politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This week’s Ashcroft phone poll sees LAB move to 6%
Options
Comments
-
Hand was off the bat - batsman shouldn't have walked.0
-
Just lost signal -- heard of wicket nine on PB0
-
Apparently that shouldn't have been out because his hand wasn't holding the bat
If he hadn't walked off and waited for the decision it would have been given not out.0 -
Where do you negotiate with Rupe?volcanopete said:No doubt about it televised cricket belongs on the BBC.What on earth is the point of having an Establishment if it does not represent the supremacy of cricket to all other sports in the nation's TV broadcasts?I refuse to have Murdoch in the house.
In the WC at the bottom of the garden?
0 -
REVIEW !0
-
I think he hit that.0
-
Review..........0
-
Goal line review.0
-
The tension, the drama, the excitement, oh wait, Ascot starts tomorrow !!0
-
Still one ball left.0
-
Great test match.
Justice done.0 -
Good finish though. Shove your soccerball up your Oezil.0
-
Aaaargh what's going on???0
-
"You never lose money by laying a Test Match draw".
PB Golden Rule tarnished.0 -
Maybe England lost the match so that Ballance could score a century. Interesting debating point.0
-
Close but no cigar0
-
Isn't it about time the Portuguese devalued?
Or is this not allowed?0 -
England would likely have won but for their abysmal over rate in the SL first innings where they lost several overs.0
-
YES vote percentage rising in the Line betting markets, now at:
43.5% at Paddy Power
44% at Ladbrokes
10/11 both above and below the line.0 -
They could devalue by 90% and then call the new currency the Osborne.AveryLP said:Isn't it about time the Portuguese devalued?
Or is this not allowed?
22.7 Gordons = 1 Osborne0 -
Well I've lost all my bets today. But there's always Iran/Nigeria and USA/Ghana!0
-
IndyRef Turnout
Over 70% tightens to 4/6 at William Hill (from 8/11).
The Ladbrokes Line is now at 78% Turnout -> 5/6 both above and below that line.0 -
Like a manhole cover in a flash flood.Stuart_Dickson said:YES vote percentage rising...
The promise of an effluent future.0 -
Gordons?Alanbrooke said:
They could devalue by 90% and then call the new currency the Osborne.AveryLP said:Isn't it about time the Portuguese devalued?
Or is this not allowed?
22.7 Gordons = 1 Osborne
You are on the gin again, Mr. Brooke!
0 -
0
-
Paddy Power
Conservatives to poll more votes and win more seats than Labour 11/10
Labour to poll more votes and win more seats than Conservatives 11/8
Labour to poll fewer votes and win more seats than Conservatives 11/4
Conservatives to poll fewer votes and win more seats than Labour 66/10 -
So, now you are likening Yes voters with effluent. Nice. CyberBritNats turn the stomach.AveryLP said:
Like a manhole cover in a flash flood.Stuart_Dickson said:YES vote percentage rising...
The promise of an effluent future.
0 -
Obama is all epideictic rhetoric, as LIAMT would say.AndyJS said:0 -
nah they've been the worlds No1 or No2 exporter for the last decade, slugging it out with China. Germany is well ahead on GDP having recovered lost production in about 3 years. We've just reached our 2008 peak.SeanT said:
Germany Europe's most robust economy?Alanbrooke said:
Hmm. It's the biggest, by sheer size of population, but there are others which are considerably richer per head (Sweden, Switzerland, Norway, Austria) and others with lower unemployment, better growth, &c.
Germany is best described as the "least damaged of Europe's large economies in the Great Recession", a rather different thing.
They are of course heavily assisted by the Euro keeping their currency artifically low, hence why they love Europe and all the medlands are pissed off since they pick up the bill for germany's cost advantage.0 -
0
-
Germany are the only football team that are both excellent and non-exciting to watch. Watching them play is a bit like watching an experiment in football tactics.0
-
Couple of new Birmingham markets at Shadsy's. Rock solid LAB seats, so one wonders why he bothers.
Birmingham Hodge Hill (Lab Maj, Liam Byrne = 10,302)
Lab 1/100
UKIP 25/1
LD 66/1
100 bar
Birmingham Perry Barr (Lab Maj, Khalid Mahmood = 11,908)
Lab 1/100
Con 25/1
UKIP 50/1
LD 50/10 -
could we send them Rooney to liven things up ?AndyJS said:Germany are the only football team that are both excellent and non-exciting to watch. Watching them play is a bit like watching an experiment in football tactics.
0 -
Anyone backing No at 1.26 needs their head felt.AndyJS said:Latest Indy odds:
Yes 4.7
No 1.26
http://www.betfair.com/exchange/politics/market?exp=e&id=1.110033387
0 -
Jose Maria Aznar lauds Margaret Thatcher
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/margaret-thatcher/10903951/Margaret-Thatcher-was-a-champion-of-freedom-exactly-what-Europe-needs-now.html0 -
Does that include the person who backed No with £400,000? I can't remember what the exact odds were in his case.Stuart_Dickson said:
Anyone backing No at 1.26 needs their head felt.AndyJS said:Latest Indy odds:
Yes 4.7
No 1.26
http://www.betfair.com/exchange/politics/market?exp=e&id=1.1100333870 -
So where is this ICM poll we are expecting?0
-
Difficult to get to grips with the fact that the Iraqi armed forces have basically been taken over by Iran's Revolutionary Guards. But that looks like the current situation.0
-
So typical of the perpetual liar Blair to try and blame his own stupidity on someone else.
Its about time Chilcott told us the real facts.0 -
Message to SeanT – lots of people who've just read Millions Of Women Are Waiting To Meet You on Amazon reviews are offering to buy you a drink. Just in case you didn't know.0
-
Looks like I jumped the gun on WSJ. A bit embarrassing!0
-
But this is Hattie desperately trying to square a circleSeanT said:
0 -
Jon Snow and Ann Leslie discussing geriatric sex on Channel 4 News, with specific reference to chlamydia and gonorrhea.0
-
Get a room!AndyJS said:
Jon Snow and Ann Leslie discussing geriatric sex on Channel 4 News, with specific reference to chlamydia and gonorrhea.
0 -
Oh dear Lord can't imagine this being a success for LBC
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/jun/16/harriet-harman-lbc-radio-phone-in0 -
Woo-hoo! I've got a £1 on Nigeria with Broke Lads at 6/5.AndyJS said:Iran 5
Nigeria 1.9
Draw 3.6
http://www.betfair.com/exchange/football/market?id=1.112173732&exp=e0 -
Most important issues facing UK summed up http://highpaycentre.org/blog/what-would-the-neighbours-say-how-inequality-means-the-uk-is-poorer-than-we#.U58FsAIsBb0.twitter in my opinion0
-
1/4 (Hills)AndyJS said:
Does that include the person who backed No with £400,000? I can't remember what the exact odds were in his case.Stuart_Dickson said:
Anyone backing No at 1.26 needs their head felt.AndyJS said:Latest Indy odds:
Yes 4.7
No 1.26
http://www.betfair.com/exchange/politics/market?exp=e&id=1.110033387
Yes.0 -
Congrats.No_Offence_Alan said:
Woo-hoo! I've got a £1 on Nigeria with Broke Lads at 6/5.AndyJS said:Iran 5
Nigeria 1.9
Draw 3.6
http://www.betfair.com/exchange/football/market?id=1.112173732&exp=e0 -
"sean thomas knox @thomasknox · 23h
Think this is the first World Cup where I don't give a fuck about the fact I don't give a fuck whether England win."
https://twitter.com/thomasknox0 -
-
That's a very disappointing link. I was hoping that the High Pay Centre was a club I could join with refreshingly excessive subscription fee.ManchesterKurt said:Most important issues facing UK summed up http://highpaycentre.org/blog/what-would-the-neighbours-say-how-inequality-means-the-uk-is-poorer-than-we#.U58FsAIsBb0.twitter in my opinion
Imagine my disappointment when I clicked on your link and found a socialist whinge-fest. Don't do this again, please.
0 -
You really want fanmail that says "Thanks for changing my life and giving me the guts to go out there blood-eagling...."?SeanT said:
I still get the odd email from guys who say "Thanks for changing my life and giving me the guts to go out there", etc
Probably the nicest fanmail I get. OK, it's practically the only fanmail I get. But still nice.
0 -
Russia vs. the Ukraine: gas match
Gazprom this morning turned off the supply of gas on credit to Ukraine. It followed the break-down of tripartite discussions including the EU over the payment of $1.95 bn of outstanding debt due for payment to Russia by 10.00 Moscow time.
As ITAR-TASS put it
Russian state energy giant Gazprom on Monday switched to prepayment mode in gas supplies to Ukraine’s state oil and gas company Naftogaz because Ukraine failed to pay part of its gas debt by the deadline of 10:00 Moscow time (06:00 GMT) Monday.
The situation is not as critical as might appear due to the Ukraine stockpiling Russian gas supplies in underground bunkers over the past few months. It is thought the emergency stocks will cover the Ukraine's needs until December 2014.
Again from ITAR-TASS:
Ukraine had pumped astronomic amounts of gas to its own underground gas storage facilities. Out of more than 12.5 billion cubic meters of gas in Ukraine’s underground gas storage facilities (UGSF), 11.5 billion is unpaid Russian gas. [Alexei] Miller [CEO of Gazprom] also said that in order to get through the winter season comfortably, Ukraine must have more than 18 billion cubic meters of gas in its UGSFs.
Between now and the onset of winter, the Ukraine is expected to try to negotiate 'reverse-flow' deals with EU countries supplied by Russia through the pipelines and compressor stations located on Ukraine's territory. Alive to this being a means by which the Ukraine could continue to default on gas payments to Russia, Gazprom has warned its EU customers of risks to supply through the Ukraine and switched volume to its Nord-Stream infrastructure which bypasses the Ukraine.
So what is the dispute about? Just debt repayment? No, it is more about the costs of supply. The Ukraine wants gas supplied at the same price it is sold to Belarus and Kazakhstan. As Miller put it:
The whole logic of negotiations, which the Ukrainian side tried to impose, was to get a super-low price at the level Russia sells gas to the countries of the Customs Union (of Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan), he said.
So Russia wants the Ukraine to pay a premium on its energy supplies for flirting with the EU and also expects the EU to pick up the Ukraine's tab in order to guarantee continuity of supply to Gazprom's customers west of the Ukraine.
Will the EU allow this? Well, yes:
Ukraine can use the European Union’s 1.6 billion-euro aid to repay its gas debts for Russian natural gas supplies, European Commission spokeswoman Pia Ahrenkilde Hansen said on Monday.
[to be continued...]0 -
Russia vs. the Ukraine: second half
Does Russian need the money? Well, no, according to ITAR-TASS:
Russia’s foreign debt (including the former Soviet Union’s obligations assumed by Russia) [...] stood at $55.79 billion as of January 1, 2014 and at $54.875 billion as of May 1, thus decreasing by 1.8% in the first five months of the year and by 0.1% in May..
And what is more Russia was willing to continue to finance the Ukraine's continued supply of energy according to Alexander Novak, Russian Energy Minister:
“We were ready to discuss the economic situation in Ukraine and were ready to put forward specific options of financial support,” Novak said.
Some sanctions being imposed on Russia by the EU and US here. It very much looks as if Russia is bidding up the cost to the EU of gaining the Ukraine's political allegiance.
All well and good you might say, but it us, the taxpayers, who will be paying the premium.
Any comment, Socrates?0 -
Socialists always consider the banker in South Kensington on a stonking great salary when they talk about pay inequality.GeoffM said:
That's a very disappointing link. I was hoping that the High Pay Centre was a club I could join with refreshingly excessive subscription fee.ManchesterKurt said:Most important issues facing UK summed up http://highpaycentre.org/blog/what-would-the-neighbours-say-how-inequality-means-the-uk-is-poorer-than-we#.U58FsAIsBb0.twitter in my opinion
Imagine my disappointment when I clicked on your link and found a socialist whinge-fest. Don't do this again, please.
They don't seem half as vexed by the fact that the UK (EDIT) average wage (£27,000) is over 60x the benchmark $2/day that so much of the world lives on and that, if they have a wage (or if they don't for that matter), they are unimaginably rich compared with such people.0 -
The UK minimum wage is not £27,000TOPPING said:
Socialists always consider the banker in South Kensington on a stonking great salary when they talk about pay inequality.GeoffM said:
That's a very disappointing link. I was hoping that the High Pay Centre was a club I could join with refreshingly excessive subscription fee.ManchesterKurt said:Most important issues facing UK summed up http://highpaycentre.org/blog/what-would-the-neighbours-say-how-inequality-means-the-uk-is-poorer-than-we#.U58FsAIsBb0.twitter in my opinion
Imagine my disappointment when I clicked on your link and found a socialist whinge-fest. Don't do this again, please.
They don't seem half as vexed by the fact that the UK minimum wage (£27,000) is over 60x the benchmark $2/day that so much of the world lives on and that, if they have a wage (or if they don't for that matter), they are unimaginably rich compared with such people.0 -
d'oh - average. Edited in original post.corporeal said:
The UK minimum wage is not £27,000TOPPING said:
Socialists always consider the banker in South Kensington on a stonking great salary when they talk about pay inequality.GeoffM said:
That's a very disappointing link. I was hoping that the High Pay Centre was a club I could join with refreshingly excessive subscription fee.ManchesterKurt said:Most important issues facing UK summed up http://highpaycentre.org/blog/what-would-the-neighbours-say-how-inequality-means-the-uk-is-poorer-than-we#.U58FsAIsBb0.twitter in my opinion
Imagine my disappointment when I clicked on your link and found a socialist whinge-fest. Don't do this again, please.
They don't seem half as vexed by the fact that the UK minimum wage (£27,000) is over 60x the benchmark $2/day that so much of the world lives on and that, if they have a wage (or if they don't for that matter), they are unimaginably rich compared with such people.0 -
If Sean were telling twitter truth the tweet would have read:AndyJS said:"sean thomas knox @thomasknox · 23h
Think this is the first World Cup where I don't give a fuck about the fact I don't give a fuck whether England win."
https://twitter.com/thomasknox
"Think this is the first World Cup where I cared more about fucking around than England fucking up."
Age slowly emasculates the best of us.
0 -
http://www.theguardian.com/books/2014/jun/16/scotland-police-investigate-online-abuse-jk-rowling
Should have guessed it was Lord Foukes of Cumnock (he of comprehensive schools in his time, who'd have guessed?) who reported those cybernats - a name he reputedly himself invented.0 -
Thing is, to, um, flesh out my comment, that many on the left (I appreciate you are, what was it, a "civilised anarchist"?) want to attack the symbol of the society in which they live which they believe represents a gross unfairness.Smarmeron said:@TOPPING
Get the government to build mud huts so workers can afford to work for $2 a day, and have a roof over their heads?
But compared with so many in the LDCs everyone here is unimaginably wealthy. And it seems that those who complain about the pay inequality often believe that their own level of pay is about right and, as the cliche has it, those who earn far more, do so unfairly.
But what would they have those "rich" do that they are not doing for those on $2/day?0 -
Are you suggesting it might be lower?corporeal said:
The UK minimum wage is not £27,000TOPPING said:
Socialists always consider the banker in South Kensington on a stonking great salary when they talk about pay inequality.GeoffM said:
That's a very disappointing link. I was hoping that the High Pay Centre was a club I could join with refreshingly excessive subscription fee.ManchesterKurt said:Most important issues facing UK summed up http://highpaycentre.org/blog/what-would-the-neighbours-say-how-inequality-means-the-uk-is-poorer-than-we#.U58FsAIsBb0.twitter in my opinion
Imagine my disappointment when I clicked on your link and found a socialist whinge-fest. Don't do this again, please.
They don't seem half as vexed by the fact that the UK minimum wage (£27,000) is over 60x the benchmark $2/day that so much of the world lives on and that, if they have a wage (or if they don't for that matter), they are unimaginably rich compared with such people.
Oh dear!
0 -
Meanwhile it would be quite funny if a group of American cheerleaders turned up at the current world cup match and started cheering for Iran.0
-
Roman Abramovitch is reported to have purchased his own personally designed submarine. He has fitted it out with gold taps, jacuzzi baths and double beds.Smarmeron said:@TOPPING
They could stop exploiting them for a start? Remember that the rich are only rich until those below decide otherwise.
;-)
The ex-communist is so confident of avoiding the second revolution that he has offered $25 million to any outsider who can locate it.
Get diving, Smarmy.
0 -
OK, season finale of Game of Thrones. All politics can stop for 70 minutes....0
-
Real world politics at any rate.MarqueeMark said:OK, season finale of Game of Thrones. All politics can stop for 70 minutes....
0 -
The oligarchs want everyone on $2/day and will buy as many members of the political class as they need to achieve it.TOPPING said:
Socialists always consider the banker in South Kensington on a stonking great salary when they talk about pay inequality.GeoffM said:
That's a very disappointing link. I was hoping that the High Pay Centre was a club I could join with refreshingly excessive subscription fee.ManchesterKurt said:Most important issues facing UK summed up http://highpaycentre.org/blog/what-would-the-neighbours-say-how-inequality-means-the-uk-is-poorer-than-we#.U58FsAIsBb0.twitter in my opinion
Imagine my disappointment when I clicked on your link and found a socialist whinge-fest. Don't do this again, please.
They don't seem half as vexed by the fact that the UK (EDIT) average wage (£27,000) is over 60x the benchmark $2/day that so much of the world lives on and that, if they have a wage (or if they don't for that matter), they are unimaginably rich compared with such people.
0 -
Oh dear yourself.AveryLP said:
Are you suggesting it might be lower?corporeal said:
The UK minimum wage is not £27,000TOPPING said:
Socialists always consider the banker in South Kensington on a stonking great salary when they talk about pay inequality.GeoffM said:
That's a very disappointing link. I was hoping that the High Pay Centre was a club I could join with refreshingly excessive subscription fee.ManchesterKurt said:Most important issues facing UK summed up http://highpaycentre.org/blog/what-would-the-neighbours-say-how-inequality-means-the-uk-is-poorer-than-we#.U58FsAIsBb0.twitter in my opinion
Imagine my disappointment when I clicked on your link and found a socialist whinge-fest. Don't do this again, please.
They don't seem half as vexed by the fact that the UK minimum wage (£27,000) is over 60x the benchmark $2/day that so much of the world lives on and that, if they have a wage (or if they don't for that matter), they are unimaginably rich compared with such people.
Oh dear!0 -
Putin's neutralisation of the oligarchs (by enriching them) has been one of his smartest moves. It has taken away at a stroke a powerful source of internal dissent.MrJones said:
The oligarchs want everyone on $2/day and will buy as many members of the political class as they need to achieve it.TOPPING said:
Socialists always consider the banker in South Kensington on a stonking great salary when they talk about pay inequality.GeoffM said:
That's a very disappointing link. I was hoping that the High Pay Centre was a club I could join with refreshingly excessive subscription fee.ManchesterKurt said:Most important issues facing UK summed up http://highpaycentre.org/blog/what-would-the-neighbours-say-how-inequality-means-the-uk-is-poorer-than-we#.U58FsAIsBb0.twitter in my opinion
Imagine my disappointment when I clicked on your link and found a socialist whinge-fest. Don't do this again, please.
They don't seem half as vexed by the fact that the UK (EDIT) average wage (£27,000) is over 60x the benchmark $2/day that so much of the world lives on and that, if they have a wage (or if they don't for that matter), they are unimaginably rich compared with such people.
(Apologies if you were making some vital allegorical point concerning the UK.)0 -
That cannot possibly be genuine, can it? Dear gods. I'm sure they'll do an adequate or at least not disastrous job running the country in a year's time, but Labour really are not exuding much confidence in themselves.ToryJim said:
0 -
Nonsense, Smarmy.Smarmeron said:@AveryLP
He may need it, the Russian people are starting to think unbridled capitalism is not quite what they imagined it would be, and are becoming distinctly anti Western in their outlook.
You may need to show them your yellow boxes at this rate?
It has been said the USA is a nation which has moved from barbarism to decadence without encountering civilisation on the way.
Russia is moving with ease from communism to global wealth without the need to call in aid an industrial revolution.
More gas, vicar?0 -
Is Iran vs Nigeria the unofficial muslim world cup final ?0
-
On topic, I don't know if this has been covered in discussions over previous Ashcroft polls, but the high "other Others" score does seem rather chunky. It's not just that the traditional Others (not Con, Lab or LD) has jumped from 9% at the last election to 28% here, it's also that those who are neither "Big Three" voters or UKIP voters have gone from 6% to 13%.
If we assume that SNP/Plaid aren't going to account for much more than 3-4% of the GB vote (due to the limited numbers of seats in which they stand), then that's about 10% to go to the Greens, BNP, English Democrats, Respect, TUSC ...
The Greens aren't likely to stand in much more than half of the possible seats, I'd guess - so half (at least) of their vote share is going elsewhere or sitting on their hands. The same with a significant chunk of the others here.
Where to? If it's close enough, even these numbers could be crucial.0 -
I don't think we're getting the ICM tonight..
::Epic Sad Face::0 -
On a wider view, these low scores for all parties look to me simply that the public are supremely unimpressed by the range on offer. Are all of the Big 3 parties close to their tribal cores (well, the Yellows, for sure!)?
Would that imply that the unimpressed masses are likely to be more fickle than normal in their allegiances? That the potential for shifting around is likely to be greater than we'd usually anticipate?0 -
Does that include the super rich who are kicking inflated pigs bladders around Brazil this month, or are they a different kind of rich?Smarmeron said:@TOPPING
They could stop exploiting them for a start? Remember that the rich are only rich until those below decide otherwise.
;-)
Footballer £300k a week, good. Banker £300k a year, bad.0 -
No sign of ICM then?
Is The Guardian burying bad news?
0 -
Look what OGH could buy if he were as rich as Rooney.TheWatcher said:
Does that include the super rich who are kicking inflated pigs bladders around Brazil this month, or are they a different kind of rich?Smarmeron said:@TOPPING
They could stop exploiting them for a start? Remember that the rich are only rich until those below decide otherwise.
;-)
Footballer £300k a week, good. Banker £300k a year, bad.
0 -
Well the Guardian do have form for thatGIN1138 said:No sign of ICM then?
Is The Guardian burying bad news?0 -
Surely the unofficial Muslim world cup final will be when England play another Muslim Country?0
This discussion has been closed.