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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » New YouGov polling finds Moggsy’s MP voting plan has gone down

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  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,032

    So we're going to get cheaper food is what you're saying?

    Good. That's what the Kiwis did - abolish tariffs, abolish subsidies, told their farmers to make do without any of that. And they're still exporters.

    The only way to do a comparison worldwide, will be excess deaths.
    But when we come out near the top of that league the deniers will be telling us that, of course, other countries don't count their excess deaths properly.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,482
    edited June 2020

    If that were the case we should be banning roducts from most EU countries and only importing from those with the same welfare standards as ourselves.
    The definition of "Excessive Cruelty" is a matter of opinion and politics, so I'm not sure if it is a useful criteria.

    There are plenty of enthusiasts out there for free range outdoor etc, even though some free range outdoor whatevers suffer more diseases than indoor or partly indoor stock. Therefore the free range option is arguably more cruel, so perhaps that is the one needing to be banned.

    I'm sure we all remember the hyperbolic "Meat is Murder" campaigns, which like most of these are based on emotion not reason.

    Sorry - but I think throwing "bear baiting" in implies having run out of good reasons to put forward.
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 14,623

    you may wish to avoid public swimming pools in that case.
    I do. Once you get used to fresh water swimming, you don't want to go back in chlorinated pools.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,085

    As I pointed out to my other half, she could feed US chicken to my daughter every day for the rest of he life and my daughter would still swallow less chlorine than when my wife took her to swimming club for 15 years.
    Its not the chlorine that is the problem, more the chicken faeces that they use it to camouflage.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,472
    edited June 2020

    I'll care about chlorinated chicken the moment we remove chlorine from our drinking water from the tap.
    That is not the issue with chlorinated chicken though. It is an animal welfare issue leading to the need to use chlorine to kill the bacteria.

    We chlorinate salad for the same reason but nobody objects to the cruelty to the lettuce.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,506
    kjh said:

    When there are young the end of the garden is like an abattoir, but they do bring us a fine collection of other stuff. Ignoring the usual shiny items we get hundreds of golf balls, balls of all different sizes as well, lots of gloves and shoes and a pair of orange goggles. Last week we had goats cheese and a loaf of bread, also a bag of celery.

    We are thinking about cutting down on the Sainsbury's shop.
    At our previous home we had a badger sett in the woods beyond the back fence and we often used to see them, especially as we fed them. They were, as I recall, quite partial to chocolate cake.Friend of ours, in a similar situation had an interest in a fish and chip shop and used to collect the scraps and put them out.
    We had a fox visitor, but were never lucky enough to see cubs

    Where we live now is much more suitable for a couple of OAP's but I do miss the animals.

  • eekeek Posts: 29,687

    you may wish to avoid public swimming pools in that case.
    It's the reason chlorine is required that is the biggest issue, not the use of chlorine itself.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,971
    Pulpstar said:

    A much more likely, and sad for the PM on a personal level, explanation I think.
    The earpiece was Fake News, put out by a Corbynite website that later retracted it. It was just the shadow in Boris's ear.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    kinabalu said:

    :smile: - or listening to them tbf.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xGFJaPHlEeQ
    Pulpstar said:

    A much more likely, and sad for the PM on a personal level, explanation I think.
    It will be important to see how he copes with press conferences, etc.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,025
    Carnyx said:

    Is it possible his earpiece is actually a hearing aid? (following on the discussion on the previous thread). I haven't seen it so I can't tell.
    YOu can bet it is to answer the questions, the big dumpling cannot think on his feet , his l;ies are appalling
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,210
    edited June 2020
    Sandpit said:
    The eight polls before Cumgate had an average Tory lead of c.15%, the eight after an average of c.7%. What do you think caused that?
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,904

    Wandering about with a phone in hand isn't what I had in mind as an alternative. Might appeal to likes of Cummings of course
    Otherwise I take your point, although I believe people have been known to go through the wrong lobby on occasions.
    True, and quite recently too. You'd think it wouldn't be that hard to follow the "right" set of people.

    Perhaps those MPs who have to be remote from the chamber should only be able to vote from a registered office from which they 'attend' (either within Parliament or their constituency). I'm not sure how you would enforce that, though.




  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    OllyT said:


    But when we come out near the top of that league the deniers will be telling us that, of course, other countries don't count their excess deaths properly.

    Not much chance of that, given Peru/Ecuador figures.

    It's us, Spain or perhaps Belgium within Europe though.

  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Scott_xP said:

    https://twitter.com/joncstone/status/1268530502895616000
    I'd like to see one US trade agreement that says country of original labelling is a trade barrier considering its US law that it must be displayed . . .
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,195

    The earpiece was Fake News, put out by a Corbynite website that later retracted it. It was just the shadow in Boris's ear.
    That's great news. Was a bit worried Boris might not be able to hear us all.
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 10,029
    Nigelb said:

    The US military establishment is seriously disturbed by the President's behaviour.

    https://twitter.com/JesseLehrich/status/1268375305665773568

    (Allen is president of the Brookings Institution, a retired U.S. Marine Corps four-star general, and former commander of the NATO International Security Assistance Force and U.S. Forces in Afghanistan.)

    Are people finally beginning to stand up to Trump?
    Seems quite a lot are disagreeing with him publicly now.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,548
    edited June 2020
    After the heat clubs got for applying for the furlough scheme.

    Tottenham Hotspur have moved to ease some of the financial pressure they face as a result of the coronavirus outbreak by borrowing £175 million from the Bank of England, The Athletic understands.

    The north London club met a set of strict criteria to qualify for the government’s Covid Corporate Financing Facility (CCFF), which will provide an unsecured loan — repayable in full at a rate of 0.5 per cent — to give them financial flexibility and additional working capital during the crisis. Spurs estimate they may stand to lose more than £200 million of revenue in the period from the start of lockdown to June 2021.

    The CCCF was set up on March 17 to support large credit-worthy companies affected by the pandemic. The Bank of England intends the scheme to be utilised as a way of assisting firms to bridge disruption to their cash flows.

    It is only available to firms with an investment grade credit rating — the highest level of credit rating, which reflects at least an adequate capacity to meet financial commitments — and who make a material contribution to the UK economy.

    Manchester United are thought to be the only other Premier League club who would be eligible for the CCFF scheme by virtue of having a formal credit rating from an agency. The CCFF is thought to have loaned more than £20 billion so far to around 100 companies, including EasyJet, Marks & Spencers and Greggs. The Bank of England is expected to confirm a list of the companies to have borrowed from it on Thursday afternoon.

    Spurs satisfied the CCFF stipulations after they had £525 million of stadium debt refinanced last year. As first reported by The Athletic, Spurs confirmed in September that Bank of America Merrill Lynch and HSBC had helped to refinance the debt on the private placements market in the USA, over long maturities and at low-interest rates.

    Under the scheme, the Bank of England has purchased £175 million of “Commercial Paper” — a short-term obligation sold from one company to another for immediate cash needs — from Tottenham. It is not free money, although it comes at a low, commercial interest rate.

    Tottenham will have to repay the loan in April 2021, unless they re-draw it for another year, but the cash will assist in seeing them through what is expected to be a highly challenging period. The finance will not be spent on player transfers, with the club unlikely to have any budget for signings in the next window unless they sell.


    https://theathletic.co.uk/1849915/2020/06/04/tottenham-hotspur-loan-government-cashflow-coronavirus/
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,779
    kjh said:

    That is not the issue with chlorinated chicken though. It is an animal welfare issue leading to the need to use chlorine.
    And that's just the nelson touch. There are lots of animal welfare issues or food standard issues today - dutch eggs, donkey meat sold as beef, and don't ask about lettuce.

    The EU has more than enough of its own issues and we eat the food today more or less without complaint.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785
    kinabalu said:

    :smile: - or listening to them tbf.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xGFJaPHlEeQ
    Blimey, there is a lot of anti-English racism in that thread fromthe Nats. I mean , I kno that is their main reason for being Nats, but they normally at least pretend not to be motivated by hatred.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,210
    kinabalu said:

    Blair was just not seen as a Scot in any way.

    With Brown, as I recall, it was a combination of things. He was viewed as hardcore Scottish, that was key, and with this being at the time of the Crash, and with him being strongly associated with it, a view gained traction in right wing blogging circles that a sinister, very secretive Caledonian Nexus revolving around him, Darling, Goodwin, RBS, HBOS had "done us up like a kipper". They had gotten hold of a perfectly good English bank, NatWest, and ruined it. They had forced another perfectly good English bank, Lloyds, to swallow the poison of HBOS and ruined it too. They had blown up RBS and then stuck the English taxpayer with the bill for the bailout. Did all this quite deliberately and enjoyed every minute of it, whilst wearing kilts, eating haggis neeps and tatties, and playing the bagpipes.
    Not a bad summation of the frothier postings on here at the time. You still get the occasional outbreak.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,099
    Carnyx said:

    Oh, that;'s the Calvinism, dinna ye ken?
    Very good. There's always a good bit of self-flagellation in Calvinism, right enough.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,831
    Andrew said:

    Not much chance of that, given Peru/Ecuador figures.

    It's us, Spain or perhaps Belgium within Europe though.

    Maybe Sweden too
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,722

    Is your argument that social distancing isn't safe?

    If so,why is social distancing being required for millions of others?
    I'm not sure where you get that from. My argument is that working from home is always safer than working in person, with or without social distancing. If you are able to work from home you should. I am not sure how risking lives, of MPs or staffers, or indeed Lords, at the Palace of Westminster helps anyone when MPs can work from home. The current policy is sensible. Your argument is just that MPs should show some form of solidarity with those that can't. That is a noble sentiment but is not worth risking lives for.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    The earpiece was Fake News, put out by a Corbynite website that later retracted it. It was just the shadow in Boris's ear.
    Pulpstar said:

    That's great news. Was a bit worried Boris might not be able to hear us all.
    I would hate to see anyone go deaf. On the other hand, this has left me wondering if Mr J's ability not to hear the question has partly a physical cause irrespective of whether or not it has suddenly got worse lately thanks to covid. And if so whether he woudl admit it, like that Labour chap I mentioned earlier today.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785
    HYUFD said:

    Boris is still polling higher than any Tory leader has got at a general election since Thatcher
    Even you know that is only temporary. You must be realising gradually he is useless as a PM. He has no leadership skills.
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,032
    edited June 2020

    Or UK farmers will maintain current standards and consumers can make the choice to buy Red Tractor approved products. Just like we already can do.

    I buy Free Range eggs and Red Tractor food even though cheaper caged eggs and cheaper lower standard food is available. People can make a free choice in a free society.

    Doesn't the welfare of the animals figure anywhere in your argument or is that just irrelevant?

    I would have thought that the fact that all these avoidable viruses (Ebola, Covid-19, Sars, HIV-Aids, Swine Fever) have come from our treatment of animals might at least cause you to stop and think about the way we treat them for a minute.

  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,506

    True, and quite recently too. You'd think it wouldn't be that hard to follow the "right" set of people.

    Perhaps those MPs who have to be remote from the chamber should only be able to vote from a registered office from which they 'attend' (either within Parliament or their constituency). I'm not sure how you would enforce that, though.




    Somewhat worrying that some at least of our MP's don't know who their friends are.

    If it's possible to identify exactly where someone was 13 years ago from their mobile phone usage, I'm sure it can't be that difficult to ensure someone always votes rom their 'appointed place'
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,099
    kinabalu said:

    :smile: - or listening to them tbf.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xGFJaPHlEeQ
    Bagpipes are a lot like the Corona Virus. Being exposed to them is bad but being exposed to them inside, as opposed to the open air, is positively dangerous.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,617
    Question on the US if anybody has a care -

    You know how we have manifestos telling us what somebody plans to do if they get into power - what is the equivalent over there?

    Is there something other than the rhetoric on the campaign trail?
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,779
    Foxy said:

    Its not the chlorine that is the problem, more the chicken faeces that they use it to camouflage.
    LOL and you think public swimming pools don't contain feces, urine and God knows what else ? You can tell the stress in the pool by the amount of chlorine in it. and yet we gladly throw our chlidren in to them.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Are people finally beginning to stand up to Trump?
    Seems quite a lot are disagreeing with him publicly now.
    The walk was evil, pure evil. Literally evil.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,831
    kinabalu said:

    Question on the US if anybody has a care -

    You know how we have manifestos telling us what somebody plans to do if they get into power - what is the equivalent over there?

    Is there something other than the rhetoric on the campaign trail?

    Newt Gingrich did his "Contract with America' in the 1994 Congressional elections
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    DavidL said:

    Bagpipes are a lot like the Corona Virus. Being exposed to them is bad but being exposed to them inside, as opposed to the open air, is positively dangerous.
    The playing of the Piob Mhor does need to be done outside ideally -

    https://academic.oup.com/occmed/article/66/4/291/1752328
  • novanova Posts: 754
    kinabalu said:

    Question on the US if anybody has a care -

    You know how we have manifestos telling us what somebody plans to do if they get into power - what is the equivalent over there?

    Is there something other than the rhetoric on the campaign trail?

    I saw an article recently mocking Jared Kushner for suggesting the GOP should go into the election with a five point list of key policies, rather than the hundreds they usually have.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,472

    And that's just the nelson touch. There are lots of animal welfare issues or food standard issues today - dutch eggs, donkey meat sold as beef, and don't ask about lettuce.

    The EU has more than enough of its own issues and we eat the food today more or less without complaint.
    I don't disagree, but let's not go backwards.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,831
    edited June 2020

    Even you know that is only temporary. You must be realising gradually he is useless as a PM. He has no leadership skills.
    He is the most popular Tory leader on the doorstep I have ever campaigned for in my lifetime
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785
    Brom said:

    Not the twitter memes! how will they cope with their massive polling lead.

    It's as if the left never learn, Boris had endless memes last year too and won a landslide. Leadership polls will mean a lot less than VI if Boris doesn't fight 2024 so Im not sure Labour can take too much heart from that.
    Duh! I am not "the left". I am an ex-Tory activist who has spent his life studying leadership. Boris Johnson does not have leadership skills. He can win an election against an extreme left wing muppet, but that is not BEING PM. It is winning a beauty contest against a very very ugly opponent.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,195

    Somewhat worrying that some at least of our MP's don't know who their friends are.

    If it's possible to identify exactly where someone was 13 years ago from their mobile phone usage, I'm sure it can't be that difficult to ensure someone always votes rom their 'appointed place'
    Google can do that already. In fact if I was accused of a crime I was sure I hadn't comitted I'd probably turn to Google Maps as my first point of alibi as to where I was on a particualr day.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    OllyT said:


    Doesn't the welfare of the animals figure anywhere in your argument or is that just irrelevant?

    I would have thought that the fact that all these avoidable viruses (Ebola, Covid-19, Sars, HIV-Aids, Swine Fever) have come from our treatment of animals might at least cause you to stop and think about the way we treat them for a minute.

    Yes they did factor. Red Tractor meat and Free Range eggs are about animal welfare not just being British for Red Tractor and that's what I said I choose to buy as do others.

    If people on a budget want to prioritise cheap food that meets basic standards but has lower welfare then that's their choice not mine. Caged eggs, Danish bacon etc are all perfectly legal to buy.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,472
    Nigelb said:

    You're lucky.
    We've had dirty nappies from the neighbour's bin, which they seem to take a particular delight in. Being omnivores...
    I tried to keep it savoury. We too have had nappies and worse and I am not going to print the 'worse'!!!!

    Deer video to appear at a later date. They also do a lot of damage, but suffer it for the joy of watching them.
  • fox327fox327 Posts: 373
    I've stopped paying attention to all the latest twists and turns. Social distancing is not a sustainable policy in the long term. This will soon become particularly obvious on public transport and in schools. All the hand-wringing over it will make not the slightest difference in the end. It will eventually go. The needs that we have as human beings cannot be met in a perpetually socially distanced society.

    For example, how are driving lessons and driving tests going to work? Or will people just stop learning to drive? For me, the time has come to switch off from these interminable discussions that cannot solve anything.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,617
    DavidL said:

    Bagpipes are a lot like the Corona Virus. Being exposed to them is bad but being exposed to them inside, as opposed to the open air, is positively dangerous.
    Yes, I associate them with open air. I suppose in the right hands they can hit the spot.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,658
    HYUFD said:

    He is the most popular Tory leader on the doorstep I have ever campaigned for in my lifetime
    Yes. He is showbiz. On the doorstep, at fundraising dinners, rallying calls to the faithful. I've been there, done that, listened as people collectively wet themselves.

    But he is absolutely fucking shit as a prime minister.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    fox327 said:

    I've stopped paying attention to all the latest twists and turns. Social distancing is not a sustainable policy in the long term. This will soon become particularly obvious on public transport and in schools. All the hand-wringing over it will make not the slightest difference in the end. It will eventually go. The needs that we have as human beings cannot be met in a perpetually socially distanced society.

    For example, how are driving lessons and driving tests going to work? Or will people just stop learning to drive? For me, the time has come to switch off from these interminable discussions that cannot solve anything.

    This has been my point.

    If social distancing isn't viable then MPs need to identify that sooner than later and fix it for the millions of others who are being told to do it. Why should MPs be able to hide behind a computer screen and not face up to what millions of people are being told is a solution on a daily basis?
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,092
    HYUFD said:

    He is the most popular Tory leader on the doorstep I have ever campaigned for in my lifetime
    For now. Besides that’s quite a low bar.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785
    HYUFD said:

    He is the most popular Tory leader on the doorstep I have ever campaigned for in my lifetime
    FFS, how many times do I have to say to you Bozo fanbois, winning a beauty contest does not make you a good PM. He won an election against a very bad opponent. Now he has to do the most important executive role in the country and he has no executive skills. he is hopeless. We are in a crisis and he does not know what to do because it is a bit harder than hosting a gameshow or writing a polemic.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,779
    kjh said:

    I don't disagree, but let's not go backwards.
    that's a difficult point.

    the food debate is a Brexit hangover. I don't for one moment assume that the most litigious nation on the planet doesn't have food standards, merely that they are different. Some US standrads will be higher than Europe, other lower.and this will probably be based as much on local custom and practice as health grounds.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    edited June 2020

    I'd like to see one US trade agreement that says country of original labelling is a trade barrier considering its US law that it must be displayed . . .
    Jon Stone is an idiot. He quotes a text from the US government which doesn't at all mean what he thinks it means. What the US is objecting to is a number of individual EU countries introducing their own, excessively complex and inconsistent, rules for labelling of products made from multiple ingredients. They not unreasonably say that these rules should be withdrawn because there is a (simpler) EU-wide directive effective from April 1st 2020.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,617
    nova said:

    I saw an article recently mocking Jared Kushner for suggesting the GOP should go into the election with a five point list of key policies, rather than the hundreds they usually have.
    So will Trump and Biden publish a manifesto?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,226
    DougSeal said:

    I'm not sure where you get that from. My argument is that working from home is always safer than working in person, with or without social distancing. If you are able to work from home you should. I am not sure how risking lives, of MPs or staffers, or indeed Lords, at the Palace of Westminster helps anyone when MPs can work from home. The current policy is sensible. Your argument is just that MPs should show some form of solidarity with those that can't. That is a noble sentiment but is not worth risking lives for.
    I don't think that's true of surgeons. I mean, how are they going to keep everything clean
  • isamisam Posts: 41,214
    Foxy said:

    Its not the chlorine that is the problem, more the chicken faeces that they use it to camouflage.
    'How clean are the dead animals you eat?' could well be the 'how well do you treat your slaves?' of the 21st Century
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,281
    More joined up thinking from the NHS. All patients travelling to the UK for treatment must self-isolate at home before travelling to the UK. Including those from Guernsey (zero COVID cases, no new cases for 35 days). So much for "air corridors"!
  • isamisam Posts: 41,214

    For now. Besides that’s quite a low bar.
    Eh? Why is it a low bar?

  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,617
    HYUFD said:

    Newt Gingrich did his "Contract with America' in the 1994 Congressional elections
    Yes, I recall that. Turbo boost to partisanship, some say.

    But Trump, say, did we get a manifesto in 2016?

    Or was it just "Build That Wall" etc from his rallies?
  • Wulfrun_PhilWulfrun_Phil Posts: 4,780
    Andrew said:

    Not much chance of that, given Peru/Ecuador figures.

    It's us, Spain or perhaps Belgium within Europe though.

    In Europe, it's currently us on excess deaths, with Spain narrowly behind and Belgium further behind. And given that our timeline to and pace of recovery seems to be behind theirs, those differences are likely to widen not narrow.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,092
    edited June 2020
    isam said:

    Eh? Why is it a low bar?

    Have you seen the past Tory leaders?

    Thatcher, Major, Hague, IDS, Howard, Cameron, May, Johnson...

    The only truly popular leaders in my lifetime have been Blair, and perhaps Johnson.
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,032

    I'll care about chlorinated chicken the moment we remove chlorine from our drinking water from the tap.
    The issue is he standard of food hygiene that requires it to be chlorinated. But I'm sure you already know that
  • BromBrom Posts: 3,760

    Duh! I am not "the left". I am an ex-Tory activist who has spent his life studying leadership. Boris Johnson does not have leadership skills. He can win an election against an extreme left wing muppet, but that is not BEING PM. It is winning a beauty contest against a very very ugly opponent.
    He didnt just beat him he crushed him. And if you put lipstick on the ugly opponent it doesn't mean they're suddenly going to win.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,506

    FFS, how many times do I have to say to you Bozo fanbois, winning a beauty contest does not make you a good PM. He won an election against a very bad opponent. Now he has to do the most important executive role in the country and he has no executive skills. he is hopeless. We are in a crisis and he does not know what to do because it is a bit harder than hosting a gameshow or writing a polemic.
    I suspect similar things were said about Churchill in 1945.
    But!
  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    PHE weekly update out today, looks reasonably promising:


  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,658
    edited June 2020
    isam said:

    Eh? Why is it a low bar?

    Good answer on the Pretenders, btw - just listened to your clip.

    And also, for anyone who has seen The Americans, With or Without You will carry particular resonance.

    And as for fame, my slightest claim to media fame is that once, several years ago, to my great embarrassment one of the then new tv channels did a documentary on white collar boxing which included me when I was fighting. It is repeated every 3-5 years on Dave or somesuch.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Jon Stone is an idiot. He quotes a text from the US government which doesn't at all mean what he thinks it means. What the US is objecting to is a number of individual EU countries introducing their own, excessively complex and inconsistent, rules for labelling of products made from multiple ingredients. They not unreasonably say that these rules should be withdrawn because there is a (simpler) EU-wide directive effective from April 1st 2020.
    Thank you.

    It really shouldn't be beyond the wit of journalists to get something so fundamentally basic to the discussion right. Without even checking out American labelling laws (which can be done in seconds), anyone who's ever been to America should be able to tell that "Made in Ameria" is a massive deal over there.

    The idea the US would want that banned is patently absurd.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822

    Have you seen the past Tory leaders?

    Thatcher, Major, Hague, IDS, Howard, Cameron, May, Johnson...

    The only truly popular leaders in my lifetime have been Blair, and perhaps Johnson.

    Eh? Margaret Thatcher was extremely popular. In fact, she still is amongst those old enough to remember her premiership - the only ex-PM for which that is true.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,389

    LOL and you think public swimming pools don't contain feces, urine and God knows what else ? You can tell the stress in the pool by the amount of chlorine in it. and yet we gladly throw our chlidren in to them.
    The nasty stuff in the swimming pool is there *because* our children are in it. Having nasty stuff in our food is avoidable.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,506

    More joined up thinking from the NHS. All patients travelling to the UK for treatment must self-isolate at home before travelling to the UK. Including those from Guernsey (zero COVID cases, no new cases for 35 days). So much for "air corridors"!

    Guernsey's hospital is good, but some at least cases are sent to Southampton!
  • sladeslade Posts: 2,156
    ClippP said:

    They all died because their cardio vascular system failed. 100%.

    Nothing to do with the Republican Governor at all.
    As my father used to say - 'We all die from the same thing - shortage of breath.'
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,085
    fox327 said:

    I've stopped paying attention to all the latest twists and turns. Social distancing is not a sustainable policy in the long term. This will soon become particularly obvious on public transport and in schools. All the hand-wringing over it will make not the slightest difference in the end. It will eventually go. The needs that we have as human beings cannot be met in a perpetually socially distanced society.

    For example, how are driving lessons and driving tests going to work? Or will people just stop learning to drive? For me, the time has come to switch off from these interminable discussions that cannot solve anything.

    Taxi drivers are amongst the highest risk occupations as I recall.

    Where social distancing is impossible, such as in cars, trains, some workplaces, masks should be compulsory for all.

  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,506
    TOPPING said:

    Good answer on the Pretenders, btw - just listened to your clip.

    And also, for anyone who has seen The Americans, With or Without You will carry particular resonance.

    And as for fame, my slightest claim to media fame is that once, several years ago, to my great embarrassment one of the then new tv channels did a documentary on white collar boxing which included me when I was fighting. It is repeated every 3-5 years on Dave or somesuch.
    Do you get royalties?
  • BromBrom Posts: 3,760

    I suspect similar things were said about Churchill in 1945.
    But!
    Some people always prefer to make excuses rather than recognise that love him or loathe him Boris is a canny operator and has cultivated a persona that gets folk to the polls to vote for him. The anti Tories will always vote anyone but yet Boris has something that the Tories have not had for a while. 14 million votes in a December election is quite something.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822

    Thank you.

    It really shouldn't be beyond the wit of journalists to get something so fundamentally basic to the discussion right. Without even checking out American labelling laws (which can be done in seconds), anyone who's ever been to America should be able to tell that "Made in Ameria" is a massive deal over there.

    The idea the US would want that banned is patently absurd.
    I don't so much mind journalists getting things wrong - one expects that - but you do have to raise an eyebrow when they themselves support their 'argument' by referring to a text which proves they are wrong.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,850
    edited June 2020
    OllyT said:

    The issue is he standard of food hygiene that requires it to be chlorinated. But I'm sure you already know that
    I believe the US has an order of magnitude higher number of deaths from Salmonella, compared with the European Union. Admittedly, several hundred versus a handful.

    Should add salmonella poisoning is an unpleasant experience, even if you don't die. 1.3 million cases in the US annually versus 10 000 in the UK
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,904
    edited June 2020

    More joined up thinking from the NHS. All patients travelling to the UK for treatment must self-isolate at home before travelling to the UK. Including those from Guernsey (zero COVID cases, no new cases for 35 days). So much for "air corridors"!

    It is the nature of the travel itself that is the problem, surely? Not the prevalence in the place of origin.

    Edit:
    Oops, re-read. Before travelling? Now that makes no sense.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,617

    Are people finally beginning to stand up to Trump?
    Seems quite a lot are disagreeing with him publicly now.
    I sense it all crumbling around him now. Been expecting this and I am certain it will continue. Sometimes something is too absurd to carry on being and Trump as US President is one such thing. People have had enough. They are calling time on it.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,025
    HYUFD said:

    He is the most popular Tory leader on the doorstep I have ever campaigned for in my lifetime
    Just proves how stupid Tories are, superficial halfwitted cretins.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,658

    Do you get royalties?
    sadly not
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 14,623
    edited June 2020
    Pulpstar said:

    Google can do that already. In fact if I was accused of a crime I was sure I hadn't comitted I'd probably turn to Google Maps as my first point of alibi as to where I was on a particualr day.
    Wasn't that effectively what Cummings did in relation to the incorrect press report about a second return trip to Durham? He certainly offered to make electronic data available in evidence.

    He did not however make such an offer in respect of the rest of his story so maybe the evidence there wasn't quite so conclusive.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785

    I suspect similar things were said about Churchill in 1945.
    But!
    Oh dear, you are not serious? re you one of the few people that still like to think there is a similarity? I don't think even Bozo believes it now. He is a poundshop Churchill. Not fit to lick the great mans dirtiest boots. Churchill achieved more in a week of his life than Bozo will ever achieve.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,263
    malcolmg said:

    Just proves how stupid Tories are, superficial halfwitted cretins.
    Is it a good idea to insult 45% of voters?
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,092
    edited June 2020
    @Brom you’re living in the past. No one is really disputing that Boris Johnson is good at elections and his achievement in the General Election was impressive. However that doesn’t matter now. That was then and this is now. His skill as Prime Minister is judged on a completely different metric, and his approval rating suggests the public are not impressed.

    Now I’m not saying that the public would not vote Tory again, but that’s a different question.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,482

    FPT

    Actually, the more I look at it, the basis of Guido's objection seems to be a load of "bullshit". You are too trusting of that site.

    It's hardly news that the lag in the system the 359 UK deaths reported yesterday were deaths which occurred over the previous fortnight, most within the past few days. That's because of the time lag in UK reporting.

    It is however a perfectly reasonable to use that to make comparisons with other European countries, because they too must experience lags between the date of death and the date it is reported.

    The only point of substance contained in Guido's report is that the source website (Worldometer) has been dissed by a rival website whose rival data manager claims that the data on his site (Our World in Data) is better, which is not that surprising given that to say the opposite would damage his career prospects. Yet the actual differences are minimal - for Spain 27,940 cumulative deaths on Our World in Data compared to 27,128 on Worldometer or less than a 3% diffrence, with the figures on both the same for the UK. So very similar, not different.
    Thanks for the reply.

    I'm not debating Guido; I'm debating Newsnight and the quality of their coverage. Guido is a tabloid news site that sometimes generates interesting stories.

    The exact phrase used by Nick Watt to comment on the graph put up on Newsnight was:

    "what this shows is that the UK now has more daily deaths than the entire EU put together"

    The UK figure is simply not what he says it is - "daily deaths"; it is deaths reported today, mainly consisting of deaths that occurred today and over the previous days. It is misleading even before we get into all the stuff needed to make sure the comparison is valid, because most of his number is 5-10 days out of date.

    You can listen to it here at about 2:40.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/m000jr6j/newsnight-03062020

    >"It's hardly news that the lag in the system the 359 UK deaths reported yesterday were deaths which occurred over the previous fortnight, most within the past few days. That's because of the time lag in UK reporting."

    I agree with this, and they even start talking about difficulties of comparing data a bit further on.

    So why on earth did they do the misleading comparison, rather than one using the data accurately?
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,513
    edited June 2020
    https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1268450749614358528

    It's very hard to move away from reported deaths irrespective of the date of death.
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,032

    you may wish to avoid public swimming pools in that case.
    Do you drink the water in the pool then? Most people just swim in it.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,025

    I suspect similar things were said about Churchill in 1945.
    But!
    Russia and USA will not save Boris though
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 14,623
    kinabalu said:

    I sense it all crumbling around him now. Been expecting this and I am certain it will continue. Sometimes something is too absurd to carry on being and Trump as US President is one such thing. People have had enough. They are calling time on it.
    kinabalu said:

    I sense it all crumbling around him now. Been expecting this and I am certain it will continue. Sometimes something is too absurd to carry on being and Trump as US President is one such thing. People have had enough. They are calling time on it.
    A lot of us have had that feeling for a very long time, at least four years in my case. Yet his approval ratings remain stubbornly persistent at around 40/45%. By historical standards that's quite poor for an incumbent President but considering he is by some distance the worst POTUS in my lifetime (and I go back to Truman) it is still extraordinarily high.

  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,794
    As I've said plenty of times, the government are being shat on for being very honest about the death statistics while others are getting a free pass by not. The FT analysis is still the best and while it doesn't mean that the UK has a good showing, but it does show that loads of other countries are doing as badly across Europe, they just aren't recording it in their official statistics.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,482
    Foxy said:

    Taxi drivers are amongst the highest risk occupations as I recall.

    Where social distancing is impossible, such as in cars, trains, some workplaces, masks should be compulsory for all.

    I think when I heard the numbers on More or Less quite some time ago the most at-risk group they could find was London Bus Drivers.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,451
    Mr. 86, there's also been much muttering about every case *with* COVID here being described statistically as a death *from* COVID (so if I pummel you to death with a stuff walrus, that counts as a COVID death if your corpse tests positive).
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,995
    Strange that the conservatives seem to be holding around 43% despite their unenforced errors

    Despite the fury by some on here the fact remains that

    Boris is only going to stand down if his health is an issue

    Or

    Letters are sent in to the 1922

    It is likely that those shouting loudest for his head are going to be doing the same for 4 more years, sadly for them

    There is more to life to be honest

  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 7,007
    Andy_JS said:

    Is it a good idea to insult 45% of voters?
    as I said, Malc's suffering from turnipmyopia
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,025
    Andy_JS said:

    Is it a good idea to insult 45% of voters?
    If the cap fits ............
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,423
    FF43 said:

    I believe the US has an order of magnitude higher number of deaths from Salmonella, compared with the European Union. Admittedly, several hundred versus a handful.
    I think this is true-ish.
    Though I recall the last time I tried to verify the figures I ran into problems, as reporting of cases is all over the place, so difficult to compare (in a similar manner to Covid deaths, but probably worse).
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785
    Brom said:

    He didnt just beat him he crushed him. And if you put lipstick on the ugly opponent it doesn't mean they're suddenly going to win.
    The "lip stick on a pig" epithet is the perfect description of both Corbyn and Johnson. Although Corbyn was/is not 17 stone, he was considered more piggy by the electorate who would rather have an incompetent pig (though they didn't guess how incompetent) rather than a terrorist sympathising anti-Semitic Marxist pig
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,092
    @Big_G_NorthWales I did say that I didn’t think the party political polls would move very much. People are not paying attention to party politics at the moment for obvious reasons.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,506
    Brom said:

    Some people always prefer to make excuses rather than recognise that love him or loathe him Boris is a canny operator and has cultivated a persona that gets folk to the polls to vote for him. The anti Tories will always vote anyone but yet Boris has something that the Tories have not had for a while. 14 million votes in a December election is quite something.
    You're right; I recall discussing the election result with a couple of Tory acquaintances and on remarking about Boris' lies was told that they didn't matter. He was going to get things done.

    That sort of thing can go hard the other way, of course.

  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,065
    MattW said:

    Thanks for the reply.

    I'm not debating Guido; I'm debating Newsnight and the quality of their coverage. Guido is a tabloid news site that sometimes generates interesting stories.

    The exact phrase used by Nick Watt to comment on the graph put up on Newsnight was:

    "what this shows is that the UK now has more daily deaths than the entire EU put together"

    The UK figure is simply not what he says it is - "daily deaths"; it is deaths reported today, mainly consisting of deaths that occurred today and over the previous days. It is misleading even before we get into all the stuff needed to make sure the comparison is valid, because most of his number is 5-10 days out of date.

    You can listen to it here at about 2:40.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/m000jr6j/newsnight-03062020

    >"It's hardly news that the lag in the system the 359 UK deaths reported yesterday were deaths which occurred over the previous fortnight, most within the past few days. That's because of the time lag in UK reporting."

    I agree with this, and they even start talking about difficulties of comparing data a bit further on.

    So why on earth did they do the misleading comparison, rather than one using the data accurately?
    I had to talk a journalist (previously mentioned) through the problem of what a 10% rise in something means - i.e. what is 110% of the original value.

    Why do you think they are up to complexities like understanding where numbers came from?
  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900

    Mr. 86, there's also been much muttering about every case *with* COVID here being described statistically as a death *from* COVID (so if I pummel you to death with a stuff walrus, that counts as a COVID death if your corpse tests positive).

    Yeah, but as a whole it matches up. If you look at the last three weeks of ONS figures, excess deaths match covid deaths, after there initially being quite a gap. This is the same pattern other nations have produced later in the epidemic.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,322
    edited June 2020
    MaxPB said:

    As I've said plenty of times, the government are being shat on for being very honest about the death statistics while others are getting a free pass by not. The FT analysis is still the best and while it doesn't mean that the UK has a good showing, but it does show that loads of other countries are doing as badly across Europe, they just aren't recording it in their official statistics.
    When all the dusts settles, I think we are going to see that Germany clearly handled this initial outbreak best, but most of Western Europe is going to end up roughly the same. Portugal interesting appears to have performed quite well, despite being the poorest Western European nation and bordering Spain.

    That isn't to say the UK government haven't made big mistakes, but they really haven't tried to hide any figures.

    Why Greece and Eastern European countries have got off lighter will require more research.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,210
    TOPPING said:

    Good answer on the Pretenders, btw - just listened to your clip.

    And also, for anyone who has seen The Americans, With or Without You will carry particular resonance.

    And as for fame, my slightest claim to media fame is that once, several years ago, to my great embarrassment one of the then new tv channels did a documentary on white collar boxing which included me when I was fighting. It is repeated every 3-5 years on Dave or somesuch.
    I hope you kept your white collar on in the ring, just to rile your more horny handed opponents. If like other flabbed out boxers you turn to the wrestling, it'd be a great basis on which to hang a ring persona.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,513

    Mr. 86, there's also been much muttering about every case *with* COVID here being described statistically as a death *from* COVID (so if I pummel you to death with a stuff walrus, that counts as a COVID death if your corpse tests positive).

    Ultimately deaths in excess of the average is all that really matters. I trust the ONS figures for this unconditionally.
This discussion has been closed.