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  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,002

    DavidL said:

    ... If, as I expect, tariff free trade is ultimately agreed what on earth is the point? If it is not then EEA membership with trade barriers with rUK is a disaster. ...

    Actually, the second of those isn't necessarily right. As an EEA member, Scotland could in principle join an EEA free-trade agreement with the UK even if the EU doesn't play ball with us - indeed, Norway and the other EEA states will already be giving this a very high priority:

    The UK is Norway’s most important trading partner, and Norway is the UK’s most important supplier of oil and gas.

    https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-norway-announce-new-trade-dialogue
    EEA wasn't an option for May due to

    1) Immigration
    2) Norway probably not agreeing to it as they'd be swamped by our economic size ?

    Politically those aren't such a problem for Sturgeon I guess.
  • Options

    DavidL said:

    ... If, as I expect, tariff free trade is ultimately agreed what on earth is the point? If it is not then EEA membership with trade barriers with rUK is a disaster. ...

    Actually, the second of those isn't necessarily right. As an EEA member, Scotland could in principle join an EEA free-trade agreement with the UK even if the EU doesn't play ball with us - indeed, Norway and the other EEA states will already be giving this a very high priority:

    The UK is Norway’s most important trading partner, and Norway is the UK’s most important supplier of oil and gas.

    https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-norway-announce-new-trade-dialogue
    I wonder what her fan club in Brussels will think, when despite fawning over them for the last 9 months, she is not going to stay in the EU
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    Pulpstar said:

    EEA wasn't an option for May due to

    1) Immigration
    2) Norway probably not agreeing to it as they'd be swamped by our economic size ?

    Politically those aren't such a problem for Sturgeon I guess.

    Yes, exactly. Also the EEA option was effectively ruled out by the Leave campaign's emphasis on 'taking back control' in ways other than in immigration. Wee Scotland wouldn't be so worried about that sort of stuff.
  • Options
    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,261
    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    nunu said:

    If this is accurate, then it makes the proposed referendum even more ludicrous. If the SNP don't even want to be in the EU (necessarily), why then would leaving it be considered just cause for Referendum 2: Refer Harder?

    https://twitter.com/iainmartin1/status/841707831330000897

    The half-hearted Indyref Mark 2 offensive has already collapsed in on itself and ground to a halt. A debacle.
    Yes it has. May didn't even say she doesn't want ACCESS to the single market.
    Full access is the red line.
    Nicola constantly refers to the 60% who voted to remain which de facto is stay in the EU.

    I am genuinely staggered by her change of stance and cannot see that this has done anything for her reputation - indeed it is almost dishonest
    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/dec/20/nicola-sturgeon-make-scotlands-place-in-single-market-integral-to-talks

    This is not some mysterious out of the blue statement. It has been completely and totally consistent.

    The faux outrage over this on here is completely hilarious.
    Think of PB as the Muirfield clubhouse explaining/justifying/equivocating to each other why 'stuff' has happened.
  • Options
    John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    edited March 2017
    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    nunu said:

    If this is accurate, then it makes the proposed referendum even more ludicrous. If the SNP don't even want to be in the EU (necessarily), why then would leaving it be considered just cause for Referendum 2: Refer Harder?

    https://twitter.com/iainmartin1/status/841707831330000897

    The half-hearted Indyref Mark 2 offensive has already collapsed in on itself and ground to a halt. A debacle.
    Yes it has. May didn't even say she doesn't want ACCESS to the single market.
    Full access is the red line.
    Nicola constantly refers to the 60% who voted to remain which de facto is stay in the EU.

    I am genuinely staggered by her change of stance and cannot see that this has done anything for her reputation - indeed it is almost dishonest
    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/dec/20/nicola-sturgeon-make-scotlands-place-in-single-market-integral-to-talks

    This is not some mysterious out of the blue statement. It has been completely and totally consistent.

    The faux outrage over this on here is completely hilarious.
    The EEA as an interim staging post prior to full EU membership seems sensible to me. Sturgeon hasn't said the EEA is the permanent end game for Scotland, unless I've missed it.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,391

    DavidL said:

    ... If, as I expect, tariff free trade is ultimately agreed what on earth is the point? If it is not then EEA membership with trade barriers with rUK is a disaster. ...

    Actually, the second of those isn't necessarily right. As an EEA member, Scotland could in principle join an EEA free-trade agreement with the UK even if the EU doesn't play ball with us - indeed, Norway and the other EEA states will already be giving this a very high priority:

    The UK is Norway’s most important trading partner, and Norway is the UK’s most important supplier of oil and gas.

    https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-norway-announce-new-trade-dialogue

    The EEA option is probably rather a good one for Scotland. It would also be good for Ireland, but that's an even bigger political minefield...
    Can you really see a scenario where we have tariff free trade with the EEA but not the EU? Anything's possible I suppose but it looks very unlikely to me. I do accept that if it did occur Scottish membership of the EEA would be more attractive than it otherwise looks.
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    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388
    Scott_P said:
    Being reminded of how much we are reliant on might be no bad thing.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,146
    edited March 2017

    DavidL said:

    ... If, as I expect, tariff free trade is ultimately agreed what on earth is the point? If it is not then EEA membership with trade barriers with rUK is a disaster. ...

    Actually, the second of those isn't necessarily right. As an EEA member, Scotland could in principle join an EEA free-trade agreement with the UK even if the EU doesn't play ball with us - indeed, Norway and the other EEA states will already be giving this a very high priority:

    The UK is Norway’s most important trading partner, and Norway is the UK’s most important supplier of oil and gas.

    https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-norway-announce-new-trade-dialogue
    I wonder what her fan club in Brussels will think, when despite fawning over them for the last 9 months, she is not going to stay in the EU
    You're overinterpreting things. The red line is EEA membership. The means to achieve that is most likely EU membership, but that is not the only option.

    They got burned last time with talk of being vetoed by Spain and so don't want to risk the campaign in that way. Brexit provides a good context since the No side have lost the Europe weapon.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,146

    Scott_P said:
    Being reminded of how much we are reliant on might be no bad thing.
    Perhaps May could introduce a foreign-goods hotline so unpatriotic imports could be reported to Amber Rudd.
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    edited March 2017
    So, just to be clear

    When Sturgeon said in June her aim was to retain Scottish Membership of the single market and got a Holyrood vote in favour of her taking any and all actions to explore continuing membership and then in December when she presented the Scottish governments official position to Theresa May and it was for Scottish Membership of the Single Market it is now completely outrageous and a complete u-turn for her to be suggesting that an independent Scotland would seek to be a member of the Single Market?

    Right oh.
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,094
    edited March 2017
    It's better for the environment to buy local goods, to be honest. Especially food.
  • Options

    DavidL said:

    ... If, as I expect, tariff free trade is ultimately agreed what on earth is the point? If it is not then EEA membership with trade barriers with rUK is a disaster. ...

    Actually, the second of those isn't necessarily right. As an EEA member, Scotland could in principle join an EEA free-trade agreement with the UK even if the EU doesn't play ball with us - indeed, Norway and the other EEA states will already be giving this a very high priority:

    The UK is Norway’s most important trading partner, and Norway is the UK’s most important supplier of oil and gas.

    https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-norway-announce-new-trade-dialogue
    I wonder what her fan club in Brussels will think, when despite fawning over them for the last 9 months, she is not going to stay in the EU
    You're overinterpreting things. The red line is EEA membership. The means to achieve that is most likely EU membership, but that is not the only option.

    They got burned last time with talk of being vetoed by Spain and so don't want to risk the campaign in that way. Brexit provides a good context since the Yes side have lost the Europe weapon.
    You are missing the point - yesterday was all about a second referendum on membership of the EU. It is only now she is talking about EEA. No matter how you slice it she misled everyone yesterday
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,763
    John_M said:

    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    nunu said:

    If this is accurate, then it makes the proposed referendum even more ludicrous. If the SNP don't even want to be in the EU (necessarily), why then would leaving it be considered just cause for Referendum 2: Refer Harder?

    https://twitter.com/iainmartin1/status/841707831330000897

    The half-hearted Indyref Mark 2 offensive has already collapsed in on itself and ground to a halt. A debacle.
    Yes it has. May didn't even say she doesn't want ACCESS to the single market.
    Full access is the red line.
    Nicola constantly refers to the 60% who voted to remain which de facto is stay in the EU.

    I am genuinely staggered by her change of stance and cannot see that this has done anything for her reputation - indeed it is almost dishonest
    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/dec/20/nicola-sturgeon-make-scotlands-place-in-single-market-integral-to-talks

    This is not some mysterious out of the blue statement. It has been completely and totally consistent.

    The faux outrage over this on here is completely hilarious.
    The EEA as an interim staging post prior to full EU membership seems sensible to me. Sturgeon hasn't said the EEA is the permanent end game for Scotland, unless I've missed it.
    who knows what shes said

    were back to free money with your unicorn

    the SNP arguments havent improved with time
  • Options
    PClippPClipp Posts: 2,138
    Sandpit said:

    Tories have a working majority of 17. There is a simple solution to boost that, support Scottish independence. By my maths that would boost the Tory working majority to 74. That's before any boundary reforms or a potential Corbyn general election.

    Why would the 'Conservative and Unionist Party' support the breakup of the Union?
    Self-interest. As always.
  • Options
    MonikerDiCanioMonikerDiCanio Posts: 5,792

    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    nunu said:

    If this is accurate, then it makes the proposed referendum even more ludicrous. If the SNP don't even want to be in the EU (necessarily), why then would leaving it be considered just cause for Referendum 2: Refer Harder?

    https://twitter.com/iainmartin1/status/841707831330000897

    The half-hearted Indyref Mark 2 offensive has already collapsed in on itself and ground to a halt. A debacle.
    Yes it has. May didn't even say she doesn't want ACCESS to the single market.
    Full access is the red line.
    Nicola constantly refers to the 60% who voted to remain which de facto is stay in the EU.

    I am genuinely staggered by her change of stance and cannot see that this has done anything for her reputation - indeed it is almost dishonest
    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/dec/20/nicola-sturgeon-make-scotlands-place-in-single-market-integral-to-talks

    This is not some mysterious out of the blue statement. It has been completely and totally consistent.

    The faux outrage over this on here is completely hilarious.
    Think of PB as the Muirfield clubhouse explaining/justifying/equivocating to each other why 'stuff' has happened.
    Think of the SNP as a car with an insufferable fat chauvinist in the passenger seat bellowing unintelligible instructions at the flustered wee hen at the wheel.
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    It's better for the environment to buy local goods, to be honest. Especially food.

    It depends. If you require inordinate amounts of fertalizer and growth lights to get certain crops growing locally then importing them from a far away country can easily be greener.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,391
    I wonder if the switch to EEA is a response to the somewhat unhelpful comments from Spain this morning re EU membership?
  • Options
    ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    nunu said:

    If this is accurate, then it makes the proposed referendum even more ludicrous. If the SNP don't even want to be in the EU (necessarily), why then would leaving it be considered just cause for Referendum 2: Refer Harder?

    https://twitter.com/iainmartin1/status/841707831330000897

    The half-hearted Indyref Mark 2 offensive has already collapsed in on itself and ground to a halt. A debacle.
    Yes it has. May didn't even say she doesn't want ACCESS to the single market.
    Full access is the red line.
    Nicola constantly refers to the 60% who voted to remain which de facto is stay in the EU.

    I am genuinely staggered by her change of stance and cannot see that this has done anything for her reputation - indeed it is almost dishonest
    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/dec/20/nicola-sturgeon-make-scotlands-place-in-single-market-integral-to-talks

    This is not some mysterious out of the blue statement. It has been completely and totally consistent.

    The faux outrage over this on here is completely hilarious.
    The justification given is the last SNP Holyrood manifesto which talked about Scotland leaving the EU against its will.

    Setting aside the fact that Scotland didn't give (and wasn't asked) its opinion on whether Scotland should leave the EU, it's fairly clear that *if* that manifesto is used as justification for a second referendum, *then* the SNP *must* be proposing that an "independent" Scotland promptly applies for EU membership.
  • Options
    calumcalum Posts: 3,046
    Pulpstar said:

    DavidL said:

    ... If, as I expect, tariff free trade is ultimately agreed what on earth is the point? If it is not then EEA membership with trade barriers with rUK is a disaster. ...

    Actually, the second of those isn't necessarily right. As an EEA member, Scotland could in principle join an EEA free-trade agreement with the UK even if the EU doesn't play ball with us - indeed, Norway and the other EEA states will already be giving this a very high priority:

    The UK is Norway’s most important trading partner, and Norway is the UK’s most important supplier of oil and gas.

    https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-norway-announce-new-trade-dialogue
    EEA wasn't an option for May due to

    1) Immigration
    2) Norway probably not agreeing to it as they'd be swamped by our economic size ?

    Politically those aren't such a problem for Sturgeon I guess.
    Old news as well - this doc was published in December !
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,094
    edited March 2017
    Alistair said:

    It's better for the environment to buy local goods, to be honest. Especially food.

    It depends. If you require inordinate amounts of fertalizer and growth lights to get certain crops growing locally then importing them from a far away country can easily be greener.
    Well that is true. I don't mean exotic fruit and vegetables, which are luxuries. I mean fruit, vegetables and animals that can be grown or reared here relatively naturally.
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    edited March 2017
    DavidL said:

    Can you really see a scenario where we have tariff free trade with the EEA but not the EU? Anything's possible I suppose but it looks very unlikely to me. I do accept that if it did occur Scottish membership of the EEA would be more attractive than it otherwise looks.

    I think your question comes down to whether or not we come to a trade deal with the EU. I'd say that it's pretty much certain that we'll have tariff- and hassle-free trade with the EEA/EFTA countries, given that it's in both sides' interests and they haven't got the political baggage to worry about, nor a motive to give us a rough deal pour décourager les autres, nor do they have the institutional sclerosis of having to get unanimity of 27 countries and various tin-pot parliaments.
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,094
    edited March 2017
    Can we have free trade with EEA countries whilst having our own free trade agreements with other countries? Wouldn't that result in goods being imported into the EU via proxy countries?
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,763
    calum said:

    Pulpstar said:

    DavidL said:

    ... If, as I expect, tariff free trade is ultimately agreed what on earth is the point? If it is not then EEA membership with trade barriers with rUK is a disaster. ...

    Actually, the second of those isn't necessarily right. As an EEA member, Scotland could in principle join an EEA free-trade agreement with the UK even if the EU doesn't play ball with us - indeed, Norway and the other EEA states will already be giving this a very high priority:

    The UK is Norway’s most important trading partner, and Norway is the UK’s most important supplier of oil and gas.

    https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-norway-announce-new-trade-dialogue
    EEA wasn't an option for May due to

    1) Immigration
    2) Norway probably not agreeing to it as they'd be swamped by our economic size ?

    Politically those aren't such a problem for Sturgeon I guess.
    Old news as well - this doc was published in December !
    chortle

    yeah like everyone bought a copy and read it

    it's fking Cameronism - bring your lawyer and read the sub clauses
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    DavidL said:

    ... If, as I expect, tariff free trade is ultimately agreed what on earth is the point? If it is not then EEA membership with trade barriers with rUK is a disaster. ...

    Actually, the second of those isn't necessarily right. As an EEA member, Scotland could in principle join an EEA free-trade agreement with the UK even if the EU doesn't play ball with us - indeed, Norway and the other EEA states will already be giving this a very high priority:

    The UK is Norway’s most important trading partner, and Norway is the UK’s most important supplier of oil and gas.

    https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-norway-announce-new-trade-dialogue
    I wonder what her fan club in Brussels will think, when despite fawning over them for the last 9 months, she is not going to stay in the EU
    You're overinterpreting things. The red line is EEA membership. The means to achieve that is most likely EU membership, but that is not the only option.

    They got burned last time with talk of being vetoed by Spain and so don't want to risk the campaign in that way. Brexit provides a good context since the Yes side have lost the Europe weapon.
    You are missing the point - yesterday was all about a second referendum on membership of the EU. It is only now she is talking about EEA. No matter how you slice it she misled everyone yesterday
    Are you kidding me. She talked about single market membership yesterday. I'm reading the transcript right now.

    You are making words out of thin air.

    " a choice of whether to follow the UK to a hard Brexit, or to become an independent country able to secure a real partnership of equals with the rest of the UK and our own relationship with Europe."

    "Own relationship with Europe" does not equal "membership of the European Union"
  • Options
    calumcalum Posts: 3,046
    DavidL said:

    I wonder if the switch to EEA is a response to the somewhat unhelpful comments from Spain this morning re EU membership?

    Looks like this is old news being reheated by the Guardian

    http://www.gov.scot/Publications/2016/12/9234/downloads#res512073
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,391

    DavidL said:

    Can you really see a scenario where we have tariff free trade with the EEA but not the EU? Anything's possible I suppose but it looks very unlikely to me. I do accept that if it did occur Scottish membership of the EEA would be more attractive than it otherwise looks.

    I think your question comes down to whether or not we come to a trade deal with the EU. I'd say that it's pretty much certain that we'll have tariff- and hassle-free trade with the EEA/EFTA countries, given that it's in both sides' interests and they haven't got the political baggage to worry about, nor a motive to give us a rough deal pour décourager les autres, nor do they have the institutional sclerosis of having to get unanimity of 27 countries and various tin-pot parliaments.
    Yes that's fair. Which brings me back to the point that I do expect us to have tariff free trade with the EU. There is just too much for both sides to lose for a different result.
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,017

    Can we have free trade with EEA countries whilst having our own free trade agreements with other countries? Wouldn't that result in goods being imported into the EU via proxy countries?

    No. There are systems to cover this. It is how the EFTA members of the EEA operate.
  • Options

    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    nunu said:

    If this is accurate, then it makes the proposed referendum even more ludicrous. If the SNP don't even want to be in the EU (necessarily), why then would leaving it be considered just cause for Referendum 2: Refer Harder?

    https://twitter.com/iainmartin1/status/841707831330000897

    The half-hearted Indyref Mark 2 offensive has already collapsed in on itself and ground to a halt. A debacle.
    Yes it has. May didn't even say she doesn't want ACCESS to the single market.
    Full access is the red line.
    Nicola constantly refers to the 60% who voted to remain which de facto is stay in the EU.

    I am genuinely staggered by her change of stance and cannot see that this has done anything for her reputation - indeed it is almost dishonest
    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/dec/20/nicola-sturgeon-make-scotlands-place-in-single-market-integral-to-talks

    This is not some mysterious out of the blue statement. It has been completely and totally consistent.

    The faux outrage over this on here is completely hilarious.
    The justification given is the last SNP Holyrood manifesto which talked about Scotland leaving the EU against its will.

    Setting aside the fact that Scotland didn't give (and wasn't asked) its opinion on whether Scotland should leave the EU, it's fairly clear that *if* that manifesto is used as justification for a second referendum, *then* the SNP *must* be proposing that an "independent" Scotland promptly applies for EU membership.
    Needs referring to Gina
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,763
    Alistair said:

    DavidL said:

    ... If, as I expect, tariff free trade is ultimately agreed what on earth is the point? If it is not then EEA membership with trade barriers with rUK is a disaster. ...

    Actually, the second of those isn't necessarily right. As an EEA member, Scotland could in principle join an EEA free-trade agreement with the UK even if the EU doesn't play ball with us - indeed, Norway and the other EEA states will already be giving this a very high priority:

    The UK is Norway’s most important trading partner, and Norway is the UK’s most important supplier of oil and gas.

    https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-norway-announce-new-trade-dialogue
    I wonder what her fan club in Brussels will think, when despite fawning over them for the last 9 months, she is not going to stay in the EU
    You're overinterpreting things. The red line is EEA membership. The means to achieve that is most likely EU membership, but that is not the only option.

    They got burned last time with talk of being vetoed by Spain and so don't want to risk the campaign in that way. Brexit provides a good context since the Yes side have lost the Europe weapon.
    You are missing the point - yesterday was all about a second referendum on membership of the EU. It is only now she is talking about EEA. No matter how you slice it she misled everyone yesterday
    Are you kidding me. She talked about single market membership yesterday. I'm reading the transcript right now.

    You are making words out of thin air.

    " a choice of whether to follow the UK to a hard Brexit, or to become an independent country able to secure a real partnership of equals with the rest of the UK and our own relationship with Europe."

    "Own relationship with Europe" does not equal "membership of the European Union"
    tell that to the voters - nobody believes it and now the media have their breach in the argument
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    edited March 2017

    Can we have free trade with EEA countries whilst having our own free trade agreements with other countries? Wouldn't that result in goods being imported into the EU via proxy countries?

    Yes, EEA members can and do have free trade agreements with other countries. The problem of good being sneaked into the EU that way is dealt with by the exporter from (say) Norway to the EU signing a declaration of origin. (The EEA countries are not in the EU customs union, so there are still some customs checks).
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    Alistair said:

    DavidL said:

    ... If, as I expect, tariff free trade is ultimately agreed what on earth is the point? If it is not then EEA membership with trade barriers with rUK is a disaster. ...

    Actually, the second of those isn't necessarily right. As an EEA member, Scotland could in principle join an EEA free-trade agreement with the UK even if the EU doesn't play ball with us - indeed, Norway and the other EEA states will already be giving this a very high priority:

    The UK is Norway’s most important trading partner, and Norway is the UK’s most important supplier of oil and gas.

    https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-norway-announce-new-trade-dialogue
    I wonder what her fan club in Brussels will think, when despite fawning over them for the last 9 months, she is not going to stay in the EU
    You're overinterpreting things. The red line is EEA membership. The means to achieve that is most likely EU membership, but that is not the only option.

    They got burned last time with talk of being vetoed by Spain and so don't want to risk the campaign in that way. Brexit provides a good context since the Yes side have lost the Europe weapon.
    You are missing the point - yesterday was all about a second referendum on membership of the EU. It is only now she is talking about EEA. No matter how you slice it she misled everyone yesterday
    Are you kidding me. She talked about single market membership yesterday. I'm reading the transcript right now.

    You are making words out of thin air.

    " a choice of whether to follow the UK to a hard Brexit, or to become an independent country able to secure a real partnership of equals with the rest of the UK and our own relationship with Europe."

    "Own relationship with Europe" does not equal "membership of the European Union"
    tell that to the voters - nobody believes it and now the media have their breach in the argument
    So you think voters are going to be appalled by the daming evidence of Sturgeon sticking to the same position for the last 9 months?

    It's a view I suppose.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,164
    PClipp said:

    Sandpit said:

    Tories have a working majority of 17. There is a simple solution to boost that, support Scottish independence. By my maths that would boost the Tory working majority to 74. That's before any boundary reforms or a potential Corbyn general election.

    Why would the 'Conservative and Unionist Party' support the breakup of the Union?
    Self-interest. As always.
    May has made quite clear her commitment to the Union
  • Options
    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    DavidL said:

    I wonder if the switch to EEA is a response to the somewhat unhelpful comments from Spain this morning re EU membership?

    It's a response to the polling which was telling her that less than 30% of Scots were pro-EU Sindies.


  • Options
    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,261

    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    nunu said:

    If this is accurate, then it makes the proposed referendum even more ludicrous. If the SNP don't even want to be in the EU (necessarily), why then would leaving it be considered just cause for Referendum 2: Refer Harder?

    https://twitter.com/iainmartin1/status/841707831330000897

    The half-hearted Indyref Mark 2 offensive has already collapsed in on itself and ground to a halt. A debacle.
    Yes it has. May didn't even say she doesn't want ACCESS to the single market.
    Full access is the red line.
    Nicola constantly refers to the 60% who voted to remain which de facto is stay in the EU.

    I am genuinely staggered by her change of stance and cannot see that this has done anything for her reputation - indeed it is almost dishonest
    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/dec/20/nicola-sturgeon-make-scotlands-place-in-single-market-integral-to-talks

    This is not some mysterious out of the blue statement. It has been completely and totally consistent.

    The faux outrage over this on here is completely hilarious.
    Think of PB as the Muirfield clubhouse explaining/justifying/equivocating to each other why 'stuff' has happened.
    Think of the SNP as a car with an insufferable fat chauvinist in the passenger seat bellowing unintelligible instructions at the flustered wee hen at the wheel.
    A bit lumbering there Monica. You're obviously rattled.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,002
    Joining the EEA might help the SNP in one way, but it leaves a big big currency question unresolved.
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,017

    DavidL said:

    ... If, as I expect, tariff free trade is ultimately agreed what on earth is the point? If it is not then EEA membership with trade barriers with rUK is a disaster. ...

    Actually, the second of those isn't necessarily right. As an EEA member, Scotland could in principle join an EEA free-trade agreement with the UK even if the EU doesn't play ball with us - indeed, Norway and the other EEA states will already be giving this a very high priority:

    The UK is Norway’s most important trading partner, and Norway is the UK’s most important supplier of oil and gas.

    https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-norway-announce-new-trade-dialogue

    The EEA option is probably rather a good one for Scotland. It would also be good for Ireland, but that's an even bigger political minefield...
    EEA membership would be good for the UK as a whole. It is only the stupid hang up with immigration that makes it impractical. For Scotland it would be an excellent choice. It would however cause issues with the land border with England due to freedom of movement.
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    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,763
    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    DavidL said:

    ... If, as I expect, tariff free trade is ultimately agreed what on earth is the point? If it is not then EEA membership with trade barriers with rUK is a disaster. ...

    Actually, the second of those isn't necessarily right. As an EEA member, Scotland could in principle join an EEA free-trade agreement with the UK even if the EU doesn't play ball with us - indeed, Norway and the other EEA states will already be giving this a very high priority:

    The UK is Norway’s most important trading partner, and Norway is the UK’s most important supplier of oil and gas.

    https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-norway-announce-new-trade-dialogue
    I wonder what her fan club in Brussels will think, when despite fawning over them for the last 9 months, she is not going to stay in the EU
    You're overinterpreting things. The red line is EEA membership. The means to achieve that is most likely EU membership, but that is not the only option.

    They got burned last time with talk of being vetoed by Spain and so don't want to risk the campaign in that way. Brexit provides a good context since the Yes side have lost the Europe weapon.
    You are missing the point - yesterday was all about a second referendum on membership of the EU. It is only now she is talking about EEA. No matter how you slice it she misled everyone yesterday
    Are you kidding me. She talked about single market membership yesterday. I'm reading the transcript right now.

    You are making words out of thin air.

    " a choice of whether to follow the UK to a hard Brexit, or to become an independent country able to secure a real partnership of equals with the rest of the UK and our own relationship with Europe."

    "Own relationship with Europe" does not equal "membership of the European Union"
    tell that to the voters - nobody believes it and now the media have their breach in the argument
    So you think voters are going to be appalled by the daming evidence of Sturgeon sticking to the same position for the last 9 months?

    It's a view I suppose.
    I think Sturgeon will be spending her time trying to convince a sceptical media she hasnt changed her position and looking weak and shifty as a result
  • Options
    Alistair said:

    DavidL said:

    ... If, as I expect, tariff free trade is ultimately agreed what on earth is the point? If it is not then EEA membership with trade barriers with rUK is a disaster. ...

    Actually, the second of those isn't necessarily right. As an EEA member, Scotland could in principle join an EEA free-trade agreement with the UK even if the EU doesn't play ball with us - indeed, Norway and the other EEA states will already be giving this a very high priority:

    The UK is Norway’s most important trading partner, and Norway is the UK’s most important supplier of oil and gas.

    https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-norway-announce-new-trade-dialogue
    I wonder what her fan club in Brussels will think, when despite fawning over them for the last 9 months, she is not going to stay in the EU
    You're overinterpreting things. The red line is EEA membership. The means to achieve that is most likely EU membership, but that is not the only option.

    They got burned last time with talk of being vetoed by Spain and so don't want to risk the campaign in that way. Brexit provides a good context since the Yes side have lost the Europe weapon.
    You are missing the point - yesterday was all about a second referendum on membership of the EU. It is only now she is talking about EEA. No matter how you slice it she misled everyone yesterday
    Are you kidding me. She talked about single market membership yesterday. I'm reading the transcript right now.

    You are making words out of thin air.

    " a choice of whether to follow the UK to a hard Brexit, or to become an independent country able to secure a real partnership of equals with the rest of the UK and our own relationship with Europe."

    "Own relationship with Europe" does not equal "membership of the European Union"
    Everything Nicola has said and done, including her various visits to the EU, indicated full EU membership and she did not say EAA yesterday. Many will see it as misleading or even dishonest no matter how you try to defend her
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,391
    calum said:

    DavidL said:

    I wonder if the switch to EEA is a response to the somewhat unhelpful comments from Spain this morning re EU membership?

    Looks like this is old news being reheated by the Guardian

    http://www.gov.scot/Publications/2016/12/9234/downloads#res512073
    In that she says:

    "One option – in my view, the best option – is to become a full member of the EU as an
    independent country. Indeed, independence would resolve the fundamental cause of
    the position Scotland currently finds itself in: Westminster Governments that Scotland
    doesn’t vote for, imposing policies that a majority in Scotland does not support."

    That was the option she set out yesterday. Today she is saying something materially different. (We will put to one side Scotland's completely insignificant say in determining the policies and legislation of the EU should it become a member on the very solid basis that at least they are not English, or something.)
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,396
    edited March 2017
    I am at a loss to understand this confusion over Sturgeon's alleged change of heart on EU membership.

    I used to be a member of Plaid Cymru saw what is going on now with Sturgeon at first hand. Everyone is missing the point (some posters wilfully) about the SNP and Sturgeon. Sturgeon does not care one way or another about single market access. She never has. She never will. Just as she doesn't care about the people of Scotland, never has and never will (which is incidentally why her government has such a poor track record on domestic issues, although the lack of any sort of opposition doesn't help). She has only the haziest idea of what 'being Scottish' actually means - for example, she doesn't seem to know that the southern half of Scotland, including Edinburgh, is ex-Saxon land.

    What she really is is somebody who hates the English. That's it. That's all 90% of nationalists are - people with inferiority complexes who have convinced themselves that their problems and failures are the result of malicious influences outside their control and once they are removed everything will be perfect. Ireland is the classic example (and in its sixty years of poverty and stagnation a grim warning for anyone who uncritically believes Sturgeon or for that matter her fellow traveller in England, Nigel Farage). She doesn't care what happens to Scotland, or Europe, or anything, as long as she can hammer the English, the harder the better. If she hammers the Scots at the same time, she really won't care.

    The EU vote is a merely pretext for what she has always intended to do since at least 2015 (although she was shy about saying it aloud, unlike Salmond). If it wasn't this, it would be something else. The hollowness of her claims may be seen quite simply in her desperation to hold the vote before any 'material changes' could possibly materialise. Therefore, she doesn't actually mind if she ends up in the EU, the EEA or even the CIS as long as she gets it in a way that hurts her neighbour.

    This is what turned me off nationalism that once, in a burst of youthful idealism, I genuinely thought was about standing up for those on the country's periphery against the might and arrrogance of London's politicians. When I realised that there were people who actually hated me merely because my father spoke no Welsh, I abandoned them, first for the Liberal Democrats now for the life of a floating voter.

    This does of course make her a very difficult opponent to beat - because like most narcissistic fanatics who are careless of the consequences of their actions, she will be quite happy to say anything in order to get her way. That could lead to a belief that an independent Scotland will be rich, free, prosperous and have free owls provided by Harry Potter. However, the pretext used should also give May the option of delaying things for five years by which time Sturgeon will have some awkward explaining to do about the collapse of the Scottish university system.
  • Options
    MonikerDiCanioMonikerDiCanio Posts: 5,792

    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    nunu said:

    If this is accurate, then it makes the proposed referendum even more ludicrous. If the SNP don't even want to be in the EU (necessarily), why then would leaving it be considered just cause for Referendum 2: Refer Harder?

    https://twitter.com/iainmartin1/status/841707831330000897

    The half-hearted Indyref Mark 2 offensive has already collapsed in on itself and ground to a halt. A debacle.
    Yes it has. May didn't even say she doesn't want ACCESS to the single market.
    Full access is the red line.
    Nicola constantly refers to the 60% who voted to remain which de facto is stay in the EU.

    I am genuinely staggered by her change of stance and cannot see that this has done anything for her reputation - indeed it is almost dishonest
    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/dec/20/nicola-sturgeon-make-scotlands-place-in-single-market-integral-to-talks

    This is not some mysterious out of the blue statement. It has been completely and totally consistent.

    The faux outrage over this on here is completely hilarious.
    Think of PB as the Muirfield clubhouse explaining/justifying/equivocating to each other why 'stuff' has happened.
    Think of the SNP as a car with an insufferable fat chauvinist in the passenger seat bellowing unintelligible instructions at the flustered wee hen at the wheel.
    A bit lumbering there Monica. You're obviously rattled.
    Nicola's made a monkey out of you. That must sting.
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,146
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fYmnw-Z343E

    I wonder which way she'll vote on the Brexit deal?
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,017



    You think it's fanciful because you don't want to imagine rUK revisiting Brexit when faced with that scenario.

    Nope. That is one thing I know won't happen. In fact the very best result for me would be for the Scottish independence result to move us to EFTA membership of the EEA. But that is unlikely in the extreme given the current emphasis on immigration controls.
  • Options
    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,261
    edited March 2017
    Alistair said:

    So, just to be clear

    When Sturgeon said in June her aim was to retain Scottish Membership of the single market and got a Holyrood vote in favour of her taking any and all actions to explore continuing membership and then in December when she presented the Scottish governments official position to Theresa May and it was for Scottish Membership of the Single Market it is now completely outrageous and a complete u-turn for her to be suggesting that an independent Scotland would seek to be a member of the Single Market?

    Right oh.

    Hardly a singular view either, especially in the the good old days when TRuthy wasn't born again.

    'Scotland must retain access to the European single market to protect the economy, jobs and public services, Scottish Conservative leader Ruth Davidson has told Europe Minister David Lidington'

    http://tinyurl.com/hmt962q
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,763

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fYmnw-Z343E

    I wonder which way she'll vote on the Brexit deal?

    probably the one with most semtex
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820

    EEA membership would be good for the UK as a whole. It is only the stupid hang up with immigration that makes it impractical. For Scotland it would be an excellent choice. It would however cause issues with the land border with England due to freedom of movement.

    I don't think the freedom of movement issue across the border would be a big problem, as long as Scotland stays out of Schengen. Controlling immigration is not primarily about border checks, but the right to work and reside here. Any EU citizen who wanted to work here illegally could just fly to Luton or get the Eurostar to Ashford - they wouldn't need to go via Edinburgh.
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    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    Alistair said:

    So you think voters are going to be appalled by the daming evidence of Sturgeon sticking to the same position for the last 9 months?

    It's a view I suppose.

    "As things stand, Scotland faces the prospect of being taken out of the EU against our will.I regard that as democratically unacceptable."

    "Secondly, I want to make it absolutely clear today that I intend to take all possible steps and explore all options to give effect to how people in Scotland voted - in other words, to secure our continuing place in the EU and in the single market in particular.

    "And we said clearly that we do not want to leave the EU."

    https://www.snp.org/statement_on_euref_result_and_it_s_implications_for_scotland

  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,002

    EEA membership would be good for the UK as a whole. It is only the stupid hang up with immigration that makes it impractical. For Scotland it would be an excellent choice. It would however cause issues with the land border with England due to freedom of movement.

    I don't think the freedom of movement issue across the border would be a big problem, as long as Scotland stays out of Schengen. Controlling immigration is not primarily about border checks, but the right to work and reside here. Any EU citizen who wanted to work here illegally could just fly to Luton or get the Eurostar to Ashford - they wouldn't need to go via Edinburgh.
    Isn't Schengen a condition of EEA ?
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,391
    Pulpstar said:

    Joining the EEA might help the SNP in one way, but it leaves a big big currency question unresolved.

    Yes and it rules out the Euro option. Which, on one view, seems to be the only one on the table other than using sterling with no say on monetary or interest rate policy or creating a new currency subject to the whims of the oil price. That was a killer the last time around.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,146
    Pulpstar said:

    EEA membership would be good for the UK as a whole. It is only the stupid hang up with immigration that makes it impractical. For Scotland it would be an excellent choice. It would however cause issues with the land border with England due to freedom of movement.

    I don't think the freedom of movement issue across the border would be a big problem, as long as Scotland stays out of Schengen. Controlling immigration is not primarily about border checks, but the right to work and reside here. Any EU citizen who wanted to work here illegally could just fly to Luton or get the Eurostar to Ashford - they wouldn't need to go via Edinburgh.
    Isn't Schengen a condition of EEA ?
    Don't think so. We're not in Schengen and are in the EEA, and vice versa for Switzerland.
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    Pulpstar said:

    Isn't Schengen a condition of EEA ?

    I don't think so, although all four EFTA countries have signed up to it.
  • Options
    OUTOUT Posts: 569

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fYmnw-Z343E

    I wonder which way she'll vote on the Brexit deal?

    Think she's undecided.
  • Options
    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    Pulpstar said:

    Joining the EEA might help the SNP in one way, but it leaves a big big currency question unresolved.

    All EEA countries pay access fees as well.
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,017
    Pulpstar said:

    EEA membership would be good for the UK as a whole. It is only the stupid hang up with immigration that makes it impractical. For Scotland it would be an excellent choice. It would however cause issues with the land border with England due to freedom of movement.

    I don't think the freedom of movement issue across the border would be a big problem, as long as Scotland stays out of Schengen. Controlling immigration is not primarily about border checks, but the right to work and reside here. Any EU citizen who wanted to work here illegally could just fly to Luton or get the Eurostar to Ashford - they wouldn't need to go via Edinburgh.
    Isn't Schengen a condition of EEA ?
    No. The UK is currently in the EEA but not Schengen.
  • Options
    glwglw Posts: 9,554
    edited March 2017
    ydoethur said:

    I used to be a member of Plaid Cymru saw what is going on now with Sturgeon at first hand.

    Good post.

    I have a serious question. Why does Wales, with at least as much nationalistic pride as Scotland, seem less antagonistic towards England? Is it simply that England and Wales have more common history, or is there something fundamentally different between Welsh nationalism and Scottish nationalism?
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,763
    OUT said:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fYmnw-Z343E

    I wonder which way she'll vote on the Brexit deal?

    Think she's undecided.
    She's Sinn Fein's Director for Unionist Engagement

    so looks like that's going well
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    HaroldOHaroldO Posts: 1,185
    Only two more years of bickering to go, yay.
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    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,763
    HaroldO said:

    Only two more years of bickering to go, yay.

    it's Indyref - three minimum
  • Options
    glwglw Posts: 9,554

    HaroldO said:

    Only two more years of bickering to go, yay.

    it's Indyref - three minimum
    Then the transition period, followed by the unbounded UN peace keeping mission. Sometime around about 2080 or so things might have settled down.
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    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    DavidL said:

    ... If, as I expect, tariff free trade is ultimately agreed what on earth is the point? If it is not then EEA membership with trade barriers with rUK is a disaster. ...

    Actually, the second of those isn't necessarily right. As an EEA member, Scotland could in principle join an EEA free-trade agreement with the UK even if the EU doesn't play ball with us - indeed, Norway and the other EEA states will already be giving this a very high priority:

    The UK is Norway’s most important trading partner, and Norway is the UK’s most important supplier of oil and gas.

    https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-norway-announce-new-trade-dialogue
    I wonder what her fan club in Brussels will think, when despite fawning over them for the last 9 months, she is not going to stay in the EU
    You're overinterpreting things. The red line is EEA membership. The means to achieve that is most likely EU membership, but that is not the only option.

    They got burned last time with talk of being vetoed by Spain and so don't want to risk the campaign in that way. Brexit provides a good context since the Yes side have lost the Europe weapon.
    You are missing the point - yesterday was all about a second referendum on membership of the EU. It is only now she is talking about EEA. No matter how you slice it she misled everyone yesterday
    Are you kidding me. She talked about single market membership yesterday. I'm reading the transcript right now.

    You are making words out of thin air.

    " a choice of whether to follow the UK to a hard Brexit, or to become an independent country able to secure a real partnership of equals with the rest of the UK and our own relationship with Europe."

    "Own relationship with Europe" does not equal "membership of the European Union"
    tell that to the voters - nobody believes it and now the media have their breach in the argument
    So you think voters are going to be appalled by the daming evidence of Sturgeon sticking to the same position for the last 9 months?

    It's a view I suppose.
    I think Sturgeon will be spending her time trying to convince a sceptical media she hasnt changed her position and looking weak and shifty as a result
    Given that her position on single market membership being key has been well documented by the media over the last 9 months it seems like an easy sell.

    Getting excited by an Iain Martin article criticising the SNP is like being shocked at a alcoholic drinking booze.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,205
    Regarding currency, some Nats aspire for Scotland to be like Panama:

    http://tinyurl.com/henyjw5

    There are still countries following the same system even in the globalised economy of today. Panama is a good example. Since 1903 it has used the US dollar just in the way independent Scotland would again be using the pound. Panama is a prosperous country, as rich as EU members Croatia or Hungary. It can attract huge foreign investments: we saw an example the other day when the first Chinese super-freighter passed through the newly expanded Panama Canal.

    The International Monetary Fund, no less, has given the Panamanian system its seal of approval: ‘By not having a central bank, Panama lacks both a traditional lender of last resort and a mechanism to mitigate systemic liquidity shortages. The authorities emphasised that these features had contributed to the strength and resilience of the system, which relies on banks holding high levels of liquidity beyond the prudential requirement of 30 per cent of short-term deposits.’ Panama is in fact ranked seventh in the world for the soundness of its banks. That, to put it mildly, is a bit better than Scotland.
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,941
    PClipp said:

    Sandpit said:

    Tories have a working majority of 17. There is a simple solution to boost that, support Scottish independence. By my maths that would boost the Tory working majority to 74. That's before any boundary reforms or a potential Corbyn general election.

    Why would the 'Conservative and Unionist Party' support the breakup of the Union?
    Self-interest. As always.
    The commitment to the UK is in the party's DNA. No matter what the (considerable!) electoral advantage of supporting Scottish independence, they'd lose me and several thousand other members if they change their mind on this one.
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    HaroldOHaroldO Posts: 1,185

    HaroldO said:

    Only two more years of bickering to go, yay.

    it's Indyref - three minimum
    Each side accusing the other of changing position etc etc. The worst is Salmond in the middle, the sanctamonius elephant seal waffling his way through it all.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,002

    HaroldO said:

    Only two more years of bickering to go, yay.

    it's Indyref - three minimum
    Personally I'm waiting for the West Belfast referendum.
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    glw said:

    ydoethur said:

    I used to be a member of Plaid Cymru saw what is going on now with Sturgeon at first hand.

    Good post.

    I have a serious question. Why does Wales, with at least as much nationalistic pride as Scotland, seem less antagonistic towards England? Is it simply that England and Wales have more common history, or is there something fundamentally different between Welsh nationalism and Scottish nationalism?
    It does not have anything like the nationalistic pride of Scotland though if you put a Welsh rugby shirt on, they have. Wales is trending right and there is no possibility that it will seek independence. And I have lived in both Countries so I do have experience of the nationalism question in both
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,763
    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    DavidL said:

    ... If, as I expect, tariff free trade is ultimately agreed what on earth is the point? If it is not then EEA membership with trade barriers with rUK is a disaster. ...

    Actually, the second of those isn't necessarily right. As an EEA member, Scotland could in principle join an EEA free-trade agreement with the UK even if the EU doesn't play ball with us - indeed, Norway and the other EEA states will already be giving this a very high priority:

    The UK is Norway’s most important trading partner, and Norway is the UK’s most important supplier of oil and gas.

    https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-norway-announce-new-trade-dialogue
    I wonder what her fan club in Brussels will think, when despite fawning over them for the last 9 months, she is not going to stay in the EU
    You're overinterpreting things. The red line is EEA membership. The means to achieve that is most likely EU membership, but that is not the only option.

    They got burned last time with talk of being vetoed by Spain and so don't want to risk the campaign in that way. Brexit provides a good context since the Yes side have lost the Europe weapon.
    You are missing the point - yesterday was all about a second referendum on membership of the EU. It is only now she is talking about EEA. No matter how you slice it she misled everyone yesterday
    Are you kidding me. She talked about single market membership yesterday. I'm reading the transcript right now.
    an Union"
    tell that to the voters - nobody believes it and now the media have their breach in the argument
    So you think voters are going to be appalled by the daming evidence of Sturgeon sticking to the same position for the last 9 months?

    It's a view I suppose.
    I think Sturgeon will be spending her time trying to convince a sceptical media she hasnt changed her position and looking weak and shifty as a result
    Given that her position on single market membership being key has been well documented by the media over the last 9 months it seems like an easy sell.

    Getting excited by an Iain Martin article criticising the SNP is like being shocked at a alcoholic drinking booze.
    the body of evidence says the SNP have stated they want to stay in the EU, they make the point about the remain vote repeatedly

    believe what your party tells you, but no-one else does, this is a shift in position and it ill be taken to task
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    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,763
    Pulpstar said:

    HaroldO said:

    Only two more years of bickering to go, yay.

    it's Indyref - three minimum
    Personally I'm waiting for the West Belfast referendum.
    I'm backing PBPA, they rattle the shinners
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,391
    tlg86 said:

    Regarding currency, some Nats aspire for Scotland to be like Panama:

    http://tinyurl.com/henyjw5

    There are still countries following the same system even in the globalised economy of today. Panama is a good example. Since 1903 it has used the US dollar just in the way independent Scotland would again be using the pound. Panama is a prosperous country, as rich as EU members Croatia or Hungary. It can attract huge foreign investments: we saw an example the other day when the first Chinese super-freighter passed through the newly expanded Panama Canal.

    The International Monetary Fund, no less, has given the Panamanian system its seal of approval: ‘By not having a central bank, Panama lacks both a traditional lender of last resort and a mechanism to mitigate systemic liquidity shortages. The authorities emphasised that these features had contributed to the strength and resilience of the system, which relies on banks holding high levels of liquidity beyond the prudential requirement of 30 per cent of short-term deposits.’ Panama is in fact ranked seventh in the world for the soundness of its banks. That, to put it mildly, is a bit better than Scotland.

    Sterlingisation is an option but it is a long way from being cost free. It requires much higher reserves on the part of the government and the banking sector. It accepts that interest rates will in large part be fixed in the interests of another country, one that has a strong tendency towards housing booms which drive interest rates up. It makes borrowing more expensive and subject to liquidity. And it does not meet the criteria for EU membership (if this still matters after today).
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    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Sandpit said:

    Tories have a working majority of 17. There is a simple solution to boost that, support Scottish independence. By my maths that would boost the Tory working majority to 74. That's before any boundary reforms or a potential Corbyn general election.

    Why would the 'Conservative and Unionist Party' support the breakup of the Union?
    It doesn't. Doesn't change the fact that Scotland leaving would leave the Conservative and Unionist Party a great inheritance.
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,967

    glw said:

    ydoethur said:

    I used to be a member of Plaid Cymru saw what is going on now with Sturgeon at first hand.

    Good post.

    I have a serious question. Why does Wales, with at least as much nationalistic pride as Scotland, seem less antagonistic towards England? Is it simply that England and Wales have more common history, or is there something fundamentally different between Welsh nationalism and Scottish nationalism?
    It does not have anything like the nationalistic pride of Scotland though if you put a Welsh rugby shirt on, they have. Wales is trending right and there is no possibility that it will seek independence. And I have lived in both Countries so I do have experience of the nationalism question in both
    Yet, c.1900 Welsh nationalism was a real force in the Liberal Party.
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,146

    the body of evidence says the SNP have stated they want to stay in the EU, they make the point about the remain vote repeatedly

    believe what your party tells you, but no-one else does, this is a shift in position and it ill be taken to task

    They don't want to promise what is not in their gift. I know that's a novel concept for a Brexiteer...
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,967

    OUT said:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fYmnw-Z343E

    I wonder which way she'll vote on the Brexit deal?

    Think she's undecided.
    She's Sinn Fein's Director for Unionist Engagement

    so looks like that's going well
    Isn't that a bit like Saudi Arabia having outreach workers for Jews and Christians?
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    HaroldOHaroldO Posts: 1,185

    glw said:

    ydoethur said:

    I used to be a member of Plaid Cymru saw what is going on now with Sturgeon at first hand.

    Good post.

    I have a serious question. Why does Wales, with at least as much nationalistic pride as Scotland, seem less antagonistic towards England? Is it simply that England and Wales have more common history, or is there something fundamentally different between Welsh nationalism and Scottish nationalism?
    It does not have anything like the nationalistic pride of Scotland though if you put a Welsh rugby shirt on, they have. Wales is trending right and there is no possibility that it will seek independence. And I have lived in both Countries so I do have experience of the nationalism question in both
    My grandfasther was Welsh (he got me into supporting them in rugby...in the 90's, I forgave him after a bit) and he was never obvious about it, he left during the great depression and lived in England for 70 years. He loved Wales, but never thought it better than England and was right wing.
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    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    glw said:

    ydoethur said:

    I used to be a member of Plaid Cymru saw what is going on now with Sturgeon at first hand.

    Good post.

    I have a serious question. Why does Wales, with at least as much nationalistic pride as Scotland, seem less antagonistic towards England? Is it simply that England and Wales have more common history, or is there something fundamentally different between Welsh nationalism and Scottish nationalism?
    Because the idea of an independent Wales as a going financial concern is a non-starter? It's Scotland without whisky or oil and with one quarter of the international tourist income. ("London accounts for 54% of all inbound visitor spend, the rest of England 34%, Scotland 8% and Wales 2%" https://www.visitbritain.org/visitor-economy-facts)

    I think the shared legal system is important; the Act of Union looks a bit half-hearted because it preserves the Scottish legal system - greedy 18th century Edinburgh lawyers protecting their turf.

    And there were 228 arson attacks in Wales starting in 1979 and going on through the eighties, aimed at English second homes, so there's been a fair bit of antagonism in the past.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,446
    Howay the PB Lads (and Lasses)!

    Been slumming it in The Toon this week, like!
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    HaroldOHaroldO Posts: 1,185

    the body of evidence says the SNP have stated they want to stay in the EU, they make the point about the remain vote repeatedly

    believe what your party tells you, but no-one else does, this is a shift in position and it ill be taken to task

    They don't want to promise what is not in their gift. I know that's a novel concept for a Brexiteer...
    You mean like getting use of the pound and being EU members, like they promised last time?
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,002
    I hope Leicester fans appreciate how lucky they are right now :

    A tale of two similiar sized Midland cities.

    Coventry City 0 - Southend United 2
    Leicester City 1 - Seville 0
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    glwglw Posts: 9,554

    It does not have anything like the nationalistic pride of Scotland though if you put a Welsh rugby shirt on, they have.

    Certainly in a sporting context there seems to be more of a friendly rivalry between Wales and England, rather than some real animosity that is the case with Scotland and England. I find it interesting that the nationalism in the two nations has developed quite differently.
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    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,261
    glw said:

    ydoethur said:

    I used to be a member of Plaid Cymru saw what is going on now with Sturgeon at first hand.

    Good post.

    I have a serious question. Why does Wales, with at least as much nationalistic pride as Scotland, seem less antagonistic towards England? Is it simply that England and Wales have more common history, or is there something fundamentally different between Welsh nationalism and Scottish nationalism?
    This may come as a bit of a shock, but there's always the different countries tend to be different option.
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    MonikerDiCanioMonikerDiCanio Posts: 5,792
    edited March 2017

    the body of evidence says the SNP have stated they want to stay in the EU, they make the point about the remain vote repeatedly

    believe what your party tells you, but no-one else does, this is a shift in position and it ill be taken to task

    They don't want to promise what is not in their gift. I know that's a novel concept for a Brexiteer...
    The Scottish Greens should be ashamed of themselves for associating with a bunch of anti-European fruit cakes like the Nats. I thought they were better than that.
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    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    edited March 2017


    the body of evidence says the SNP have stated they want to stay in the EU, they make the point about the remain vote repeatedly

    believe what your party tells you, but no-one else does, this is a shift in position and it ill be taken to task

    You do get the Iain Martin article was written about Monday's press conference. Not some magical event that has happened today?

    So for you to seize on it as some dramatic shift from Monday to Today is weird.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,446
    tlg86 said:

    Regarding currency, some Nats aspire for Scotland to be like Panama:

    http://tinyurl.com/henyjw5

    There are still countries following the same system even in the globalised economy of today. Panama is a good example.

    Darien Scheme!!!!
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    Sean_F said:

    glw said:

    ydoethur said:

    I used to be a member of Plaid Cymru saw what is going on now with Sturgeon at first hand.

    Good post.

    I have a serious question. Why does Wales, with at least as much nationalistic pride as Scotland, seem less antagonistic towards England? Is it simply that England and Wales have more common history, or is there something fundamentally different between Welsh nationalism and Scottish nationalism?
    It does not have anything like the nationalistic pride of Scotland though if you put a Welsh rugby shirt on, they have. Wales is trending right and there is no possibility that it will seek independence. And I have lived in both Countries so I do have experience of the nationalism question in both
    Yet, c.1900 Welsh nationalism was a real force in the Liberal Party.
    To be fair I never met my great grandfather who no doubt would have been an expert on the subject
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    Sean_F said:

    glw said:

    ydoethur said:

    I used to be a member of Plaid Cymru saw what is going on now with Sturgeon at first hand.

    Good post.

    I have a serious question. Why does Wales, with at least as much nationalistic pride as Scotland, seem less antagonistic towards England? Is it simply that England and Wales have more common history, or is there something fundamentally different between Welsh nationalism and Scottish nationalism?
    It does not have anything like the nationalistic pride of Scotland though if you put a Welsh rugby shirt on, they have. Wales is trending right and there is no possibility that it will seek independence. And I have lived in both Countries so I do have experience of the nationalism question in both
    Yet, c.1900 Welsh nationalism was a real force in the Liberal Party.
    And of course in the 60s and 70s many of the Welsh were much more antagonistic toward the English than Scots were (remember the very nasty arson attacks on houses owned by English people). Since then the Welsh seem to have become less anti-English, but Scots much more so.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,205
    DavidL said:

    tlg86 said:

    Regarding currency, some Nats aspire for Scotland to be like Panama:

    http://tinyurl.com/henyjw5

    There are still countries following the same system even in the globalised economy of today. Panama is a good example. Since 1903 it has used the US dollar just in the way independent Scotland would again be using the pound. Panama is a prosperous country, as rich as EU members Croatia or Hungary. It can attract huge foreign investments: we saw an example the other day when the first Chinese super-freighter passed through the newly expanded Panama Canal.

    The International Monetary Fund, no less, has given the Panamanian system its seal of approval: ‘By not having a central bank, Panama lacks both a traditional lender of last resort and a mechanism to mitigate systemic liquidity shortages. The authorities emphasised that these features had contributed to the strength and resilience of the system, which relies on banks holding high levels of liquidity beyond the prudential requirement of 30 per cent of short-term deposits.’ Panama is in fact ranked seventh in the world for the soundness of its banks. That, to put it mildly, is a bit better than Scotland.

    Sterlingisation is an option but it is a long way from being cost free. It requires much higher reserves on the part of the government and the banking sector. It accepts that interest rates will in large part be fixed in the interests of another country, one that has a strong tendency towards housing booms which drive interest rates up. It makes borrowing more expensive and subject to liquidity. And it does not meet the criteria for EU membership (if this still matters after today).
    I don't think Scotland has anything to worry about with regard to interest rates going up any time soon.
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    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,763
    edited March 2017

    the body of evidence says the SNP have stated they want to stay in the EU, they make the point about the remain vote repeatedly

    believe what your party tells you, but no-one else does, this is a shift in position and it ill be taken to task

    They don't want to promise what is not in their gift. I know that's a novel concept for a Brexiteer...
    guffaw

    given the last referendum I think making unfillable promises is the least of their concerns

    pass the pixie dust old chap
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    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,261

    Sean_F said:

    glw said:

    ydoethur said:

    I used to be a member of Plaid Cymru saw what is going on now with Sturgeon at first hand.

    Good post.

    I have a serious question. Why does Wales, with at least as much nationalistic pride as Scotland, seem less antagonistic towards England? Is it simply that England and Wales have more common history, or is there something fundamentally different between Welsh nationalism and Scottish nationalism?
    It does not have anything like the nationalistic pride of Scotland though if you put a Welsh rugby shirt on, they have. Wales is trending right and there is no possibility that it will seek independence. And I have lived in both Countries so I do have experience of the nationalism question in both
    Yet, c.1900 Welsh nationalism was a real force in the Liberal Party.
    To be fair I never met my great grandfather who no doubt would have been an expert on the subject
    *strokes chin*

    I'm sure he would.
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    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    glw said:

    ydoethur said:

    I used to be a member of Plaid Cymru saw what is going on now with Sturgeon at first hand.

    Good post.

    I have a serious question. Why does Wales, with at least as much nationalistic pride as Scotland, seem less antagonistic towards England? Is it simply that England and Wales have more common history, or is there something fundamentally different between Welsh nationalism and Scottish nationalism?
    South Wales is basically an extension of England. North Wales Is different.
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,976
    Alistair said:


    the body of evidence says the SNP have stated they want to stay in the EU, they make the point about the remain vote repeatedly

    believe what your party tells you, but no-one else does, this is a shift in position and it ill be taken to task

    You do get the Iain Martin article was written about Monday's press conference. Not some magical event that has happened today?

    So for you to seize on it as some dramatic shift from Monday to Today is weird.

    Looks a very smart move to me. EEA membership allows Scotland to remain in two single markets, so it kills one of the big arguments the No side has.

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    glwglw Posts: 9,554
    Ishmael_Z said:

    And there were 228 arson attacks in Wales starting in 1979 and going on through the eighties, aimed at English second homes, so there's been a fair bit of antagonism in the past.

    That's kind of what I'm getting at. Welsh nationalism has become relatively content with the status quo since devolution, Scottish nationalism has become quite angry and devolution has if anything fanned the flames.
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    glw said:

    It does not have anything like the nationalistic pride of Scotland though if you put a Welsh rugby shirt on, they have.

    Certainly in a sporting context there seems to be more of a friendly rivalry between Wales and England, rather than some real animosity that is the case with Scotland and England. I find it interesting that the nationalism in the two nations has developed quite differently.
    I do not think my children or grandchildren would agree with you over the rivalry between Wales and England. There is abject dislike
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,396
    edited March 2017
    glw said:

    ydoethur said:

    I used to be a member of Plaid Cymru saw what is going on now with Sturgeon at first hand.

    Good post.

    I have a serious question. Why does Wales, with at least as much nationalistic pride as Scotland, seem less antagonistic towards England? Is it simply that England and Wales have more common history, or is there something fundamentally different between Welsh nationalism and Scottish nationalism?
    There are several possible answers. One is that nobody seriously believes Wales could survive without help from England whereas Scotland clearly could (although it would be hard). Another is that in no part of Wales are you very far from England and that does alter the national dynamic - Bangor is far closer to Chester than to Cardiff. In Scotland by contrast almost all traffic to England is through Edinburgh and Glasgow. Another is that language has always been the key driver of Welshness - although there are many dialects, there are not four distinct languages as there were in Scotland. Languages do not require independent countries to survive. A further point is that Wales was unambiguously conquered - a very long time ago, at that - whereas Scots have always convinced themselves, not entirely accurately, that they were a fully sovereign state swindled out of their rights by the Darien scheme and English bribes. Yet a further point is that 'Wales' was only a united country three times in the past - 1055-1063, 1257-1277, and 1404-1409. At all other times it has been a loose agglomeration of petty lordships mostly held by the English. Scotland was a recognised if hardly a united kingdom for 800 years before 1707.

    But don't assume the Welsh are not antagonistic towards England. Some of them can be really quite unpleasant when they put their minds to it, and I say that as a Welshman.
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,976
    glw said:

    It does not have anything like the nationalistic pride of Scotland though if you put a Welsh rugby shirt on, they have.

    Certainly in a sporting context there seems to be more of a friendly rivalry between Wales and England, rather than some real animosity that is the case with Scotland and England. I find it interesting that the nationalism in the two nations has developed quite differently.

    Ask Sam Warburton about the friendly rivalry between Wales and England in rugby!



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    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,763
    Alistair said:


    the body of evidence says the SNP have stated they want to stay in the EU, they make the point about the remain vote repeatedly

    believe what your party tells you, but no-one else does, this is a shift in position and it ill be taken to task

    You do get the Iain Martin article was written about Monday's press conference. Not some magical event that has happened today?

    So for you to seize on it as some dramatic shift from Monday to Today is weird.
    youre defending and explaining

    start there

    that's what Sturgeon will be doing
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    surbiton said:

    glw said:

    ydoethur said:

    I used to be a member of Plaid Cymru saw what is going on now with Sturgeon at first hand.

    Good post.

    I have a serious question. Why does Wales, with at least as much nationalistic pride as Scotland, seem less antagonistic towards England? Is it simply that England and Wales have more common history, or is there something fundamentally different between Welsh nationalism and Scottish nationalism?
    South Wales is basically an extension of England. North Wales Is different.
    I do not think the Valleys would agree with you
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,446
    surbiton said:

    glw said:

    ydoethur said:

    I used to be a member of Plaid Cymru saw what is going on now with Sturgeon at first hand.

    Good post.

    I have a serious question. Why does Wales, with at least as much nationalistic pride as Scotland, seem less antagonistic towards England? Is it simply that England and Wales have more common history, or is there something fundamentally different between Welsh nationalism and Scottish nationalism?
    South Wales is basically an extension of England. North Wales Is different.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Welsh_devolution_referendum,_1997#/media/File:Welsh_devolution_referendum,_1997.svg
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    glw said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    And there were 228 arson attacks in Wales starting in 1979 and going on through the eighties, aimed at English second homes, so there's been a fair bit of antagonism in the past.

    That's kind of what I'm getting at. Welsh nationalism has become relatively content with the status quo since devolution, Scottish nationalism has become quite angry and devolution has if anything fanned the flames.
    I remember those arson attacks vividly but there were convictions and the problem seemed to melt away (sorry about the pun)
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,205
    On the difference between Wales and Scotland, it's worth mentioning that in the 2011 Census something like 80% of the adult population of Scotland was born in Scotland. The equivalent figure in Wales is 70%.
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,017

    Alistair said:


    the body of evidence says the SNP have stated they want to stay in the EU, they make the point about the remain vote repeatedly

    believe what your party tells you, but no-one else does, this is a shift in position and it ill be taken to task

    You do get the Iain Martin article was written about Monday's press conference. Not some magical event that has happened today?

    So for you to seize on it as some dramatic shift from Monday to Today is weird.

    Looks a very smart move to me. EEA membership allows Scotland to remain in two single markets, so it kills one of the big arguments the No side has.

    Unfortunately that is not true. Were Scotland in the EEA and the rest of the rUK outside then Scotland could not be in a single market with the rUK. The best it could have would be a free trade agreement with the rUK but that would still require differentiation of all goods entering Scotland from the rUK as they would not automatically be able to be traded within the rest of the EEA outside of Scotland. A single market arrangement would be impractical.
This discussion has been closed.