politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Divided they fall. Alastair Meeks on the European elections

The 2019 Euro elections – not a contest I thought was going to require a British perspective. Yet here we are, taking at least one more curtain call.
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https://twitter.com/frasernelson/status/1115607366903320576?s=21
Burger King remove 'racist' chopsticks ad
https://www.bbc.com/news/blogs-trending-47866381
In any case, as suggested in the recent 60 Days On The Streets programme, Glasgow at least seems to have made a dent in rough sleeping compared to other places.
'But after arriving during the coldest part of winter, what he found waiting for him on the streets of Glasgow took him by surprise.
“It was really positive, he explains. “There was a bed first policy and so many positive things going on, including the joined-up thinking and how all the organisations talk to each other. There was even an organisation that was set up to allow the different, fragmented organisations set up for homeless people to communicate with each other...
“There was more examples of people with their cases being solved, due to the progressive policies up in Scotland. I think it will be a bit of a light at the end of quite a dark tunnel in terms of the first two episodes. There was a lot that English local authorities and charities could learn from in the way things are being done.” '
https://tinyurl.com/y4mrmhto
https://twitter.com/philipjcowley/status/1115498854613315584
And what does sitting them out achieve if that happens?
If the changes in the Welsh poll were replicated nationally, (and I expect in practice, support for the Brexit Party and Change UK would vary markedly by region), I'd expect a result along the lines of:-
Labour 25
Conservative 20
UKIP 7
Brexit 7
Green 5
Lib Dem 2
Change UK 1
SNP 2
Plaid 1
Northern Ireland 3
resulting in 38 pro-EU, 35 anti-EU MEP's.
In other elections, such as the upcoming Spanish elections, D'Hondt gives a proportional results in some large constituencies (like Madrid) and a disproportionate result (and particularly a small swing -> big change in result effect) elsewhere.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-46357121
No meps after this though as oflynn will instead concentrate on Peterborough
Perhaps you might have some ideas to contribute or do you think we should just let capitalism run riot and damn the consequences?
According to him in March before the last EU summit May would take the UK out on no deal .
The EU is more likely to give two options as it did last time . A short one and a longer flexible extension with conditions .
I can’t think of anyone regularly denigrates the nation of collaborators.
https://www.nao.org.uk/naoblog/growing-number-of-rough-sleepers/
What larks.
https://twitter.com/davidschneider/status/1115552820135104512
-Which might also explain why the rough sleepers in the west end at christmas appeared to be english people from outside London.
Must be good then.
So actually we were both wrong?
You will not enjoy this book.
(Just to save TSE the effort and concomitant blood pressure spike.)
Liam Fox is also President of the Board of Trade.
Also, as I said the other day if Leavers had been a little more dignified in their marginal victory, rather than gloating, they might have taken the moral high ground. Your post is yet another example as to why they didn't, and why they did not. Too late now, as they never will.
'voting Conservative “used to be something people started to think about doing when they got their first paycheck – now it’s when they get their first winter fuel allowance.”
On gender, I once provoked a marvellously exasperated expression from my German Lehrer when I asked if a brother who had a sex change operation would be a Bruderin.