Options
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Corbyn’s protégée, Rebecca Long-Bailey, now betting favourite

The furious efforts by the LAB media team to undermine the reports last week that there might be issues with Corbyn’s health suggest that they could be something in it. They protesteth too much .
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
https://www.bbc.com/news/business-48840608
Woke to broke...
Backing a few well-chosen long shots can work out very well - you can afford for most of them to fall by the wayside if one or two of them come steaming in.
As of today (2nd July) I have yet to go to a Labour Party meeting. I am also still smoking. I do not do a daily run. Not even close.
Moral of all this?
Not sure.
https://twitter.com/BorisJohnson/status/1146042843691212800
This seems to put the nail in the coffin of his theory as to what Boris Johnson would in fact do as Prime Minister with a majority.
The smoking thing is tough. as I know from experience (I gave up at least six times). But it can be done.
Good effort which gives them a chance.
https://www.bbc.com/sport/cycling/48838998
https://twitter.com/rosskempsell/status/1146029387525103616
https://twitter.com/rosskempsell/status/1146029388741390338
It goes on and on...sounds like a lovely chap.
Hold on - off for a google.
If you opt out of the decision making, do not complain if decisions are made that you don't like.
https://i.redd.it/gjdt9s133r731.jpg
(HT r/BaemyKlobaechar )
Interesting that Warren got a bigger net win than Harris, and Beto did worse than the woman who thinks bike lanes cause cancer (although admittedly from a higher base presumably). Also interesting how big Biden's drop wasn't.
But likelywise, businesses cannot thrive by playing only to their core demographic, which is likely - sooner or later - to move on and which if too tied to a brand will make it hard for that brand to reinvent itself.
The nation yearns for the rise of their enormo-haddock overlords!
""Star Wars - I'll tell you what - I identify very much with the guy with the lightsaber - the Jedi Knights," Johnson said when asked who his favorite character was in the films.
"I am proud to say the lightsaber is manufactured, was invented in South Ruislip - the constituency I represent," he added.
"I have a lightsaber in my office in Westminster - it is a most beautiful thing which was presented to my by no less a figure than Christopher Lee," he said. Lee played Count Dooku in Star Wars.
"We invented the lightsaber in Uxbridge, it is wielded in Northern Ireland, the resulting film is shown around the world ... or something like that," Johnson added."
Slightly less of a goofball response in a fuller context. Plus - name me another politician who has a light saber in their office?
NI would only be 'hived off' in the event of some deal being agreed, which would need not only a ratification vote in the Commons but implementing legislation, the latter of which - and arguably the former too, given that that'd be mandated by an existing Act rather than being a standalone vote - would override a non-binding indicative show of the Commons' opinion.
http://www.eastendwalks.com/?page_id=71
If Corbyn stands down at some point, I can't see him endorsing a specific successor - that's not something retiring Labour leaders (or any other party, surely?) do. Has Vince expressed a preference, or Theresa?
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-07-02/london-bankers-brace-for-summer-gloom-with-thousands-of-job-cuts
Missing a 0, surely?
The original flag was obviously an important symbol in American history. It was misused and adopted by white supremacists/ KKK.
Does that mean that it should be forever taboo or is there a way to “reclaim” [sic] it for the mainstream?
Virat Kohli failing to clear, and getting caught on, that ridiculously short boundary he was whinging about on Sunday is just wonderful....
(But it’s almost as if Remainer obsessive sin Parliament were doing their best to frustrate any possible compromise solution to an issue)
we have the brand new Sherman tanks...
https://www.politico.com/story/2019/07/01/trump-tanks-fourth-july-1393664
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/451322-bernie-sanders-raises-24m-in-second-quarter
Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) raised $18 million in the second quarter of 2019 for his presidential bid and transferred an additional $6 million from other campaign accounts, injecting a total of $24 million into his campaign as he heads into the second half of the year...
Can't say I'm much of a Corbyn fan but if they didn't bother to deny it or only denied it a little bit then people would say "oh, look, they're not really trying that hard to deny it, there must be something in it". Do it the other way and people go "oh, look, they're denying it too hard, there must be something in it".
What's the magic formula to deny it just the right amount in order for people to go "nah, nothing in it".
Lagarde for ECB? Mad or brave? What a time to take over that poisoned chalice as we hit a major downturn.
https://twitter.com/BrunoBrussels/status/1146053175222259713
Sky were suggesting the reason they were going big on it was to play up the narrative of it is another sign that the establishment / deep state are trying to prevent the messiah and his radical agenda and a rallying cry for people to get behind the Corbyn project. Very Trumpian.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2u1RrWj4RDk
https://twitter.com/Nigel_Farage/status/1145738415201300480
There should be a difference between something which has a shared historical origin (eg the original flag) and something that represented a dubious offshoot (eg the confederate flag),
It’s a shame that Nike backed away so quickly - even though I understand why - because that will toxify it and make it harder to reclaim in future.
For example, the Scots didn’t behave particularly well in Darien. I don’t think that should prevent proud Scots using whatever the Scottish flag was at the time as a symbol of they so choose.
Lol Tsitispas too.
90s born men = hopeless.
Suddenly Brexit, the Labour leadership and our next PM seem passing trifles. I am enjoying a well deserved pint next to a Saxon tower that is about 1000 years old (technically 981 but who’s counting). Some perspective on our current troubles is very welcome.
Someone was suggesting yesterday the issue will be within the settings on Chrome but I can't see anything obvious?
If anyone can shed more light would be appreciated.
What opens the race up is a disorderly departure by Corbyn - either after an election defeat or internal revolt. Which could be precipitated by Brexit or, looking further up the road, a damning EHRC report. Then there's a path for a soft left candidate or even a strong moderate to argue Corbynism should be put in the dustbin. Thornberry has been the leading 'compromise' candidate, but I think she's now infuriated everyone. Corbynites don't trust her as she's an arriviste to their cause. Moderates think awfully of her for her absurd defending of Corbyn's indefensible elements. Starmer lacks the charisma to beat a Corbynite.
So, yeah. Long-Bailey it is. Which is a sad indictment.
So if you tried to leave Labour one month into your “membership year” by cancelling your monthly Direct Debits, could you still be considered a member for up to 18 months? Sources with detailed knowledge of Labour party processes told FactCheck that this was indeed the case.
And it appears to be the understanding among party officials. A leaked “weekly internal update” from January 2018 quoted a Labour staffer: “The number of lapsers in the period is high as a result of a spike in joiners around 18 months ago.” The suggestion here is that the party assumes that it takes a year-and-a-half for some members to come off the books after they stop paying.
https://www.channel4.com/news/factcheck/factcheck-are-labour-inflating-their-membership-figures
Freakonomics had a chapter on the name waterfall phenomenon..