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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Welcome to Article 50 day as the UK steps into the unknown
She must be confident this image will date well. pic.twitter.com/gnKuIcoHjO
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Against the wall?
Into the footnotes of history?
Remainers throwing their/our toys out of the pram will not help the UK succeed; likewise leavers sitting back and slapping themselves on the back. Our country has chosen a slightly harder course, and one where the rewards and hazards are greater. We all need to make it work.
And congratulations to all the hardcore leavers; I hope the saner amongst you get what you want.
Oh noes! The French media might not be pro-British! Zut alors!
Area booking should reference 'Mr Mortimer of PB'.
Hope to see many of you there!
This is no time for rejoicing.
And thanks Puplstar for that thumbnail
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/28/opinion/why-brexit-is-best-for-britain-the-left-wing-case.html?_r=0
"The human cost has been grotesque. The European Union’s economic waterboarding of Greece resulted in a quarter cut from hospital budgets and spending on drugs halved, while rates of H.I.V. infection spiked, cases of major depression doubled, suicide attempts rose by one-third, and the number of stillborn babies rose by 21 percent. Four in 10 Greek children were pushed into poverty, and one survey estimated that 54 percent of Greeks have become undernourished. Philippe Legrain, a former adviser to Manuel Barroso, then the president of the European Commission, observed that as “Europe’s creditor in chief” Germany “has trampled over values like democracy and national sovereignty and left a vassal state in its wake.”
Perhaps Brexit will change that!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vyNYQALwP38
Hopefully the split from the EU will be slightly less bloody than the video ...
No wait! The opposite of that. More managed decline to come?
The vote for Sindy2 yesterday at Holyrood, and the failure to form a government to administer the 6 counties due to the obstinacy of the "No" party there, are also significant events. Is there a betting market on Michelle O'Neill becoming Taoiseach of a united Eire?
But I'm off - the histrionics are going to be absurd today, the Lamentations cringeworthy and the exultations overblown and embarrassing.
https://twitter.com/RobbieGibb/status/846980532655341569
Macron strengthened slightly this morning for round 1. Struggling to see anything other than Macron and Le Pen in round 2 now.
Former French prime minister Manuel Valls has said he will vote for centrist candidate Emmanuel Macron rather than the Socialist contender in France’s presidential election.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/mar/29/france-manuel-valls-backs-emmanuel-macron-presidential-election
Sometimes Mrs May can't beat Corbyn at PMQs, this could be grim for her.
That's part of the photo that could date quite quickly mind now independence is all the rage.
Has anyone read Riddle of the Sands? I am a third of the way through it and need some encouragement to push on.
Off topic
Just as we do with a Labour government, we'll manage with Brexit although I fear for those who aren't scions of banking dynasties, well paid authors, or on six figure salaries.
I hope for the best but fear for the worst. The EU isn’t perfect, and made some serious mistakes but it was, at base, a source of hope.
Wonder how Neil will play this considering what the nation needs right now with so much fear and division over the whole subject of Brexit.
Well done, people. And it may prove awkward, and troubling, and worrying, and yes, maybe even a little bit scary. But at least the right to Kick The Buggers Out burns brightly on our little islands, a light that many on the mainland in Europe will come to look upon with envious eyes in the decades to come.
A frabjous joyful day indeed!
PM May agreeing to be interviewed by Andrew Neil shows some guts. Whether she is seen to have brains will depend on the result.
Looking forward to meeting many of you at Truckles later.
https://s-media-cache-ak0.pinimg.com/originals/89/33/eb/8933ebcab2248ed74cb03dd3c58d4aa6.jpg
The job is done on unemployment, done on inflation and virtually done on the deficit. The latter should, if sustained, start eroding the debt pile.
Some of the client state policies have been dealt with but there is more distance to travel and being out of the EU has become virtually essental to achieve this along with building a sensible welfare state where contribution and British birthright are the only routes in.
We must also rectify the trade gap. We have been peripheralised within Europe as it has moved eastwards, whilst being simultaneously barred from flexing our muscles with the rest of the world even when we are the EU's most significant member in bi-lateral relationships.
Finally, the devolution mess needs to be dealt with.
All in all it will take until the mid 2020s.
Instead, I'd prefer to say: "All welcome if you can contribute."
The reason the Remain side lost was that there was so little to argue for the benefits to the UK of being inside this grandiose folly.
And so we are leaving. Well done us.
I do think it's worth remembering that the vast majority aren't leavers or remainers with a capital, despite us, and the media, using the terms as if the country's riven down the middle by two diametrically opposed groups of people, both of whom subscribe to a particular orthodoxy.
Most people are soft, one way or the other.
Mr. Jonathan, I'd like to see a strong focus on technology, science and keeping high end manufacturing of new products here (we're rather good at this in F1). I'll believe it when I see it, though.
As for managed decline: if you anticipate failure, you're halfway there already.
How exactly do we make it work?
'We're all f****d. I'm f****d. You're f****d. The whole department is f****d. It's the biggest cock-up ever. We're all completely f****d.'
(The sentence takes a long time to insert the asterisks but I know some people are a bit sensitive to expletives.)
It didn't add much to the debate because everyone was singing from the same hymn sheet.
Mr. Roger, what do you see as the cultural benefits?
Happy Brexit Day.
From now on, we're going to see real decisions and there will be winners (maybe) and losers. Today is peak Tory and for that I am delighted.
All we need now is an opposition.
That's not helping much, is it?
It's an utterly ridiculous way to talk, and quite a dangerous one.
We keep hearing what a spiteful, unwelcoming and unattractive place we've become yet 300,000 more people have arrived.
The gap between Remainer rhetoric and reality.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-39427026
Real Clear Politics on how Obamacare was consistently unpopular until people saw the proposed changes http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/obama_and_democrats_health_care_plan-1130.html
Now let's see what happens with Brexit.
Clarke's quote was: "I look forward to the day when the Westminster Parliament is just a council chamber in Europe"
Thankfully that day will now not come and Clarke can go to his grave knowing his life's work is in ruins.
That said, who seriously wants the old boy network running the country again? The auld elite failed absolutely and profoundly. I'll take the last forty years over what preceded it.
It's an utterly ridiculous way to talk, and quite a dangerous one.
A ridiculous way to talk? Dangerous? Hahahaha. Let's just agree to differ on this, shall we?
By 2020, the UK will have its chance to Kick The Buggers Out. When will be next vote be timetabled when the EU can kick out the Eurocrat buggers? When can democracy derail The Great European Project? You want to talk dangerous? That's dangerous, right there. Robbing the voters of any meaningful engagement in the democratic process.
Trade - Canada plus
Services - Equivalence
Divorce - we'll cut a deal on the budget to 2020, probably using overseas aid money so our "£350m" a week is available for budget 2020.
Protected Rights for Expats/Migrants - all bar criminals and terrorists
Migration Policy - in line with our global expectations
The Tories will abolish VAT on fuel bills and tampons in budget 2020 and dish out the share of the £350m to the devolved assemblies and they will have some 'signature ready' Trade deals done - the GCC, Australia, Canada etc. I suspect the US as well.
Among them were an estimated 2.8 million people who normally do not vote, but recognised the importance of the moment and broke the habits of many years. They had given up faith in voting as a way to change things, but they gave it one more go. Today, many people who had thought themselves powerless will be watching as the most powerful people in the land begin to do as they asked. The power of that moment to convince such people that democracy does work and that their vote does matter should not be underestimated, the opportunity must be taken to keep them engaged, and the responsibility to honour that instruction must not be denied.
http://www.conservativehome.com/thetorydiary/2017/03/a-truly-historic-moment-today-we-start-the-process-of-leaving-the-eu.html
And whilst nearly impossible, there was slightly more chance of reforming the EU than an institution that still prints its legislation on dead animals.
Westminster/Whitehall has failed this country for more than 100 years. The work to get it fit for the C21 is unimaginably complex. Makes Brexit look like a picnic.
Which is possibly the best counsel for Brexit too, but anyone with investments should adopt defensive positions and be prepared to switch quickly as events develop. It will be a rocky ride though I think some sort of fudged settlement will be agreed in the end.
I brung you a massage:
The Proom Monister has truggered Broxit. Meek Smithson isn't very hippy!