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  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Quite. So lets open Britain up now. Yesterday. The day before yesterday.

    We might save something.
    Or lets wait two weeks so that it has fizzled out and then get back to normal.

    If you've nearly put out a fire you don't see the fire brigade pack up and go home because its nearly fizzled out.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,221
    isam said:


    No I mean in modern times, where reality tv is king.

    Since 97 the personality has won every time except 2017, I'm checking the polling now to see if it backs up my theory
    Sample of 7 and you're immediately excluding 1 result you don't like :D ?
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483

    I agree 100%

    I also think if we're going to walk away then doing so under the cloak of COVID19 is the best possible timing.
    So that any negatives can be blamed on the pandemic? Shows how low tories can go.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    edited June 2020

    Clause 120 does propose that.

    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/840656/Political_Declaration_setting_out_the_framework_for_the_future_relationship_between_the_European_Union_and_the_United_Kingdom.pdf
    No it doesn't.

    Get a dictionary and check the meaning of the word could, then come back to me. Furthermore read clauses 118 and 119.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,290
    isam said:

    Cameron beat Miliband 40-20 on personality


    Johnson beats Corbyn 76-25 on personality


  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,664
    Big push to incentivise electric vehicles in Germany:

    Electric vehicle tax exemption prolonged from ending in 2025 to end 2030
    Increase of vehicle tax for CO2 heavy vehicles
    A decrease in electricity cost to consumers and business
    Support of the car industry (including suppliers) R&D of 2 billion in the next two years
    Support of fleet electrification for social NGOs worth €200 million
    Support of EV R&D, charging infrastructure and battery manufacturing worth 2.5 billion euros (plan to require every gas station to have charging points)
    Program to electrify commercial and public bus and truck fleets worth 1.2 billion until the end of 2021, including a subsidy for electric buses and their charging infrastructure.
    Lowering of VAT from 19% to 16% for the second half of 2020
    Increase of EV subsidy from €3,000 to €6,000 until the end of 2021
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    nichomar said:

    So that any negatives can be blamed on the pandemic? Shows how low tories can go.
    No, because the prime concern with No Deal that you guys kept screaming at us was that it could lead to queues and a decrease in trade.

    COVID19 has led to a decrease in trade and queues.

    If your threat has already happened its no longer a threat.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,251
    edited June 2020

    Is this what the bridge that will never get built is meant to look like? The truck's on the wrong side of the bloody road for a start.
    When we become the 51st state we will perhaps find ourselves driving on the right.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    And I will ask are you happy Barnier ratted on Canada

    And we can go on like this forever as on the EU we will never agree
    Britain signed up to an approach which it is ratting on. The EU did not. There simply isn’t an equivalent, no matter how you might wish it otherwise.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,664
    Demands grow for 'green industrial revolution'
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-52906551
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    edited June 2020
    I hope excuses aren't found to continue to make people wear masks on public transport once Covid-19 is no longer around. I can almost hear someone arguing "people should carry on wearing facemasks in order to stop the spread of seasonal flu".
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,457
    Nigelb said:

    Demands grow for 'green industrial revolution'
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-52906551

    Says Greenpeace is shock announcement.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,351

    Says Greenpeace is shock announcement.
    It beats the headline "Demands remain constant for 'green industrial revolution'".
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 7,011
    Who is Cummings ;)
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,161
    Andy_JS said:

    The only question is whether we get further waves of any significance. We may not, if the "potency" of the virus has lessened, as some experts have said it might have.
    Indeed but there is, thankfully, no evidence of any further waves anywhere at the moment even where the relaxations have been more extensive than anything we have so far risked here. Its too early to be absolutely sure but it is encouraging.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,351
    Andy_JS said:

    I hope excuses aren't found to continue to make people wear masks on public transport once Covid-19 is no longer around. I can almost hear someone arguing "people should carry on wearing facemasks in order to stop the spread of seasonal flu".

    I imagine it'll change from requirement to advice at some point.
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 14,636
    franklyn said:

    I think that Alok Sharma is one of the less useless ministers, and I wish him well. His coronavirus test was announced to be negative, but so it is in 30% of Covid19 cases. If this really was just "a bad case of hayfever" as one MP suggested, he would have been wheeled out on public show.
    Clearly Cummings and Boris (or Cummings and Goings) and Moggy know what a disaster it would be if he had been announced to be positive. Perhaps he has just been told to hide and they are hoping for the best. Perhaps the test wasn't negative (he's as entitled to medical privacy, as we all are).
    If he does have Covid19 he is in a high risk group, BAME, male, middle aged and overweight. I suppose they could always bury him at sea if all else fails. Poor chap.

    We are currently waiting for a home test kit to arrive but our doctor friend who has kept us well up to speed throughout the crisis advises us not to take the result too seriously. They're not useless but they're not terrifically accurate either.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,161
    Nigelb said:

    Big push to incentivise electric vehicles in Germany:

    Electric vehicle tax exemption prolonged from ending in 2025 to end 2030
    Increase of vehicle tax for CO2 heavy vehicles
    A decrease in electricity cost to consumers and business
    Support of the car industry (including suppliers) R&D of 2 billion in the next two years
    Support of fleet electrification for social NGOs worth €200 million
    Support of EV R&D, charging infrastructure and battery manufacturing worth 2.5 billion euros (plan to require every gas station to have charging points)
    Program to electrify commercial and public bus and truck fleets worth 1.2 billion until the end of 2021, including a subsidy for electric buses and their charging infrastructure.
    Lowering of VAT from 19% to 16% for the second half of 2020
    Increase of EV subsidy from €3,000 to €6,000 until the end of 2021

    We really need to do the same.

  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    edited June 2020
    DavidL said:


    Its really fizzling out.

    Looks like it. This is also consistent with the daily 4.5%ish drop in the death rate we've been observing since mid-April. Also, the longer-term predictions of the ICL model - which frankly looks better and better as time goes on.




  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,251

    We are currently waiting for a home test kit to arrive but our doctor friend who has kept us well up to speed throughout the crisis advises us not to take the result too seriously. They're not useless but they're not terrifically accurate either.
    Worrying.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,653
    edited June 2020
    Maybe.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,664

    Says Greenpeace is shock announcement.
    It isn't just Greenpeace agitating for this.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,653
    FPT

    the myth that we were doing nothing until March 23 has already taken hold.
    Indeed.

    My employer started letting people work from home nearly two weeks prior to the official lockdown.

    My last day in the office was the 16th of March and at the time I posted on here that I had decided not to go to the Liverpool v Atletico Madrid match on March 11th.
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,035
    Pulpstar said:

    That'd explain loads about where we currently are. People preferring bullshit over competence. You're probably right though :/
    You just know that this lot are going to make as big a cock up of Brexit as they have of Coronavirus. But what the hell, that Boris bloke seems like a good laugh.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    "This week Spain reported what should have been cause for huge celebrations: according to the official coronavirus statistics, there were no new deaths in the 48 hours to midday on Tuesday.

    Yet on the same day, at least two regions — Madrid and Castile-La Mancha — reported 17 deaths from the virus between them. The health ministry insisted it had not been informed of any death that had taken place in the previous 24 hours.

    The confusion, in one of the countries worst hit by the pandemic, underlines what experts say is a big challenge as Spain relaxes its lockdown: a misleading impression that the coronavirus threat is past, which could encourage people to behave reckless"

    https://www.ft.com/content/77eb7a13-cd26-41dd-9642-616708b43673
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,161

    Clause 120 does propose that.

    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/840656/Political_Declaration_setting_out_the_framework_for_the_future_relationship_between_the_European_Union_and_the_United_Kingdom.pdf
    It really doesn't. Clauses 118-120 are no more than an agreement to agree and does not commit either party to anything. The EU are of course entitled to say what they want and to refuse to agree anything else but the argument that we are somehow going back on what we committed to is just unstateable.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,221

    Worrying.
    On a population level it should even out but yes it'd be better for people to know whether they've got it or not.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,290
    edited June 2020
    Pulpstar said:

    Sample of 7 and you're immediately excluding 1 result you don't like :D ?
    I'm not excluding it! On the contrary, I think someone without personality being 20 odd points ahead in the polls failing to get a majority backs it up
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    DavidL said:
    I speculated on these pages weeks ago that this thing would peak in 60 days and fizzle out by 120.

    Possibly that guess was about right?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,811

    No it doesn't.

    Get a dictionary and check the meaning of the word could, then come back to me. Furthermore read clauses 118 and 119.
    Clause 118 says that the agreement "should" be based an "overarching institutional framework". How does that support your position?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,664
    .

    We are currently waiting for a home test kit to arrive but our doctor friend who has kept us well up to speed throughout the crisis advises us not to take the result too seriously. They're not useless but they're not terrifically accurate either.
    I think they're pretty accurate if they say you've got it.
    False negatives run around 20%, though (often owing to sampling error).
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,035

    So you believe that Britain should rat on commitments it signed up to last year?
    Let's be honest Boris probably can't even remember which commitments he signed up to last year. Perhaps Cummings hasn't even told him yet
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    edited June 2020

    Clause 118 says that the agreement "should" be based an "overarching institutional framework". How does that support your position?
    CETA is an overarching institutional framework.

    Furthermore it specifically says "the precise legal form of this future relationship will be determined as part of the formal
    negotiations."
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,664
    edited June 2020
    Andy_JS said:

    I hope excuses aren't found to continue to make people wear masks on public transport once Covid-19 is no longer around. I can almost hear someone arguing "people should carry on wearing facemasks in order to stop the spread of seasonal flu".

    It's going to be with us into next year, so for now the point is moot.
    And if all we have to do until then is wear masks to keep it under control, that would be an excellent outcome.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,339
    Take the ONS survey data, infections are halving in about a fortnight, which is roughly what the smoothed death data have shown since the peak. 7000 ish new infections per day, so maybe 70ish deaths per day down the line.

    So when does the prevalence become low enough for a wobbly Track'n'Trace system to take the load of keeping R down? Probably quite soon, probably not yet.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,787
    edited June 2020
    isam said:


    No I mean in modern times, where reality tv is king.

    Since 97 the personality has won every time except 2017, I'm checking the polling now to see if it backs up my theory
    You might have something here. Perhaps we are more impressed with "big characters" in politics than we used to be - or (imo) ought to be.

    But I detect a change in the air. The ultimate in electing somebody based on flamboyant bullshit was Trump in 2016. And given this was America it had an influence stretching far and wide.

    So by the same token when he is rejected at the polls in November this too may have ramifications on political life elsewhere. His election in 2016 may prove the high watermark of "colourful" populist politicians winning elections. His defeat in 2020 the sign that the tide has turned.

    I really think so. I can feel a new tomorrow coming on.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,181
    Nigelb said:

    It isn't just Greenpeace agitating for this.
    In fact we are doing much of that list in the UK. Billions going on rapid charging infrastructure, for example.

    The incentives to buy a zero emission vehicle as a company vehicle are pretty staggering. Makes a Tesla S a cheap option!
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,661

    FPT

    Indeed.

    My employer started letting people work from home nearly two weeks prior to the official lockdown.

    My last day in the office was the 16th of March and at the time I posted on here that I had decided not to go to the Liverpool v Atletico Madrid match on March 11th.
    10th March I attended a meeting in a client's office. 11th I was due to attend a conference and thought 'bugger that!'. I've been WFH since then.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785
    isam said:

    I'm not excluding it! On the contrary, I think someone without personality being 20 odd points ahead in the polls failing to get a majority backs it up
    The problem for Bozo apologists like yourself is that personality is very useful if you can also show competence. People are beginning to realise that yes, Johnson IS a personality, but he is also incompetent. "Hey Doc, I am going to forgive you for taking out the wrong kidney because you have a much more appealing personality". In spite of the epidemic, people like Isam still have a problem with experts! Duhh!
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,653
    Boris Johnson spoke of incoming major job losses, as a general rule, the ratings of a PM and the government crater when those job losses become a reality.

    Boris Johnson might just break the records set by Brown and May from peak to trough.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    In fact we are doing much of that list in the UK. Billions going on rapid charging infrastructure, for example.

    The incentives to buy a zero emission vehicle as a company vehicle are pretty staggering. Makes a Tesla S a cheap option!
    The new plug-in hybrids are a total no-brainer for use as a company car, even though for most people they'll simply be used as a heavier petrol car.

    The key is the infrastructure, and it's not close to being in place - except for the Tesla network.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,161

    I speculated on these pages weeks ago that this thing would peak in 60 days and fizzle out by 120.

    Possibly that guess was about right?
    That would be excellent. I am still somewhat cautious but its looking more promising.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,181
    Sandpit said:

    The new plug-in hybrids are a total no-brainer for use as a company car, even though for most people they'll simply be used as a heavier petrol car.

    The key is the infrastructure, and it's not close to being in place - except for the Tesla network.
    Which is why the infrastructure is being invested in - fast charging with non-proprietary chargers.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Boris Johnson spoke of incoming major job losses, as a general rule, the ratings of a PM and the government crater when those job losses become a reality.

    Boris Johnson might just break the records set by Brown and May from peak to trough.

    Perhaps, though it'll be interesting to see how the recovery goes too.

    Probably a much shallower crater and economic devastation than if the furlough scheme etc hadn't been created.
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,035
    Andy_JS said:

    I hope excuses aren't found to continue to make people wear masks on public transport once Covid-19 is no longer around. I can almost hear someone arguing "people should carry on wearing facemasks in order to stop the spread of seasonal flu".

    If "no longer around" means "having developed a vaccine" then I would agree with you. Till that point Covid-19 will most definitely still be around.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,811
    Good news for Trump's reelection campaign.

    https://twitter.com/LizAnnSonders/status/1268884263853834240
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,653

    10th March I attended a meeting in a client's office. 11th I was due to attend a conference and thought 'bugger that!'. I've been WFH since then.
    We’re in the same boat, work’s pretty much accepted I’ll be working from home for 12 months, at least.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    OllyT said:

    If "no longer around" means "having developed a vaccine" then I would agree with you. Till that point Covid-19 will most definitely still be around.
    It may fizzle out on its own.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    OllyT said:

    If "no longer around" means "having developed a vaccine" then I would agree with you. Till that point Covid-19 will most definitely still be around.
    Ebola is still around but its not a pandemic in this country.
  • PhilPhil Posts: 2,599
    I do find it consistently amusing that the Brexiteers seem to think that an icon on a PDF means they can pick and choose whichever elements of that particular agreement they like & the other side doesn’t get any say in the matter.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,161

    In fact we are doing much of that list in the UK. Billions going on rapid charging infrastructure, for example.

    The incentives to buy a zero emission vehicle as a company vehicle are pretty staggering. Makes a Tesla S a cheap option!
    Well we should make a lot more noise about it. Where are the next generations of electric cars going to be built? Where can the manufacturers be assured of a welcoming and decent sized domestic market which it is going to be easy to sell into because the infrastructure is in place? There are many, many tens of thousands of jobs at stake here plus the ability of our city dwellers to breathe.
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 14,636
    OllyT said:

    If "no longer around" means "having developed a vaccine" then I would agree with you. Till that point Covid-19 will most definitely still be around.
    Personally I'd settle for people using handkerchiefs when they sneeze.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Phil said:

    I do find it consistently amusing that the Brexiteers seem to think that an icon on a PDF means they can pick and choose whichever elements of that particular agreement they like & the other side doesn’t get any say in the matter.

    The other side get a say, of course they do.

    They can agree something we also find agreeable, or we can walk away without a deal.

    That's simple and reasonable isn't it?
  • PhilPhil Posts: 2,599

    No, because the prime concern with No Deal that you guys kept screaming at us was that it could lead to queues and a decrease in trade.

    COVID19 has led to a decrease in trade and queues.

    If your threat has already happened its no longer a threat.
    Covid-10 was a demand shock. Brexit will be a supply shock.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    edited June 2020

    Good news for Trump's reelection campaign.

    https://twitter.com/LizAnnSonders/status/1268884263853834240

    That's totally unexpected, a small sign of recovery from where there hasn't been as much government support as in the UK.

    Interesting that the lack of a furlough scheme is already seeing 'positive' headlines in the States - whereas in the UK, with an objectively much better scheme in place to protect jobs, the headlines as it is withdrawn are going to be entirely negative for the government.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,787
    edited June 2020
    OllyT said:

    You just know that this lot are going to make as big a cock up of Brexit as they have of Coronavirus. But what the hell, that Boris bloke seems like a good laugh.
    I'm afraid he does have appeal to apoliticals on exactly that basis. And there are lots of apoliticals. It is something I struggle to relate to but there are many many people in the country who take no interest whatsoever in politics.

    "Life's too short. And they're all the same anyway".

    "Yeah. Apart from that Boris. At least he's a laugh and doesn't take himself too seriously".

    One wishes to throttle but one must not. One must keep trying to win hearts and minds.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703

    No, because the prime concern with No Deal that you guys kept screaming at us was that it could lead to queues and a decrease in trade.

    COVID19 has led to a decrease in trade and queues.

    If your threat has already happened its no longer a threat.
    Rule #1 of investing: if something has gone down by 90% it doesn't mean it can't go down by another 90%.
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 5,562

    10th March I attended a meeting in a client's office. 11th I was due to attend a conference and thought 'bugger that!'. I've been WFH since then.
    I was ordered to not come back into the office after March 4th so started WfH on the 5th. I'm approaching 100 days next week of not having gone outside town.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,791

    Barnier's problem, like many others, is he has not accepted we are leaving and wants to restrict the UK's ability to make it own laws and trade
    I see where you're coming from Big G, but I disagree - this isn't really down the the personality (or the personality defects) of Barnier. As came out in his responses to the press conference questions, there's nothing he can really do. He's a puppet negotiator - all he's there to do is say 'Non' to everything, and if an 11th hour solution is to be found it will be (as before) Merkel, Boris and Macron who 'make the breakthrough'. David Frost is the same to an extent, though I imagine his relationship with Boris is less formal, and he could quite quickly get Boris to acquiesce to something if necessary. Barnier is doing the best job he can with the hand he's been dealt.
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 14,636
    Nigelb said:

    .

    I think they're pretty accurate if they say you've got it.
    False negatives run around 20%, though (often owing to sampling error).
    Noted with thanks.

  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,254
    Nigelb said:

    Big push to incentivise electric vehicles in Germany:

    Electric vehicle tax exemption prolonged from ending in 2025 to end 2030
    Increase of vehicle tax for CO2 heavy vehicles
    A decrease in electricity cost to consumers and business
    Support of the car industry (including suppliers) R&D of 2 billion in the next two years
    Support of fleet electrification for social NGOs worth €200 million
    Support of EV R&D, charging infrastructure and battery manufacturing worth 2.5 billion euros (plan to require every gas station to have charging points)
    Program to electrify commercial and public bus and truck fleets worth 1.2 billion until the end of 2021, including a subsidy for electric buses and their charging infrastructure.
    Lowering of VAT from 19% to 16% for the second half of 2020
    Increase of EV subsidy from €3,000 to €6,000 until the end of 2021

    This is the sort of thing we should be focusing on, not reworking our trade relationships.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,339
    DavidL said:

    That would be excellent. I am still somewhat cautious but its looking more promising.
    It's going down, but it's a bit early to put out the bunting yet. Peak smoothed deaths on the FT thing was about April 14, 52 days ago.
    Unless something uniquely British happens to accelerate the decline, it will take about a month to get to France's current death rate and two to get to where Germany currently is. (Both based on the physics teacher method of putting a ruler on the screen while looking at a log-linear graph. Crude, but quick and cheap).
  • Rexel56Rexel56 Posts: 807

    Yes we would need to agree a level playing field.

    CETA LPF conditions were a pre-existing precedent when we agreed to that. Where does it rule out CETA LPF conditions? Where did we agree to go further than existing precedence?

    Furthermore you've not even quoted the right paragraph and have missed some rather key words in the actual agreement.

    XIV. LEVEL PLAYING FIELD FOR OPEN AND FAIR COMPETITION
    77. Given the Union and the United Kingdom's geographic proximity and economic interdependence, the future relationship must ensure open and fair competition, encompassing robust commitments to ensure a level playing field. The precise nature of commitments should be commensurate with the scope and depth of the future relationship and the economic connectedness of the Parties. These commitments should prevent distortions of trade and unfair competitive advantages. To that end, the Parties should uphold the common high standards applicable in the Union and the United Kingdom at the end of the transition period in the areas of state aid, competition, social and employment standards, environment, climate change, and relevant tax matters. The Parties should in particular maintain a robust and comprehensive framework for competition and state aid control that prevents undue distortion of trade and competition; commit to the principles of good governance in the area of taxation and to the curbing of harmful tax practices; and maintain environmental, social and employment standards at the current high levels provided by the existing common standards. In so doing, they should rely on appropriate and relevant Union and international standards, and include appropriate mechanisms to ensure effective implementation domestically, enforcement and dispute settlement. The future relationship should also promote adherence to and effective implementation of relevant internationally agreed principles and rules in these domains, including the Paris Agreement.


    The agreement specifically says that the precise nature of the commitments haven't been agreed yet and will need to be commensurate with the future relationship. The UK has opted for a future relationship akin to CETA so in the words of the Political Declaration the LPF would need to be commensurate with that.
    You may choose to ignore geographic proximity and pre-existing economic interdependence as setting the context for any LPF arrangement. Their appearing in the first sentence means that others, including apparently Barnier, choose not to ignore them. If the U.K. did not intend to accept that geographic proximity and pre-existing economic interdependence were relevant factors, they should have insisted on them being removed from the PD.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,290
    kinabalu said:

    You might have something here. Perhaps we are more impressed with "big characters" in politics than we used to be - or (imo) ought to be.

    But I detect a change in the air. The ultimate in electing somebody based on flamboyant bullshit was Trump in 2016. And given this was America it had an influence stretching far and wide.

    So by the same token when he is rejected at the polls in November this too may have ramifications on political life elsewhere. His election in 2016 may prove the high watermark of "colourful" populist politicians winning elections. His defeat in 2020 the sign that the tide has turned.

    I really think so. I can feel a new tomorrow coming on.
    People said so in 2010. Brown seen as the competent, no frills man for a crisis. I thought so too, made that argument and voted for him.

    Still lost though
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,009
    edited June 2020
    Boris favourable rating 39%, Starmer favourable rating 36%.

    Rishi Sunak however has a higher favourable and net favourable rating than both
    https://twitter.com/JohnRentoul/status/1268819330512424960?s=19
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,181
    NHS England numbers out - 123
    Last 7 days - 109
    Spanish Style - 19

    image
    image
    image
    image
    image
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,351
    edited June 2020
    Andy_JS said:

    It may fizzle out on its own.
    By just deciding not to infect anyone? It's a virus, it will infect everyone it can. The only reason it is "fizzling out" is because of the extraordinary measures taken.
  • Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 8,192
    That would massively reinforce the "Them & Us" factor....
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    edited June 2020
    "Do French Lives Matter?
    Where was the outrage when police were maiming protesters in France?
    Fraser Myers"

    https://www.spiked-online.com/2020/06/02/do-french-lives-matter/

    "The scale of police violence was astonishing and stomach-churning. Between November 2018 and June 2019, according to figures compiled by Médiapart, 860 protesters were injured by the police – 315 suffered head injuries; 24 lost the use of an eye; and five had hands torn off. In December 2018, an elderly woman who had no involvement in the protests was killed when police threw a grenade into her flat."
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,181
    NHS England hospital numbers -

    I this this week will work out to be under 100 on average, after the numbers have stabilised (7 days from now).

    Currently -

    30/05/2020 106
    31/05/2020 87
    01/06/2020 75
    02/06/2020 82
    03/06/2020 92
    04/06/2020 74
    05/06/2020 19
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    It would certainly cause an almighty storm on twitter. The platform might crash.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,791
    kinabalu said:

    You might have something here. Perhaps we are more impressed with "big characters" in politics than we used to be - or (imo) ought to be.

    But I detect a change in the air. The ultimate in electing somebody based on flamboyant bullshit was Trump in 2016. And given this was America it had an influence stretching far and wide.

    So by the same token when he is rejected at the polls in November this too may have ramifications on political life elsewhere. His election in 2016 may prove the high watermark of "colourful" populist politicians winning elections. His defeat in 2020 the sign that the tide has turned.

    I really think so. I can feel a new tomorrow coming on.
    Leaving to one side the point about characters, you're saying that you think 'people' are about to 'change'. People are not about to change. We have not changed in the entire history of humanity. We're not going to start now because a country elected a boorish President.
  • PhilPhil Posts: 2,599

    The other side get a say, of course they do.

    They can agree something we also find agreeable, or we can walk away without a deal.

    That's simple and reasonable isn't it?
    Sure. Apart from the whole "easiest trade deal in history" thing.

    I would have complete respect for your position, if the Brexiteer case had actually been honest with the population about what a "take back control" Brexit meant. That the inexorable logic of "take back control" means exiting all trade agreements with the EU. Trade agreements require giving up some control, it’s in their nature.

    But the Brexiteers were never interested in explaining this to the population because it undermined their case. Instead, the Leave campaign was built around the simple lie that "take back control" didn’t mean dumping the trade agreement with our largest trade partner on the ground & setting fire to it.

    The entire post-referendum period has been the inexorable result of this lie unravelling, yet without the lie the Leave campaign would never have won.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    edited June 2020
    HYUFD said:
    It's easy to forget that Brazil and Mexico have a larger combined population than the United States.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Rexel56 said:

    You may choose to ignore geographic proximity and pre-existing economic interdependence as setting the context for any LPF arrangement. Their appearing in the first sentence means that others, including apparently Barnier, choose not to ignore them. If the U.K. did not intend to accept that geographic proximity and pre-existing economic interdependence were relevant factors, they should have insisted on them being removed from the PD.
    The UK has addressed both factors in Frost's letter.

    Either way the whole thing is summed up with it saying the LPF is to be commensurate and to be negotiated. That means that no set LPF had ever been agreed.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,251
    Sandpit said:
    Would it?

    I would have thought it a snub to all those out in the real world who considered his behaviour to be unacceptable.
  • contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818
    I wonder if Britain will power back to economic health the way America is doing, with Rishi Sunak's oh so clever, oh so generous furlough scheme.

  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,661

    We’re in the same boat, work’s pretty much accepted I’ll be working from home for 12 months, at least.
    My wife was reassessed and removed from the shielding list. However, since we are managing perfectly well with home deliveries of food, etc. we aren't suddenly rushing out to visit the Coop.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,254
    Andy_JS said:
    I know this one!

    Im not asking it is because the answer is bleeding obvious. The govt dont know yet, it depends on how the virus spreads in the future.
  • welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,464
    DavidL said:

    It really doesn't. Clauses 118-120 are no more than an agreement to agree and does not commit either party to anything. The EU are of course entitled to say what they want and to refuse to agree anything else but the argument that we are somehow going back on what we committed to is just unstateable.
    Quite. It appears the EU believes they and we had signed up to an agreement to agree their rules, both now and in the future, as they saw fit, adjudicated on by their courts.

    It appears not to say that at all in reality, and in fact says we’ll agree we should agree something. Barnier’s now throwing a hissy fit because the usual statements about more “clarity” or “ambition” or “reality” we’ve all had to hear him utter repeatedly for two and a bit years ( translation - do what we want), aren’t working anymore, and he fears the wheels are coming off.

    He can’t use the clock ( funny how that one’s gone into role reversal), and once we are at WTO he’s got precious little ammunition to enforce anything in N Ireland.

    To me this has shades of “no taxation without representation”. Why the hell should we sign up to laws written by foreign legislators, judged by foreign courts, where we have no votes in elections?

    We shouldn’t. Full stop. It’s a principle. No votes, no laws.

    Somethings in life are more valuable than the availability of brie in bloody
    Waitrose.


    Or of course the EU could bend a bit.............
  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    edited June 2020
    HYUFD said:

    Brazil overtakes Italy on total Covid deaths

    On an excess deaths estimate that happened two weeks ago, given relevant undercounting by both.

    Brazil's current figure would be 63k, about to overtake the UK, and heading towards 100k by the end of the month.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    I wonder if Britain will power back to economic health the way America is doing, with Rishi Sunak's oh so clever, oh so generous furlough scheme.

    If you think 2.5 million getting a job is "powering back" compared to over 20 million having lost it, then yes I expect Sunak's scheme will see us do better. I expect more than 10% of people to be taken off furlough and returned back to work.
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 5,562
    isam said:

    People said so in 2010. Brown seen as the competent, no frills man for a crisis. I thought so too, made that argument and voted for him.

    Still lost though
    I've made the argument a few times that a certain relatability has been the defining feature of all successful US presidential candidates perhaps as far back as 1976. Bush Sr. in 1988 is the one I'm least sure of in that respect. That has meant slightly different things on different occasions.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    Ebola is still around but its not a pandemic in this country.
    Well quite (and I agree with your post above about firemen not walking away from a spluttering fire).

    I think we have ramped up fear of this thing to such a ludicrous degree that some people will advocate staying in lockdown or mask-wearing while-ever covid is present at all!

    That is madness. Once it gets down to a manageable level – which might not be too far away – the aim should be a rapid return to normality.
  • NerysHughesNerysHughes Posts: 3,375
    RobD said:

    By just deciding not to infect anyone? It's a virus, it will infect everyone it can. The only reason it is "fizzling out" is because of the extraordinary measures taken.
    Viruses do just fizzle out, if they didn't the human race would not exist.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,254

    I wonder if Britain will power back to economic health the way America is doing, with Rishi Sunak's oh so clever, oh so generous furlough scheme.

    Id be very surprised if UK furlough numbers are not already significantly lower than the peak, just like US unemployment numbers are.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,351

    Well quite (and I agree with your post above about firemen not walking away from a spluttering fire).

    I think we have ramped up fear of this thing to such a ludicrous degree that some people will advocate staying in lockdown or mask-wearing while-ever covid is present at all!

    That is madness. Once it gets down to a manageable level – which might not be too far away – the aim should be a rapid return to normality.
    The big question is can it stay at a manageable level if things return to normality. I think distancing at the very least will be required in the medium term.
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 10,033

    I speculated on these pages weeks ago that this thing would peak in 60 days and fizzle out by 120.

    Possibly that guess was about right?
    What mechanism caused the 'fizzling out'.
    Could it be a combination of social distancing, shielding, working from home and maybe the nice weather?
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    welshowl said:

    Quite. It appears the EU believes they and we had signed up to an agreement to agree their rules, both now and in the future, as they saw fit, adjudicated on by their courts.

    It appears not to say that at all in reality, and in fact says we’ll agree we should agree something. Barnier’s now throwing a hissy fit because the usual statements about more “clarity” or “ambition” or “reality” we’ve all had to hear him utter repeatedly for two and a bit years ( translation - do what we want), aren’t working anymore, and he fears the wheels are coming off.

    He can’t use the clock ( funny how that one’s gone into role reversal), and once we are at WTO he’s got precious little ammunition to enforce anything in N Ireland.

    To me this has shades of “no taxation without representation”. Why the hell should we sign up to laws written by foreign legislators, judged by foreign courts, where we have no votes in elections?

    We shouldn’t. Full stop. It’s a principle. No votes, no laws.

    Somethings in life are more valuable than the availability of brie in bloody
    Waitrose.


    Or of course the EU could bend a bit.............
    100% completely agreed.

    For me this has always been a key point of principle.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,351
    edited June 2020

    Viruses do just fizzle out, if they didn't the human race would not exist.
    By running out of hosts, perhaps. Before then it's not going to do anything on its own.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,009
    Sandpit said:

    Barnier. On a number of occasions, right up until the day we said yes, that’s what we want too.

    It is quite clear now that the EU will not do a Canada style FTA with us, even only for GB despite the concessions the Withdrawal Agreement made on our side for Northern Ireland.

    The best we could get is a deal that leaves the customs union and ends free movement but keeps us under most of the single market rules otherwise.

  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,254

    Would it?

    I would have thought it a snub to all those out in the real world who considered his behaviour to be unacceptable.
    For a small but significant part of the Brexit right the primary benefit is simply to annoy fellow citizens who they disagree with. You will hear it on here many times - "Its worth it just to wind up the liberal elite etc"

    I can see it happening.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,009
    Pro_Rata said:

    I've made the argument a few times that a certain relatability has been the defining feature of all successful US presidential candidates perhaps as far back as 1976. Bush Sr. in 1988 is the one I'm least sure of in that respect. That has meant slightly different things on different occasions.
    Bush Snr in 1988 was more charismatic and more of a personality than Dukakis.

    You have to go back to 1968 when Nixon beat Humphrey for the time the lesser personality won the presidential election.

    Here the least charismatic candidate won in 1945 and 1951 when Attlee beat Churchill, 1970 when Heath beat Wilson and 1992 when Major beat Kinnock as OGH stated earlier
This discussion has been closed.