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Watch Birmingham and Liverpool. If they are really heading to 60% remain, that will bring remain a lot closer to par than they are at the moment0
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How did they not see it coming in spades? I'm a working class Tory and saw it a million miles away.RochdalePioneers said:I still don't think my lot understand what has happened to them...
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Middlesbrough for Leave - I'm sure Sandy thought that they'd be for Remain.0
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Leave approaching a 100k lead.0
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Middlesborough votes Leave, Inverclyde Remain0
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Boro even more Leave than Sunderland: 65-35.0
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Seems to me to be less heavily than par predicted.surbiton said:Problems: Scotland voting heavily for Remain.
Remain is winning theirs by less than par, Leave is winning theirs by more than par.0 -
You do have to wonder about the thought processes he goes through. How can he be so disconnected?viewcode said:
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It has been the same at 2010 and 2015 GE. The world has changed, twitter, internet, big data and they still run the same show from years ago.DearPB said:I think it's extraordinary how uninterested in data and detail the BBC thinks it's viewers are. If you're up in the middle of the night then you're a geek.
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City slightly better for Remain0
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City and County of the City of London: 3:1 for remain
Bloody bankers.0 -
City of London 75% Remain0
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TBH Leave just seem to be getting pounded too hard outside there cities to win.Wanderer said:0 -
You clearly don't understand that I regard the manner of Leave's victory as a moral disgrace that makes me ashamed to be English. Why on earth would I want to make it work?Casino_Royale said:
Maybe once you've finished your childish strop (you lost, deal with it) we'll hear more from the sensible rational Alastair that still has a huge contribution to make.AlastairMeeks said:
This is your fantasy, not mine. You make it work if you can. Don't expect me to write the cheque for it either.Casino_Royale said:
Be a nice idea if, having lost, you now bring the best of yourself to the new political reality to make it the best possible success.AlastairMeeks said:
I'm going to ration my use of "I told you so" in the coming months and years. But not very tightly.Casino_Royale said:
How long are we going to have to wait before you calm down too?AlastairMeeks said:
Enjoy your evening. Tonight is a night for Leavers to exult. The lunatics are taking over the asylum. We shall have to hope against all logic that it sort of works out ok.SeanT said:
Best bet is to move to Jobbik's Hungary, mate. Where they are more cosmopolitan.AlastairMeeks said:
I'd not put too much at stake on this referendum till tonight but I'm rapidly rethinking what it is appropriate to commit.another_richard said:
I'm relieved that you agree on the prices - I thought I must be going mad.AlastairMeeks said:I'm touched by those who have been asking after me. I've been packing to flee the country tomorrow.
I have, however, found time to keep backing Leave at regular intervals tonight. The prices are incomprehensible.
It will provide some minor compensation for having my country torn away from me.
I look forward to finding out what the plan is at some point.0 -
EEA is not plausible given the nature of the vote, in fact it would be in leave's interest to clamp down on all immigration, as would be expected from its voters. These people have voted for the first time in ages to get that, if they don't then they will take things into their own hands.0
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No wonder the finance wizards all were thinking we'd be voting remain - their City bubble was 3-1 remain!0
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City of London as expected. 75% Remain.0
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Tempted to cash in on Leave bets, but something is holding my finger back.0
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Birmingham ?Philip_Thompson said:
Seems to me to be less heavily than par predicted.surbiton said:Problems: Scotland voting heavily for Remain.
Remain is winning theirs by less than par, Leave is winning theirs by more than par.0 -
Weymouth out0
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Tom Watson looking very sweaty....0
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This is the part of the night that Dimbleby starts to lose it...DearPB said:I think it's extraordinary how uninterested in data and detail the BBC thinks it's viewers are. If you're up in the middle of the night then you're a geek.
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Where's this crossover then?0
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I got some 14GideonWise said:Did anyone manage to get in on the 16.0 odds from earlier?
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Means either (a) renegotiation part II (b) EEA-EFTA or (c) a looser form of associate membership.rcs1000 said:
I think it'll be 51-52% Leave.rottenborough said:LATEST REUTERS CALCULATION:
Leave 50.2%, Remain 49.9%
This is based on 15 areas of 382 reporting and the BBC's most recent figures on the vote in Northern Ireland, which is the largest reporting area by population in the UK.
Scotland on my numbers will be 61% Remain.0 -
Don't.rottenborough said:Tempted to cash in on Leave bets, but something is holding my finger back.
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One thing we don't know is how parties have managed the GOTV operations. Apart from Scotland and, perhaps, Newcastle we haven't had any big Remain areas yet. If they have target GOTV on their strong areas then we may start to see some good news for them soon.0
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Well, this is getting bizarre. We are all pretty much ready to call it for Leave and it's still odds-against.0
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Southend 58% Leave.
Under par?0 -
Please....all the stuff that was levelled at the leave campaign was right. It is going to lead to a lurch right and impoverish our economy. Heh, ho....you've taken control.Casino_Royale said:
Maybe once you've finished your childish strop (you lost, deal with it) we'll hear more from the sensible rational Alastair that still has a huge contribution to make.AlastairMeeks said:
This is your fantasy, not mine. You make it work if you can. Don't expect me to write the cheque for it either.Casino_Royale said:
Be a nice idea if, having lost, you now bring the best of yourself to the new political reality to make it the best possible success.AlastairMeeks said:
I'm going to ration my use of "I told you so" in the coming months and years. But not very tightly.Casino_Royale said:
How long are we going to have to wait before you calm down too?AlastairMeeks said:
Enjoy your evening. Tonight is a night for Leavers to exult. The lunatics are taking over the asylum. We shall have to hope against all logic that it sort of works out ok.SeanT said:
Best bet is to move to Jobbik's Hungary, mate. Where they are more cosmopolitan.AlastairMeeks said:
I'd not put too much at stake on this referendum till tonight but I'm rapidly rethinking what it is appropriate to commit.another_richard said:
I'm relieved that you agree on the prices - I thought I must be going mad.AlastairMeeks said:I'm touched by those who have been asking after me. I've been packing to flee the country tomorrow.
I have, however, found time to keep backing Leave at regular intervals tonight. The prices are incomprehensible.
It will provide some minor compensation for having my country torn away from me.
I look forward to finding out what the plan is at some point.
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Holy hell. Tally totals in birmingham (one leave and one remain tally box) indicating like 70%+ Leave!0
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What do they know, specifically - or do they know anything ?Wanderer said:Well, this is getting bizarre. We are all pretty much ready to call it for Leave and it's still odds-against.
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Of course the basic problem in a referendum is that it involves the voters.Scott_P said:@georgeeaton: Remain blame game now in full swing - usually a reliable indicator of defeat.
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Blaneau 62% out. That's just down the road from me. No turnout.0
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Brentwood and Southend vote Leave0
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NEW THREAD NEW THREAD NEW THREAD NEW THREAD
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I share Alastair's views but it isn't about not wanting to make it work - the chaos that is coming is probably unmanageable and, even were it manageable, the motley crew of leavers amongst whom Boris, Gove and IDS are the sane ones is not going to be able to do so.AlastairMeeks said:
You clearly don't understand that I regard the manner of Leave's victory as a moral disgrace that makes me ashamed to be English. Why on earth would I want to make it work?Casino_Royale said:
Maybe once you've finished your childish strop (you lost, deal with it) we'll hear more from the sensible rational Alastair that still has a huge contribution to make.AlastairMeeks said:
This is your fantasy, not mine. You make it work if you can. Don't expect me to write the cheque for it either.Casino_Royale said:
Be a nice idea if, having lost, you now bring the best of yourself to the new political reality to make it the best possible success.AlastairMeeks said:
I'm going to ration my use of "I told you so" in the coming months and years. But not very tightly.Casino_Royale said:
How long are we going to have to wait before you calm down too?AlastairMeeks said:
Enjoy your evening. Tonight is a night for Leavers to exult. The lunatics are taking over the asylum. We shall have to hope against all logic that it sort of works out ok.SeanT said:
Best bet is to move to Jobbik's Hungary, mate. Where they are more cosmopolitan.AlastairMeeks said:
I'd not put too much at stake on this referendum till tonight but I'm rapidly rethinking what it is appropriate to commit.another_richard said:
I'm relieved that you agree on the prices - I thought I must be going mad.AlastairMeeks said:I'm touched by those who have been asking after me. I've been packing to flee the country tomorrow.
I have, however, found time to keep backing Leave at regular intervals tonight. The prices are incomprehensible.
It will provide some minor compensation for having my country torn away from me.
I look forward to finding out what the plan is at some point.0 -
I'm really interested in Oxfordshire, I sense that it should go remain, but if it is close then there will have been a large shy leaver effect.kle4 said:0 -
Because it is over.John_M said:
It's nowhere near being over. I don't understand all the dejection from Remain. This whole situation is just bizarre.tpfkar said:Watch Birmingham and Liverpool. If they are really heading to 60% remain, that will bring remain a lot closer to par than they are at the moment
78% turnout in wiltshiee0 -
Don't start on the muppets; fine people.MarqueeMark said:If Corbyn had backed Leave, he would have owned this result.
Muppet.0 -
I've never seen someone look so consistently in need of a good wash. He always looks greasy.FrancisUrquhart said:Tom Watson looking very sweaty....
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But that is not the reason I voted for Leave, Mr Thrak.Thrak said:EEA is not plausible given the nature of the vote, in fact it would be in leave's interest to clamp down on all immigration, as would be expected from its voters. These people have voted for the first time in ages to get that, if they don't then they will take things into their own hamds.
Nobody knows the reasons for any particular vote on either side. Cameron should have asked a more precise question.0 -
Top up. it is free money nowrottenborough said:Tempted to cash in on Leave bets, but something is holding my finger back.
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Swansea goes out!!!
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I did - and Stockton too!tlg86 said:Middlesbrough for Leave - I'm sure Sandy thought that they'd be for Remain.
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I think so - this still feels really close.KentRising said:Southend 58% Leave.
Under par?0 -
Swansea for LEAVE!!!
Port Talbot Steelworks territory. ... fecking hell.0 -
Curtice - Leave above par in far more areas than Remain.0
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Swansea. - IN 58,307 - OUT 61,9360
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Sterling just tanked a cent to 1.450
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City of London has beaten par for Remain. Tiny, but may indicate Remain doing better than expected in London.0
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Leave 53% Remain 47%0
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How many people have in hindsight here talked about how slow the market was to react away from No Overall Majority last year and how much they made based on that?Wanderer said:Well, this is getting bizarre. We are all pretty much ready to call it for Leave and it's still odds-against.
If I gambled I'd be betting big on Leave right now, it should be odds-on.0 -
1.65 remain0
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Feels really close to me as well. Taking nothing for granted yet.tlg86 said:
I think so - this still feels really close.KentRising said:Southend 58% Leave.
Under par?0 -
@JGForsyth: David Davis just suggested shorting sterling, not exactly the Leave message!0
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There is no Leave message, the campaign is over.Scott_P said:@JGForsyth: David Davis just suggested shorting sterling, not exactly the Leave message!
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Doesn't feel a great leave result to me?SimonStClare said:Swansea. - IN 58,307 - OUT 61,936
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Peter Bone'e Wellingborough 62% Leave.0
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Let's talk when you've calmed down, perhaps privately.AlastairMeeks said:
You clearly don't understand that I regard the manner of Leave's victory as a moral disgrace that makes me ashamed to be English. Why on earth would I want to make it work?Casino_Royale said:
Maybe once you've finished your childish strop (you lost, deal with it) we'll hear more from the sensible rational Alastair that still has a huge contribution to make.AlastairMeeks said:
This is your fantasy, not mine. You make it work if you can. Don't expect me to write the cheque for it either.Casino_Royale said:
Be a nice idea if, having lost, you now bring the best of yourself to the new political reality to make it the best possible success.AlastairMeeks said:
I'm going to ration my use of "I told you so" in the coming months and years. But not very tightly.Casino_Royale said:
How long are we going to have to wait before you calm down too?AlastairMeeks said:
Enjoy your evening. Tonight is a night for Leavers to exult. The lunatics are taking over the asylum. We shall have to hope against all logic that it sort of works out ok.SeanT said:
Best bet is to move to Jobbik's Hungary, mate. Where they are more cosmopolitan.AlastairMeeks said:
I'd not put too much at stake on this referendum till tonight but I'm rapidly rethinking what it is appropriate to commit.another_richard said:
I'm relieved that you agree on the prices - I thought I must be going mad.AlastairMeeks said:I'm touched by those who have been asking after me. I've been packing to flee the country tomorrow.
I have, however, found time to keep backing Leave at regular intervals tonight. The prices are incomprehensible.
It will provide some minor compensation for having my country torn away from me.
I look forward to finding out what the plan is at some point.
We are both English. Both sides need to do some reflecting on the campaigns they ran but for Remain to lose when it was 25-30% ahead months ago and had the whole UK and Global establishment heavily lined up for it holds some very powerful lesson as well.0 -
Now Betfair's moving...0
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Blaenau Gwent goes Leave0
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1.77 remain0
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AFTstjohn said:Now Betfair's moving...
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Leave is winning almost everywhere in England (albeit we don't have metropolitan areas yet).0
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Very close to cross over on Betfair0
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Posh Brentwood has voted Leave 60%.0
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It is - Swansea was expected to vote remain by about the same margin.hunchman said:
Doesn't feel a great leave result to me?SimonStClare said:Swansea. - IN 58,307 - OUT 61,936
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Wife. Pension.SouthamObserver said:
You do have to wonder about the thought processes he goes through. How can he be so disconnected?viewcode said:0 -
Henretty had it 56-44 for Remainhunchman said:
Doesn't feel a great leave result to me?SimonStClare said:Swansea. - IN 58,307 - OUT 61,936
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NEW THREAD!!!!!!!!!!!!0
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Bury: 54% Leave.0
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Crossover on Betfair!0
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Wow - really movingstjohn said:Now Betfair's moving...
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CROSSOVER ON BETFAIR!0
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Oh fuck, please tell me he's not back?Scott_P said:@JGForsyth: David Davis just suggested shorting sterling, not exactly the Leave message!
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Leave favourite! Flip flop!0
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Crossover0
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OK Bury and Swansea results are changing my mind.The_Woodpecker said:Cashed out. +£5oo remain, +£1500 leave. Really think Remain might whisker this. Too stressful!
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Leave move into odds on. HElls BELLs!!!!0
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Crossover where the hell are the buyers0
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Betfair 63% implied prob Leave. Pound below $1.41 and falling fast.0
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Many thanks to pong, got £12 matched at 21 on the 40-45 remain score. Covered my bailout losses on remain win. Britain may well have rediscovered its backbone! Can't believe it, so so pleased!0