politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The real weakness of the threats of PM Corbyn is that many LAB
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The real weakness of the threats of PM Corbyn is that many LAB MPs don’t like the idea either
Well, it would certainly encourage a lot of Labour MPs to support her
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I could see some Labour MP's and ex-Labour MP's deciding they had urgent business they had to attend to.
More likely, they would vote that they had no confidence in Theresa May and then work behind the scenes to put together another government under another leader (other than Jeremy Corbyn) with a more stable majority, if they could.
FPT @ Pulpstar Nigel Dodds and Emma Pengelly would probably hold their seats, but it would be tight, and their chances would be considerably enhanced if the new boundaries had gone through.
Momentum is on other side is this piece of news, being accused of systematically uninviting Jews from a meeting hosted by McDonnell which is seen as a precursor to installing a 'problematic' JVL bod as Labour candidate in one of the most Jewish constituencies in the UK.
https://twitter.com/BenWeich/status/1050313619936825345
What a shower.
The DUP, on the other hand, have the certainty of the fanatic.They will carry out their threats.
https://twitter.com/metoffice/status/1050327488860172288
Any thoughts on this ?
If we end up with No Deal in November I think a second EU referendum is more likely than not before the Brexit date of the end of March 2019 and Remain would likely win it
Last year, I was near the end of a half-marathon run around my village when I passed the playground opposite my son's nursery. He was in the playground with some other children from the nursery and a few staff members.
He saw me and waved, so I went in through the gate, ran over to him, gave him a hug and kiss, and then ran off.
As I ran away, I saw two staff members I didn't know staring at me.
That evening, they laughed as they told me that they just saw a sweaty, messy man run up to one of their kids, kiss and handle him, and then run off. Fortunately there was a third staff member nearby who could tell them that I was actually his father.
It was a stupid thing for me to do, but I was rather tired at the time ...
* I assume.
We also have one/two empty shops (plus living accommodation) which the landlord is trying to either let as one at £20,000 pa or sell as two residential units.
The usual reason for the closure of cafe’s etc is the level of rates. Plus, of course the inflated and unreasonable demands of one in particular landlord.
anything could happen from No-Deal to No Brexit at all, and anyone which says they know what would happen is either an idiot or lying.
"John, it's Ken. Know who else banned Jews from public meetings...?"
https://twitter.com/FMFdigital/status/1049634298955993089
As we leave the EU we could say "Thanks for all the fish".
My only visit to Frankfurt was to tour a deep freezer factory.
Unless we end up there by default as time runs out, which is a possibility.
IF May had managed to agree Chequers with the EU, you could talk about compromise. But she proposed Chequers because it ‘solved’ the NI border and therefore the backstop would be unnecessary. Since it has been rejected the backstop is certain to be used. So based on May’s public comments she should reject it as the outcome crosses all her redlines. Selling out is simply an act of cowardice and lack of principle, not a compromise. And that is why the ERG and DUP will have no qualms about voting it down.
The football team is decent, Eintrach Frankfurt are doing well. Fox jr did an exchange there and rather liked the city.
The ERG can't win for sure, but they can do enough wrecking damage.
They do make one heck of a *bump* when you run over them...
https://youtu.be/29Mg6Gfh9Co
Even if it's a 10/20/30% chance, it's a risk.
There is an interesting theory that if we went straight from EU membership to EFTA membership we would retain our status as a contracting party to the EEA Agreement. Now the EEA Agreement is outside the customs union and so we could gain the upper hand over the Irish border fandango.
Whats more, he considers that having his MPs prop up the Tories and thus prove they cannot be trusted is a bonus. Significant chance of a vote where he whips his MPs to vote down a Tory deal that passes enough of Labour's 6 tests to be palatable...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ReIAna459sg
The risk in No Deal is not the economic risk, it is the political fallout. It calls the pro-EU bluff once and for all and they are terrified that their endless fear campaigns will be exposed for the utter nonense that it has always been.
Whatever the dreams of remainers, if May’s deal is defeated it will be no deal. The HOC is not going to be able to do anything about it.
They won’t be happy when the government has to stop their working tax credits.
Neither do I think it now likely, nor do I believe the govt could get its sh*t together to organise it, but if they did decide EFTA was the preferred route, having sounded out current EFTA members first, then I'm sure the EU would put everything on hold until it was sorted.
But once again we would have a FoM roadblock. Or would we......!??
And someone was objecting to the characterisation of arch-brexiteers as fanatics...
This place is PoliticalBetting, not politicalcertainty.com
"Borrowed" surely?
I loved the story of slightly squiffy sailors enquiring of the US Cops in Florida 'does the queen know?' HMS not HM....
I was in Mombassa once when the US Fleet was in port....the working girls had been flocking in from all over East Africa....
https://twitter.com/MrTCHarris/status/1050359085802147841
https://youtu.be/D5iu8u0aVWs
They’ll moan.
Chavland places like Essex will riot and cause tens of pounds worth of damage.
Easy to spout off about betrayal and it not hurting a bit when you are 10,000 miles away from the consequences of being wrong.