good, cannot happen if everyone is in their kitchen.

    Right now most media/arts companies - publishing, journalism, events, drama, music, are WFH. I expect all of them to come back for nearly all of the week.
    Team drinks have been pretty much a myth in any company I have worked for since 1990. Simple reason being when most finish work they have a 1 to 2 hour commute to go home often by car. Even for big things like the company christmas do it was rare to get more than 50% attendance.
    Fair enough. All I know is that central London pubs - esp in the City, Soho, Mayfair, the Wharf - were, generally, absolutely rammed after about 6pm pre-Covid. And not with tourists.
    London = no need to drive.

    Once you get outside London (and other cities) the idea of going for drinks after work falls apart very rapidly
    But Pagan2 talks of a 1-2 hour commute, generally by car. The only city big enough and rich enough to justify a 2 hour commute (in the UK) is London.

    Are there people commuting for 2 hours to get to Bristol?! Manc? Edinburgh? Why?? The nice villages begin - max - 30 minutes from the centre...
    That is just your londophilia talks personally you couldn't pay me enough to work there. Plus these nice villages you talk of are expensive to live in and those earning less get pushed out further.

    In addition as its quite common to change jobs these days most people still don't want to move every few years so for example since the 90's I have worked in epsom,slough,reading,wantage,aylesbury,swindon all without moving many of those were over an hour away
    If you're driving four hours a day to work anywhere you should move house, or change job. That is inhuman.

    Relatedly, right now I am suffering from insomnia (not sure if it is plague-related). So I spent nearly all of last night awake and reading Why We Sleep, a brilliant explanation of the latest sleep science

    https://www.amazon.co.uk/Why-We-Sleep-Science-Dreams/dp/0141983760

    It argues, most convincingly, that much of the western world is chronically sleep deprived, because of the pressures of work and commuting (as you illustrate). This in turn has caused, in part, the explosion in Alzheimer's, obesity, drug abuse, depression, and so on.

    The science on exactly how important good sleep is, to us, is fascinating, and hugely persuasive. eg I had no idea that every animal that has ever been closely studied has been found to sleep: in some form.

    eg it is commonly thought that sharks don't sleep, because they never close their eyes. Not true, they sleep like all animals, they just don't have eyelids.

    Birds sleep as they fly. Insects take a nap. Sleep is a fundamental part of all life. Get More Kip.
    Margaret Thatcher.
    Died with dementia, after claiming she lived on five hours kip a night. Ditto Ronald Reagan, he made a very similar claim, and died with dementia.

    And you know who else boasts of his meagre need for sleep?

    The Donald.

    The book is brilliant. I highly recommend.
    Though for a critique of the evidence for what is claimed:

    https://guzey.com/books/why-we-sleep/

    Hmm. He disputes that lack of sleep can, eventually, kill you.

    Without even going back to Walker's book. I am fairly certain that if you do not sleep at all, you will die

    Some lovely scientists actually did this to rats: deprived them of any sleep, day after day. They all died within weeks.

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/016643289500020T?via=ihub


    That is quite the experiment, if you examine it.

    I'm normally quite unsqueamish about these things: medicine must have its way.

    But these boffins sat down and worked out a method of how they could torture rats to death with sleep deprivation. Ugh. I wonder how THEY sleep at night.

    "Chronic sleep deprivation may be required to reveal the most serious physiological consequences of sleep loss, but it usually requires strong stimulation which can obscure the interpretation of effects. The disk-over-water method permits chronic sleep deprivation of rats with gentle physical stimulation that can be equally applied to yoked control rats"
    Was just thinking that today in the context of antidepressants which are routinely tested on rats in things like the "forced swim test" - a proxy for human depression so incredibly unsatisfying that the concomitant cruelty can never be justified.
  • Options
    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,610
    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:
    He's right, from my team the requests for remote working are zero so far. Almost all of the responses are 3 or 4 days in office with a few choosing 1 day from home every fortnight and two in the 5 days in office, only one has opted for 3 days WFH and she already did two days WFH before all this started.

    The death of inner cities and offices are overdone and I expect the young, social under 40s will hold onto city life and that will force people back into offices as they will find their career growth stunted by remote working.
    As a contrary anecdote, none of the team I work in want to go back to the office , the exceptions being managers. Indeed my company has let all but the head office leases lapse and the head office is more a paper fiction having a staff of about 8 out of the 200 the company employs
    FOMO tho.

    You'll be sat at home and the keen youngsters will go in. They will have those chance meetings, water cooler moments, important drinks, which can help a business and advance a career in multiple ways. They will have the whole shared office experience which makes a *team mentality* - the jokes and anecdotes and crises and Days to Remember - you won't.

    They will make rapid progress, and be rewarded for their eagerness, the homesters might not.

    This stuff is actually more important in areas beyond the obvious (banking, law, insurance).

    In the creative industries the face to face stuff is absolutely crucial. Brainstorming doesn't work on Zoom. The lunch with that talented actor, dancer, writer, sculptor, agent, editor, singer, flint toy knapper, which tells you if they are any good, cannot happen if everyone is in their kitchen.

    Right now most media/arts companies - publishing, journalism, events, drama, music, are WFH. I expect all of them to come back for nearly all of the week.
    Team drinks have been pretty much a myth in any company I have worked for since 1990. Simple reason being when most finish work they have a 1 to 2 hour commute to go home often by car. Even for big things like the company christmas do it was rare to get more than 50% attendance.
    Fair enough. All I know is that central London pubs - esp in the City, Soho, Mayfair, the Wharf - were, generally, absolutely rammed after about 6pm pre-Covid. And not with tourists.
    London = no need to drive.

    Once you get outside London (and other cities) the idea of going for drinks after work falls apart very rapidly
    But Pagan2 talks of a 1-2 hour commute, generally by car. The only city big enough and rich enough to justify a 2 hour commute (in the UK) is London.

    Are there people commuting for 2 hours to get to Bristol?! Manc? Edinburgh? Why?? The nice villages begin - max - 30 minutes from the centre...
    That is just your londophilia talks personally you couldn't pay me enough to work there. Plus these nice villages you talk of are expensive to live in and those earning less get pushed out further.

    In addition as its quite common to change jobs these days most people still don't want to move every few years so for example since the 90's I have worked in epsom,slough,reading,wantage,aylesbury,swindon all without moving many of those were over an hour away
    If you're driving four hours a day to work anywhere you should move house, or change job. That is inhuman.

    Relatedly, right now I am suffering from insomnia (not sure if it is plague-related). So I spent nearly all of last night awake and reading Why We Sleep, a brilliant explanation of the latest sleep science

    https://www.amazon.co.uk/Why-We-Sleep-Science-Dreams/dp/0141983760

    It argues, most convincingly, that much of the western world is chronically sleep deprived, because of the pressures of work and commuting (as you illustrate). This in turn has caused, in part, the explosion in Alzheimer's, obesity, drug abuse, depression, and so on.

    The science on exactly how important good sleep is, to us, is fascinating, and hugely persuasive. eg I had no idea that every animal that has ever been closely studied has been found to sleep: in some form.

    eg it is commonly thought that sharks don't sleep, because they never close their eyes. Not true, they sleep like all animals, they just don't have eyelids.

    Birds sleep as they fly. Insects take a nap. Sleep is a fundamental part of all life. Get More Kip.
    Margaret Thatcher.
    Died with dementia, after claiming she lived on five hours kip a night. Ditto Ronald Reagan, he made a very similar claim, and died with dementia.

    And you know who else boasts of his meagre need for sleep?

    The Donald.

    The book is brilliant. I highly recommend.
    Though for a critique of the evidence for what is claimed:

    https://guzey.com/books/why-we-sleep/

    Hmm. He disputes that lack of sleep can, eventually, kill you.

    Without even going back to Walker's book. I am fairly certain that if you do not sleep at all, you will die

    Some lovely scientists actually did this to rats: deprived them of any sleep, day after day. They all died within weeks.

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/016643289500020T?via=ihub


    I found it an interesting book, but he does exaggerate the evidence.
    Actually, I agree with you, in part. I think he's a brilliant scientist with some amazing science, but he is over-invested in his cause: SLEEP IS EVERYTHING!!! He uses too many exclamation marks, and those are generally the places where he is over-egging the pudding

    Nonetheless he is pretty convincing in many places. Sleep is overlooked as a fundamental part of human health. We obsess about diet and exercise, but get a good kip too

    The stuff on dreams is wild.
    If you want to sleep well, cut out alcohol and caffeine, get at least an hour exercising outdoors in the evening, and no electronic devices or Internet after 2100.

    In short, do as I say, not as I do!
  • Options
    BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 7,989
    justin124 said:

    Westminster Voting Intention:

    CON: 40% (=)
    LAB: 33% (-4)
    LDM: 11% (+1)
    GRN: 6% (+1)
    RFM: 3% (+1)
    UKIP: 2% (+1)

    Via
    @Kantar_UKI
    , 18-22 Feb.
    Changes w/ 21-25 Jan.

    SKS fans please explain

    DBMIVN (Don't blame me I voted Nandy)

    What has caused the sudden surge in LD support to 11%?
    I think the LibDems will remain invisible at national level but are firing up the Quattro at local level.
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,147
    RobD said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:
    He's right, from my team the requests for remote working are zero so far. Almost all of the responses are 3 or 4 days in office with a few choosing 1 day from home every fortnight and two in the 5 days in office, only one has opted for 3 days WFH and she already did two days WFH before all this started.

    The death of inner cities and offices are overdone and I expect the young, social under 40s will hold onto city life and that will force people back into offices as they will find their career growth stunted by remote working.
    As a contrary anecdote, none of the team I work in want to go back to the office , the exceptions being managers. Indeed my company has let all but the head office leases lapse and the head office is more a paper fiction having a staff of about 8 out of the 200 the company employs
    FOMO tho.

    You'll be sat at home and the keen youngsters will go in. They will have those chance meetings, water cooler moments, important drinks, which can help a business and advance a career in multiple ways. They will have the whole shared office experience which makes a *team mentality* - the jokes and anecdotes and crises and Days to Remember - you won't.

    They will make rapid progress, and be rewarded for their eagerness, the homesters might not.

    This stuff is actually more important in areas beyond the obvious (banking, law, insurance).

    In the creative industries the face to face stuff is absolutely crucial. Brainstorming doesn't work on Zoom. The lunch with that talented actor, dancer, writer, sculptor, agent, editor, singer, flint toy knapper, which tells you if they are any good, cannot happen if everyone is in their kitchen.

    Right now most media/arts companies - publishing, journalism, events, drama, music, are WFH. I expect all of them to come back for nearly all of the week.
    Team drinks have been pretty much a myth in any company I have worked for since 1990. Simple reason being when most finish work they have a 1 to 2 hour commute to go home often by car. Even for big things like the company christmas do it was rare to get more than 50% attendance.
    Fair enough. All I know is that central London pubs - esp in the City, Soho, Mayfair, the Wharf - were, generally, absolutely rammed after about 6pm pre-Covid. And not with tourists.
    London = no need to drive.

    Once you get outside London (and other cities) the idea of going for drinks after work falls apart very rapidly
    But Pagan2 talks of a 1-2 hour commute, generally by car. The only city big enough and rich enough to justify a 2 hour commute (in the UK) is London.

    Are there people commuting for 2 hours to get to Bristol?! Manc? Edinburgh? Why?? The nice villages begin - max - 30 minutes from the centre...
    That is just your londophilia talks personally you couldn't pay me enough to work there. Plus these nice villages you talk of are expensive to live in and those earning less get pushed out further.

    In addition as its quite common to change jobs these days most people still don't want to move every few years so for example since the 90's I have worked in epsom,slough,reading,wantage,aylesbury,swindon all without moving many of those were over an hour away
    If you're driving four hours a day to work anywhere you should move house, or change job. That is inhuman.

    Relatedly, right now I am suffering from insomnia (not sure if it is plague-related). So I spent nearly all of last night awake and reading Why We Sleep, a brilliant explanation of the latest sleep science

    https://www.amazon.co.uk/Why-We-Sleep-Science-Dreams/dp/0141983760

    It argues, most convincingly, that much of the western world is chronically sleep deprived, because of the pressures of work and commuting (as you illustrate). This in turn has caused, in part, the explosion in Alzheimer's, obesity, drug abuse, depression, and so on.

    The science on exactly how important good sleep is, to us, is fascinating, and hugely persuasive. eg I had no idea that every animal that has ever been closely studied has been found to sleep: in some form.

    eg it is commonly thought that sharks don't sleep, because they never close their eyes. Not true, they sleep like all animals, they just don't have eyelids.

    Birds sleep as they fly. Insects take a nap. Sleep is a fundamental part of all life. Get More Kip.
    Margaret Thatcher.
    Died with dementia, after claiming she lived on five hours kip a night. Ditto Ronald Reagan, he made a very similar claim, and died with dementia.

    And you know who else boasts of his meagre need for sleep?

    The Donald.

    The book is brilliant. I highly recommend.
    Though for a critique of the evidence for what is claimed:

    https://guzey.com/books/why-we-sleep/

    Hmm. He disputes that lack of sleep can, eventually, kill you.

    Without even going back to Walker's book. I am fairly certain that if you do not sleep at all, you will die

    Some lovely scientists actually did this to rats: deprived them of any sleep, day after day. They all died within weeks.

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/016643289500020T?via=ihub


    That is quite the experiment, if you examine it.

    I'm normally quite unsqueamish about these things: medicine must have its way.

    But these boffins sat down and worked out a method of how they could torture rats to death with sleep deprivation. Ugh. I wonder how THEY sleep at night.

    "Chronic sleep deprivation may be required to reveal the most serious physiological consequences of sleep loss, but it usually requires strong stimulation which can obscure the interpretation of effects. The disk-over-water method permits chronic sleep deprivation of rats with gentle physical stimulation that can be equally applied to yoked control rats"
    Yeah, a bit uncomfortable reading that.
    It reminds me of the infamously cruel experiment on rhesus monkeys: depriving them of mothers, done by Harry Harlow

    Reading Harlow's Wiki page - just now - I find the same scientist was responsible for this experiment (which I did not know, and which is even worse). What a lovely chap

    "Harlow's first experiments involved isolating a monkey in a cage surrounded by steel walls with a small one-way mirror, so the experimenters could look in, but the monkey could not look out. The only connection the monkey had with the world was when the experimenters' hands changed his bedding or delivered fresh water and food. Baby monkeys were placed in these boxes soon after birth; four were left for 30 days, four for six months, and four for a year. After 30 days, the "total isolates", as they were called, were found to be "enormously disturbed". After being isolated for a year, they barely moved, did not explore or play, and were incapable of having sexual relations. When placed with other monkeys for a daily play session, they were badly bullied. Two of them refused to eat and starved themselves to death.

    "Harlow also wanted to test how isolation would affect parenting skills, but the isolates were unable to mate. Artificial insemination had not then been developed; instead, Harlow devised what he called a "rape rack", to which the female isolates were tied in normal monkey mating posture. He found that, just as they were incapable of having sexual relations, they were also unable to parent their offspring, either abusing or neglecting them. "Not even in our most devious dreams could we have designed a surrogate as evil as these real monkey mothers were", he wrote. Having no social experience themselves, they were incapable of appropriate social interaction. One mother held her baby's face to the floor and chewed off his feet and fingers. Another crushed her baby's head."

    Jesus F Christ

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pit_of_despair

    And yet, it does tell us something about humans. The same way some Nazi science done in the death camps is still paradoxically and troublingly useful.
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,185
    IshmaelZ said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:
    He's right, from my team the requests for remote working are zero so far. Almost all of the responses are 3 or 4 days in office with a few choosing 1 day from home every fortnight and two in the 5 days in office, only one has opted for 3 days WFH and she already did two days WFH before all this started.

    The death of inner cities and offices are overdone and I expect the young, social under 40s will hold onto city life and that will force people back into offices as they will find their career growth stunted by remote working.
    As a contrary anecdote, none of the team I work in want to go back to the office , the exceptions being managers. Indeed my company has let all but the head office leases lapse and the head office is more a paper fiction having a staff of about 8 out of the 200 the company employs
    FOMO tho.

    You'll be sat at home and the keen youngsters will go in. They will have those chance meetings, water cooler moments, important drinks, which can help a business and advance a career in multiple ways. They will have the whole shared office experience which makes a *team mentality* - the jokes and anecdotes and crises and Days to Remember - you won't.

    They will make rapid progress, and be rewarded for their eagerness, the homesters might not.

    This stuff is actually more important in areas beyond the obvious (banking, law, insurance).

    In the creative industries the face to face stuff is absolutely crucial. Brainstorming doesn't work on Zoom. The lunch with that talented actor, dancer, writer, sculptor, agent, editor, singer, flint toy knapper, which tells you if they are any good, cannot happen if everyone is in their kitchen.

    Right now most media/arts companies - publishing, journalism, events, drama, music, are WFH. I expect all of them to come back for nearly all of the week.
    Team drinks have been pretty much a myth in any company I have worked for since 1990. Simple reason being when most finish work they have a 1 to 2 hour commute to go home often by car. Even for big things like the company christmas do it was rare to get more than 50% attendance.
    Fair enough. All I know is that central London pubs - esp in the City, Soho, Mayfair, the Wharf - were, generally, absolutely rammed after about 6pm pre-Covid. And not with tourists.
    London = no need to drive.

    Once you get outside London (and other cities) the idea of going for drinks after work falls apart very rapidly
    But Pagan2 talks of a 1-2 hour commute, generally by car. The only city big enough and rich enough to justify a 2 hour commute (in the UK) is London.

    Are there people commuting for 2 hours to get to Bristol?! Manc? Edinburgh? Why?? The nice villages begin - max - 30 minutes from the centre...
    That is just your londophilia talks personally you couldn't pay me enough to work there. Plus these nice villages you talk of are expensive to live in and those earning less get pushed out further.

    In addition as its quite common to change jobs these days most people still don't want to move every few years so for example since the 90's I have worked in epsom,slough,reading,wantage,aylesbury,swindon all without moving many of those were over an hour away
    If you're driving four hours a day to work anywhere you should move house, or change job. That is inhuman.

    Relatedly, right now I am suffering from insomnia (not sure if it is plague-related). So I spent nearly all of last night awake and reading Why We Sleep, a brilliant explanation of the latest sleep science

    https://www.amazon.co.uk/Why-We-Sleep-Science-Dreams/dp/0141983760

    It argues, most convincingly, that much of the western world is chronically sleep deprived, because of the pressures of work and commuting (as you illustrate). This in turn has caused, in part, the explosion in Alzheimer's, obesity, drug abuse, depression, and so on.

    The science on exactly how important good sleep is, to us, is fascinating, and hugely persuasive. eg I had no idea that every animal that has ever been closely studied has been found to sleep: in some form.

    eg it is commonly thought that sharks don't sleep, because they never close their eyes. Not true, they sleep like all animals, they just don't have eyelids.

    Birds sleep as they fly. Insects take a nap. Sleep is a fundamental part of all life. Get More Kip.
    Margaret Thatcher.
    Died with dementia, after claiming she lived on five hours kip a night. Ditto Ronald Reagan, he made a very similar claim, and died with dementia.

    And you know who else boasts of his meagre need for sleep?

    The Donald.

    The book is brilliant. I highly recommend.
    Though for a critique of the evidence for what is claimed:

    https://guzey.com/books/why-we-sleep/

    Hmm. He disputes that lack of sleep can, eventually, kill you.

    Without even going back to Walker's book. I am fairly certain that if you do not sleep at all, you will die

    Some lovely scientists actually did this to rats: deprived them of any sleep, day after day. They all died within weeks.

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/016643289500020T?via=ihub


    That is quite the experiment, if you examine it.

    I'm normally quite unsqueamish about these things: medicine must have its way.

    But these boffins sat down and worked out a method of how they could torture rats to death with sleep deprivation. Ugh. I wonder how THEY sleep at night.

    "Chronic sleep deprivation may be required to reveal the most serious physiological consequences of sleep loss, but it usually requires strong stimulation which can obscure the interpretation of effects. The disk-over-water method permits chronic sleep deprivation of rats with gentle physical stimulation that can be equally applied to yoked control rats"
    Was just thinking that today in the context of antidepressants which are routinely tested on rats in things like the "forced swim test" - a proxy for human depression so incredibly unsatisfying that the concomitant cruelty can never be justified.
    I have a desire to write a murder mystery where pharmacologists are murdered in the style of some of the animal experiments, the forced swim being one of them. Probably suit midsomer murders. Obviously as I’m involved in med chem research I also work with pharmacologists and accept the need for animal research, albeit as little as possible. But some of the depression trials just baffles me. How can we be sure that the length of time a rat struggles in water equates to its state of mind? Maybe the ones who struggle for the shortest time are more intelligent and realise it’s pointless?
  • Options
    Daveyboy1961Daveyboy1961 Posts: 3,386
    edited February 2021
    Barnesian said:

    justin124 said:

    Westminster Voting Intention:

    CON: 40% (=)
    LAB: 33% (-4)
    LDM: 11% (+1)
    GRN: 6% (+1)
    RFM: 3% (+1)
    UKIP: 2% (+1)

    Via
    @Kantar_UKI
    , 18-22 Feb.
    Changes w/ 21-25 Jan.

    SKS fans please explain

    DBMIVN (Don't blame me I voted Nandy)

    What has caused the sudden surge in LD support to 11%?
    I think the LibDems will remain invisible at national level but are firing up the Quattro at local level.
    It is the usual story of fighting for coverage in any National media when most papers and channels are talking about vaccine, holidays and schoolchildren at home. It's the same reason that Johnson's government is getting away with the massive decline in our exports in certain industries due to the new Brexit paperwork without any real comeback.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,964
    @Leon thanks for that. I’m going to have nightmares now!
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,147

    IshmaelZ said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:
    He's right, from my team the requests for remote working are zero so far. Almost all of the responses are 3 or 4 days in office with a few choosing 1 day from home every fortnight and two in the 5 days in office, only one has opted for 3 days WFH and she already did two days WFH before all this started.

    The death of inner cities and offices are overdone and I expect the young, social under 40s will hold onto city life and that will force people back into offices as they will find their career growth stunted by remote working.
    As a contrary anecdote, none of the team I work in want to go back to the office , the exceptions being managers. Indeed my company has let all but the head office leases lapse and the head office is more a paper fiction having a staff of about 8 out of the 200 the company employs
    FOMO tho.

    You'll be sat at home and the keen youngsters will go in. They will have those chance meetings, water cooler moments, important drinks, which can help a business and advance a career in multiple ways. They will have the whole shared office experience which makes a *team mentality* - the jokes and anecdotes and crises and Days to Remember - you won't.

    They will make rapid progress, and be rewarded for their eagerness, the homesters might not.

    This stuff is actually more important in areas beyond the obvious (banking, law, insurance).

    In the creative industries the face to face stuff is absolutely crucial. Brainstorming doesn't work on Zoom. The lunch with that talented actor, dancer, writer, sculptor, agent, editor, singer, flint toy knapper, which tells you if they are any good, cannot happen if everyone is in their kitchen.

    Right now most media/arts companies - publishing, journalism, events, drama, music, are WFH. I expect all of them to come back for nearly all of the week.
    Team drinks have been pretty much a myth in any company I have worked for since 1990. Simple reason being when most finish work they have a 1 to 2 hour commute to go home often by car. Even for big things like the company christmas do it was rare to get more than 50% attendance.
    Fair enough. All I know is that central London pubs - esp in the City, Soho, Mayfair, the Wharf - were, generally, absolutely rammed after about 6pm pre-Covid. And not with tourists.
    London = no need to drive.

    Once you get outside London (and other cities) the idea of going for drinks after work falls apart very rapidly
    But Pagan2 talks of a 1-2 hour commute, generally by car. The only city big enough and rich enough to justify a 2 hour commute (in the UK) is London.

    Are there people commuting for 2 hours to get to Bristol?! Manc? Edinburgh? Why?? The nice villages begin - max - 30 minutes from the centre...
    That is just your londophilia talks personally you couldn't pay me enough to work there. Plus these nice villages you talk of are expensive to live in and those earning less get pushed out further.

    In addition as its quite common to change jobs these days most people still don't want to move every few years so for example since the 90's I have worked in epsom,slough,reading,wantage,aylesbury,swindon all without moving many of those were over an hour away
    If you're driving four hours a day to work anywhere you should move house, or change job. That is inhuman.

    Relatedly, right now I am suffering from insomnia (not sure if it is plague-related). So I spent nearly all of last night awake and reading Why We Sleep, a brilliant explanation of the latest sleep science

    https://www.amazon.co.uk/Why-We-Sleep-Science-Dreams/dp/0141983760

    It argues, most convincingly, that much of the western world is chronically sleep deprived, because of the pressures of work and commuting (as you illustrate). This in turn has caused, in part, the explosion in Alzheimer's, obesity, drug abuse, depression, and so on.

    The science on exactly how important good sleep is, to us, is fascinating, and hugely persuasive. eg I had no idea that every animal that has ever been closely studied has been found to sleep: in some form.

    eg it is commonly thought that sharks don't sleep, because they never close their eyes. Not true, they sleep like all animals, they just don't have eyelids.

    Birds sleep as they fly. Insects take a nap. Sleep is a fundamental part of all life. Get More Kip.
    Margaret Thatcher.
    Died with dementia, after claiming she lived on five hours kip a night. Ditto Ronald Reagan, he made a very similar claim, and died with dementia.

    And you know who else boasts of his meagre need for sleep?

    The Donald.

    The book is brilliant. I highly recommend.
    Though for a critique of the evidence for what is claimed:

    https://guzey.com/books/why-we-sleep/

    Hmm. He disputes that lack of sleep can, eventually, kill you.

    Without even going back to Walker's book. I am fairly certain that if you do not sleep at all, you will die

    Some lovely scientists actually did this to rats: deprived them of any sleep, day after day. They all died within weeks.

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/016643289500020T?via=ihub


    That is quite the experiment, if you examine it.

    I'm normally quite unsqueamish about these things: medicine must have its way.

    But these boffins sat down and worked out a method of how they could torture rats to death with sleep deprivation. Ugh. I wonder how THEY sleep at night.

    "Chronic sleep deprivation may be required to reveal the most serious physiological consequences of sleep loss, but it usually requires strong stimulation which can obscure the interpretation of effects. The disk-over-water method permits chronic sleep deprivation of rats with gentle physical stimulation that can be equally applied to yoked control rats"
    Was just thinking that today in the context of antidepressants which are routinely tested on rats in things like the "forced swim test" - a proxy for human depression so incredibly unsatisfying that the concomitant cruelty can never be justified.
    I have a desire to write a murder mystery where pharmacologists are murdered in the style of some of the animal experiments, the forced swim being one of them. Probably suit midsomer murders. Obviously as I’m involved in med chem research I also work with pharmacologists and accept the need for animal research, albeit as little as possible. But some of the depression trials just baffles me. How can we be sure that the length of time a rat struggles in water equates to its state of mind? Maybe the ones who struggle for the shortest time are more intelligent and realise it’s pointless?
    I was just thinking the exact same! It's the perfect plot for a thriller. Sigh.

    I will just have to carve my feelings into other granitic butt plug instead.
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,185
    I *know* it’s not ‘brought back to life’ but reanimation is a great term...
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,147
    RobD said:

    @Leon thanks for that. I’m going to have nightmares now!

    He actually called it "The Pit of Despair". After toying with the name "the Dungeon of Despair"

    And "the Rape Rack"??

    WTAF

    Clearly perverse and horribly cruel. Jeesh
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,185
    Leon said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:
    He's right, from my team the requests for remote working are zero so far. Almost all of the responses are 3 or 4 days in office with a few choosing 1 day from home every fortnight and two in the 5 days in office, only one has opted for 3 days WFH and she already did two days WFH before all this started.

    The death of inner cities and offices are overdone and I expect the young, social under 40s will hold onto city life and that will force people back into offices as they will find their career growth stunted by remote working.
    As a contrary anecdote, none of the team I work in want to go back to the office , the exceptions being managers. Indeed my company has let all but the head office leases lapse and the head office is more a paper fiction having a staff of about 8 out of the 200 the company employs
    FOMO tho.

    You'll be sat at home and the keen youngsters will go in. They will have those chance meetings, water cooler moments, important drinks, which can help a business and advance a career in multiple ways. They will have the whole shared office experience which makes a *team mentality* - the jokes and anecdotes and crises and Days to Remember - you won't.

    They will make rapid progress, and be rewarded for their eagerness, the homesters might not.

    This stuff is actually more important in areas beyond the obvious (banking, law, insurance).

    In the creative industries the face to face stuff is absolutely crucial. Brainstorming doesn't work on Zoom. The lunch with that talented actor, dancer, writer, sculptor, agent, editor, singer, flint toy knapper, which tells you if they are any good, cannot happen if everyone is in their kitchen.

    Right now most media/arts companies - publishing, journalism, events, drama, music, are WFH. I expect all of them to come back for nearly all of the week.
    Team drinks have been pretty much a myth in any company I have worked for since 1990. Simple reason being when most finish work they have a 1 to 2 hour commute to go home often by car. Even for big things like the company christmas do it was rare to get more than 50% attendance.
    Fair enough. All I know is that central London pubs - esp in the City, Soho, Mayfair, the Wharf - were, generally, absolutely rammed after about 6pm pre-Covid. And not with tourists.
    London = no need to drive.

    Once you get outside London (and other cities) the idea of going for drinks after work falls apart very rapidly
    But Pagan2 talks of a 1-2 hour commute, generally by car. The only city big enough and rich enough to justify a 2 hour commute (in the UK) is London.

    Are there people commuting for 2 hours to get to Bristol?! Manc? Edinburgh? Why?? The nice villages begin - max - 30 minutes from the centre...
    That is just your londophilia talks personally you couldn't pay me enough to work there. Plus these nice villages you talk of are expensive to live in and those earning less get pushed out further.

    In addition as its quite common to change jobs these days most people still don't want to move every few years so for example since the 90's I have worked in epsom,slough,reading,wantage,aylesbury,swindon all without moving many of those were over an hour away
    If you're driving four hours a day to work anywhere you should move house, or change job. That is inhuman.

    Relatedly, right now I am suffering from insomnia (not sure if it is plague-related). So I spent nearly all of last night awake and reading Why We Sleep, a brilliant explanation of the latest sleep science

    https://www.amazon.co.uk/Why-We-Sleep-Science-Dreams/dp/0141983760

    It argues, most convincingly, that much of the western world is chronically sleep deprived, because of the pressures of work and commuting (as you illustrate). This in turn has caused, in part, the explosion in Alzheimer's, obesity, drug abuse, depression, and so on.

    The science on exactly how important good sleep is, to us, is fascinating, and hugely persuasive. eg I had no idea that every animal that has ever been closely studied has been found to sleep: in some form.

    eg it is commonly thought that sharks don't sleep, because they never close their eyes. Not true, they sleep like all animals, they just don't have eyelids.

    Birds sleep as they fly. Insects take a nap. Sleep is a fundamental part of all life. Get More Kip.
    Margaret Thatcher.
    Died with dementia, after claiming she lived on five hours kip a night. Ditto Ronald Reagan, he made a very similar claim, and died with dementia.

    And you know who else boasts of his meagre need for sleep?

    The Donald.

    The book is brilliant. I highly recommend.
    Though for a critique of the evidence for what is claimed:

    https://guzey.com/books/why-we-sleep/

    Hmm. He disputes that lack of sleep can, eventually, kill you.

    Without even going back to Walker's book. I am fairly certain that if you do not sleep at all, you will die

    Some lovely scientists actually did this to rats: deprived them of any sleep, day after day. They all died within weeks.

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/016643289500020T?via=ihub


    That is quite the experiment, if you examine it.

    I'm normally quite unsqueamish about these things: medicine must have its way.

    But these boffins sat down and worked out a method of how they could torture rats to death with sleep deprivation. Ugh. I wonder how THEY sleep at night.

    "Chronic sleep deprivation may be required to reveal the most serious physiological consequences of sleep loss, but it usually requires strong stimulation which can obscure the interpretation of effects. The disk-over-water method permits chronic sleep deprivation of rats with gentle physical stimulation that can be equally applied to yoked control rats"
    Was just thinking that today in the context of antidepressants which are routinely tested on rats in things like the "forced swim test" - a proxy for human depression so incredibly unsatisfying that the concomitant cruelty can never be justified.
    I have a desire to write a murder mystery where pharmacologists are murdered in the style of some of the animal experiments, the forced swim being one of them. Probably suit midsomer murders. Obviously as I’m involved in med chem research I also work with pharmacologists and accept the need for animal research, albeit as little as possible. But some of the depression trials just baffles me. How can we be sure that the length of time a rat struggles in water equates to its state of mind? Maybe the ones who struggle for the shortest time are more intelligent and realise it’s pointless?
    I was just thinking the exact same! It's the perfect plot for a thriller. Sigh.

    I will just have to carve my feelings into other granitic butt plug instead.
    If only one of us was a gifted writer of airport fiction...
  • Options
    Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 7,540

    Westminster Voting Intention:

    CON: 40% (=)
    LAB: 33% (-4)
    LDM: 11% (+1)
    GRN: 6% (+1)
    RFM: 3% (+1)
    UKIP: 2% (+1)

    Via
    @Kantar_UKI
    , 18-22 Feb.
    Changes w/ 21-25 Jan.

    SKS fans please explain

    DBMIVN (Don't blame me I voted Nandy)

    You are becoming as tiresome as the Boris rampers, picking and choosing your polls. I don't recall you commenting on yesterday's 2 point margin "outlier".
    manic keith preachers behind by between 2 or 7% when any other leader was going to be "ahead by 20%"

    Direction of travel is disastrous imo.


    You think SKS is doing well?

    No, I don't think SKS is doing particularly well. But nor do I think Nandy, who like you I voted for, would be faring much better at this stage. It's possible that her greater pizzazz and sense of humour would have helped, but given the pandemic I'm not so sure.

    Too many on the left are too impatient. All the stars are aligned for any government to get general support during this crisis unless it cocks everything up, and the Tories are benefiting from that "all in it together" mantra despite some huge errors. Arguably, the Tories should be even further ahead given the world-beating vaccination stuff and the fact that so many people are receiving most of their pay but not working. Starmer has had 10 months so far - that's all - and most polls show fair progress. Anything he or his colleagues say is drowned out by Covid. I'm not that keen on him at the moment, but I would reserve judgement until round about this time in 2023.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,231
    edited February 2021
    To come back to this morning’s discussion about exam grading, this is an interesting analysis:

    Exams go from control freakery to freewheeling
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/education-56196295

    But in one crucial respect it is wrong. The inconsistencies and major problems with the marking criteria, especially at GCSE, mean it is very difficult to judge what ‘level’ a student is working at. In History, we have just one year’s cohort to judge by (because OFQUAL buggered up the 2018 series). That isn’t enough.

    If it was the old GCSE, or indeed the old A-level, I don’t think there would be quite such variance in results.

    And that is why it is utter madness not to have proper external moderation processes.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,964

    IshmaelZ said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:
    He's right, from my team the requests for remote working are zero so far. Almost all of the responses are 3 or 4 days in office with a few choosing 1 day from home every fortnight and two in the 5 days in office, only one has opted for 3 days WFH and she already did two days WFH before all this started.

    The death of inner cities and offices are overdone and I expect the young, social under 40s will hold onto city life and that will force people back into offices as they will find their career growth stunted by remote working.
    As a contrary anecdote, none of the team I work in want to go back to the office , the exceptions being managers. Indeed my company has let all but the head office leases lapse and the head office is more a paper fiction having a staff of about 8 out of the 200 the company employs
    FOMO tho.

    You'll be sat at home and the keen youngsters will go in. They will have those chance meetings, water cooler moments, important drinks, which can help a business and advance a career in multiple ways. They will have the whole shared office experience which makes a *team mentality* - the jokes and anecdotes and crises and Days to Remember - you won't.

    They will make rapid progress, and be rewarded for their eagerness, the homesters might not.

    This stuff is actually more important in areas beyond the obvious (banking, law, insurance).

    In the creative industries the face to face stuff is absolutely crucial. Brainstorming doesn't work on Zoom. The lunch with that talented actor, dancer, writer, sculptor, agent, editor, singer, flint toy knapper, which tells you if they are any good, cannot happen if everyone is in their kitchen.

    Right now most media/arts companies - publishing, journalism, events, drama, music, are WFH. I expect all of them to come back for nearly all of the week.
    Team drinks have been pretty much a myth in any company I have worked for since 1990. Simple reason being when most finish work they have a 1 to 2 hour commute to go home often by car. Even for big things like the company christmas do it was rare to get more than 50% attendance.
    Fair enough. All I know is that central London pubs - esp in the City, Soho, Mayfair, the Wharf - were, generally, absolutely rammed after about 6pm pre-Covid. And not with tourists.
    London = no need to drive.

    Once you get outside London (and other cities) the idea of going for drinks after work falls apart very rapidly
    But Pagan2 talks of a 1-2 hour commute, generally by car. The only city big enough and rich enough to justify a 2 hour commute (in the UK) is London.

    Are there people commuting for 2 hours to get to Bristol?! Manc? Edinburgh? Why?? The nice villages begin - max - 30 minutes from the centre...
    That is just your londophilia talks personally you couldn't pay me enough to work there. Plus these nice villages you talk of are expensive to live in and those earning less get pushed out further.

    In addition as its quite common to change jobs these days most people still don't want to move every few years so for example since the 90's I have worked in epsom,slough,reading,wantage,aylesbury,swindon all without moving many of those were over an hour away
    If you're driving four hours a day to work anywhere you should move house, or change job. That is inhuman.

    Relatedly, right now I am suffering from insomnia (not sure if it is plague-related). So I spent nearly all of last night awake and reading Why We Sleep, a brilliant explanation of the latest sleep science

    https://www.amazon.co.uk/Why-We-Sleep-Science-Dreams/dp/0141983760

    It argues, most convincingly, that much of the western world is chronically sleep deprived, because of the pressures of work and commuting (as you illustrate). This in turn has caused, in part, the explosion in Alzheimer's, obesity, drug abuse, depression, and so on.

    The science on exactly how important good sleep is, to us, is fascinating, and hugely persuasive. eg I had no idea that every animal that has ever been closely studied has been found to sleep: in some form.

    eg it is commonly thought that sharks don't sleep, because they never close their eyes. Not true, they sleep like all animals, they just don't have eyelids.

    Birds sleep as they fly. Insects take a nap. Sleep is a fundamental part of all life. Get More Kip.
    Margaret Thatcher.
    Died with dementia, after claiming she lived on five hours kip a night. Ditto Ronald Reagan, he made a very similar claim, and died with dementia.

    And you know who else boasts of his meagre need for sleep?

    The Donald.

    The book is brilliant. I highly recommend.
    Though for a critique of the evidence for what is claimed:

    https://guzey.com/books/why-we-sleep/

    Hmm. He disputes that lack of sleep can, eventually, kill you.

    Without even going back to Walker's book. I am fairly certain that if you do not sleep at all, you will die

    Some lovely scientists actually did this to rats: deprived them of any sleep, day after day. They all died within weeks.

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/016643289500020T?via=ihub


    That is quite the experiment, if you examine it.

    I'm normally quite unsqueamish about these things: medicine must have its way.

    But these boffins sat down and worked out a method of how they could torture rats to death with sleep deprivation. Ugh. I wonder how THEY sleep at night.

    "Chronic sleep deprivation may be required to reveal the most serious physiological consequences of sleep loss, but it usually requires strong stimulation which can obscure the interpretation of effects. The disk-over-water method permits chronic sleep deprivation of rats with gentle physical stimulation that can be equally applied to yoked control rats"
    Was just thinking that today in the context of antidepressants which are routinely tested on rats in things like the "forced swim test" - a proxy for human depression so incredibly unsatisfying that the concomitant cruelty can never be justified.
    I have a desire to write a murder mystery where pharmacologists are murdered in the style of some of the animal experiments, the forced swim being one of them. Probably suit midsomer murders. Obviously as I’m involved in med chem research I also work with pharmacologists and accept the need for animal research, albeit as little as possible. But some of the depression trials just baffles me. How can we be sure that the length of time a rat struggles in water equates to its state of mind? Maybe the ones who struggle for the shortest time are more intelligent and realise it’s pointless?
    Yeah, I can understand doing some but at a very small level. Isolating a monkey in a box for a year? There is literally no need to do that.
  • Options
    stodgestodge Posts: 12,854
    Evening all :)

    I have to say one of the huge benefits of the last 11 months of lockdown for me has been sleep. As I don't have to commute, I get two hours extra sleep every night and I feel so much better for it.

    Fortunately, I don't work for Goldman Sachs whose CEO sounds like a typical macho management control freak and bully. He hides behind notions of "collaborative working" and "mentoring" and "mental health" but he sounds as though he just wants his poor staff back in the office as he feels he's not getting his ton of flesh from them at home.

    It's interesting to see train operators realise the day of the commute is over and thinking about a different form of train service with more services catering for leisure at weekends which means re-thinking engineering works and track maintenance. It could be a huge fillip for some areas which have seen a declining service but if we are looking at a lot of staycations this summer we need the train service to get those who are able to the coast and countryside.

    I also note the Jockey Club has slapped down a proposal to move the Grand National back a week to take advantage of the proposed re-opening of betting shops on April 12th. It's another blow to the bookmaking industry and to racing as well which stood to gain from returning betting shop turnover.
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,115

    Barnesian said:

    justin124 said:

    Westminster Voting Intention:

    CON: 40% (=)
    LAB: 33% (-4)
    LDM: 11% (+1)
    GRN: 6% (+1)
    RFM: 3% (+1)
    UKIP: 2% (+1)

    Via
    @Kantar_UKI
    , 18-22 Feb.
    Changes w/ 21-25 Jan.

    SKS fans please explain

    DBMIVN (Don't blame me I voted Nandy)

    What has caused the sudden surge in LD support to 11%?
    I think the LibDems will remain invisible at national level but are firing up the Quattro at local level.
    It is the usual story of fighting for coverage in any National media when most papers and channels are talking about vaccine, holidays and schoolchildren at home. It's the same reason that Johnson's government is getting away with the massive decline in our exports in certain industries due to the new Brexit paperwork without any real comeback.
    But the more unusual story is that they appear to have nothing to say. On anything. They invested so heavily in "Bollocks to Brexit", that with it gone they appear, well, emasculated.
  • Options
    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,610
    ydoethur said:

    To come back to this morning’s discussion about exam grading, this is an interesting analysis:

    Exams go from control freakery to freewheeling
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/education-56196295

    But in one crucial respect it is wrong. The inconsistencies and major problems with the marking criteria, especially at GCSE, mean it is very difficult to judge what ‘level’ a student is working at. In History, we have just one year’s cohort to judge by (because OFQUAL buggered up the 2018 series). That isn’t enough.

    If it was the old GCSE, or indeed the old A-level, I don’t think there would be quite such variance in results.

    And that is why it is utter madness not to have proper external moderation processes.

    It is. We are undergoing an interesting experiment where some people who would normally get into Med School get crowded out by others with inflated grades. Will they be able to hack it? Will they get chucked out after resits? Will it do something for social mobility, or will it entrench privilege?

    A very interesting experiment, but I am glad that neither me or mine are the lab rats in this one.
  • Options
    MattWMattW Posts: 18,525
    Leon said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:
    He's right, from my team the requests for remote working are zero so far. Almost all of the responses are 3 or 4 days in office with a few choosing 1 day from home every fortnight and two in the 5 days in office, only one has opted for 3 days WFH and she already did two days WFH before all this started.

    The death of inner cities and offices are overdone and I expect the young, social under 40s will hold onto city life and that will force people back into offices as they will find their career growth stunted by remote working.
    As a contrary anecdote, none of the team I work in want to go back to the office , the exceptions being managers. Indeed my company has let all but the head office leases lapse and the head office is more a paper fiction having a staff of about 8 out of the 200 the company employs
    FOMO tho.

    You'll be sat at home and the keen youngsters will go in. They will have those chance meetings, water cooler moments, important drinks, which can help a business and advance a career in multiple ways. They will have the whole shared office experience which makes a *team mentality* - the jokes and anecdotes and crises and Days to Remember - you won't.

    They will make rapid progress, and be rewarded for their eagerness, the homesters might not.

    This stuff is actually more important in areas beyond the obvious (banking, law, insurance).

    In the creative industries the face to face stuff is absolutely crucial. Brainstorming doesn't work on Zoom. The lunch with that talented actor, dancer, writer, sculptor, agent, editor, singer, flint toy knapper, which tells you if they are any good, cannot happen if everyone is in their kitchen.

    Right now most media/arts companies - publishing, journalism, events, drama, music, are WFH. I expect all of them to come back for nearly all of the week.
    Team drinks have been pretty much a myth in any company I have worked for since 1990. Simple reason being when most finish work they have a 1 to 2 hour commute to go home often by car. Even for big things like the company christmas do it was rare to get more than 50% attendance.
    Fair enough. All I know is that central London pubs - esp in the City, Soho, Mayfair, the Wharf - were, generally, absolutely rammed after about 6pm pre-Covid. And not with tourists.
    London = no need to drive.

    Once you get outside London (and other cities) the idea of going for drinks after work falls apart very rapidly
    But Pagan2 talks of a 1-2 hour commute, generally by car. The only city big enough and rich enough to justify a 2 hour commute (in the UK) is London.

    Are there people commuting for 2 hours to get to Bristol?! Manc? Edinburgh? Why?? The nice villages begin - max - 30 minutes from the centre...
    That is just your londophilia talks personally you couldn't pay me enough to work there. Plus these nice villages you talk of are expensive to live in and those earning less get pushed out further.

    In addition as its quite common to change jobs these days most people still don't want to move every few years so for example since the 90's I have worked in epsom,slough,reading,wantage,aylesbury,swindon all without moving many of those were over an hour away
    If you're driving four hours a day to work anywhere you should move house, or change job. That is inhuman.

    Relatedly, right now I am suffering from insomnia (not sure if it is plague-related). So I spent nearly all of last night awake and reading Why We Sleep, a brilliant explanation of the latest sleep science

    https://www.amazon.co.uk/Why-We-Sleep-Science-Dreams/dp/0141983760

    It argues, most convincingly, that much of the western world is chronically sleep deprived, because of the pressures of work and commuting (as you illustrate). This in turn has caused, in part, the explosion in Alzheimer's, obesity, drug abuse, depression, and so on.

    The science on exactly how important good sleep is, to us, is fascinating, and hugely persuasive. eg I had no idea that every animal that has ever been closely studied has been found to sleep: in some form.

    eg it is commonly thought that sharks don't sleep, because they never close their eyes. Not true, they sleep like all animals, they just don't have eyelids.

    Birds sleep as they fly. Insects take a nap. Sleep is a fundamental part of all life. Get More Kip.
    Margaret Thatcher.
    Died with dementia, after claiming she lived on five hours kip a night. Ditto Ronald Reagan, he made a very similar claim, and died with dementia.

    And you know who else boasts of his meagre need for sleep?

    The Donald.

    The book is brilliant. I highly recommend.
    Though for a critique of the evidence for what is claimed:

    https://guzey.com/books/why-we-sleep/

    Hmm. He disputes that lack of sleep can, eventually, kill you.

    Without even going back to Walker's book. I am fairly certain that if you do not sleep at all, you will die

    Some lovely scientists actually did this to rats: deprived them of any sleep, day after day. They all died within weeks.

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/016643289500020T?via=ihub


    That is quite the experiment, if you examine it.

    I'm normally quite unsqueamish about these things: medicine must have its way.

    But these boffins sat down and worked out a method of how they could torture rats to death with sleep deprivation. Ugh. I wonder how THEY sleep at night.

    "Chronic sleep deprivation may be required to reveal the most serious physiological consequences of sleep loss, but it usually requires strong stimulation which can obscure the interpretation of effects. The disk-over-water method permits chronic sleep deprivation of rats with gentle physical stimulation that can be equally applied to yoked control rats"
    Was just thinking that today in the context of antidepressants which are routinely tested on rats in things like the "forced swim test" - a proxy for human depression so incredibly unsatisfying that the concomitant cruelty can never be justified.
    I have a desire to write a murder mystery where pharmacologists are murdered in the style of some of the animal experiments, the forced swim being one of them. Probably suit midsomer murders. Obviously as I’m involved in med chem research I also work with pharmacologists and accept the need for animal research, albeit as little as possible. But some of the depression trials just baffles me. How can we be sure that the length of time a rat struggles in water equates to its state of mind? Maybe the ones who struggle for the shortest time are more intelligent and realise it’s pointless?
    I was just thinking the exact same! It's the perfect plot for a thriller. Sigh.

    I will just have to carve my feelings into other granitic butt plug instead.
    What about following Agatha Christie?

    "27 Little Commissioners"
  • Options

    Barnesian said:

    justin124 said:

    Westminster Voting Intention:

    CON: 40% (=)
    LAB: 33% (-4)
    LDM: 11% (+1)
    GRN: 6% (+1)
    RFM: 3% (+1)
    UKIP: 2% (+1)

    Via
    @Kantar_UKI
    , 18-22 Feb.
    Changes w/ 21-25 Jan.

    SKS fans please explain

    DBMIVN (Don't blame me I voted Nandy)

    What has caused the sudden surge in LD support to 11%?
    I think the LibDems will remain invisible at national level but are firing up the Quattro at local level.
    It is the usual story of fighting for coverage in any National media when most papers and channels are talking about vaccine, holidays and schoolchildren at home. It's the same reason that Johnson's government is getting away with the massive decline in our exports in certain industries due to the new Brexit paperwork without any real comeback.
    But the more unusual story is that they appear to have nothing to say. On anything. They invested so heavily in "Bollocks to Brexit", that with it gone they appear, well, emasculated.
    How do you know that? It's a vicious circle. They don't get covered, so we don't know what they are saying, which leads to them not having anything to contribute.

    Usual story. Those in charge of the agenda (the government) have everything their way.
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,115
    edited February 2021

    Barnesian said:

    justin124 said:

    Westminster Voting Intention:

    CON: 40% (=)
    LAB: 33% (-4)
    LDM: 11% (+1)
    GRN: 6% (+1)
    RFM: 3% (+1)
    UKIP: 2% (+1)

    Via
    @Kantar_UKI
    , 18-22 Feb.
    Changes w/ 21-25 Jan.

    SKS fans please explain

    DBMIVN (Don't blame me I voted Nandy)

    What has caused the sudden surge in LD support to 11%?
    I think the LibDems will remain invisible at national level but are firing up the Quattro at local level.
    It is the usual story of fighting for coverage in any National media when most papers and channels are talking about vaccine, holidays and schoolchildren at home. It's the same reason that Johnson's government is getting away with the massive decline in our exports in certain industries due to the new Brexit paperwork without any real comeback.
    But the more unusual story is that they appear to have nothing to say. On anything. They invested so heavily in "Bollocks to Brexit", that with it gone they appear, well, emasculated.
    How do you know that? It's a vicious circle. They don't get covered, so we don't know what they are saying, which leads to them not having anything to contribute.

    Usual story. Those in charge of the agenda (the government) have everything their way.
    Because if they had any story, we would hear it on pb.com. Their supporters here are not exactly shy and retiring.

    The utter silence from the LibDems here tells the story. Sir Ed is leading the way - by saying nothing.
  • Options
    MattWMattW Posts: 18,525
    edited February 2021

    Barnesian said:

    justin124 said:

    Westminster Voting Intention:

    CON: 40% (=)
    LAB: 33% (-4)
    LDM: 11% (+1)
    GRN: 6% (+1)
    RFM: 3% (+1)
    UKIP: 2% (+1)

    Via
    @Kantar_UKI
    , 18-22 Feb.
    Changes w/ 21-25 Jan.

    SKS fans please explain

    DBMIVN (Don't blame me I voted Nandy)

    What has caused the sudden surge in LD support to 11%?
    I think the LibDems will remain invisible at national level but are firing up the Quattro at local level.
    It is the usual story of fighting for coverage in any National media when most papers and channels are talking about vaccine, holidays and schoolchildren at home. It's the same reason that Johnson's government is getting away with the massive decline in our exports in certain industries due to the new Brexit paperwork without any real comeback.
    But the more unusual story is that they appear to have nothing to say. On anything. They invested so heavily in "Bollocks to Brexit", that with it gone they appear, well, emasculated.
    Does anyone know about current Lib Dem policies? Have they published anything recently?

    I get the impression that they are doing too much trying to poke the govt in the eye, and not coming up with new ideas.

    And that now is a time when everything is changing, which would seem ideal for some new ideas :smile:
  • Options
    theProletheProle Posts: 948
    edited February 2021
    malcolmg said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Pagan2 said:

    DougSeal said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:
    He's right, from my team the requests for remote working are zero so far. Almost all of the responses are 3 or 4 days in office with a few choosing 1 day from home every fortnight and two in the 5 days in office, only one has opted for 3 days WFH and she already did two days WFH before all this started.

    The death of inner cities and offices are overdone and I expect the young, social under 40s will hold onto city life and that will force people back into offices as they will find their career growth stunted by remote working.
    As a contrary anecdote, none of the team I work in want to go back to the office , the exceptions being managers. Indeed my company has let all but the head office leases lapse and the head office is more a paper fiction having a staff of about 8 out of the 200 the company employs
    FOMO tho.

    You'll be sat at home and the keen youngsters will go in. They will have those chance meetings, water cooler moments, important drinks, which can help a business and advance a career in multiple ways. They will have the whole shared office experience which makes a *team mentality* - the jokes and anecdotes and crises and Days to Remember - you won't.

    They will make rapid progress, and be rewarded for their eagerness, the homesters might not.

    This stuff is actually more important in areas beyond the obvious (banking, law, insurance).

    In the creative industries the face to face stuff is absolutely crucial. Brainstorming doesn't work on Zoom. The lunch with that talented actor, dancer, writer, sculptor, agent, editor, singer, flint toy knapper, which tells you if they are any good, cannot happen if everyone is in their kitchen.

    Right now most media/arts companies - publishing, journalism, events, drama, music, are WFH. I expect all of them to come back for nearly all of the week.
    Team drinks have been pretty much a myth in any company I have worked for since 1990. Simple reason being when most finish work they have a 1 to 2 hour commute to go home often by car. Even for big things like the company christmas do it was rare to get more than 50% attendance.
    You've been working for the wrong companies.
    Or maybe I am just one of those people who has a perfectly adequate social life and don't need to socialise with random work colleagues?
    I think the distinction between city dwellers and more suburban people is the biggest difference.

    If you're driving home then after work drinks are not a good option. The overwhelming majority of the country drives home, but those who don't seem to view their choices as the mainstream.

    If you drink and drive you're a bloody idiot.
    You sometimes risk a shandy, though, as I recall. A shandy and then you get behind the wheel.
    Not very often, but yes a single shandy especially over a meal, is well within the limits and not a risk.

    I won't drink more than that though, so I won't have even a single pint.
    Fair enough. A shandy is alcoholic though. Many people consider it a soft drink but it isn't. Depending how it's made it can have quite a kick.
    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Pagan2 said:

    DougSeal said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:
    He's right, from my team the requests for remote working are zero so far. Almost all of the responses are 3 or 4 days in office with a few choosing 1 day from home every fortnight and two in the 5 days in office, only one has opted for 3 days WFH and she already did two days WFH before all this started.

    The death of inner cities and offices are overdone and I expect the young, social under 40s will hold onto city life and that will force people back into offices as they will find their career growth stunted by remote working.
    As a contrary anecdote, none of the team I work in want to go back to the office , the exceptions being managers. Indeed my company has let all but the head office leases lapse and the head office is more a paper fiction having a staff of about 8 out of the 200 the company employs
    FOMO tho.

    You'll be sat at home and the keen youngsters will go in. They will have those chance meetings, water cooler moments, important drinks, which can help a business and advance a career in multiple ways. They will have the whole shared office experience which makes a *team mentality* - the jokes and anecdotes and crises and Days to Remember - you won't.

    They will make rapid progress, and be rewarded for their eagerness, the homesters might not.

    This stuff is actually more important in areas beyond the obvious (banking, law, insurance).

    In the creative industries the face to face stuff is absolutely crucial. Brainstorming doesn't work on Zoom. The lunch with that talented actor, dancer, writer, sculptor, agent, editor, singer, flint toy knapper, which tells you if they are any good, cannot happen if everyone is in their kitchen.

    Right now most media/arts companies - publishing, journalism, events, drama, music, are WFH. I expect all of them to come back for nearly all of the week.
    Team drinks have been pretty much a myth in any company I have worked for since 1990. Simple reason being when most finish work they have a 1 to 2 hour commute to go home often by car. Even for big things like the company christmas do it was rare to get more than 50% attendance.
    You've been working for the wrong companies.
    Or maybe I am just one of those people who has a perfectly adequate social life and don't need to socialise with random work colleagues?
    I think the distinction between city dwellers and more suburban people is the biggest difference.

    If you're driving home then after work drinks are not a good option. The overwhelming majority of the country drives home, but those who don't seem to view their choices as the mainstream.

    If you drink and drive you're a bloody idiot.
    You sometimes risk a shandy, though, as I recall. A shandy and then you get behind the wheel.
    Not very often, but yes a single shandy especially over a meal, is well within the limits and not a risk.

    I won't drink more than that though, so I won't have even a single pint.
    Fair enough. A shandy is alcoholic though. Many people consider it a soft drink but it isn't. Depending how it's made it can have quite a kick.
    It is half a pint of lager with same of lemonade, not enough to make a budgie over the limit.
    I remember getting to a steam rally, having helped road in a traction engine (as in drive it there under its own steam at an average speed of about 7mph) - 14 hard hours on the road without stopping for anything to eat, so fairly tired, and running on empty. I don't usually drink a lot, but for some reason I had a pint of lager shandy, and it left me feeling like I'd been pole-axed!
  • Options
    stodgestodge Posts: 12,854



    How do you know that? It's a vicious circle. They don't get covered, so we don't know what they are saying, which leads to them not having anything to contribute.

    Usual story. Those in charge of the agenda (the government) have everything their way.

    I wouldn't worry about the frequent "what's the point of the Lib Dems?" from some on here. It's part of the background noise - the Party doesn't have to justify its existence to Conservative activists.

    Try asking them "what's the point of the Conservative Party?".

  • Options
    TimTTimT Posts: 6,328
    For anyone who is interested, here is the document J&J submitted to the FDA for the approval process:

    https://www.fda.gov/media/146219/download
  • Options
    LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 15,233

    Roger said:

    justin124 said:

    Westminster Voting Intention:

    CON: 40% (=)
    LAB: 33% (-4)
    LDM: 11% (+1)
    GRN: 6% (+1)
    RFM: 3% (+1)
    UKIP: 2% (+1)

    Via
    @Kantar_UKI
    , 18-22 Feb.
    Changes w/ 21-25 Jan.

    SKS fans please explain

    DBMIVN (Don't blame me I voted Nandy)

    What has caused the sudden surge in LD support to 11%?
    Ed Davey doesn't try to squeeze three Union Jacks into the background every time he does an interview? It works for me,
    Who would bother to interview Ed Davey?
    There have been two stories tagged with Ed Davey on the Guardian website since the end of September. That's nearly five months.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ed-davey

    (Caroline Lucas has three)
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,586
    Leon said:

    RobD said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Leon said:

    Pagan2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:
    He's right, from my team the requests for remote working are zero so far. Almost all of the responses are 3 or 4 days in office with a few choosing 1 day from home every fortnight and two in the 5 days in office, only one has opted for 3 days WFH and she already did two days WFH before all this started.

    The death of inner cities and offices are overdone and I expect the young, social under 40s will hold onto city life and that will force people back into offices as they will find their career growth stunted by remote working.
    As a contrary anecdote, none of the team I work in want to go back to the office , the exceptions being managers. Indeed my company has let all but the head office leases lapse and the head office is more a paper fiction having a staff of about 8 out of the 200 the company employs
    FOMO tho.

    You'll be sat at home and the keen youngsters will go in. They will have those chance meetings, water cooler moments, important drinks, which can help a business and advance a career in multiple ways. They will have the whole shared office experience which makes a *team mentality* - the jokes and anecdotes and crises and Days to Remember - you won't.

    They will make rapid progress, and be rewarded for their eagerness, the homesters might not.

    This stuff is actually more important in areas beyond the obvious (banking, law, insurance).

    In the creative industries the face to face stuff is absolutely crucial. Brainstorming doesn't work on Zoom. The lunch with that talented actor, dancer, writer, sculptor, agent, editor, singer, flint toy knapper, which tells you if they are any good, cannot happen if everyone is in their kitchen.

    Right now most media/arts companies - publishing, journalism, events, drama, music, are WFH. I expect all of them to come back for nearly all of the week.
    Team drinks have been pretty much a myth in any company I have worked for since 1990. Simple reason being when most finish work they have a 1 to 2 hour commute to go home often by car. Even for big things like the company christmas do it was rare to get more than 50% attendance.
    Fair enough. All I know is that central London pubs - esp in the City, Soho, Mayfair, the Wharf - were, generally, absolutely rammed after about 6pm pre-Covid. And not with tourists.
    London = no need to drive.

    Once you get outside London (and other cities) the idea of going for drinks after work falls apart very rapidly
    But Pagan2 talks of a 1-2 hour commute, generally by car. The only city big enough and rich enough to justify a 2 hour commute (in the UK) is London.

    Are there people commuting for 2 hours to get to Bristol?! Manc? Edinburgh? Why?? The nice villages begin - max - 30 minutes from the centre...
    That is just your londophilia talks personally you couldn't pay me enough to work there. Plus these nice villages you talk of are expensive to live in and those earning less get pushed out further.

    In addition as its quite common to change jobs these days most people still don't want to move every few years so for example since the 90's I have worked in epsom,slough,reading,wantage,aylesbury,swindon all without moving many of those were over an hour away
    If you're driving four hours a day to work anywhere you should move house, or change job. That is inhuman.

    Relatedly, right now I am suffering from insomnia (not sure if it is plague-related). So I spent nearly all of last night awake and reading Why We Sleep, a brilliant explanation of the latest sleep science

    https://www.amazon.co.uk/Why-We-Sleep-Science-Dreams/dp/0141983760

    It argues, most convincingly, that much of the western world is chronically sleep deprived, because of the pressures of work and commuting (as you illustrate). This in turn has caused, in part, the explosion in Alzheimer's, obesity, drug abuse, depression, and so on.

    The science on exactly how important good sleep is, to us, is fascinating, and hugely persuasive. eg I had no idea that every animal that has ever been closely studied has been found to sleep: in some form.

    eg it is commonly thought that sharks don't sleep, because they never close their eyes. Not true, they sleep like all animals, they just don't have eyelids.

    Birds sleep as they fly. Insects take a nap. Sleep is a fundamental part of all life. Get More Kip.
    Margaret Thatcher.
    Died with dementia, after claiming she lived on five hours kip a night. Ditto Ronald Reagan, he made a very similar claim, and died with dementia.

    And you know who else boasts of his meagre need for sleep?

    The Donald.

    The book is brilliant. I highly recommend.
    Though for a critique of the evidence for what is claimed:

    https://guzey.com/books/why-we-sleep/

    Hmm. He disputes that lack of sleep can, eventually, kill you.

    Without even going back to Walker's book. I am fairly certain that if you do not sleep at all, you will die

    Some lovely scientists actually did this to rats: deprived them of any sleep, day after day. They all died within weeks.

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/016643289500020T?via=ihub


    That is quite the experiment, if you examine it.

    I'm normally quite unsqueamish about these things: medicine must have its way.

    But these boffins sat down and worked out a method of how they could torture rats to death with sleep deprivation. Ugh. I wonder how THEY sleep at night.

    "Chronic sleep deprivation may be required to reveal the most serious physiological consequences of sleep loss, but it usually requires strong stimulation which can obscure the interpretation of effects. The disk-over-water method permits chronic sleep deprivation of rats with gentle physical stimulation that can be equally applied to yoked control rats"
    Yeah, a bit uncomfortable reading that.
    It reminds me of the infamously cruel experiment on rhesus monkeys: depriving them of mothers, done by Harry Harlow

    Reading Harlow's Wiki page - just now - I find the same scientist was responsible for this experiment (which I did not know, and which is even worse). What a lovely chap

    "Harlow's first experiments involved isolating a monkey in a cage surrounded by steel walls with a small one-way mirror, so the experimenters could look in, but the monkey could not look out. The only connection the monkey had with the world was when the experimenters' hands changed his bedding or delivered fresh water and food. Baby monkeys were placed in these boxes soon after birth; four were left for 30 days, four for six months, and four for a year. After 30 days, the "total isolates", as they were called, were found to be "enormously disturbed". After being isolated for a year, they barely moved, did not explore or play, and were incapable of having sexual relations. When placed with other monkeys for a daily play session, they were badly bullied. Two of them refused to eat and starved themselves to death.

    "Harlow also wanted to test how isolation would affect parenting skills, but the isolates were unable to mate. Artificial insemination had not then been developed; instead, Harlow devised what he called a "rape rack", to which the female isolates were tied in normal monkey mating posture. He found that, just as they were incapable of having sexual relations, they were also unable to parent their offspring, either abusing or neglecting them. "Not even in our most devious dreams could we have designed a surrogate as evil as these real monkey mothers were", he wrote. Having no social experience themselves, they were incapable of appropriate social interaction. One mother held her baby's face to the floor and chewed off his feet and fingers. Another crushed her baby's head."

    Jesus F Christ

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pit_of_despair

    And yet, it does tell us something about humans. The same way some Nazi science done in the death camps is still paradoxically and troublingly useful.
    ”Not even in our most devious dreams could we have designed a surrogate as evil as these real monkey mothers were"

    Utterly lacking in self awareness, as well as empathy.
  • Options
    MattWMattW Posts: 18,525

    Roger said:

    justin124 said:

    Westminster Voting Intention:

    CON: 40% (=)
    LAB: 33% (-4)
    LDM: 11% (+1)
    GRN: 6% (+1)
    RFM: 3% (+1)
    UKIP: 2% (+1)

    Via
    @Kantar_UKI
    , 18-22 Feb.
    Changes w/ 21-25 Jan.

    SKS fans please explain

    DBMIVN (Don't blame me I voted Nandy)

    What has caused the sudden surge in LD support to 11%?
    Ed Davey doesn't try to squeeze three Union Jacks into the background every time he does an interview? It works for me,
    Who would bother to interview Ed Davey?
    There have been two stories tagged with Ed Davey on the Guardian website since the end of September. That's nearly five months.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ed-davey

    (Caroline Lucas has three)
    Caroline Lucas is not the Leader of a Political party, so you can't compare them :-) .
  • Options
    contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818
    Quite a few stories of Tory tax rebellions tonight (Telly/FT).

    Did the backbenchers expect spending close to half a trillion would come without a price tag?
  • Options
    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,942
    stodge said:



    How do you know that? It's a vicious circle. They don't get covered, so we don't know what they are saying, which leads to them not having anything to contribute.

    Usual story. Those in charge of the agenda (the government) have everything their way.

    I wouldn't worry about the frequent "what's the point of the Lib Dems?" from some on here. It's part of the background noise - the Party doesn't have to justify its existence to Conservative activists.

    Try asking them "what's the point of the Conservative Party?".

    Quite lately, and in the medium term, it has been about winning power and empowering individuals over vested interests.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607
    TimT said:

    For anyone who is interested, here is the document J&J submitted to the FDA for the approval process:

    https://www.fda.gov/media/146219/download

    Thanks for this, the numbers really do look quite similar to the AZ real world study for 28 days post single dose that we've seen recently. I wonder whether all of the vaccines will end up around the same place with one dose and with two.
  • Options
    Point of information: Margaret Thatcher's infamous 4-5 hours a night of sleep were an act of will, not choice.

    She did so because of the dedication to her work and the job. It's all in Charles Moore's exceptionally well-researched and referenced biography.

    On the one opportunity she got to take a full 8-hour sleep shortly after GE1987 she took it, and said after she hadn't felt better in years.
This discussion has been closed.