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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The EU referendum: An attempt to analyse the in-play bettin
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The EU referendum: An attempt to analyse the in-play betting
At 11:36pm on June 23rd, just before the first result was declared, the market was just short of 90% confident of a Remain vote. So much for markets knowing best – the market was wrong, and staggeringly confident in its wrongness.
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Putting the shite, into football since 1966.
So profitable.
Thank you for this Michael
Savage on the Wales games sounded just like the English commentators and pundits do on England games. Armstrong sounded the way you would want a commentator to sound. Hopeful but not arrogant.
We all know its going to be Theresa and Boris in the final two so lets just get on with it.
But yeah it is hard to see, in a short campaign, on the back of Boris' EUref victory, how new faces get in the final 2.
Wilshire on for Dier
Is 1996 the best we've done in a long long time? Christ, I was still at primary school when that happened!
It must be quite hard to really give it all in training with all the press saying you're about to walk your next game and win the tournament.
What is the possible question that Wilshire is the answer to?
That's not the best call.
What happened to Greece's economy after that?
When they come across players who actually need to do well, they're embarrassed.
If Crabb and Leadsom stand, there is value in betting on Boris to go out in the first round. He will certainly be struggling to make the final two.
Crabb is clearly a value bet. That's not to say he will win, merely that it would be very foolish to write him off.
Iceland have a rock solid defence with an extremely good, fast counter-attacking (and goalscoring) attack. They won their Qualifying Group and were very close to winning their First Round Group.
They are a very good, well managed side with just enough talent to make an exceptionally good system work. In other words, they are Leicester City.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36639770
If this was cricket the bookies wouldn't be paying out, citing a betting fix...
Or whether they are even in France.
BREAKING: Fitch downgrades U.K. credit rating to 'AA' from 'AA+' on Brexit vote
I think there has to be at least one Leave option in the final two, if not both, and she and Mr Johnson are the best known.
Cash out or stick?
A low-key remainer loudly accepting the result might find it easier to reunite the party and the country and is less likely to make a dog's dinner of exit negotiations or anything else. Moreover with Labour in such desperate straits there is no political need for a showman or a safe candidate. A punt may be taken
My hunch is May will probably get it, but if Crabb stands it would not be surprising to see him make the runoff.
http://www.lemonde.fr/referendum-sur-le-brexit/article/2016/06/27/royaume-uni-le-brexit-peut-il-ne-pas-se-produire_4959221_4872498.html
Cricket faced a similar problem and solved it by banning first class teams from having more than one overseas player per team which worked because few overseas cricket players had EU passports.
So leaving the EU may do wonders for the national side in a few years.
I just can't see her beating Theresa May or any other ranking Cabinet minister.
It's no way to run a country.
It's like watching Arsenal.
And Boris' problem is that we all know what he's capable of - showmanship and vacuity. He's Gordon with a sense of humour and a silly haircut. Better anyone than him.
Winning and, um, winning surely?
For my bet.