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https://twitter.com/markos/status/1239611995587899393
I really hate this stupid framing.
Beyond offices and pubs, there is life.
Margaret Thatcher.
That's right. Me, a lefty, is craving a Maggie.
The core of the failure in the west seems to be failing to take seriously things that happened in China and the rest of the far east - both the seriousness of the initial outbreak, and options you have to contain it, many of them learned through bitter experience in screwing up the attempt to deal with SARS. So if you want a politician who might have been able to get ahead of things you need someone who pays attention to things that happen in east asia, instead of trying to understand it based on the lessons from the 1918 flu pandemic.
I think it's significant that Jeremy Hunt, one of the only people to speak out against the consensus last week when the British were busy getting knocked on their arses - lived in Japan and was learning Chinese.
There isn't enough stuff, masks, ventilators, swabs in the world. Ventilators are the new spitfires, masks are machine guns. Clear out the factories, this is total war.
Your point about Jeremy Hunt is super-smart. I think you've crystallised why I am so irritated by our approach.
We're also still leaving schools open.
And our borders are open.
And on businesses, the printing presses are being fired up today (will be interesting to see if Macron can get the ECB to do the same).
Think of this as a world war. Then think of the mistakes made during WW1 or WW2. Simple tactical mistakes that cost thousands of lives in a stroke. A ship sunk because a message didnt get through etc. We've just done one of those.
But what we haven't done is get to within 80 miles of Moscow and then hit the Winter. Then turned all the way back home and routed. We have caught our mistake fairly early, we considered invading Russia. We stepped over their border but it was an accident and the Russians believed us.
The problem now is we all have to hunker down for a long war. We will need Blitz spirit without any of the bits of the Blitz that made it fun and inspirational.
By the way, the restaurant was all set up for a party of 12 who cancelled at the last minute. There was us and a couple.
I'm hunkering down soon but last night was a required meeting.
- Insurance companies pay businesses
- Money printer go brrrrr
- Government pays insurance companies
The UK approach, like everyone else's is all about making the best calls possible based on the information available and the UK government is being more up-front than others over length of time. Here in Denmark the government is persisting with the fantasy of a two week closure just like Macron
- I wish the idea of a flexible and rapid change of direction could be seen as what it is - a sign of grown up emergency response handling rather than some of the claims of 'U-turns, 'failure' etc being written about. As for how things are done in Japan and S Korea I think it is quite clear that lessons are being learned but this is not something you can just map from 1 place to another for many economic and cultural reasons.
That was when normalcy bias was at its peak.
Wearing masks and dropping off food to elderly relatives or neighbours doesn't have the same allure but we can work with it.
https://twitter.com/dannyshawbbc/status/1239592613243748353?s=21
There have been riots in Italian prisons about Covid-19.
Certainly face to face visiting should stop. COVID19 in a prison would be horrible, though with a young population most would survive.
This virus can be beaten. It requires us to take it very seriously, to cut off the vectors for transmission and to limit its opportunities. I think that we are now doing that. I also understand the logic of our earlier policy and the reasons that we wanted to address this now rather than in winter. But there is ultimately no alternative. To stop the virus from killing large numbers of vulnerable people it’s transmission needs to be stopped.
Our numbers will deteriorate for at least 2 weeks yet. That means thousands of additional cases and several hundred additional deaths. And then we shall see.
WTF?
Morning troops.
Boris looking for cheap option.
1. Protect incomes
2. Do not allow cashflow issues to kill businesses
3. Be clear there will be consequences for everyone as a result
4. Be clear these consequences are far better than the alternatives
I understand the Tories political problem. Having criticised the bank bailouts and spending government money, having claimed were were on the verge of bankruptcy before they doubled the national debt there will be a whiff of bullshit when they print a gazillion pounds. But thats what political hubris does to you.
Print the bloody money. No business to go bankrupt, no jobs to be lost, no people to starve. This is war. All wages will be frozen - what you earned last week you will earn this week. That way we still have an economy and a society when we come out the other side.
The most crucial thing for me I keeping people out of hospital, and that means some form of treatment at home. There was a 'doctor' app heavily advertised last year, could we use that for consultations? There also needs to be some form of prescription that can be offered and home delivered. Even vitamin c and zinc would be better than nothing as a placebo.
It's a shame that publishing changes/problems got in the way, and Joe Dever never got to see the final books out there.
We could get a short inflationary spike followed by a longer deflationary crisis.
The indices will also be potentially misleading in the short term, as they will contain things that are cheaper but nobody is buying.
Yesterday we declared war. Today the government need to initiate the war powers act onto the economy. Print money. Freeze prices, wages, debts. Requisition industry / hospitality etc to provide wartime functions like manufacturing things we need like masks and providing overflow isolation facilities for patients.
Treat this as war and its clear that you MUST act decisively. Not ah but er yes can you erm maybe strongly advise Boris bullshit.
Dental check-up no. (Low benefit, medium risk)
At least it is identifying its mistakes quite quickly.
https://twitter.com/foxinsoxuk/status/1239559464858144771?s=09
Under a week ago I posed some innocent questions about government policy that attracted sneering from several quarters.
Great to be vindicated.
There’s a model for how to beat this, in the Far East.
It does not require welding people inside.
It *does* require mass testing, and a belief this can be beat, rather than “managed”. Winston Churchill and Margaret Thatcher would never have accepted that “a virus may never be found”.
I agree we are now at War.
Let us now approach this with wartime spirit, and wartime confidence. Let us think about how we save the lives of each other; how we protect our communities from starvation and ruin.
PS: I was not aware he was still a politician and if he had been I would have been as critical of him being as stupid as the rest.
Something for the Govt. to clarify pronto.
The need for testing of staff with symptoms is obvious to anyone apart from numpties, but still not happening.
It's not much fun being in the poor bloody infantry when the generals haven't equipped us.
Strong (entirely optional) emergency measures to be implemented strictly (or so far as practically possible), ASAP (by the weekend maybe).
https://twitter.com/antonkreil/status/1239738569595342850?s=21
Excellent policy imo rather than weird.