Theuniondivvie said:

Looks like we're reaching black swan time.

https://twitter.com/henrikenderlein/status/846398833747775488

2 new French polls today

Opinionway

1st round Le Pen 26% Macron 24% Fillon 20% Melenchon 13% Hamon 11%

Runoff Macron 61% Le Pen 39%

http://presicote.factoviz.com/index/more/id/qoo_lew_1

Ifop

1st round Macron 25.5% Le Pen 25% Fillon 17.5% Melenchon 14% Hamon 10.5%

Runoff Macron 60.5% Le Pen 39.5%
http://dataviz.ifop.com:8080/IFOP_ROLLING/IFOP_27-03-2017.pdf

chestnut said:

williamglenn said:

It seems that once again May has acted in a high-handed manner while committing strategic gaffes. She badly overrates herself.

https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/846458583604695040

She said she'd trigger A50 by March 2017. She's doing to do it.

Unless you're saying she's in the Iraqi Army.

No no its May suggesting the glam days of flying are long gone.. Mr Glenn is to the Mile-high Club what SeanT is to impressionable Remoaners (emphasis on moan.)

RobD said:

peter_from_putney said:

Will TSE get banned for breaking the 10.00pm embargo on GfK's poll and thereby stealing OGH's thunder?

TSE posting too soon again? Say it ain't so...

The pollster brought forward their embargo.

TheWhiteRabbit said:

YossariansChild said:

TheWhiteRabbit said:

YossariansChild said:

9% of Remain votes think Brexit was the right decision and 9% dont know. So nearly 20% of Remain voters arent sure about remaining in the EU.. I look forward to a thread on this..

I voted Remain by I dare not suffer the same fate as Orpheus...

A PB meet-up at a karaoke bar then..

Or Oasis

Having said that I'm a big country fan you're more likely to hear that

Well Don't Look Back in Anger and Stop Crying Your Heart Out at Leaving the EU. Stand By Me (or SeanT if he's paying) at the PB meet-up for a Champagne Supernova that will be Supersonic and make you Live Forever taking you All Around The World till you are Half A World Away as you wake with Morning Glory (OK I'll stop now..)

williamglenn said:

kle4 said:

So if Macron wins will there be a backup world leader liberal leading light to overhype in case the shine wears of Trudeau?

Trudeau is just a good-looking over-achiever with the right father. Macron could write himself into the history books.

Macron is slightly to Trudeau's right on economics, about the same on social issues, I can't see him ousting Trudeau as the current liberal/left poster boy

YossariansChild said:

TheWhiteRabbit said:

YossariansChild said:

TheWhiteRabbit said:

YossariansChild said:

9% of Remain votes think Brexit was the right decision and 9% dont know. So nearly 20% of Remain voters arent sure about remaining in the EU.. I look forward to a thread on this..

I voted Remain by I dare not suffer the same fate as Orpheus...

A PB meet-up at a karaoke bar then..

Or Oasis

Having said that I'm a big country fan you're more likely to hear that

Well Don't Look Back in Anger and Stop Crying Your Heart Out at Leaving the EU. Stand By Me (or SeanT if he's paying) at the PB meet-up for a Champagne Supernova that will be Supersonic and make you Live Forever taking you All Around The World till you are Half A World Away as you wake with Morning Glory (OK I'll stop now..)

I always thought "Don't Cry for Me Manuel Barroso" (the truth is, I never left you...) would work well

Watching the QT Brexit special. Only thing that shines forth is that Keir Stammer is Camden's Jim Gilmore.

(Edited for more Gilmore)

justin124 said:

Apparently the fieldwork for this poll was March 1st - March 15th - which makes it rather old. Rather surprised to see it conducted over such an extended period as two weeks!

To ensure their methodology is robust.

It should be noted that GfK, along side IPSOS Mori,help produce the exit poll that's proven so accurate at recent general elections.

chestnut said:

williamglenn said:

chestnut said:

williamglenn said:

It seems that once again May has acted in a high-handed manner while committing strategic gaffes. She badly overrates herself.

https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/846458583604695040

She said she'd trigger A50 by March 2017. She's doing to do it.

Unless you're saying she's in the Iraqi Army.

The meeting that was supposed to put Sturgeon back in her box ends up merely confirming the validity of the SNP's timeline. May hasn't got it.

https://twitter.com/peston/status/846442312926478336

It suggests that May knows a lot more than she is presently revealing.

Ratification with take how long after the draft deal is agreed?

6 months - plenty time for I2 !

YossariansChild said:

Mortimer said:

YossariansChild said:

9% of Remain votes think Brexit was the right decision and 9% dont know. So nearly 20% of Remain voters arent sure about remaining in the EU.. I look forward to a thread on this..

Jim Gilmore could only dream of such support.....

Good to see you in these parts.

We're having an article 50 drinks at Truckles on Wednesday 29th March, 6pm, if you fancy it?

That's very kind alas I'm in East Yorkshire and suffering a bad dose of Depression right now so a social function in London is out i'm afraid. Appreciate the offer though.

Sorry to hear about that Mr Child. Hope things improve soon.

Lol David Davies just handed Nick Clegg his backside.

peter_from_putney said:

I thought the Scots were turning against the idea of independence on account of their rapidly running out of oil ...... but now we hear this:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-north-east-orkney-shetland-39406131

Says Hurricane - a company in need of additional funding to PROVE what it says it has found....

MarqueeMark said:

HYUFD said:

Corbyn now has a 1% lower favourable rating than Trump in the UK
https://twitter.com/keiranpedley/status/846452763160707078

Perhaps his greatest achievement yet?

What is there left for Corbyn to achieve? Less favourable than Hitler? Scrofula?

If he falls below Piers Morgan he knows he really has hit rock bottom!

Wulfrun_Phil said:

glw said:

Jason said:

MarqueeMark said:

Jason said:

What a dreary oaf that Starmer fella is. Wooden doesn't begin to describe him.

Yes - if he gets the top job in Labour, he's going to make Theresa May look like Captain Excitement....

I've never seen him smile. Has anyone? There's something very odd about him. I know that's not unusual for a Lefty, but still.

He does come across as the sort of person you would hate to be sat next to on a plane or at a dinner. Maybe he's different in private but he won't be judged on that basis.

Speak for yourself. Just before Christmas I was at a fundraising dinner where he was the guest speaker and was very pleased to have had a chat of several minutes with him on matters Brexit.

Starmer comes across as unflappable, serious and competent as well as having a sharp debating mind. All the sort of qualities that caused John Smith to gain a lot of respect well before he eventually became Labour leader.

There's one word to describe him. Dull. He is a crashing bore. An automaton. A serious dullard. You cannot compare him to John Smith, not in any way.

YossariansChild said:

Keir Stammer is like Kryton with bad hair..

Lol, yes. I knew he reminded me of someone. Of course, Kryton is funny, but the head - yes, spot on. That grimace is pure Kryton.

Jason said:

Wulfrun_Phil said:

glw said:

Jason said:

MarqueeMark said:

Jason said:

What a dreary oaf that Starmer fella is. Wooden doesn't begin to describe him.

Yes - if he gets the top job in Labour, he's going to make Theresa May look like Captain Excitement....

I've never seen him smile. Has anyone? There's something very odd about him. I know that's not unusual for a Lefty, but still.

He does come across as the sort of person you would hate to be sat next to on a plane or at a dinner. Maybe he's different in private but he won't be judged on that basis.

Speak for yourself. Just before Christmas I was at a fundraising dinner where he was the guest speaker and was very pleased to have had a chat of several minutes with him on matters Brexit.

Starmer comes across as unflappable, serious and competent as well as having a sharp debating mind. All the sort of qualities that caused John Smith to gain a lot of respect well before he eventually became Labour leader.

There's one word to describe him. Dull. He is a crashing bore. An automaton. A serious dullard. You cannot compare him to John Smith, not in any way.

Hear, hear.

If Keir Starmer is the best Labour have got God help them. Having said that Remainers were by a distance the most persuasive.

The Tories dodged a bullet when they didn't elect Davis.

N/T

calum said:

Another 1 Billion barrels

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-north-east-orkney-shetland-39406131

"Hurricane Energy said one billion barrels of recoverable oil could be contained within the Greater Lancaster Area, 60 miles (97km) west of Shetland."

While this is very good news for the Oil&Gas Industry, careful wording of ' one billion barrels of recoverable oil could be contained within the Greater Lancaster Area'. Its not in the bag yet, go read the Hurricane Energy press release.

Beverley_C said:

FrancisUrquhart said:

Also with modern central heating, it gets hot quickly anyway. It isn't like t'olden days where you had to build and light t'fire and in an hour or so it would start to get warm.

It has to be said that there are few pleasures better than having a big fireplace and throwing big well-seasoned chunks of wood into the flames. My mother-in-law's farm has a big woodshed full of logs and in the middle of winter the fire is like a furnace. Lovely and cosy

No one could beat my Highland Granny when it came to setting a slow burning furnace in the fireplace. Once she lit the fire and got the logs going, she then piled on the coal and dross until there was absolutely no sign of a flame. So for about two hours you would get no heat from the fire, and then suddenly a wee flame would appear, and before you knew it was like a furnace and you were absolutely toasty warm.