politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » And so to New Hampshire – the first full primary
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He has to pull in every favour he's ever been owed to get in to SC strongly. A decent SC win should transform the narrative for him.rottenborough said:
Will Biden be present by then?HYUFD said:0 -
Biden is done isn't he? Surely?rcs1000 said:0 -
These may not be representative districts. If urban areas are coming later, we'd expect Sanders to do better there.rottenborough said:Am I mad? The combined Klo and Buttigieg figure is way way more than Sanders.
Get a grip Dems.
But yes, if these figures are representative then it's great news for the moderates and bad news for Sanders.0 -
The problem he has in money. He doesn't have any. And I can't see him continuing to get decent donations.Chameleon said:
He has to pull in every favour he's ever been owed to get in to SC strongly. A decent SC win should transform the narrative for him.rottenborough said:
Will Biden be present by then?HYUFD said:0 -
And he's about to crash and burn in heavily Hispanic Nevada.Chameleon said:
He has to pull in every favour he's ever been owed to get in to SC strongly. A decent SC win should transform the narrative for him.rottenborough said:
Will Biden be present by then?HYUFD said:0 -
7% in. Still:
Sanders 27%
Buttigieg 22%
Klobuchar 21%
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Only if they agree who is the flag bearer.rcs1000 said:
These may not be representative districts. If urban areas are coming later, we'd expect Sanders to do better there.rottenborough said:Am I mad? The combined Klo and Buttigieg figure is way way more than Sanders.
Get a grip Dems.
But yes, if these figures are representative then it's great news for the moderates and bad news for Sanders.0 -
My local hospital allegedly has People in full protective gear tonight from what I am hearing - so at least a possible here.Philip_Thompson said:
The situation is tragic but its an ironic sort of control group to see how the infection spreads.Floater said:off topic another big bump in infected on the cruise liner off Japan
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Exit Polls snipps
11% under 24
34% over 65 years old
Again it's a very Old, very Conservative, very Republican electorate in the Democratic Primary.0 -
There's no doubt that the big story of today is Klobuchar's success, and Biden and Warren collapsing. I could see a lot of Warren's vote go Klobuchar's way. Of course, this may be my book talking.0
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Buzzfeed have a good results page
https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/buzzfeednews/live-results-new-hampshire-democratic-primary0 -
I've been confused about this for ages. How did Biden not end up with money? Dem elite/money bags have placed it where? Can't been Bloomberg, he doesn't need a dime.rcs1000 said:
The problem he has in money. He doesn't have any. And I can't see him continuing to get decent donations.Chameleon said:
He has to pull in every favour he's ever been owed to get in to SC strongly. A decent SC win should transform the narrative for him.rottenborough said:
Will Biden be present by then?HYUFD said:1 -
Waiting for the NH Exit polls in 20 minutes' time, Bloomberg is currently 2nd favourite to win the Democratic Nomination AT 4.1 on BetfairEx = 3.95 net and 8.0 (7.65 net) to win the POTUS election in November.0
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Yes and no.rottenborough said:
Only if they agree who is the flag bearer.rcs1000 said:
These may not be representative districts. If urban areas are coming later, we'd expect Sanders to do better there.rottenborough said:Am I mad? The combined Klo and Buttigieg figure is way way more than Sanders.
Get a grip Dems.
But yes, if these figures are representative then it's great news for the moderates and bad news for Sanders.
Remember you need to get 50%+1 of the delegates. On 27:22:21, Sanders gets 9 delegates, Buttigieg 8 and Klobuchar 7.
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Biden has to retire after this surely?0
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10% in from NH
Sanders 29%
Buttigieg 21%
Klobuchar 18%
Warren 10%
Biden 8%0 -
This is why moderate Dems win when there's a GOP incumbent.speedy2 said:Exit Polls snipps
11% under 24
34% over 65 years old
Again it's a very Old, very Conservative, very Republican electorate in the Democratic Primary.0 -
That's an excellent resource, thanks.nunu2 said:Buzzfeed have a good results page
https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/buzzfeednews/live-results-new-hampshire-democratic-primary0 -
Maybe holding fire until the General against Trump?rottenborough said:
I've been confused about this for ages. How did Biden not end up with money? Dem elite/money bags have placed it where? Can't been Bloomberg, he doesn't need a dime.rcs1000 said:
The problem he has in money. He doesn't have any. And I can't see him continuing to get decent donations.Chameleon said:
He has to pull in every favour he's ever been owed to get in to SC strongly. A decent SC win should transform the narrative for him.rottenborough said:
Will Biden be present by then?HYUFD said:0 -
I'm getting ready to call it for Sanders.edmundintokyo said:
This is why moderate Dems win when there's a GOP incumbent.speedy2 said:Exit Polls snipps
11% under 24
34% over 65 years old
Again it's a very Old, very Conservative, very Republican electorate in the Democratic Primary.
Not yet but the results are very evenly spread in favour of Sanders.
The Conservative Democrats seem to have split their vote.1 -
Now 12% reported:
Sanders 28.14%
Buttigieg 22.68%
Klobuchar 18.60%0 -
Yep, the unions may possibly help him out a bit, but not enough to push him into the front again. Not keeping a cash stockpile looks to be a soon to be fatal mistake.rcs1000 said:
And he's about to crash and burn in heavily Hispanic Nevada.Chameleon said:
He has to pull in every favour he's ever been owed to get in to SC strongly. A decent SC win should transform the narrative for him.rottenborough said:
Will Biden be present by then?HYUFD said:0 -
Which is probably a good thing for the opposition party.edmundintokyo said:
This is why moderate Dems win when there's a GOP incumbent.speedy2 said:Exit Polls snipps
11% under 24
34% over 65 years old
Again it's a very Old, very Conservative, very Republican electorate in the Democratic Primary.0 -
That's OK, it's proportional and they've got strong candidates clearing 15%.speedy2 said:
I'm getting ready to call it for Sanders.edmundintokyo said:
This is why moderate Dems win when there's a GOP incumbent.speedy2 said:Exit Polls snipps
11% under 24
34% over 65 years old
Again it's a very Old, very Conservative, very Republican electorate in the Democratic Primary.
Not yet but the results are very evenly spread in favour of Sanders.
The Conservative Democrats seem to have split their vote.0 -
If Biden pulls out then whom do you think he or his supporters might endorse from the remaining candidates?0
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It looks like Sanders by about six points from Buttigieg, who's about four points clear of Klobuchar.
That means delegates split 10:8:6
I don't know how Biden continues after this, and these are also terrible numbers for Warren.0 -
The first states are all about momentum not delegates.edmundintokyo said:
That's OK, it's proportional and they've got strong candidates clearing 15%.speedy2 said:
I'm getting ready to call it for Sanders.edmundintokyo said:
This is why moderate Dems win when there's a GOP incumbent.speedy2 said:Exit Polls snipps
11% under 24
34% over 65 years old
Again it's a very Old, very Conservative, very Republican electorate in the Democratic Primary.
Not yet but the results are very evenly spread in favour of Sanders.
The Conservative Democrats seem to have split their vote.
I will probably call it for Sanders in around 15 minutes.0 -
13% in:
Bernie Sanders 12,941 29.69%
Pete Buttigieg 9,436 21.65%
Amy Klobuchar 8,062 18.50%
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He won't pull out, he will go to South Carolina where he still leads.Philip_Thompson said:If Biden pulls out then whom do you think he or his supporters might endorse from the remaining candidates?
If as now looks likely Sanders wins New Hampshire and Warren is effectively eliminated, the race will be on between Buttigieg, Biden and Klobuchar to be the leading moderate to take on the leftist Sanders0 -
We're 13% in, it would be very surprising now if Sanders doesn't win.speedy2 said:
The first states are all about momentum not delegates.edmundintokyo said:
That's OK, it's proportional and they've got strong candidates clearing 15%.speedy2 said:
I'm getting ready to call it for Sanders.edmundintokyo said:
This is why moderate Dems win when there's a GOP incumbent.speedy2 said:Exit Polls snipps
11% under 24
34% over 65 years old
Again it's a very Old, very Conservative, very Republican electorate in the Democratic Primary.
Not yet but the results are very evenly spread in favour of Sanders.
The Conservative Democrats seem to have split their vote.
I will probably call it for Sanders in around 15 minutes.0 -
The majority of the population are in the counties Sanders is doing best, he's won.speedy2 said:
The first states are all about momentum not delegates.edmundintokyo said:
That's OK, it's proportional and they've got strong candidates clearing 15%.speedy2 said:
I'm getting ready to call it for Sanders.edmundintokyo said:
This is why moderate Dems win when there's a GOP incumbent.speedy2 said:Exit Polls snipps
11% under 24
34% over 65 years old
Again it's a very Old, very Conservative, very Republican electorate in the Democratic Primary.
Not yet but the results are very evenly spread in favour of Sanders.
The Conservative Democrats seem to have split their vote.
I will probably call it for Sanders in around 15 minutes.0 -
Warren's best early state is Nevada, so she'll probably want to hang on for that. And she's OK (not great, but OK) for money.HYUFD said:
He won't pull out, he will go to South Carolina where he still leads.Philip_Thompson said:If Biden pulls out then whom do you think he or his supporters might endorse from the remaining candidates?
If as now looks likely Sanders wins New Hampshire and Warren is effectively eliminated, the race will be on between Buttigieg, Biden and Klobuchar to be the leading moderate to take on the leftist Sanders
Biden though may go bust before South Carolina.0 -
14%:
Bernie Sanders 13,757 28.83%
Pete Buttigieg 10,361 21.71%
Amy Klobuchar 9,157 19.19%
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KLOBUCHARPhilip_Thompson said:If Biden pulls out then whom do you think he or his supporters might endorse from the remaining candidates?
And to a lesser extent Mayor Pete0 -
I agree.edmundintokyo said:
KLOBUCHARPhilip_Thompson said:If Biden pulls out then whom do you think he or his supporters might endorse from the remaining candidates?
And to a lesser extent Mayor Pete0 -
I know. but the Polls don't officially close until for another 7 minutes.brokenwheel said:
The majority of the population are in the counties Sanders is doing best, he's won.speedy2 said:
The first states are all about momentum not delegates.edmundintokyo said:
That's OK, it's proportional and they've got strong candidates clearing 15%.speedy2 said:
I'm getting ready to call it for Sanders.edmundintokyo said:
This is why moderate Dems win when there's a GOP incumbent.speedy2 said:Exit Polls snipps
11% under 24
34% over 65 years old
Again it's a very Old, very Conservative, very Republican electorate in the Democratic Primary.
Not yet but the results are very evenly spread in favour of Sanders.
The Conservative Democrats seem to have split their vote.
I will probably call it for Sanders in around 15 minutes.0 -
That being said, Klobuchar has the problem of not having amazing organisation in Nevada. It's a caucus state and organisation matters.edmundintokyo said:
KLOBUCHARPhilip_Thompson said:If Biden pulls out then whom do you think he or his supporters might endorse from the remaining candidates?
And to a lesser extent Mayor Pete0 -
15%:
Bernie Sanders 13,757 28.73%
Pete Buttigieg 10,361 21.64%
Amy Klobuchar 9,157 19.12%
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16:
Bernie Sanders 14,398 28.69%
Pete Buttigieg 11,070 22.06%
Amy Klobuchar 9,450 18.83%
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I expect another disaster in Nevada which, like in Iowa, we will never know who won.rcs1000 said:
That being said, Klobuchar has the problem of not having amazing organisation in Nevada. It's a caucus state and organisation matters.edmundintokyo said:
KLOBUCHARPhilip_Thompson said:If Biden pulls out then whom do you think he or his supporters might endorse from the remaining candidates?
And to a lesser extent Mayor Pete0 -
We know who won in Iowa. Sanders got most votes. Buttigieg got most SDEs.speedy2 said:
I expect another disaster in Nevada which, like in Iowa, we will never know who won.rcs1000 said:
That being said, Klobuchar has the problem of not having amazing organisation in Nevada. It's a caucus state and organisation matters.edmundintokyo said:
KLOBUCHARPhilip_Thompson said:If Biden pulls out then whom do you think he or his supporters might endorse from the remaining candidates?
And to a lesser extent Mayor Pete0 -
From preliminary results, looks like only the top 3 will be hitting the viability threshold. Don't know for sure, but I'm guessing that'll hold at the district level too. That's good news for Sanders.0
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16.2%:
Bernie Sanders 15,028 28.78%
Pete Buttigieg 11,308 21.66%
Amy Klobuchar 10,019 19.19%
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And if all the arithmetic errors were cleared up?rcs1000 said:
We know who won in Iowa. Sanders got most votes. Buttigieg got most SDEs.speedy2 said:
I expect another disaster in Nevada which, like in Iowa, we will never know who won.rcs1000 said:
That being said, Klobuchar has the problem of not having amazing organisation in Nevada. It's a caucus state and organisation matters.edmundintokyo said:
KLOBUCHARPhilip_Thompson said:If Biden pulls out then whom do you think he or his supporters might endorse from the remaining candidates?
And to a lesser extent Mayor Pete0 -
16.5%:
Bernie Sanders 15,351 28.00%
Pete Buttigieg 12,451 22.71%
Amy Klobuchar 10,498 19.15%
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Nevada is never really significant anyway in the way Iowa, New Hampshire or South Carolina are, no nominee has failed to win one of those 3 statesspeedy2 said:
I expect another disaster in Nevada which, like in Iowa, we will never know who won.rcs1000 said:
That being said, Klobuchar has the problem of not having amazing organisation in Nevada. It's a caucus state and organisation matters.edmundintokyo said:
KLOBUCHARPhilip_Thompson said:If Biden pulls out then whom do you think he or his supporters might endorse from the remaining candidates?
And to a lesser extent Mayor Pete0 -
The race will be on between Buttigieg and Klobuchar.HYUFD said:
He won't pull out, he will go to South Carolina where he still leads.Philip_Thompson said:If Biden pulls out then whom do you think he or his supporters might endorse from the remaining candidates?
If as now looks likely Sanders wins New Hampshire and Warren is effectively eliminated, the race will be on between Buttigieg, Biden and Klobuchar to be the leading moderate to take on the leftist Sanders
Biden campaign's not pinin'! 'E's passed on! This campaign is no more! It has ceased to be! 'E's expired and gone to meet 'is maker! 'E's a stiff! Bereft of life, 'e rests in peace! If you hadn't nailed 'im to South Carolina 'e'd be pushing up the daisies! 'Is metabolic processes are now 'istory! 'E's off the twig! 'E's kicked the bucket, 'e's shuffled off 'is mortal coil, run down the curtain and joined the bleedin' choir invisible!! THIS IS AN EX-CAMPAIGN!!0 -
Can you tell BF that please?rcs1000 said:
We know who won in Iowa. Sanders got most votes. Buttigieg got most SDEs.speedy2 said:
I expect another disaster in Nevada which, like in Iowa, we will never know who won.rcs1000 said:
That being said, Klobuchar has the problem of not having amazing organisation in Nevada. It's a caucus state and organisation matters.edmundintokyo said:
KLOBUCHARPhilip_Thompson said:If Biden pulls out then whom do you think he or his supporters might endorse from the remaining candidates?
And to a lesser extent Mayor Pete0 -
16.8%:
Bernie Sanders 15,740 28.04%
Pete Buttigieg 12,570 22.39%
Amy Klobuchar 11,056 19.70%
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How humourless.malcolmg said:
How typicalCarlottaVance said:
“The noblest prospect which a Scotchman ever sees, is the high road that leads him to England!”TheScreamingEagles said:
You have my sympathies.FrancisUrquhart said:
Oi, I'm originally from that part of the world....TheScreamingEagles said:
To be fair would you really want to go to Stoke?FrancisUrquhart said:
Very strange how none of the massive maomentum mob managed to find a train to Stoke to help her out during the GE, despite her calling repeatedly for assistance.rottenborough said:twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1227347499461021698
I mean the place is a shit hole.
What's the best thing to come out of Stoke? The A500*.
*Apologies if it isn't the A500 but some other A road.
Samuel Johnson
Any fule no that Dr Johnson was poking fun at his Scottish friend and ultimately biographer, Boswell!
London had seen an influx of Scots benefitting from the freedom of movement afforded by the Union (one curiously the current regime wants to end) and Johnson enjoyed poking fun at them.
His definition for Oats:
oats: 'a grain, which in England is generally given to horses, but in Scotland supports the people.'0 -
This is game over for Warren surely?0
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18.9%:
Bernie Sanders 17,101 27.59%
Pete Buttigieg 13,957 22.52%
Amy Klobuchar 12,182 19.65%
0 -
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https://twitter.com/ChrisDJackson/status/1225583007525933059?s=20Philip_Thompson said:
The race will be on between Buttigieg and Klobuchar.HYUFD said:
He won't pull out, he will go to South Carolina where he still leads.Philip_Thompson said:If Biden pulls out then whom do you think he or his supporters might endorse from the remaining candidates?
If as now looks likely Sanders wins New Hampshire and Warren is effectively eliminated, the race will be on between Buttigieg, Biden and Klobuchar to be the leading moderate to take on the leftist Sanders
Biden campaign's not pinin'! 'E's passed on! This campaign is no more! It has ceased to be! 'E's expired and gone to meet 'is maker! 'E's a stiff! Bereft of life, 'e rests in peace! If you hadn't nailed 'im to South Carolina 'e'd be pushing up the daisies! 'Is metabolic processes are now 'istory! 'E's off the twig! 'E's kicked the bucket, 'e's shuffled off 'is mortal coil, run down the curtain and joined the bleedin' choir invisible!! THIS IS AN EX-CAMPAIGN!!0 -
19.2%:
Bernie Sanders 17,976 28.26%
Pete Buttigieg 14,119 22.20%
Amy Klobuchar 12,366 19.44%0 -
Yes, hard to see a way forward for her. Biden has SC, perhaps. Buttigieg and Klobouchar have some momentum, Sanders is doing well but not overwhelmingly. But Warren?rottenborough said:This is game over for Warren surely?
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538: "MATT GROSSMANN8:01 PM
Since Biden was Sanders’s largest obstacle to the nomination — and since the field of alternatives to Sanders remains fractured — Biden’s fall (and replacement by more than one moderate alternative) is good news for Sanders. Neither Buttigieg nor Klobuchar have thus far shown any sign of being able to consolidate African American support, which was key to Biden’s potential majority.0 -
That poll's fieldwork predates even Iowa.HYUFD said:
https://twitter.com/ChrisDJackson/status/1225583007525933059?s=20Philip_Thompson said:
The race will be on between Buttigieg and Klobuchar.HYUFD said:
He won't pull out, he will go to South Carolina where he still leads.Philip_Thompson said:If Biden pulls out then whom do you think he or his supporters might endorse from the remaining candidates?
If as now looks likely Sanders wins New Hampshire and Warren is effectively eliminated, the race will be on between Buttigieg, Biden and Klobuchar to be the leading moderate to take on the leftist Sanders
Biden campaign's not pinin'! 'E's passed on! This campaign is no more! It has ceased to be! 'E's expired and gone to meet 'is maker! 'E's a stiff! Bereft of life, 'e rests in peace! If you hadn't nailed 'im to South Carolina 'e'd be pushing up the daisies! 'Is metabolic processes are now 'istory! 'E's off the twig! 'E's kicked the bucket, 'e's shuffled off 'is mortal coil, run down the curtain and joined the bleedin' choir invisible!! THIS IS AN EX-CAMPAIGN!!0 -
Speaking of which, South Carolina is also an open primary. Who will the racist white people vote for? Not necessarily Obama's VP.nunu2 said:
Which is probably a good thing for the opposition party.edmundintokyo said:
This is why moderate Dems win when there's a GOP incumbent.speedy2 said:Exit Polls snipps
11% under 24
34% over 65 years old
Again it's a very Old, very Conservative, very Republican electorate in the Democratic Primary.0 -
0
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19.5%:
Bernie Sanders 18,173 28.39%
Pete Buttigieg 14,119 22.06%
Amy Klobuchar 12,513 19.55%
0 -
Andrew Yang Out.0
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That is substantially behind BuzzfeedAndy_JS said:Latest results:
https://edition.cnn.com/election/2020/state/new-hampshire0 -
Good news for Sanders - we knew he'd do well but he's not really beating expectations, but may knock out Warren.Stereotomy said:From preliminary results, looks like only the top 3 will be hitting the viability threshold. Don't know for sure, but I'm guessing that'll hold at the district level too. That's good news for Sanders.
Great news for Buttigieg and Klobuchar who've done much better than people reasonably forecast a month ago and probably knocked out Biden.0 -
South Carolina is a deep South state, it is not going to vote for a socialist, a homosexual or a woman, the black vote will also go for Bidenrcs1000 said:
That poll's fieldwork predates even Iowa.HYUFD said:
https://twitter.com/ChrisDJackson/status/1225583007525933059?s=20Philip_Thompson said:
The race will be on between Buttigieg and Klobuchar.HYUFD said:
He won't pull out, he will go to South Carolina where he still leads.Philip_Thompson said:If Biden pulls out then whom do you think he or his supporters might endorse from the remaining candidates?
If as now looks likely Sanders wins New Hampshire and Warren is effectively eliminated, the race will be on between Buttigieg, Biden and Klobuchar to be the leading moderate to take on the leftist Sanders
Biden campaign's not pinin'! 'E's passed on! This campaign is no more! It has ceased to be! 'E's expired and gone to meet 'is maker! 'E's a stiff! Bereft of life, 'e rests in peace! If you hadn't nailed 'im to South Carolina 'e'd be pushing up the daisies! 'Is metabolic processes are now 'istory! 'E's off the twig! 'E's kicked the bucket, 'e's shuffled off 'is mortal coil, run down the curtain and joined the bleedin' choir invisible!! THIS IS AN EX-CAMPAIGN!!0 -
She was the future once etc etc.NickPalmer said:
Yes, hard to see a way forward for her. Biden has SC, perhaps. Buttigieg and Klobouchar have some momentum, Sanders is doing well but not overwhelmingly. But Warren?rottenborough said:This is game over for Warren surely?
Politics is brutal.0 -
Iowa Democratic Caucus, Hour 1. This is really predictable!
Iowa Democratic Caucus, Hour 12. Oh fuck, oh fuck, oh fuck, what happened!
After that debacle, we wont predict from incomplete unrepresentative returns ever again, oh no, lesson leaned, no siree...
New Hampshire Democratic Primary, Hour 1. This is really predictable!...
Never change, PB...
0 -
Want to bet? I reckon it'll go for one of those.HYUFD said:
South Carolina is a deep South state, it is not going to vote for a socialist, a homosexual or a womanrcs1000 said:
That poll's fieldwork predates even Iowa.HYUFD said:
https://twitter.com/ChrisDJackson/status/1225583007525933059?s=20Philip_Thompson said:
The race will be on between Buttigieg and Klobuchar.HYUFD said:
He won't pull out, he will go to South Carolina where he still leads.Philip_Thompson said:If Biden pulls out then whom do you think he or his supporters might endorse from the remaining candidates?
If as now looks likely Sanders wins New Hampshire and Warren is effectively eliminated, the race will be on between Buttigieg, Biden and Klobuchar to be the leading moderate to take on the leftist Sanders
Biden campaign's not pinin'! 'E's passed on! This campaign is no more! It has ceased to be! 'E's expired and gone to meet 'is maker! 'E's a stiff! Bereft of life, 'e rests in peace! If you hadn't nailed 'im to South Carolina 'e'd be pushing up the daisies! 'Is metabolic processes are now 'istory! 'E's off the twig! 'E's kicked the bucket, 'e's shuffled off 'is mortal coil, run down the curtain and joined the bleedin' choir invisible!! THIS IS AN EX-CAMPAIGN!!0 -
20.5%:
Bernie Sanders 18,557 27.91%
Pete Buttigieg 15,018 22.59%
Amy Klobuchar 12,813 19.27%0 -
That poll is from a long time ago.HYUFD said:
https://twitter.com/ChrisDJackson/status/1225583007525933059?s=20Philip_Thompson said:
The race will be on between Buttigieg and Klobuchar.HYUFD said:
He won't pull out, he will go to South Carolina where he still leads.Philip_Thompson said:If Biden pulls out then whom do you think he or his supporters might endorse from the remaining candidates?
If as now looks likely Sanders wins New Hampshire and Warren is effectively eliminated, the race will be on between Buttigieg, Biden and Klobuchar to be the leading moderate to take on the leftist Sanders
Biden campaign's not pinin'! 'E's passed on! This campaign is no more! It has ceased to be! 'E's expired and gone to meet 'is maker! 'E's a stiff! Bereft of life, 'e rests in peace! If you hadn't nailed 'im to South Carolina 'e'd be pushing up the daisies! 'Is metabolic processes are now 'istory! 'E's off the twig! 'E's kicked the bucket, 'e's shuffled off 'is mortal coil, run down the curtain and joined the bleedin' choir invisible!! THIS IS AN EX-CAMPAIGN!!0 -
I'll move to Buzzfeed.rcs1000 said:
That is substantially behind BuzzfeedAndy_JS said:Latest results:
https://edition.cnn.com/election/2020/state/new-hampshire0 -
He might as well have waited until half the results were in.speedy2 said:Andrew Yang Out.
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@Sunil_Prasannan , have you hacked @Philip_Thompson 's account?...Philip_Thompson said:Biden campaign's not pinin'! 'E's passed on! This campaign is no more! It has ceased to be! 'E's expired and gone to meet 'is maker! 'E's a stiff! Bereft of life, 'e rests in peace! If you hadn't nailed 'im to South Carolina 'e'd be pushing up the daisies! 'Is metabolic processes are now 'istory! 'E's off the twig! 'E's kicked the bucket, 'e's shuffled off 'is mortal coil, run down the curtain and joined the bleedin' choir invisible!! THIS IS AN EX-CAMPAIGN!!
1 -
New Hampshire is a primary, not a dumb caucus. That's why it's relatively predictable.viewcode said:Iowa Democratic Caucus, Hour 1. This is really predictable!
Iowa Democratic Caucus, Hour 12. Oh fuck, oh fuck, oh fuck, what happened!
After that debacle, we wont predict from incomplete unrepresentative returns ever again, oh no, lesson leaned, no siree...
New Hampshire Democratic Caucus, Hour 1. This is really predictable!...
Never change, PB...0 -
21.8% in:
Bernie Sanders 19,429 28.38%
Pete Buttigieg 15,124 22.09%
Amy Klobuchar 13,074 19.09%
0 -
Exit Poll.
Sanders 26
Buttigieg 23
Klobuchar 21
Biden 10
Warren 9
Gabbard 4
Steyer 3
Yang 30 -
I might have to go to bed soon, knowing that Dem primary voters appear to want Sanders to take on Trump.
Idiots and self-indulgent fools.
If this isn't Corbynism all over again then I am a Dutchman.0 -
22.6% in:
Bernie Sanders 20,308 28.67%
Pete Buttigieg 15,678 22.13%
Amy Klobuchar 13,467 19.01%
0 -
Trump must be laughing himself to sleep tonight0
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Utter twats.speedy2 said:Exit Poll.
Sanders 26
Buttigieg 23
Klobuchar 21
Biden 10
Warren 9
Gabbard 4
Steyer 3
Yang 30 -
What will all those reddit / 4chan basement dwellers now do with their days?speedy2 said:Andrew Yang Out.
0 -
Disaster for Warren, bad for Biden, OK for Sanders and Buttigieg, good for Lobouchar.speedy2 said:Exit Poll.
Sanders 26
Buttigieg 23
Klobuchar 21
Biden 10
Warren 9
Gabbard 4
Steyer 3
Yang 30 -
9 days ago is not a long time agoPhilip_Thompson said:
That poll is from a long time ago.HYUFD said:
https://twitter.com/ChrisDJackson/status/1225583007525933059?s=20Philip_Thompson said:
The race will be on between Buttigieg and Klobuchar.HYUFD said:
He won't pull out, he will go to South Carolina where he still leads.Philip_Thompson said:If Biden pulls out then whom do you think he or his supporters might endorse from the remaining candidates?
If as now looks likely Sanders wins New Hampshire and Warren is effectively eliminated, the race will be on between Buttigieg, Biden and Klobuchar to be the leading moderate to take on the leftist Sanders
Biden campaign's not pinin'! 'E's passed on! This campaign is no more! It has ceased to be! 'E's expired and gone to meet 'is maker! 'E's a stiff! Bereft of life, 'e rests in peace! If you hadn't nailed 'im to South Carolina 'e'd be pushing up the daisies! 'Is metabolic processes are now 'istory! 'E's off the twig! 'E's kicked the bucket, 'e's shuffled off 'is mortal coil, run down the curtain and joined the bleedin' choir invisible!! THIS IS AN EX-CAMPAIGN!!0 -
Thank you. I have changed the post.brokenwheel said:New Hampshire is a primary, not a dumb caucus...
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https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/482650-trump-rips-into-bloomberg-says-sanders-at-least-has-real-followersrottenborough said:Trump must be laughing himself to sleep tonight
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23.2% in:
Bernie Sanders 20,895 28.53%
Pete Buttigieg 16,300 22.26%
Amy Klobuchar 13,920 19.01%
Looks like a Sanders win, but not a particularly convincing one. Great news for Ms Klobuchar. Terrible news for Biden and Warren.1 -
V good for Klobucher I would say.NickPalmer said:
Disaster for Warren, bad for Biden, OK for Sanders and Buttigieg, good for Lobouchar.speedy2 said:Exit Poll.
Sanders 26
Buttigieg 23
Klobuchar 21
Biden 10
Warren 9
Gabbard 4
Steyer 3
Yang 30 -
He needs 50%+1. He's on less than 30%.rottenborough said:I might have to go to bed soon, knowing that Dem primary voters appear to want Sanders to take on Trump.
Idiots and self-indulgent fools.
If this isn't Corbynism all over again then I am a Dutchman.
Admittedly the split on the moderate side won't help because you lose some delegates to the 15% thresholds but it seems plausible that Biden throws in the towel while Warren stays in, in which both sides are getting delegates rounded down.0 -
Vote Sanders.FrancisUrquhart said:
What will all those reddit / 4chan basement dwellers now do with their days?speedy2 said:Andrew Yang Out.
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23.9%:
Bernie Sanders 21,258 28.46%
Pete Buttigieg 16,588 22.20%
Amy Klobuchar 14,301 19.14%0 -
The fuck is wrong with you?rottenborough said:
Utter twats.speedy2 said:Exit Poll.
Sanders 26
Buttigieg 23
Klobuchar 21
Biden 10
Warren 9
Gabbard 4
Steyer 3
Yang 30 -
24.6%:
Bernie Sanders 21,528 28.25%
Pete Buttigieg 17,090 22.43%
Amy Klobuchar 14,592 19.15%
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