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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Remain retain their lead with ComRes. Just.

As with other recent referendum polls there’s been a big swing to Leave, it is a reflection of the poor position Remain find themselves in that they’ll be delighted with a 1% per cent lead.
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Pipping Toint!
But I thank you for the complement.
My work here is done.
But a significant majority of more than two thirds – 68% – at the same time insist they are not willing to lose any cash at all personally to reduce the number of migrants coming in from Europe.
That's just people interpreting the issue differently - they are willing to see an economic slowdown in general terms, just not if it affects them. One reason Remainers are right, there will be surprised and angry people come a Brexit, despite all the warnings.
Specify a list of specific cuts and specific tax rises.
Remain has been far too waffly up to now.
Public thinks Leave = Less Immigration.
Remain now needs the public to also think:
Leave = Income Tax up x%, VAT up x%, tuition fees up £x etc etc.
Must be totally specific, no waffle.
Leave = You Lose Cash
No one likes a bully. No one liked to be bullied.
There won't be anything left for Osborne and Cameron to lead after the Referendum.
Their last pre election poll had the Tories one point ahead. They were pretty much as far off as everyone else.
The question for the Savage Cuts scenario is: Why?
I'm calling.. 8.
https://twitter.com/suttonnick/status/742825088739905538
Maybe he has been taking advice from someone a Sinn Fein remainer about punishment beatings.
The primary reasons I’m so interested in ComRes’ phone polls is that they were the only phone pollster to have the Tories consistently ahead at the last general election , and their turnout model, which they’ve worked so hard to develop,
I know somebody last night said Purdah might / would prevent that.
Well, I'm not sure of the actual rules. Even if it couldn't be formally announced to the Commons or on a Treasury Press Release I would have thought Cameron could announce it verbally.
Or possibly A Good Day to Lie Hard.
However, Cameron and Osborne are finished whatever happens. Leave or remain, they've destroyed their credibility with their own party and the wider electorate...
It's so bad they are now scrabbling around preying that Jezza Corbyn and Tom Watson can bring Lab voters to their senses and save them...
Tim was 100% right about these two all the way along. And now the Tory Party and wider electorate can see how useless they are their times very nearly up whatever happens.
Are you proof that these aliens really existing and are already here?
Thanks.
https://twitter.com/suttonnick/status/742834375717441541
Don't get me wrong, it's not good for us Leavers. But, at the same time, I think most people are now wise to his game.
Vote out and face 2p on income tax, to plug the gap.
How many more front pages?
But none of knew just how nasty he could get.
As a Remainer I'm glad Osborne is fighting back.
I am not sure that will go down to well. I am feckin certain that I will not be threatened or bullied by my own government.
https://twitter.com/suttonnick/status/742834728093515778
And these threats coming from these two look stunningly awful as well.
But maybe it'll stick this time. We'll see.
Please, bring him on....
It is amazing how things have changed. I went back to the town I lived in when I was in Spain all those years ago. Back then it was a mix of Catalans, immigrants from other parts of Spain, a few gypsies and a handful of expats. Now it is completely different: loads of sub-Saharan Africans, North Africans, Romanian shops. It was almost unrecognisable. If you live through change you often don't register it, but going back after 15 years it smacked me hard in the face.
For Lleida read any town in England. I remember the Kentish Town of my youth: largely white working class (English and Irish), Greek and Turkish Cypriot, some West Indians. Almost everyone in council or privately rented accommodation. It was rough and ready. Not like that now. I do miss it.
I am lucky and have moved on. My nostalgia is an indulgence. But for a lot of people it must be an ache, a physical pain. They have been left behind as everything has changed. They have been dumped on. Of course they're angry, of course they feel unheard, of course they feel a level of hostility to the newcomers - whether hipsters and millionaires in Kentish Town or immigrants in Canning Town. It's totally natural and completely understandable. It's not bigoted, it's not xenophobic, it's not racist. A few Remainers on here need to get their heads round that.
I don't blame disillusioned, disenfranchised working class people for voting Leave. It makes total sense to me. I just don't think it is the solution. It won't make things better. But it is a logical reaction to all they have been through and go through now everyday.
However, wealthy, right wing, Tory Leave leaders; they do deserve nothing but contempt. Posing as champions of people who they have spent the last six years grinding into the ground. It's sickening.
The anti-EU feeling will still be there in the country. He wants to force it underground.
I wonder how Dr Wollaston feels about this? Poor woman.