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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Memories of Thatcher could make it harder for Tories to win

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  • TSE, I'm in your neck of the woods November 15th for Depeche. I was going to ask you for a recommendation for a cheapish hotel near the MEN, but a quick google throws up a plethora of suitable rooms.
    I'm going to that gig as well.

    Near to the MEN I'd recommend the Crowne Plaza.

    About 15 mins walk away I'd recommend the Ibis on Portland Street if you want cheap and good.

    There's a premier inn on Portland street as well.

    And a Novotel next door on Dickinson street.
  • eekeek Posts: 27,939
    edited April 2013
    JohnLoony said:


    Either there is something very basic and fundamental which I have completely missed or misunderstood, or there is something basic and fundamental which other people have missed or misunderstood.

    You make the assumption that they bother to read the byelection rules (they haven't) and they assume South Shields has local elections this year (it doesn't).

    Its easy to work out why the articles are wrong when you remember that journalists don't have time to research facts nowadays.
  • AveryLPAveryLP Posts: 7,815
    edited April 2013
    tim said:

    @DavidHerdson

    And I guess some people will have bought more than one extra newspaper as well.

    tim

    People are huddling together in the public parks, standing or sitting in small silent groups and sharing their newspaper copies. The front pages of the Daily Mail and Telegraph are being clasped to their breasts.

    I haven't seen anything like it since the first week of September 1997.

    The country's heart is bleeding.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 121,974
    Thatcher won big majorities while winning barely any seats in big urban areas in the north. What she DID win was suburban northern marginals like Tynemouth and Bury, and it is there the Tories need to win to get a majority!
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 121,974
    AnotherRichard - Realistically, the Tories will win in 2015 by holding their 2010 gains and adding LD seats which Thatcher comfortably won!
  • JohnLoonyJohnLoony Posts: 1,790

    I predict I'm in Love with Margharet Thatcher to be in tomorrow's daily itunes top 10.

    N.B. There is no H in "Margaret", just in case you hadn't realised
  • AveryLPAveryLP Posts: 7,815
    JohnLoony said:

    I predict I'm in Love with Margharet Thatcher to be in tomorrow's daily itunes top 10.

    N.B. There is no H in "Margaret", just in case you hadn't realised
    JonLoony

    Are you saying she dropped the "h" after becoming a member of the Conservative Party?
  • TSE, I'm in your neck of the woods November 15th for Depeche. I was going to ask you for a recommendation for a cheapish hotel near the MEN, but a quick google throws up a plethora of suitable rooms.
    I'm going to that gig as well.

    Near to the MEN I'd recommend the Crowne Plaza.

    About 15 mins walk away I'd recommend the Ibis on Portland Street if you want cheap and good.

    There's a premier inn on Portland street as well.

    And a Novotel next door on Dickinson street.
    The Ibis costs 60 quid on their website.....I can book it from TriVaGo for 21 quid!

  • TSE, I'm in your neck of the woods November 15th for Depeche. I was going to ask you for a recommendation for a cheapish hotel near the MEN, but a quick google throws up a plethora of suitable rooms.
    I'm going to that gig as well.

    Near to the MEN I'd recommend the Crowne Plaza.

    About 15 mins walk away I'd recommend the Ibis on Portland Street if you want cheap and good.

    There's a premier inn on Portland street as well.

    And a Novotel next door on Dickinson street.
    The Ibis costs 60 quid on their website.....I can book it from TriVaGo for 21 quid!

    Just make sure it is the one on Portland Street and not Charles Street.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    RT @make_trouble: So the left's protest song is raising dosh for a wealthy global corporation and the right's song is helping out some old punks. Hilarious.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    My favourite Morrissey lyric

    "I was looking for a job, then I found a job, & heaven knows I'm miserable now"
  • Life was so much simpler when my friends and I got Rage Against the Machine to number 1.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,188
    edited April 2013
    Can we give the Telegraph an award for this headline on their sports section

    Chelsea set for European brush with Basle

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    LOL

    RT @jason_manc: Hope @glendajacksonmp, @georgegalloway & @OwenJones84 enjoy their gift copies of #iminlovewithmargaretthatcher from people on the FB group
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    Thatcher fans in push for "I'm in Love With Margaret Thatcher" to Number One in the UK Charts

    http://www.thecommentator.com/article/3233/thatcher_fans_in_push_for_i_m_in_love_with_margaret_thatcher_to_number_one_in_the_uk_charts
  • Sally Bercow faces first high court hearing in Twitter libel battle

    Commons speaker's wife sued by Lord McAlpine over allegedly defamatory tweet wrongly linking him to child sex abuse

    http://www.guardian.co.uk/media/2013/apr/12/sally-bercow-twitter-libel-battle
  • Sally Bercow faces first high court hearing in Twitter libel battle

    Commons speaker's wife sued by Lord McAlpine over allegedly defamatory tweet wrongly linking him to child sex abuse

    http://www.guardian.co.uk/media/2013/apr/12/sally-bercow-twitter-libel-battle

    Cameron's view on Twitter was spot on.

  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    Why has everybody got it in for Labour's rising star Chuka Umunna?

    Wikipedia rewrites, nightclub snobbery – it’s been a tough run for the MP. So why has it hit now?

    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/why-has-everybody-got-it-in-for-labours-rising-star-chuka-umunna-8570579.html

    The left come out fighting for they mirror,mirror on the wall barrack,next they be saying it's racism.


  • Why has everybody got it in for Labour's rising star Chuka Umunna?

    Wikipedia rewrites, nightclub snobbery – it’s been a tough run for the MP. So why has it hit now?

    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/why-has-everybody-got-it-in-for-labours-rising-star-chuka-umunna-8570579.html

    The left come out fighting for they mirror,mirror on the wall barrack,next they be saying it's racism.


    Pre-empting punishment beating before a Shadow Cabinet reshuffle?
  • AveryLPAveryLP Posts: 7,815
    edited April 2013
    tim said:

    @Tykejohnno.

    They think Shapps/Green is behind it?

    That would imply a level of competence on his part previously unimagined.

    No, tim.

    The Indie speculates on a full range of sources from Shapps to the Tory Press, but manages in the process to cover every allegation in full.

    It is all part of the Indie using the methods of tabloid journalists whilst still trying to pretend it remains a broadsheet.

    Perhaps Umunna is behind the stories?

    It would be a clever way of getting yourself noticed just before the funeral invitations are sent out. If the real Obama can't attend why not the British version?

  • john_zimsjohn_zims Posts: 3,399
    @Tim

    'Although the knowledge of Internet aliases can't be denied'

    Chuka Harrison / Umuna has mastered it well.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    What a lovely gesture

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2308142/War-veteran-given-heros-send-hundreds-strangers-turn-funeral-following-email-care-home.html?ITO=1490&ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490

    A war veteran who died with just a handful of relatives to mourn him has been given a hero's funeral after a care home manager sent out a hopeful email which went global.

    About 500 people attended the funeral today of ex-Royal Marine Albert Vaughan who died on his 89th birthday at a Staffordshire nursing home last month.

    Standard bearers and members of the public lined the streets as Mr Vaughan's coffin was taken to St Editha's Church, in Tamworth.

    It comes after staff at Marmion Nursing Home in the town said they only knew a handful of relatives who could attend - so manager Chris Homer sent a speculative email to the National Ex-Services Association explaining what had happened.

    Within hours people across the planet had responded - from as far away as Australia, India and Dubai.

    Mr Vaughan had spent the last 21 years of his life at the nursing home and died of pneumonia just two hours after his birthday.

  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    @Tykojonno - lovely sympathetic piece by the Indy - repeating most of the allegations (tho they haven't got to his convicted councillor friend yet) - but when it comes to cui bono? why look outside Labour's ranks? Who'd have the balls for a campaign like this?
  • The main piece isn't up yet, but Nate Silver is writing in tomorrow's times, saying Cameron won't win the 2015 General election.
  • nigel4englandnigel4england Posts: 4,800
    tim said:

    I have concluded a precursorsy enquiry and found Oliver Letwin is definitely not involved in the attempt to get the story about Umunna into the papers.
    I know this because the story about Umunna is in the papers.

    tim said:

    I have concluded a precursorsy enquiry and found Oliver Letwin is definitely not involved in the attempt to get the story about Umunna into the papers.
    I know this because the story about Umunna is in the papers.

    All very well sneering and smearing but are you ever going to answer my question.

    Are you too thick or not man enough?

  • JohnOJohnO Posts: 4,286
    @ Nigel - what question was that?
  • TwistedFireStopperTwistedFireStopper Posts: 2,538
    edited April 2013
    Bugger,
    Since my decision to never vote Conservative or Labour ever again, I've just checked my possibilities for the locals, and it appears I have a choice of Con, Lab, Lib Dem and BNP!
  • anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746

    The main piece isn't up yet, but Nate Silver is writing in tomorrow's times, saying Cameron won't win the 2015 General election.

    How could he? He's not a member of UKIP!

  • JohnLoonyJohnLoony Posts: 1,790
    The talent-spotting department of WAAAAGH has been researching Michael Thatcher, but he seems to have drifted slightly from "hunky" to "geeky" in recent years. Compare and contrast:

    http://oi49.tinypic.com/x2o195.jpg
  • AveryLPAveryLP Posts: 7,815
    a Kings Fund report on how the NHS is under managed

    A pitch by quangocrats for additional expenditure on more bureaucrats.
  • nigel4englandnigel4england Posts: 4,800
    tim said:

    @JohnO

    He wants me to comment on how the NHS in Wales is doing.
    Which I did on many occasions during the debates over Lansleys reorganisation, it's all there in a Kings Fund report on how the NHS is under managed , perhaps Seths cousin can dig out the archive.

    Nigel is sadly not bright enough to bother with, hopefully he'll improve his input to a level that is worth bothering with but I feel that to reply now would be to stunt any potential growth.

    Every time you slate Gove or the NHS I remind you how piss poor education and the NHS are currently under Labour in Wales. You are not honest enough to admit the truth. Your input is nothing but lies, smearing and sneering.

    I don't profess to be bright, but I am honest, truthful and not pathetically tribal.

    I actually feel sorry for sad people like you, so desperate to toe the party line that not a single original thought enters your head.

    And you accuse me of not being bright?


  • MrsBMrsB Posts: 574
    Think as a good Lib Dem I should try and organise a mass download of Coldplay's Yellow.

    As for South Shields, almost anything would be more interesting. Has SeanT got any more photos of his hols he could entertain us with?
  • AveryLPAveryLP Posts: 7,815
    edited April 2013
    tim said:

    @Avery

    Its a great counterintuitive that politicians claim success by reducing management in the NHS.
    Compared to the budget it's ridiculously undermanaged.

    You are the politician, tim.

    Spending more on "doctors and nurses" is irrefutable as a policy.

    The reality is far more complex.
  • volcanopetevolcanopete Posts: 2,078
    On Labour's Virtual Phone Bank.Good response but by luck I contacted the brother of one of my old patients;He informed me his brother died aged 48 and that the benefit changes were driving him mad again and his carer,his mum,was also going mad.
    These benefit changes are starting to really hurt people and I am grateful for my NHS treatment which enabled me to join with DPAC and protest at Atos office in Norwich every month.Bit wet today but good response from the public,except one shout from a car window of "cunts"which made me feel even more like I was doing the right thing-there is a lot of hate out there directed at disabled people.This is completely engineered by the British Establishment.They could not give ATOSs.
    Bedroom Tax protest in the city centre tomorrow.This TAX must be AXED.
    This retirement thing could catch on.
  • MrsBMrsB Posts: 574
    I'm confused. Why are the comments on this site on GMT?
  • AveryLPAveryLP Posts: 7,815
    edited April 2013
    tim said:

    Miliband showed what a cool bastard in a difficult situation he can be

    But then he ruined all the hard work and clever positioning by getting petulant and defensive over being told off by Tony.

    It is more than the set piece he needs to master.

  • Y0kelY0kel Posts: 2,307
    Korea:

    Reportedly the North Koreans have told Japan they'll be the first to be hit in a nuclear strike.

    This of course assumes that the North Koreans have successfully weaponised a nuclear device on a missile, which is open to dispute.

    You have to hand it to the regime of the Kims, they know how to act the head case and have the world jumping in response. Its when they start to forget its an act that you'll really have to worry. Its this thats worrying many.

    The one unknown question is why the Chinese have significantly stepped up its forces on the North Korean border in the last 10 days. Political statement (and to who?), practical purpose or a bit of both? This remains inscrutable as many a Chinese politician. If you believe Western commentators the Chinese are deeply frustrated by the North Koreans but the Kims also represent the cold war Asian version of Cuba with a lot (but not all) strings leading to Beijing..but with a lot more threat.

    Whatever the real Chinese position they are getting a lot of useful information on many levels right now watching how its opponents in the region are reacting.
  • john_zimsjohn_zims Posts: 3,399
    @Tim

    Instead people suffer more damage from strokes and heart attacks on the 30 mile journey to the nearest A&E..
  • MrsBMrsB Posts: 574
    @tim
    Oh no, as a Lib Dem, have to uphold the HRA.

    I will just have to turn to my trusty Liberator song book and see what I can find there.... "The Land" is always popular at the Glee Club..... I even found it on line, amazingly....
    http://www.historyworkshop.org.uk/the-land-song/
  • john_zimsjohn_zims Posts: 3,399
    @Tim

    When have you ever let facts get in the way?
  • john_zims said:

    @Tim

    Instead people suffer more damage from strokes and heart attacks on the 30 mile journey to the nearest A&E..

    In my experience, trauma,stroke or cardiac arrest victims need two things. Oxygen and diesel.
    Oxygen for the obvious, and diesel for the ambulance to get them ASAP to the nearest, suitably equipped care centre- and that's not always the nearest A&E.

  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,531
    MrsB said:

    I'm confused. Why are the comments on this site on GMT?

    It's showing BST on my machine.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,139
    Y0kel said:

    Korea:

    Reportedly the North Koreans have told Japan they'll be the first to be hit in a nuclear strike.

    This of course assumes that the North Koreans have successfully weaponised a nuclear device on a missile, which is open to dispute.

    You have to hand it to the regime of the Kims, they know how to act the head case and have the world jumping in response. Its when they start to forget its an act that you'll really have to worry. Its this thats worrying many.

    The one unknown question is why the Chinese have significantly stepped up its forces on the North Korean border in the last 10 days. Political statement (and to who?), practical purpose or a bit of both? This remains inscrutable as many a Chinese politician. If you believe Western commentators the Chinese are deeply frustrated by the North Koreans but the Kims also represent the cold war Asian version of Cuba with a lot (but not all) strings leading to Beijing..but with a lot more threat.

    Whatever the real Chinese position they are getting a lot of useful information on many levels right now watching how its opponents in the region are reacting.

    A question for the knowledgeable from the ignorant: it is apparently exceptionally difficult to create a nuclear weapon package that can fit on a missile - size, weight, and resilience are massive problems. Would not an easier attack be by transferring a weapon onto a ship, and taking it into a port - the soft underbelly? It would not even need to be offloaded.

    The only advantages I can think of for missile delivery is that it would be an air rather than ground blast, meaning there would be more blast damage and (I think) less fallout. Secondly, a ship-based operation would require much time and planning in advance, whereas a missile can be launched either instantly or in a number of hours, depending on the type.

    So why go to the bother and expense of missile delivery?
  • Y0kel said:

    Korea:


    So why go to the bother and expense of missile delivery?

    I guess a missile is a status symbol for the lad with the bad haircut. A dirty bomb wouldn't bring him any kudos.

  • john_zimsjohn_zims Posts: 3,399
    @TwistedFireStopper

    'Oxygen for the obvious, and diesel for the ambulance to get them ASAP to the nearest, suitably equipped care centre- and that's not always the nearest A&E'

    Spot on.

    'Statistics show East of England Ambulance Service has missed targets for getting sufferers to stroke units for four consecutive months this year.
    The service aims to transport 62% of patients to specialist units within an hour of a stroke but, on average, achieved just 49.3% from January to July.
    Unfortunately, there is little that can be done regarding the effect of geography on transport times, with sometimes extended journey times to hospital in rural parts or where local district general hospitals have to be bypassed in preference for specialist centres further away.”
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,471
    There is something particularly evil about focussing a nuclear threat on Japan. There are pensioners in Japan who know the full horror of what that means.
  • New Thread
  • nigel4englandnigel4england Posts: 4,800
    tim said:

    @JohnZims

    I suggest you read the facts regarding that moronic statement.
    Start with stroke damage and regional specialist centres compared to local A&E's, I doubt you will but try.

    tim said:

    @JohnZims

    I suggest you read the facts regarding that moronic statement.
    Start with stroke damage and regional specialist centres compared to local A&E's, I doubt you will but try.

    There you go again, attacking people.

    Why are too gutless to answer my question?

    Just how pathetic are you?
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,139
    Jonathan said:

    There is something particularly evil about focussing a nuclear threat on Japan. There are pensioners in Japan who know the full horror of what that means.

    There is something particularly evil about kidnapping ordinary foreign citizens and keeping them in a state that even their families have no idea what happened to them for decades. There were at least 17; it is probable that there were many more kidnapped, and that many died in NK.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Korean_abductions_of_Japanese_citizens

    (As I write this, I find myself unnerved about the similarities between this and some of the renditions we are accused of having been part of. They are not the same, but it is unnerving nonetheless)
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 121,974
    John Looney - He seems to have morphed from High School Football star to Clark Kent
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,463
    HYUFD said:

    AnotherRichard - Realistically, the Tories will win in 2015 by holding their 2010 gains and adding LD seats which Thatcher comfortably won!

    They're not going to do either in 2015.

    To their benefit as the Eds will instead have to eat the sh1t sandwich.

    So they need to look at what they'll need to gain in 2020.

    And hoping for a more successful rerun of 2010 will not be the right answer.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 121,974
    AnotherRichard - That is what they will have to do to win, there are still 2 years to go and they failed to win in 2010 because of Clegg's strength!
This discussion has been closed.