politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Welcome to Article 50 day as the UK steps into the unknown

She must be confident this image will date well. pic.twitter.com/gnKuIcoHjO
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First like Farron0
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Second like remain.0
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Will the last nation to leave the UK please turn out the lights.0
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Today is like if after the Battle of Zama The Romans decided to salt their own lands.0
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Well, we have 730 days to sort out the mess that the vote has left us. And it is not, as some claim, just up to leavers; it is up to all of us, whether we voted leave, remain, or just stayed at home.
Remainers throwing their/our toys out of the pram will not help the UK succeed; likewise leavers sitting back and slapping themselves on the back. Our country has chosen a slightly harder course, and one where the rewards and hazards are greater. We all need to make it work.
And congratulations to all the hardcore leavers; I hope the saner amongst you get what you want.0 -
Good morning, everyone.
Oh noes! The French media might not be pro-British! Zut alors!0 -
I think this day says a lot about us as a democracy. It isn't what the establishment wanted at all, yet here we are. Something to be proud of.0
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Charles is as establishment as it gets, and he wanted it.Gallowgate said:I think this day says a lot about us as a democracy. It isn't what the establishment wanted at all, yet here we are. Something to be proud of.
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Sad day.0
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Just a reminder that PBers can meet for drinks, celebrate or commiserate on this auspicious day at Truckles of Pied Bull Yard, 6pm this evening.
Area booking should reference 'Mr Mortimer of PB'.
Hope to see many of you there!0 -
Bliss was it then to be alive!0
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We are leaving the most civilised and civilising club of 28 unique countries and 500,000,000 people to satisfy the xenophbic desires of petty nationalists and right wing zealots.
This is no time for rejoicing.0 -
Sensible.JosiasJessop said:Well, we have 730 days to sort out the mess that the vote has left us. And it is not, as some claim, just up to leavers; it is up to all of us, whether we voted leave, remain, or just stayed at home.
Remainers throwing their/our toys out of the pram will not help the UK succeed; likewise leavers sitting back and slapping themselves on the back. Our country has chosen a slightly harder course, and one where the rewards and hazards are greater. We all need to make it work.
And congratulations to all the hardcore leavers; I hope the saner amongst you get what you want.
And thanks Puplstar for that thumbnail0 -
Sadly I fear the less sane will have the better chance.JosiasJessop said:Well, we have 730 days to sort out the mess that the vote has left us. And it is not, as some claim, just up to leavers; it is up to all of us, whether we voted leave, remain, or just stayed at home.
Remainers throwing their/our toys out of the pram will not help the UK succeed; likewise leavers sitting back and slapping themselves on the back. Our country has chosen a slightly harder course, and one where the rewards and hazards are greater. We all need to make it work.
And congratulations to all the hardcore leavers; I hope the saner amongst you get what you want.0 -
FPT
The Left Wing Case for BrexitRoger said:We are leaving the most civilised and civilising club of 28 unique countries and 500,000,000 people to satisfy the xenophbic desires of some petty nationalists and right wing zealots.
This is no time for rejoicing.
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/28/opinion/why-brexit-is-best-for-britain-the-left-wing-case.html?_r=0
"The human cost has been grotesque. The European Union’s economic waterboarding of Greece resulted in a quarter cut from hospital budgets and spending on drugs halved, while rates of H.I.V. infection spiked, cases of major depression doubled, suicide attempts rose by one-third, and the number of stillborn babies rose by 21 percent. Four in 10 Greek children were pushed into poverty, and one survey estimated that 54 percent of Greeks have become undernourished. Philippe Legrain, a former adviser to Manuel Barroso, then the president of the European Commission, observed that as “Europe’s creditor in chief” Germany “has trampled over values like democracy and national sovereignty and left a vassal state in its wake.”0 -
Unfortunately (in some respects) people like Charles no longer run the country. They retain their wealth and considerable influence, but their values are very different to most in the City or Whitehall where most decisions are made.JosiasJessop said:
Charles is as establishment as it gets, and he wanted it.Gallowgate said:I think this day says a lot about us as a democracy. It isn't what the establishment wanted at all, yet here we are. Something to be proud of.
Perhaps Brexit will change that!0 -
A rubicon crossed. Many risks ahead. Now we shall see just how good May is, and how sensible the EU is. The opportunity us there for us each to get a good deal, it's time to stop the phony war threats and bullshit, and for us all to behave line the civilised and enlightened nations we claim we are and reach accommodation, not play to the gallery of our biggest idiots. It can be done, but it'll be a tricky one.
The establishment was not united on this,JosiasJessop said:
Charles is as establishment as it gets, and he wanted it.Gallowgate said:I think this day says a lot about us as a democracy. It isn't what the establishment wanted at all, yet here we are. Something to be proud of.
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Instead of a wet signature, perhaps Mrs May should have signed on a tattoo:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vyNYQALwP38
Hopefully the split from the EU will be slightly less bloody than the video ...0 -
Since the track record of Westminster/Whitehall/The City is so good,Britain will surely prosper.
No wait! The opposite of that. More managed decline to come?0 -
This is a historic week and marks a key moment in the transformation of the UK into little England (& Wales, for the time being), impoverished both financially and in terms of international influence. The inevitable hard Brexit is incompatible with a long-term future for the UK as it is currently constituted or survival of the current political arrangements in the north of Ireland.Charles said:
The vote for Sindy2 yesterday at Holyrood, and the failure to form a government to administer the 6 counties due to the obstinacy of the "No" party there, are also significant events. Is there a betting market on Michelle O'Neill becoming Taoiseach of a united Eire?0 -
There's absolutely no reason we need to be less civilised just because we're leaving the EU, it is not some inevitability as though civilisation did not exist before its creation, get a grip. It is possible to be uncivilised within it too. So the key is for those of this country to fight to ensure we remain civilised, rather than act as though all hope is lost just because a single, albeit momentous, decision.Roger said:We are leaving the most civilised and civilising club of 28 unique countries and 500,000,000 people to satisfy the xenophbic desires of petty nationalists and right wing zealots.
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But I'm off - the histrionics are going to be absurd today, the Lamentations cringeworthy and the exultations overblown and embarrassing.0 -
Cymru am byth?!williamglenn said:Will the last nation to leave the UK please turn out the lights.
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In other news, Valls has officially said this morning that he will vote for Macron in round1, not Hamon. Not surprising in itself, but could still be good news for Macron. Valls isn't popular as such, but he still won ~1/3 of PS voters in the primary. Any lingering PS loyalists may be tempted to make the leap to Macron especially given Hamon's lacklustre performance to date.
Macron strengthened slightly this morning for round 1. Struggling to see anything other than Macron and Le Pen in round 2 now.0 -
Brave or stupid? Glad Neil has a big name interview though, it was almost as if people were avoiding him!TheScreamingEagles said:This should be fun.
twitter.com/RobbieGibb/status/8469805326553415690 -
A good test of his skills, this must be no softball interview. Supporter or not, of whatever srentpgth, of the path we are on, hard and serious conversation is needed at ll levels.TheScreamingEagles said:This should be fun.
https://twitter.com/RobbieGibb/status/8469805326553415690 -
Boom.
Former French prime minister Manuel Valls has said he will vote for centrist candidate Emmanuel Macron rather than the Socialist contender in France’s presidential election.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/mar/29/france-manuel-valls-backs-emmanuel-macron-presidential-election0 -
There are extremes on both left and right but it is time to get together and make this work. As a former remainer and now a leaver today is the day a democratic vote was respected but I will only celebrate once a mutually beneficial deal is agreedRoger said:We are leaving the most civilised and civilising club of 28 unique countries and 500,000,000 people to satisfy the xenophbic desires of petty nationalists and right wing zealots.
This is no time for rejoicing.0 -
Andrew Neil is the interviewer who does the most research before an interview.RobD said:
Brave or stupid? Glad Neil has a big name interview though, it was almost as if people were avoiding him!TheScreamingEagles said:This should be fun.
twitter.com/RobbieGibb/status/846980532655341569
Sometimes Mrs May can't beat Corbyn at PMQs, this could be grim for her.0 -
I genuinely believe both the extreme soft and hard remainers and leavers will be overwhelmed by the majority who seek compromise which will be the end resultIanB2 said:
Sadly I fear the less sane will have the better chance.JosiasJessop said:Well, we have 730 days to sort out the mess that the vote has left us. And it is not, as some claim, just up to leavers; it is up to all of us, whether we voted leave, remain, or just stayed at home.
Remainers throwing their/our toys out of the pram will not help the UK succeed; likewise leavers sitting back and slapping themselves on the back. Our country has chosen a slightly harder course, and one where the rewards and hazards are greater. We all need to make it work.
And congratulations to all the hardcore leavers; I hope the saner amongst you get what you want.0 -
I see we've already adopted the Americanism of having to have a flag in shot behind the PM.
That's part of the photo that could date quite quickly mind now independence is all the rage.0 -
On topic
Has anyone read Riddle of the Sands? I am a third of the way through it and need some encouragement to push on.
Off topic
Just as we do with a Labour government, we'll manage with Brexit although I fear for those who aren't scions of banking dynasties, well paid authors, or on six figure salaries.0 -
Inclined to agree with Mr kle4; there’s going to be some breast beating and lamentation on one side and gloating on the other.
I hope for the best but fear for the worst. The EU isn’t perfect, and made some serious mistakes but it was, at base, a source of hope.0 -
I know that, you know that, I hope the people in No 10 know that!TheScreamingEagles said:
Andrew Neil is the interviewer who does the most research before an interview.RobD said:
Brave or stupid? Glad Neil has a big name interview though, it was almost as if people were avoiding him!TheScreamingEagles said:This should be fun.
twitter.com/RobbieGibb/status/846980532655341569
Sometimes Mrs May can't beat Corbyn at PMQs, this could be grim for her.0 -
Kind of shocked she is doing this. I mean she obviously wants to reassure the nation in a prime time interview but to be interviewed by Neil especially when presumably there will be a lot of talk about the economics of Brexit (Neil iirc has a strong economics background, seen him skewer a lot of ministers and shadow ministers on that area) is very surprising.RobD said:
Brave or stupid? Glad Neil has a big name interview though, it was almost as if people were avoiding him!TheScreamingEagles said:This should be fun.
twitter.com/RobbieGibb/status/846980532655341569
Wonder how Neil will play this considering what the nation needs right now with so much fear and division over the whole subject of Brexit.0 -
Mr. Mortimer, hope you, and others, have a pleasant evening.0
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So, here we are, a day I never expected to happen when the Referendum was called, but we can celebrate the democratic will of the people of the United Kingdom being implemented. A democratic will that could so easily have been subsumed into the grotesque, bloated undemocratic European "Project" that none of us had voted to sign up to.
Well done, people. And it may prove awkward, and troubling, and worrying, and yes, maybe even a little bit scary. But at least the right to Kick The Buggers Out burns brightly on our little islands, a light that many on the mainland in Europe will come to look upon with envious eyes in the decades to come.0 -
Quite, the 'old' establishment is dead keen on it.JosiasJessop said:
Charles is as establishment as it gets, and he wanted it.Gallowgate said:I think this day says a lot about us as a democracy. It isn't what the establishment wanted at all, yet here we are. Something to be proud of.
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Neil is also a strong unionist so there's probably a tacit understanding that he will help her stick it to the SNP.jonny83 said:
Kind of shocked she is doing this. I mean she obviously wants to reassure the nation in a prime time interview but to be interviewed by Neil especially when presumably there will be a lot of talk about the economics of Brexit (Neil iirc has a strong economics background, seen him skewer a lot of ministers and shadow ministers on that area) is very surprising.RobD said:
Brave or stupid? Glad Neil has a big name interview though, it was almost as if people were avoiding him!TheScreamingEagles said:This should be fun.
twitter.com/RobbieGibb/status/846980532655341569
Wonder how Neil will play this considering what the nation needs right now with so much fear and division over the whole subject of Brexit.0 -
An Irish Guard.0
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To alleviate that what we need is to be assured by the leadership we have. The best case scenario is he is tough, persistent and serious in his questioning, and May rises to that challenge rather than fall back on nonsensical slogans, partisan jabs and diversions. Going soft on her would not be much of a service to the country, it is her job to deal with this very tough issue, and if she struggles with him that would be concerning, but it would be early enough for us to know and try to prepare.jonny83 said:
Kind of shocked she is doing this. I mean she obviously wants to reassure the nation in a prime time interview but to be interviewed by Neil especially when presumably there will be a lot of talk about the economics of Brexit (Neil iirc has a strong economics background, seen him skewer a lot of ministers and shadow ministers on that area) is very surprising.RobD said:
Brave or stupid? Glad Neil has a big name interview though, it was almost as if people were avoiding him!TheScreamingEagles said:This should be fun.
twitter.com/RobbieGibb/status/846980532655341569
Wonder how Neil will play this considering what the nation needs right now with so much fear and division over the whole subject of Brexit.0 -
Well said Marquee Mark.
A frabjous joyful day indeed!0 -
Mr. Mark, indeed. I was astonished the day after the vote.
PM May agreeing to be interviewed by Andrew Neil shows some guts. Whether she is seen to have brains will depend on the result.0 -
Well, the A50 has just triggered me. The roadworks near the bet365 Stadium are causing queueing traffic for miles.
Looking forward to meeting many of you at Truckles later.0 -
If only jingoist twaddle paid the bills or kept the peace.MarqueeMark said:So, here we are, a day I never expected to happen when the Referendum was called, but we can celebrate the democratic will of the people of the United Kingdom being implemented. A democratic will that could so easily have been subsumed into the grotesque, bloated undemocratic European "Project" that none of us had voted to sign up to.
Well done, people. And it may prove awkward, and troubling, and worrying, and yes, maybe even a little bit scary. But at least the right to Kick The Buggers Out burns brightly on our little islands, a light that many on the mainland in Europe will come to look upon with envious eyes in the decades to come.0 -
Friends and family welcomeMortimer said:Just a reminder that PBers can meet for drinks, celebrate or commiserate on this auspicious day at Truckles of Pied Bull Yard, 6pm this evening.
Area booking should reference 'Mr Mortimer of PB'.
Hope to see many of you there!
https://s-media-cache-ak0.pinimg.com/originals/89/33/eb/8933ebcab2248ed74cb03dd3c58d4aa6.jpg0 -
Indeed, tlg86 voted to leave as wellMonksfield said:
Quite, the 'old' establishment is dead keen on it.JosiasJessop said:
Charles is as establishment as it gets, and he wanted it.Gallowgate said:I think this day says a lot about us as a democracy. It isn't what the establishment wanted at all, yet here we are. Something to be proud of.
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There are rival elites. The elite that dominated politics from about 1990-2015 (Blairite/Cameroon/London -based/internationalist) was beaten, no two ways about it. But, Charles' type of elite is different, more rural, old money, traditionalist Conservative. They'll be very happy with the outcome of the vote.Monksfield said:
Quite, the 'old' establishment is dead keen on it.JosiasJessop said:
Charles is as establishment as it gets, and he wanted it.Gallowgate said:I think this day says a lot about us as a democracy. It isn't what the establishment wanted at all, yet here we are. Something to be proud of.
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I think the question isn't so much whether Brexit is a good thing or not but whether it's a necessary thing. The country is certainly divided on the former but I'm not sure it is on the latter. A lot of Remainers will accept that triggering A50 is the right thing to do given the referendum result, even if they'd still rather it had gone the other way.0
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A return to managed decline.Sean_F said:
There are rival elites. The elite that dominated politics from about 1990-2015 (Blairite/Cameroon/London -based/internationalist) was beaten, no two ways about it. But, Charles' type of elite is different, more rural, old money, traditionalist Conservative. They'll be very happy with the outcome of the vote.Monksfield said:
Quite, the 'old' establishment is dead keen on it.JosiasJessop said:
Charles is as establishment as it gets, and he wanted it.Gallowgate said:I think this day says a lot about us as a democracy. It isn't what the establishment wanted at all, yet here we are. Something to be proud of.
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I can see some of May's answers being she can't reveal some things because it's part of the negotiations and obviously you don't reveal your hand. Neil will of course push back against that so it will be interesting to see how she responds.0
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I think it's more like creative destruction. The problem is that no-one yet knows what exactly we're destroying.Jonathan said:
A return to managed decline.Sean_F said:
There are rival elites. The elite that dominated politics from about 1990-2015 (Blairite/Cameroon/London -based/internationalist) was beaten, no two ways about it. But, Charles' type of elite is different, more rural, old money, traditionalist Conservative. They'll be very happy with the outcome of the vote.Monksfield said:
Quite, the 'old' establishment is dead keen on it.JosiasJessop said:
Charles is as establishment as it gets, and he wanted it.Gallowgate said:I think this day says a lot about us as a democracy. It isn't what the establishment wanted at all, yet here we are. Something to be proud of.
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We are still in the process of undoing the damage of the 1997-2010 governments, Jonathan.Jonathan said:Since the track record of Westminster/Whitehall/The City is so good,Britain will surely prosper.
No wait! The opposite of that. More managed decline to come?
The job is done on unemployment, done on inflation and virtually done on the deficit. The latter should, if sustained, start eroding the debt pile.
Some of the client state policies have been dealt with but there is more distance to travel and being out of the EU has become virtually essental to achieve this along with building a sensible welfare state where contribution and British birthright are the only routes in.
We must also rectify the trade gap. We have been peripheralised within Europe as it has moved eastwards, whilst being simultaneously barred from flexing our muscles with the rest of the world even when we are the EU's most significant member in bi-lateral relationships.
Finally, the devolution mess needs to be dealt with.
All in all it will take until the mid 2020s.0 -
An issue is that for the less sane leavers "Kick The Buggers Out" is meant literally.MarqueeMark said:So, here we are, a day I never expected to happen when the Referendum was called, but we can celebrate the democratic will of the people of the United Kingdom being implemented. A democratic will that could so easily have been subsumed into the grotesque, bloated undemocratic European "Project" that none of us had voted to sign up to.
Well done, people. And it may prove awkward, and troubling, and worrying, and yes, maybe even a little bit scary. But at least the right to Kick The Buggers Out burns brightly on our little islands, a light that many on the mainland in Europe will come to look upon with envious eyes in the decades to come.
Instead, I'd prefer to say: "All welcome if you can contribute."0 -
If May can't handle Neil then we can't have much confidence in her ability to handle the Commission and 27 other governments. I don't expect that many bland generalisations because Neil will rightly pick her up on that but I do think she'll play a guarded hand on details to protect Britain's negotiating position.jonny83 said:
Kind of shocked she is doing this. I mean she obviously wants to reassure the nation in a prime time interview but to be interviewed by Neil especially when presumably there will be a lot of talk about the economics of Brexit (Neil iirc has a strong economics background, seen him skewer a lot of ministers and shadow ministers on that area) is very surprising.RobD said:
Brave or stupid? Glad Neil has a big name interview though, it was almost as if people were avoiding him!TheScreamingEagles said:This should be fun.
twitter.com/RobbieGibb/status/846980532655341569
Wonder how Neil will play this considering what the nation needs right now with so much fear and division over the whole subject of Brexit.0 -
We have paid more than enough in to help keep the European jingoistic twaddle going for forty-odd years. For what? What do we have to show for forty-odd years of heavy, heavy subscriptions? Bugger all.Jonathan said:
If only jingoist twaddle paid the bills or kept the peace.MarqueeMark said:So, here we are, a day I never expected to happen when the Referendum was called, but we can celebrate the democratic will of the people of the United Kingdom being implemented. A democratic will that could so easily have been subsumed into the grotesque, bloated undemocratic European "Project" that none of us had voted to sign up to.
Well done, people. And it may prove awkward, and troubling, and worrying, and yes, maybe even a little bit scary. But at least the right to Kick The Buggers Out burns brightly on our little islands, a light that many on the mainland in Europe will come to look upon with envious eyes in the decades to come.
The reason the Remain side lost was that there was so little to argue for the benefits to the UK of being inside this grandiose folly.
And so we are leaving. Well done us.0 -
Andrew Neil is a smart choice - a difficulty level appropriate to the occasion. He's still going to give her a hard enough time but [I think] it's pretty clear he's broadly in favour of Brexit and also understands how negotiations work. He won't waste his and our time prodding for answers she can't possibly give.david_herdson said:
If May can't handle Neil then we can't have much confidence in her ability to handle the Commission and 27 other governments. I don't expect that many bland generalisations because Neil will rightly pick her up on that but I do think she'll play a guarded hand on details to protect Britain's negotiating position.jonny83 said:
Kind of shocked she is doing this. I mean she obviously wants to reassure the nation in a prime time interview but to be interviewed by Neil especially when presumably there will be a lot of talk about the economics of Brexit (Neil iirc has a strong economics background, seen him skewer a lot of ministers and shadow ministers on that area) is very surprising.RobD said:
Brave or stupid? Glad Neil has a big name interview though, it was almost as if people were avoiding him!TheScreamingEagles said:This should be fun.
twitter.com/RobbieGibb/status/846980532655341569
Wonder how Neil will play this considering what the nation needs right now with so much fear and division over the whole subject of Brexit.0 -
Agreed. I was probably 55 to 45 leavish in my sympathies when the referendum was first called. I could have gone either way. But right to kick the buggers out was the clincher.MarqueeMark said:So, here we are, a day I never expected to happen when the Referendum was called, but we can celebrate the democratic will of the people of the United Kingdom being implemented. A democratic will that could so easily have been subsumed into the grotesque, bloated undemocratic European "Project" that none of us had voted to sign up to.
Well done, people. And it may prove awkward, and troubling, and worrying, and yes, maybe even a little bit scary. But at least the right to Kick The Buggers Out burns brightly on our little islands, a light that many on the mainland in Europe will come to look upon with envious eyes in the decades to come.0 -
Mr. Mark, the key aspect for strong Remainers may [obviously I wasn't one] have been the soft side, the emotional sentiment. Less of a numbers game, more pathos rather than logos.
I do think it's worth remembering that the vast majority aren't leavers or remainers with a capital, despite us, and the media, using the terms as if the country's riven down the middle by two diametrically opposed groups of people, both of whom subscribe to a particular orthodoxy.
Most people are soft, one way or the other.
Mr. Jonathan, I'd like to see a strong focus on technology, science and keeping high end manufacturing of new products here (we're rather good at this in F1). I'll believe it when I see it, though.
As for managed decline: if you anticipate failure, you're halfway there already.0 -
Further proof that the BBC is the biased Brexit Broadcasting Corporation.Tissue_Price said:
Andrew Neil is a smart choice - a difficulty level appropriate to the occasion. He's still going to give her a hard enough time but [I think] it's pretty clear he's broadly in favour of Brexit and also understands how negotiations work. He won't waste his and our time prodding for answers she can't possibly give.david_herdson said:
If May can't handle Neil then we can't have much confidence in her ability to handle the Commission and 27 other governments. I don't expect that many bland generalisations because Neil will rightly pick her up on that but I do think she'll play a guarded hand on details to protect Britain's negotiating position.jonny83 said:
Kind of shocked she is doing this. I mean she obviously wants to reassure the nation in a prime time interview but to be interviewed by Neil especially when presumably there will be a lot of talk about the economics of Brexit (Neil iirc has a strong economics background, seen him skewer a lot of ministers and shadow ministers on that area) is very surprising.RobD said:
Brave or stupid? Glad Neil has a big name interview though, it was almost as if people were avoiding him!TheScreamingEagles said:This should be fun.
twitter.com/RobbieGibb/status/846980532655341569
Wonder how Neil will play this considering what the nation needs right now with so much fear and division over the whole subject of Brexit.0 -
We are throwing away a cultural Jewel unique in the civilised world.Big_G_NorthWales said:
There are extremes on both left and right but it is time to get together and make this work. As a former remainer and now a leaver today is the day a democratic vote was respected but I will only celebrate once a mutually beneficial deal is agreedRoger said:We are leaving the most civilised and civilising club of 28 unique countries and 500,000,000 people to satisfy the xenophbic desires of petty nationalists and right wing zealots.
This is no time for rejoicing.
How exactly do we make it work?0 -
I can assure you I am literally EINO.Pulpstar said:
Indeed, tlg86 voted to leave as wellMonksfield said:
Quite, the 'old' establishment is dead keen on it.JosiasJessop said:
Charles is as establishment as it gets, and he wanted it.Gallowgate said:I think this day says a lot about us as a democracy. It isn't what the establishment wanted at all, yet here we are. Something to be proud of.
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It's no wonder Osborne kept ducking Neil, isn't it?TheScreamingEagles said:
Further proof that the BBC is the biased Brexit Broadcasting Corporation.Tissue_Price said:
Andrew Neil is a smart choice - a difficulty level appropriate to the occasion. He's still going to give her a hard enough time but [I think] it's pretty clear he's broadly in favour of Brexit and also understands how negotiations work. He won't waste his and our time prodding for answers she can't possibly give.david_herdson said:
If May can't handle Neil then we can't have much confidence in her ability to handle the Commission and 27 other governments. I don't expect that many bland generalisations because Neil will rightly pick her up on that but I do think she'll play a guarded hand on details to protect Britain's negotiating position.jonny83 said:
Kind of shocked she is doing this. I mean she obviously wants to reassure the nation in a prime time interview but to be interviewed by Neil especially when presumably there will be a lot of talk about the economics of Brexit (Neil iirc has a strong economics background, seen him skewer a lot of ministers and shadow ministers on that area) is very surprising.RobD said:
Brave or stupid? Glad Neil has a big name interview though, it was almost as if people were avoiding him!TheScreamingEagles said:This should be fun.
twitter.com/RobbieGibb/status/846980532655341569
Wonder how Neil will play this considering what the nation needs right now with so much fear and division over the whole subject of Brexit.0 -
In the words of Sir Richard Mottram, although I'd replace 'department' by 'country':williamglenn said:
I think it's more like creative destruction. The problem is that no-one yet knows what exactly we're destroying.Jonathan said:
A return to managed decline.Sean_F said:
There are rival elites. The elite that dominated politics from about 1990-2015 (Blairite/Cameroon/London -based/internationalist) was beaten, no two ways about it. But, Charles' type of elite is different, more rural, old money, traditionalist Conservative. They'll be very happy with the outcome of the vote.Monksfield said:
Quite, the 'old' establishment is dead keen on it.JosiasJessop said:
Charles is as establishment as it gets, and he wanted it.Gallowgate said:I think this day says a lot about us as a democracy. It isn't what the establishment wanted at all, yet here we are. Something to be proud of.
'We're all f****d. I'm f****d. You're f****d. The whole department is f****d. It's the biggest cock-up ever. We're all completely f****d.'
(The sentence takes a long time to insert the asterisks but I know some people are a bit sensitive to expletives.)0 -
Mr. Eagles, I found myself greatly surprised to be a bit irked at how biased in a Leave direction a piece of the news was yesterday. Kuenssberg[sp] had 5 business leaders, almost uniformly positive.
It didn't add much to the debate because everyone was singing from the same hymn sheet.
Mr. Roger, what do you see as the cultural benefits?0 -
Morning PB,
Happy Brexit Day.0 -
George ain't stupid.Tissue_Price said:
It's no wonder Osborne kept ducking Neil, isn't it?TheScreamingEagles said:
Further proof that the BBC is the biased Brexit Broadcasting Corporation.Tissue_Price said:
Andrew Neil is a smart choice - a difficulty level appropriate to the occasion. He's still going to give her a hard enough time but [I think] it's pretty clear he's broadly in favour of Brexit and also understands how negotiations work. He won't waste his and our time prodding for answers she can't possibly give.david_herdson said:
If May can't handle Neil then we can't have much confidence in her ability to handle the Commission and 27 other governments. I don't expect that many bland generalisations because Neil will rightly pick her up on that but I do think she'll play a guarded hand on details to protect Britain's negotiating position.jonny83 said:
Kind of shocked she is doing this. I mean she obviously wants to reassure the nation in a prime time interview but to be interviewed by Neil especially when presumably there will be a lot of talk about the economics of Brexit (Neil iirc has a strong economics background, seen him skewer a lot of ministers and shadow ministers on that area) is very surprising.RobD said:
Brave or stupid? Glad Neil has a big name interview though, it was almost as if people were avoiding him!TheScreamingEagles said:This should be fun.
twitter.com/RobbieGibb/status/846980532655341569
Wonder how Neil will play this considering what the nation needs right now with so much fear and division over the whole subject of Brexit.0 -
None on present pollingwilliamglenn said:Will the last nation to leave the UK please turn out the lights.
0 -
If nothing else, I'm glad we've got to today. It's the end of the phoney war, which May has been able to exploit hugely to her and the Tories advantage. Running around cultivating her mutti persona and being all things to all people.
From now on, we're going to see real decisions and there will be winners (maybe) and losers. Today is peak Tory and for that I am delighted.
All we need now is an opposition.0 -
That Liberation article is not really negative just looking at the pros and cons of Brexit for the UK0
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I gave up after less than a third.TOPPING said:On topic
Has anyone read Riddle of the Sands? I am a third of the way through it and need some encouragement to push on.
Off topic
Just as we do with a Labour government, we'll manage with Brexit although I fear for those who aren't scions of banking dynasties, well paid authors, or on six figure salaries.
That's not helping much, is it?0 -
Nope. Managed decline is what Blair and the Cameroons perpetuated. I have far more faith in the future of our country now than I have ever had in the past. And people like Charles who you apparently scorn have far more attachment to, and care for, the country than the career politicians we have had running and ruining things for the couple of decades.Jonathan said:
A return to managed decline.Sean_F said:
There are rival elites. The elite that dominated politics from about 1990-2015 (Blairite/Cameroon/London -based/internationalist) was beaten, no two ways about it. But, Charles' type of elite is different, more rural, old money, traditionalist Conservative. They'll be very happy with the outcome of the vote.Monksfield said:
Quite, the 'old' establishment is dead keen on it.JosiasJessop said:
Charles is as establishment as it gets, and he wanted it.Gallowgate said:I think this day says a lot about us as a democracy. It isn't what the establishment wanted at all, yet here we are. Something to be proud of.
0 -
Quite the reverse. We're preserving the jewel of British democracy which was menaced by an unelected bureaucracy.Roger said:
We are throwing away a cultural Jewel unique in the civilised world.Big_G_NorthWales said:
There are extremes on both left and right but it is time to get together and make this work. As a former remainer and now a leaver today is the day a democratic vote was respected but I will only celebrate once a mutually beneficial deal is agreedRoger said:We are leaving the most civilised and civilising club of 28 unique countries and 500,000,000 people to satisfy the xenophbic desires of petty nationalists and right wing zealots.
This is no time for rejoicing.
How exactly do we make it work?0 -
JosiasJessop said:
An issue is that for the less sane leavers "Kick The Buggers Out" is meant literally.MarqueeMark said:So, here we are, a day I never expected to happen when the Referendum was called, but we can celebrate the democratic will of the people of the United Kingdom being implemented. A democratic will that could so easily have been subsumed into the grotesque, bloated undemocratic European "Project" that none of us had voted to sign up to.
Well done, people. And it may prove awkward, and troubling, and worrying, and yes, maybe even a little bit scary. But at least the right to Kick The Buggers Out burns brightly on our little islands, a light that many on the mainland in Europe will come to look upon with envious eyes in the decades to come.
Instead, I'd prefer to say: "All welcome if you can contribute."
I think he means governmental buggers rather than immigrant buggersJosiasJessop said:
An issue is that for the less sane leavers "Kick The Buggers Out" is meant literally.MarqueeMark said:So, here we are, a day I never expected to happen when the Referendum was called, but we can celebrate the democratic will of the people of the United Kingdom being implemented. A democratic will that could so easily have been subsumed into the grotesque, bloated undemocratic European "Project" that none of us had voted to sign up to.
Well done, people. And it may prove awkward, and troubling, and worrying, and yes, maybe even a little bit scary. But at least the right to Kick The Buggers Out burns brightly on our little islands, a light that many on the mainland in Europe will come to look upon with envious eyes in the decades to come.
Instead, I'd prefer to say: "All welcome if you can contribute."0 -
So Brexit is underway and in 2 years time I think we end up with fudged Brexit, a work permit/job offer requirement for migrants, some continued EU budget contributions and a few bilateral agreements in key sectors of the economy which May allow for a future FTA. Remoamers, especially the LDs, will still Remoan we are not part of the single market, hardcore Leavers, especially UKIP, will still cry betrayal but most of the country will accept the deal and Brexit will be done0
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Perhaps. But he hasn't kicked 'them' out, has he? Cameron and Osborne have gone, but the rest of the government are pretty much as they are before June last year. And it's not as if the civil service has changed.Fat_Steve said:
I think he means governmental buggers rather than immigrant buggersJosiasJessop said:
An issue is that for the less sane leavers "Kick The Buggers Out" is meant literally.MarqueeMark said:So, here we are, a day I never expected to happen when the Referendum was called, but we can celebrate the democratic will of the people of the United Kingdom being implemented. A democratic will that could so easily have been subsumed into the grotesque, bloated undemocratic European "Project" that none of us had voted to sign up to.
Well done, people. And it may prove awkward, and troubling, and worrying, and yes, maybe even a little bit scary. But at least the right to Kick The Buggers Out burns brightly on our little islands, a light that many on the mainland in Europe will come to look upon with envious eyes in the decades to come.
Instead, I'd prefer to say: "All welcome if you can contribute."
It's an utterly ridiculous way to talk, and quite a dangerous one.0 -
We keep hearing that the country is disintegrating yet there is little sign that anything has changed.HYUFD said:
None on present pollingwilliamglenn said:Will the last nation to leave the UK please turn out the lights.
We keep hearing what a spiteful, unwelcoming and unattractive place we've become yet 300,000 more people have arrived.
The gap between Remainer rhetoric and reality.0 -
Sorry to say this, but that's rubbish on so many levels. It's simply a rewording of the stupid idea that people I agree with must be patriots, and those I disagree with traitors.Richard_Tyndall said:
Nope. Managed decline is what Blair and the Cameroons perpetuated. I have far more faith in the future of our country now than I have ever had in the past. And people like Charles who you apparently scorn have far more attachment to, and care for, the country than the career politicians we have had running and ruining things for the couple of decades.Jonathan said:
A return to managed decline.Sean_F said:
There are rival elites. The elite that dominated politics from about 1990-2015 (Blairite/Cameroon/London -based/internationalist) was beaten, no two ways about it. But, Charles' type of elite is different, more rural, old money, traditionalist Conservative. They'll be very happy with the outcome of the vote.Monksfield said:
Quite, the 'old' establishment is dead keen on it.JosiasJessop said:
Charles is as establishment as it gets, and he wanted it.Gallowgate said:I think this day says a lot about us as a democracy. It isn't what the establishment wanted at all, yet here we are. Something to be proud of.
0 -
This executive order looks rather dodgy. Allows for easier sale (if signed), without permission, of personal data:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-394270260 -
Very much agree that this will be the likely outcomeHYUFD said:So Brexit is underway and in 2 years time I think we end up with fudged Brexit, a work permit/job offer requirement for migrants, some continued EU budget contributions and a few bilateral agreements in key sectors of the economy which May allow for a future FTA. Remoamers, especially the LDs, will still Remoan we are not part of the single market, hardcore Leavers, especially UKIP, will still cry betrayal but most of the country will accept the deal and Brexit will be done
0 -
The devil is in the detail.Monksfield said:If nothing else, I'm glad we've got to today. It's the end of the phoney war, which May has been able to exploit hugely to her and the Tories advantage. Running around cultivating her mutti persona and being all things to all people.
From now on, we're going to see real decisions and there will be winners (maybe) and losers. Today is peak Tory and for that I am delighted.
All we need now is an opposition.
Real Clear Politics on how Obamacare was consistently unpopular until people saw the proposed changes http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/obama_and_democrats_health_care_plan-1130.html
Now let's see what happens with Brexit.0 -
Interesting you should interchange the words "department" and "country" because of course that is very much what Ken Clarke and other Eurofanatics like williamglenn would like to see.rural_voter said:
In the words of Sir Richard Mottram, although I'd replace 'department' by 'country':williamglenn said:
I think it's more like creative destruction. The problem is that no-one yet knows what exactly we're destroying.Jonathan said:
A return to managed decline.Sean_F said:
There are rival elites. The elite that dominated politics from about 1990-2015 (Blairite/Cameroon/London -based/internationalist) was beaten, no two ways about it. But, Charles' type of elite is different, more rural, old money, traditionalist Conservative. They'll be very happy with the outcome of the vote.Monksfield said:
Quite, the 'old' establishment is dead keen on it.JosiasJessop said:
Charles is as establishment as it gets, and he wanted it.Gallowgate said:I think this day says a lot about us as a democracy. It isn't what the establishment wanted at all, yet here we are. Something to be proud of.
'We're all f****d. I'm f****d. You're f****d. The whole department is f****d. It's the biggest cock-up ever. We're all completely f****d.'
(The sentence takes a long time to insert the asterisks but I know some people are a bit sensitive to expletives.)
Clarke's quote was: "I look forward to the day when the Westminster Parliament is just a council chamber in Europe"
Thankfully that day will now not come and Clarke can go to his grave knowing his life's work is in ruins.0 -
I love Charles. I don't know what you mean.Richard_Tyndall said:
Nope. Managed decline is what Blair and the Cameroons perpetuated. I have far more faith in the future of our country now than I have ever had in the past. And people like Charles who you apparently scorn have far more attachment to, and care for, the country than the career politicians we have had running and ruining things for the couple of decades.Jonathan said:
A return to managed decline.Sean_F said:
There are rival elites. The elite that dominated politics from about 1990-2015 (Blairite/Cameroon/London -based/internationalist) was beaten, no two ways about it. But, Charles' type of elite is different, more rural, old money, traditionalist Conservative. They'll be very happy with the outcome of the vote.Monksfield said:
Quite, the 'old' establishment is dead keen on it.JosiasJessop said:
Charles is as establishment as it gets, and he wanted it.Gallowgate said:I think this day says a lot about us as a democracy. It isn't what the establishment wanted at all, yet here we are. Something to be proud of.
That said, who seriously wants the old boy network running the country again? The auld elite failed absolutely and profoundly. I'll take the last forty years over what preceded it.0 -
Perhaps. But he hasn't kicked 'them' out, has he? Cameron and Osborne have gone, but the rest of the government are pretty much as they are before June last year. And it's not as if the civil service has changed.JosiasJessop said:
I think he means governmental buggers rather than immigrant buggersJosiasJessop said:
An issue is that for the less sane leavers "Kick The Buggers Out" is meant literally.MarqueeMark said:So, here we are, a day I never expected to happen when the Referendum was called, but we can celebrate the democratic will of the people of the United Kingdom being implemented. A democratic will that could so easily have been subsumed into the grotesque, bloated undemocratic European "Project" that none of us had voted to sign up to.
Well done, people. And it may prove awkward, and troubling, and worrying, and yes, maybe even a little bit scary. But at least the right to Kick The Buggers Out burns brightly on our little islands, a light that many on the mainland in Europe will come to look upon with envious eyes in the decades to come.
Instead, I'd prefer to say: "All welcome if you can contribute."
It's an utterly ridiculous way to talk, and quite a dangerous one.
A ridiculous way to talk? Dangerous? Hahahaha. Let's just agree to differ on this, shall we?
By 2020, the UK will have its chance to Kick The Buggers Out. When will be next vote be timetabled when the EU can kick out the Eurocrat buggers? When can democracy derail The Great European Project? You want to talk dangerous? That's dangerous, right there. Robbing the voters of any meaningful engagement in the democratic process.0 -
Hard to disagree with that.HYUFD said:So Brexit is underway and in 2 years time I think we end up with fudged Brexit, a work permit/job offer requirement for migrants, some continued EU budget contributions and a few bilateral agreements in key sectors of the economy which May allow for a future FTA. Remoamers, especially the LDs, will still Remoan we are not part of the single market, hardcore Leavers, especially UKIP, will still cry betrayal but most of the country will accept the deal and Brexit will be done
0 -
Yes. something like that.HYUFD said:So Brexit is underway and in 2 years time I think we end up with fudged Brexit, a work permit/job offer requirement for migrants, some continued EU budget contributions and a few bilateral agreements in key sectors of the economy which May allow for a future FTA. Remoamers, especially the LDs, will still Remoan we are not part of the single market, hardcore Leavers, especially UKIP, will still cry betrayal but most of the country will accept the deal and Brexit will be done
Trade - Canada plus
Services - Equivalence
Divorce - we'll cut a deal on the budget to 2020, probably using overseas aid money so our "£350m" a week is available for budget 2020.
Protected Rights for Expats/Migrants - all bar criminals and terrorists
Migration Policy - in line with our global expectations
The Tories will abolish VAT on fuel bills and tampons in budget 2020 and dish out the share of the £350m to the devolved assemblies and they will have some 'signature ready' Trade deals done - the GCC, Australia, Canada etc. I suspect the US as well.
0 -
The rest of the government may have many of the same faces, but they are certainly not "pretty much as they are before June last year". Mark Wallace puts it well:JosiasJessop said:
Perhaps. But he hasn't kicked 'them' out, has he? Cameron and Osborne have gone, but the rest of the government are pretty much as they are before June last year. And it's not as if the civil service has changed.Fat_Steve said:
I think he means governmental buggers rather than immigrant buggersJosiasJessop said:
An issue is that for the less sane leavers "Kick The Buggers Out" is meant literally.MarqueeMark said:So, here we are, a day I never expected to happen when the Referendum was called, but we can celebrate the democratic will of the people of the United Kingdom being implemented. A democratic will that could so easily have been subsumed into the grotesque, bloated undemocratic European "Project" that none of us had voted to sign up to.
Well done, people. And it may prove awkward, and troubling, and worrying, and yes, maybe even a little bit scary. But at least the right to Kick The Buggers Out burns brightly on our little islands, a light that many on the mainland in Europe will come to look upon with envious eyes in the decades to come.
Instead, I'd prefer to say: "All welcome if you can contribute."
It's an utterly ridiculous way to talk, and quite a dangerous one.
Among them were an estimated 2.8 million people who normally do not vote, but recognised the importance of the moment and broke the habits of many years. They had given up faith in voting as a way to change things, but they gave it one more go. Today, many people who had thought themselves powerless will be watching as the most powerful people in the land begin to do as they asked. The power of that moment to convince such people that democracy does work and that their vote does matter should not be underestimated, the opportunity must be taken to keep them engaged, and the responsibility to honour that instruction must not be denied.
http://www.conservativehome.com/thetorydiary/2017/03/a-truly-historic-moment-today-we-start-the-process-of-leaving-the-eu.html0 -
Nope those are entirely your words not mine. Blair and Cameron shared a vision of this country and its place in the world that is not mine. Much of that has little to do with the EU issue and far more to do with the apparent pressing need to drop bombs on innocent people. They did a vast amount of damage to both the reputation and the prospects for this country and along with Brown are strong candidates for the worst PMs in history. That does not make them Traitors at all, simply deluded and dangerous individuals who were more interested in the interests of their international friends in high places than the wellbeing of their own people (or the people of many other countries either judging by how many they managed to ruin).JosiasJessop said:
Sorry to say this, but that's rubbish on so many levels. It's simply a rewording of the stupid idea that people I agree with must be patriots, and those I disagree with traitors.Richard_Tyndall said:
Nope. Managed decline is what Blair and the Cameroons perpetuated. I have far more faith in the future of our country now than I have ever had in the past. And people like Charles who you apparently scorn have far more attachment to, and care for, the country than the career politicians we have had running and ruining things for the couple of decades.Jonathan said:
A return to managed decline.Sean_F said:
There are rival elites. The elite that dominated politics from about 1990-2015 (Blairite/Cameroon/London -based/internationalist) was beaten, no two ways about it. But, Charles' type of elite is different, more rural, old money, traditionalist Conservative. They'll be very happy with the outcome of the vote.Monksfield said:
Quite, the 'old' establishment is dead keen on it.JosiasJessop said:
Charles is as establishment as it gets, and he wanted it.Gallowgate said:I think this day says a lot about us as a democracy. It isn't what the establishment wanted at all, yet here we are. Something to be proud of.
0 -
It's considered quite an important book as an early spy novel, a bit like Conrad's The Secret Agent, but it's far too long, and unless you have a deep fascination with the East Frisian Islands it's not entertaining.TOPPING said:0 -
I do mean that, but the ambiguity was intentional. There are doubtless people who want to kick the foreigners out. But at least they had a democratic means to express that, rather than have to resort to more drastic ways to express that sentiment outside the ballot box. So it will be down to politicians to take heed of that sentiment - or, er, the buggers will be kicked out at the next election.Fat_Steve said:JosiasJessop said:
An issue is that for the less sane leavers "Kick The Buggers Out" is meant literally.MarqueeMark said:So, here we are, a day I never expected to happen when the Referendum was called, but we can celebrate the democratic will of the people of the United Kingdom being implemented. A democratic will that could so easily have been subsumed into the grotesque, bloated undemocratic European "Project" that none of us had voted to sign up to.
Well done, people. And it may prove awkward, and troubling, and worrying, and yes, maybe even a little bit scary. But at least the right to Kick The Buggers Out burns brightly on our little islands, a light that many on the mainland in Europe will come to look upon with envious eyes in the decades to come.
Instead, I'd prefer to say: "All welcome if you can contribute."
I think he means governmental buggers rather than immigrant buggersJosiasJessop said:
An issue is that for the less sane leavers "Kick The Buggers Out" is meant literally.MarqueeMark said:So, here we are, a day I never expected to happen when the Referendum was called, but we can celebrate the democratic will of the people of the United Kingdom being implemented. A democratic will that could so easily have been subsumed into the grotesque, bloated undemocratic European "Project" that none of us had voted to sign up to.
Well done, people. And it may prove awkward, and troubling, and worrying, and yes, maybe even a little bit scary. But at least the right to Kick The Buggers Out burns brightly on our little islands, a light that many on the mainland in Europe will come to look upon with envious eyes in the decades to come.
Instead, I'd prefer to say: "All welcome if you can contribute."0 -
You know very well what I mean.MarqueeMark said:A ridiculous way to talk? Dangerous? Hahahaha. Let's just agree to differ on this, shall we?
By 2020, the UK will have its chance to Kick The Buggers Out. When will be next vote be timetabled when the EU can kick out the Eurocrat buggers? When can democracy derail The Great European Project? You want to talk dangerous? That's dangerous, right there. Robbing the voters of any meaningful engagement in the democratic process.0 -
Budget 2020 sounds pretty exciting!chestnut said:
Yes. something like that.HYUFD said:So Brexit is underway and in 2 years time I think we end up with fudged Brexit, a work permit/job offer requirement for migrants, some continued EU budget contributions and a few bilateral agreements in key sectors of the economy which May allow for a future FTA. Remoamers, especially the LDs, will still Remoan we are not part of the single market, hardcore Leavers, especially UKIP, will still cry betrayal but most of the country will accept the deal and Brexit will be done
Trade - Canada plus
Services - Equivalence
Divorce - we'll cut a deal on the budget to 2020, probably using overseas aid money so our "£350m" a week is available for budget 2020.
Protected Rights for Expats/Migrants - all bar criminals and terrorists
Migration Policy - in line with our global expectations
The Tories will abolish VAT on fuel bills and tampons in budget 2020 and dish out the share of the £350m to the devolved assemblies and they will have some 'signature ready' Trade deals done - the GCC, Australia, Canada etc. I suspect the US as well.0 -
After staying on the fence for most of the campaign, I voted remain because Westminster/Whitehall is not fit for purpose.
And whilst nearly impossible, there was slightly more chance of reforming the EU than an institution that still prints its legislation on dead animals.
Westminster/Whitehall has failed this country for more than 100 years. The work to get it fit for the C21 is unimaginably complex. Makes Brexit look like a picnic.
0 -
A long time ago. I thought it wasn't a bad yarn, but quite dated, like some though not all of Buchan's work. Probably better uses for your time (or just read the end to see how it works out).TOPPING said:On topic
Has anyone read Riddle of the Sands? I am a third of the way through it and need some encouragement to push on.
Off topic
Just as we do with a Labour government, we'll manage with Brexit although I fear for those who aren't scions of banking dynasties, well paid authors, or on six figure salaries.
Which is possibly the best counsel for Brexit too, but anyone with investments should adopt defensive positions and be prepared to switch quickly as events develop. It will be a rocky ride though I think some sort of fudged settlement will be agreed in the end.0 -
Good RE-MOANING!
I brung you a massage:
The Proom Monister has truggered Broxit. Meek Smithson isn't very hippy!0