This comes after several primary polls showing the same story in the last week or so: Fillon up, Juppé down, Sarkozy flat. Basically Fillon is going up by squeezing the other moderates (Le Maire and Juppé) while Sarkozy has a very stable support around 25%. All polls show Sarkozy losing the second round, often by big margins.
Previous polls still show a sizable gap between Sarkozy and Fillon but the media narrative and momentum seem to be clearly in Fillon's direction.
This race will be tight and I think that the current odds do not appropriately reflect it. IMHO the Juppé price is too tight and it makes no sense to have Sarkozy (who has no realistic chance to win this primary) at the same price as Fillon that has a good chance to win the second round if he qualifies.
Laying both Sarkozy and Hollande still seems a safe strategy.
What are the polls for a potential final of Le Pen v each of the above?
Presumably Fillon would beat Le Pen by the biggest margin?
I must confess to some confusion here. What are the Commission's grounds for belief that we will give them anything? I can see the sense in a quid pro quo - we give x billion, they give us certain accesses, and so on - but the idea we would maintain contributions for things we get no benefit from is surely risible?
Bet you we do, though.
Only if we get things we really want in return such as the Single Passport. Otherwise cheerio.
Who is responsible for e.g. the pensions of soon-to-be-redundant British EU functionaries?
The EU, I would have thought.
The EU is a is a cooperative, with common assets and common liabilities. We are owed a share of the assets, but - just as Scotland would be responsible for a share of the debt of HMG on independence - we owe a share of the liabilities too.
Our 14% share of assets is worth close to €30bn. Realistically, our share of future pension liabilities and the like is probably €20bn in today's money, or €40bn in cumulative payments over the next 60 years.
Comparing a number in today's money, with one that will be paid in half a century's time is ridiculous.
So we're owed 10bn Euros net? Isn't that 33 new hospitals?
Around 15% of the EU's assets are in Greek government bonds, which if a further complication...
Think we might give them that bit. Really just wiping all the respective claims against each other makes much more sense. The difference really is not worth the aggravation it would cause on both sides of the channel.
Globalisation, automation, the coming of the robots. All euphemisms or partial explanations for one trend - the impact of the Internet, which has been ramping up for decades. As the world becomes more closely interconnected, and behaves as one 'entity', the result is a reduction in barriers of entry to, well, just about everything. In every area of human activity, the Internet delivers a technological 'Pangaea' - a reduction in diversity with a declining number of niches for us to hide out in and exploit.
The result is a not-so-slow-motion mass-extinction event involving everything from actual species to culture, languages, ideas and activities. For the few winners, they will win big, and win everything. For the large number of losers, they'll be left with nothing.
This might not be too bad if politicians hadn't abandoned the idea of 'progress' - the revolutionary concept that somehow politics was there to improve the lot of everyone and use technology as a tool for improving quality of life. Instead politics has outsourced the results of technological innovation almost exclusively to corporations who operate only to improve efficiency - but the endgame of efficiency is a lot of people surplus to requirements. Robert Malthus would have nodded grimly at this, but I'm not sure large swathes of the global population are ready to sit quietly and be consigned to the scrapheap, as evidenced by Brexit and Trump.
What we really need is a neo-Marxist revolution, and a global society which uses politics to deploy technology to fix the planet and get us into space. We won't get it though; even *I* think writing this makes me sound like a nutjob. We're all doomed, aren't we?
This comes after several primary polls showing the same story in the last week or so: Fillon up, Juppé down, Sarkozy flat. Basically Fillon is going up by squeezing the other moderates (Le Maire and Juppé) while Sarkozy has a very stable support around 25%. All polls show Sarkozy losing the second round, often by big margins.
Previous polls still show a sizable gap between Sarkozy and Fillon but the media narrative and momentum seem to be clearly in Fillon's direction.
This race will be tight and I think that the current odds do not appropriately reflect it. IMHO the Juppé price is too tight and it makes no sense to have Sarkozy (who has no realistic chance to win this primary) at the same price as Fillon that has a good chance to win the second round if he qualifies.
Laying both Sarkozy and Hollande still seems a safe strategy.
My question is what are the dynamics of a Fillon-Le Pen race.
I must confess to some confusion here. What are the Commission's grounds for belief that we will give them anything? I can see the sense in a quid pro quo - we give x billion, they give us certain accesses, and so on - but the idea we would maintain contributions for things we get no benefit from is surely risible?
Bet you we do, though.
Only if we get things we really want in return such as the Single Passport. Otherwise cheerio.
Who is responsible for e.g. the pensions of soon-to-be-redundant British EU functionaries?
The EU, I would have thought.
The EU is a is a cooperative, with common assets and common liabilities. We are owed a share of the assets, but - just as Scotland would be responsible for a share of the debt of HMG on independence - we owe a share of the liabilities too.
Our 14% share of assets is worth close to €30bn. Realistically, our share of future pension liabilities and the like is probably €20bn in today's money, or €40bn in cumulative payments over the next 60 years.
Comparing a number in today's money, with one that will be paid in half a century's time is ridiculous.
So we're owed 10bn Euros net? Isn't that 33 new hospitals?
Around 15% of the EU's assets are in Greek government bonds, which if a further complication...
I always thought the assets of the EU where hot air and toilet paper.
I must confess to some confusion here. What are the Commission's grounds for belief that we will give them anything? I can see the sense in a quid pro quo - we give x billion, they give us certain accesses, and so on - but the idea we would maintain contributions for things we get no benefit from is surely risible?
Bet you we do, though.
Only if we get things we really want in return such as the Single Passport. Otherwise cheerio.
Who is responsible for e.g. the pensions of soon-to-be-redundant British EU functionaries?
The EU, I would have thought.
The EU is a is a cooperative, with common assets and common liabilities. We are owed a share of the assets, but - just as Scotland would be responsible for a share of the debt of HMG on independence - we owe a share of the liabilities too.
Our 14% share of assets is worth close to €30bn. Realistically, our share of future pension liabilities and the like is probably €20bn in today's money, or €40bn in cumulative payments over the next 60 years.
Comparing a number in today's money, with one that will be paid in half a century's time is ridiculous.
So we're owed 10bn Euros net? Isn't that 33 new hospitals?
Around 15% of the EU's assets are in Greek government bonds, which if a further complication...
I vote we don't include any greek bonds in our 14% share
This comes after several primary polls showing the same story in the last week or so: Fillon up, Juppé down, Sarkozy flat. Basically Fillon is going up by squeezing the other moderates (Le Maire and Juppé) while Sarkozy has a very stable support around 25%. All polls show Sarkozy losing the second round, often by big margins.
Previous polls still show a sizable gap between Sarkozy and Fillon but the media narrative and momentum seem to be clearly in Fillon's direction.
This race will be tight and I think that the current odds do not appropriately reflect it. IMHO the Juppé price is too tight and it makes no sense to have Sarkozy (who has no realistic chance to win this primary) at the same price as Fillon that has a good chance to win the second round if he qualifies.
Laying both Sarkozy and Hollande still seems a safe strategy.
What are the polls for a potential final of Le Pen v each of the above?
Presumably Fillon would beat Le Pen by the biggest margin?
Last polls in September (!) said 66/33 to Juppé and 61/39 to Fillon.
This comes after several primary polls showing the same story in the last week or so: Fillon up, Juppé down, Sarkozy flat. Basically Fillon is going up by squeezing the other moderates (Le Maire and Juppé) while Sarkozy has a very stable support around 25%. All polls show Sarkozy losing the second round, often by big margins.
Previous polls still show a sizable gap between Sarkozy and Fillon but the media narrative and momentum seem to be clearly in Fillon's direction.
This race will be tight and I think that the current odds do not appropriately reflect it. IMHO the Juppé price is too tight and it makes no sense to have Sarkozy (who has no realistic chance to win this primary) at the same price as Fillon that has a good chance to win the second round if he qualifies.
Laying both Sarkozy and Hollande still seems a safe strategy.
My question is what are the dynamics of a Fillon-Le Pen race.
70:30 to Fillon
There haven't been many 2nd round polls lately, the last ones are from the spring:
My fish and chip shop has a sign saying its prices are up 7% due to Brexit.
British fish, British potatoes and British vegetable oil. Looks to me like profiteering either by the chip shop or by one of their suppliers.
Their fish market in Euros apparently, Oil a commodity priced in Dollars. According to the sign.
They are taking the piss, Mr. Jonathan. Go elsewhere.
Fish are a global commodity, so it's not entirely unsurprising. If you catch some haddock, and the price is £1 or €1.25, you used to prefer to sell it to the Brit, and not you prefer to sell it to the European.
Have fish exports risen ?
We're a net importer of fish.
Surely coming out of the CFP will reverse at least that part of the deficit.
This comes after several primary polls showing the same story in the last week or so: Fillon up, Juppé down, Sarkozy flat. Basically Fillon is going up by squeezing the other moderates (Le Maire and Juppé) while Sarkozy has a very stable support around 25%. All polls show Sarkozy losing the second round, often by big margins.
Previous polls still show a sizable gap between Sarkozy and Fillon but the media narrative and momentum seem to be clearly in Fillon's direction.
This race will be tight and I think that the current odds do not appropriately reflect it. IMHO the Juppé price is too tight and it makes no sense to have Sarkozy (who has no realistic chance to win this primary) at the same price as Fillon that has a good chance to win the second round if he qualifies.
Laying both Sarkozy and Hollande still seems a safe strategy.
My question is what are the dynamics of a Fillon-Le Pen race.
70:30 to Fillon
There haven't been many 2nd round polls lately, the last ones are from the spring:
Thank you for that. I had not properly considered Fillon in my betting, regrettably. 6.6 on Betfair makes no appeal to me but the 10/1 at Ladbrokes and Hills may be of interest to other PBers.
Random question: if the Dow Jones keeps rising, whilst the FTSE has been flat in 20 years, is that due to the return of capital to shareholders or something else?
In part that is it. FTSE companies pay more dividends, while US companies just build up assets and share price. Total return is a bit more even, though you also have to allow that the US indices are more oriented to tech.
My fish and chip shop has a sign saying its prices are up 7% due to Brexit.
British fish, British potatoes and British vegetable oil. Looks to me like profiteering either by the chip shop or by one of their suppliers.
Their fish market in Euros apparently, Oil a commodity priced in Dollars. According to the sign.
They are taking the piss, Mr. Jonathan. Go elsewhere.
Fish are a global commodity, so it's not entirely unsurprising. If you catch some haddock, and the price is £1 or €1.25, you used to prefer to sell it to the Brit, and not you prefer to sell it to the European.
Have fish exports risen ?
We're a net importer of fish.
We may be a net importer, but we still export a huge amount of top quality seafood - to France and Spain in particular.
Part of leaving will be to redesignate British as opposed to European coastal waters. Lots of fish caught in what used to be British waters go to Spain for example, but I don't think they are considered British exports. That will change; it's a pity the British fishing industry has been decimated in the meantime.
The Times say Deloitte only issued their statement after pressure from the government amid fears the firm would be stripped of future contracts
LOL it was Deloittes? The govt made it sound as though the "pitch" was from a firm whose offices were above Chicken Cottage on Leyton High Street.
I'll have you know that there is nothing wrong with Chicken Cottage on Leyton High Street.
With local knowledge you would know that it is Leyton High Road.
I thought that was pedantry I lived two houses away from me, then two streets away from it. Back in the day my grandmothers' family grew up on it and my great grandfather was councillor for it.
Personally I only went to KFC though! The dodgy rip offs south of the station were not appealling...
On topic, people currently working as lawyers will adapt to new jobs.
The people struggling with competition from robots (or immigrants) are people who can't or don't want to change. These people are strongly represented in rural areas, because if they weren't resistant to change they'd already have moved to bigger towns where there are more opportunities.
Not necessarily. Perhaps they just don't want to vacate half-decent housing and a nice environment to go and live in a rabbit hutch on a grotty estate?
Most large urban areas consist largely of areas that are anything from tolerable to downright unpleasant to live in, especially once you rule out those parts where half a million pounds might buy you a run down two bed end-of-terrace in need of a bit of TLC. I exaggerate, perhaps, but only slightly. Especially when it comes to London.
There's precious little point going to somewhere like London to get a slightly better job if all of the extra money goes on the rent, and you're faced with spending the rest of your life in a poky and vastly overpriced little hovel surrounded by miles and miles of urban sprawl, jammed-up roads and mucky air in every direction.
There is a clear difference between Juppé, Sarkozy and Fillon as an opponent for Marine Le Pen:
- Juppe would receive much more left-wing backing but creates strong resistance on the right with his "happy identity" message seen as too accomodative towards radical Islam. - Sarkozy would not get a lot of left-wing voters. His tough language on security and immigration could attract some Le Pen supporters but they tend to focus on the numerous ongoing judicial cases against him. - Fillon is not hated by the left but would probably not court its voters aggressively. His last book ("Defeating islamic totalitarism") has been well received on the right but his very middle class/establishment look might not play well in the French Rust Belt.
I have never walked out of any negotiation. Sounds like I have been missing a trick!!
It is last resort, but it should certainly be in your armoury. The look of "Oh shit..." on the other side as you shuffle your papers together and put them in your briefcase is the only joy to be taken from reaching such an impasse...
I have never walked out of any negotiation. Sounds like I have been missing a trick!!
It is last resort, but it should certainly be in your armoury. The look of "Oh shit..." on the other side as you shuffle your papers together and put them in your briefcase is the only joy to be taken from reaching such an impasse...
Nearly as good as the smiles on their faces as you sheepishly come back in!
The more I think about it, the French Presidential voting system is just like the Tory leadership election system, which we all know is AV in all but name.
OMG, the Tories use the same system as the French, the shame, the shame
The more I think about it, the French Presidential voting system is just like the Tory leadership election system, which we all know is AV in all but name.
OMG, the Tories use the same system as the French, the shame, the shame
The more I think about it, the French Presidential voting system is just like the Tory leadership election system, which we all know is AV in all but name.
OMG, the Tories use the same system as the French, the shame, the shame
I wonder how long before Germany looks back at Merkel and thinks "She was a bit shit, really, wasn't she?"
Her period in office reminds me of a lot of US tv shows...starts of well, seems solid, sensible idea, then by Season 3 is a steaming pile of shit with totally ludicrous plot.
On topic, people currently working as lawyers will adapt to new jobs.
The people struggling with competition from robots (or immigrants) are people who can't or don't want to change. These people are strongly represented in rural areas, because if they weren't resistant to change they'd already have moved to bigger towns where there are more opportunities.
Not necessarily. Perhaps they just don't want to vacate half-decent housing and a nice environment to go and live in a rabbit hutch on a grotty estate?
Most large urban areas consist largely of areas that are anything from tolerable to downright unpleasant to live in, especially once you rule out those parts where half a million pounds might buy you a run down two bed end-of-terrace in need of a bit of TLC. I exaggerate, perhaps, but only slightly. Especially when it comes to London.
There's precious little point going to somewhere like London to get a slightly better job if all of the extra money goes on the rent, and you're faced with spending the rest of your life in a poky and vastly overpriced little hovel surrounded by miles and miles of urban sprawl, jammed-up roads and mucky air in every direction.
Dow Jones has just closed at all time record high.
Normal Republican President then. A boom to be followed by a bust.
Technically we have a Democrat President - and someone who might become President-elect on December 19th (subject to verification on January 6th by the House).
The more I think about it, the French Presidential voting system is just like the Tory leadership election system, which we all know is AV in all but name.
OMG, the Tories use the same system as the French, the shame, the shame
It's NOT "AV in all but name", you public school thicko! It's called an Exhaustive Ballot.
The more I think about it, the French Presidential voting system is just like the Tory leadership election system, which we all know is AV in all but name.
OMG, the Tories use the same system as the French, the shame, the shame
Apparently Gove is giving Juppe his full support.
Just in, Gove is running.
We all need a Gove resurrection A little divine intervention
Ms Cyclefree's article is, as one would expect, erudite, beautifully written, and informed by moral clarity.
But (you knew there was a 'but' coming, right?) since at least 1811, and probably since time immemorial, mankind has become ever more prosperous despite, or in fact because of, technical innovation which has destroyed jobs. 'Twas ever so, it ain't gonna change, and the one completely well-established economic fact amidst all the confusion is that protectionism is the worst possible response. Most PBers are probably too young to remember the nightmare economy of Britain pre-1979, or the prophets of dooms predicting the end of the City in the Big Bang of 1987 - how did that work out? Perhaps the lessons of those times have now slipped out of the collective consciousness of voters and will have to be relearned. I hope not, because the relearning process will be long and very painful, if it is necessary.
The point to emphasise is this one: if we don't embrace change, change won't be stopped, it will simply move elsewhere. As we painfully learnt in the 1970s and early 1980s, you can protect your industries by injecting ever more taxpayers' money into producing Austin Maxis. At a pinch you can even force your domestic market to buy the sodding things. But you can't force the rest of the world to do so, and you can't compete as an economy if they have embraced efficiency and you haven't. Those of a certain age will remember tearing their hair out at the restrictions of what was then the GPO. When it took months to get a telephone line, and you couldn't connect the latest modems to the phone system, the whole economy suffered. We need to repeat the mantra: never again.
So we need to embrace globalisation, not go into denial. Yes, existing types of job will be lost. But with increased efficiency (which is what we are actually talking about) new opportunities and new kinds of job - including ones we haven't even conceived of yet - will become available. The key is to stay flexible, in our personal lives, in our businesses, and in the state.
The government can't do very much to help with this, except in education. Otherwise it needs most of all to keep out of the way, and above all to address the perverse incentives which pop up all over the place. The Cameron government was making good progress on both of these. Let's hope the May government continues the good work.
Most PBers are probably too young to remember the nightmare economy of Britain pre-1979, or the prophets of dooms predicting the end of the City in the Big Bang of 1987 - how did that work out?
Most PBers are probably too young to remember the nightmare economy of Britain pre-1979, or the prophets of dooms predicting the end of the City in the Big Bang of 1987 - how did that work out?
The Credit Crunch.
I wasn't recommending putting Gordon Brown and Ed Balls in charge of devising the system of financial regulation.
Dow Jones has just closed at all time record high.
Normal Republican President then. A boom to be followed by a bust.
Technically we have a Democrat President - and someone who might become President-elect on December 19th (subject to verification on January 6th by the House).
I meant the fact he is going to spend $1trillion of extra spending, and more deregulation.
Can't wait for all the behind the scenes stories to emerge.
The rumours of Clinton being a horrible person have been doing the rounds for years.
Well you put up with all that humiliation from your wandering husband, you get elected Senator, you get beat by some social activist from Chicago when you are supposed to win, you put up with State for 4 long years, you crush all possible opposition in your party, you have to call in a ridiculous number of favours to get rid of someone who is not even a democrat but it's ok because the GOP is committing suicide and selecting the unelectable Donald Trump, possibly the only person in the US with more baggage than you, you can't lose right?
I have found out that there is always a weakness in such systems, we give them 100% trust even when they are not 100% perfect and can never be 100% perfect.
You can always exploit the bugs for your own advantage.
Good luck exploiting Deep Minds bugs when you play it at Go
While what they have achieve at deep minds is seriously impressive, a lot of the theory is actually 30 years old and there are some serious theorical limitations (Which are beyond the scope of this site). There has been a lot of misrepresentation in the media about what is possible with deep neural networks of the kind used by deep minds.
I was at a talk only last week by one of the worlds foremost experts in ML who stated that he didn't even think neural networks were really the future. He theorized that alternatives will be required to solve many ML tasks (again beyond the scope of this site). It isn't a matter of requiring a more computational power / memory / storage.
Just started reading Competition by James Case. It looks like part of the book will go into the limits of automated systems in multi-player games and why humans still beat machines at such.
Robert, he specifically cites Go as a game where computers are not currently expected to compete with the top humans. By the sounds of it, that is not your experience. Is he wrong?
I have to get something off my chest. Evan Davis's listening face is unbearable to watch! He always treats his guests as if they are precocious 6-year-olds and looks awed that they can even manage to string a coherent sentence together.
Most PBers are probably too young to remember the nightmare economy of Britain pre-1979, or the prophets of dooms predicting the end of the City in the Big Bang of 1987 - how did that work out?
The Credit Crunch.
I wasn't recommending putting Gordon Brown and Ed Balls in charge of devising the system of financial regulation.
Shit ! I didn't realise they were running the economy of all the OECD countries bar two as well.
So it was Brown and Balls that ruined Lehmann Brothers ? I didn't know that.
Senior European and British negotiators worry that Theresa May will be unable to enter Brexit talks because the EU will set impossible demands, including the condition that Britain agrees to pay £60 billion to Brussels.
Diplomats fear that a growing list of preconditions for the terms of Britain’s exit from the EU is growing unwieldy and will include intolerable demands.
But if anyone cracks big data analytics for the dairy segment it will be yuuuge.
(As an aside, this is a really cool company. https://soundtalks.com/mission It monitors pig and chicken health by listening to them cough...)
Sorry ! They already do.
Sure. There are about 50 companies looking at remote monitoring of cows, primarily in the reproductive segment. A lot of it is external, some of it is internal (although the acidic nature of the rumen makes durability a key challenge).
The issue is that, although it narrows the window on reproductive predictability, it's not really good enough to make a real difference on farm economics. Hence companies so far have seen limited penetration in this segment.
If someone comes up with the right product there is a huge opportunity there: I'm just not convinced this is the right product. (As an example, the introduction of sorted semen into the dairy segment has allowed Genus to increase prices by 4-5x vs a straw of unsorted semen. This is because a male calf is worth perhaps $50, while a female is worth $500. Increasing the probability of a female from 50% to 90% is worth a clear premium on the price).
This is actually a segment I've spent some time in...
Comments
Presumably Fillon would beat Le Pen by the biggest margin?
The result is a not-so-slow-motion mass-extinction event involving everything from actual species to culture, languages, ideas and activities. For the few winners, they will win big, and win everything. For the large number of losers, they'll be left with nothing.
This might not be too bad if politicians hadn't abandoned the idea of 'progress' - the revolutionary concept that somehow politics was there to improve the lot of everyone and use technology as a tool for improving quality of life. Instead politics has outsourced the results of technological innovation almost exclusively to corporations who operate only to improve efficiency - but the endgame of efficiency is a lot of people surplus to requirements. Robert Malthus would have nodded grimly at this, but I'm not sure large swathes of the global population are ready to sit quietly and be consigned to the scrapheap, as evidenced by Brexit and Trump.
What we really need is a neo-Marxist revolution, and a global society which uses politics to deploy technology to fix the planet and get us into space. We won't get it though; even *I* think writing this makes me sound like a nutjob. We're all doomed, aren't we?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_French_presidential_election,_2017
https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liste_de_sondages_sur_l'élection_présidentielle_française_de_2017
That's an accident waiting to happen.
Ed Ball will be dancing the Jive to 'Great Balls of Fire’ by Jerry Lee Lewis in this weekend's Strictly.
Good Re-Moaning!
Personally I only went to KFC though! The dodgy rip offs south of the station were not appealling...
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/11/15/angela-merkel-suggests-she-is-willing-to-compromise-on-free-move/
Most large urban areas consist largely of areas that are anything from tolerable to downright unpleasant to live in, especially once you rule out those parts where half a million pounds might buy you a run down two bed end-of-terrace in need of a bit of TLC. I exaggerate, perhaps, but only slightly. Especially when it comes to London.
There's precious little point going to somewhere like London to get a slightly better job if all of the extra money goes on the rent, and you're faced with spending the rest of your life in a poky and vastly overpriced little hovel surrounded by miles and miles of urban sprawl, jammed-up roads and mucky air in every direction.
But Britain doesn't have one.
Save us from your insistence that voting across two rounds was "basically AV".
Yes 2 AV 32%
Stop ruining my threads before I've even published them. The French system is AV with knobs on.
There is a clear difference between Juppé, Sarkozy and Fillon as an opponent for Marine Le Pen:
- Juppe would receive much more left-wing backing but creates strong resistance on the right with his "happy identity" message seen as too accomodative towards radical Islam.
- Sarkozy would not get a lot of left-wing voters. His tough language on security and immigration could attract some Le Pen supporters but they tend to focus on the numerous ongoing judicial cases against him.
- Fillon is not hated by the left but would probably not court its voters aggressively. His last book ("Defeating islamic totalitarism") has been well received on the right but his very middle class/establishment look might not play well in the French Rust Belt.
Never threaten what you do not mean.
I brung you a massage:
The Scramming Ogles is planning to writ entire throds in Frunch! We had better tuck evoosive auction!
I was pissing by the door when I heard two shats
or
I jumped out of a Brittish bummer, which was being chased by some German farters.
OMG, the Tories use the same system as the French, the shame, the shame
Just in, Gove is running.
Anyone want to hazard a guess? "Be it enacted by the Queen's most excellent majesty..." is already three lines, so it can't include that.
http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2016/11/15/hillary-clinton-screaming-obscenities-and-throwing-objects-in-election-night-meltdown/
A little divine intervention
But (you knew there was a 'but' coming, right?) since at least 1811, and probably since time immemorial, mankind has become ever more prosperous despite, or in fact because of, technical innovation which has destroyed jobs. 'Twas ever so, it ain't gonna change, and the one completely well-established economic fact amidst all the confusion is that protectionism is the worst possible response. Most PBers are probably too young to remember the nightmare economy of Britain pre-1979, or the prophets of dooms predicting the end of the City in the Big Bang of 1987 - how did that work out? Perhaps the lessons of those times have now slipped out of the collective consciousness of voters and will have to be relearned. I hope not, because the relearning process will be long and very painful, if it is necessary.
The point to emphasise is this one: if we don't embrace change, change won't be stopped, it will simply move elsewhere. As we painfully learnt in the 1970s and early 1980s, you can protect your industries by injecting ever more taxpayers' money into producing Austin Maxis. At a pinch you can even force your domestic market to buy the sodding things. But you can't force the rest of the world to do so, and you can't compete as an economy if they have embraced efficiency and you haven't. Those of a certain age will remember tearing their hair out at the restrictions of what was then the GPO. When it took months to get a telephone line, and you couldn't connect the latest modems to the phone system, the whole economy suffered. We need to repeat the mantra: never again.
So we need to embrace globalisation, not go into denial. Yes, existing types of job will be lost. But with increased efficiency (which is what we are actually talking about) new opportunities and new kinds of job - including ones we haven't even conceived of yet - will become available. The key is to stay flexible, in our personal lives, in our businesses, and in the state.
The government can't do very much to help with this, except in education. Otherwise it needs most of all to keep out of the way, and above all to address the perverse incentives which pop up all over the place. The Cameron government was making good progress on both of these. Let's hope the May government continues the good work.
The rumours of Clinton being a horrible person have been doing the rounds for years.
https://twitter.com/ViaAngus/status/798572897056931844
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/may/09/opioid-addiction-appalachia-tennessee
Bugger.
Robert, he specifically cites Go as a game where computers are not currently expected to compete with the top humans. By the sounds of it, that is not your experience. Is he wrong?
Code 1-1A-2B.
Code 1-B-2-B-3.
Code zero-zero-zero-destruct-zero.
OK, it's four lines, but it's near enough...
"Is that legal?"
"I will make it legal!"
That was a Depeche Mode cover version in the Scarlett Johansson trailer!
On top of that he can't pronounce Jill Stein...
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3935800/Days-losing-election-Hillary-Bill-Clinton-sceaming-match-blame-flagging-campaign-ex-president-angry-threw-phone-roof-Arkansas-penthouse.html
a) Its doing ok
b) Should have gone more than effectively 25% US equities.
So it was Brown and Balls that ruined Lehmann Brothers ? I didn't know that.
http://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/60bn-divorce-demand-could-wreck-mays-hopes-of-a-deal-prb68d50k
Senior European and British negotiators worry that Theresa May will be unable to enter Brexit talks because the EU will set impossible demands, including the condition that Britain agrees to pay £60 billion to Brussels.
Diplomats fear that a growing list of preconditions for the terms of Britain’s exit from the EU is growing unwieldy and will include intolerable demands.
But if anyone cracks big data analytics for the dairy segment it will be yuuuge.
(As an aside, this is a really cool company. https://soundtalks.com/mission It monitors pig and chicken health by listening to them cough...)
The issue is that, although it narrows the window on reproductive predictability, it's not really good enough to make a real difference on farm economics. Hence companies so far have seen limited penetration in this segment.
If someone comes up with the right product there is a huge opportunity there: I'm just not convinced this is the right product. (As an example, the introduction of sorted semen into the dairy segment has allowed Genus to increase prices by 4-5x vs a straw of unsorted semen. This is because a male calf is worth perhaps $50, while a female is worth $500. Increasing the probability of a female from 50% to 90% is worth a clear premium on the price).
This is actually a segment I've spent some time in...