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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Johnson’s position is holding up well on the betting markets where he’s now an 82% chance to succeed TMay
Betdata.io chart of Betfair exchange movements
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https://twitter.com/carolecadwalla/status/1142883370856275971
Carrie used to room on the second floor
Sorry that she left no forwarding address.
That was known to me
Carrie doesn't live here anymore
You could always ask at the corner store
Carrie had a date with her own kind if fate
It's plain to see
Channelling Sir Cliff!
https://twitter.com/guylodge/status/1142857177536835586?s=21
Busy trying to divvy out the top jobs, whilst his campaign is on fire.
Talk about hubris.
If Johnson is serious about being PM then he has his future in his own hands and should confess it. If something comes out later it will damage him more in two weeks time than it will now. He wants to be PM, he has to engage with the people he wants to govern and not skulk away and complain about press intrusion.
If it was a report from a neighbour it gets dealt with in a five second statement "Nosy neighbours completely over reacting to lovers tiff".
The tape means it now becomes a tight rope for Boris to walk where ever single otterance can be verified and the slightest inexactitude can be crucified.
Bannon claimed last year he was involved with Boris - it was reported on the news.
Johnson denied it last year - it was less widely reported but was.
Now we have a video of Bannon claiming that which we already knew he had claimed. That is news how exactly?
If the BBC get a video of David Icke claiming our politicians are lizard people should they run that?
It is a major reason why I have on some occasions turned down some enticing opportunities and returned home to spend a quiet night at home...and with no regrets.
I have always found older men's obsessional lusting after younger women quite pathetic...
Is the bottling going to become an issue or are the membership so steadfast in their determination to elect Boris they don't care.
If so, they will probably be getting another ballot paper before the year is out.
Funny how all the people begging for this to be checked are those who disagreed with the outcome in the original vote and typically also those who disagreed with checking any step of the way towards European integration.
Earth shattering for Carole, but maybe the BBC have more important issues.
I couldn't care less that "Nigey" said, he's a tosser like Bannon.
Why has Bannon got Boris's iphone # and vice versa? Bannon has been out of white house for a year or more iirc.
But both films depict older men's descent into chaos after leaving their wives for frivolous younger women, and how quickly they bitterly regret it as their lives decompose....and in both films they return back to their wives....
Given the lengths people/organisations will go to in this world to 'trap' unsuspecting people. It would not surprise me if several foreign powers or organisations have targeted Boris...
You are also wrong to claim that those calling for another vote "disagreed with" the outcome in 2016. I effectively abstained in 2016 and it wasn't until late 2018 that I concluded that brexit was an irretrievable disaster and we needed to think again.
I don't know if you have noticed what an increasingly isolated voice you are on this forum? It's almost as if the more intelligent former advocates of brexit had realised their mistake and quietly stopped posting about the topic, leaving you looking rather exposed.
I doubt many of us could put up with him for long before going off the deep end.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/06/23/northern-ireland-backstop-can-made-obsolete-using-existing-technology/
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7172895/Britain-consider-joining-military-assault-Iran-Jeremy-Hunt-says.html
https://twitter.com/robfordmancs/status/1142794697234100224?s=21
The problem is instead of proper scrutiny over his Brexit plans the media will just print anything but for the next few weeks .
His current plan seems to be a load of bluff and bluster.
My point is comparing the 4% margin now with what they would have been getting with the exchange rate of three years ago.
I was a Remainer until March 2016. I argued on this very site against Leave. But I eventually read some very convincing arguments and switched. That was fairly unusual.
I've not read a single original or unique argument since the referendum to make me consider switching back. Every argument made now is a rehash of the same arguments made (often by my former self) before the vote.
In unforeseen emergencies help can be arranged in days/weeks.
Of course it should be possible to look at the accounts of this company to see if Hunt's quoting correct numbers.
My general thought is if its running on only a 4% margin even with 'half the European market sewn up' then its got big problems when the next recession arrives.
In radiation poisoning, there's a thing called the "Walking Ghost" phase. If you are exposed to too much radiation, the chromosomes in your cells get destroyed and your cells can no longer reproduce. The subject feels better briefly, but parts of the body begin to die, in the order of their cell life. Bone marrow and mucous membranes die first, then the colon linings, then the skin. The victim dies horribly and attempts at a cure are pointless as the body can no longer function. If you want nightmares, google "Hisashi Ouchi"
You can avoid this by limiting the exposure or taking precautions. Brexit need not be painful, and even no-deal is survivable. Preparation and time and a plan is all that's required. But running at it and assuming everything would be hunky-dory and stuff gets better by itself is foolish.
https://twitter.com/francesbarber13/status/1142930108484935682?s=20
(sorry, I'm a sucker for old granny furniture).
Although that carpet is probably unrefurbishable...
Even more impressive, 8% was the midpoint of polling predictions! Polling success klaxon!
https://www.ft.com/content/15a569ca-d1a8-11e5-831d-09f7778e7377
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7173013/JANE-FRYER-asks-crumpled-unstatesmanlike-Boris-feeling-strain-bid-PM.html
And the graph at the top seems to show Boris's implied probability of winning is down about 10 per cent since the story broke. Is that holding up well, or is it just that he had an enormous lead to start with?
Bannon then says: “I’ve been talking to him all weekend about this speech. We went back and forth over the text.”
She heard a the that I didn't.
Make your own minds up:
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2019/jun/22/video-reveals-steve-bannon-links-to-boris-johnson?CMP=share_btn_tw
Once again, Carole has let her enthusiasm run ahead of the facts.....
The first clip shows Bannon reading a front page story in the Daily Telegraph about Johnson’s resignation speech with the headline ‘Let’s Make Britain Great Again’. He says: “Today we are going to see if Boris Johnson tries to overthrow the British government. He’s going to give a speech in the Commons.”
Bannon then says: “I’ve been talking to him all weekend about this speech. We went back and forth over the text.”
Klayman asks him if they’ve been speaking on the phone and he says: “Talked to him initially over the phone then it’s just easier to go back and forth on text. It’s just easier. I’ve been telling him one of my recommendations is that he gave one of the most important political speeches of 2016. Was his closing speech, a three-to-five-minute speech in June 2016, his closing argument on national TV for the Leave campaign ... And it was magnificent.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jun/22/boris-johnson-steve-bannon-texts-foreign-secretary-resignation-speech
Anyway you are right but it looks more like bad subbing, with that one-line paragraph rather oddly inserted as a teaser for or summary of the very next paragraph.
Not for the first time, Carole has over-egged her pudding.