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And way, way ahead of JRM...
If the Tories go into opposition JRM and Patel are contenders as well.
Halloween is over now, lets move on from zombies.
We wont get it, but I think we need an election to move on from this utter omni-shambles.
As a Labourite I am grateful that Ruthie isn't eligible.
She is an opposition leader to an SNP govt that has been in power for ages and is vulnerable to charges over incompetence in education and energy policy combined with a nanny state altitude and Scotland has little economic growth
If Ruth Davidson was in power in Scotland or the PM not a given her reputation would stand up.
I think the latter is probably as good as it could be expected to be; it's the former that's the problem.
Great betting opportunity, if you get it right.
FWIW, I think Esther McVey is a good price at 100/1 with Skybet. I've had a taste.
I think Amber Rudd might be value.
This would all apply in reverse. If she was recovering enough to perhaps get through to 2022 that perversely might have provoked a challenge. Equally europhobes now have to decide whether to roll the dice. There is now the small but significant possibility that May takes down Brexit with her. Of course a leadership election runs all sorts of other risks for europhobes but that politics. But May's Goldilocks weakness is cooling down and the equilibrium that goes with it.
Look at the success of Hello, OK, E!, MailOnline's sidebar of shame and a million other sites, channels and newspapers.
What sells is stories about people of (even vague) renown. No-one wants stories about rape in Rotherham, starvation in Sierra Leone, corruption in Korea or any one of a million other "hard" news stories. They want to hear that an MP or (even better) an actor or producer behaved inappropriately.
https://www.archdaily.com/157555/ad-classics-villa-tugendhat-mies-van-der-rohe
Of course there are the minor inconveniences that she might not want the job, and is not in a position to get it, but you can't have everything!
We are entering a new age of Puritanism where even minor indiscretions by ageing dinosaurs will not be tolerated"
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/comment/roundheads-have-routed-the-randy-old-fools-7q5dzfts6
Meanwhile, in the Middle East: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-41872995
Edited extra bit: explosion around Riyadh airport, possibly due to an intercepted missile from Yemen.
yeah right
Missile fired from Yemen, 500 miles away?
No to a second referendum...er...
Mr. Sandpit, one hopes the situation where you are stays calm.
The violence at the heart of some in the Labour leadership is beyond the pale.
German politician intervening in Poland;s home affairs
https://www.welt.de/politik/ausland/article170329791/Polen-fordert-von-Deutschland-Erklaerung-wegen-Aeusserung-von-der-Leyens.html
should end well
Dubai’s about the same distance as Riyadh from Yemen, the UAE are fighting with the Saudis against the Yemeni rebels, I live five miles from an air base here and no-one thought the Yemeni rebels had proper missiles!
(Gets another glass of wine and some more popcorn, and awaits the fun in the British newspapers instead)
What the Tories have is a serious leadership deficit - it would be a gamble, but persisting with the current leader isn't even a gamble.
https://twitter.com/bexbailey/status/925726372730949632
Surely a leadership contest couldn't be any worse than the current drift and chaos?
A loud explosion has been heard near Riyadh's airport, with unconfirmed reports saying Saudi Arabia intercepted a ballistic missile from Yemen.
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-41872995
Right wingers have already had their 'backlash' with Brexit, with Trump, with all the right-leaning to far right parties being elected across Europe. Now, this is the backlash to that socially conservative worldview.
As Krishnan Guru-Murthy has said:
https://twitter.com/krishgm/status/926236543622230017
The dressing up of this as 'puritan' is also ridiculous. You don't have to be a 'puritan' to not expect men to be touching up your leg, groping you, or rubbing up against you, or to go to work and not have to hear sexually inappropriate comments. That's not 'puritan'; that's just about decency and respect. It reminds me of the DM comments section insisting in one article that anyone who objected to being pinched or slapped on the bum, was clearly fragile and oversensitive, instead of that behaviour being wrong.
Yemen's Houthi rebels have claimed responsibility for an explosion in Riyadh, saying they fired a long-range ballistic missile that travelled 500km over the border with Saudi Arabia.
A spokesman for the rebels told Al Jazeera they launched a Burkan 2-H missile towards Riyadh late on Saturday.
http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/11/yemen-houthi-fire-missile-saudi-arabia-riyadh-171104180946302.html
As an aside- you get a lot of stick for your posting of tweets - but you are impressively fast with news and I find many of them quite interesting. It saves me having to bother with Twitter! So thanks.
If they're firing directly on Saudi Arabia, I wonder if there's a chance of the Saudis arming groups that wouldn't mind attacking Iran itself.
....
* Success in relative terms. Brexit "success" will be worse than what we had before, but people accept it. Remainers who expected the worst might be agreeably surprised, but Leavers would have to accept that Leave made things worse and they were operating off a false premise in the referendum.
It feels to me as if that campaign has been very successful at provoking a discussion as well as claiming a few scalps.
* In relative terms, naturally.
I'm happy this subject is being discussed.
This piece in the Guardian - and no doubt there are those who will roll their eyes because it's the Guardian, and it concerns the theatre world, but whatever - is very much on point:
https://www.theguardian.com/stage/2017/nov/04/royal-court-vicky-featherstone-we-all-knew-about-sexual-harassment
1) Keep WFA in Scotland but not in England and Wales
2) Build endless new towns (financing and locations not revealed)
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/11/04/britain-living-fantasy-land-hopes-basic-brexit-senior-eu-officials/
Perhaps scalps was a bit glib but it is important that people know powerful people can’t automatically get away with it. When you look at Trump, B. Clinton, Saville and others you can’t blame people for wondering...
In the long run I think this current media focus will be helpful to ensure that victims feel more confident to come forward.
(The Conservative party has often, at its best, helped lead social change when it recognises it's necessary.)
Talk about Puritanism is ridiculous,
In my mind, they form a natural coalition with the young #metoo 's
For eg, Anne Widdecombe surprised me with her thoughts;
http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/875482/Westminster-sex-scandal-ann-widdecombe-snowflake-mp-women-liberation-feminism-video
Something which tends to be mentioned here only by people of the political centre or right and it should be noted a large majority of the victims reside in areas with Labour MPs and Labour councils.
Secondly, such actions seem to have been universally tolerated, indeed seen as useful leverage by others.
Westminster seems to have a serious culture problem.