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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Betfair moves sharply back to Macron for French President foll

Over the past week there has been a strong move on the betting markets to the 39 year old independent, Emmanuel Macron, for next French president following a series of polls that have him clearly in the top two for a runoff place.
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The perfect wine to accompany pheasant.
He is a worthy favourite, but Fillon is hanging in there.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_French_presidential_election,_2017
Mind you, as far as a story involving a sniper and the French president goes, it could've been rather worse. Glad the unfortunate wounded aren't injured too severely.
She looks like she could poll in the 40-45% band.
I think a run off of Macron vs Fillon would be a more interesting final two in terms of deciding the future of France, but doesn't appear likely.
So what do the Lords hope to achieve here? If our citizens rights are respected then an agreement can be made quickly. If they're not then should Parliament encourage that?
W.1.10 Any action which is in public opposition to the Party or its core aims, orwhich
brings the Party into disrepute, shall be considered to be grounds for Disciplinary
action under Section AA of the Rules of Procedure.
W.1.11 seems to be the bit which provides for expulsion.
There is no easy cure for the ills of globalism, as will become apparent here and in America.
Maybe if we had more relaxed rules on firearms ownership people would find a way to top themselves that wasn't quite so disruptive to the travelling public - or traumatising to train drivers.
As I type we are now slowing down and stopping...
Conservative 252
Labour 202
Crossbench 178
Lib Dem 102
Bishops 26
Non-affiliated 31
Other 14 (3 DUP, 3 UKIP, 2 UUP, 2 Ind Lab, 1 Grn, 1 Ind Soc Dem, 1 Ind UU, 1 PC)
Total 805
Conservatives are only 252 of 805, but they've been bloody good at whipping recently, they got 207 out the other night at some time past 11. A lot of the crossbenchers will probably abstain, but if they go against the government then the ping pong will start.
Enjoyed the books, excepting the absence of chapters and the use of 'should of'.
VVD (Rutte) tied with PVV (WIlders) on 22
and
PVV 28 lead by 1 over VVD
Fair value now 2.5 IMO which puts a little value in Hills and Ladbrokes @ 2.75
policy except in accordance with L.12 above." and "W.6 Elected members should refrain from public criticism of other Party members" but I think he's been just within the lines.
What on earth are these peers smoking?
Surprisingly, I find that there are markedly more suicides than homicides by firearm in the US: http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2015/10/21/gun-homicides-steady-after-decline-in-90s-suicide-rate-edges-up/
Not sure what to conclude from this, but I think your proposal causes more problems than it solves.
Lords and Ladies
Interesting Times
But of all Pratchett's work, Good Omens remains my favourite (OK, I know Neil Gaiman co-wrote it).
Still, even my GCSE textbooks get that wrong.
I'm not even sure that my local Romanian Big Issue Seller is indispensible.
Fingers crossed they can get you on your way soon.
Small Gods was a complete thumbs-down second to only Unseen Academicals which was Pratchett's nadir IMO
Incidentally, if anyone would like a sort of Flashman meets Discworld meets Blackadder fantasy-comedy nonsense, do try The Adventures of Sir Edric. Hoping to get the second book out this year.
https://www.amazon.co.uk/Adventures-Edric-Hero-Hornska-Book-ebook/dp/B01DOSP9ZK/
Mrs C, May was willing to do an early reciprocal deal. The EU declined.
Edit: I'm an idiot.
I think there is only one... Viscount Thurso.
The Lords would be better off focussing on getting a clause which locks the government in to needing parliamentary approval for any Brexit "deal", preferably with the condition that Britain's exit won't take effect unless and until a deal's been approved, even if that means suspending or temporarily revoking Article 50.
No other country in the world pays benefits to recent immigrants, in most places you'll quickly find yourself deported if you're an unemployed foreigner.
Basically feelings on this issue seem to come down to whether people are more likely to know people in category (a) or in category (b). Unsurprisingly the media is dominated by category (a) types.
As for Unseen Academicals, Snuff, I Shall Wear Midnight, Raising Steam and The Shepherd's Crown, I don't count them as Pratchetts because I'm 99% sure they were actually written by his secretary - the rather incompetent shoehorning in of favourite characters whose story arcs had come to a natural end long ago with which those novels abounded is all too typical of ghost writing and/or fan fiction.