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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Welcome to Article 50 day as the UK steps into the unknown

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  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,610

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Pulpstar said:

    calum said:
    It conjures the delicious vision of the EU defending the interests of Scotland, NI & Gib in negotiations, while Tessy's precious union sockpuppets angrily demand that aforementioned interests should be of no account.
    Scotland/SNP has tremendous goodwill with the EU at the moment, I feel alot of others underestimate the value of this.
    Goodwill doesn't butter any parsnips to butcher a phrase, but a drastic toning down (if not absence) of the Barroso/Spain line from last time is a big bonus.
    How can Scotland be independent if she continues to be run from Brussels?
    She can't. It is the one great failing of the Scottish Independence Movement - that they apparently don't really want to be independent.
    Does Scotland currently have more or less sovereignty than Ireland, Denmark or Belgium?
    Less.

    But then Scotland is in a single market with a common currency and fiscal transfers - how do you think these things work?

    Now will you answer a question.

    What's the SNP's policy on EU membership?
    Answers a question not asked of her then stamps her foot for a reply to her own question.

    Jog on and find someone who cares what you think.
    "Less".

    Are you stupid? Wait, no need to ask.
    And another wee armchair Yoon lobs in..
    Lol, I supported and still do support Scottish independence. I just don't think it will be delivered. You bottled it in 2014 and not enough people give a fuck about the EU, worse still those that do are Yes/Leavers who are now looking to stay home or switch to No. Get back in your corner with the dunce hat.
    The sun is over the yardarm where you are I'm guessing, when wee dweebs gets macho on the internet.
    Cat got your tongue? No answer to Carlotta's response, no answer to me. Just a snide remark. No wonder why your country is doomed to an existence of subservience to a greater power. A nation of bottlers. It must really irk you that your country failed so spectacularly to take it's one chance of independence while when we got our chance we made it happen and didn't bottle it like you lot.
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 30,969


    The trouble is there aren't really year zero options ie Scotland to spring into life, a fully formed independent nation with its own distinct economy, untrammelled by history and decisions previously made on its behalf. Attractive as Norway is, it evolved to its current state as much as any other nation.
    The first principle for me is that we decide whether or not we're in the EU, not have it imposed upon us by a much larger electorate with different motives and aspirations.

    To be honest Norway is probably the very best example you can follow. Bear in mind it only gained its independence itself 110 years ago and was considered to be a pointless backwater by its former owners (I am not saying that is the case at all for Scotland just before some wag makes that claim)

    I have no doubt Scotland can succeed and I am also sure England doesn't want a failed state on its Northern border so will do everything it can to make independence work if that is what the Scots vote for. As with the EU vote, the whole point of all the doom laden pronouncements and claims of playing hardball before the vote came from a desire to influence it. But in the EU case there is also the need to discourage others after the event. That is not the case with the UK and Scotland and I think Westminster would be far more reasonable post Scotland's Yes vote than they would be in the referendum campaign.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited March 2017
    Club refute ‘wholly false’ claim by Mustafa Bashir that he would receive a professional contract if he was not sent to prison

    But the club have sent legal letters to Bashir’s lawyers refuting the “deeply disturbing” claim, saying it was “wholly false”. The club’s chief executive, Wasim Khan, has also given a statement to Manchester police.

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2017/mar/29/leicestershire-cricket-club-police-contract-abusive-husband-mustafa-bashir?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
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    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981

    Ishmael_Z said:

    This very flat and unstirring stuff. May is no orator.

    Have you only just realised this?
    I was hoping that rising to the occasion was on the cards.
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    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,419

    Alistair said:

    Pulpstar said:

    calum said:
    It conjures the delicious vision of the EU defending the interests of Scotland, NI & Gib in negotiations, while Tessy's precious union sockpuppets angrily demand that aforementioned interests should be of no account.
    Scotland/SNP has tremendous goodwill with the EU at the moment, I feel alot of others underestimate the value of this.
    Goodwill doesn't butter any parsnips to butcher a phrase, but a drastic toning down (if not absence) of the Barroso/Spain line from last time is a big bonus.
    The EU parliament and the European Comission are two very different beasts.
    The former has just released a statement calling for the process to be arranged "in an orderly fashion so as not to negatively affect the European Union, its citizens, and the process of European integration".

    Political project.
    And leaving a political project after 40 years will have profound political consequences, above all to break up the UK.
    I thought you said it wasn't happening and wouldn't happen?
    As the full political consequences make themselves felt, rUK will baulk at 'taking back control'.
    It's nine months so far and only 21% actively want the Brexit process reversed. The rest are one of three groups which in descending size: always wanted Brexit, didn't want it but believe it should be done to respect the vote, or don't have an expressed opinion. There needs to be an enormous change of heart to stop it now, even if it were legally possible which is highly questionable.
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    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,217
    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Pulpstar said:

    calum said:
    It conjures the delicious vision of the EU defending the interests of Scotland, NI & Gib in negotiations, while Tessy's precious union sockpuppets angrily demand that aforementioned interests should be of no account.
    Scotland/SNP has tremendous goodwill with the EU at the moment, I feel alot of others underestimate the value of this.
    Goodwill doesn't butter any parsnips to butcher a phrase, but a drastic toning down (if not absence) of the Barroso/Spain line from last time is a big bonus.
    How can Scotland be independent if she continues to be run from Brussels?
    She can't. It is the one great failing of the Scottish Independence Movement - that they apparently don't really want to be independent.
    Does Scotland currently have more or less sovereignty than Ireland, Denmark or Belgium?
    Less.

    But then Scotland is in a single market with a common currency and fiscal transfers - how do you think these things work?

    Now will you answer a question.

    What's the SNP's policy on EU membership?
    Answers a question not asked of her then stamps her foot for a reply to her own question.

    Jog on and find someone who cares what you think.
    "Less".

    Are you stupid? Wait, no need to ask.
    And another wee armchair Yoon lobs in..
    Lol, I supported and still do support Scottish independence. I just don't think it will be delivered. You bottled it in 2014 and not enough people give a fuck about the EU, worse still those that do are Yes/Leavers who are now looking to stay home or switch to No. Get back in your corner with the dunce hat.
    The sun is over the yardarm where you are I'm guessing, when wee dweebs gets macho on the internet.
    Cat got your tongue? No answer to Carlotta's response, no answer to me. Just a snide remark. No wonder why your country is doomed to an existence of subservience to a greater power. A nation of bottlers. It must really irk you that your country failed so spectacularly to take it's one chance of independence while when we got our chance we made it happen and didn't bottle it like you lot.
    Glug glug!
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,937

    TOPPING said:



    In what way?

    Edit: dashing out now - will be back and will read the answer. If it's a question of signing individual trade deals, I am interested to know how a single country can negotiate a better deal than the largest trading bloc can.

    It can do so because it only has to consider its own needs and those of the country it is doing the trade deal with. Not the needs of the other 27 countries who all have their own requirements and who all want to have a say in the final deal. Moreover we regain the ability to influence the way in which trade develops world wide by regaining our sets on various bodies that we gave up to the EU.

    Countries have far less incentive to agree a beneficial trade deal for the UK than they do for the EU. We can get plenty of trade deals, but for significant markets these are likely to be dictated by the other side. We will either like it or lump it.
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    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    dr_spyn said:

    May sounding more pragmatic than some hard liner brexiters might like.

    She sounds sensible. Not soft, not hard...just sensible.
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    daodaodaodao Posts: 821

    daodao said:

    Der Spiegel on May's 5 front battle with:

    - Brussels
    - Scotland
    - Northern Ireland
    - The UK economy
    - The UK opposition

    http://www.spiegel.de/politik/ausland/brexit-grossbritannien-beginnt-verhandlungen-mit-eu-a-1140806.html

    another German journalist who has never left London
    This Der Spiegel article talks sense. IMO, the biggest problem in terms of difficulty is the 1922 artificial line across Ulster. The obvious solution is Irish reunification, but there are a lot of obstinate people in the 6 counties who would oppose this sensible solution.
    Other solutions could involve a united Ireland reabsorbed into the UK, with heavily devolved powers; a repartition of Northern Ireland, with the unionist part staying in the UK; Northern Ireland being included in the customs union, but not the UK mainland; an arrangement where EIRE does customs checks on behalf of the island of Ireland, including the NI as part of the UK, or spot customs checks at the main roads, ports and airports of NI.

    These are problems but not insurmountable problems.
    Are these suggestions serious!? Only the transfer of the customs border to the Irish Sea, with the administration of the 6 counties remaining unchanged for the time being, is at all plausible/workable.
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    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,419
    dr_spyn said:

    May sounding more pragmatic than some hard liner brexiters might like.

    She was elected to be pragmatic.
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    A50 has been delivered in the JackW household.

    I have today delivered a letter to Mrs JackW stating that I shall be withdrawing from commitments that allow her to purchase items of footwear within 500 miles of the A50 trunk road.

    A truly remarkable and historic day ....
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,783
    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Pulpstar said:

    calum said:
    It conjures the delicious vision of the EU defending the interests of Scotland, NI & Gib in negotiations, while Tessy's precious union sockpuppets angrily demand that aforementioned interests should be of no account.
    Scotland/SNP has tremendous goodwill with the EU at the moment, I feel alot of others underestimate the value of this.
    How can Scotland be independent if she continues to be run from Brussels?
    She can't. It is the one great failing of the Scottish Independence Movement - that they apparently don't really want to be independent.
    Does Scotland currently have more or less sovereignty than Ireland, Denmark or Belgium?
    Less.

    But then Scotland is in a single market with a common currency and fiscal transfers - how do you think these things work?

    Now will you answer a question.

    What's the SNP's policy on EU membership?
    Answers a question not asked of her then stamps her foot for a reply to her own question.

    Jog on and find someone who cares what you think.
    "Less".

    Are you stupid? Wait, no need to ask.
    And another wee armchair Yoon lobs in..
    Lol, I supported and still do support Scottish independence. I just don't think it will be delivered. You bottled it in 2014 and not enough people give a fuck about the EU, worse still those that do are Yes/Leavers who are now looking to stay home or switch to No. Get back in your corner with the dunce hat.
    The sun is over the yardarm where you are I'm guessing, when wee dweebs gets macho on the internet.
    Cat got your tongue? No answer to Carlotta's response, no answer to me. Just a snide remark. No wonder why your country is doomed to an existence of subservience to a greater power. A nation of bottlers. It must really irk you that your country failed so spectacularly to take it's one chance of independence while when we got our chance we made it happen and didn't bottle it like you lot.
    Don't expect a sensible response....

    What's the SNP's policy on EU membership?

    Answer comes there none....
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited March 2017
    Why is jezza screaming?

    May did calm, collected, pragmatic...Jezza is doing full on rant mode.
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    Pound on the rise
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,610

    Glug glug!

    Not had a single drop (flight delayed). The truth must really hurt you when you have to resort to petty insults. Clearly you've just become completely and utterly bitter over independence, understandably since you must see the same numbers we can all see. You had one chance and you bottled it and now you have to live out the rest of you meagre existence as a part of the UK. Until the day you die, Scotland will remain in the Union and for many generations afterwards. Brexit will, perversely, strengthen the Union.
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,783
    Despite advance notice, Corbyn is not responding to the statement.....this could have been written months ago.....
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    ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,819

    Pulpstar said:

    calum said:
    It conjures the delicious vision of the EU defending the interests of Scotland, NI & Gib in negotiations, while Tessy's precious union sockpuppets angrily demand that aforementioned interests should be of no account.
    Scotland/SNP has tremendous goodwill with the EU at the moment, I feel alot of others underestimate the value of this.
    Goodwill doesn't butter any parsnips to butcher a phrase, but a drastic toning down (if not absence) of the Barroso/Spain line from last time is a big bonus.
    How can Scotland be independent if she continues to be run from Brussels?

    SNP hate England more than they hate Brussels.
    You can't say the SNP 'hate' England as a country unless you are also willing to say that Brexiteers 'hate' Europe as a continent. You can say they hate Westminster, but that is very different to hating England, which implies hating the English.
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    Despite advance notice, Corbyn is not responding to the statement.....this could have been written months ago.....

    He hasn't a clue - no wonder his approval rate is 13%
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985

    Pound on the rise

    Just as the Nabavi foretold. :p
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,783

    Why is jezza screaming?

    May did claim, collected, pragmatic...Jezza is doing full on rant mode.

    It's poor. Little wonder the polls show Best PM numbers as they do....
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,452

    Alistair said:

    Pulpstar said:

    calum said:
    It conjures the delicious vision of the EU defending the interests of Scotland, NI & Gib in negotiations, while Tessy's precious union sockpuppets angrily demand that aforementioned interests should be of no account.
    Scotland/SNP has tremendous goodwill with the EU at the moment, I feel alot of others underestimate the value of this.
    Goodwill doesn't butter any parsnips to butcher a phrase, but a drastic toning down (if not absence) of the Barroso/Spain line from last time is a big bonus.
    The EU parliament and the European Comission are two very different beasts.
    The former has just released a statement calling for the process to be arranged "in an orderly fashion so as not to negatively affect the European Union, its citizens, and the process of European integration".

    Political project.
    And leaving a political project after 40 years will have profound political consequences, above all to break up the UK.
    I thought you said it wasn't happening and wouldn't happen?
    It will have profound financial consequences to William: T-2 years until he loses £1,000 to SeanT.
    Before that becomes an embedded memory, I believe they both settled on a smaller figure - ISTR £100. Someone'll probably remember better than myself.

    Edit: or am I wrong? An order of magnitude or two out is a bit much, even for an engineer ...
    It was £10k down to £1k.

    I believe EiT is the arbiter of the bet.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,343
    The devil is in the detail with all of this but I thought that was a strong, measured, optimistic statement by May.

    Corbyn is on the other hand simply desperate to find additional responsibilities for the UK taxpayer. No change there.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited March 2017
    I don't even know what jezza is trying to achieve here, it is just ranting all over the place.
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    Corbyn keeps asking May questions - why didn't he ask these at PMQs?
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,452
    daodao said:

    daodao said:

    Der Spiegel on May's 5 front battle with:

    - Brussels
    - Scotland
    - Northern Ireland
    - The UK economy
    - The UK opposition

    http://www.spiegel.de/politik/ausland/brexit-grossbritannien-beginnt-verhandlungen-mit-eu-a-1140806.html

    another German journalist who has never left London
    This Der Spiegel article talks sense. IMO, the biggest problem in terms of difficulty is the 1922 artificial line across Ulster. The obvious solution is Irish reunification, but there are a lot of obstinate people in the 6 counties who would oppose this sensible solution.
    Other solutions could involve a united Ireland reabsorbed into the UK, with heavily devolved powers; a repartition of Northern Ireland, with the unionist part staying in the UK; Northern Ireland being included in the customs union, but not the UK mainland; an arrangement where EIRE does customs checks on behalf of the island of Ireland, including the NI as part of the UK, or spot customs checks at the main roads, ports and airports of NI.

    These are problems but not insurmountable problems.
    Are these suggestions serious!? Only the transfer of the customs border to the Irish Sea, with the administration of the 6 counties remaining unchanged for the time being, is at all plausible/workable.
    I was listing out other options, some are not much less likely than Irish reunification.

    Who knows what the future holds?
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    For a man who voted for brexit, jezza seems very angry.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985

    Corbyn keeps asking May questions - why didn't he ask these at PMQs?

    Because he has an opportunity to ask the "relevant" questions after the statement. I suppose he could have spent all questions on A50!
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,080

    Pulpstar said:

    calum said:
    It conjures the delicious vision of the EU defending the interests of Scotland, NI & Gib in negotiations, while Tessy's precious union sockpuppets angrily demand that aforementioned interests should be of no account.
    Scotland/SNP has tremendous goodwill with the EU at the moment, I feel alot of others underestimate the value of this.
    Goodwill doesn't butter any parsnips to butcher a phrase, but a drastic toning down (if not absence) of the Barroso/Spain line from last time is a big bonus.
    How can Scotland be independent if she continues to be run from Brussels?

    SNP hate England more than they hate Brussels.
    You can't say the SNP 'hate' England as a country unless you are also willing to say that Brexiteers 'hate' Europe as a continent. You can say they hate Westminster, but that is very different to hating England, which implies hating the English.
    You can say the SNP hate the UK just as UKIP hated the EU
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,080

    France's ex-Prime Minister Manuel Valls has thrown his weight behind the centrist candidate for the presidency, Emmanuel Macron, and not his own Socialist party's candidate.

    As posted earlier Le Pen will now try to appeal to Fillon voters in the runoff by portraying Macron as the 'real' Socialist Party candidate
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 30,969

    TOPPING said:



    In what way?

    Edit: dashing out now - will be back and will read the answer. If it's a question of signing individual trade deals, I am interested to know how a single country can negotiate a better deal than the largest trading bloc can.

    It can do so because it only has to consider its own needs and those of the country it is doing the trade deal with. Not the needs of the other 27 countries who all have their own requirements and who all want to have a say in the final deal. Moreover we regain the ability to influence the way in which trade develops world wide by regaining our sets on various bodies that we gave up to the EU.

    Countries have far less incentive to agree a beneficial trade deal for the UK than they do for the EU. We can get plenty of trade deals, but for significant markets these are likely to be dictated by the other side. We will either like it or lump it.
    Countries will decide trade deals on their own terms in their own time. Trade deals with the EU are slow, cumbersome and certainly not always in the best interests of all the member states. TTIP was a good example of this and as a blueprint for trade deals is something we are far better leaving behind.
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    Corbyn keeps asking May questions - why didn't he ask these at PMQs?

    Two reasons.

    Firstly the PM would simply have replied that she was making a statement shortly when his questions would be answered.

    Secondly Corbyn keeps his powder dry for after her statement.
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,783
    The Labour front bench looked a vision of misery as the PM responded to Corbyn.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,942
    Atomic energy being left.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,610

    TOPPING said:



    In what way?

    Edit: dashing out now - will be back and will read the answer. If it's a question of signing individual trade deals, I am interested to know how a single country can negotiate a better deal than the largest trading bloc can.

    It can do so because it only has to consider its own needs and those of the country it is doing the trade deal with. Not the needs of the other 27 countries who all have their own requirements and who all want to have a say in the final deal. Moreover we regain the ability to influence the way in which trade develops world wide by regaining our sets on various bodies that we gave up to the EU.

    Countries have far less incentive to agree a beneficial trade deal for the UK than they do for the EU. We can get plenty of trade deals, but for significant markets these are likely to be dictated by the other side. We will either like it or lump it.
    Countries will decide trade deals on their own terms in their own time. Trade deals with the EU are slow, cumbersome and certainly not always in the best interests of all the member states. TTIP was a good example of this and as a blueprint for trade deals is something we are far better leaving behind.
    CETA is another example of where the other party were ready to liberalise services trade but the EU didn't go for it. In a UK/Canada deal we could probably agree to fairly significant services alignment which would be extremely beneficial to both nations.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985
    Pulpstar said:

    Atomic energy being left.

    I think that was expected.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,452
    Anyone got a link to the full letter? BBC only has 1st two pages.
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    Tusk looks angry and almost bitter
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985

    Anyone got a link to the full letter? BBC only has 1st two pages.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/03/29/article-50-brexit-letter-read-full/
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 30,969
    Tusk really is living on another planet if he thinks the EU is closer and more determined to unite now.
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,783
    Robertson neglecting to mention that the SNP White Paper on Independence explicitly raised the risk of a BREXIT referendum as being a reason for voting for independence.....
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,942
    edited March 2017
    "deep and special partnership" fnar fnar

    Edit: Ok Onto page 2 - 'Selective transposition of EU to domestic law'
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985
    Pulpstar said:

    "deep and special partnership" fnar fnar

    We'll call it the 'less precious union'. :smiley:
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,452
    RobD said:

    Anyone got a link to the full letter? BBC only has 1st two pages.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/03/29/article-50-brexit-letter-read-full/
    Thanks.
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    The SNP contingent doing another fine impression of seals.
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    calumcalum Posts: 3,046
    Commitment to no hard Irish border
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985

    The SNP contingent doing another fine impression of seals.

    They do it deliberately... :p
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,610
    Pulpstar said:

    Atomic energy being left.

    Hinkley Point C looking on very shaky ground at the moment. EDF will have to make a statement soon. Hopefully gets cancelled.
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    Tusk really is living on another planet if he thinks the EU is closer and more determined to unite now.

    He maybe realises the enormity of the decision and that it is not only going to dominate the UK but the EU is going to be paralysed itself during the process

    Today the reality has hit the heart of Europe.

    Looking forward to Donald's comments and also other World leaders.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,610

    Tusk really is living on another planet if he thinks the EU is closer and more determined to unite now.

    Post truth politics. If they say it enough times, people might start to believe it.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985
    MaxPB said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Atomic energy being left.

    Hinkley Point C looking on very shaky ground at the moment. EDF will have to make a statement soon. Hopefully gets cancelled.
    I haven't read too much into this, does leaving Euratom put it at significant risk?
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,080
    edited March 2017

    Tusk looks angry and almost bitter

    Not really, he has generally been the most measured of the EU leadership in his approach to Brexit, see his response to the Article 50 notification
    https://mobile.twitter.com/eucopresident/status/847047933405093892
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,937
    That letter is the first hopeful sign that the UK government is not looking to jump off the cliff. That is very good news.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,610
    edited March 2017
    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Atomic energy being left.

    Hinkley Point C looking on very shaky ground at the moment. EDF will have to make a statement soon. Hopefully gets cancelled.
    I haven't read too much into this, does leaving Euratom put it at significant risk?
    EDF said as much in a previous statement. Though it may have just been a lobbying stance.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985

    That letter is the first hopeful sign that the UK government is not looking to jump off the cliff. That is very good news.

    Brexiteer implosion incoming? :D
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    calumcalum Posts: 3,046
    RobD said:

    The SNP contingent doing another fine impression of seals.

    They do it deliberately... :p
    Part of SNP std training !
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,343
    I thought that was a measured response from Tusk. "We miss you already". The EU is going to be seriously diminished by the loss of nearly 20% of its population and GDP. Tusk is acknowledging this.

    What I hope is that after today the posturing and reiteration of the arguments that were determined in June and we go on to have a pragmatic, sensible negotiation resulting in a sensible deal in the interests of each party. There will be flare ups and bitter disagreement but they cannot be allowed to set the overall tone of these discussions.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,942
    Dear Jane,

    Can we please enjoy a deep & special partnership.

    Thanks,

    John.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,452
    RobD said:

    Anyone got a link to the full letter? BBC only has 1st two pages.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/03/29/article-50-brexit-letter-read-full/
    "But it is the expectation of the Government that the outcome of this process will be a significant increase in the decision-making power of each devolved administration."

    Important.

    May will make the Scottish people a better offer.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,942
    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Atomic energy being left.

    Hinkley Point C looking on very shaky ground at the moment. EDF will have to make a statement soon. Hopefully gets cancelled.
    I haven't read too much into this, does leaving Euratom put it at significant risk?
    Lets hope so. Silver linings and all that.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985

    RobD said:

    Anyone got a link to the full letter? BBC only has 1st two pages.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/03/29/article-50-brexit-letter-read-full/
    "But it is the expectation of the Government that the outcome of this process will be a significant increase in the decision-making power of each devolved administration."

    Important.

    May will make the Scottish people a better offer.
    May getting that vow in early? :p
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,452
    RobD said:

    Anyone got a link to the full letter? BBC only has 1st two pages.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/03/29/article-50-brexit-letter-read-full/
    Stick:

    " In security terms a failure to reach agreement would mean our cooperation in the fight against crime and terrorism would be weakened."

    Carrot:

    "we want to play our part in making sure that Europe remains strong and prosperous and able to lead in the world, projecting its values and defending itself from security threats. And we want the United Kingdom to play its full part in realising that vision for our continent."
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,101
    calum said:

    Commitment to no hard Irish border

    May's letter just says 'want to avoid a return to a hard border'.
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,937
    RobD said:

    That letter is the first hopeful sign that the UK government is not looking to jump off the cliff. That is very good news.

    Brexiteer implosion incoming? :D

    And that is the danger. If May really does want to bring the Remainers onside she should make very clear that the swivel-eyed Tory right and its newspapers will not be dictating what happens from here on in.

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    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,217
    MaxPB said:

    Glug glug!

    Not had a single drop (flight delayed). The truth must really hurt you when you have to resort to petty insults. Clearly you've just become completely and utterly bitter over independence, understandably since you must see the same numbers we can all see. You had one chance and you bottled it and now you have to live out the rest of you meagre existence as a part of the UK. Until the day you die, Scotland will remain in the Union and for many generations afterwards. Brexit will, perversely, strengthen the Union.
    Lolz
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    DavidL said:

    I thought that was a measured response from Tusk. "We miss you already". The EU is going to be seriously diminished by the loss of nearly 20% of its population and GDP. Tusk is acknowledging this.

    What I hope is that after today the posturing and reiteration of the arguments that were determined in June and we go on to have a pragmatic, sensible negotiation resulting in a sensible deal in the interests of each party. There will be flare ups and bitter disagreement but they cannot be allowed to set the overall tone of these discussions.

    Absolutely but Theresa May's letter seems to being well received. It was the right tone and will be difficult to argue with
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985

    calum said:

    Commitment to no hard Irish border

    May's letter just says 'want to avoid a return to a hard border'.
    The letter is full of "we wants", there aren't any firm red lines laid out in it, but you can bet it will be one, and I think she was clearer on this replying to Dodds in the Commons.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,080

    RobD said:

    That letter is the first hopeful sign that the UK government is not looking to jump off the cliff. That is very good news.

    Brexiteer implosion incoming? :D

    And that is the danger. If May really does want to bring the Remainers onside she should make very clear that the swivel-eyed Tory right and its newspapers will not be dictating what happens from here on in.

    No, May if she is sensible will keep all the hard Brexit rhetoric but in private be more measured and then only once a deal is done allow the likes of the Express to cry "betrayal', which barring her blocking up the Channel Tunnel they will almost certainly do
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,101

    RobD said:

    Anyone got a link to the full letter? BBC only has 1st two pages.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/03/29/article-50-brexit-letter-read-full/
    Stick:

    Hard Brexit

    Carrot:

    No Brexit
    Fixed it for you.

    Her position is as incoherent as ever, as it must be given that she has been tasked with implementing an incoherent policy by the electorate.
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    Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    Worthy of TSE...

    @chrisbrooke

    I like to think that the person who ferried the Article 50 letter over to Brussels late last night was one of the DExEU's Midnight Runners.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,343

    DavidL said:

    I thought that was a measured response from Tusk. "We miss you already". The EU is going to be seriously diminished by the loss of nearly 20% of its population and GDP. Tusk is acknowledging this.

    What I hope is that after today the posturing and reiteration of the arguments that were determined in June and we go on to have a pragmatic, sensible negotiation resulting in a sensible deal in the interests of each party. There will be flare ups and bitter disagreement but they cannot be allowed to set the overall tone of these discussions.

    Absolutely but Theresa May's letter seems to being well received. It was the right tone and will be difficult to argue with
    The detail is going to be problematic. But it is a good and sensible start.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,370

    TOPPING said:



    In what way?

    Edit: dashing out now - will be back and will read the answer. If it's a question of signing individual trade deals, I am interested to know how a single country can negotiate a better deal than the largest trading bloc can.

    It can do so because it only has to consider its own needs and those of the country it is doing the trade deal with. Not the needs of the other 27 countries who all have their own requirements and who all want to have a say in the final deal. Moreover we regain the ability to influence the way in which trade develops world wide by regaining our sets on various bodies that we gave up to the EU.

    TOPPING said:



    In what way?

    Edit: dashing out now - will be back and will read the answer. If it's a question of signing individual trade deals, I am interested to know how a single country can negotiate a better deal than the largest trading bloc can.

    It can do so because it only has to consider its own needs and those of the country it is doing the trade deal with. Not the needs of the other 27 countries who all have their own requirements and who all want to have a say in the final deal. Moreover we regain the ability to influence the way in which trade develops world wide by regaining our sets on various bodies that we gave up to the EU.
    I'm not sure that's how either international trade deals or individual company decisions go.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    Are Sky going to stick with that stupid count down timer for another 730 days?
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    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,217
    Where the great nation of Maidenhead goes, other lesser nations will follow.

    https://twitter.com/NeilGrayMP/status/847058649574977536
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    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,340
    edited March 2017

    RobD said:

    That letter is the first hopeful sign that the UK government is not looking to jump off the cliff. That is very good news.

    Brexiteer implosion incoming? :D

    And that is the danger. If May really does want to bring the Remainers onside she should make very clear that the swivel-eyed Tory right and its newspapers will not be dictating what happens from here on in.

    Her letter really does that and will be the document she will be judged on. Again as I have repeatedly said she is aiming to satisfy the middle 70% - soft and hard positions will fail
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985

    Are Sky going to stick with that stupid count down timer for another 730 days?

    LOL oh dear.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,452
    DavidL said:

    I thought that was a measured response from Tusk. "We miss you already". The EU is going to be seriously diminished by the loss of nearly 20% of its population and GDP. Tusk is acknowledging this.

    What I hope is that after today the posturing and reiteration of the arguments that were determined in June and we go on to have a pragmatic, sensible negotiation resulting in a sensible deal in the interests of each party. There will be flare ups and bitter disagreement but they cannot be allowed to set the overall tone of these discussions.

    There is a difference between the EU not making it look easy to leave the EU, and actively making it difficult and making an example of the UK.

    One would hope the former will win out. But there may be a political need to let tabloids and MEPs at the fringes to blow off on the latter.

    To be honest, the UK is something of a semi-detached special case anyway. No other EU member has quite the same choices - except perhaps Germany - all almost all would have a far harder job leaving, particularly a Eurozone member.

    I'm not convinced there is much the EU can do to harm our long-term prosperity anyway, but, even if I'm wrong, doing that wouldn't substitute for the hardthinking on - yet alone fix - the many real internal problems it has in facing up to its own future.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited March 2017

    Tusk really is living on another planet if he thinks the EU commission is closer and more determined to unite now.

    Corrected for you...

    The plebs in France, Italy, Holland, etc who aren't very happy with the EU, well they will just have to lump it when the EU project moves forward at speed to even closer union.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,452
    "But we also propose a bold and ambitious Free Trade Agreement between the United Kingdom and the European Union. This should be of greater scope and ambition than any such agreement before it so that it covers sectors crucial to our linked economies such as financial services and network industries. This will require detailed technical talks, but as the UK is an existing EU member state, both sides have regulatory frameworks and standards that already match. We should therefore prioritise how we manage the evolution of our regulatory frameworks to maintain a fair and open trading environment, and how we resolve disputes. "

    Sounds to me like a goal of a renegotiation based on regulatory collaboration and alignment on financial services, energy, transport, aviation and telecoms to me.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,080
    edited March 2017

    Where the great nation of Maidenhead goes, other lesser nations will follow.

    https://twitter.com/NeilGrayMP/status/847058649574977536

    Scotland is not a nation either, only the UK is
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,610

    MaxPB said:

    Glug glug!

    Not had a single drop (flight delayed). The truth must really hurt you when you have to resort to petty insults. Clearly you've just become completely and utterly bitter over independence, understandably since you must see the same numbers we can all see. You had one chance and you bottled it and now you have to live out the rest of you meagre existence as a part of the UK. Until the day you die, Scotland will remain in the Union and for many generations afterwards. Brexit will, perversely, strengthen the Union.
    Lolz
    Still no answers then. Big surprise.

    £1000 that Scotland will not be independent of the UK by 2022. This offer is open until 14:20 UK time (21:20 Manila time). That's when I have to board.
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    Are Sky going to stick with that stupid count down timer for another 730 days?

    It really is crass
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,845

    For a man who voted for brexit, jezza seems very angry.

    Faux anger. Jezza has been LEAVE for 45 years!
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,362

    Pulpstar said:

    calum said:
    It conjures the delicious vision of the EU defending the interests of Scotland, NI & Gib in negotiations, while Tessy's precious union sockpuppets angrily demand that aforementioned interests should be of no account.
    Scotland/SNP has tremendous goodwill with the EU at the moment, I feel alot of others underestimate the value of this.
    Goodwill doesn't butter any parsnips to butcher a phrase, but a drastic toning down (if not absence) of the Barroso/Spain line from last time is a big bonus.
    How can Scotland be independent if she continues to be run from Brussels?
    She can't. It is the one great failing of the Scottish Independence Movement - that they apparently don't really want to be independent.
    The usual suspects always drift off when I ask this, but I believe you're more honest.

    Does Scotland currently have more or less sovereignty than Ireland, Denmark or Belgium?
    Far less. That is why I am in favour of Scottish Independence.

    But they would certainly lose a fair bit of what they had gained in sovereignty if they were to go back into the EU after becoming independent. Too much for my mind - which is of course why I am a strong supporter of Brexit for either the UK as a whole or its constituent nations.

    Scotland rightly quotes Norway as an example of what they could be. Going for EEA membership would be a sensible move after Independence. Going back into the EU really would not.
    The trouble is there aren't really year zero options ie Scotland to spring into life, a fully formed independent nation with its own distinct economy, untrammelled by history and decisions previously made on its behalf. Attractive as Norway is, it evolved to its current state as much as any other nation.
    The first principle for me is that we decide whether or not we're in the EU, not have it imposed upon us by a much larger electorate with different motives and aspirations.
    edit: And the ability to make that decision seems to me the absolute foundation of sovereignty.
    The referendum question asked on June 23rd was "should the UNITED KINGDOM remain in the EU or leave the EU?"
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited March 2017
    ScottP losing his mind on Sky over one sentence in the letter regarding May stating UK long held security and intelligence strengths which EU countries make use of.
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,783

    Where the great nation of Maidenhead goes, other lesser nations will follow.

    https://twitter.com/NeilGrayMP/status/847058649574977536

    What's the SNP's EU policy?
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,362

    Where the great nation of Maidenhead goes, other lesser nations will follow.

    https://twitter.com/NeilGrayMP/status/847058649574977536

    Scotland is not a member of the UN
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,452
    "Together, I know we are capable of reaching an agreement about the UK’s rights and obligations as a departing member state, while establishing a deep and special partnership that contributes towards the prosperity, security and global power of our continent."

    We will pay and cooperate, but only if you work on the framework for the long-term deal with us.

    There's a lot in this letter.
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    checks Betfair account Ker... ching!
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,343

    DavidL said:

    There is a difference between the EU not making it look easy to leave the EU, and actively making it difficult and making an example of the UK.

    One would hope the former will win out. But there may be a political need to let tabloids and MEPs at the fringes to blow off on the latter.

    To be honest, the UK is something of a semi-detached special case anyway. No other EU member has quite the same choices - except perhaps Germany - all almost all would have a far harder job leaving, particularly a Eurozone member.

    I'm not convinced there is much the EU can do to harm our long-term prosperity anyway, but, even if I'm wrong, doing that wouldn't substitute for the hardthinking on - yet alone fix - the many real internal problems it has in facing up to its own future.
    Whilst I agree with that I think it is indisputable that that special, semi-detached status has made European integration and co-operation more difficult as our politicians have appreciated that they simply cannot sell such a deal here. This has particularly caused problems for the EZ given our insistence that they could not use the existing EU structures to control and co-ordinate their policies. I think the remaining non EZ members will not be able to maintain that without our support and, for the EZ and the EU economy that might be a good thing.

    The response of the UK to every step forward in the EU for a couple of decades or more, certainly since Maastricht, has been to seek opt outs, special exemptions and limitations on what has been proposed. I think Tusk is sincerely sorry to see us go but he may be right that EU integration will be less complicated going forward.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,362

    Worthy of TSE...

    @chrisbrooke

    I like to think that the person who ferried the Article 50 letter over to Brussels late last night was one of the DExEU's Midnight Runners.

    Here we are!
    Born to be kings
    We're the Princes of the EU-niverse!
    Here we belong!
    Fighting to survive
    In a world with the darkest power!
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,452

    Are Sky going to stick with that stupid count down timer for another 730 days?

    It's a whole generation
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,452

    RobD said:

    Anyone got a link to the full letter? BBC only has 1st two pages.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/03/29/article-50-brexit-letter-read-full/
    Stick:

    Hard Brexit

    Carrot:

    No Brexit
    Fixed it for you.

    Her position is as incoherent as ever, as it must be given that she has been tasked with implementing an incoherent policy by the electorate.
    It's not incoherent, it's just one you vehemently disagree with.
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    MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034
    Apologies if someone else has pointed this out, or if I have my French wrong, but surely Marie le Conte mistranslated the headline. Is it not "You miss us already" rather than "We miss you already"?
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    edited March 2017
    MTimT said:

    Apologies if someone else has pointed this out, or if I have my French wrong, but surely Marie le Conte mistranslated the headline. Is it not "You miss us already" rather than "We miss you already"?

    Edit: Sorry, I misread your post. No, it's 'We miss you already'.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,362
    GIN1138 said:

    For a man who voted for brexit, jezza seems very angry.

    Faux anger. Jezza has been LEAVE for 45 years!
    Labour campaigned against the EU (or EC as was) at GE1983!!!
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    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    RobD said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Atomic energy being left.

    I think that was expected.
    why are we leaving it?
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,845

    ScottP losing his mind on Sky over one sentence in the letter regarding May stating UK long held security and intelligence strengths which EU countries make use of.

    How's Faisal coping today? ;)
This discussion has been closed.