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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It looks as though Angerla Merkel will hand on in Germany

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A combined 38.5% is dire for the left wing parties.
It's looking pretty tasty outside the AfD HQ in Berlin.
Angela 32% of the vote in 2017
Typo in headline
See Dianne Abbott had yet another car crash interview today - when is someone going to be kind and put her on the back benches
Just got back from hols and dealing with a mountain of mail
Btw, his performance on TV is getting worse. More embarrassing than Schroeder in 2005.
Perhaps she'll deal with May now with a bit more humility.
he doesnt understand debate
http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/france-macrons-party-faces-blow-senate-elections-50054150
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U9E2olGqUlU
Latest view from pundits (all of whom detest the AfD, of course) is that she must act even tougher on Brexit to avoid encouraging them still further.
*facepalm*
https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/wahlen/BU2017/afspraes/erststimmen_gemeinde-11000000-berlin_gesamt.html
It's the desire to be popular whether it be Blair, Cameron, May or Merkel which has caused this. The desire to be all things to all people and create a broad but shallow constituency of support is an inherent part of democracy but works only if something can be delivered.
I would argue the failure of the prevailing economic culture and model in 2007-08 is resonating into the political culture across the western world. Still, many bang the drum for capitalism but I would argue that's not working well for many for various reasons.
Trump, AfD and Corbyn all latch on to that sense of failure and frustration but they have no answers either. We need to redefine our political and economic culture from the ground up and that means more thinking, less posturing and a willingness to challenge totems such as the desirability of tax cuts, the provision of welfare and indeed the role of work in general to name but three.
Granted, you want a left wing Chancellor, but she's grinding down her own party. This is the CDU's lowest vote since 1949.
Linke first
AfD second
So it looks like Merkel cannot pull our Brexit nuts out of the fire. She has domestic fish to fry.
give it a break for one evening
Re glw's point: it reminds me of the Labour leadership election back in 2015. Too many of these centrists come across as empty vessels and can only talk in cliches and platitudes. I voted for Yvette, but mainly because she wasn't Corbyn.
the chart on the bottom of the link shows vote flows between elections
http://www.faz.net/aktuell/politik/bundestagswahl/bundestagswahl-zahlen-umfragen-prognosen-fakten-15194715.html
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/sep/19/world-leading-eco-vandal-angela-merkel-german-environmental
On the populist right a largely anti immigration sentiment and on the populist left a largely anti austerity sentiment
However apart from Trump and Tsipras and Syriza none have actually yet won a general or presidential election (albeit Leave did win a referendum), so that suggests they are protest votes demanding adjustments from the main parties rather than desires to actually put populists in power
If so I'd be careful what you wish for
Among other things I note that of the 570,000 who voted Left party, 430,000 moved to. loosing 84% of there supporters from last time (made up for by switchers form the SPD)
The AdF and Left Party are at different ends of a linear political spectrum, they are 2 collectivist monstrositys, just with different insignia, they hate each other because they are fighting for the same voters
The Conservative establishment forgot about aspiration.
88 Sitze für AfD pronostiziert. Dieser Wahlabend hat Humor.
AfD on for 88 seats, this electionhas a sense of humour