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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » David Davis quits possibly making a challenge to TMay more lik

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  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    "Europe Elects
    @EuropeElects
    55m55 minutes ago

    UK, Survation poll:
    EU membership referendum

    by household income per year

    max. £19,999 | REMAIN 45%, LEAVE 55%
    £20,000 - £39.999 | REMAIN 44%, LEAVE 56%
    £40,000+ | REMAIN 65%, LEAVE 35%

    Field work: 7/07/18
    Sample size: 211 + 278 + 278"
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668

    I never said he's doing a ok. I just thought your logic was awful.

    That's a judgement on you. Not Theresa or anyone else.
    Yes you are right. Insulting women, or applauding it, is great prep for a life of wedded bliss.
  • anothernickanothernick Posts: 3,591

    Cameron made enough Tories believe he could back Leave that they felt betrayed when he didn't. His mismanagement of the whole issue is at the root of this.
    Indeed it is. History will not be kind to him, and rightly so. He bequeathed an impossible legacy to May, who managed to make it worse, but even someone with the wisdom of Solomon and the leadership skills of Moses would have struggled to reassemble the shattered fragments of party and national unity that Cameron left in his wake.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,809

    Well yes, that's how international trade agreements are enforced. For all of Brexiteers' enthusiasm for "out own trade deals" they don't seem to understand the basics...
    Rubbish. You show that you know nothing of trade deals. Most come with joint arbitration panels or ISDS services. The EU are trying it on with ECJ jurisdiction and they know it, unfortunately they also know there are enough enablers such as yourself who are ready to sell out our nation.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,553
    AndyJS said:

    Federer wins the first set 6-0 against Mannarino in 16 minutes.

    I have a feeling he may end up being Champion again...
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    He bequeathed an impossible legacy to May, who managed to make it worse, but even someone with the wisdom of Solomon and the leadership skills of Moses would have struggled to reassemble the shattered fragments of party and national unity that Cameron left in his wake.

    With hindsight, that was the mistake.

    the party should have split after the referendum, as it looks likely to do now
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,747
    MaxPB said:

    Rubbish. You show that you know nothing of trade deals. Most come with joint arbitration panels or ISDS services. The EU are trying it on with ECJ jurisdiction and they know it, unfortunately they also know there are enough enablers such as yourself who are ready to sell out our nation.
    They're not trying it on when measured against our asks which go well beyond a typical trade deal. We want frictionless trade, which is well beyond what an FTA would give us.
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 10,031
    MaxPB said:

    Away from Brexit for a minute, there was an interesting poll conducted in Germany which put the CSU as a national option and CDU as a separate option to Bavarian voters. The result was not good for the CDU, FDP or AfD in particular.

    https://www.welt.de/politik/deutschland/article177800264/Umfrage-CSU-wuerde-bei-Trennung-von-CDU-bundesweit-zweitstaerkste-Kraft.html

    It was carried out last month.

    CDU 22
    CSU 18
    SPD 17
    Left 12
    AfD 11
    Green 10
    FDP 6

    I think the threat from Merkel to run candidates in Bavaria if the CSU do try and split off would easily be matched with a CSU threat to run candidates nationally, then it's anyone's game as to who becomes the larger party at the next election. There's also no workable coalition if CSU run nationally, they, AfD and the FDP probably have the most in common in terms of migration, EU scepticism and lower taxes, but they wouldn't have enough to make it over the line without the CDU or SPD. On the other side a grand coalition with the CDU and SPD would not work either, and including the greens in there to get the numbers would be the death of the CDU as a major force in German politics as voters desert them for the CSU.

    Definitely one to keep an eye on, hopefully INSA make this a regular poll.

    CSU were always the Bavarian branch of the CDU/CSU coalition, so I'm surprised that teh CSU doesn't come higher in this poll.
    "According to German Federal Electoral Law, members of a parliamentary group which share the same basic political aims must not compete with one another in any federal state.[3] The CSU contests elections only in Bavaria, while the CDU operates in the other 15 states of Germany. The CSU also reflects the particular concerns of the largely rural, Catholic south"
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CDU/CSU
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited July 2018

    I have a feeling he may end up being Champion again...
    I wish I'd put a bet on Federer and Serena Williams winning the titles, the same as 15 years ago amazingly.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,306

    Er, Blame Cameron, as pointed out above?
    No. Blame leavers. Cameron had no choice but to call a referendum due to leavers' constant stropping and the resultant threat of UKIP. It was also, IMO, the right thing to do: the EU had changed so much that people needed to be given a say.

    But leave failed, and continues to fail, to come up with something workable. That isn't Cameron's fault.

    You're a leaver. Blame yourself for this mess, not Cameron.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    MaxPB said:

    That sounds about right, I think he has until the end of the working day to figure out whether he wants to cling on at the FCO for another few months or have a go at the top prize though. There won't be another chance as good as this to bring May down. Davis has opened the door for him.
    If he doesn’t go today, Boris will end up as impotent as David Miliband when he failed to resign with James Purnell back in 2009.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,495
    Scott_P said:
    Call another vote on Heathrow; he'll be there PDQ.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,553

    No. Blame leavers. Cameron had no choice but to call a referendum due to leavers' constant stropping and the resultant threat of UKIP. It was also, IMO, the right thing to do: the EU had changed so much that people needed to be given a say.

    But leave failed, and continues to fail, to come up with something workable. That isn't Cameron's fault.

    You're a leaver. Blame yourself for this mess, not Cameron.
    Me? Are you kidding? Hey, I was with you all the time! That was beautiful! Did you see the way the Leavers fell into our trap? Ha Ha!
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Surely not turning up for a COBRA meeting is a serious oversight?
  • archer101auarcher101au Posts: 1,612

    They're not trying it on when measured against our asks which go well beyond a typical trade deal. We want frictionless trade, which is well beyond what an FTA would give us.
    If you want free trade, what point is there in deliberately adding friction? Yet that is what you seem to think is logical for the EU.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    AndyJS said:

    Surely not turning up for a COBRA meeting is a serious oversight?

    There are reports that he is in the meeting, but nobody saw him leave his house or enter Whitehall
  • brendan16brendan16 Posts: 2,315
    Scott_P said:
    Very odd - has he overslept?

    Maybe he can't find his ministerial car and is trying to find the number for Aston's taxis!
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,291
    AndyJS said:

    Surely not turning up for a COBRA meeting is a serious oversight?

    Has he gone to Kabul?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    AndyJS said:

    I wish I'd put a bet on Federer and Serena Williams winning the titles, the same as 15 years ago amazingly.
    Wow, that’s quite the statistic. Where’s all the new talent, if the oldies are still winning tournaments?
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    CD13 said:

    "The EU referendum shows how the sovereignty of Britain's people can now trump its Parliament," Vernon Bogdanor.


    Didn't this bloke teach Cameron@Charles?

    Without comment
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Brexit is turning Britain into Belgium: two blocs that will never agree with each other.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    AndyJS said:

    Surely not turning up for a COBRA meeting is a serious oversight?

    One imagines his security detail might be in a little trouble if they’ve managed to lose him!
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,747
    Charles said:

    Without comment
    It's ironic really that this will be proven by the people overriding a binding decision by parliament to leave the EU. ;)
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited July 2018
    Sandpit said:

    Wow, that’s quite the statistic. Where’s all the new talent, if the oldies are still winning tournaments?
    On the men's side in particular there seems to be a paucity of young talent.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,553

    NEW THREAD

  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,833
    Boris is going to walk.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    It's ironic really that this will be proven by the people overriding a binding decision by parliament to leave the EU. ;)
    There’s not going to be a second referendum
  • PolruanPolruan Posts: 2,083
    AndyJS said:

    Brexit is turning Britain into Belgium: two blocs that will never agree with each other.

    At least 3 blocs: the largest one being those who want to remain in the EU, and 2 or more blocs who want to leave the EU but won’t accept the other bloc’s/blocs’ approach to it. If in doubt, the British approach would be to go with the plurality, so remain it is.
  • PeterMannionPeterMannion Posts: 712
    Brexit thickies everywhere today
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,564
    edited July 2018
    TOPPING said:

    He was insulting feminists many of whom are women. People of course dismiss feminism out of hand without thought of the principles behind it like drunk Ukippers even some on here.
    There seems to be some confusion here between "feminists" and "women".

    The most recent large scale research for the Fawcett Society I am aware of found that 91% of women refuse to be called "feminists".
    https://www.fawcettsociety.org.uk/News/we-are-a-nation-of-hidden-feminists

    I'd venture that may be because they don't like obnoxious bigots, which is how many of the more prominent feminists come across.

    Reading the piece, Raab seems to be aiming his remarks at the tiny minority, and possibly an even tinier teeny-tiny minority within that tiny minority.

  • NormNorm Posts: 1,251
    AndyJS said:

    Brexit is turning Britain into Belgium: two blocs that will never agree with each other.

    Except when it comes to the football.
This discussion has been closed.