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edited August 2017 in General

imagepoliticalbetting.com » Blog Archive » McCluskey’s comments on Corbyn’s successor help move Emily Thornberry to 2nd favourite

While all the focus has been on the Tory leadership there’s been a shake up in the Next LAB leader market after a report from Paul Waugh at HuffPost. He wrote:

Read the full story here


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Comments

  • viewcode
    viewcode Posts: 25,202
    edited August 2017
    A good link, thank you. It seems that LeCarre has now reached the twilight stage in his career where instead of inventing new characters he revisits old ones. To adopt a film metaphor, if "A Legacy of Spies" is his "Prometheus", I will be pleased, but if it's his "Alien: Covenant"...well, let us draw a kindly veil... :(
  • Yep ... whatever Lola Len wants, Lola Len gets.
  • For anyone interested in backing La Thornberry, she is available at stand-out odds of 14/1 from little known "Sports Winner" which is twice the odds of 7/1 offered by the likes of Bet365 and a similar price of 7.8/1 net from the Betfair Exchange.
    As ever, check out the best value with Oddschecker.
  • dr_spyn
    dr_spyn Posts: 11,312
    Another one bites the dust in SLAB.

    https://twitter.com/AllieHBNews/status/902755697871478785

    Dugdale goes, whose up to lead Labour in Scotland?
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    viewcode said:

    To adopt a film metaphor, if "A Legacy of Spies" is his "Prometheus", I will be pleased, but if it's his "Alien: Covenant"...well, let us draw a kindly veil... :(

    Prometheus was terrible
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @JamieRoss7: Two people being tipped as the next leader to me: Richard Leonard and Alex Rowley. A S Lab source says either would be "a fucking disaster".
  • NickPalmer
    NickPalmer Posts: 21,724
    edited August 2017
    FPT:
    On a non-political note, would anyone like to join me at this? It's basically about the Red Cross's work to reunite familie who have been divided by war or disasters or who have simplly lost touch with someone who may have been detained. I know a bit about their work in this area and it's truly wonderful when it works.

    And the event looks fun:

    https://allevents.in/london/day-of-the-disappeared-benefit-concert/279767592504064

    Going with a couple of friends, but would be nice to see some PB faces.

    Or, if you can't come but would like to support it:

    https://www.justgiving.com/campaigns/charity/redcross/dayofthedisappeared2017
  • AlastairMeeks
    AlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Emily Thornberry is being a very helpful constituency MP for me right now, so I won't have a word said against her.
  • Essexit
    Essexit Posts: 1,966
    I put a few quid on Thornberry a while ago. Can't remember the odds.
  • Pulpstar
    Pulpstar Posts: 79,813
    619 said:
    On North Korea I think Kim Jong In.might be working out Trump is all mouth and no trousers
  • Monksfield
    Monksfield Posts: 2,905
    Scott_P said:
    Well, aint that so. Not given the send off of our last CoE, that's for sure.
  • SandyRentool
    SandyRentool Posts: 23,156
    Thornberry: Just what we need - a working class woman from the northern Labour heartlands.

    Kez: Scottish Labour has turned a corner under he leadership - but we couldn't really have sunk any lower. It will be interesting to see where the new leader fits on the party spectrum, and this could be a pointer to the next UK Labour leader.
  • Sandpit
    Sandpit Posts: 56,045
    Good to see Emily's price come in, lays her some more. Labour's Hillary Clinton, complete with her own 'Deplorables' comments.
  • Morris_Dancer
    Morris_Dancer Posts: 62,742
    Good morning, everyone.

    Surprised Dugdale's gone. I hope her replacement isn't a barking mad far left loon.

    The state of British politics. O tempora, o mores!
  • malcolmg
    malcolmg Posts: 44,523

    Thornberry: Just what we need - a working class woman from the northern Labour heartlands.

    Kez: Scottish Labour has turned a corner under he leadership - but we couldn't really have sunk any lower. It will be interesting to see where the new leader fits on the party spectrum, and this could be a pointer to the next UK Labour leader.

    Yes when she took the reins Labour were 2nd party in Scotland, she had two elections and led Labour to 3rd place in both, a towering giant of a politician.
    What absolute donkey from the rag tag bunch of losers the Scottish regional office have left will pick up the merde baton and head for a thrashing.
  • williamglenn
    williamglenn Posts: 56,290
  • foxinsoxuk
    foxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Thornberry puts in admirably combatative performances, and I am a little in the Green on her.

    My book on this is also a bit of a mess. Too many plausible candidates over the years, but no sign of a contest. I am not topping up.
  • OldKingCole
    OldKingCole Posts: 35,275
    Totally and utterly O/t.... dunno, is it .... lack of planning and forethought comes into it, .......but in the Guardian today Tim Dowling is complaining that he’s yet to find a parking meter which will take the new £1 coins
    (https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/aug/30/cynical-leave-campaign-bet-against-brexit-ac-grayling)

    Nor, incidentally, do they work in supermarket trolleys!
  • foxinsoxuk
    foxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    While Trump and the Russians seems under investigation, the support that Putin gave for UKIP then Brexit in this little thread is quite thought provoking.

    https://twitter.com/astroehlein/status/901002540531294209
  • foxinsoxuk
    foxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    While Trump and the Russians seems under investigation, the support that Putin gave for UKIP then Brexit in this little thread is quite thought provoking.

    https://twitter.com/astroehlein/status/901002540531294209
    This one showing a busy troll over time for example:

    https://twitter.com/conspirator0/status/900159764952469506
  • malcolmg
    malcolmg Posts: 44,523

    Totally and utterly O/t.... dunno, is it .... lack of planning and forethought comes into it, .......but in the Guardian today Tim Dowling is complaining that he’s yet to find a parking meter which will take the new £1 coins
    (https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/aug/30/cynical-leave-campaign-bet-against-brexit-ac-grayling)

    Nor, incidentally, do they work in supermarket trolleys!

    They work in Sainsbury's and M&S in Scotland
  • AlastairMeeks
    AlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    While Trump and the Russians seems under investigation, the support that Putin gave for UKIP then Brexit in this little thread is quite thought provoking.

    https://twitter.com/astroehlein/status/901002540531294209
    This one showing a busy troll over time for example:

    https://twitter.com/conspirator0/status/900159764952469506
    Of course Vladimir Putin supported Brexit. You should always aim to divide your opponents.

    What was noteworthy is that the kippers responded to his advances. When was the last time you saw reference to EUSSR?
  • SandyRentool
    SandyRentool Posts: 23,156
    malcolmg said:

    Totally and utterly O/t.... dunno, is it .... lack of planning and forethought comes into it, .......but in the Guardian today Tim Dowling is complaining that he’s yet to find a parking meter which will take the new £1 coins
    (https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/aug/30/cynical-leave-campaign-bet-against-brexit-ac-grayling)

    Nor, incidentally, do they work in supermarket trolleys!

    They work in Sainsbury's and M&S in Scotland
    An M&S where you have to put in a pound for a trolley?!?
  • rottenborough
    rottenborough Posts: 66,867
    Morning all,

    I can only agree with Mike, leadership has and is a nightmare market. I'm on Thornberry - and topped up on reading the HuffPo piece. But also on a load of others, including Yvette, who I have not yet entirely written off.
  • rottenborough
    rottenborough Posts: 66,867
    Pulpstar said:

    619 said:
    On North Korea I think Kim Jong In.might be working out Trump is all mouth and no trousers
    A dangerous assumption.
  • DavidL
    DavidL Posts: 55,867
    Surprised about Kezia. There are clear signs that Labour are on the way back in Scotland and she deserves most of the credit. Given the very lukewarm thanks from Corbyn I suspect that there have been even more disagreements behind the scenes than there have been in public.

    The cupboard is pretty bare in SLAB. It would not be good for Unionism for Labour to slip back again. They can take votes off the SNP that Ruth could never get near.
  • CarlottaVance
    CarlottaVance Posts: 60,422

    While Trump and the Russians seems under investigation, the support that Putin gave for UKIP then Brexit in this little thread is quite thought provoking.

    https://twitter.com/astroehlein/status/901002540531294209
    This one showing a busy troll over time for example:

    https://twitter.com/conspirator0/status/900159764952469506
    Of course Vladimir Putin supported Brexit. You should always aim to divide your opponents.

    What was noteworthy is that the kippers responded to his advances. When was the last time you saw reference to EUSSR?
    https://twitter.com/anderbot_/status/901961276804485120
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    edited August 2017
    Thornberry will only be a likely contender to succed Corbyn if Corbyn wins the next general election or gets enough seats to form a government with other parties. If Corbyn loses a second general election when his supporters this time expected him to win it he will likely resign and the way will be open for a telegenic centrist like Chuka Umunna to win the leadership, he will also be better able to make the case for returning to the EEA given a Tory win ensures free movement will end for at least around 5 years reducing the potency of the immigration issue by the 2024/5 general election
  • CD13
    CD13 Posts: 6,386
    edited August 2017
    Mr Pulpstar,

    "On North Korea I think Kim Jong In .might be working out Trump is all mouth and no trousers."

    As I've said before, the correct expression (from the 1950s) is all mouth AND trousers.

    An authoritarian tone and trousers represents manhood. The correct phrase is saying the person has the trappings of authority only. He's shouty man but that's all.

    People confuse it with "Fur coat and no knickers." which is completely different.

  • rottenborough
    rottenborough Posts: 66,867
    One focus group, Pittsburgh. But straws in the wind?

    “We know he’s a nut. Everyone knew he was a nut. But there comes a point in time when you have to become professional. He’s not professional, forget about presidential,”

    http://www.politico.com/story/2017/08/29/trump-pittsburgh-focus-group-242158
  • DavidL
    DavidL Posts: 55,867
    On topic Thornbury looks the natural successor to me and has done for a while but the question really is when will there be a vacancy? The longer the time the more risk there is in the bet. Today she would be a shoo in but in 3 years? Who knows?
  • SandyRentool
    SandyRentool Posts: 23,156
    CD13 said:

    Mr Pulpstar,

    "On North Korea I think Kim Jong In .might be working out Trump is all mouth and no trousers."

    As I've said before, the correct expression (from the 1950s) is all mouth AND trousers.

    An authoritarian tone and trousers represents manhood. The correct phrase is saying the person has the trappings of authority only. He's shouty man but that's all.

    People confuse it with "Fur coat and no knickers." which is completely different.

    "All mouth and no knickers" sounds more appealing!
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    DavidL said:

    Surprised about Kezia. There are clear signs that Labour are on the way back in Scotland and she deserves most of the credit. Given the very lukewarm thanks from Corbyn I suspect that there have been even more disagreements behind the scenes than there have been in public.

    The cupboard is pretty bare in SLAB. It would not be good for Unionism for Labour to slip back again. They can take votes off the SNP that Ruth could never get near.

    The consensus view seems to be if Labour tack left (which appears inevitable) that is bad news for Nicola and great news for Ruth.
  • williamglenn
    williamglenn Posts: 56,290
    This is the letter send by Arron Banks to constituents in Runnymede urging people to join the Conservative party and deselect Philip Hammond.

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DIay8jyUQAAnUgs.jpg
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DIazCbuUEAAQRev.jpg
  • Monksfield
    Monksfield Posts: 2,905

    Morning all,

    I can only agree with Mike, leadership has and is a nightmare market. I'm on Thornberry - and topped up on reading the HuffPo piece. But also on a load of others, including Yvette, who I have not yet entirely written off.

    Ah, the woman with nothing to say. Good luck with that one!
  • rottenborough
    rottenborough Posts: 66,867
    Scott_P said:

    DavidL said:

    Surprised about Kezia. There are clear signs that Labour are on the way back in Scotland and she deserves most of the credit. Given the very lukewarm thanks from Corbyn I suspect that there have been even more disagreements behind the scenes than there have been in public.

    The cupboard is pretty bare in SLAB. It would not be good for Unionism for Labour to slip back again. They can take votes off the SNP that Ruth could never get near.

    The consensus view seems to be if Labour tack left (which appears inevitable) that is bad news for Nicola and great news for Ruth.
    Does her leaving open an opportunity for the left to gain a space on NEC?
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453

    Does her leaving open an opportunity for the left to gain a space on NEC?

    Yes
  • tlg86
    tlg86 Posts: 26,950

    This is the letter send by Arron Banks to constituents in Runnymede urging people to join the Conservative party and deselect Philip Hammond.

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DIay8jyUQAAnUgs.jpg
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DIazCbuUEAAQRev.jpg

    It says "such an action was used successfully in 1997." Who was deselected?
  • rottenborough
    rottenborough Posts: 66,867

    Morning all,

    I can only agree with Mike, leadership has and is a nightmare market. I'm on Thornberry - and topped up on reading the HuffPo piece. But also on a load of others, including Yvette, who I have not yet entirely written off.

    Ah, the woman with nothing to say. Good luck with that one!
    If (big if) she runs again she will have found something to say. I suspect last time she was unprepared for a run.

    But, generally, I think anyone betting on this market needs a lot of luck. My outsider bet on this is Sadiq Khan at 50. Don't ask me how this will be engineered.
  • DavidL
    DavidL Posts: 55,867
    Scott_P said:

    DavidL said:

    Surprised about Kezia. There are clear signs that Labour are on the way back in Scotland and she deserves most of the credit. Given the very lukewarm thanks from Corbyn I suspect that there have been even more disagreements behind the scenes than there have been in public.

    The cupboard is pretty bare in SLAB. It would not be good for Unionism for Labour to slip back again. They can take votes off the SNP that Ruth could never get near.

    The consensus view seems to be if Labour tack left (which appears inevitable) that is bad news for Nicola and great news for Ruth.
    I think that is optimistic. Ruth won seats because Labour was taking votes from the SNP. If Labour fall back the SNP will be stronger. Even in Scotland there is plenty of room on the centre left and it can't be left to Nicola.

    Ruth needs to keep tacking to the centre too. It is odd how little we have heard of the Scottish party going it alone since the election. If Ruth really wants to be First Minister it is a no brainier. Rebranding the party as the Unionist party is the way forward.
  • Monksfield
    Monksfield Posts: 2,905

    This is the letter send by Arron Banks to constituents in Runnymede urging people to join the Conservative party and deselect Philip Hammond.

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DIay8jyUQAAnUgs.jpg
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DIazCbuUEAAQRev.jpg

    Hang on, that isn't the script. Wasn't it the Bolsheviks who were supposed to be instigating wholesale pogroms?
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    DavidL said:

    Ruth won seats because Labour was taking votes from the SNP. If Labour fall back the SNP will be stronger. Even in Scotland there is plenty of room on the centre left and it can't be left to Nicola.

    This is the Mhairi Black argument

    She claims she joined the SNP because Labour had abandoned her brand of socialism

    If Nicola has to tack left to keep seats from Labour, that opens up the ground for Ruth.
  • rkrkrk
    rkrkrk Posts: 8,746

    This is the letter send by Arron Banks to constituents in Runnymede urging people to join the Conservative party and deselect Philip Hammond.

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DIay8jyUQAAnUgs.jpg
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DIazCbuUEAAQRev.jpg

    Banks is going to have to write a lot more letters - I'd imagine most Tory MPs back a transition period. Will be interesting to see if this gains momentum.

    Certainly won't help unite the Conservative party.
  • Sandpit
    Sandpit Posts: 56,045
    edited August 2017
    If anyone was lamenting the state of English cricket this morning, be pleased to know that the Aussies just crashed out to Bangladesh, 20 runs short of the required 264...
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @PeterMannionMP: Coming up, full answer to that fiendish pub quiz question 'Name all the Leaders of Scottish Labour since devolution in 1999' #keziadugdale
  • TOPPING
    TOPPING Posts: 44,060
    Thornberry is a good bet: a PLU champagne socialist. Lab getting back to its roots.
  • Essexit
    Essexit Posts: 1,966

    Scott_P said:

    DavidL said:

    Surprised about Kezia. There are clear signs that Labour are on the way back in Scotland and she deserves most of the credit. Given the very lukewarm thanks from Corbyn I suspect that there have been even more disagreements behind the scenes than there have been in public.

    The cupboard is pretty bare in SLAB. It would not be good for Unionism for Labour to slip back again. They can take votes off the SNP that Ruth could never get near.

    The consensus view seems to be if Labour tack left (which appears inevitable) that is bad news for Nicola and great news for Ruth.
    Does her leaving open an opportunity for the left to gain a space on NEC?
    Deselections ahoy if that gives the Corbyn loons the numbers they need.
  • rkrkrk
    rkrkrk Posts: 8,746
    tlg86 said:

    This is the letter send by Arron Banks to constituents in Runnymede urging people to join the Conservative party and deselect Philip Hammond.

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DIay8jyUQAAnUgs.jpg
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DIazCbuUEAAQRev.jpg

    It says "such an action was used successfully in 1997." Who was deselected?
    I think the constituency was created in 1997 - so perhaps the letter is conflating deselection of a sitting MP, with combination of constituencies.

    Wiki says Sir Michael Grylls (Bear Grylls dad) and Sir Geoffrey Pattie both retired in 1997 - they held the two constituencies related to Weybridge & Runnymede.
  • TOPPING
    TOPPING Posts: 44,060
    I am green on Thornberry, Ashworth and Kinnock.

    Put a gun to my head and I couldn't tell you who the hell Jonathan Ashworth is or was but I stand to win nicely if he becomes next Lab leader.
  • rkrkrk
    rkrkrk Posts: 8,746
    Sandpit said:

    If anyone was lamenting the state of English cricket this morning, be pleased to know that the Aussies just crashed out to Bangladesh, 20 runs short of the required 264...

    Pleased for Bangladesh.
    Bit gutted that I cashed out yesterday at a loss...
  • surbiton
    surbiton Posts: 13,549
    edited August 2017
    Sandpit said:

    If anyone was lamenting the state of English cricket this morning, be pleased to know that the Aussies just crashed out to Bangladesh, 20 runs short of the required 264...

    The scores were virtually identical to the match between Bangladesh and England at Dhaka last year. Shakib now becomes only the second player in test cricket to have scored a 50 and take 10 wickets in a match more than once. The other ? Richard Hadlee [ 3 times ]
  • rottenborough
    rottenborough Posts: 66,867
    TOPPING said:

    I am green on Thornberry, Ashworth and Kinnock.

    Put a gun to my head and I couldn't tell you who the hell Jonathan Ashworth is or was but I stand to win nicely if he becomes next Lab leader.

    Shadow Health Sec iirc.

    Been mentioned a few times on PB as a possible, as he is very Corbynista. Not bet on him myself.
  • CarlottaVance
    CarlottaVance Posts: 60,422
    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:

    DavidL said:

    Surprised about Kezia. There are clear signs that Labour are on the way back in Scotland and she deserves most of the credit. Given the very lukewarm thanks from Corbyn I suspect that there have been even more disagreements behind the scenes than there have been in public.

    The cupboard is pretty bare in SLAB. It would not be good for Unionism for Labour to slip back again. They can take votes off the SNP that Ruth could never get near.

    The consensus view seems to be if Labour tack left (which appears inevitable) that is bad news for Nicola and great news for Ruth.
    Rebranding the party as the Unionist party is the way forward.
    Sounds good to me - but not too Northern Irish? (Who of course shouldn't have a monopoly on unionism)
  • Nigelb
    Nigelb Posts: 79,357
    edited August 2017
    The solution proposed is utterly impractical, but the problem of increasingly powerful monopolies is a real one.
  • CarlottaVance
    CarlottaVance Posts: 60,422
    TOPPING said:

    Thornberry is a good bet: a PLU champagne socialist. Lab getting back to its roots.

    Albeit with modest roots (the same colour -ed?)

    She's also an effective Commons performer - Eds sacking of her was foolish.
  • surbiton
    surbiton Posts: 13,549

    TOPPING said:

    I am green on Thornberry, Ashworth and Kinnock.

    Put a gun to my head and I couldn't tell you who the hell Jonathan Ashworth is or was but I stand to win nicely if he becomes next Lab leader.

    Shadow Health Sec iirc.

    Been mentioned a few times on PB as a possible, as he is very Corbynista. Not bet on him myself.
    He is from the left. I wouldn't necessarily call him a Corbynista. You wouldn't call Thornberry a Corbynista, would you ?
  • TOPPING
    TOPPING Posts: 44,060

    TOPPING said:

    I am green on Thornberry, Ashworth and Kinnock.

    Put a gun to my head and I couldn't tell you who the hell Jonathan Ashworth is or was but I stand to win nicely if he becomes next Lab leader.

    Shadow Health Sec iirc.

    Been mentioned a few times on PB as a possible, as he is very Corbynista. Not bet on him myself.
    Corbynista? Dammit. Lab wouldn't be that stupid twice. Would they?
  • rottenborough
    rottenborough Posts: 66,867
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    I am green on Thornberry, Ashworth and Kinnock.

    Put a gun to my head and I couldn't tell you who the hell Jonathan Ashworth is or was but I stand to win nicely if he becomes next Lab leader.

    Shadow Health Sec iirc.

    Been mentioned a few times on PB as a possible, as he is very Corbynista. Not bet on him myself.
    Corbynista? Dammit. Lab wouldn't be that stupid twice. Would they?
    Er, hello? Have you been on Mars for the last two years?
  • DavidL
    DavidL Posts: 55,867

    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:

    DavidL said:

    Surprised about Kezia. There are clear signs that Labour are on the way back in Scotland and she deserves most of the credit. Given the very lukewarm thanks from Corbyn I suspect that there have been even more disagreements behind the scenes than there have been in public.

    The cupboard is pretty bare in SLAB. It would not be good for Unionism for Labour to slip back again. They can take votes off the SNP that Ruth could never get near.

    The consensus view seems to be if Labour tack left (which appears inevitable) that is bad news for Nicola and great news for Ruth.
    Rebranding the party as the Unionist party is the way forward.
    Sounds good to me - but not too Northern Irish? (Who of course shouldn't have a monopoly on unionism)
    Scottish Unionist Party?
    If imitation is the sincerest form of flattery the SNP should love it.
  • surbiton
    surbiton Posts: 13,549

    CD13 said:

    Mr Pulpstar,

    "On North Korea I think Kim Jong In .might be working out Trump is all mouth and no trousers."

    As I've said before, the correct expression (from the 1950s) is all mouth AND trousers.

    An authoritarian tone and trousers represents manhood. The correct phrase is saying the person has the trappings of authority only. He's shouty man but that's all.

    People confuse it with "Fur coat and no knickers." which is completely different.

    "All mouth and no knickers" sounds more appealing!
    9pm is the watershed hour, not 9am !
  • rottenborough
    rottenborough Posts: 66,867
    surbiton said:

    TOPPING said:

    I am green on Thornberry, Ashworth and Kinnock.

    Put a gun to my head and I couldn't tell you who the hell Jonathan Ashworth is or was but I stand to win nicely if he becomes next Lab leader.

    Shadow Health Sec iirc.

    Been mentioned a few times on PB as a possible, as he is very Corbynista. Not bet on him myself.
    He is from the left. I wouldn't necessarily call him a Corbynista. You wouldn't call Thornberry a Corbynista, would you ?
    Thornberry's a bit of an oddity, in that iirc she jumped in to support Jezza because he was a friend and her next door neighbour in Islington, rather than being a pure Corbynista.

    Dunno about Ashworth. I assumed he was hard left. Maybe I am mistaken.
  • ydoethur
    ydoethur Posts: 74,263
    CD13 said:

    Mr Pulpstar,

    "On North Korea I think Kim Jong In .might be working out Trump is all mouth and no trousers."

    As I've said before, the correct expression (from the 1950s) is all mouth AND trousers.

    An authoritarian tone and trousers represents manhood. The correct phrase is saying the person has the trappings of authority only. He's shouty man but that's all.

    People confuse it with "Fur coat and no knickers." which is completely different.

    I think it gets muddled with 'all hat and no cattle,' which is what I think was meant - all show with no substance
  • Essexit
    Essexit Posts: 1,966
    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:

    DavidL said:

    Surprised about Kezia. There are clear signs that Labour are on the way back in Scotland and she deserves most of the credit. Given the very lukewarm thanks from Corbyn I suspect that there have been even more disagreements behind the scenes than there have been in public.

    The cupboard is pretty bare in SLAB. It would not be good for Unionism for Labour to slip back again. They can take votes off the SNP that Ruth could never get near.

    The consensus view seems to be if Labour tack left (which appears inevitable) that is bad news for Nicola and great news for Ruth.
    Rebranding the party as the Unionist party is the way forward.
    Sounds good to me - but not too Northern Irish? (Who of course shouldn't have a monopoly on unionism)
    Scottish Unionist Party?
    If imitation is the sincerest form of flattery the SNP should love it.
    Why not just switch the words around - The Unionist and Conservative Party?
  • rkrkrk
    rkrkrk Posts: 8,746
    Hard for me to take these stories seriously... by now we should have been on the second or third round of everyone but Corbyn, McDonnell and Abbott being deselected...

    That said - maybe this time really will be different!
  • surbiton
    surbiton Posts: 13,549

    surbiton said:

    TOPPING said:

    I am green on Thornberry, Ashworth and Kinnock.

    Put a gun to my head and I couldn't tell you who the hell Jonathan Ashworth is or was but I stand to win nicely if he becomes next Lab leader.

    Shadow Health Sec iirc.

    Been mentioned a few times on PB as a possible, as he is very Corbynista. Not bet on him myself.
    He is from the left. I wouldn't necessarily call him a Corbynista. You wouldn't call Thornberry a Corbynista, would you ?
    Thornberry's a bit of an oddity, in that iirc she jumped in to support Jezza because he was a friend and her next door neighbour in Islington, rather than being a pure Corbynista.

    Dunno about Ashworth. I assumed he was hard left. Maybe I am mistaken.
    He is Left alright. The true test is which MPs nominated Corbyn before Beckett, Khan et al made it more "open".
  • rottenborough
    rottenborough Posts: 66,867
    ydoethur said:

    CD13 said:

    Mr Pulpstar,

    "On North Korea I think Kim Jong In .might be working out Trump is all mouth and no trousers."

    As I've said before, the correct expression (from the 1950s) is all mouth AND trousers.

    An authoritarian tone and trousers represents manhood. The correct phrase is saying the person has the trappings of authority only. He's shouty man but that's all.

    People confuse it with "Fur coat and no knickers." which is completely different.

    I think it gets muddled with 'all hat and no cattle,' which is what I think was meant - all show with no substance
    If we are on to what Trump is wearing, then this:

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/08/29/melania-donald-trump-ridiculed-bizarre-hurricane-harvey-outfits/
  • ydoethur
    ydoethur Posts: 74,263

    surbiton said:

    TOPPING said:

    I am green on Thornberry, Ashworth and Kinnock.

    Put a gun to my head and I couldn't tell you who the hell Jonathan Ashworth is or was but I stand to win nicely if he becomes next Lab leader.

    Shadow Health Sec iirc.

    Been mentioned a few times on PB as a possible, as he is very Corbynista. Not bet on him myself.
    He is from the left. I wouldn't necessarily call him a Corbynista. You wouldn't call Thornberry a Corbynista, would you ?
    Thornberry's a bit of an oddity, in that iirc she jumped in to support Jezza because he was a friend and her next door neighbour in Islington, rather than being a pure Corbynista.

    Dunno about Ashworth. I assumed he was hard left. Maybe I am mistaken.
    Would have said he was Brownite with leftish leanings. Dr @foxinsoxuk knows more about him.

    I have to say I can't imagine Thornberry as leader. OK, so she carries less baggage than Corbyn but a woman who insisted, in the face of an MoD statement to the contrary, that she genuinely believed she had been a Colonel in the British Army is not what Labour need right now. The need someone who will confront their delusions, not add to them!
  • CarlottaVance
    CarlottaVance Posts: 60,422
    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:

    DavidL said:

    Surprised about Kezia. There are clear signs that Labour are on the way back in Scotland and she deserves most of the credit. Given the very lukewarm thanks from Corbyn I suspect that there have been even more disagreements behind the scenes than there have been in public.

    The cupboard is pretty bare in SLAB. It would not be good for Unionism for Labour to slip back again. They can take votes off the SNP that Ruth could never get near.

    The consensus view seems to be if Labour tack left (which appears inevitable) that is bad news for Nicola and great news for Ruth.
    Rebranding the party as the Unionist party is the way forward.
    Sounds good to me - but not too Northern Irish? (Who of course shouldn't have a monopoly on unionism)
    Scottish Unionist Party?
    If imitation is the sincerest form of flattery the SNP should love it.
    Especially since Sturgeon is no longer keen on National(ist)...
  • rottenborough
    rottenborough Posts: 66,867
    rkrkrk said:

    Hard for me to take these stories seriously... by now we should have been on the second or third round of everyone but Corbyn, McDonnell and Abbott being deselected...

    That said - maybe this time really will be different!
    I seem to recall someone on PB (Nick P?) saying on the ground the momentum crowd don't have the numbers at the local and regional meetings. They don't turn up in enough numbers. They may be shouty but not sufficient. Of course that might gradually change, or indeed, not be the case in some seats e.g. Liverpool
  • TOPPING
    TOPPING Posts: 44,060

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    I am green on Thornberry, Ashworth and Kinnock.

    Put a gun to my head and I couldn't tell you who the hell Jonathan Ashworth is or was but I stand to win nicely if he becomes next Lab leader.

    Shadow Health Sec iirc.

    Been mentioned a few times on PB as a possible, as he is very Corbynista. Not bet on him myself.
    Corbynista? Dammit. Lab wouldn't be that stupid twice. Would they?
    Er, hello? Have you been on Mars for the last two years?
    At some point playtime will be over and it's back to the classroom for double Latin.
  • ydoethur
    ydoethur Posts: 74,263

    ydoethur said:

    CD13 said:

    Mr Pulpstar,

    "On North Korea I think Kim Jong In .might be working out Trump is all mouth and no trousers."

    As I've said before, the correct expression (from the 1950s) is all mouth AND trousers.

    An authoritarian tone and trousers represents manhood. The correct phrase is saying the person has the trappings of authority only. He's shouty man but that's all.

    People confuse it with "Fur coat and no knickers." which is completely different.

    I think it gets muddled with 'all hat and no cattle,' which is what I think was meant - all show with no substance
    If we are on to what Trump is wearing, then this:

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/08/29/melania-donald-trump-ridiculed-bizarre-hurricane-harvey-outfits/
    FFS.

    Every time you think he's reached rock bottom, he gets out the jackhammers and goes lower.

    Why didn't the stupid bugger think to put on waders and a high-vis jacket if he wanted to stay with his 'man of the people' schtick?

    I'm not going to comment on Mrs Trump's clothing because I really don't believe it's relevant or fair to criticise someone via a spouse, but his just looks moronic.
  • Ishmael_Z
    Ishmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    Nigelb said:

    The solution proposed is utterly impractical, but the problem of increasingly powerful monopolies is a real one.
    The solution isn't just impractical, it exacerbates the problem by a factor of about a million. Imagine a Corbynite Stasi getting its hands on that lot and trawling the data for evidence of thoughtcrime. Contrariwise, if you did nationalise them they would become so uncool they would be abandoned overnight, so you would have to nationalise or ban any competitors which sprang up in their place.
  • tlg86
    tlg86 Posts: 26,950
    rkrkrk said:

    tlg86 said:

    This is the letter send by Arron Banks to constituents in Runnymede urging people to join the Conservative party and deselect Philip Hammond.

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DIay8jyUQAAnUgs.jpg
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DIazCbuUEAAQRev.jpg

    It says "such an action was used successfully in 1997." Who was deselected?
    I think the constituency was created in 1997 - so perhaps the letter is conflating deselection of a sitting MP, with combination of constituencies.

    Wiki says Sir Michael Grylls (Bear Grylls dad) and Sir Geoffrey Pattie both retired in 1997 - they held the two constituencies related to Weybridge & Runnymede.
    I see, thanks. I thought the letter was implying that somewhere in 1997 this tactic had been used before. I guess it hasn't. I can't see too many people from Runnymede joining the Tories just to do that.
  • malcolmg
    malcolmg Posts: 44,523

    malcolmg said:

    Totally and utterly O/t.... dunno, is it .... lack of planning and forethought comes into it, .......but in the Guardian today Tim Dowling is complaining that he’s yet to find a parking meter which will take the new £1 coins
    (https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/aug/30/cynical-leave-campaign-bet-against-brexit-ac-grayling)

    Nor, incidentally, do they work in supermarket trolleys!

    They work in Sainsbury's and M&S in Scotland
    An M&S where you have to put in a pound for a trolley?!?
    Yes, both in my area , out of town shopping so all trolleys outside unlike shops in town centres
  • stevef
    stevef Posts: 1,044
    Thornberry is an ambitious woman who is not on the Corbynista hard left. She would drag Labour back into the mainstream I suspect after Corbyn has lost a fourth general election for Labour in a row.
  • DavidL
    DavidL Posts: 55,867
    Essexit said:

    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:

    DavidL said:

    Surprised about Kezia. There are clear signs that Labour are on the way back in Scotland and she deserves most of the credit. Given the very lukewarm thanks from Corbyn I suspect that there have been even more disagreements behind the scenes than there have been in public.

    The cupboard is pretty bare in SLAB. It would not be good for Unionism for Labour to slip back again. They can take votes off the SNP that Ruth could never get near.

    The consensus view seems to be if Labour tack left (which appears inevitable) that is bad news for Nicola and great news for Ruth.
    Rebranding the party as the Unionist party is the way forward.
    Sounds good to me - but not too Northern Irish? (Who of course shouldn't have a monopoly on unionism)
    Scottish Unionist Party?
    If imitation is the sincerest form of flattery the SNP should love it.
    Why not just switch the words around - The Unionist and Conservative Party?
    There are a depressingly large number of otherwise sane Scots who will never vote for a party called Conservative. It's crazy but it's a fact.
  • malcolmg
    malcolmg Posts: 44,523
    Scott_P said:

    @PeterMannionMP: Coming up, full answer to that fiendish pub quiz question 'Name all the Leaders of Scottish Labour since devolution in 1999' #keziadugdale

    take you an hour to get through the list
  • Sandpit
    Sandpit Posts: 56,045
    Police Federation call for Notting Hill Carnival to be banned after 31 officers injured at the weekend.
    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4834910/Police-call-Notting-Hill-Carnival-banned.html
  • CD13
    CD13 Posts: 6,386
    edited August 2017
    Mr Ydoethur,

    All show and no substance is indeed the meaning. When I were t'lad, it was usually said by women of a shouty man. i.e. he thinks being a man and shouting is enough to be right.

    Saying all mouth and no trousers suggests that having trousers is good i.e. being a man validates the speaker.

    That may be true, but I doubt that's what they intend to say
  • malcolmg
    malcolmg Posts: 44,523
    Scott_P said:

    DavidL said:

    Ruth won seats because Labour was taking votes from the SNP. If Labour fall back the SNP will be stronger. Even in Scotland there is plenty of room on the centre left and it can't be left to Nicola.

    This is the Mhairi Black argument

    She claims she joined the SNP because Labour had abandoned her brand of socialism

    If Nicola has to tack left to keep seats from Labour, that opens up the ground for Ruth.
    Is she still alive, not been seen for a month at least. Too busy readmitting all the racists and homophobes to the party no doubt.
  • Sandpit
    Sandpit Posts: 56,045

    ydoethur said:

    CD13 said:

    Mr Pulpstar,

    "On North Korea I think Kim Jong In .might be working out Trump is all mouth and no trousers."

    As I've said before, the correct expression (from the 1950s) is all mouth AND trousers.

    An authoritarian tone and trousers represents manhood. The correct phrase is saying the person has the trappings of authority only. He's shouty man but that's all.

    People confuse it with "Fur coat and no knickers." which is completely different.

    I think it gets muddled with 'all hat and no cattle,' which is what I think was meant - all show with no substance
    If we are on to what Trump is wearing, then this:

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/08/29/melania-donald-trump-ridiculed-bizarre-hurricane-harvey-outfits/
    There’s almost nothing worse for the people on the ground after a disaster, than having to accommodate some bloody politician (and his entourage) who wants to be seen to be there.
  • malcolmg
    malcolmg Posts: 44,523
    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:

    DavidL said:

    Surprised about Kezia. There are clear signs that Labour are on the way back in Scotland and she deserves most of the credit. Given the very lukewarm thanks from Corbyn I suspect that there have been even more disagreements behind the scenes than there have been in public.

    The cupboard is pretty bare in SLAB. It would not be good for Unionism for Labour to slip back again. They can take votes off the SNP that Ruth could never get near.

    The consensus view seems to be if Labour tack left (which appears inevitable) that is bad news for Nicola and great news for Ruth.
    I think that is optimistic. Ruth won seats because Labour was taking votes from the SNP. If Labour fall back the SNP will be stronger. Even in Scotland there is plenty of room on the centre left and it can't be left to Nicola.

    Ruth needs to keep tacking to the centre too. It is odd how little we have heard of the Scottish party going it alone since the election. If Ruth really wants to be First Minister it is a no brainier. Rebranding the party as the Unionist party is the way forward.
    David, her bubble has burst well and truly. She has been in hiding as she cannot take tough questions. Tories have too many racists, homophobes and sectarians involved to get anywhere. Stable needs cleared out and given Ruthie filled it , I do not see it happening soon. More likely she will bolt for Westminster as she has nowhere to go in Scotland now but down.
  • Morris_Dancer
    Morris_Dancer Posts: 62,742
    Mr. Sandpit, and yet, not a word of that during the news reports.
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:

    DavidL said:

    Surprised about Kezia. There are clear signs that Labour are on the way back in Scotland and she deserves most of the credit. Given the very lukewarm thanks from Corbyn I suspect that there have been even more disagreements behind the scenes than there have been in public.

    The cupboard is pretty bare in SLAB. It would not be good for Unionism for Labour to slip back again. They can take votes off the SNP that Ruth could never get near.

    The consensus view seems to be if Labour tack left (which appears inevitable) that is bad news for Nicola and great news for Ruth.
    I think that is optimistic. Ruth won seats because Labour was taking votes from the SNP. If Labour fall back the SNP will be stronger. Even in Scotland there is plenty of room on the centre left and it can't be left to Nicola.

    Ruth needs to keep tacking to the centre too. It is odd how little we have heard of the Scottish party going it alone since the election. If Ruth really wants to be First Minister it is a no brainier. Rebranding the party as the Unionist party is the way forward.
    While the Tories can take rural and suburban seats off the SNP only a left-wing Labour Party can retake SNP seats in Glasgow and Dundee and the central belt, thus the two leave the SNP squeezed
  • Sandpit
    Sandpit Posts: 56,045
    Scott_P said:

    @PeterMannionMP: Coming up, full answer to that fiendish pub quiz question 'Name all the Leaders of Scottish Labour since devolution in 1999' #keziadugdale

    Donald Dewar

    Err
    Umm
    Ooh

    Kezia.
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    malcolmg said:

    Is she still alive, not been seen for a month at least. Too busy readmitting all the racists and homophobes to the party no doubt.

    She was out and about yesterday, Malky

    https://twitter.com/nicolasturgeon/status/902289985474265089
  • 619
    619 Posts: 1,784
    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    CD13 said:

    Mr Pulpstar,

    "On North Korea I think Kim Jong In .might be working out Trump is all mouth and no trousers."

    As I've said before, the correct expression (from the 1950s) is all mouth AND trousers.

    An authoritarian tone and trousers represents manhood. The correct phrase is saying the person has the trappings of authority only. He's shouty man but that's all.

    People confuse it with "Fur coat and no knickers." which is completely different.

    I think it gets muddled with 'all hat and no cattle,' which is what I think was meant - all show with no substance
    If we are on to what Trump is wearing, then this:

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/08/29/melania-donald-trump-ridiculed-bizarre-hurricane-harvey-outfits/
    There’s almost nothing worse for the people on the ground after a disaster, than having to accommodate some bloody politician (and his entourage) who wants to be seen to be there.
    Or a speech at an evacuation centre were he says how big the crowd is
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    rkrkrk said:

    This is the letter send by Arron Banks to constituents in Runnymede urging people to join the Conservative party and deselect Philip Hammond.

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DIay8jyUQAAnUgs.jpg
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DIazCbuUEAAQRev.jpg

    Banks is going to have to write a lot more letters - I'd imagine most Tory MPs back a transition period. Will be interesting to see if this gains momentum.

    Certainly won't help unite the Conservative party.
    With Momentum potentially deselecting Blairite Labour MPs and hard-core Leavers potentially deselecting Tory Europhile MPs could get interesting
  • Sandpit said:

    Police Federation call for Notting Hill Carnival to be banned after 31 officers injured at the weekend.
    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4834910/Police-call-Notting-Hill-Carnival-banned.html

    Coming to the guardian tomorrow...It's cos the met police are a load of racists.
  • DavidL
    DavidL Posts: 55,867
    HYUFD said:

    DavidL said:

    Scott_P said:

    DavidL said:

    Surprised about Kezia. There are clear signs that Labour are on the way back in Scotland and she deserves most of the credit. Given the very lukewarm thanks from Corbyn I suspect that there have been even more disagreements behind the scenes than there have been in public.

    The cupboard is pretty bare in SLAB. It would not be good for Unionism for Labour to slip back again. They can take votes off the SNP that Ruth could never get near.

    The consensus view seems to be if Labour tack left (which appears inevitable) that is bad news for Nicola and great news for Ruth.
    I think that is optimistic. Ruth won seats because Labour was taking votes from the SNP. If Labour fall back the SNP will be stronger. Even in Scotland there is plenty of room on the centre left and it can't be left to Nicola.

    Ruth needs to keep tacking to the centre too. It is odd how little we have heard of the Scottish party going it alone since the election. If Ruth really wants to be First Minister it is a no brainier. Rebranding the party as the Unionist party is the way forward.
    While the Tories can take rural and suburban seats off the SNP only a left-wing Labour Party can retake SNP seats in Glasgow and Dundee and the central belt, thus the two leave the SNP squeezed
    That was my point. I think we are in agreement. Unionism needs both strands (and the Lib Dems for the not entirely serious). Labour do not need to fall into internal wrangling again.
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    stevef said:

    Thornberry is an ambitious woman who is not on the Corbynista hard left. She would drag Labour back into the mainstream I suspect after Corbyn has lost a fourth general election for Labour in a row.

    Thornberry is a close ally of Corbyn, only an Umunna or Cooper or Khan could move Labour back to the centre
  • Ishmael_Z
    Ishmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    CD13 said:

    Mr Pulpstar,

    "On North Korea I think Kim Jong In .might be working out Trump is all mouth and no trousers."

    As I've said before, the correct expression (from the 1950s) is all mouth AND trousers.

    An authoritarian tone and trousers represents manhood. The correct phrase is saying the person has the trappings of authority only. He's shouty man but that's all.

    People confuse it with "Fur coat and no knickers." which is completely different.

    I think it gets muddled with 'all hat and no cattle,' which is what I think was meant - all show with no substance
    If we are on to what Trump is wearing, then this:

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/08/29/melania-donald-trump-ridiculed-bizarre-hurricane-harvey-outfits/
    FFS.

    Every time you think he's reached rock bottom, he gets out the jackhammers and goes lower.

    Why didn't the stupid bugger think to put on waders and a high-vis jacket if he wanted to stay with his 'man of the people' schtick?

    I'm not going to comment on Mrs Trump's clothing because I really don't believe it's relevant or fair to criticise someone via a spouse, but his just looks moronic.
    FFS to you. The man has made the correct decisions of being there, and being far enough away from the epicentre of there that he is not interfering with operations. He is dressed appropriately for the weather as it is in the photograph - there is no point in wearing waterproofs because it rained heavily three days ago. I hardly ever wear stilettos so can't comment on Melania's decision to don them, but I am fairly confident that not far off camera there are vehicles full of alternative stuff for her or Trump to change into as appropriate. As for hi-vis jackets, he has perhaps seen photographs of wee Georgie Osborne in his march-of-the-makers factory visit outfit, and concluded accurately that it makes him look a complete and utter chump.

    What this story really shows is what an irrelevant asswipe the telegraph has turned into. It isn't actually a story at all, it is a rehash of twitter. Why do they expect people to pay them a subscription when you can go to their source for free?
  • DavidL
    DavidL Posts: 55,867
    Scott_P said:

    malcolmg said:

    Is she still alive, not been seen for a month at least. Too busy readmitting all the racists and homophobes to the party no doubt.

    She was out and about yesterday, Malky

    https://twitter.com/nicolasturgeon/status/902289985474265089
    I am just waiting to get off the ferry at Newcastle and then will be driving north crossing it for the first time. Looking forward to it.
  • rkrkrk
    rkrkrk Posts: 8,746
    HYUFD said:

    rkrkrk said:

    This is the letter send by Arron Banks to constituents in Runnymede urging people to join the Conservative party and deselect Philip Hammond.

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DIay8jyUQAAnUgs.jpg
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DIazCbuUEAAQRev.jpg

    Banks is going to have to write a lot more letters - I'd imagine most Tory MPs back a transition period. Will be interesting to see if this gains momentum.

    Certainly won't help unite the Conservative party.
    With Momentum potentially deselecting Blairite Labour MPs and hard-core Leavers potentially deselecting Tory Europhile MPs could get interesting
    I think neither will occur in reality.
This discussion has been closed.