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Even today with the Electoral College meeting Betfair punters rate Trump’s chances at 3% – political

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  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,601
    DougSeal said:

    There was one earlier this afternoon in response to a Scottish Nationalist poster that took the “banter” a bit far.
    Probably a cooling off period.
  • ClippPClippP Posts: 1,964

    Have you ever thought that young people might be getting tired of having their lives destroyed to bring about a situation that gives your ancient backside a slightly better chance of survival from one out of a myriad of diseases, possibly.
    Did you do this for the old when you were young? Nope. And nobody expected you to.
    Yes, I did, Mr Contrarian. I spent six years living in an air raid shelter.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Maybe anointing Sunak PM in waiting and heeding his blood thirsty cries was a bad plan after all thinks the Tory MPs
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,601
    Devolved administrations to break ranks first? I'm amazed they already haven't.
  • GaussianGaussian Posts: 831

    The total number of confirmed coronavirus cases in Wales has risen by another 1,228 new cases, Public Health Wales (PHW) said in its latest update on Monday.

    https://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales-news/coronavirus-infection-rates-cases-deaths-19453641

    What is going on in Wales, has their testing system broken / excel spreadsheet had a buffer overflow? No cases reported yesterday and basically 2/3 the current average daily amount today. Either some miracle has occurred and covid has magically gone away or something isn't working right.

    "Planned maintenance". "There will be a period of data reconciliation and validation that will affect our daily reporting figures for several days".

    You'd think the "plan" could have contained measures for ensuring continuity ...

  • Stocky said:

    Why has LadyG been banned? Nothing I can see in last few posts to warrant that.

    Nor me
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,339

    It was Harold Wilson who first deployed British troops in N. Ireland.

    (I would strongly recommend that you do not post further on Scotland, Wales & Ireland).
    Surely when at University in Aberystwyth, HYUFD was in the Free Wales Army.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    What day will the Save Xmas u-turn happen?

    Too late to stop half the travel?

    It's too late.

    Sturgeon is flailing around going "before the Christmas unlocking please voluntarily lock yourself down as hard as possible"

    We are on a terminal course now.
  • RH1992RH1992 Posts: 788
    IanB2 said:

    Does the debate need another ****** remainer?
    I had the misfortune to be listening to LBC over the weekend and heard a caller say the army will be opening fire on civilians within a month due to immediate food shortages stemming from COVID and Brexit. Perhaps it was Eadric?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,291
    Pulpstar said:

    We eagerly await the return of Eadric

    Was he the transitioning International model? I struggle to keep up...
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,601

    Nor me
    Consider it being moved into Tier 2, in the hopes of preventing a descent into Tier 3 abuse.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,247

    When I was young Hitler was sending V bombs over my house and one stopped and killed several neighbours

    I think you will find a large majority do not want to kill their granny
    I think I found peak selfishness today.

    Via farcebook friends-of-freinds.....

    It seems that a couple were planning an illegal birthday party. Someone let slip that they had tested positive for COVID... which means that attendance is going to be a bit down.

    The selfishness - apparently, it's the person who let people know that they had COVID and would be in the quarantine period..... They ruined the party.....
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    Apologies. I was not making a serious prediction! When things are bad I make jokes. Laughing is funnier than crying after all.
    Okay, thanks for the apology but...

    It wasn't at all funny and unfortunately there is no such thing as a closed network, so such comments get picked up by loons and are very quickly all over the internet.

    That's the world we live in nowadays, I'm afraid. Sad, I know, but there it is.
  • Andy_CookeAndy_Cooke Posts: 5,045

    But if going all Great Barrington was so popular with the people, why wasn't the Donald re-elected in a landslide? Especially since the pandemic apparently 'ended in June', as you've mentioned before. Unless of course ... it didn't.

    https://twitter.com/COVID19Tracking/status/1338287224098410496
    They're false deaths from false positives.
    And only really old people on the verge of death are affected.
    And it's only caught in hospitals.
    And it's because PCR tests pick up dead virus which mysteriously keeps floating around and shoving itself up peoples noses.
    Because it all ended in June and there's no second wave and it's all false positives and hospitals are empty and we've got pre-existing herd immunity and it's all to protect the scientists [insert name calling here] because every Government everywhere in the world is part of a conspiracy and face nappies and boo.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,746
    Stocky said:

    What, the "pathetic oat-eating jerks" comment? Is that it?

    I`m not a fan of this censorship from OGH.
    I can only assume that was what did it. We are OGH’s guests, he’s the host, his rules. I’d probably throw someone out of my house if they said such a thing to a fellow guest. Hardly censorship -plenty of space elsewhere on the internet if that kind of thing is your bag.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,795
    IanB2 said:

    The more serious prediction would be that, with each mutation tending towards more contagious but less deadly (as you would expect from an evolutionary perspective), COVID will eventually finish up being seen as just another type of flu, with its annual death toll (of the unvaccinated, if immunity proves lasting).
    Why would you expect a virus with a mortality rate of somewhere around 1%, which doesn't kill those who die until weeks after they became infectious, to tend to become less deadly any time soon ?
    Infectiousness is a different matter, though that's likely to be pretty complicated given you're starting with a pretty infectious virus in the first place.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    kle4 said:

    Devolved administrations to break ranks first? I'm amazed they already haven't.
    It would be political suicide for them to cancel Christmas whilst England is still having it.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,116

    It was Harold Wilson who first deployed British troops in N. Ireland.

    (I would strongly recommend that you do not post further on Scotland, Wales & Ireland).
    Wilson first deployed them in response to riots but the Falls Curfew, Operation Demetrius etc were all launched under Heath.

    I will of course continue to post what I like in relation to Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland, especially while we also have nationalists posting their anti British agenda here
  • YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172

    Surely when at University in Aberystwyth, HYUFD was in the Free Wales Army.
    HYUFD was at Aber .... Nooooooo. Say it ain't so.

    Aber already has to bear the cross of Neil Mostyn Hamilton ... and YDoethur 😁
  • NerysHughesNerysHughes Posts: 3,375
    edited December 2020
    Pulpstar said:

    Tonnes of us that have dodged pubs, restaurants, gyms and any voluntary vector. Our modest christmas won't be cancelled.
    I caught the train today for the first time since February. The station car park was completely empty, as was the train. I live in a Tier 2 area but the pubs and restaurants that have opened are very quiet. It is a completely different world to early March yet the virus keeps spreading.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Any reason why Sean has been banned (yet again)?

    I saw him calling @Carnyx an effing oat-eater – which I suspect might have triggered the racism trapdoor?
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,279

    Conservative principles should be principles for all seasons. Or they are worth nothing. A new crisis might emerge in, say, two years time.

    How would our government cope with that, considering we are nearly bankrupt as it is?
    The state is responsible for us versus each of us is responsible for ourselves.

    You`re obvs with the latter - and I`d agree normally. Normally.

    Keep posting.
  • pingping Posts: 3,805
    Thanks TimT, Bob and the physics teacher for the education on mutations & spike proteins.

    PB is awesome, init?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,116

    HYUFD was at Aber .... Nooooooo. Say it ain't so.

    Aber already has to bear the cross of Neil Mostyn Hamilton ... and YDoethur 😁
    I did my Masters at Aber from 2011-2012 and was a member of the University Tories
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,134
    edited December 2020
    HYUFD said:

    In Northern Ireland it was the British military who maintained order ultimately in the Troubles, riot police just played a supporting role, though of course as Westminster is sovereign Westminster could also take direct control of Police Scotland if needed and weed out secessionists
    But it was the combination of dialogue behind the scenes (to begin with, vigorously denied by the Tories even as they were doing it), and the progressive resolution of republican grievances - policing, housing allocation, behaviour of local government and the like - which weakened support for more violent action - that brought the IRA to the negotiating table. The military presence achieved nothing and was simply a holding operation while slower but cleverer policy responses had time to work.

    Turning Scotland into 1970s Belfast isn’t going to end the way you think it would.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Literally the only thing not sending me into a total depressions at the moment is that at least Scotland admissions are still trending downwards but I don't know how much this is a reporting artefact.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,601
    Alistair said:

    It would be political suicide for them to cancel Christmas whilst England is still having it.
    If anyone could take the hit I'd assume Sturgeon could, and I doubt it'd be for long. But if that is a concern, push for it behind closed doors with the PM.
  • pingping Posts: 3,805

    Surely when at University in Aberystwyth, HYUFD was in the Free Wales Army.
    Cofiwch Dryweryn!
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,601

    But if going all Great Barrington was so popular with the people, why wasn't the Donald re-elected in a landslide?
    He was, until it was stolen. His winning margin has gotten bigger and bigger since election night, at least to judge by his comments about it.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,235
    USA is going to motor ahead of us in terms of vaccinations/head shortly I think.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    edited December 2020
    Alistair said:

    Literally the only thing not sending me into a total depressions at the moment is that at least Scotland admissions are still trending downwards but I don't know how much this is a reporting artefact.

    Ultimately none of this really matters as long as we get the vaccine out quickly. Could do with an Oxon-AZ approval quick sharp – then use that to inject under 55s while Pfizer/Moderna goes to the elderly.
  • Any reason why Sean has been banned (yet again)?

    I saw him calling @Carnyx an effing oat-eater – which I suspect might have triggered the racism trapdoor?

    What's wrong with eating oats? Nice bowl of porridge is a good way to start the day down south too!
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,601
    Pulpstar said:

    USA is going to motor ahead of us in terms of vaccinations/head shortly I think.

    Good for them. Can't get everything wrong.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,724
    HYUFD said:

    In Northern Ireland it was the British military who maintained order ultimately in the Troubles, riot police just played a supporting role, though of course as Westminster is sovereign Westminster could also take direct control of Police Scotland if needed and weed out secessionists
    There was no real concept of "riot police" in NI.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,134
    Nigelb said:

    Why would you expect a virus with a mortality rate of somewhere around 1%, which doesn't kill those who die until weeks after they became infectious, to tend to become less deadly any time soon ?
    Infectiousness is a different matter, though that's likely to be pretty complicated given you're starting with a pretty infectious virus in the first place.
    Because death at the end correlates with more serious illness in the middle correlates with more significant symptoms at the beginning correlates with people who stay in bed rather than shrugging off being under the weather and hitting the party.
  • HYUFD said:

    Wilson first deployed them in response to riots but the Falls Curfew, Operation Demetrius etc were all launched under Heath.

    I will of course continue to post what I like in relation to Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland, especially while we also have nationalists posting their anti British agenda here
    To be honest it is time someone in CCHQ reviewed your idiotic posting as you are bringing the party into disrepute
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,116
    edited December 2020
    IanB2 said:

    But it was the combination of dialogue behind the scenes (to begin with, vigorously denied by the Tories even as they were doing it), and the progressive resolution of republican grievances - policing, housing allocation, behaviour of local government and the like - which weakened support for more violent action - that brought the IRA to the negotiating table. The military presence achieved nothing and was simply a holding operation while slower but cleverer policy responses had time to work.

    Turning Scotland into 1970s Belfast isn’t going to end the way you think it would.
    The British military presence ensured the IRA could not win via violence, only once Sinn Fein/IRA were prepared to lay down their arms were they able to be brought to the negotiating table.

    The response I put forward would be only a last resort, given the UK government is committed to 2014 being a once in a generation referendum and if the SNP accept that then no problem, if the SNP go down the route of Sinn Fein in the 1970s and 1980s then nothing would be off the table from the British government perspective in response
  • Ultimately none of this really matters as long as we get the vaccine out quickly. Could do with an Oxon-AZ approval quick sharp – then use that to inject under 55s while Pfizer/Moderna goes to the elderly.
    Yes - we need to get on with this now - while meeting the safety requirements of course.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,724

    It's going to be a horrendous Christmas for hospital staff.


    How does this compare with the past few years?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,116

    To be honest it is time someone in CCHQ reviewed your idiotic posting as you are bringing the party into disrepute
    Given you are openly posting posts advocating toppling Boris, the party leader and oppose the party's policy that 2014 was a once in a generation referendum if any posts need to be reviewed by CCHQ here they are yours not mine
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,291
    TOPPING said:

    There was no real concept of "riot police" in NI.
    The B Specials?
  • GaussianGaussian Posts: 831
    Alistair said:

    Literally the only thing not sending me into a total depressions at the moment is that at least Scotland admissions are still trending downwards but I don't know how much this is a reporting artefact.

    That's just delay from the cases isn't it? Cases have only just started going up.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,134
    HYUFD said:

    I did my Masters at Aber from 2011-2012 and was a member of the University Tories
    Scarred for life by two years as the only Tory in the village?
  • rpjsrpjs Posts: 3,787

    Surely when at University in Aberystwyth, HYUFD was in the Free Wales Army.
    Actually, they were based near to my alma mater the older and better of Ceredigion's seats of higher learning.

    Incidentally, one the FB group for my cohort of Lampeter alumns there's a currently a thread on "So who do we think was actually the Special Branch agent then?"
  • Alistair said:

    It's too late.

    Sturgeon is flailing around going "before the Christmas unlocking please voluntarily lock yourself down as hard as possible"

    We are on a terminal course now.
    As a few of us have been saying on here, the save xmas policy has and will be a total public health disaster.
  • HYUFD said:

    Given you are openly posting posts advocating toppling Boris, the party leader and oppose the party's policy that 2014 was a once in a generation referendum if any posts need to be reviewed by CCHQ here they are yours not mine
    I am content that I am not bringing the party into disrepute

    You are an embarrassment to any decent conservative and your views on violence against Scotland are sick
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,572
    Alistair said:
    It's a nail-biter. Could Trump get a second term?

    [spolier alert: no...]
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Gaussian said:

    That's just delay from the cases isn't it? Cases have only just started going up.
    Sure, but cases have been going up/stopped falling for a couple of weeks now.

    I know admissions will rise soon but they rose sooner in England, so I'm hoping all the midges stop hospitalisations happening or something.

    Don't take my hope away from me.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,291
    TOPPING said:

    How does this compare with the past few years?
    We usually have a bed crisis at Christmas, but this year effectively* 10% fewer acute beds, and significant staff attrition. I would be surprised if it wasn't a problem.

    *as 15000 are occupied by Covid-19 patients.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,235
    edited December 2020
    kle4 said:

    Good for them. Can't get everything wrong.
    Trump's pushed hard on this. If you look at @vp you can see the sort of campaign Trump could have run if he wasn't nuts.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,823

    Ultimately none of this really matters as long as we get the vaccine out quickly. Could do with an Oxon-AZ approval quick sharp – then use that to inject under 55s while Pfizer/Moderna goes to the elderly.
    If we luck into that strategy because of the regulator it will be great because the government will be forced into vaccinating the productive young on a much earlier and more aggressive schedule than what is currently under consideration.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,724
    Foxy said:

    The B Specials?
    They wouldn't be recognised as riot police as the term is used in Mainland UK. If you were being serious.

    :wink:
  • GaussianGaussian Posts: 831

    As a few of us have been saying on here, the save xmas policy has and will be a total public health disaster.
    I suspect it won't be that bad in the end, due to no schools, no unis, less working, and no more sodding Christmas shopping.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,195
    This is what happens when you give a bunch of muppets and no marks some sort of semblance of power. Surely even remainers must be relieved that plonkers like Farage are no longer embarrassing us in that joke of a Parliament.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,247
    kle4 said:

    Good for them. Can't get everything wrong.
    Not so very sure about that - the layers of QAnon level idiocy in State government, Donald Fucking Trump sticking his oar in and the Joy Joy that is the American healthcare system will slow things down massively.
  • https://twitter.com/IronEconomist/status/1338171963232153600

    And it's probably a lot worse in the recent weeks for which data is not yet available.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,291
    Scott_xP said:
    It is not going to get through 27 national parliaments by then either.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Yeah, just sliced the data and actually total in hospital in Scotland is rising even though admissions is falling. So balls.
  • Foxy said:

    It is not going to get through 27 national parliaments by then either.
    Is this how Johnson gets out of the f*cking massive hole he has dug himself? Forced into a technical extension in Jan/Feb 2021 and so avoid no deal chaos in middle of worst of post-xmas pandemic?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,291
    TOPPING said:

    They wouldn't be recognised as riot police as the term is used in Mainland UK. If you were being serious.

    :wink:
    The had unparalleled ability to get riots going...
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,724
    Foxy said:

    The had unparalleled ability to get riots going...
    So they did.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    New posting ...
  • Andy_CookeAndy_Cooke Posts: 5,045
    TOPPING said:

    How does this compare with the past few years?
    I can get the ICU figures if it helps.
    From the ICNARC report on Friday:



    The various grey lines are the levels from 2016, 2017, 2018, and 2019.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,247
    Alistair said:

    Yeah, just sliced the data and actually total in hospital in Scotland is rising even though admissions is falling. So balls.

    Case data R shows it is going up everywhere....

    image
  • Foxy said:

    It is not going to get through 27 national parliaments by then either.
    Wasn't that the logic of "mid October is the real deadline"?

    (Which it was, until mid October slouched past with barely a ripple of excitement.)
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,116
    edited December 2020

    I am content that I am not bringing the party into disrepute

    You are an embarrassment to any decent conservative and your views on violence against Scotland are sick
    Given your views on what is a 'decent conservative' exclude the party leader and PM it is rather a minority term at present and maintaining order in Scotland if riots break out is just a natural response from the party of the Union and the party of law and order
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,247

    Apart from reducing the case, reducing the numbers going into hospital, reducing the numbers in hospital and reducing the numbers dying.... Apart from that, lockdown achieved nothing.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,134

    https://twitter.com/IronEconomist/status/1338171963232153600

    And it's probably a lot worse in the recent weeks for which data is not yet available.

    I asked earlier whether any other countries already had average daily virus death rates higher than during the spring first wave? Does anyone know without having to do lots of data crunching?
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,482
    Foxy said:

    It is not going to get through 27 national parliaments by then either.
    If a deal can be done then it'll magically get through all of those. The current negotiating stance of the EU is what the EU wants after all - nothing to do with what the EU has a right to expect. After a no-deal Brexit then these smaller assemblies will be far more influential.

  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,823
    Alistair said:

    Yeah, just sliced the data and actually total in hospital in Scotland is rising even though admissions is falling. So balls.

    The hospital funnel definitely has more people entering than leaving in all of the UK again. The four weeks in England had a small effect but it's been overwhelmed.

    Only a vaccine will make a difference now.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,950


    Apart from reducing the case, reducing the numbers going into hospital, reducing the numbers in hospital and reducing the numbers dying.... Apart from that, lockdown achieved nothing.
    Yep. Can't figure out what action actually led to cases rising again.
    Should have gone till Christmas.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,746
    HYUFD said:



    Given you are openly posting posts advocating toppling Boris, the party leader and oppose the party's policy that 2014 was a once in a generation referendum if any posts need to be reviewed by CCHQ here they are yours not mine

    At the relatively spry age of 46 I don't want to be talking down to "you young folk" but those of my age lived the first half their lives when serious violence of the type you describe was an everyday occurence. The GFA was almost like a miracle - at the age of 24 I had not considered peace in NI possible - as a young adult at the time I had not known the concept. Even for those of us outside NI, who did not get the brunt of it, the Troubles were something no one would want to go through again. "We" (i.e the British Govt) most certainly did not "win". Painful compromises were needed on all sides.

    Reading you blithly advocating military action as if it were some sort of normal outcome is the visual equivalent of fingernails being scraped down a blackboard - although I guess for you it was whiteboards and PowerPoint.

    You also need a history lesson. The catalyst for the NI troubles was not some the constitutional dispute - although that was ultimately the fuel that fed the fire. It was the shameless trampling of the civil rights of the Catholic population that London did nothing to stop that triggered open insurrection. Nationalists in NI would always have opposed partition, as Nationalists in Scotland will always oppose the Act of Union, but it took civil rights violations to drive people away from consitutional nationalism to physical force republicanism. The eventualities you describe are very different.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    MaxPB said:

    If we luck into that strategy because of the regulator it will be great because the government will be forced into vaccinating the productive young on a much earlier and more aggressive schedule than what is currently under consideration.
    I think that double-edge approach is most wise, simply because the Oxon jab is less effective but much easier to distribute. 70% is fine for the under-55s TBH (and it is 100% effective at stopping hospitalisations which is obviously fantastic).

    So, let's bloody get on with it and have the young guns jabbed with the cheap and cheerful, quick Oxon juice and save the potent, trickier stuff for the oldies.

    As you say, the govt might actually be bounced into that exact policy by the MHRA – I think @Charles was saying that they are likely to restrict it to under 55s.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,247
    Foxy said:

    The had unparalleled ability to get riots going...
    Bit like the West Midlands Serious Crime Squad.

    At one point they were *committing* a considerable proportion of the serious crimes perpetrated in the West Midlands
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,795
    IanB2 said:

    Because death at the end correlates with more serious illness in the middle correlates with more significant symptoms at the beginning correlates with people who stay in bed rather than shrugging off being under the weather and hitting the party.
    But as we know with this virus, those infected are at their most infectious well before they develop serious symptoms.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,247
    dixiedean said:

    Yep. Can't figure out what action actually led to cases rising again.
    Should have gone till Christmas.
    It was hot broth with a drain cleaner chaser that bought the fake case numbers down. Obviously.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    edited December 2020
    Trump still ahead, but it is now 56/36. What a nail biter!!
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    No faithless electors yet.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    Nigelb said:

    But as we know with this virus, those infected are at their most infectious well before they develop serious symptoms.
    The last figures I saw where that 41% of infectivity was before FIRST symptoms.
  • YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172
    HYUFD said:

    Wilson first deployed them in response to riots but the Falls Curfew, Operation Demetrius etc were all launched under Heath.

    I will of course continue to post what I like in relation to Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland, especially while we also have nationalists posting their anti British agenda here
    HYUFD ... let me appeal to your better, baser nature.

    In due time, the Epping Forest Conservative Association will be looking for a successor to Eleanor Laing MP (age 62, Deputy Speaker, surely soon to be Lady Laing of Renfrewshire.)

    They will be looking for a personable, young man. Someone who can defend the Tory cause through thick & thin -- ready with a soothing excuse when a Tory grandee has run amuck with a machine gun or been caught cavorting naked with a rent boy in a bee-hive.

    They will see that there is an obvious candidate among them who has defended the indefensible. That personable young man could be you, HYUFD MP. The third member of pb.com (after Nick Palmer and TissuePrice) to be elevated to the HoC.

    It is a plum safe seat.

    But nowadays, the great bane of the aspiring political hack is the old social media profile. Consider then, your blog posts.

    It might then be awkward if your postings indicated psychopathic tendencies to roll tanks over Northern or Western England to subdue unruly Celtic outposts. It is of course an advantage to be a sociopath in modern politics. But, not a blatant one.

    So, moderate these postings, HYUFD. I speak as someone with your best interests at heart. Leave Scotland, Wales and Ireland to those who know something about them.
  • Foxy said:

    Haven't heard much about the Danish mink version for a month or so.
    It might be extinct https://uk.mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/idUKKBN27Z1B5
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    edited December 2020

    HYUFD ... let me appeal to your better, baser nature.

    In due time, the Epping Forest Conservative Association will be looking for a successor to Eleanor Laing MP (age 62, Deputy Speaker, surely soon to be Lady Laing of Renfrewshire.)

    They will be looking for a personable, young man. Someone who can defend the Tory cause through thick & thin -- ready with a soothing excuse when a Tory grandee has run amuck with a machine gun or been caught cavorting naked with a rent boy in a bee-hive.

    They will see that there is an obvious candidate among them who has defended the indefensible. That personable young man could be you, HYUFD MP. The third member of pb.com (after Nick Palmer and TissuePrice) to be elevated to the HoC.

    It is a plum safe seat.

    But nowadays, the great bane of the aspiring political hack is the old social media profile. Consider then, your blog posts.

    It might then be awkward if your postings indicated psychopathic tendencies to roll tanks over Northern or Western England to subdue unruly Celtic outposts. It is of course an advantage to be a sociopath in modern politics. But, not a blatant one.

    So, moderate these postings, HYUFD. I speak as someone with your best interests at heart. Leave Scotland, Wales and Ireland to those who know something about them.
    [deleted]
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,572
    TimT said:

    Trump still ahead, but it is now 56/36. What a nail biter!!

    Spoiler alert: Trump loses.

    (If not, Betfair is going to melt.....)
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    edited December 2020

    Spoiler alert: Trump loses.

    (If not, Betfair is going to melt.....)
    LOL. I don't think Trump agrees with you. A new idea floated by the seditionist Sydney Powell is that Trump can have his intelligence bods issue a report stating that foreign powers influenced the election to gift it to Biden, and on the basis of that report, assume far-reaching emergency Presidential powers, and on the basis of these, remain in office under emergency powers.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,116
    edited December 2020

    HYUFD ... let me appeal to your better, baser nature.

    In due time, the Epping Forest Conservative Association will be looking for a successor to Eleanor Laing MP (age 62, Deputy Speaker, surely soon to be Lady Laing of Renfrewshire.)

    They will be looking for a personable, young man. Someone who can defend the Tory cause through thick & thin -- ready with a soothing excuse when a Tory grandee has run amuck with a machine gun or been caught cavorting naked with a rent boy in a bee-hive.

    They will see that there is an obvious candidate among them who has defended the indefensible. That personable young man could be you, HYUFD MP. The third member of pb.com (after Nick Palmer and TissuePrice) to be elevated to the HoC.

    It is a plum safe seat.

    But nowadays, the great bane of the aspiring political hack is the old social media profile. Consider then, your blog posts.

    It might then be awkward if your postings indicated psychopathic tendencies to roll tanks over Northern or Western England to subdue unruly Celtic outposts. It is of course an advantage to be a sociopath in modern politics. But, not a blatant one.

    So, moderate these postings, HYUFD. I speak as someone with your best interests at heart. Leave Scotland, Wales and Ireland to those who know something about them.
    A lot of hypotheticals there, I am not on the Parliamentary candidates list and may decide never to even stand for Parliament but if I do there is certainly no apology I need to make for supporting government policy of no indyref2 for a generation and not giving into the SNP.

    Maintaining law and order in the event of hypothetical riots which again may never happen is also not the same as advocating rolling tanks across everywhere north of Watford which I again have never done.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,134
    Nigelb said:

    But as we know with this virus, those infected are at their most infectious well before they develop serious symptoms.
    Yes, but more serious infections tend to produce more serious symptoms, and milder infections milder ones. So a milder infection is also likely to have more people who are asymptomatic (or who don’t notice whatever mild symptoms they might have) and go about their life as normal. Such a virus would spread more quickly.

    The only way your position (that there’s no difference) would work is if contagion disappeared before any symptoms arise. I don’t believe that is the case?
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Cyclefree said:

    There is nothing fake about my outrage.

    You have no basis for saying that the EU has been badly advised by Remainers here in the U.K. You know nothing about what has been going on or whether a deal has been reached or what it says. Wanting a deal with the EU or to remain in the EU does not amount to undermining Britain. What you cannot bear is that the Brexit project you support has been appallingly badly handled by those who promoted it. Rather than place the responsibility where it belongs, we have this constant meme about traitors and Remoaners and people undermining Britain and all the rest of it just because those who want Brexit cannot accept responsibility for what they have done and said and are doing.

    The EU is not an enemy. The countries within it are not our enemies. The biggest “enemies” - if we have to use such language - of Britain and the chances of it succeeding in the course it has now embarked on are those who see and speak of Britain and its neighbours in such Manichaean terms.

    There were well attested stories of various senior Remainer politicians talking to the EU team prior to the withdrawal agreement having been signed. I haven’t seen any of those stories recently.

    But I remain very critical of people who talked to the EU outside of the official channels prior to the withdrawal agreement
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    In two weeks when the Government announces another surge he will be Captain Foresight again.

    Keir has consistently been ahead of the curve and if he'd been running things we would have had far fewer deaths. That is beyond dispute at this time.
    He called for a 2 week firebreak

    Which didn’t work when Drakeford attempted it

    He’s just playing a basic game of calling for stricter measures - making himself appear tougher than the government. It’s not “foresight” just shamelessness
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    If you read above, I said Christmas easing going ahead is the collective Government of all nations' Black Wednesday if it goes above.

    Keir has been spot on, Welsh Labour ended their lockdown far too early. We ended ours far too early.

    But that doesn't stop Keir having been right.
    He didn’t call for a lockdown

    He called for a TWO WEEK lockdown

    He was wrong
  • Increasing cases, new variant strain, and the upcoming Christmas the hall pass.

    The country will be more fucked than a stepmom on Pornhub if the Christmas hall pass goes ahead.

    Don't know how to sugar this pill, but along with everything else there may be a stepmom shortage.

    https://twitter.com/jason_koebler/status/1338472312253734912?s=20
  • Foxy said:

    The B Specials?
    1 PARA?
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,339
    HYUFD said:

    A lot of hypotheticals there, I am not on the Parliamentary candidates list and may decide never to even stand for Parliament but if I do there is certainly no apology I need to make for supporting government policy of no indyref2 for a generation and not giving into the SNP.

    Maintaining law and order in the event of hypothetical riots which again may never happen is also not the same as advocating rolling tanks across everywhere north of Watford which I again have never done.
    Sound advice from my neighbour.

    I would have though you would be in with a shout when people like Chope, Davies, Francoise and Bridgen made the cut.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,339
    Charles said:

    He didn’t call for a lockdown

    He called for a TWO WEEK lockdown

    He was wrong
    It was, but a later, longer lockdown also seems to be flawed. With all due respect to the politicians, including Johnson, maybe if the punters don't play nicely, that negates the effect of lockdowns.
This discussion has been closed.