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Both Trump and Biden stage Georgia rallies on the eve of today’s Georgia runoffs – politicalbetting.

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  • TOPPING said:

    There has to be some explanation. God knows what it is but as you say the sequence of events is just so bonkers that there must be more to it than we know right now.

    That, or Boris is the utterly useless twat we have said he is all along.
    Perhaps he was showing off his legendary fatherly concern....
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,925

    On Testing

    I have developed my own 100% reliable Covid Test

    Result known in 10 secs

    Fart under the covers

    Place head under covers

    Waft covers

    If you cant smell it you have Covid if you can all is well even if it makes you cough

    A test we can roll out nationally in one day. Good work!
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703

    Total of 1.3 million vaccinated so far ...going to have to get a shift on! We need to doing that every 4 days from now for months

    Up til last Sunday it was 52,000/day. It is now at 46,000/day (from 9th Dec counting all days).
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924

    A test we can roll out nationally in one day. Good work!
    Test trace and ISOLATE
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,010
    edited January 2021
    justin124 said:

    So no John Major, James Callaghan or Winston Churchill?
    No those 3 would be included, Major had a few O Levels and banking qualifications, Callaghan passed his Senior Oxford Certificate and civil service exams and Churchill passed the Harrow and Sandhurst entrance exams (pre even O Levels)
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,817
    RobD said:

    Daily updates coming on the vaccination from Monday.

    Excellent.
  • TOPPING said:

    So now at 46,000/day.

    We really need daily stats.
    I assume you are averaging the number but it will be incremental
  • 1 in 50 having it, herd immunity / NHS collapse...
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,366
    Do remember that exactly zero AZN vaccines have been administered so far. That is changing as we speak.
  • Watching the presser, Vicky Young is an excellent political correspondent. Much better than LauraK and Peston. Great questions, inadequately answered by Johnson.

    I have thought that Vicki is far better than the rest for sometime
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924
    TOPPING said:

    How does Mrs BJO feel about this revolution in testing technique?
    She is a Paraplegic and sleeps downstairs otherwise my testing regime would have been halted weeks ago
  • JohnLilburneJohnLilburne Posts: 6,589

    My birthday is the 29th February and I am 20 in 2024

    And my many honorary birthdays have always been on the 28th February but my driving licence was issued for the 1st March
    I have always thought that those born on 29 Feb should celebrate successive birthdays on 1 March. Your 1st birthday is then the day after 28 February, so the first anniversary of your birth, and you proceed from there.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,010
    edited January 2021
    Well the pubs, bars, restaurants, cafes and nightclubs and non essential shops are shut and you cannot see your friends in person so for political anoraks like us he is probably spot on, though for some of us it would be the highlight anyway
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,546
    I had somehow gotten this far into the Georgia election without knowing that Ossof is only 33. Most impressive.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,506
    TOPPING said:

    There has to be some explanation. God knows what it is but as you say the sequence of events is just so bonkers that there must be more to it than we know right now.

    That, or Boris is the utterly useless twat we have said he is all along.
    CMO just said the CMOs met yesterday to review data. So perhaps the question is why they did not meet on Sunday in order to know what their view was with time to stop schools reopening and adding a whole day of mixing into the mess?
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,537
    TOPPING said:

    How does Mrs BJO feel about this revolution in testing technique?
    She can't smell it.

    Oh......
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 5,562

    Yes currently

    https://twitter.com/Annie__McGuire/status/1346503992000602113
    If it follows the ONS reporting that is not 1 in 50 newly infected in the last 7 days - it is genuinely 'currently infected' and an infection lasts something over a week on average. If we're still at around 40-50% detection, we are back at around 100k-ish being infected a day and a little over 1% infected in the last 7 days: i.e. just about at March peak and still rising in a lot of the country. Although Christmas is still a complicating factor in last 7 day vs previous 7 day figures.
  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,331

    Very welcome news for the BBC. It might do well to revive some other Reithian or Wilsonian connections with the Open University during the pandemic too.
    Almost enough to forgive them for ‘The Wheel’.
  • I have always thought that those born on 29 Feb should celebrate successive birthdays on 1 March. Your 1st birthday is then the day after 28 February, so the first anniversary of your birth, and you proceed from there.
    28/2 makes more sense for celebrations as you are a February child. Last day of February then.

    Not the same thing but my youngest was due early May and born in June. As a result she will always be a June baby now.

    You can guess how happy at the time MrsT was three weeks past her due date.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,352
    MaxPB said:

    Excellent.
    And sounds like there is going to be demographic breakdowns in the data too
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,817
    rcs1000 said:

    Do remember that exactly zero AZN vaccines have been administered so far. That is changing as we speak.

    Yes, this is the big week for vaccination. The NHS and government have to hit at least 1m if they have any hope of getting to Boris' stated target of the top 4 priority groups being done by the middle of Feb.
  • I have always thought that those born on 29 Feb should celebrate successive birthdays on 1 March. Your 1st birthday is then the day after 28 February, so the first anniversary of your birth, and you proceed from there.
    Lots of arguments between my mother and father over that point when I was a lad.

    Mother maintained I was born on the last day of February and Father the first day after the 28th

    In truth it confused many of the family and as a lad I did not object to having it over the two days
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703

    She is a Paraplegic and sleeps downstairs otherwise my testing regime would have been halted weeks ago
    I see you need to move to Booster Chicken Tandoori Extra Hot to give her the benefit of your discovery also. And leave your bedroom door open to be sure.
  • 1 in 30 people in London have Covid-19 and yet the PM and Williamson still thought opening some schools in London was a good idea.

    Press reports suggested 3m kids went into school yesterday. If 1 in 50* of them had it that is 60,000 infected kids perhaps in close contact with 5-10 each over the day, to give 300k-600k at risk of catching and passing it on further. Wonderful.

    * It wont actually be quite so bad as some would be isolating but symptoms are often low in kids so many wont know they have it.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703

    CMO just said the CMOs met yesterday to review data. So perhaps the question is why they did not meet on Sunday in order to know what their view was with time to stop schools reopening and adding a whole day of mixing into the mess?
    It's just awful, awful government.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,790
    edited January 2021
    rcs1000 said:

    What is it that makes people turn absolutely potty? I'm beginning to think there may be some virus that people are contracting that makes them believe the most absurd things.
    My theory is a prosaic one. He has to pay the rent and this is the only way he can do it. It's too late now to retrain as a medic or a teacher or to go into IT.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703
    rcs1000 said:

    Do remember that exactly zero AZN vaccines have been administered so far. That is changing as we speak.

    But the daily average administration of the Pfizer has declined over the past week.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,185

    I assume you are averaging the number but it will be incremental
    Yes it was - even without PHE lumping the part week from the 8th into the second week of vaccination, it was much lower than that.

    The constraint at the moment is vaccine supply.
  • kinabalu said:

    My theory is a prosaic one. He has to pay the rent and this is the only way he can do it. It's too late now to retrain as a medic or a teacher or to go into IT.
    Being a lunatic on twitter probably earns more than being a teacher.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703
    This is where @contrarian has it spot on.

    Once Covid becomes a risk like several other illnesses including flu (I know we're not supposed to mention Covid and flu in the same sentence) then why would extra or continued measures be needed?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,352
    TOPPING said:

    But the daily average administration of the Pfizer has declined over the past week.
    Is the data the PM quoted for the full week? It's not usually announced until later in the week. In any case, it's highly unlikely it will stay in the tens of thousands.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924
    Just heard Whitty say something about followed through was he talking about my testing regime?
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,283
    FF43 said:
    That explains a lot.

    He's desperately insecure and wants a following. So he's chasing the altiest of the alt right to find one.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,185
    TOPPING said:

    But the daily average administration of the Pfizer has declined over the past week.
    Trying to read much into numbers at the start of the system will yield little data - you have limited vaccine deliveries interacting with the effects of the holiday period.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703
    RobD said:

    Is the data the PM quoted for the full week? It's not usually announced until later in the week. In any case, it's highly unlikely it will stay in the tens of thousands.
    No indeed. And now they are publishing it that is a great step forward.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,817
    TOPPING said:

    But the daily average administration of the Pfizer has declined over the past week.
    I think I'm ok to give them a pass for the one between the 24th and yesterday as "Christmas, everything is more difficult", but from today that isn't acceptable and we also have the AZ vaccine approved so the numbers should be more than double given the supply increase. If we don't have something like 2.5-2.7m done this time next week I'd consider it a failure.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,283
    rcs1000 said:

    What is it that makes people turn absolutely potty? I'm beginning to think there may be some virus that people are contracting that makes them believe the most absurd things.
    People are fed up with Covid-19.

    The reality is so crap they are starting to believe and live their preferred alternative one, which is much easier to do if you haven't been directly affected by it.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,255
    Johnson's major concern appears to be bigging-up the vaccine. Hats off to him for the vaccine.

    In April Johnson's key concern was bigging-up the Nightingales. Hats off to him for the Nightingales.

    No real interest from Johnson on pretty well anything else, from the questions answers. Just waffling on aimlessly.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,283
    rcs1000 said:

    Do remember that exactly zero AZN vaccines have been administered so far. That is changing as we speak.

    Wasn't the first given to a 93-year old yesterday?
  • TOPPING said:

    This is where @contrarian has it spot on.

    Once Covid becomes a risk like several other illnesses including flu (I know we're not supposed to mention Covid and flu in the same sentence) then why would extra or continued measures be needed?
    I think it'll be things other than full fat lockdowns.

    Such as stay at home if you have symptoms, wear a mask, wash your hands, etc.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,087

    I always thought traditional harling was sand & lime rather than pebble based. That's certainly what you find on older buildings. It is the concrete/pebble mixture that looks particularly bad and seems rather unnecessary on modern buildings.

    Dumfries stone (assuming you mean the red sandstone and not the grey granite) is definitely worth showing though. You find it in a lot of unexpected places (wasn't it used for the Statue of Liberty?). I had to survey one of the quarries once and it was pretty impressive.
    The grey roughcasting was mainly if not all 50's social housing. Many have been redone in cream , etc but it was so well done it si still in good shape after nearly 70 years, so depends on councils to update it.
  • JohnLilburneJohnLilburne Posts: 6,589

    Yes currently

    https://twitter.com/Annie__McGuire/status/1346503992000602113
    The Zoe app reckons 757,000 symptomatic cases as of today. Adding asymptomatic cases will take it to about 900,000. (I think they said that only about 20% of people are truly asymptomatic but about 30% just have minor symptoms such as a runny nose or headache that can be mistaken for a cold)
  • GaussianGaussian Posts: 831
    MaxPB said:

    Nah, that isn't going to fly if everyone has been jabbed twice and we have 95% immunity. No way will people live with restrictions after the vaccine, it's why politicians need to make decisions not medical people, in normal times. Otherwise we'd have banned smoking, drinking and bacon a long time ago.
    If we could achieve 100% vaccinated and 95% efficacy there wouldn't be a problem. The virus would fade away very quickly.

    But we won't, and it won't, and hence we have to think about what the steady state is going to be and how to get there.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,283
    MaxPB said:

    Nah, that isn't going to fly if everyone has been jabbed twice and we have 95% immunity. No way will people live with restrictions after the vaccine, it's why politicians need to make decisions not medical people, in normal times. Otherwise we'd have banned smoking, drinking and bacon a long time ago.
    All leading medics talk like this.

    They don't see it as their job to take a view on risk appetite. They'll just follow whatever eliminates the medical risk absolutely to its logical conclusion.
  • The 'useless twat' hypothesis is pretty much proven now. Boris just can't stop himself putting off a difficult decision in the hope that something will turn up to make the decision unnecessary, and of course inevitably that means we end up with the worst of both worlds. I cut him a lot of slack for what in hindsight were mistakes at the beginning of the pandemic, but by now you'd have hoped he'd have learnt something. It was completely obvious by early December that things were getting out of control; his dithering in the hope he could avoid 'cancelling Christmas' has simply meant that many, many lives will have been lost, and the distribution of the vaccines which is the only way out of the nightmare will be unnecessarily disrupted. And of course Christmas was effectively cancelled anyway, and the panic lockdown at zero notice has simply piled on even greater losses for restaurants and other venues who were hoping to recoup some of their losses with Xmas and New Year bookings.

    He's a world-class ditherer who makes even Gordon Brown look decisive in comparison. We really did draw the short straw having him as PM in this pandemic.
    I take no pleasure in saying to those members of the party to which I used to belong "I told you so". Boris Johnson has no leadership skills. He is a political and leadership cretin; a joke candidate who should never have even been made a junior minister let alone PM. We are reaping what idiot Tory members sowed, which was in no small part caused by those idiot Labour members that voted for Corbyn.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,817
    Gaussian said:

    If we could achieve 100% vaccinated and 95% efficacy there wouldn't be a problem. The virus would fade away very quickly.

    But we won't, and it won't, and hence we have to think about what the steady state is going to be and how to get there.
    By the winter we absolutely should have, and chances are the Pfizer vaccine will be approved for 13-17 year olds as well further reducing the available pool of hosts. If we haven't got through 55m people jabbed twice by the end of September then I'd consider it a failure of governing.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,185

    People are fed up with Covid-19.

    The reality is so crap they are starting to believe and live their preferred alternative one, which is much easier to do if you haven't been directly affected by it.
    I'm always fascinated by this phenomenon. The belief that you can bend reality to your will.

    I think I mentioned a play of The Cold Equations we put on at university. It was interesting to hear the *anger* at the ending of the play from some people, during the production and staging.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 7,302
    edited January 2021
    FFS, any angle the media can use to spread the doom and gloom, as per usual...

    What Whitty said was eminently sensible. You need to monitor these things and you may need to put some measures in effect. Measures doesn't mean locking everyone in their house, in all likelihood. You could just be asked to self-isolate if you're not feeling well.

    As usual the media is desperate for another angle to spread the misery.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703
    MaxPB said:

    I think I'm ok to give them a pass for the one between the 24th and yesterday as "Christmas, everything is more difficult", but from today that isn't acceptable and we also have the AZ vaccine approved so the numbers should be more than double given the supply increase. If we don't have something like 2.5-2.7m done this time next week I'd consider it a failure.
    Yes it's early days and was Christmas. Party's over now though.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,883
    edited January 2021

    Yes currently

    https://twitter.com/Annie__McGuire/status/1346503992000602113
    Unclever of England to have unlocked-down on 2 Dec, on that data.

  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,185

    All leading medics talk like this.

    They don't see it as their job to take a view on risk appetite. They'll just follow whatever eliminates the medical risk absolutely to its logical conclusion.
    One interesting item that I would like to be asked is this - has anyone done or is planning a test of the antibody tests combined with vaccination.

    In other words, can we use the antibody tests to see if the vaccine has worked on a particular person?
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,405

    Almost enough to forgive them for ‘The Wheel’.
    We love The Wheel in our house. Apart from my wife, who has more highbrow taste.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,817
    edited January 2021
    TOPPING said:

    Yes it's early days and was Christmas. Party's over now though.
    Absolutely. Time to get serious, hit 2m per week by the middle of January and 3m per week by the middle of February and ramp up to 5m per week by the middle of April so that second jabs don't slow down or halt the process for those who haven't had the first jab.
  • contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818

    I think it'll be things other than full fat lockdowns.

    Such as stay at home if you have symptoms, wear a mask, wash your hands, etc.
    At 11billion for a weekly pop, one day it will surely have to be.
  • kinabalu said:

    Look, I'm sorry, but with this shocking data, isn't the opening of schools yesterday, knowing how infectious the virus is, knowing that children are efficient catchers and spreaders of it, knowing that many of those children will interact with more vulnerable adults verging on the criminally negligent?

    Are you suggesting Drakeford is criminally negligent

    He opened senior schools yesterday and upto last night all primary schools
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,010
    edited January 2021

    I take no pleasure in saying to those members of the party to which I used to belong "I told you so". Boris Johnson has no leadership skills. He is a political and leadership cretin; a joke candidate who should never have even been made a junior minister let alone PM. We are reaping what idiot Tory members sowed, which was in no small part caused by those idiot Labour members that voted for Corbyn.
    Boris got a Tory majority of 80 to beat Corbyn and has delivered Brexit, that was exactly what Tory members elected him to do
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703

    I think it'll be things other than full fat lockdowns.

    Such as stay at home if you have symptoms, wear a mask, wash your hands, etc.
    Perhaps but it is right to be wary of government powers introduced with the best of intentions.

    Ask Walter Wolfgang.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,307

    I take no pleasure in saying to those members of the party to which I used to belong "I told you so". Boris Johnson has no leadership skills. He is a political and leadership cretin; a joke candidate who should never have even been made a junior minister let alone PM. We are reaping what idiot Tory members sowed, which was in no small part caused by those idiot Labour members that voted for Corbyn.
    Boris Johnson appears to be a useless buffoon, unfit to shovel shit, but the men and women in grey suits have still to find the courage to send 50 or so letters to start the ball rolling to oust him. Do they have the balls to act or not?
  • GaussianGaussian Posts: 831
    MaxPB said:

    By the winter we absolutely should have, and chances are the Pfizer vaccine will be approved for 13-17 year olds as well further reducing the available pool of hosts. If we haven't got through 55m people jabbed twice by the end of September then I'd consider it a failure of governing.
    The AZ vaccine has only been demonstrated to be 70% effective, a significant minority are unwilling to get vaccinated, and younger children could still turn out to be a significant transmission vector (especially with further mutations). All of which means herd immunity isn't a foregone conclusion given the enormous unrestricted R.
  • On Testing

    I have developed my own 100% reliable Covid Test

    Result known in 10 secs

    Fart under the covers

    Place head under covers

    Waft covers

    If you cant smell it you have Covid if you can all is well even if it makes you cough

    A work colleague of mine would give her son who had tested positive (he's about 21) a drink of vinegar.
    If he didn't pull a face, he still had it.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,352
    Gaussian said:

    The AZ vaccine has only been demonstrated to be 70% effective, a significant minority are unwilling to get vaccinated, and younger children could still turn out to be a significant transmission vector (especially with further mutations). All of which means herd immunity isn't a foregone conclusion given the enormous unrestricted R.
    Is the R really that high?
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,817
    TOPPING said:

    Perhaps but it is right to be wary of government powers introduced with the best of intentions.

    Ask Walter Wolfgang.
    Yes, glad that Parliament force the government into needing to renew the powers every six months rather than the three years that was initially on the cards. There's no way Tory MPs will go along with autumn/winter lockdowns if the numbers are in single digits for deaths and double digits for cases.
  • The vaccination programmes hasn't even started in my part of Sussex. We have an elderly population, so this is rather worrying.
  • contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818
    TOPPING said:

    Perhaps but it is right to be wary of government powers introduced with the best of intentions.

    Ask Walter Wolfgang.
    Seeing the prospect of the virus abating, these journalists are like children watching their snowman melt.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,283

    I'm always fascinated by this phenomenon. The belief that you can bend reality to your will.

    I think I mentioned a play of The Cold Equations we put on at university. It was interesting to hear the *anger* at the ending of the play from some people, during the production and staging.
    Cognitive dissonance. Classic human frailty.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703

    The vaccination programmes hasn't even started in my part of Sussex. We have an elderly population, so this is rather worrying.

    Farr's sale began today btw.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,405

    Lots of arguments between my mother and father over that point when I was a lad.

    Mother maintained I was born on the last day of February and Father the first day after the 28th

    In truth it confused many of the family and as a lad I did not object to having it over the two days
    Maybe I have devoted too much time to this, but I think you should celebrate on the 28th the year after a leap year and 1st of March the year before a leap year, while either is equally right/wrong in the middle year. My rationale is that the solar year is around 365.25 days. So one year after a leap year your birthday should be on Feb 28.25, which rounds to Feb 28. One year before it should be Feb 28.75, which rounds to Mar 1. In the middle year it is Feb 28.5, and so it's a toss-up.
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,925

    FFS, any angle the media can use to spread the doom and gloom, as per usual...

    What Whitty said was eminently sensible. You need to monitor these things and you may need to put some measures in effect. Measures doesn't mean locking everyone in their house, in all likelihood. You could just be asked to self-isolate if you're not feeling well.

    As usual the media is desperate for another angle to spread the misery.
    And to be fair to Whitty he did also go on to expand that additional limited measures for next winter may not even be needed, just something we have to consider.

    No-one knows yet with any high degree of certainty how quickly the vaccine will be rolled out, how effective it will be and how the virus will behave in general once the main vaccination programme is completed. We know flu still kills thousands per year and we have to have a new vaccine every year for it. It's prudent to at least consider that limited things may still be needed.

    What he did say about basically a societal decision on the level of risk was, weirdly, the most uplifting thing I have heard for a while. Yes, we will have to accept that for soceiety to go back to normal there will probably still be some covid deaths. The end game here is not going to be zero covid deaths, that's not realistic, and structuring society around that as a goal is not going to fly.

    If we get it down to a manageable level like the flu then that will merely have to suffice for normality.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,010
    edited January 2021
    dr_spyn said:

    Boris Johnson appears to be a useless buffoon, unfit to shovel shit, but the men and women in grey suits have still to find the courage to send 50 or so letters to start the ball rolling to oust him. Do they have the balls to act or not?
    No as he leads the polls still which for most Tory MPs is all they care about ie keeping their seats

    https://twitter.com/BritainElects/status/1346101605758881797?s=20
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 7,302
    HYUFD said:

    Boris got a Tory majority of 80 to beat Corbyn and has delivered Brexit, that was exactly what Tory members elected him to do
    In hindsight I think the Tories got their PMs the wrong way round.

    Should have gone with Boris in 2016 to get the Brexit mess done. May, ironically, might have been a better leader for a serious crisis like Covid.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,185

    Cognitive dissonance. Classic human frailty.
    Yes, the abuse was interesting. Apparently we (the producers of the play) were EVUL. Because of the ending.
  • dr_spyn said:

    Boris Johnson appears to be a useless buffoon, unfit to shovel shit, but the men and women in grey suits have still to find the courage to send 50 or so letters to start the ball rolling to oust him. Do they have the balls to act or not?
    Boris is not the right personality for covid and others including Jeremy Hunt or Rishi would be a huge improvement

    However, he has just got Brexit done, his poll ratings are reasonable , Starmer is not taking the political scene by storm when he should, and it reality his MPs are backing him by a large majority

    I do not believe Boris is going anywhere and if he does succeed with the vaccine then who cares
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,546

    In hindsight I think the Tories got their PMs the wrong way round.

    Should have gone with Boris in 2016 to get the Brexit mess done. May, ironically, might have been a better leader for a serious crisis like Covid.
    They didn't have a chance to go with Boris in 2016, he chickened out.
  • contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818
    At some juncture, I guess, vaccinations will also be available from private health sector, walk-in clinics etc?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,684

    I'm always fascinated by this phenomenon. The belief that you can bend reality to your will.

    I think I mentioned a play of The Cold Equations we put on at university. It was interesting to hear the *anger* at the ending of the play from some people, during the production and staging.
    Were they engineers ?
    (Wikipedia) ...Critic and engineer Gary Westfahl has said that because the proposition depends upon systems that were built without enough margin for error, the story is good physics, but lousy engineering, and that it frustrated him so much he decided it was "not worth (his) time. Very poor Engineering."[1] Writer Cory Doctorow has made a similar argument, noting that the constraints under which the characters operate are decided by the writers, and not therefore the "inescapable laws of physics". He argues that the decision of the writer to give the vessel no margin of safety and a marginal fuel supply focuses reader attention on the "need" for tough decisions in time of crisis and away from the responsibility for proper planning to ensure safety in the first place. Doctorow sees this as an example of moral hazard...
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 7,302
    dr_spyn said:

    Boris Johnson appears to be a useless buffoon, unfit to shovel shit, but the men and women in grey suits have still to find the courage to send 50 or so letters to start the ball rolling to oust him. Do they have the balls to act or not?

    He's useless, but they're still more or less even in the polls with 3.5 years till a GE.

    He's got the job for the next 2 years, I suspect, if he wants it. After that things might get trickier for him but it will depend on the lie of the land.
  • TOPPING said:

    Farr's sale began today btw.
    My order went in at 10.32 this morning. Have to do something* with those winnings on the US election...

    * Although quite a chunk also went to charities
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,185

    The vaccination programmes hasn't even started in my part of Sussex. We have an elderly population, so this is rather worrying.

    The issue has been with take-up in some areas. Some GPs decided not to participate with the Pfzier vaccine - too tricky - for example. So the supplies went to those who *could* get it done - there is more capacity to jab than there is vaccine.

    Hence the Sunday Times complaint about postcode lotteries.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,010

    In hindsight I think the Tories got their PMs the wrong way round.

    Should have gone with Boris in 2016 to get the Brexit mess done. May, ironically, might have been a better leader for a serious crisis like Covid.
    She might have been but would have needed Boris to get the Tory majority to beat Corbyn and deliver Brexit first, yes
  • Maybe I have devoted too much time to this, but I think you should celebrate on the 28th the year after a leap year and 1st of March the year before a leap year, while either is equally right/wrong in the middle year. My rationale is that the solar year is around 365.25 days. So one year after a leap year your birthday should be on Feb 28.25, which rounds to Feb 28. One year before it should be Feb 28.75, which rounds to Mar 1. In the middle year it is Feb 28.5, and so it's a toss-up.
    Thank you but after not far off 80 years doing it the way I have the 28th remains my non leap year day, and it was my Mother's wish
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    Yes, the abuse was interesting. Apparently we (the producers of the play) were EVUL. Because of the ending.
    Odd. It was all her fault anyway. Like poking around on the launch pad when nobody knew she was there. Could just as well have been fried or dissolved.
  • I take no pleasure in saying to those members of the party to which I used to belong "I told you so". Boris Johnson has no leadership skills. He is a political and leadership cretin; a joke candidate who should never have even been made a junior minister let alone PM. We are reaping what idiot Tory members sowed, which was in no small part caused by those idiot Labour members that voted for Corbyn.
    And considering that under Johnson's government this country has bought, organised, provided and injected more vaccines than the rest of the entire continent put together then I take great pleasure in saying "I told you so" that he is a good Prime Minister. 😎

    Swings and roundabouts. It's far too early to make clichéd soundbites about how bad things supposedly are but I have every confidence that Boris is going to lead us out of this pandemic before Macron does France or even Merkel does Germany.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,405

    Thank you but after not far off 80 years doing it the way I have the 28th remains my non leap year day, and it was my Mother's wish
    The last argument clinches it!
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    The last argument clinches it!
    Especially if she was making the birthday cake.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    There was a young man from Kent
    Whose virus sequence got bent
    It made him no sicker
    But passed on much quicker
    So faster and faster it went

    Via Dr John Campbell
  • And considering that under Johnson's government this country has bought, organised, provided and injected more vaccines than the rest of the entire continent put together then I take great pleasure in saying "I told you so" that he is a good Prime Minister. 😎

    Swings and roundabouts. It's far too early to make clichéd soundbites about how bad things supposedly are but I have every confidence that Boris is going to lead us out of this pandemic before Macron does France or even Merkel does Germany.
    Europe seems a horror story of ineptitude and real in fighting

    On covid and vaccination we left at the right time

  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,185
    Carnyx said:

    Odd. It was all her fault anyway. Like poking around on the launch pad when nobody knew she was there. Could just as well have been fried or dissolved.
    It's a reaction a non-trivial minority have to the idea of inescapable facts. The whole "Science Is Evul" thing. Because it doesn't do feelings.

    Gravity isn't just a good idea. It's The Law.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,684
    kinabalu said:

    Look, I'm sorry, but with this shocking data, wasn't the opening of schools yesterday, knowing how infectious the virus is, knowing that children are efficient catchers and spreaders of it, knowing that many of those children will interact with more vulnerable adults, wasn't this verging on the criminally negligent?

    Yes.

    It's a consequence of the Johnsonian insistence all along (regularly used as a political weapon against Starmer) that 'schools are absolutely safe', when we have known for some considerable time that they are a very significant vector of transmission.

    If Johnson had taken an honest line from the start, there'd probably have been a far more sensible discussion of the costs/benefits, better planning for times when schools were closed - and quite possibly less time lost to closure overall.

    Teachers are not stupid (in the main), and have demonstrated over the last year that they have been prepared to accept significant risks to keep schools open. Insulting their intelligence over a long period of time has been counterproductive.
    Though it has produced, for the credulous, another set of scapegoats.

    This is a long thread which sets out the evidence.
    https://twitter.com/dgurdasani1/status/1346362159446577154

  • He's useless, but they're still more or less even in the polls with 3.5 years till a GE.

    He's got the job for the next 2 years, I suspect, if he wants it. After that things might get trickier for him but it will depend on the lie of the land.
    The difficulty is that the things that make him a terrible Prime Minister- especially the ability to tell people what they want to hear with no loss of fluency, whether it's true or not- are the things that make him a formidable campaigner.

    Winning is important, you can't do much from the wrong side of an 80 seat majority. The question is when does the price of winning exceed its value?
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703

    My order went in at 10.32 this morning. Have to do something* with those winnings on the US election...

    * Although quite a chunk also went to charities
    Ha! Did you get the Rieussec?? I blinked and it had gone!
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,790

    Are you suggesting Drakeford is criminally negligent

    He opened senior schools yesterday and upto last night all primary schools
    My post was directed at Johnson but if it applies to others too, well then it does.
  • NerysHughesNerysHughes Posts: 3,375
    Regarding vaccinations I know lots of nurses in various surgeries. They all have got vaccine plans for the next few weeks. It will be hard to get an appointment at your local surgery over the next few weeks as they will be concentrating so much on vaccinations. This week there will be over a million vaccinations, by the end of January there will be at least 5 million per week.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703

    At some juncture, I guess, vaccinations will also be available from private health sector, walk-in clinics etc?

    I think it will be a bad look to have it available at the Harley Street Clinic when, say, Somalia is still waiting but yes at some point.
This discussion has been closed.