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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » So a deal is there and it looks more likely to pass than TMay’

brexit: caught between a cock and a hard face pic.twitter.com/8aOkfH7Vmh
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A flaw that means any fingerprint can unlock a Galaxy S10 phone has been acknowledged by Samsung.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-50080586
I think he just might do it, but then I thought MPs would fall into line behind the May deal eventually and look how that turned out.
https://twitter.com/PaulBrandITV/status/1184796464897298432
https://twitter.com/PolhomeEditor/status/1184799975089291266
He's said it's not really Brexit because of level playing field regulations.
In fact, he's previously said any Treaty isn't really leaving. He is No-Deal or Nothing at this point. Quite a journey even for him...
Peter_the_Punter said:
So this is May's Deal, without the backstop and NI still in the EU.
Everybody happy?
SNP suggested that in 2016 , only with Scotland also in the EU and Tories ignored it.
All to play for.
Would largely negate the DUP votes.
https://twitter.com/alexandreafonso/status/1181292177130999808
It's not wildly different from May's deal, possibly an improvement in some respects, and worse in others.
The most significant difference is that is was negotiated by a PM slightly better at persuading/lying/selling (delete to taste), who helped kill the previous deal in order to become PM.
Having run against Brexit at the last election, the Lib Dems are more than justified in voting against it (I'd argue differently if the proposal was EEA). Labour's position is a little more... obscure.
I thought MPs have to vote yea or nay not choice a) or choice b).
(IANAE of course)
My issue was always on principle the matter of democracy and ongoing consent. I have suggested repeatedly here that some form of ongoing consent mechanism would be acceptable whereas a permanent backstop with no legal [under international law] unilateral exit mechanism was not.
The arrangements for NI now are time limited and are renewable if the people of NI vote for it to be renewed. That is appropriate, it is logical and it is a massive improvement on May's deal on a matter of deep principle to me.
There are 19 ex Tories, 20 incl Boles. Grieve greening and Hammond probably no, maybe a few more., let's give them half the ex Tories 10
26 more........
Of the indies count out Hoey now as DUP against, he ought to get 5 or 6, Mann is now going to turn up and vote yes, Field, Austin, Elphicke, maybe Lewis and Lloyd, maybe Lamb
Give him 5
Hes going to need about 21 labour votes, fewer of more of the Ex Tories climb aboard
I started my Kubler-Ross process for my Britishness on 24/6/16 and that decision is paying off.
Full Zoomer to the max. Fucking brilliant analysis that is.
We are watching a PR battle over “what happens if the deal is rejected?”
And no, I'm not Dominic Cummings.....
The thing is it makes Boris look better. He is doing something, everybody else just does Computer Says No, and from the polling it seems the public want something doing not more buggering about by MPs.
And he's now calling not for an exit of the EU with this but an extension and an election where Brexit could be overturned? Don't be ridiculous! The backstop had fundamental problems, they've been dealt with, now only people who don't want Brexit will oppose this.
All opposition seeking to frustrate Brexit.
Opposition walking into a GE elephant trap of gargantuan proportions
In my experience Welsh people have a superficial hatred of the English but a deeper hatred of themselves.
He ought to get a min 5 labour/mps for a deal. Letwin on board is a big win