politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Richard Ojeda – my 250/1 longshot to take on the draft-dodging
Comments
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There are no 2019 markets online yet. It's the first season of MotoE next year and all of the bikes are identical so it's purely a competition of rider ability and circuit knowledge. Bradders is racing for Factory KTM this year in MotoGP (ie at the highest level of motorcycle racing) and knows all the tracks. Also, he's only got a test rider gig for Aprilia next year so MotoE is his one shot. It looks the constellations aligning to me.Morris_Dancer said:Mr. Ace, I'm entirely unfamiliar with that, must admit. What odds does Bradley Smith have?
Marc Marquez will be the unbackable favourite for MotoGP 2019 but Maverick Vinales is worth an each way punt for champion as new tech regs will eliminate the Honda/Ducati Inertial Measuring Unit hackery and bring the Yamahas back up to the front.0 -
I really doubt that the public in general will get that exercised about customs arrangements as long as there isn't significant disruption with goods in the shops, food, medicines, etc.Mortimer said:
I don't agree.Anazina said:If Tezza brokers a deal that keeps us in the CU and offers stability and certainty for business and employees, nobody is going to be listening to sinister wreckers like Johnson and Rees anymore. And her polling will rapidly rise.
Given the way public opinion baulked at Chequers' 'facilitated customs arrangement', keeping us in the CU either permanently (or as good as permanently if the exit isn't unilaterally achievable), and therefore abdicating our trade and customs policy to a foreign power, will go down like a bucket of cold sick.
I also think there will be a challenge from the cabinet if this is the outcome.
If the Deal cuts immigration and otherwise causes minimal disruption, and we're nominally out of the EU, there may be some grumbling from certain quarters, but by and large there will be a sigh of relief and a "Well, that's done now, thank God it's over" sense from most.0 -
C'mon buck up! Out with the crap jokes.TheScreamingEagles said:
I’ve always thought venison was a little dear.dixiedean said:
Indeed. The re-introduction, or otherwise, of the Lynx is a surprisingly hot topic in these parts. It hasn't happened so far. Hence, a deer cull is planned.Morris_Dancer said:King Cole, the badgers have moved the goalposts.
As an aside, badgers are a prime reason hedgehogs are struggling. The former have no natural predators and outcompete the latter for food (and, very occasionally, just eat hedgehogs). People bemoan the declining hedgehog numbers but whine loudly if any action to control badger numbers is raised.
There is a wider debate we ought to have about stewardship of the natural world. Are we aiming to preserve the status quo in aspic? Should we let species go extinct if it's for natural reasons? When should we reintroduce species and when shouldn't we?
Some have proposed wolf or lynx reintroductions to the UK in order to control deer numbers. That's likely a good idea but I pity the politicians, because at some point someone will undoubtedly suffer a bite or suchlike (even if it's their own damned fault) and the politician who gave the nod will get it in the neck.
Venison will be cheap and plentiful mind.
(That’s a joke that only works if you say it out loud)0 -
Lol - on this occasion he has a point.williamglenn said:0 -
Just looked up the Isle of Man, inside the customs union; outside the single market (For labour at least)0
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Don't be too hart on him.felix said:
C'mon buck up! Out with the crap jokes.TheScreamingEagles said:
I’ve always thought venison was a little dear.dixiedean said:
Indeed. The re-introduction, or otherwise, of the Lynx is a surprisingly hot topic in these parts. It hasn't happened so far. Hence, a deer cull is planned.Morris_Dancer said:King Cole, the badgers have moved the goalposts.
As an aside, badgers are a prime reason hedgehogs are struggling. The former have no natural predators and outcompete the latter for food (and, very occasionally, just eat hedgehogs). People bemoan the declining hedgehog numbers but whine loudly if any action to control badger numbers is raised.
There is a wider debate we ought to have about stewardship of the natural world. Are we aiming to preserve the status quo in aspic? Should we let species go extinct if it's for natural reasons? When should we reintroduce species and when shouldn't we?
Some have proposed wolf or lynx reintroductions to the UK in order to control deer numbers. That's likely a good idea but I pity the politicians, because at some point someone will undoubtedly suffer a bite or suchlike (even if it's their own damned fault) and the politician who gave the nod will get it in the neck.
Venison will be cheap and plentiful mind.
(That’s a joke that only works if you say it out loud)0 -
A spell on SCD has worked wonders for his image.Danny565 said:
He was also incredibly unpopular with the public.TheScreamingEagles said:
He was Gordon Brown’s consigliere for over a decade.Anazina said:
I have never grasped the opprobrium some direct at Ed Balls. He is a good guy. Sensible, moderate, tough and competent. We need more people like him in politics, not fewer.TheScreamingEagles said:
Met her once and she seemed shy more than anything, sadly like too many Tories she’s become infected by Brexitis.El_Capitano said:
Out of interest, had you not realised quite how useless she was at the time?TheScreamingEagles said:
She won thanks to the campaigning skills of David Herdson and myself.Big_G_NorthWales said:Listening to Andrea Jenkyns on Sky you just have to wonder how on earth she beat Ed Balls.
She is clueless
It is probably the worst thing I’ve done in my life.
I was mostly campaigning for the wonderful Stuart Andrew in Pudsey but the opportunity to take down Ed Balls was too good to turn down.
Plus I wanted to do the ‘Balls deep in trouble’ headline for PB on election night.
If you think Tories say some rude things about him you should hear what Labour folk privately say about him.
Remember he was Ed Miliband’s third choice to be Shadow Chancellor.
Remember his approval ratings were usually below even Ed Miliband's (which is saying something).0 -
Please roe back from this.felix said:
C'mon buck up! Out with the crap jokes.TheScreamingEagles said:
I’ve always thought venison was a little dear.dixiedean said:
Indeed. The re-introduction, or otherwise, of the Lynx is a surprisingly hot topic in these parts. It hasn't happened so far. Hence, a deer cull is planned.Morris_Dancer said:King Cole, the badgers have moved the goalposts.
As an aside, badgers are a prime reason hedgehogs are struggling. The former have no natural predators and outcompete the latter for food (and, very occasionally, just eat hedgehogs). People bemoan the declining hedgehog numbers but whine loudly if any action to control badger numbers is raised.
There is a wider debate we ought to have about stewardship of the natural world. Are we aiming to preserve the status quo in aspic? Should we let species go extinct if it's for natural reasons? When should we reintroduce species and when shouldn't we?
Some have proposed wolf or lynx reintroductions to the UK in order to control deer numbers. That's likely a good idea but I pity the politicians, because at some point someone will undoubtedly suffer a bite or suchlike (even if it's their own damned fault) and the politician who gave the nod will get it in the neck.
Venison will be cheap and plentiful mind.
(That’s a joke that only works if you say it out loud)0 -
This thread seems to be stuck in a rut.welshowl said:
Don't be too hart on him.felix said:
C'mon buck up! Out with the crap jokes.TheScreamingEagles said:
I’ve always thought venison was a little dear.dixiedean said:
Indeed. The re-introduction, or otherwise, of the Lynx is a surprisingly hot topic in these parts. It hasn't happened so far. Hence, a deer cull is planned.Morris_Dancer said:King Cole, the badgers have moved the goalposts.
As an aside, badgers are a prime reason hedgehogs are struggling. The former have no natural predators and outcompete the latter for food (and, very occasionally, just eat hedgehogs). People bemoan the declining hedgehog numbers but whine loudly if any action to control badger numbers is raised.
There is a wider debate we ought to have about stewardship of the natural world. Are we aiming to preserve the status quo in aspic? Should we let species go extinct if it's for natural reasons? When should we reintroduce species and when shouldn't we?
Some have proposed wolf or lynx reintroductions to the UK in order to control deer numbers. That's likely a good idea but I pity the politicians, because at some point someone will undoubtedly suffer a bite or suchlike (even if it's their own damned fault) and the politician who gave the nod will get it in the neck.
Venison will be cheap and plentiful mind.
(That’s a joke that only works if you say it out loud)0 -
He is really a nasty piece of work and I would switch my vote for the first time ever if he was the party leader. To call him scum demeans the word.HYUFD said:Boris says the delay is just theatre and a Deal will be reached keeping the UK in the Customs Union and as a colony of the EU and we should switch to 'super Canada'
https://mobile.twitter.com/BorisJohnson/status/10622892375534100480 -
All this joking is making me horny.welshowl said:
Don't be too hart on him.felix said:
C'mon buck up! Out with the crap jokes.TheScreamingEagles said:
I’ve always thought venison was a little dear.dixiedean said:
Indeed. The re-introduction, or otherwise, of the Lynx is a surprisingly hot topic in these parts. It hasn't happened so far. Hence, a deer cull is planned.Morris_Dancer said:King Cole, the badgers have moved the goalposts.
As an aside, badgers are a prime reason hedgehogs are struggling. The former have no natural predators and outcompete the latter for food (and, very occasionally, just eat hedgehogs). People bemoan the declining hedgehog numbers but whine loudly if any action to control badger numbers is raised.
There is a wider debate we ought to have about stewardship of the natural world. Are we aiming to preserve the status quo in aspic? Should we let species go extinct if it's for natural reasons? When should we reintroduce species and when shouldn't we?
Some have proposed wolf or lynx reintroductions to the UK in order to control deer numbers. That's likely a good idea but I pity the politicians, because at some point someone will undoubtedly suffer a bite or suchlike (even if it's their own damned fault) and the politician who gave the nod will get it in the neck.
Venison will be cheap and plentiful mind.
(That’s a joke that only works if you say it out loud)
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Cheers. I was trying to forget that.TheScreamingEagles said:
She won thanks to the campaigning skills of David Herdson and myself.Big_G_NorthWales said:Listening to Andrea Jenkyns on Sky you just have to wonder how on earth she beat Ed Balls.
She is clueless
It is probably the worst thing I’ve done in my life.0 -
We'll see who is right.Mortimer said:
And we all knew that the bloke on the internet who keeps forgetting his passwords wants to remain in the Customs Union, but you still keep reminding us.Anazina said:
Yes, Mortimer, the bloke on the internet who flogs old books, doesn't agree. But we all knew that anyway.Mortimer said:
I don't agree.Anazina said:If Tezza brokers a deal that keeps us in the CU and offers stability and certainty for business and employees, nobody is going to be listening to sinister wreckers like Johnson and Rees anymore. And her polling will rapidly rise.
Given the way public opinion baulked at Chequers' 'facilitated customs arrangement', keeping us in the CU either permanently (or as good as permanently if the exit isn't unilaterally achievable), and therefore abdicating our trade and customs policy to a foreign power, will go down like a bucket of cold sick.
I also think there will be a challenge from the cabinet if this is the outcome.
We'll see about the rest of the country.
@BigG - when chequers was published polling on it was dire, as was cabinet and backbench reaction. Just don't see how something that is more of a compromise will fly...0 -
It's tine to move on.Pulpstar said:
This thread seems to be stuck in a rut.welshowl said:
Don't be too hart on him.felix said:
C'mon buck up! Out with the crap jokes.TheScreamingEagles said:
I’ve always thought venison was a little dear.dixiedean said:
Indeed. The re-introduction, or otherwise, of the Lynx is a surprisingly hot topic in these parts. It hasn't happened so far. Hence, a deer cull is planned.Morris_Dancer said:King Cole, the badgers have moved the goalposts.
As an aside, badgers are a prime reason hedgehogs are struggling. The former have no natural predators and outcompete the latter for food (and, very occasionally, just eat hedgehogs). People bemoan the declining hedgehog numbers but whine loudly if any action to control badger numbers is raised.
There is a wider debate we ought to have about stewardship of the natural world. Are we aiming to preserve the status quo in aspic? Should we let species go extinct if it's for natural reasons? When should we reintroduce species and when shouldn't we?
Some have proposed wolf or lynx reintroductions to the UK in order to control deer numbers. That's likely a good idea but I pity the politicians, because at some point someone will undoubtedly suffer a bite or suchlike (even if it's their own damned fault) and the politician who gave the nod will get it in the neck.
Venison will be cheap and plentiful mind.
(That’s a joke that only works if you say it out loud)0 -
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He is saying what a lot of Leavers, Tory members and voters and Kippers think thoughfelix said:
He is really a nasty piece of work and I would switch my vote for the first time ever if he was the party leader. To call him scum demeans the word.HYUFD said:Boris says the delay is just theatre and a Deal will be reached keeping the UK in the Customs Union and as a colony of the EU and we should switch to 'super Canada'
https://mobile.twitter.com/BorisJohnson/status/10622892375534100480 -
To be fair, she was (and is) quite a good campaigner and is an optimistic and enthusiastic personality. It's only really with Brexit where she's lost all touch with reality.El_Capitano said:
Out of interest, had you not realised quite how useless she was at the time?TheScreamingEagles said:
She won thanks to the campaigning skills of David Herdson and myself.Big_G_NorthWales said:Listening to Andrea Jenkyns on Sky you just have to wonder how on earth she beat Ed Balls.
She is clueless
It is probably the worst thing I’ve done in my life.0 -
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Racing helps move the technology forward - hope it's fun to watch too.Morris_Dancer said:FE: BBC's showing Formula E live next year, for those interested.
https://twitter.com/robwattsf1/status/1062302518942859265
Well, until they piss away millions on a semi-identical music 'talent' show format, obviously.0 -
QED.HYUFD said:
He is saying what a lot of Leavers, Tory members and voters and Kippers think thoughfelix said:
He is really a nasty piece of work and I would switch my vote for the first time ever if he was the party leader. To call him scum demeans the word.HYUFD said:Boris says the delay is just theatre and a Deal will be reached keeping the UK in the Customs Union and as a colony of the EU and we should switch to 'super Canada'
https://mobile.twitter.com/BorisJohnson/status/10622892375534100480 -
Ideas run fallow?Pulpstar said:
This thread seems to be stuck in a rut.welshowl said:
Don't be too hart on him.felix said:
C'mon buck up! Out with the crap jokes.TheScreamingEagles said:
I’ve always thought venison was a little dear.dixiedean said:
Indeed. The re-introduction, or otherwise, of the Lynx is a surprisingly hot topic in these parts. It hasn't happened so far. Hence, a deer cull is planned.Morris_Dancer said:King Cole, the badgers have moved the goalposts.
As an aside, badgers are a prime reason hedgehogs are struggling. The former have no natural predators and outcompete the latter for food (and, very occasionally, just eat hedgehogs). People bemoan the declining hedgehog numbers but whine loudly if any action to control badger numbers is raised.
There is a wider debate we ought to have about stewardship of the natural world. Are we aiming to preserve the status quo in aspic? Should we let species go extinct if it's for natural reasons? When should we reintroduce species and when shouldn't we?
Some have proposed wolf or lynx reintroductions to the UK in order to control deer numbers. That's likely a good idea but I pity the politicians, because at some point someone will undoubtedly suffer a bite or suchlike (even if it's their own damned fault) and the politician who gave the nod will get it in the neck.
Venison will be cheap and plentiful mind.
(That’s a joke that only works if you say it out loud)0 -
Mr. Ace, cheers, I'll keep an eye out for that market.
Mr. Song, I've only seen a handful of races. Riyadh's pretty controversial, though, as a venue.
Racing was fairly entertaining.0 -
Your Jared O'Mara.david_herdson said:
To be fair, she was (and is) quite a good campaigner and is an optimistic and enthusiastic personality. It's only really with Brexit where she's lost all touch with reality.El_Capitano said:
Out of interest, had you not realised quite how useless she was at the time?TheScreamingEagles said:
She won thanks to the campaigning skills of David Herdson and myself.Big_G_NorthWales said:Listening to Andrea Jenkyns on Sky you just have to wonder how on earth she beat Ed Balls.
She is clueless
It is probably the worst thing I’ve done in my life.
0 -
Looks like Hoey will be voting down the deal then. For completely different reasons to most of her fellow Labour MPs - but the result is the same.
Nothing gets through parliament I think.0 -
Jared O'Mara is in a league of his own.Jonathan said:
Your Jared O'Mara.david_herdson said:
To be fair, she was (and is) quite a good campaigner and is an optimistic and enthusiastic personality. It's only really with Brexit where she's lost all touch with reality.El_Capitano said:
Out of interest, had you not realised quite how useless she was at the time?TheScreamingEagles said:
She won thanks to the campaigning skills of David Herdson and myself.Big_G_NorthWales said:Listening to Andrea Jenkyns on Sky you just have to wonder how on earth she beat Ed Balls.
She is clueless
It is probably the worst thing I’ve done in my life.0 -
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We are governed by morons. Some of it is totally unforgivable IMO.Scott_P said:0 -
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Traditionally you need Executive experience or Foreign Affairs - hence Governor or Senator (Congress is rare).MikeSmithson said:
Trump didn'tHYUFD said:Again Ojeda actually needs to get elected to Congress or a governorship before running for President
Trump arguably had executive experience from his business (although very different) and plenty of experience of foreign affairs.
Ahem. *blushes-*0 -
Stagnationdavid_herdson said:
Ideas run fallow?Pulpstar said:
This thread seems to be stuck in a rut.welshowl said:
Don't be too hart on him.felix said:
C'mon buck up! Out with the crap jokes.TheScreamingEagles said:
I’ve always thought venison was a little dear.dixiedean said:
Indeed. The re-introduction, or otherwise, of the Lynx is a surprisingly hot topic in these parts. It hasn't happened so far. Hence, a deer cull is planned.Morris_Dancer said:King Cole, the badgers have moved the goalposts.
As an aside, badgers are a prime reason hedgehogs are struggling. The former have no natural predators and outcompete the latter for food (and, very occasionally, just eat hedgehogs). People bemoan the declining hedgehog numbers but whine loudly if any action to control badger numbers is raised.
There is a wider debate we ought to have about stewardship of the natural world. Are we aiming to preserve the status quo in aspic? Should we let species go extinct if it's for natural reasons? When should we reintroduce species and when shouldn't we?
Some have proposed wolf or lynx reintroductions to the UK in order to control deer numbers. That's likely a good idea but I pity the politicians, because at some point someone will undoubtedly suffer a bite or suchlike (even if it's their own damned fault) and the politician who gave the nod will get it in the neck.
Venison will be cheap and plentiful mind.
(That’s a joke that only works if you say it out loud)
0 -
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The only Presidents since WW2 who were not in Congress, Vice President or a Governor beforehand were Eisenhower, who was Supreme Commander of Allied Forces in Europe and Trump who was a billionaire and Apprentice host. Exceptional cases both and both already had huge name recognition before runningCharles said:
Traditionally you need Executive experience or Foreign Affairs - hence Governor or Senator (Congress is rare).MikeSmithson said:
Trump didn'tHYUFD said:Again Ojeda actually needs to get elected to Congress or a governorship before running for President
Trump arguably had executive experience from his business (although very different) and plenty of experience of foreign affairs.
Ahem. *blushes-*0 -
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Tory members remind me these days of Labour members - nasty, unpleasant extremists.HYUFD said:
He is saying what a lot of Leavers, Tory members and voters and Kippers think thoughfelix said:
He is really a nasty piece of work and I would switch my vote for the first time ever if he was the party leader. To call him scum demeans the word.HYUFD said:Boris says the delay is just theatre and a Deal will be reached keeping the UK in the Customs Union and as a colony of the EU and we should switch to 'super Canada'
https://mobile.twitter.com/BorisJohnson/status/10622892375534100480 -
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Hoey will as she is a Leave means Leaver but Nandy, Flint, Snell, LD MP Stephen Lloyd etc have all said they will back a Customs Union Deal Withdrawal Agreement Deal by MayPulpstar said:Looks like Hoey will be voting down the deal then. For completely different reasons to most of her fellow Labour MPs - but the result is the same.
Nothing gets through parliament I think.0 -
Happens out in the glens.david_herdson said:
Ideas run fallow?Pulpstar said:
This thread seems to be stuck in a rut.welshowl said:
Don't be too hart on him.felix said:
C'mon buck up! Out with the crap jokes.TheScreamingEagles said:
I’ve always thought venison was a little dear.dixiedean said:
Indeed. The re-introduction, or otherwise, of the Lynx is a surprisingly hot topic in these parts. It hasn't happened so far. Hence, a deer cull is planned.Morris_Dancer said:King Cole, the badgers have moved the goalposts.
As an aside, badgers are a prime reason hedgehogs are struggling. The former have no natural predators and outcompete the latter for food (and, very occasionally, just eat hedgehogs). People bemoan the declining hedgehog numbers but whine loudly if any action to control badger numbers is raised.
There is a wider debate we ought to have about stewardship of the natural world. Are we aiming to preserve the status quo in aspic? Should we let species go extinct if it's for natural reasons? When should we reintroduce species and when shouldn't we?
Some have proposed wolf or lynx reintroductions to the UK in order to control deer numbers. That's likely a good idea but I pity the politicians, because at some point someone will undoubtedly suffer a bite or suchlike (even if it's their own damned fault) and the politician who gave the nod will get it in the neck.
Venison will be cheap and plentiful mind.
(That’s a joke that only works if you say it out loud)0 -
Predictions for our great national hecatomb:
1. May will get a deal that involves staying in the/a CU.
2. There will be a few flaccid resignations from the type of moron who think's they've got a shot after the fall of May (Mordaunt, etc.)
3. There are enough Labour rebels/abstentions to get it through parliament.
4. The UK becomes the EU's version of American Samoa.0 -
No, she's not that bad; not by a long way.Jonathan said:
Your Jared O'Mara.david_herdson said:
To be fair, she was (and is) quite a good campaigner and is an optimistic and enthusiastic personality. It's only really with Brexit where she's lost all touch with reality.El_Capitano said:
Out of interest, had you not realised quite how useless she was at the time?TheScreamingEagles said:
She won thanks to the campaigning skills of David Herdson and myself.Big_G_NorthWales said:Listening to Andrea Jenkyns on Sky you just have to wonder how on earth she beat Ed Balls.
She is clueless
It is probably the worst thing I’ve done in my life.0 -
Once a definitive Brexit deal has been agreed, then Boris Johnson's mythical SuperCanada strawman will be no more. That will free him up to argue for a second referendum in which he will back Remain.0
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But he is responsible for the preceding collapse in tax revenue from the North Sea.tlg86 said:
I'm not sure how much credit George should get for the collapse in the oil price.OblitusSumMe said:
I wonder if you put the recent general election dates on that chart whether it suggests that Cameron's victory in 2015 owed a lot to Osborne's timing - and May's shambles in 2017 was not only because she ran a bad campaign.tlg86 said:
Unusual for the ONS to use the word "only":currystar said:
It doesn't matter, Scott thinks its bad new so he retweets itGallowgate said:
What does this even mean? Revenue per employee or something?Scott_P said:
How can that be improved? Is this a symptom of UK businesses aversion to capital investment as opposed to simply hiring more people?
https://twitter.com/ONS/status/10622805599117148170 -
Well, we've covered sixteen points....Pulpstar said:
This thread seems to be stuck in a rut.welshowl said:
Don't be too hart on him.felix said:
C'mon buck up! Out with the crap jokes.TheScreamingEagles said:
I’ve always thought venison was a little dear.dixiedean said:
Indeed. The re-introduction, or otherwise, of the Lynx is a surprisingly hot topic in these parts. It hasn't happened so far. Hence, a deer cull is planned.Morris_Dancer said:King Cole, the badgers have moved the goalposts.
As an aside, badgers are a prime reason hedgehogs are struggling. The former have no natural predators and outcompete the latter for food (and, very occasionally, just eat hedgehogs). People bemoan the declining hedgehog numbers but whine loudly if any action to control badger numbers is raised.
There is a wider debate we ought to have about stewardship of the natural world. Are we aiming to preserve the status quo in aspic? Should we let species go extinct if it's for natural reasons? When should we reintroduce species and when shouldn't we?
Some have proposed wolf or lynx reintroductions to the UK in order to control deer numbers. That's likely a good idea but I pity the politicians, because at some point someone will undoubtedly suffer a bite or suchlike (even if it's their own damned fault) and the politician who gave the nod will get it in the neck.
Venison will be cheap and plentiful mind.
(That’s a joke that only works if you say it out loud)0 -
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It can't be denied that a wide range of Leavers have been either dishonest, disingenuous, simple-minded or just plain ignorant. I'm a charitable man and I'm willing to assume that the bulk of them come into the last category.Sean_F said:0 -
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But only once you've left politics.dixiedean said:
However, so was Portillo. Having seen a more human side of him helps greatly in public perception.Danny565 said:
He was also incredibly unpopular with the public.TheScreamingEagles said:
He was Gordon Brown’s consigliere for over a decade.Anazina said:
I have never grasped the opprobrium some direct at Ed Balls. He is a good guy. Sensible, moderate, tough and competent. We need more people like him in politics, not fewer.TheScreamingEagles said:
Met her once and she seemed shy more than anything, sadly like too many Tories she’s become infected by Brexitis.El_Capitano said:
Out of interest, had you not realised quite how useless she was at the time?TheScreamingEagles said:
She won thanks to the campaigning skills of David Herdson and myself.Big_G_NorthWales said:Listening to Andrea Jenkyns on Sky you just have to wonder how on earth she beat Ed Balls.
She is clueless
It is probably the worst thing I’ve done in my life.
I was mostly campaigning for the wonderful Stuart Andrew in Pudsey but the opportunity to take down Ed Balls was too good to turn down.
Plus I wanted to do the ‘Balls deep in trouble’ headline for PB on election night.
If you think Tories say some rude things about him you should hear what Labour folk privately say about him.
Remember he was Ed Miliband’s third choice to be Shadow Chancellor.
Remember his approval ratings were usually below even Ed Miliband's (which is saying something).0 -
That's as maybe, but the stuff Brady said about NI and the stuff Raab said about Dover is mind boggling stupidity and unforgivable.Sean_F said:0 -
Dura_Ace said:
Predictions for our great national hecatomb:
1. May will get a deal that involves staying in the/a CU.
2. There will be a few flaccid resignations from the type of moron who think's they've got a shot after the fall of May (Mordaunt, etc.)
3. There are enough Labour rebels/abstentions to get it through parliament.
4. The UK becomes the EU's version of American Samoa.
Sounds about right. And gives a good chance to say 'sorry, can we can come back' in a few years.Dura_Ace said:Predictions for our great national hecatomb:
1. May will get a deal that involves staying in the/a CU.
2. There will be a few flaccid resignations from the type of moron who think's they've got a shot after the fall of May (Mordaunt, etc.)
3. There are enough Labour rebels/abstentions to get it through parliament.
4. The UK becomes the EU's version of American Samoa.0 -
I don't recall Brady saying much recently, on anything.Jonathan said:0 -
Hardly on the same level as, for example, signing up to a new EU treaty which a manifesto promised a ref. on, or, say, invading a middle eastern country...Jonathan said:0 -
I agree with points 1 and 2, point 3 looks optimistic to me right now.Dura_Ace said:Predictions for our great national hecatomb:
1. May will get a deal that involves staying in the/a CU.
2. There will be a few flaccid resignations from the type of moron who think's they've got a shot after the fall of May (Mordaunt, etc.)
3. There are enough Labour rebels/abstentions to get it through parliament.
4. The UK becomes the EU's version of American Samoa.0 -
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His brother is already arguing for that, though he may shift to Super Canada for GB if no alternative post Dealwilliamglenn said:Once a definitive Brexit deal has been agreed, then Boris Johnson's mythical SuperCanada strawman will be no more. That will free him up to argue for a second referendum in which he will back Remain.
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Whataboutery of the highest order.Mortimer said:
Hardly on the same level as, for example, signing up to a new EU treaty which a manifesto promised a ref. on, or, say, invading a middle eastern country...Jonathan said:0 -
Pulpstar said:
I don't recall Brady saying much recently, on anything.Jonathan said:
You should write him a letter.0 -
Raab's comment was just politically stupid. I bet most people wouldn't be able to accurately guess how much UK-continent trade comes through Dover - though saying what he did, how he did, left himself open to ridicule. Brady's statement, by contrast, was indefensible on any level.Jonathan said:0 -
I'll ask him if he thinks he can win a 6th Lombardi trophy.Anazina said:Pulpstar said:
I don't recall Brady saying much recently, on anything.Jonathan said:
You should write him a letter.0 -
Macron has really got under Trump's skin.
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/10623310244269137920 -
-
13: 19 Starmer says Labour accepts the convention that in normal circumstances government legal advice should not be published.
But he says there are four reasons why that does not apply in this case.
First, this situation is exceptional, he says. He says there is precedent for publishing legal advice in exceptional circumstances.
Second, he says this is general legal advice.
Third, he says the way legal privilege applies to advice from government law officers is different from the way it applies to advice from other lawyers.
And, fourth, he says the government should not be allowed to show its legal advice selectively to just some MPs.
That's a feeble set of reasons for not following the normal convention. All four arguments could be said to apply to almost any example.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2018/nov/13/brexit-deal-within-next-48-hours-still-possible-but-not-at-all-definite-says-lidington-politics-live0 -
Mr. P, voting Remain in a second referendum was 8 just this morning.0
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I think we mean Bradley here – as in Karen – don't we?david_herdson said:
Raab's comment was just politically stupid. I bet most people wouldn't be able to accurately guess how much UK-continent trade comes through Dover - though saying what he did, how he did, left himself open to ridicule. Brady's statement, by contrast, was indefensible on any level.Jonathan said:
Graham Brady has said the square root of sod all, unless it is NFL quarterback Tom Brady we are talking about, the NFL quarterback to whom @Pulpstar is alluding.0 -
Tomorrow IS Weds?Scott_P said:
These clueless journalists literally don't know what the day of the week is...
0 -
Purely as a metter of interest (I'm planning a talk on US wines) what is the European (I assume) tariff on wines?williamglenn said:Macron has really got under Trump's skin.
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/10623310244269137920 -
The best reason is the simplest. The country is going through an irrevocable and long term change that affects everyone who lives in it. Everyone is entitled to understand the basis on which that change is being undertaken.Richard_Nabavi said:13: 19 Starmer says Labour accepts the convention that in normal circumstances government legal advice should not be published.
But he says there are four reasons why that does not apply in this case.
First, this situation is exceptional, he says. He says there is precedent for publishing legal advice in exceptional circumstances.
Second, he says this is general legal advice.
Third, he says the way legal privilege applies to advice from government law officers is different from the way it applies to advice from other lawyers.
And, fourth, he says the government should not be allowed to show its legal advice selectively to just some MPs.
That's a feeble set of reasons for not following the normal convention. All four arguments could be said to apply to almost any example.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2018/nov/13/brexit-deal-within-next-48-hours-still-possible-but-not-at-all-definite-says-lidington-politics-live0 -
Maybe they meant Brady's statement that he did have 48 letters in his drawer.Anazina said:
I think we mean Bradley here – as in Karen – don't we?david_herdson said:
Raab's comment was just politically stupid. I bet most people wouldn't be able to accurately guess how much UK-continent trade comes through Dover - though saying what he did, how he did, left himself open to ridicule. Brady's statement, by contrast, was indefensible on any level.Jonathan said:
Graham Brady has said the square root of sod all, unless it is NFL quarterback Tom Brady we are talking about, the NFL quarterback to whom @Pulpstar is alluding.0 -
How does Trumpton know about the relative merits of French and US wine? He is teetotal.OldKingCole said:
Purely as a metter of interest (I'm planning a talk on US wines) what is the European (I assume) tariff on wines?williamglenn said:Macron has really got under Trump's skin.
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/10623310244269137920 -
The best reason is that everyone strongly expects May is lying through her teeth, and it's very much in the national interest to expose that lie if possible.Richard_Nabavi said:13: 19
That's a feeble set of reasons for not following the normal convention. All four arguments could be said to apply to almost any example.
Or, as is more likely, force her to ignore the vote, thus essentially confirming everyone's already fairly strong conviction that she's trying to pull as fast one.
0 -
O'Toole's piece is superb. I think he understands 'The British' well enough.Theuniondivvie said:0 -
Is it too late to ask Barnier, Merkel and Macron if we can just have the things they wouldn't let Cameron have, put it to a vote, and we'll stay put?0
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i.e. vote for LePen next time.Pulpstar said:0 -
He's completely lost it.Pulpstar said:
I can understand why because Macron's comments about a European army are a complete repudiation of what Trump has believed for 40 years - namely that the US could bully its allies into subsidising its military for 'protection'.0 -
There's just been an interesting intervention by Anna Soubry, saying the Keir Starmer in his speech is asking for something different from what the motion says. She has a point: the motion talks about "any legal advice in full, including that provided by the attorney general, on the proposed withdrawal agreement", but Starmer said that Labour wants the “final” legal advice to be published.AlastairMeeks said:
The best reason is the simplest. The country is going through an irrevocable and long term change that affects everyone who lives in it. Everyone is entitled to understand the basis on which that change is being undertaken.Richard_Nabavi said:13: 19 Starmer says Labour accepts the convention that in normal circumstances government legal advice should not be published.
But he says there are four reasons why that does not apply in this case.
First, this situation is exceptional, he says. He says there is precedent for publishing legal advice in exceptional circumstances.
Second, he says this is general legal advice.
Third, he says the way legal privilege applies to advice from government law officers is different from the way it applies to advice from other lawyers.
And, fourth, he says the government should not be allowed to show its legal advice selectively to just some MPs.
That's a feeble set of reasons for not following the normal convention. All four arguments could be said to apply to almost any example.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2018/nov/13/brexit-deal-within-next-48-hours-still-possible-but-not-at-all-definite-says-lidington-politics-live
Still, this is all shadow boxing.0 -
Why would they? May is probably about to give them something better....Bob__Sykes said:Is it too late to ask Barnier, Merkel and Macron if we can just have the things they wouldn't let Cameron have, put it to a vote, and we'll stay put?
0 -
The EU27 has the UK bleeding on the ropes, semi-conscious and missing eight front teeth. You might expect the ref to end the bout, but you certainly wouldn't expect this to be the time for Barnier Fury to pull his punches.Bob__Sykes said:Is it too late to ask Barnier, Merkel and Macron if we can just have the things they wouldn't let Cameron have, put it to a vote, and we'll stay put?
0 -
On Marine One and flying in the rain:Pulpstar said:
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2018/11/can-trumps-helicopter-marine-one-fly-rain/575695/
0 -
Almost as if he was a member of the Opposition.Richard_Nabavi said:13: 19 Starmer says Labour accepts the convention that in normal circumstances government legal advice should not be published.
But he says there are four reasons why that does not apply in this case.
First, this situation is exceptional, he says. He says there is precedent for publishing legal advice in exceptional circumstances.
Second, he says this is general legal advice.
Third, he says the way legal privilege applies to advice from government law officers is different from the way it applies to advice from other lawyers.
And, fourth, he says the government should not be allowed to show its legal advice selectively to just some MPs.
That's a feeble set of reasons for not following the normal convention. All four arguments could be said to apply to almost any example.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2018/nov/13/brexit-deal-within-next-48-hours-still-possible-but-not-at-all-definite-says-lidington-politics-live0 -
.... with a bargepole?Scott_P said:0 -
For all the difficulties the UK is having we're in a far better position than Barnier or Macron are. The EU had their chance to keep us inside the club and they blew it.grabcocque said:
The EU27 has the UK bleeding on the ropes, semi-conscious and missing eight front teeth. You might expect the ref to end the bout, but you certainly wouldn't expect this to be the time for Barnier Fury to pull his punches.Bob__Sykes said:Is it too late to ask Barnier, Merkel and Macron if we can just have the things they wouldn't let Cameron have, put it to a vote, and we'll stay put?
0 -
Labour is attempting a pigfucker gambit on May, and the ERG are going to help them do it.Richard_Nabavi said:
Still, this is all shadow boxing.0 -
isn't tomorrow Wednesday?logical_song said:
.... with a bargepole?Scott_P said:0 -
gavinquinney.com/2018/06/29/debunking-brexit-twaddle-about-eu-wine-tariffs/OldKingCole said:
Purely as a metter of interest (I'm planning a talk on US wines) what is the European (I assume) tariff on wines?williamglenn said:Macron has really got under Trump's skin.
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/10623310244269137920 -
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1062311785787744256
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1062331024426913792
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1062333534214520832
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1062333882610171907
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/10623367939981803520 -
I'm intrigued that all the focus on Raabs' speech was on his comments on Dover. I've seen nothing on his comments that showed he appeared not to understand JIT. Does that show how superficial our reporting has become?
Watched Grant Shapps on Politics Live yesterday and, I can't believe I'm saying this, but he was talking an awful lot of sense. Is it a case that many only look idiots when they have to do stuff and find it is just too difficult.0 -
Huh? Barnier is now nailed-on favourite to be the Parliament's candidate for the next commission president. The sheer brutal efficiency with which he has deflated decades of Tory pomposity with his shiny prick of truth has made him look an absolute beast.Brom said:
For all the difficulties the UK is having we're in a far better position than Barnier or Macron are. The EU had their chance to keep us inside the club and they blew it.grabcocque said:
The EU27 has the UK bleeding on the ropes, semi-conscious and missing eight front teeth. You might expect the ref to end the bout, but you certainly wouldn't expect this to be the time for Barnier Fury to pull his punches.Bob__Sykes said:Is it too late to ask Barnier, Merkel and Macron if we can just have the things they wouldn't let Cameron have, put it to a vote, and we'll stay put?
0 -
Has anybody taken the time to try to work out the relevant numbers across the House of Commons for each of the possible Brexit options.
For example is there a majority of MPs (ignoring their party affiliation) for
Chequers,
Crash Out,
New Referendum
or anything else?0 -
Clearly someone wasn't watching when his speech was ignored by the European bigshots last week. Pretty humiliating.grabcocque said:
Huh? Barnier is now nailed-on favourite to be the Parliament's candidate for the next commission president. The sheer brutal efficiency with which he has deflated decades of Tory pomposity with his shiny prick of truth has made him look an absolute beast.Brom said:
For all the difficulties the UK is having we're in a far better position than Barnier or Macron are. The EU had their chance to keep us inside the club and they blew it.grabcocque said:
The EU27 has the UK bleeding on the ropes, semi-conscious and missing eight front teeth. You might expect the ref to end the bout, but you certainly wouldn't expect this to be the time for Barnier Fury to pull his punches.Bob__Sykes said:Is it too late to ask Barnier, Merkel and Macron if we can just have the things they wouldn't let Cameron have, put it to a vote, and we'll stay put?
0 -
True, but I'm surprised that with his CV he wasn't able to sound more convincing.TOPPING said:
Almost as if he was a member of the Opposition.Richard_Nabavi said:13: 19 Starmer says Labour accepts the convention that in normal circumstances government legal advice should not be published.
But he says there are four reasons why that does not apply in this case.
First, this situation is exceptional, he says. He says there is precedent for publishing legal advice in exceptional circumstances.
Second, he says this is general legal advice.
Third, he says the way legal privilege applies to advice from government law officers is different from the way it applies to advice from other lawyers.
And, fourth, he says the government should not be allowed to show its legal advice selectively to just some MPs.
That's a feeble set of reasons for not following the normal convention. All four arguments could be said to apply to almost any example.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2018/nov/13/brexit-deal-within-next-48-hours-still-possible-but-not-at-all-definite-says-lidington-politics-live0 -
Andrew Neil seems to have made a blunder.
https://twitter.com/carolecadwalla/status/1062326538635481090
https://twitter.com/BBCNewsPR/status/10623282552508620800 -
A 538 post-midterm Dem primary draft at the end of this podcast: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/politics-podcast-a-post-midterms-2020-draft-live/
Asterisks imply a bit of potential value, if you buy their collective wisdom:
1. Warren*
2. Biden*
3. Harris
4. Klobuchar*
5. O'Rourke
6. Gillibrand
7. Booker
8. Sanders
9. Gillum*
10. Hickenlooper
11. Bloomberg
12. Buttigieg
Notable omissions (based on betfair): Gabbard, Brown0 -
Much obliged.TOPPING said:
gavinquinney.com/2018/06/29/debunking-brexit-twaddle-about-eu-wine-tariffs/OldKingCole said:
Purely as a metter of interest (I'm planning a talk on US wines) what is the European (I assume) tariff on wines?williamglenn said:Macron has really got under Trump's skin.
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/10623310244269137920 -
This smells like a bilateral deal?Scott_P said:0 -
Trump vs Macron -- in the context of Trump's surrounding tweets extending aid to California, home of wildfires and vineyards, this might not be just about France.0
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"This is the purest form of ignorance: it’s not just that you don’t know, but that you don’t even know that you’re meant to know. "Anazina said:
O'Toole's piece is superb. I think he understands 'The British' well enough.Theuniondivvie said:
That quote is almost Rumsfeldian in tone
It is a good article and sums up the "skills" of our Leaders perfectly.0
