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CNN calls it for Biden – politicalbetting.com

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  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Well, sensibly, the Greeks outsourced their Royal family to immigrants.... So it depends on your point of view....
    That's why beer is called Fix in Athens. Genuinely.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,473
    Jonathan said:

    It is striking and frankly surprising how some Tories are upset about Trump’s defeat. The man is dangerous. Anyone who thinks nuking hurricanes is a good idea or injecting bleach is a good way to kill a virus is demonstrably not presidential. And yet they mourn. Bizarre.
    It's not just that. In fact I don't think that is the most important thing. He's a tax dodging draft dodging six times bankrupt whose grandfather left him billions. He's said that those billions entitle him to do whatever he likes to women and anyone else.

    They're just asking a black lady what it's like to have a black woman as VP and she said it makes her want to cry. Her 18 year old daughter has someone to look up to. Who other than a complete idiot could look up to Trump?
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    So once again the Republicans lose the popular vote. Only once in the last 8 contests have they won it.

    They need a Bush or Nixon in the ticket stat.
  • Roger said:

    It's not just that. In fact I don't think that is the most important thing. He's a tax dodging draft dodging six times bankrupt whose grandfather left him billions. He's said that those billions entitle him to do whatever he likes to women and anyone else.

    They're just asking a black lady what it's like to have a black woman as VP and she said it makes her want to cry. Her 18 year old daughter has someone to look up to. Who other than a complete idiot could look up to Trump?
    Casino Ro... oh, as you were.
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,922
    MrEd said:

    I said it before but I will repeat it, I think the Arizona count here could be absolutely critical to how this whole situation plays out. He's at 20K margin and if you look at the counties with the largest shares of the vote to come (10%+) all bar the small-ish Apache one are Republican by double digit. Pinal, where he is up 15%, has 27K votes to go.

    Assuming a scenario where he wins NC and AL, a win in AZ puts Trump on 242. He's got a recount in Georgia which is by no means out given the wafer thin margin so you could (theoretically) be on 258.

    It's clear from his statement that he will fight and it's a signal to others to join him. It's going to be very hard for the RNC to walk away from this. So this will drag on. Whether foreign leaders recognise Biden actually will count for sh1t as to how this plays out.
    I think your assumption that Trump will win Alabama is safe.

    But even if he won in Arizona and Georgia, Biden would still be president. He can fight as much as he likes, but unless you think he can win a court case, he will only succeed in making himself look more and more stupid and pathetic.

  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,575

    Given what Philip did do in the war that was more than rude.
    Considering however Philip had disparaged his courage and questioned his integrity, it was a good burn.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,121
    malcolmg said:

    Just gets better and better for Bozo , his best pal chucked out , Europe grovelling surrender coming up, trouble re Ireland debacle and now
    The US - Scotland Angle

    “I think the United Kingdom - look, I learned from Scottish friends, the last thing to do is to suggest to a Scot what he should do ... Scotland's democratic will must be respected." Joe Biden

    Indeed it should, we must respect Scotland's decisive 55% vote to stay in the UK in 2014
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    Take a bow Jen O'Malley Dillon. Biden's campaign manager. She was Beto's during his early run in the primary.

    Stonking achievement.

    She was my lighthouse. Once I knew Biden had stocked his campaign team with Obama's Midwestern team I was so fucking confident of the win.
  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,106
    HYUFD said:

    Indeed it should, we must respect Scotland's decisive 55% vote to stay in the UK in 2014
    I'm not sure how it's in the interest of the USA to will the split of the UK.
  • CNN talking about the world "moving on" from Trump and especially how quickly Boris Johnson has congratulated Biden.
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,922
    MrEd said:

    He needs to get rid of Giuliani, the man is a f****** idiot
    I would say Giuliani needs to get rid of Trump.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,431
    edited November 2020
    MrEd said:

    I said it before but I will repeat it, I think the Arizona count here could be absolutely critical to how this whole situation plays out. He's at 20K margin and if you look at the counties with the largest shares of the vote to come (10%+) all bar the small-ish Apache one are Republican by double digit. Pinal, where he is up 15%, has 27K votes to go.

    Assuming a scenario where he wins NC and AL, a win in AZ puts Trump on 242. He's got a recount in Georgia which is by no means out given the wafer thin margin so you could (theoretically) be on 258.

    It's clear from his statement that he will fight and it's a signal to others to join him. It's going to be very hard for the RNC to walk away from this. So this will drag on. Whether foreign leaders recognise Biden actually will count for sh1t as to how this plays out.
    Firstly, Arizona isn't going to be won by Trump.

    Secondly, even if it was (which it won't), then Georgia is going to go for Biden, so Pennsylvania isn't relevant.

    Thirdly, without utterly compelling evidence (which doesn't exist), the Supreme Court is not going to overturn a 75,000+ vote margin. The very most Trump could hope for would be a redo.

    Fourthly, in such a redo, you would have to make Biden the prohibitive favourite.

    Edit to add: on recounts, I can think of one occasion ever in the UK when a recount has made a difference. And then it was a ten vote margin in a 60,000 vote constituency. This is a margin of almost two orders of magnitude more.
  • Would you call your Trump-voting friends "scum" to their faces?

    (Assuming you've got American friends, but I think most of us here have some.)

    And if you don't have Trump-voting friends, isn't this indicative of a lack of unity and how tribal our societies are becoming? This latter point worries me, to be honest, because it increases the chances of other divisive leaders coming to the fore in the future.

    For what it's worth, I don't think my Trump-voting friends are "scum", though I agree there are plenty of undesirables I'm less likely to be friends with who do vote Trump. But then if you want evidence of some really nasty people voting Democrat, there's a reason the Democrats are keen on felons voting, so I think - as is often the case - a cosy sense of moral superiority should usually be replaced by a somewhat less comfortable and more ambiguous feeling.
    I have friends in America. They didn't vote for Trump. As far as the event itself goes there is a world of difference between people who voted for him in 2016 and the people who voted for *that* in 2020.

    Again this is beyond party politics. This is about right and wrong. Yes it will take time to heal the divisions in America but they will heal.
  • Given what Philip did do in the war that was more than rude.
    Yes, I'm certain he would have won the Member First Class of the Order of the Brilliant Star in 1963 had he not been married to the queen...
  • rcs1000 said:

    Firstly, Arizona isn't going to be won by Trump.

    Secondly, even if it was (which it won't), then Georgia is going to go for Biden, so Pennsylvania isn't relevant.

    Thirdly, without utterly compelling evidence (which doesn't exist), the Supreme Court is not going to overturn a 75,000+ vote margin. The very most Trump could hope for would be a redo.

    Fourthly, in such a redo, you would have to make Biden the prohibitive favourite.

    Edit to add: on recounts, I can think of one occasion ever in the UK when a recount has made a difference. And then it was a ten vote margin in a 60,000 vote constituency. This is a margin of almost two orders of magnitude more.
    Is a redo even possible under the US Constitution?
  • HYUFD said:

    Indeed it should, we must respect Scotland's decisive 55% vote to stay in the UK in 2014
    Me too. It's frankly outrageous that Scotland is now independent after voting No. The proper way to respect the vote would have been for Scotland to stay as part of the UK.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,522
    ydoethur said:

    Prince Philip, visiting Brazil, saw a highly decorated general. Intrigued, he asked in which conflict the general won those medals. ‘The Second World War,’ came the reply.

    ‘I didn’t know Brazil was in the war that long,’ said Philip.

    ‘Well, at least I didn’t get them for marrying my wife,’ retorted the general.
    Prince Philip's war record was a good deal more impressive than that of any Brazilian general.
  • Can someone tell me why North Carolina hasn't been called for Trump yet?
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Roy_G_Biv said:

    Yes, I'm certain he would have won the Member First Class of the Order of the Brilliant Star in 1963 had he not been married to the queen...
    Yeah, particularly good weekend for having a laugh at surviving WW2 veterans. You fought for the country in a lot of full-on, shooting naval engagements?
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    You make it sound like it is a shock Trump got beat, the guy 10% behind in the polls for months. No COVID perhaps he stood a chance, but as soon as it became clear his handling was a disaster and was openingly promoting incredibly dangerous behaviour, surely you didn't believe he could win.
    Yes, I did.

    I backed Trumpton at 270-299 and lost - by my terms - quite a lot of money.

    Oh well 🥂
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,291
    isam said:
    Thats the Capitol building of Congress, not the White House...
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924
    Fox Live

    "All these claims of fraud are falling away as actual evidence does not back up the claims"

    They gave several examples my favourite was the Nevada ones
    . GOP lawyers could only bring forward one woman who claimed her vote was stolen Turns out her Postal vote was counted and the court heard she tried to fraudulently vote twice.
    In same court turns out the claim of thousands of votes in Nevada being illegal as they didnt live in the State was dismissed as almost all the names were in the Military serving abroad so not illegal at all,


    Bunch of LOSERS
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,339

    https://twitter.com/TVietor08/status/1325137653851828230

    Promise I am going but this guy is likely to be part of a Biden administration. Over to Johnson.

    Wow, Boris is good on the old computer. That is a really well presented greeting.

    No wonder it took him so long to post it.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,235
    MrEd said:

    I said it before but I will repeat it, I think the Arizona count here could be absolutely critical to how this whole situation plays out. He's at 20K margin and if you look at the counties with the largest shares of the vote to come (10%+) all bar the small-ish Apache one are Republican by double digit. Pinal, where he is up 15%, has 27K votes to go.

    Assuming a scenario where he wins NC and AL, a win in AZ puts Trump on 242. He's got a recount in Georgia which is by no means out given the wafer thin margin so you could (theoretically) be on 258.

    It's clear from his statement that he will fight and it's a signal to others to join him. It's going to be very hard for the RNC to walk away from this. So this will drag on. Whether foreign leaders recognise Biden actually will count for sh1t as to how this plays out.
    GA won't flip on a recount
    PA will go the certified vote
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,247

    Is a redo even possible under the US Constitution?
    I think a recount could be ordered, but not a re-vote.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,247
    ydoethur said:

    Considering however Philip had disparaged his courage and questioned his integrity, it was a good burn.
    For a bit of context - the US basically strong armed Brazil into the war. Previously had been doing a nice, profitable trade with the Axis until that got cut off.
  • IshmaelZ said:

    Yeah, particularly good weekend for having a laugh at surviving WW2 veterans. You fought for the country in a lot of full-on, shooting naval engagements?
    Who's laughing? I'm simply saying there's a whole bunch of medals he wouldn't have won from his military service alone. I mean, it's obviously true.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,522

    Are there any of the usual Tories on here who are upset by this? We have had one or two recent arrivals who are keen on him, but none of the long standing ones.

    As has been said above: this was not about right v left but right v wrong.
    I've no objection at all to seeing Trump beaten.

    In fact, it's almost the ideal result. The orange shit-stain has been chucked out, the Republicans have probably held the Senate, they've made gains in the House, and retained a large majority of State legislatures. And, there's a six-three conservative majority in SCOTUS.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,431

    Is a redo even possible under the US Constitution?
    Good question.

    Simply, there is no chance that the US Supreme Court, which contains many distinguished legal scholars* who will have their eyes firmly on the history books, will overturn an election won by a large margin and plunge the United States into civil war.

    (Plus, they will not want to create the slightest pretext for court packing.)

    * And Kavanaugh
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,307
    I look forward to Joe Biden explaining how he proposes to reform US gun laws.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,473
    Foxy said:

    Thats the Capitol building of Congress, not the White House...
    Who'd want to kiss the White House after the Trumps have lived there
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,482
    rcs1000 said:

    Good question.

    Simply, there is no chance that the US Supreme Court, which contains many distinguished legal scholars* who will have their eyes firmly on the history books, will overturn an election won by a large margin and plunge the United States into civil war.

    (Plus, they will not want to create the slightest pretext for court packing.)

    * And Kavanaugh
    Completely right.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,235
    Roy_G_Biv said:

    Can someone tell me why North Carolina hasn't been called for Trump yet?

    Lots of votes still uncounted there
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,797
    Chris said:

    I would say Giuliani needs to get rid of Trump.
    I’d say they deserve each other.
  • https://twitter.com/JuliaHB1/status/1325114096073789441

    Some people just have no commitment.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    Roger said:

    Who'd want to kiss the White House after the Trumps have lived there
    Or touch it without hand sanitizer.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,522
    IshmaelZ said:

    Yeah, particularly good weekend for having a laugh at surviving WW2 veterans. You fought for the country in a lot of full-on, shooting naval engagements?
    Prince Philip's war record was, by any measure, more impressive than that of any Brazilian general.
  • Nigelb said:

    I’d say they deserve each other.
    They'll be interviewing each other on Trump Town TV in a year's time.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,575
    edited November 2020
    rcs1000 said:

    Good question.

    Simply, there is no chance that the US Supreme Court, which contains many distinguished legal scholars* who will have their eyes firmly on the history books, will overturn an election won by a large margin and plunge the United States into civil war.

    (Plus, they will not want to create the slightest pretext for court packing.)

    * And Kavanaugh
    Didn’t stop the Dred Scott fiasco and the striking down of Kansas Nebraska.

    Edit - not that I disagree with the substance of your port, btw.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,279
    Surprising that so much is available (over £650k) to back Biden at 1.04??
  • Roy_G_Biv said:

    Who's laughing? I'm simply saying there's a whole bunch of medals he wouldn't have won from his military service alone. I mean, it's obviously true.
    A lot of them are: it's just that there aren't many others out there who would have got the King George VI Coronation medal AND the Queen Elizabeth II Diamond Jubilee medal...
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,035
    edited November 2020
    Jonathan said:

    Boris developed the exact same movement in the UK as Trump did in the US. To deny it all of a sudden is rather laughable. Take back control = make America Great again.
    Boris and Trump are similar in that they are primarily both in it for themselves. In terms of political ideology Boris/Trump analogy is less compelling to me.

    The real similarity to me is Trump and Brexit. Both populist rebellions against the "metropolitan elite". I can recall in 2016 pretty much the same people gloating about Brexit and Trump's victory.

    The Americans got to see the error of their ways and turf Trump out on his ear after 4 years, unfortunately we are stuck with Brexit for a generation.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,431
    Roy_G_Biv said:

    Can someone tell me why North Carolina hasn't been called for Trump yet?

    Because it's all late arriving postal votes to come (NC law allows them to arrive up to a week after the election so long as they're postmarked on or before).

    And those will probably break heavily for Biden.

    I had a very small nibble at some very long odds on Biden there.
  • glwglw Posts: 10,367
    MaxPB said:

    Unsurprisingly the liberals are already forgetting that 70m people just voted for Trump. Hopefully Biden and his staff aren't so stupid.

    I detest Trump, probably more so than 99% of the people on this site, but he got a hell of a lot of votes. The idea that Trump's kind of politics has been resoundingly thwarted is for the birds. I believe that if Trump has simply allowed Fauci and his colleagues to properly do their jobs then Trump would have almost certainly won the election.

    EVERYBODY should realise that the US could easily elect another person as malign as Trump, but next time he or she will likely be smoother and smarter. I'm delighted that Biden has been elected, but the warning signs about the fragility of the US politcal system are clearer than ever.
  • Pulpstar said:

    Lots of votes still uncounted there
    1% left, with a 1.4pp lead though?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,797
    HYUFD said:
    A certain lack of goodwill and admirable character there...
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    Sean_F said:

    Prince Philip's war record was, by any measure, more impressive than that of any Brazilian general.
    We don't know when this incident was - or what Senhor General had done, perhaps as a much younfer and more junior officer in the anti-submarine campaign (1942-45, so the point re not righting for long wasn ot fair) or ground andn air forces in Italy.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,431
    Stocky said:

    Surprising that so much is available (over £650k) to back Biden at 1.04??

    Decent annualised return. I'd take that.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,339
    MrEd said:

    I think Biden would as he is fundamentally a decent man. But he doesn't have the power to stop the revenge being meted out.
    Yeah, I am quite concerned what revenge Trump has got planned between now and January 20
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,247
    Roy_G_Biv said:

    Can someone tell me why North Carolina hasn't been called for Trump yet?

    https://www.wsoctv.com/news/local/why-north-carolinas-election-results-wont-be-final-another-week/RWXKFF5VGVDNDJWNNSGMMK2TNM/

    Apparently

    "The state board had extended the deadline for absentee ballots to be received at local election offices from Nov. 6 to Nov. 12 as part of a consent decree in a state lawsuit by voting rights advocates. They must be postmarked by Election Day. Counties have until Nov. 13 to finish counting."

    My bold
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,860
    edited November 2020
    Reporter: "A quick word for the BBC?"
    Biden: "BBC? I'm Irish."
    https://twitter.com/NBurgessDFAT/status/1325144247973138433
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,678
    Stocky said:

    Surprising that so much is available (over £650k) to back Biden at 1.04??

    Lots of free money to gain if you happen to have £650,000 lying around. But I suppose it's not gone to 1.01 in case of legal shenanigans.
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,482
    Nigelb said:

    I’d say they deserve each other.
    They both have in common that they talk all sorts of crap, and you'd really not want them in power, but when actually in power they didn't do such a bad job.

    There was a similar effect with Livingstone in London, and I guess others may argue with Boris.

    Quite how this contrasts with Obama (say) who seemed great, but really managed to achieve a poor outcome I don't know.

    It's odd.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,307

    Isn't he more Phil the Dane?
    The Italian heavy cruisers Fiume, Pola, and Zara all had their main guns trained for and aft. The recent book by John Gooch Mussolini's War implied that The Regina Marina had not pursued radar technology.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,339
    Roger said:

    Who'd want to kiss the White House after the Trumps have lived there
    It is amazing what councils have to do to prepare a house for the next tenant. In this case Joe won't just need a decent cleaner, I hope he knows someone who knows a good plasterer.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924
    Biden can wait he was on a call with Saint Marcus of Manchester
    Marcus Rashford MBE
    @MarcusRashford
    Just had a great conversation with the Prime Minister, now is the time for collaboration Flag of United Kingdom
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,922
    edited November 2020
    Pulpstar said:

    GA won't flip on a recount
    PA will go the certified vote
    On Arizona, there is something wrong with the 97% figure for reported ballots still being shown. That was the figure shown this morning, and would imply about 100k ballots outstanding. But nearly 50k were reported today and the figure hasn't changed.

    If half the outstanding ballots were reported today, then there are only about 50k yet to come and Trump will need a 40% lead in those ballots to catch up. That seems like a tall order. So far he has been achieving 20% or less.
  • isam said:

    I live in quite a Brexity area, but I think people are pleased Trump lost - there's been fireworks going off pretty much ever since CNN called it for Biden

    Weekend after Guy Fawkes Night?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,797
    Interesting story and details on the Novavax vaccine.

    https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/11/will-small-long-shot-us-company-end-producing-best-coronavirus-vaccine
    ... It’s the only vaccine I’ve seen out of all the candidates that are further down the pipeline that actually had no viral replication in the nasal swabs of vaccinated animals,” says Angela Rasmussen, a virologist at Columbia University. That’s important, she says, because stopping viral replication in the nose can reduce the spread of infection among people who may be unaware they are sick. But she cautions that monkeys are not people. “We can’t really conclude that this vaccine is going to be better in practice until we have some reliable safety and efficacy data in people.”...
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Pointless now but what’s the situation in AZ, I can’t find any market open on the US election now!
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    It is amazing what councils have to do to prepare a house for the next tenant. In this case Joe won't just need a decent cleaner, I hope he knows someone who knows a good plasterer.
    You'd certainly be looking to replace all the mattresses.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924

    Weekend after Guy Fawkes Night?
    I think he knows that Sunil
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,247
    dr_spyn said:

    The Italian heavy cruisers Fiume, Pola, and Zara all had their main guns trained for and aft. The recent book by John Gooch Mussolini's War implied that The Regina Marina had not pursued radar technology.
    There's still some arguments on Italian radar - they actually had some decent systems in development*, but budget cuts due to the state of the Italian economy (massively overstretched by the idiot in charge) had put the program on hold. As you say, after Mattapan interest revived.

    *Radar was invented multiple times, in just about every country you can think of, in the 1930s
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,279
    rcs1000 said:

    Decent annualised return. I'd take that.
    Even better, I`ve just got some 1.17 on the -48.5 handicap market (which is a winner even if Biden loses Arizona). Losing Georgia is the risk, I guess.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    edited November 2020
    dr_spyn said:

    The Italian heavy cruisers Fiume, Pola, and Zara all had their main guns trained for and aft. The recent book by John Gooch Mussolini's War implied that The Regina Marina had not pursued radar technology.
    That's true, but at a nautical mile or so range, it doesn't mean much - just think of HMS Belfast from, say, Tower Hill underground. The RN were all absolutely astounded by the guns being in the resting position. They certainly were expecting something much more on the qui vive [edit]. (And the air attacks in the Med. were dreadful, as well, anyway.)
  • IshmaelZ said:

    You'd certainly be looking to replace all the mattresses.
    And checking behind the radiators for fish.
  • Sean_F said:

    Prince Philip's war record was, by any measure, more impressive than that of any Brazilian general.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brazilian_Expeditionary_Force

    It fought in Italy from September 1944 to May 1945, while the Brazilian Navy as well as the Air Force also acted in the Battle of the Atlantic from the middle of 1942 until the end of the war. During the almost eight months of its campaign, fighting at the Gothic Line and in the 1945 final offensive, the FEB took 20,573 Axis prisoners, consisting of two generals, 892 officers, and 19,679 other ranks. Brazil was the only independent South American country to send ground troops to fight overseas during the Second World War, losing 948 men killed in action across all three services.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Found it 7.6 GOP in AZ. Have had a nibble in the vain hope of covering my Trump loss.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Carnyx said:

    Or touch it without hand sanitizer.
    An admirer asked James Joyce if he could kiss the hand which wrote Ulysses and Joyce said Certainly not, it did a lot of other things too.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924
    Stocky said:

    Even better, I`ve just got some 1.17 on the -48.5 handicap market (which is a winner even if Biden loses Arizona). Losing Georgia is the risk, I guess.
    Thats a great bet
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,035

    Oh do fuck off.
    CR on the verge of another tantrum I fear
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,247
    Carnyx said:

    That's true, but at a nautical mile or so range, it doesn't mean much - just think of HMS Belfast from, say, Tower Hill underground. The RN were all absolutely astounded by the guns being in the resting position. They certainly were expecting something much more on the qui vive [edit]. (And the air attacks in the Med. were dreadful, as well, anyway.)
    In general, the Italian forces were individually brave - just that they were less than motivated by their useless officers and worse government. And let down by abysmal supplies and lack of industrial capacity.
  • OllyT said:

    CR on the verge of another tantrum I fear
    He's gone away for now, cryw*nking into his Art of the Deal.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,431
    Nigelb said:

    Interesting story and details on the Novavax vaccine.

    https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/11/will-small-long-shot-us-company-end-producing-best-coronavirus-vaccine
    ... It’s the only vaccine I’ve seen out of all the candidates that are further down the pipeline that actually had no viral replication in the nasal swabs of vaccinated animals,” says Angela Rasmussen, a virologist at Columbia University. That’s important, she says, because stopping viral replication in the nose can reduce the spread of infection among people who may be unaware they are sick. But she cautions that monkeys are not people. “We can’t really conclude that this vaccine is going to be better in practice until we have some reliable safety and efficacy data in people.”...

    Interesting: of course it's perfectly possible that other vaccines see 90% reductons in viral reproduction in the nose, and this is splitting hairs.

    Hopefully we'll see some vaccine results soonest. We could do with some more good news.
  • I have friends in America. They didn't vote for Trump. As far as the event itself goes there is a world of difference between people who voted for him in 2016 and the people who voted for *that* in 2020.

    Again this is beyond party politics. This is about right and wrong. Yes it will take time to heal the divisions in America but they will heal.
    Well there's a lot of cross-over between Trump-voters in 2016 and 2020. And rather more of the latter. There's an argument they're more morally culpable in 2020 than 2016, on the basis of better knowing what they were letting themselves in for, so if you genuinely believe it was "wronger" to vote Trump this time round, doesn't it trouble you that millions more voted for him than before?

    Your last sentence strikes me as a platitude, though perhaps it's not intended as such. You started the very paragraph by stating this is about right and wrong, and therefore 70 million Americans have decided they are on the side of Wrong. According to your earlier post, they are the "scum". What's going to heal this so that, in future elections, they are at least Not Completely Evil and maybe reach the heights of mere "semi-scum"? A re-education programme? Psych-ops to instil moral character reform? Demographic replacement? And what does it say about the divisions across our social matrix if (and I'm not talking about you specifically here, but a general phenomenon) a reasonably well-connected and urbane person can know not a single one of these Deplorables, bearing in mind they're only a fraction short of one half of American voters? It's not obvious to me that such divisions will be ended by healthy re-connections, bearing in mind the polarisation of social media, splintering of traditional media and increasing personalisation ("bubble-isation"?) of content.

    Sorry to put a downer on what's overall a good night (even for many moderate Republicans, provided the Senate results end in their favour!) but I'm not convinced these rays of light we see are the dawn of a day that'll heal the wounds of the last one, and that there are a lot of searching questions everyone should be asking themselves right now. Certainly including Republicans who ought to be asking how their party drifted so far right of the US centre, how it got hijacked, what value they ought to be putting on the concept of "truth"... but also anybody who thought the Democrats either deserved or would receive an easy victory, and anyone with a snug sense of moral superiority who can't feel the pain of their Trump-supporting friends (or who can't at least empathise somewhat with those who feel 2020's vote has set America off on the wrong course).
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,107
    HYUFD said:

    Indeed it should, we must respect Scotland's decisive 55% vote to stay in the UK in 2014
    Can't crawl to Rump now, Bozo is on his own and friendless
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,482
    ydoethur said:

    That’s a foolish thing to say, as Trump will now argue that being Irish Biden is ineligible to be Potus.
    Also there are no reported shortages in the armaments or companies of our Ships-of-the Line. Slight shortage of the ships themselves, but we're still not to be messed with.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,431
    Stocky said:

    Even better, I`ve just got some 1.17 on the -48.5 handicap market (which is a winner even if Biden loses Arizona). Losing Georgia is the risk, I guess.
    Great spot. Well done.
  • glwglw Posts: 10,367
    That's mainly down to expectations. How could anyone even remotely acceptable lose to Trump?

    It's horrifying how a racist lunatic, who is plainly a crook in hock to America's enemies, has won once and got a hell of lot of votes a second time. This is not a sign of good health for the American political system. It's a continuation of things like Perot, the Tea Party, Palin, swiftboating, birtherism, and now Trump himself. I really worry about the next step on this path, we are fortunate that Trump is about as stupid, dishonest, and repugnant as a person gets.

  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,107

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brazilian_Expeditionary_Force

    It fought in Italy from September 1944 to May 1945, while the Brazilian Navy as well as the Air Force also acted in the Battle of the Atlantic from the middle of 1942 until the end of the war. During the almost eight months of its campaign, fighting at the Gothic Line and in the 1945 final offensive, the FEB took 20,573 Axis prisoners, consisting of two generals, 892 officers, and 19,679 other ranks. Brazil was the only independent South American country to send ground troops to fight overseas during the Second World War, losing 948 men killed in action across all three services.
    Exactly , Phil the Greek should not be insulting anyone about medals.
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,035
    MaxPB said:

    Unsurprisingly the liberals are already forgetting that 70m people just voted for Trump. Hopefully Biden and his staff aren't so stupid.


    Did the Trumptons pay any attention to that fact that Trump didn't even win the popular vote?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    Carnyx said:

    That's true, but at a nautical mile or so range, it doesn't mean much - just think of HMS Belfast from, say, Tower Hill underground. The RN were all absolutely astounded by the guns being in the resting position. They certainly were expecting something much more on the qui vive [edit]. (And the air attacks in the Med. were dreadful, as well, anyway.)
    Further to that, the Itaslians could have done some real damage with their 203m guns (ie eight inches, cf. Belfast 6"). Other than the central part of the hull over the engines, boilers and magazines, above the waterline it was only really the main turrets that weere armoured, one or two bits of the inner bridges apart. Much of the armour on battleships and cruisers was flat on the deck (literally) so not much good at point blank range where the trajectory was flattish. So our Phil was in a very exposed position, not much better than being in a tin piedish. Maybe some splinter protection if he was lucky.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,291
    OllyT said:

    CR on the verge of another tantrum I fear
    He just cannot bear that not all leftists are the "woke" of his nightmares. Simply folk who hate the identity politics of the Right wing Populists.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,235
    Pennsylvania House leader and Senator pissing on Giuliani's chips re voter fraud shows this one is over
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,134
    edited November 2020

    In general, the Italian forces were individually brave - just that they were less than motivated by their useless officers and worse government. And let down by abysmal supplies and lack of industrial capacity.
    And like every good Italian I imagined they stopped fighting at noon thirty and resumed at 3.30pm?
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,307

    There's still some arguments on Italian radar - they actually had some decent systems in development*, but budget cuts due to the state of the Italian economy (massively overstretched by the idiot in charge) had put the program on hold. As you say, after Mattapan interest revived.

    *Radar was invented multiple times, in just about every country you can think of, in the 1930s
    One of the main themes in John Gooch's book considers Mussolini's failure to develop a coherent military and naval strategy. Behind the bombast, there was little there.

    The Regina Marina manned torpedoes managed to damage HMS Valiant and Queen Elizabeth. It wasn't plain sailing for The RN in The Med.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,349
    Roger said:

    Max. In a binary contest you win or lose. You should know this from Brexit. 17 million people were beyond pissed off but no one thought to try to share the spoils (and in that instance it was possible). Here it isn't. Trump is out and that's the way it is
    The problem with that is, the Remainers consistently argued the complete opposite of what you just said - Leavers needed to reach out and get Remain onside, there had to be some acknowledgement of how close a result it was etc

    It is quite extraordinary to see that case being made now
  • OllyT said:

    CR on the verge of another tantrum I fear
    CR = PB Trump?
This discussion has been closed.