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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Another pollster has Johnson dropping sharply in its leader ra
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Another pollster has Johnson dropping sharply in its leader ratings while Starmer takes a net lead
Ipsos-MORI, Britain’s oldest polling firm, has just produced its latest leader ratings and the trend is very similar to what we’ve seen from other pollsters. Johnson has taken a hit while Starmer has continued to rise.
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Almost forgot, first like SKS.
https://twitter.com/BBCScotlandNews/status/1268850454752038913?s=20
Have we polling on this from previous leader clashes?
https://twitter.com/BBCCountryfile/status/1215284448129880066
Take Level Playing Field for instance, the PD says there should be LPF commitments commensurate with the type of free trade agreement agreed. Fair enough.
The UK have responded in this phase of negotiations saying basically "OK we want a Canadian style Trade Agreement with Canadian style LPF agreements as you've already agreed with Canada". That meets the LPF commitments agreed in the WA.
Barnier responds by saying "No" and trying to force something unprecedented that was never part of the PD.
The PD doesn't mean we're committed to whatever form of LPF that the EU wants us to agree to.
I'd say the Jan numbers represent something more like normal service.
What does that metric even mean?
The problem is that it wasn't explicitly defined in the PD only roughly sketched out which means it's likely both interpretations are valid.
You mean like Clem Attlee versus Churchill at GE1945
Or Wilson versus Heath at GE1970
Or Kinnock versus Major at GE1992
See November when things offered and completely rejected by May are presented by Boris as a great victory.
I keep forgetting that whenever anyone tries to put a point of view they come up against the "little Englander brexiteer f**k off to europe if you like it so much" brick wall!
Furthermore if the EU wanted to determine these issues in the prior stage we could have done so. The UK wanted to sort out these issues in the prior stage of negotiations, it was the EU's desire to sort out the legally binding Withdrawal Agreement on the EU's choice of matters first. It was the EU's desire to not decide these trade matters in the prior stage.
Either way its abundantly clear there's absolutely ZERO reason to extend transition. There's no point extending if you can't even get an agreement on where you want to reach.
"Good polling news for Labour, as three consecutive polls suggest the party has pulled ahead. Survation shows Labour four points ahead of the Tories (35 per cent to 31 per cent), Panelbase has it six points ahead (37 per cent to 31 per cent), and TNS gives the party a three-point lead (33 per cent to 31 per cent).
Survation also shows Ed Miliband beating David Cameron in net approval ratings for the first time."
https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/2015/04/ed-miliband-overtakes-david-cameron-approval-ratings-labour-pulls-ahead-polls
Now the Crown Prosecution Service has been asked to review evidence into her coronavirus-related death in "recognition of wider public interest", although the case is not being reopened, the police said.
The man alleged to have spat at Mujinga, 47, who died with Covid-19 on 5 April, claimed to have coronavirus.
But, following "extensive inquiries", British Transport Police (BTP) concluded last month the attack did not lead to her death.
The force also said no further action would be taken against a 57-year-old man interviewed by officers.
The BBC understands that the man, who was the main suspect, had a negative antibody test in the time after the incident.
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What a waste of time? It has been investigated and the crucial thing is that the thug hasn't had coronavirus, so the initial story can't be true.
What are they going to say to the husband, who clearly doesn't accept the initial investigation? We have looked again, and it is still true. And will he accept that then?
* Furthermore, the investigation failed to find that she was even spat at during the confrontation.
When did May negotiate that Stormont could unilaterally terminate the backstop?
Citation needed please. Or are you telling fibs?
Unfortunately the reality of working in a customer facing role during a pandemic means you are extremely exposed to coming into contact with carriers and your colleagues more likely to have, and so it could have been any number of interactions. And can also still be away from work.
Doesn't mean he couldn't have lied.
Something like that, is that what you mean?
And the reason we never did is because Barnier insisted that what we're discussing now couldn't be discussed then. That was the EU's choice not ours. May's government wanted to tackle these free trade issues and the EU said no.
This blog entry makes the point (in the context of domestic abuse) that even well-intentioned apps can be misused.
A couple of examples:
The connected doorbell app that allows you to remotely see who is at the door was built with safety in mind. However, the motion capture functionality can be used to monitor and entrap victims, with instant notifications being sent when an attempt is made to leave the home.
The credit card app that provides purchase notifications was built to help combat fraud. However, its use can give enhanced control over victims with details of their spending being constantly monitored.
https://www.ibm.com/blogs/policy/design-principles-to-combat-domestic-abuse/
The EU in your words 'ratted' on it
There are no good outcomes here and as Germany takes over the EU presidency the word out of Germany that Merkel wants a deal and by September is promising
There is no point in extended the deadlock paying billions more into the EU
During the BLM, a BBC reporter incorrectly repeated this and the protest included a comparison of this case vs one of a white police officer, who was spat at by a coronavirus positive thug, and the thug went down, as an example of racial discrimination.
It is like comparing Michael Brown case with George Floyd when it comes to police brutality of African Americans in the US.
The BTP investigation found no evidence of being spat at, and absolutely crucially the suspect hasn't had coronavirus, so she couldn't have died from this altercation, thus the comparison to the handling of case of the white police officer is not true.
In these heighten times, it is crucial we get the facts correct. We don't want another Mark Duggan type incident, where people's anger is falsely fuelled by reports of a nice young family man gunned down by the police, when the truth was an armed career criminal.
So Boris negotiated something May didn't even consider then didn't he?
The good news for him is that fathering children is probably the one thing he is quite good at.
Clearly Cummings and Boris (or Cummings and Goings) and Moggy know what a disaster it would be if he had been announced to be positive. Perhaps he has just been told to hide and they are hoping for the best. Perhaps the test wasn't negative (he's as entitled to medical privacy, as we all are).
If he does have Covid19 he is in a high risk group, BAME, male, middle aged and overweight. I suppose they could always bury him at sea if all else fails. Poor chap.
https://ec.europa.eu/commission/sites/beta-political/files/slide_presented_by_barnier_at_euco_15-12-2017.pdf
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-52932611
You believe that Britain should rat on commitments it signed up to last year?
https://twitter.com/thomasforth/status/1268657543280295938?s=20
He says he had either hayfever or a type of food poisoning from a sandwich
He is fine
We voted to leave and that requires us to be free to set our own laws, tax and state aid rules
And we can go on like this forever as on the EU we will never agree
CETA LPF conditions were a pre-existing precedent when we agreed to that. Where does it rule out CETA LPF conditions? Where did we agree to go further than existing precedence?
Furthermore you've not even quoted the right paragraph and have missed some rather key words in the actual agreement.
XIV. LEVEL PLAYING FIELD FOR OPEN AND FAIR COMPETITION
77. Given the Union and the United Kingdom's geographic proximity and economic interdependence, the future relationship must ensure open and fair competition, encompassing robust commitments to ensure a level playing field. The precise nature of commitments should be commensurate with the scope and depth of the future relationship and the economic connectedness of the Parties. These commitments should prevent distortions of trade and unfair competitive advantages. To that end, the Parties should uphold the common high standards applicable in the Union and the United Kingdom at the end of the transition period in the areas of state aid, competition, social and employment standards, environment, climate change, and relevant tax matters. The Parties should in particular maintain a robust and comprehensive framework for competition and state aid control that prevents undue distortion of trade and competition; commit to the principles of good governance in the area of taxation and to the curbing of harmful tax practices; and maintain environmental, social and employment standards at the current high levels provided by the existing common standards. In so doing, they should rely on appropriate and relevant Union and international standards, and include appropriate mechanisms to ensure effective implementation domestically, enforcement and dispute settlement. The future relationship should also promote adherence to and effective implementation of relevant internationally agreed principles and rules in these domains, including the Paris Agreement.
The agreement specifically says that the precise nature of the commitments haven't been agreed yet and will need to be commensurate with the future relationship. The UK has opted for a future relationship akin to CETA so in the words of the Political Declaration the LPF would need to be commensurate with that.
Plus the nature of compromise is it always goes against what people originally said in some areas, if it didn't it wouldn't be a compromise.
Like they've abolished boom and bust. How well would that one have fared on contact with Covid-19?
That's not what they want though. Oh well. I see you're ignoring the fact this whole timetabling and not settling this sooner was their preference.
We might save something.
I also think if we're going to walk away then doing so under the cloak of COVID19 is the best possible timing.
It's an imperial pint of piffle.
Since 97 the personality has won every time except 2017, I'm checking the polling now to see if it backs up my theory
The Political Declaration was not legally binding and it doesn't propose that.
RIP.
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/840656/Political_Declaration_setting_out_the_framework_for_the_future_relationship_between_the_European_Union_and_the_United_Kingdom.pdf