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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Even though it is fighting fewer seats and had no MPs the BBC

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  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    edited May 2017

    F1: more or less done the blog, just prevaricating over a bet. The agony of choice!

    I've already put my money on the table.

    As always I'm looking forward to your thoughts on your blog and seeing if we're on the same page.

    Edit: I see you published at the same time as my comment. Let's take a look! :)
  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,097
    So, that Labour figure. Find 32% still hard to believe when Corbyns ratings are so dire. Maybe the fact people don't expect him or Labour to win.

    Just feels..wrong.
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    edited May 2017
    re: Wales - Yougov were close to accurate at the last election.

    re: Lib Dems - where will they go? On Opinium's best leader choice they break 2:1 for May over Corbyn, so if they move.....

    re: Labour's 32 - they are miles behind among 35+ and Opinium have substantially upweighted young blue collar workers because they presumably don't have many signed up to respond to political polls. It's a very dubious number because these voters are hard to reach. The Tories and Labour are close to level among young professionals.

    The idea that young white van man is voting Corbyn is hysterical.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,165

    So, that Labour figure. Find 32% still hard to believe when Corbyns ratings are so dire. Maybe the fact people don't expect him or Labour to win.

    Just feels..wrong.

    Yep, feels wrong to me too. Very wrong. This is all very odd.
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    ComRes‏ @ComRes 2m2 minutes ago

    Latest ComRes poll for Sunday Mirror / Independent - Conservatives lead Labour by 18 points - 48% to 30% http://bit.ly/2r46nYA
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,442

    New Thread

  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,165
    chestnut said:

    re: Wales - Yougov were close to accurate at the last election.

    re: Lib Dems - where will they go? On Opinium's best leader choice they break 2:1 for May over Corbyn, so if they move.....

    re: Labour's 32 - they are miles behind among 35+ and Opinium have substantially upweighted young blue collar workers because they presumably don't have many signed up to respond to political polls. It's a very dubious number because these voters are hard to reach.

    "young blue collar workers"

    Who probably don't vote. Guardian interviewed a couple yesterday iirc. They didn't even know name of the PM. Although one thought it was a woman.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,435
    edited May 2017
    surbiton said:

    Even from that poll, only 3 weeks back, if you add the Tory and UKIP share, it comes to 36%. How on earth, the Tories will get 40% beats me. Where were these people on the 4th of May ?
    Voting for Independents - as tends to be the case in Welsh local elections.

    Edit: Already explained.
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Britain Elects‏ @britainelects 2m2 minutes ago

    Westminster voting intention:

    CON: 48% (-2)
    LAB: 30% (+5)
    LDEM: 10% (-2)
    UKIP: 5% (-2)
    GRN: 3% (-)

    (via @ComRes)
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,317
    marke09 said:

    Britain Elects‏ @britainelects 2m2 minutes ago

    Westminster voting intention:

    CON: 48% (-2)
    LAB: 30% (+5)
    LDEM: 10% (-2)
    UKIP: 5% (-2)
    GRN: 3% (-)

    (via @ComRes)

    The magic money tree in action!
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    RobD said:

    The magic money tree in action!
    Brilliant isn't it.
  • He should just tell the truth. The monarchy is an outdated relic, but there is no intention to abolish it.
    Much like the Labour party?
This discussion has been closed.