politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Latest England “day of death” data suggests the peak was a wee

We still seem to have kept very close to Italy + 14, at least going by the daily announced deaths.

Beeb going big on the telly with the care home testing news.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-52289607

Tearful care home bosses saying they've been let down and old folk are dying because of lack of testing to date. Others saying they've put their infection control procedures in place they would have done against a bad flu season but it hasn't been enough.

The thing that really got me was one care home manager saying if only he'd been able to get his staff and patients to test negative, they could have skipped the PPE and that would have made care much more personal/comfortable for the old dears.

I can see the attraction of that but it did worry me that they all seemed to view the testing as foolproof and a silver bullet, with a negative test indicating that all was clear.

Seems dangerous to me, as false negatives appear to be rather common. If you're testing a care worker because they've got symptoms or they believe they've been exposed to it at home or whatever then wouldn't it be safer for them to be staying at home anyway? The negative test doesn't "prove" they're safe to return. And if you did a mass testing of all your staff regardless of symptoms or possible prior exposure, then even if you did believe all the negative test results were correct, that only shows they were clear today. What about tomorrow, or next week?

Obviously it would be great if you just so happened to test someone who was asymptomatic but infectious and stopped them bringing the virus in, but it would involve a big a stroke of luck that you tested them after they caught it rather than just before and cleared them, but not so long after that the symptoms had started to show (I think the eggheads reckon some people never know they had it while others have a brief pre-symptomatic stage before the symptoms kick in). And in the meantime while you're waiting for the test result, should these apparently asymptomatic and unexposed people be coming to work?

A big difference between care homes and hospitals is that we accept that COVID is going to be floating around in hospitals and even with PPE it's inevitable some of the staff are going to catch it too. With care homes the arithmetic of the risk is rather different, you just don't want it getting in at all, if you can avoid it.

Those care homes that have just locked down a crew of managers, care staff, cooks and cleaners inside have given themselves a fighting chance. Even then, it's quite common for frail residents to have to go to hospital (eg if they've had a fall) and then come back again, and they might bring something in with them. If staff are going in and out every day, and spending time with the kiddywinkles or out shopping, then no matter what you do with the testing I can't see how, with current technology, you can stop it.

Most predictable quote about the crisis, but really important for everyone who lives in a civil society:

"Your mobile phone is becoming your ankle bracelet"

Interview with Edward Snowden on the privacy implications of Covid-19.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k5OAjnveyJo

felix said:

Encouraging but only if people do not get carried away into thinking it's all over like the Germans in 1966

"Sarge, some people are on the pitch - they think it's all over...."

*sound of Tazer*

"It is now...."

The fellow whose graphs I posted, to much consternation, has written an article about the Covid lockdown. Toby Young's involved, so I'm sure it will receive a fair hearing

"Does peak infection sync with lockdown enforcement?
The lockdown logic’s basic arithmetic doesn’t add up"

https://thecritic.co.uk/does-peak-infection-sync-with-lockdown-enforcement/

Andy_JS said:

From the article posted by isam on the previous thread:

"...looking at the experience of other countries, it is not clear that a lockdown caused the epidemic to reverse, and if Sweden suggests that sensible hygiene and modest distancing measures are likely just as effective as draconian lockdown; and
covid-19 deaths per day are clearly levelling off in the UK; and
there is clear evidence of a matching slowdown in reliable forward indicators"

https://thecritic.co.uk/does-peak-infection-sync-with-lockdown-enforcement/

Sweden just recorded 170 deaths, that would be around ~1100 with our population. It's going to get very messy there.

MarqueeMark said:

Bottlebanks - do we think we should still be using them?

Or should I save them to throw at passing cyclists?

Only if you piss in them first.

MaxPB said:

MarqueeMark said:

Bottlebanks - do we think we should still be using them?

Or should I save them to throw at passing cyclists?

Only if you piss in them first.

And then pour that onto your compost heap.

Honestly, what do you have against cyclists? Nice people like me are cyclists, though we won’t be very nice if you start throwing things at us.

Cyclefree said:

MaxPB said:

MarqueeMark said:

Bottlebanks - do we think we should still be using them?

Or should I save them to throw at passing cyclists?

Only if you piss in them first.

And then pour that onto your compost heap.

Honestly, what do you have against cyclists? Nice people like me are cyclists, though we won’t be very nice if you start throwing things at us.

I'd beat them to death with it if someone threw a bottle at me whilst I was out cycling.

Cyclefree said:

MaxPB said:

MarqueeMark said:

Bottlebanks - do we think we should still be using them?

Or should I save them to throw at passing cyclists?

Only if you piss in them first.

And then pour that onto your compost heap.

Honestly, what do you have against cyclists? Nice people like me are cyclists, though we won’t be very nice if you start throwing things at us.

I'm sure you are very mindful of the 20m slipstream of possible contagion that follows in your cycle wake.

Other cyclists? Not so much it seems...

On the previous thread some people were commenting on a particularly large range of predicted results.
The largest range I know of involves Graham’s Number. When it was first published in the early 70s it was then the largest number ever used in a mathematical proof. It is a number so large the the visible universe is too small to write out the number which is the number of digits needed to write out the number. If you could somehow know the number then the information contained in it would cause your brain to collapse as a black hole (and that is not an exaggeration).
This was not the answer to the problem though, it was nearly the upper bound. The lower bound was...



3.

Theuniondivvie said:

rcs1000 said:

MaxPB said:

ydoethur said:

Stereotomy said:

We still seem to have kept very close to Italy + 14, at least going by the daily announced deaths.

That would be surprising considering we have (a) a less healthy population (b) a higher proportion in urban areas and (c) had a less strict lockdown.

Maybe it’s because Italian houses are smaller on average? (If they are, which I don’t know for sure.)

Italy has a higher proportion of the population over 70, though.

Italy also has a large elderly population that go to mass.

Now, I could be wrong, but I suspect the communion cup might as well be called the covid-19 cup.

Don't they also have a larger proportion of oldsters living with their families?

If true, then a draconian lockdown may well have been counterproductive.

rcs1000 said:

Italy also has a large elderly population that go to mass.

Now, I could be wrong, but I suspect the communion cup might as well be called the covid-19 cup.

Catholic over-70s ALL made their First Communion before lay people were allowed to drink communion wine: we simply took the host (the bread wafer, for the benefit of any pagans reading this).

My experience is that most of us - in Italy as much as in England - continue to receive only the host. Communion under both kinds is definitely a young person's choice in Catholicism.

Flanner said:

rcs1000 said:

Italy also has a large elderly population that go to mass.

Now, I could be wrong, but I suspect the communion cup might as well be called the covid-19 cup.

Catholic over-70s ALL made their First Communion before lay people were allowed to drink communion wine: we simply took the host (the bread wafer, for the benefit of any pagans reading this).

My experience is that most of us - in Italy as much as in England - continue to receive only the host. Communion under both kinds is definitely a young person's choice in Catholicism.

I was wondering. But not being an expert on Catholicism and the reservation of the sacrament I didn’t like to comment.

ydoethur said:

Fysics_Teacher said:

On the previous thread some people were commenting on a particularly large range of predicted results.
The largest range I know of involves Graham’s Number. When it was first published in the early 70s it was then the largest number ever used in a mathematical proof. It is a number so large the the visible universe is too small to write out the number which is the number of digits needed to write out the number. If you could somehow know the number then the information contained in it would cause your brain to collapse as a black hole (and that is not an exaggeration).
This was not the answer to the problem though, it was nearly the upper bound. The lower bound was...



3.

Sounds like this ‘professional judgement’ system the drunken imbeciles Department of Education expect us to come up with in the next six weeks.

I’m currently very glad I did not get the Head of Department job when I applied for it.

These NHS England daily death figures look really encouraging. Peak 8th April of 771, reducing to 399 and 133 in last two days.

This is so sad

Pregnant nurse with cornavirus dies but baby is saved
A pregnant 28-year-old nurse who was diagnosed with Covid-19 has died.

An emergency caesarean section was performed to deliver the nurse's child, Channel 4 News repored.

The baby is alive and being cared for, the broadcaster said.

In an internal email, the Trust’s chief executive described her as a “wonderful young woman who made a huge contribution”.

He said the survival of her baby daughter was a “beacon of light at this very dark time”.

rcs1000 said:

MaxPB said:

ydoethur said:

Stereotomy said:

We still seem to have kept very close to Italy + 14, at least going by the daily announced deaths.

That would be surprising considering we have (a) a less healthy population (b) a higher proportion in urban areas and (c) had a less strict lockdown.

Maybe it’s because Italian houses are smaller on average? (If they are, which I don’t know for sure.)

Italy has a higher proportion of the population over 70, though.

Italy also has a large elderly population that go to mass.

Now, I could be wrong, but I suspect the communion cup might as well be called the covid-19 cup.

I thought only the Priest drank the wine in Roman Catholic services.

That's potentially very encouraging news.

Fysics_Teacher said:

On the previous thread some people were commenting on a particularly large range of predicted results.
The largest range I know of involves Graham’s Number. When it was first published in the early 70s it was then the largest number ever used in a mathematical proof. It is a number so large the the visible universe is too small to write out the number which is the number of digits needed to write out the number. If you could somehow know the number then the information contained in it would cause your brain to collapse as a black hole (and that is not an exaggeration).
This was not the answer to the problem though, it was nearly the upper bound. The lower bound was...



3.

Graham's number is so large that any physics-based analogies massively understate its scale

Following eadric's point on the Italian peak in the previous thread.

Italy's deaths peaked on 27/3, at 919 deaths, taking the total to 9134.

Their latest figures still contain 622 new deaths, bringing the total to 21067.

The tail is long, and deaths still have some way to increase. They are suppressing the new case numbers by around 20% per week.

So the peak day for deaths look to be nearer 30% than 50% of the way through in terms of the total death toll.

What we are taking as the UKs peak day for deaths, 9/4 with 980, took the total to 8958, so those numbers are very close to Italy's at this stage.

ydoethur said:

Fysics_Teacher said:

ydoethur said:

Fysics_Teacher said:

On the previous thread some people were commenting on a particularly large range of predicted results.
The largest range I know of involves Graham’s Number. When it was first published in the early 70s it was then the largest number ever used in a mathematical proof. It is a number so large the the visible universe is too small to write out the number which is the number of digits needed to write out the number. If you could somehow know the number then the information contained in it would cause your brain to collapse as a black hole (and that is not an exaggeration).
This was not the answer to the problem though, it was nearly the upper bound. The lower bound was...



3.

Sounds like this ‘professional judgement’ system the drunken imbeciles Department of Education expect us to come up with in the next six weeks.

I’m currently very glad I did not get the Head of Department job when I applied for it.

It’s a shambles. It’s such a joke that I’ve emailed my friends in academia to tell them grades this year will simply be meaningless.

Of course, any grades from AQA are meaningless anyway, but it will apply to all four exam boards this year.

Why will they be meaningless? My daughter`s school has confirmed that her GCSE grades will be based on assessed work and mock result. And each teacher has been asked to rank each pupil in the class from best to worst. The school has been told that the school`s exam performance in previous years will also be considered.

This seems the best they can do in the circumstances I guess.

The upshot for my daughter is this, I`d expect her to end up with a grade one higher on each subject as compared to her mock results. If this doesn`t happen I shall be appealing as it seems to me that the mocks (which were proper exams under exam conditions) represents the best guide of all.

Mr. Eagles, either is acceptable.

Off to language gaol with you!

[Ironically, the spellchecker shows 'gaol' as an apparent error].

CarlottaVance said:

Theuniondivvie said:

First like the National in Yoons' hearts.

And the First Minister and Forty a Day

FPT:

Theuniondivvie said:

Floater said:

Oh dear - silly Nats

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8221445/Coronavirus-Nicola-Sturgeon-forced-humiliating-climbdown-PPE-probe.html

What kind of idiot takes a Mail story at face value?

Oh..

As big an idiot as takes a Nat Onal story at face value?

Idiot and Nationalist are synonyms for each other. Nationalism is a creed for cretins.

Morris_Dancer said:

Mr. Eagles, either is acceptable.

Off to language gaol with you!

[Ironically, the spellchecker shows 'gaol' as an apparent error].

Not acceptable in Le Royaume-Uni.

Mr. Foremain, are you saying that loving one's country is a pizza, and nationalism is bits of pineapple?

ydoethur said:

Fysics_Teacher said:

ydoethur said:

Fysics_Teacher said:

On the previous thread some people were commenting on a particularly large range of predicted results.
The largest range I know of involves Graham’s Number. When it was first published in the early 70s it was then the largest number ever used in a mathematical proof. It is a number so large the the visible universe is too small to write out the number which is the number of digits needed to write out the number. If you could somehow know the number then the information contained in it would cause your brain to collapse as a black hole (and that is not an exaggeration).
This was not the answer to the problem though, it was nearly the upper bound. The lower bound was...



3.

Sounds like this ‘professional judgement’ system the drunken imbeciles Department of Education expect us to come up with in the next six weeks.

I’m currently very glad I did not get the Head of Department job when I applied for it.

It’s a shambles. It’s such a joke that I’ve emailed my friends in academia to tell them grades this year will simply be meaningless.

Of course, any grades from AQA are meaningless anyway, but it will apply to all four exam boards this year.

I dumped AQA some time ago when they started to set question that were too open to crazy markimg. I've been with Eduqas (was the Welsh board) since. Apart from the (to me) unreadable pages in Welsh that I mistakenly click on, they've been very good so far.

We didn't run mocks as they've been done before, so the NEA is going to be one of my main pointers.

eek said:

Stocky said:

ydoethur said:

Fysics_Teacher said:

ydoethur said:

Fysics_Teacher said:

On the previous thread some people were commenting on a particularly large range of predicted results.
The largest range I know of involves Graham’s Number. When it was first published in the early 70s it was then the largest number ever used in a mathematical proof. It is a number so large the the visible universe is too small to write out the number which is the number of digits needed to write out the number. If you could somehow know the number then the information contained in it would cause your brain to collapse as a black hole (and that is not an exaggeration).
This was not the answer to the problem though, it was nearly the upper bound. The lower bound was...



3.

Sounds like this ‘professional judgement’ system the drunken imbeciles Department of Education expect us to come up with in the next six weeks.

I’m currently very glad I did not get the Head of Department job when I applied for it.

It’s a shambles. It’s such a joke that I’ve emailed my friends in academia to tell them grades this year will simply be meaningless.

Of course, any grades from AQA are meaningless anyway, but it will apply to all four exam boards this year.

Why will they be meaningless? My daughter`s school has confirmed that her GCSE grades will be based on assessed work and mock result. And each teacher has been asked to rank each pupil in the class from best to worst. The school has been told that the school`s exam performance in previous years will also be considered.

This seems the best they can do in the circumstances I guess.

The upshot for my daughter is this, I`d expect her to end up with a grade one higher on each subject as compared to her mock results. If this doesn`t happen I shall be appealing as it seems to me that the mocks (which were proper exams under exam conditions) represents the best guide of all.

We discovered last week that the other best school in County Durham doesn't do Mocks in exam conditions they were held over 3 lessons, and anyone with a good memory could use the time between exams to research their answers. So in that case it's possible to argue that Mocks may overstate the end result.

And there really isn't much that the exam boards can do now to fix this beyond ranking pupils against previous years and awarding marks that will be very similar to last year's results from that school,

If one good thing comes of this it will be pupils taking their mock exams more seriously...

Morris_Dancer said:

Mr. Foremain, are you saying that loving one's country is a pizza, and nationalism is bits of pineapple?

A marriage made in heaven!

'One's country' and 'nationalism' obviously. Did you think I meant pizza and pineapple?

There is a significant puzzle about how the Italians hung on to the pizza concept for so long without having actually discovered pineapple though

Morris_Dancer said:

Mr. Foremain, are you saying that loving one's country is a pizza, and nationalism is bits of pineapple?

Indeed Mr Dancer! An excellent comparison. Nationalism is to patriotism what an STD is to love making.

CarlottaVance said:

Theuniondivvie said:

First like the National in Yoons' hearts.

And the First Minister and Forty a Day

FPT:

Theuniondivvie said:

Floater said:

Oh dear - silly Nats

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8221445/Coronavirus-Nicola-Sturgeon-forced-humiliating-climbdown-PPE-probe.html

What kind of idiot takes a Mail story at face value?

Oh..

As big an idiot as takes a Nat Onal story at face value?

Your inability to let this lie is a joy. It's almost as hilarious as the afternoon of hundreds of posts dedicated to 'proving' that the anti Brexit march was only X hundreds of thousands rather than Y hundreds of thousands, though nothing will ever beat that for pure choleric nuttiness.

Stocky said:

ydoethur said:

Fysics_Teacher said:

ydoethur said:

Fysics_Teacher said:

On the previous thread some people were commenting on a particularly large range of predicted results.
The largest range I know of involves Graham’s Number. When it was first published in the early 70s it was then the largest number ever used in a mathematical proof. It is a number so large the the visible universe is too small to write out the number which is the number of digits needed to write out the number. If you could somehow know the number then the information contained in it would cause your brain to collapse as a black hole (and that is not an exaggeration).
This was not the answer to the problem though, it was nearly the upper bound. The lower bound was...



3.

Sounds like this ‘professional judgement’ system the drunken imbeciles Department of Education expect us to come up with in the next six weeks.

I’m currently very glad I did not get the Head of Department job when I applied for it.

It’s a shambles. It’s such a joke that I’ve emailed my friends in academia to tell them grades this year will simply be meaningless.

Of course, any grades from AQA are meaningless anyway, but it will apply to all four exam boards this year.

Why will they be meaningless? My daughter`s school has confirmed that her GCSE grades will be based on assessed work and mock result. And each teacher has been asked to rank each pupil in the class from best to worst. The school has been told that the school`s exam performance in previous years will also be considered.

This seems the best they can do in the circumstances I guess.

The upshot for my daughter is this, I`d expect her to end up with a grade one higher on each subject as compared to her mock results. If this doesn`t happen I shall be appealing as it seems to me that the mocks (which were proper exams under exam conditions) represents the best guide of all.

Because not all schools do mocks, not all schools who do mocks base them on exam papers, and the standard of marking is not consistent in classroom assessments.

So what I grade at 3 or 4 in the school I work in would be an 8 at the school I live closest to (that’s not a joke, I’ve inspected some of their work and was appalled).

As for previous years, that’s even more worrying as it assumes consistency between cohorts. Last year my highest grade was a C and I was glad to get that because they were all without exception lazy thickos. This year 50% should be A or B because they are bright and hardworking. Are they to be penalised because last year my ablest students thought a page of handwriting was enough for a 30 mark essay?

Morris_Dancer said:

Mr. Meeks, I wonder about that.

Many Americanisms are actually old English terms with one variant being retained by us and the other by the US. (Fall and Autumn spring to mind).

The courts might believe themselves infallible, but in this instance I must contend that judgement is perfectly valid.

A Daniel come to judgement.

*Grabs tinfoil hat and ducks*

Morris_Dancer said:

Mr. Meeks, I wonder about that.

Many Americanisms are actually old English terms with one variant being retained by us and the other by the US. (Fall and Autumn spring to mind).

The courts might believe themselves infallible, but in this instance I must contend that judgement is perfectly valid.

Indeed I believe our use of the "u" in the word color/colour (and other similar words) post-dates the American spelling, and is believed to be an affectation from the 18th century to make our language appear more French! There is one to wind up the Brexiteers!

Omnium said:

Andy_JS said:

5G is a bad idea in my opinion because smartphone addiction is a bad thing and 5G can only make the addiction even worse than it is now.

The poor chap with the red flag will get puffed out too.

We should never forget the women whose uteruses (uteri?) fell out after going 50mph+ on a train. At the going down of the sun and in the morning we will remember them.

Omnium said:

Andy_JS said:

5G is a bad idea in my opinion because smartphone addiction is a bad thing and 5G can only make the addiction even worse than it is now.

The poor chap with the red flag will get puffed out too.

Huwai surely have to call their rival service ‘5 O’?

Stocky said:

ydoethur said:

Fysics_Teacher said:

ydoethur said:

Fysics_Teacher said:

On the previous thread some people were commenting on a particularly large range of predicted results.
The largest range I know of involves Graham’s Number. When it was first published in the early 70s it was then the largest number ever used in a mathematical proof. It is a number so large the the visible universe is too small to write out the number which is the number of digits needed to write out the number. If you could somehow know the number then the information contained in it would cause your brain to collapse as a black hole (and that is not an exaggeration).
This was not the answer to the problem though, it was nearly the upper bound. The lower bound was...



3.

Sounds like this ‘professional judgement’ system the drunken imbeciles Department of Education expect us to come up with in the next six weeks.

I’m currently very glad I did not get the Head of Department job when I applied for it.

It’s a shambles. It’s such a joke that I’ve emailed my friends in academia to tell them grades this year will simply be meaningless.

Of course, any grades from AQA are meaningless anyway, but it will apply to all four exam boards this year.

Why will they be meaningless? My daughter`s school has confirmed that her GCSE grades will be based on assessed work and mock result. And each teacher has been asked to rank each pupil in the class from best to worst. The school has been told that the school`s exam performance in previous years will also be considered.

This seems the best they can do in the circumstances I guess.

The upshot for my daughter is this, I`d expect her to end up with a grade one higher on each subject as compared to her mock results. If this doesn`t happen I shall be appealing as it seems to me that the mocks (which were proper exams under exam conditions) represents the best guide of all.

Does it matter? Serious question. Are GCSEs used for anything these days? If you've promised her £100 per top grade, you could save yourself a few quid, and if she is going to university, the academics will look at her A-levels, so is it worth the stress of an appeal?

Theuniondivvie said:

Omnium said:

Andy_JS said:

5G is a bad idea in my opinion because smartphone addiction is a bad thing and 5G can only make the addiction even worse than it is now.

The poor chap with the red flag will get puffed out too.

We should never forget the women whose uteruses (uteri?) fell out after going 50mph+ on a train. At the going down of the sun and in the morning we will remember them.

There must have been a lady somewhere that risked it, despite the advice.

I know David Paton. He will go where the facts, not opinion lead him. Unless he has missed a critical factor I'd give a lot of weight to his analysis.

Prior to lockdown I used around 500 GB of mobile data per month and I wasn’t addicted to 4G.

Stereotomy said:

Fysics_Teacher said:

On the previous thread some people were commenting on a particularly large range of predicted results.
The largest range I know of involves Graham’s Number. When it was first published in the early 70s it was then the largest number ever used in a mathematical proof. It is a number so large the the visible universe is too small to write out the number which is the number of digits needed to write out the number. If you could somehow know the number then the information contained in it would cause your brain to collapse as a black hole (and that is not an exaggeration).
This was not the answer to the problem though, it was nearly the upper bound. The lower bound was....

3.

Graham's number is so large that any physics-based analogies massively understate its scale

But not that big...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Busy_beaver
...Likewise, we know that S(10) > Σ(10) > 3 ↑↑↑ 3 is a gigantic number and S(17) > Σ(17) > G, where G is Graham's number - an enormous number. Thus, even if we knew, say, S(30), it is completely unreasonable to run any machine that number of steps. There is not enough computational capacity in the known part of the universe to have performed even S(6) operations directly...

ydoethur said:

Theuniondivvie said:

Omnium said:

Andy_JS said:

5G is a bad idea in my opinion because smartphone addiction is a bad thing and 5G can only make the addiction even worse than it is now.

The poor chap with the red flag will get puffed out too.

We should never forget the women whose uteruses (uteri?) fell out after going 50mph+ on a train. At the going down of the sun and in the morning we will remember them.

Perhaps we should make womb for them on a memorial.

Ah, my coat.

Careful, we need to damp down any hysteria.

FrancisUrquhart said:

China has imposed restrictions on the publication of academic research on the origins of the novel coronavirus, according to a central government directive and online notices published by two Chinese universities, that have since been removed from the web. Under the new policy, all academic papers on Covid-19 will be subject to extra vetting before being submitted for publication. Studies on the origin of the virus will receive extra scrutiny and must be approved by central government officials, according to the now-deleted posts.

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/04/12/asia/china-coronavirus-research-restrictions-intl-hnk/index.html

It's impossible for the RBMK to meltdown and explode, you must be wrong.

DavidL said:

A modern ethics question. My son was doing an online maths exam today on a part of the course they had not covered. He received 3 text messages asking how to do the log question. Should he have told them?
His answer was to tell them how to do it but not the answer.

What exams taken in this way is supposed to tell the examiner board is simply beyond me but the Highers don’t cover metaphysics.

Why was he having to take an exam on material they hadn't covered?

DavidL said:

A modern ethics question. My son was doing an online maths exam today on a part of the course they had not covered. He received 3 text messages asking how to do the log question. Should he have told them?
His answer was to tell them how to do it but not the answer.

What exams taken in this way is supposed to tell the examiner board is simply beyond me but the Highers don’t cover metaphysics.

I would have advised against it, put it that way. Because that may now be used to determine their Highers grade even though they didn’t know how to do it.

Although it shows he is a nice person.

Stereotomy said:

DavidL said:

A modern ethics question. My son was doing an online maths exam today on a part of the course they had not covered. He received 3 text messages asking how to do the log question. Should he have told them?
His answer was to tell them how to do it but not the answer.

What exams taken in this way is supposed to tell the examiner board is simply beyond me but the Highers don’t cover metaphysics.

Why was he having to take an exam on material they hadn't covered?

Because they would have covered it before the Higher exam and the school wants evidence in case their judgment is challenged by the SQA.

LostPassword said:

I'm relieved that the daily number didn't jump up today - it does seem quite likely that the worst has passed for now. It would have been about two weeks after the "Stay Home" announcement from Johnson on the 23rd, so that fits.

Now the government have to decide what the strategy is. Will it be herd immunity through allowing the virus to spread as much as the NHS can deal with, or will it be local eradication, followed by quarantine for travellers and improved contact-tracing?

I predict the former because the latter is too difficult. But I wouldn't call it herd immunity. It's just managing the disease within health system capacity. Whether we get herd immunity that way depends on various factors, including the timing of a vaccine.

MaxPB said:

Andy_JS said:

From the article posted by isam on the previous thread:

"...looking at the experience of other countries, it is not clear that a lockdown caused the epidemic to reverse, and if Sweden suggests that sensible hygiene and modest distancing measures are likely just as effective as draconian lockdown; and
covid-19 deaths per day are clearly levelling off in the UK; and
there is clear evidence of a matching slowdown in reliable forward indicators"

https://thecritic.co.uk/does-peak-infection-sync-with-lockdown-enforcement/

Sweden just recorded 170 deaths, that would be around ~1100 with our population. It's going to get very messy there.

Sweden has twice the population of any one of it's nordic neighbours

MaxPB said:

FrancisUrquhart said:

China has imposed restrictions on the publication of academic research on the origins of the novel coronavirus, according to a central government directive and online notices published by two Chinese universities, that have since been removed from the web. Under the new policy, all academic papers on Covid-19 will be subject to extra vetting before being submitted for publication. Studies on the origin of the virus will receive extra scrutiny and must be approved by central government officials, according to the now-deleted posts.

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/04/12/asia/china-coronavirus-research-restrictions-intl-hnk/index.html

It's impossible for the RBMK to meltdown and explode, you must be wrong.

The only possible explanation is that the Chinese government is Sinophobic.

Therefore we must boycott the racist Chinese Government.