If news of this vaccine had come a fortnight earlier Trump might just have held on – politicalbettin
If news of this vaccine had come a fortnight earlier Trump might just have held on – politicalbetting.com
Breaking NewsModerna Covid19 Vaccine Candidate 94.5% EffectiveMore Efficacious Than Pfizer Vaccine CandidateOperation Warp Speed Another Major Success Market Indicating Huge Upside Move
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That's great, but will we need a capacity of a million tests a day in a few months time?
The reason Germany was able to get their testing up and running better than elsewhere in Europe was they already had a wide network of labs that ran all sorts of tests, which they then used to focus on COVID, not the other way around.
https://twitter.com/JewishChron/status/1328339353379221512
I think that they are preparing for mandatory testing.
Announcing the two new "mega labs", the government said they will use technology to speed up the process - for example through automation and robotics.
"This means more tests will be processed more quickly and at a lower cost, and therefore faster turnaround times for test results," the Department of Health said.
The sites will create up to 4,000 jobs, with the labs also being used to process tests for other illnesses including cancer, cardiovascular and metabolic diseases.
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-54953677
So good that these facilities can be used for other illnesses, but bad that it sounds like just faster PCR turn arounds.
One question I am trying to get answered - will they use the antibody test capacity we have sitting around, to check the effectiveness of vaccination? In theory, take your jab(s), come back x days later and an antibody test should tell you whether the vaccine has worked...
Anyone know?
If it works well enough I'd expect all phones to be folding phones, eventually.
I have been using a iPhone 6s Plus 128GB for years, I just change the battery every so often.
It does everything I need, and even has a great feature – a 3.5mm audio port, so I know I can play my music pretty much wherever I am.
What is the point of paying £££ on a new phone when the 6s Plus is fine?
If you get a test, it's negative, you still have to isolate for a fortnight apparently.
All because 144Hz 1440p monitor is dirt cheap now.
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1328341927641681922?s=20
Timing was perfect then.
It is also a question of trust. Nobody trusts this Johnson government. Their stupid testing system is as likely to find you infectious as not, whether you are or not. And if you are infectious, it doesn´t matter really. For example, Cummings, Johnson pere, Johnson fils etc etc.
They just aren´t serious. So it is not a serious problem. QED
The EU, meanwhile, has an 'unsigned' deal for 160 million does.
https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/news/world-news/moderna-coronavirus-vaccine-945-per-19287853
https://twitter.com/sahilkapur/status/1328341060620333058?s=19
I only use it for calls, SMS, and as a hotspot for the iPad which is the main device.
https://twitter.com/freddiesayers/status/1328336583540563969?s=19
Ban on events over 8 people.
Its the equivalent of people really caring about 99.x% coverage of the adobe or sRGB colour space. Yes, people in high end creative fields, it being 99.9% vs 99.8% is makes some difference, to most people none at all.
Stringent temperature control (eg Pfizer): 25 countries/2.5bn people
Conventional temperature control (eg Oxford): 60 Countries/5bn people (an additional 2.5 to the above)
Which leaves 2.8bn people - (mainly Africa, parts of ME) where it will be more challenging:
Exhibit 8:
https://www.dhl.com/content/dam/dhl/global/core/documents/pdf/glo-core-delivering-pandemic-resilience-2020.pdf
The Pfizer press release says "The case split between vaccinated individuals and those who received the placebo indicates a vaccine efficacy rate above 90%".
The Moderna press release says there were "95 cases, of which 90 cases of COVID-19 were observed in the placebo group versus 5 cases observed in the mRNA-1273 group, resulting in a point estimate of vaccine efficacy of 94.5%"
Those numbers may not be directly comparable, because Pfizer may have calculated a statistical confidence interval, rather just a "point estimate". If so, the observed efficacies would probably be indistinguishable.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/extra/c1nx5lutpg/The-real-Lewis-Hamilton-story
Getting the soap soft treatment for SPOTY.
* tax dodger....
Difficult to keep track of these new-fangled countries.
Plus the police were stopping people in the street to check their certificates....
https://twitter.com/cricketwyvern/status/1328340903120007169?s=20
https://twitter.com/0Iangardner2/status/1328275383406514176
His videos so far on his YouTube channel are getting piss poor number of views. Somebody with so many social media followers and national newspaper column should really be able to get more than a few 1000 views per video, when things like a bearded man doing food challenges can get 500k per video and even a man teaching the French, English swear words, to use against the French government for messing up COVID response does more views.
https://twitter.com/t_wainwright/status/1328353264744673280?s=20
The other problem is lots of traditional media seem to think all they need to do is clip up bits from their over the air programme and upload to YouTube. If I wanted to watch Newsnight, I would want it on the telly box or iPlayer, having clips from the same show on YouTube, the odd one might go viral via some tweet, but in general people that doesn't work.
I've be surprised (a) if the confidence interval was that narrow* and (b) that Pfizer wouldn't have publicised their point estimate, if much higher than 90% (I took it from the publicity that the point estimate was just over 90%)
*I'd need size of both arms for both vaccines to estimate, but the 'uncertainty' in the number infected in the vaccinated group will be quite high (and there's also lesser uncertainty in the control group). Say - clutching numbers from thin air - that 10 in 20000 vaccine recipients got infected, the 95% CI for a population estimate from that alone is around 4-16 people per 20000. Say a control arm of 20000 with 90 infections, your point estimate is 89% effective, but a very crude estimate of 95%CI from uncertainty in the vaccinated group alone is 82-96% effective. That's an underestimate because there is also uncertainty in the number of infections in the control group (and maybe other design uncertainties, different populations, different exposures etc to take into account)
His self-righteousness and jumping on the BLM bandwagon is tedious, as is the virtue signalling of some sports coverage (on a rare occasion I saw some Sky preamble and it was along the lines of "We make no apology for talking about etc etc". They should've, I watch F1 for the F1, not political commentary).
Still, next year we get the virtuous man and sport in China, land of concentration camps, and Saudi Arabia, where homosexuals are subjected to death. Can't wait for the political comments on that. And yet, I feel I they might not happen. Just a hunch.
Well, either that or a lorry driving study that didn't actually study lorry drivers but asked participants to imagine they were lorry drivers.
How that got through I'll never know.
The NBA are the worst, all the BLM slogans on the jerseys stuff, one GM wrote one tweet saying he was with the Hong Kong protestors and they forced him to delete the tweet, had to humbly apologize and they sent out all the biggest stars to say how absolutely wonderful China was. It was like he had tweeted support for the KKK.
Given the lack of comeback for failures in peer reviewing papers - Wakefield anyone? - versus what would happen if the regulator stuffs up...
It's all about incentives - publish shite, nothing seems to happen. The regulators are looking at career ending events, if they screw up.
It's called This Land: The Story of a Movement. No pictures.
https://youtube.com/watch?v=DXwlhmJBkIY
Competitors in global touring sports have of course been living in Monaco for decades!
However there are third party reviewers who, so to speak, do it as an integral part of their research work - the systematic reviewers such as the treatment reviews by the Cochrane Collaboration. No idea if they willbe covering vaccine trials, but getting their teeth into trials generally is part of their bread and butter.
There are no penalties for publishing garbage. Apart from reputation. A bit....
I'm fine with sport generally being apolitical. But if it wants to start delving into political matters (leaving aside that BLM is neo-Marxist bullshit) it can't only say "Racism in America, so bad" and turn a blind eye to literal concentration camps.
At least, it can't if it wants a shred of moral integrity.