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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Is this Ed Miliband’s route back to the Labour leadership?

SystemSystem Posts: 11,685
edited May 2016 in General

imagepoliticalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Is this Ed Miliband’s route back to the Labour leadership?

This piece isn’t an attempt to make John Rentoul’s QTWTAIN list, again, but The Daily Telegraph has reported that Ed Miliband is considering a return to Jeremy Corbyn’s shadow cabinet. The Telegraph report says

Read the full story here


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Comments

  • Options
    First ..... again!
  • Options
    For anyone interested, those 200/1 odds are available from both Ladbrokes and Skybet.
    (Skybet also have Gordon Brown and Tony Blair on offer at the same odds!)
  • Options
    peter_from_putneypeter_from_putney Posts: 6,875
    edited May 2016
    The Daily Telegraph:
    "Tory MP Andrew Bridgen says David Cameron is 'finished' as party leader"
    "David Cameron and George Osborne 'too rich' to care about migration, claims cabinet minister Priti Patel"

    Expect plenty more of this.
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    EICIPM .... the sequel

    :smile:
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    First ..... again!

    Encore! Bravo!
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    I don't think the electorate would like that.

    They've already given their verdict on Mr Miliband once - not up to it - and will be irritated to have the same proposal made again
  • Options
    peter_from_putneypeter_from_putney Posts: 6,875
    edited May 2016
    Charles said:

    I don't think the electorate would like that.

    They've already given their verdict on Mr Miliband once - not up to it - and will be irritated to have the same proposal made again

    You're right in one sense, but that was before Corbyn was the option. Labourites possibly also believe that bringing back Ed would somehow enable his brother to return too.
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    Charles said:

    I don't think the electorate would like that.

    They've already given their verdict on Mr Miliband once - not up to it - and will be irritated to have the same proposal made again

    You're right in one sense, but that was before Corbyn was the option. Labourites possibly also believe that bringing back Ed would somehow enable his brother to return too.
    The return of Ed is possible as some sort of weird unity candidate as part of a defenestration of Jezza , followed by another leadership contest.

    As long as we can have the #edstone back too!
  • Options
    peter_from_putneypeter_from_putney Posts: 6,875
    edited May 2016
    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.
  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 18,891
    edited May 2016
    You can't be serious!! (Sound track only)


    http://www.livingroomcandidate.org/commercials/1968/laughter
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    Latest ARSE4EU Referendum Projection Countdown

    50 Hours
  • Options
    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Expect the metropolitan elite both in the media and here to go into a tizzy about it and run around calling everyone a RAAAACCCCCIIIST, the voters largely to disagree with them but keep their own counsel.

    When the Left Liberal progressive minority go off on one about people complaining about immigration, the bulk of the country will roll their eyes and get on with life... until they vote.
  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,190
    Just had a fiver on this with Sky Bet - worth noting that they state the "next permanent leader".
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969

    First ..... again!

    First, second, and third. Greedy! ;)
  • Options
    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,288
    edited May 2016
    Ed Miliband took Labour down to their worst General Election defeat since 1931, to replace Corbyn who has taken them down further. An interesting proposition, but the Tories would have to split, Labour would have to be unite and regain Scotland to make this realistic.

    If The Tories did split in June 2016, I'm unsure that Miliband would seen as a PM in waiting. It begs the question why did he resign so quickly in May 2015 and let Corbyn in.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,249
    edited May 2016
    To slightly misquote Albert Einstein:

    'Insanity is doing the same thing twice in the expectation of a different result.'

    Surely even Labour couldn't be so cretinous as to replace 'I lived in a million pound Shropshire mansion and went to a posh state school so I get ordinary people' Corbyn with 'I lived in a million pound London mansion and went to a posh state school so I get ordinary people and had Labour's third worst result in the age of universal suffrage' Miliband? I mean, whatever deal Osborne has cut with Beelzebub couldn't run to that. Could it? Or has Tim Farron got in on the act as well?

    PS aren't you a bit harsh on dwarfs? More like the tallest pygmy shrew.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,249
    dr_spyn said:

    Ed Miliband took Labour down to their worst General Election defeat since 1931, to replace Corbyn who has taken them down further.

    In terms of votes and seats it was better than 1983. In terms of votes, better than 2010. In terms of seats, better than 1987. So it was not the worst result since 1931 by any measure. However, it was their worst result in Scotland since 1900. It was also their third lowest vote share since 1928.

    However you look at it, it was an absolutely terrible performance. Mind you, Labour appear determined to do even worse next time.
  • Options
    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,288
    Tamara Cohen ‏@tamcohen 5m5 minutes ago
    .@AndrewBridgenMP saying today that the PM is "finished" and would face a coup (needs 50 MPs) even if there's a narrow win for Remain #EUref
  • Options
    Major issues in EY Referendum? I can't say, but on the previous thread:

    econom mentioned 18 times

    migra mentioned 182 times

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    CD13CD13 Posts: 6,351
    One thing this referendum has shown is that altruism isn't dead.

    We have Ukip campaigning for Leave, an action that will render them all redundant.

    And we also have the majority of MPs at Westminster and the devolved parliaments campaigning for Remain. If successful, an action which will render them all redundant, although on a longer timescale.

    Three cheers for them all.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,311
    Leave seem to have found its sweet spot with immigration.

    Not to say it's right or wrong but it's what will win it for them if they win.
  • Options
    At least the Referendum will be a closer, more interesting, contest than the cricket against Sri Lanka.
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Indigo said:

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Expect the metropolitan elite both in the media and here to go into a tizzy about it and run around calling everyone a RAAAACCCCCIIIST, the voters largely to disagree with them but keep their own counsel.

    When the Left Liberal progressive minority go off on one about people complaining about immigration, the bulk of the country will roll their eyes and get on with life... until they vote.
    What about the Right liberal minority?

    I thought the whole idea of Vote Leave getting the nod was to attract more than just the Faragist anti immigration core vote 30%
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,472

    Indigo said:

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Expect the metropolitan elite both in the media and here to go into a tizzy about it and run around calling everyone a RAAAACCCCCIIIST, the voters largely to disagree with them but keep their own counsel.

    When the Left Liberal progressive minority go off on one about people complaining about immigration, the bulk of the country will roll their eyes and get on with life... until they vote.
    What about the Right liberal minority?

    I thought the whole idea of Vote Leave getting the nod was to attract more than just the Faragist anti immigration core vote 30%
    Well I'm sure these past quotes won't be mentioned. No sir.

    Gove 2013: "The PM has struck exactly the right note on migration"

    Boris 2013: "I’m the only politician willing to say he’s pro-immigration"
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    dr_spyn said:

    Tamara Cohen ‏@tamcohen 5m5 minutes ago
    .@AndrewBridgenMP saying today that the PM is "finished" and would face a coup (needs 50 MPs) even if there's a narrow win for Remain #EUref

    Bridgen opined the same in 2013. He is to political forecasting what Eric Pickles is to Slimming World - A complete dud.
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Yes, not much talk of a brave new Britain engaging with the world in the next 3 weeks.

    149 000 non EU migrants last year. Not much impact on stopping those with the new visa rules etc was there? On that alone the Tories have failed - and May at the Home Office most of all.

    Assuming that some EU migrants are either needed, or the work that our Greek Doctors and Portuguese Nurses do is replaced by more non-EU migration, then after Brexit we should expect 200 000 to 250 000 new migrants each year.
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,755
    dr_spyn said:

    Tamara Cohen ‏@tamcohen 5m5 minutes ago
    .@AndrewBridgenMP saying today that the PM is "finished" and would face a coup (needs 50 MPs) even if there's a narrow win for Remain #EUref

    What does he know ? It's one big happy family post EU ref and there will be rainbows and choirs of singing children.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,984
    Good morning, everyone.

    As well as sharing the incredulous mirth of others regarding the prospect of Miliband 2, does he even want to be leader again? It's not that long ago he was slaughtered in the polls and resigned.

    Corbyn thinking Miliband will help restore his credibility depends on the audience. With Labour? Maybe. With the public? No.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,984
    Dr. Foxinsox, I suspect may being relaxed about the increasing use of Sharia Law may be a more serious (in PR terms) problem for her, although you're quite right that (disregarding EU migration) the government, and her specifically, have utterly failed to even approach the possibility of coming close to hitting their targets.
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Indigo said:

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Expect the metropolitan elite both in the media and here to go into a tizzy about it and run around calling everyone a RAAAACCCCCIIIST, the voters largely to disagree with them but keep their own counsel.

    When the Left Liberal progressive minority go off on one about people complaining about immigration, the bulk of the country will roll their eyes and get on with life... until they vote.
    What about the Right liberal minority?

    I thought the whole idea of Vote Leave getting the nod was to attract more than just the Faragist anti immigration core vote 30%
    As a whole the Right liberal minority don't publicly condemn people for their beliefs. Thye may disagree and try to persuade them of their error, but they don't yell at them and try to shut down the argument
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Indigo said:

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Expect the metropolitan elite both in the media and here to go into a tizzy about it and run around calling everyone a RAAAACCCCCIIIST, the voters largely to disagree with them but keep their own counsel.

    When the Left Liberal progressive minority go off on one about people complaining about immigration, the bulk of the country will roll their eyes and get on with life... until they vote.
    What about the Right liberal minority?

    I thought the whole idea of Vote Leave getting the nod was to attract more than just the Faragist anti immigration core vote 30%
    Well I'm sure these past quotes won't be mentioned. No sir.

    Gove 2013: "The PM has struck exactly the right note on migration"

    Boris 2013: "I’m the only politician willing to say he’s pro-immigration"
    Response: "Well if he had kept his promise to get immigration down...but it's not possible in the EU...Leave!"
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,472
    Charles said:

    Indigo said:

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Expect the metropolitan elite both in the media and here to go into a tizzy about it and run around calling everyone a RAAAACCCCCIIIST, the voters largely to disagree with them but keep their own counsel.

    When the Left Liberal progressive minority go off on one about people complaining about immigration, the bulk of the country will roll their eyes and get on with life... until they vote.
    What about the Right liberal minority?

    I thought the whole idea of Vote Leave getting the nod was to attract more than just the Faragist anti immigration core vote 30%
    Well I'm sure these past quotes won't be mentioned. No sir.

    Gove 2013: "The PM has struck exactly the right note on migration"

    Boris 2013: "I’m the only politician willing to say he’s pro-immigration"
    Response: "Well if he had kept his promise to get immigration down...but it's not possible in the EU...Leave!"
    Those quotes I believe were after some bad immigration figures were released
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Charles said:

    Indigo said:

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Expect the metropolitan elite both in the media and here to go into a tizzy about it and run around calling everyone a RAAAACCCCCIIIST, the voters largely to disagree with them but keep their own counsel.

    When the Left Liberal progressive minority go off on one about people complaining about immigration, the bulk of the country will roll their eyes and get on with life... until they vote.
    What about the Right liberal minority?

    I thought the whole idea of Vote Leave getting the nod was to attract more than just the Faragist anti immigration core vote 30%
    As a whole the Right liberal minority don't publicly condemn people for their beliefs. Thye may disagree and try to persuade them of their error, but they don't yell at them and try to shut down the argument
    Indeed. The argument should be able to be made but there is a difference between it being one of multiple arguments and "immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign."
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,249
    edited May 2016

    Good morning, everyone.

    As well as sharing the incredulous mirth of others regarding the prospect of Miliband 2, does he even want to be leader again? It's not that long ago he was slaughtered in the polls and resigned.

    Corbyn thinking Miliband will help restore his credibility depends on the audience. With Labour? Maybe. With the public? No.

    Why would he need credibility with Labour? They still love him because he gives them a lovely warm feeling of moral superiority. The minor detail that everyone else regards him with loathing and contempt eludes them, because they have lost the courage or desire to talk to people who disagree with them. After all, we couldn't find out that such moral and caring people are wrong on anything, could we?

    That said, Miliband would still be a better option than Watson.
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,311

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Yes, not much talk of a brave new Britain engaging with the world in the next 3 weeks.

    149 000 non EU migrants last year. Not much impact on stopping those with the new visa rules etc was there? On that alone the Tories have failed - and May at the Home Office most of all.

    Assuming that some EU migrants are either needed, or the work that our Greek Doctors and Portuguese Nurses do is replaced by more non-EU migration, then after Brexit we should expect 200 000 to 250 000 new migrants each year.
    The country has been forbidden from talking about immigration for some time for all the reasons we know.

    EURef is allowing that debate to take place.

    It would be a shame if the legitimate debate about immigration ended up with the UK bringing down the temple around us by leaving the EU.
  • Options
    TCPoliticalBettingTCPoliticalBetting Posts: 10,819
    edited May 2016
    REMAIN is relying for its biggest vote from one group, Labour voters. Its campaign has been fronted by Cameron and Osborne, two people that are amongst the worst people to attract Labour voters.
    If we view this from the perspective of Labour working class voters, they are being asked to also vote for:-
    1. More immigration
    2. Keep Cameron and Osborne in office
    It is just not a good political situation for REMAIN.
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,311

    Charles said:

    Indigo said:

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Expect the metropolitan elite both in the media and here to go into a tizzy about it and run around calling everyone a RAAAACCCCCIIIST, the voters largely to disagree with them but keep their own counsel.

    When the Left Liberal progressive minority go off on one about people complaining about immigration, the bulk of the country will roll their eyes and get on with life... until they vote.
    What about the Right liberal minority?

    I thought the whole idea of Vote Leave getting the nod was to attract more than just the Faragist anti immigration core vote 30%
    Well I'm sure these past quotes won't be mentioned. No sir.

    Gove 2013: "The PM has struck exactly the right note on migration"

    Boris 2013: "I’m the only politician willing to say he’s pro-immigration"
    Response: "Well if he had kept his promise to get immigration down...but it's not possible in the EU...Leave!"
    Those quotes I believe were after some bad immigration figures were released
    And of course after the promise.

    Not to excuse the promise, that said.
  • Options
    CD13CD13 Posts: 6,351
    edited May 2016
    When Jezza goes, probably in 2019, McDonnell will take over. The new Labour members won't allow a failed 'Blairite' in to roll back the revolution.

    Labour will either regain its sanity or morph into the 'Real SWP'.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,984
    Sounds like the Iraqi army is making progress in its bid to drive ISIS/Daesh out of Fallujah:
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-36407562
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,984
    Mr. Doethur, agree on Watson. Slimy and vile creature he is.
  • Options
    JackW said:

    dr_spyn said:

    Tamara Cohen ‏@tamcohen 5m5 minutes ago
    .@AndrewBridgenMP saying today that the PM is "finished" and would face a coup (needs 50 MPs) even if there's a narrow win for Remain #EUref

    Bridgen opined the same in 2013. He is to political forecasting what Eric Pickles is to Slimming World - A complete dud.
    What vote split and turnout does your model have for current or GE2015, Labour voters at the referendum?
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    dr_spyn said:

    Tamara Cohen ‏@tamcohen 5m5 minutes ago
    .@AndrewBridgenMP saying today that the PM is "finished" and would face a coup (needs 50 MPs) even if there's a narrow win for Remain #EUref

    What does he know ? It's one big happy family post EU ref and there will be rainbows and choirs of singing children.
    Well you're right in the question at least. Wrong before, wrong again.
  • Options
    I do hope that the EU Referendum is not decided by a marked advantage for one side or the other in the "Postal" Vote.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,984
    edited May 2016
    Mr. Duckworth, worried there'll be enthusiastically high levels of turnout in certain parts of the country?
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Charles said:

    Indigo said:

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Expect the metropolitan elite both in the media and here to go into a tizzy about it and run around calling everyone a RAAAACCCCCIIIST, the voters largely to disagree with them but keep their own counsel.

    When the Left Liberal progressive minority go off on one about people complaining about immigration, the bulk of the country will roll their eyes and get on with life... until they vote.
    What about the Right liberal minority?

    I thought the whole idea of Vote Leave getting the nod was to attract more than just the Faragist anti immigration core vote 30%
    Well I'm sure these past quotes won't be mentioned. No sir.

    Gove 2013: "The PM has struck exactly the right note on migration"

    Boris 2013: "I’m the only politician willing to say he’s pro-immigration"
    Response: "Well if he had kept his promise to get immigration down...but it's not possible in the EU...Leave!"
    Those quotes I believe were after some bad immigration figures were released
    If you're explaining, you're losing
  • Options

    Indigo said:

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Expect the metropolitan elite both in the media and here to go into a tizzy about it and run around calling everyone a RAAAACCCCCIIIST, the voters largely to disagree with them but keep their own counsel.

    When the Left Liberal progressive minority go off on one about people complaining about immigration, the bulk of the country will roll their eyes and get on with life... until they vote.
    What about the Right liberal minority?

    I thought the whole idea of Vote Leave getting the nod was to attract more than just the Faragist anti immigration core vote 30%
    We have seen LEAVE get a minimum split (ignoring dont know) of 40+per cent. REMAIN has been propped up with soft Labour voters. Its working class supporters is a very large block of votes that could either vote for LEAVE or abstain.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,472
    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Indigo said:

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Expect the metropolitan elite both in the media and here to go into a tizzy about it and run around calling everyone a RAAAACCCCCIIIST, the voters largely to disagree with them but keep their own counsel.

    When the Left Liberal progressive minority go off on one about people complaining about immigration, the bulk of the country will roll their eyes and get on with life... until they vote.
    What about the Right liberal minority?

    I thought the whole idea of Vote Leave getting the nod was to attract more than just the Faragist anti immigration core vote 30%
    Well I'm sure these past quotes won't be mentioned. No sir.

    Gove 2013: "The PM has struck exactly the right note on migration"

    Boris 2013: "I’m the only politician willing to say he’s pro-immigration"
    Response: "Well if he had kept his promise to get immigration down...but it's not possible in the EU...Leave!"
    Those quotes I believe were after some bad immigration figures were released
    If you're explaining, you're losing
    Is Boris is still in favour of an amnesty for illegal immigrants?

    #AskingForAFriend
  • Options
    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,339

    Charles said:

    I don't think the electorate would like that.

    They've already given their verdict on Mr Miliband once - not up to it - and will be irritated to have the same proposal made again

    You're right in one sense, but that was before Corbyn was the option. Labourites possibly also believe that bringing back Ed would somehow enable his brother to return too.
    Eccentric suggestion of the day? It would make it significantly less likely that David would return. What it would do would be reinforce the impression that the PLP is rallying behind Corbyn. And there's also the point that Ed actually knows the environment brief - there is something to be said for having (shadow) ministers who have a genuine interest in their subjects.

    Note that TSE isn't predicting it would happen, just that it would start to look more likely, making it a good trading bet. That might well be true, but you'd probably need to wait to 2020 or later to execute it.

    Incidentally, there's a good, balanced piece on the Chakrabarti anti-Semitism enquiry where you might not expect it, wrestling with the question of when criticism of Israel shares into anti-semitism:

    https://www.morningstaronline.co.uk/a-8995-Unravelling-the-charge-of-Labour-Party-anti-semitism#.V0qUF3n2apo
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    JackW said:

    dr_spyn said:

    Tamara Cohen ‏@tamcohen 5m5 minutes ago
    .@AndrewBridgenMP saying today that the PM is "finished" and would face a coup (needs 50 MPs) even if there's a narrow win for Remain #EUref

    Bridgen opined the same in 2013. He is to political forecasting what Eric Pickles is to Slimming World - A complete dud.
    @JananGanesh: Imagine getting to age 51 and still being Andrew Bridgen.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,472

    Mr. Duckworth, worried there'll be enthusiastically high levels of turnout in certain parts of the country?

    Yup. It is Tory voters who most use postal votes, so I reckon it'll be in the South where we'll see the most postal votes.
  • Options
    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Indigo said:

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Expect the metropolitan elite both in the media and here to go into a tizzy about it and run around calling everyone a RAAAACCCCCIIIST, the voters largely to disagree with them but keep their own counsel.

    When the Left Liberal progressive minority go off on one about people complaining about immigration, the bulk of the country will roll their eyes and get on with life... until they vote.
    What about the Right liberal minority?

    I thought the whole idea of Vote Leave getting the nod was to attract more than just the Faragist anti immigration core vote 30%
    Well I'm sure these past quotes won't be mentioned. No sir.

    Gove 2013: "The PM has struck exactly the right note on migration"

    Boris 2013: "I’m the only politician willing to say he’s pro-immigration"
    Response: "Well if he had kept his promise to get immigration down...but it's not possible in the EU...Leave!"
    Those quotes I believe were after some bad immigration figures were released
    If you're explaining, you're losing
    Is Boris is still in favour of an amnesty for illegal immigrants?

    #AskingForAFriend
    Your friend would seem to be the only one that cares. People are not voting of what Boris thinks, strangely enough, they are voting on what they themselves think... I know that thinking is frowned upon in today's EU.
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Charles said:

    Indigo said:

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Expect the metropolitan elite both in the media and here to go into a tizzy about it and run around calling everyone a RAAAACCCCCIIIST, the voters largely to disagree with them but keep their own counsel.

    When the Left Liberal progressive minority go off on one about people complaining about immigration, the bulk of the country will roll their eyes and get on with life... until they vote.
    What about the Right liberal minority?

    I thought the whole idea of Vote Leave getting the nod was to attract more than just the Faragist anti immigration core vote 30%
    As a whole the Right liberal minority don't publicly condemn people for their beliefs. Thye may disagree and try to persuade them of their error, but they don't yell at them and try to shut down the argument
    Indeed. The argument should be able to be made but there is a difference between it being one of multiple arguments and "immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign."
    There will be - and are - multiple arguments going on. Just the media doesn't chose to report on all of them.

    For instance the concerns from the Art industry that I trailed a few days ago got a bit of coverage but have now disappeared from the news cycle. They are an important, high value industry - just not of much interest to journalists looking for copy
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,311
    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Indigo said:

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Expect the metropolitan elite both in the media and here to go into a tizzy about it and run around calling everyone a RAAAACCCCCIIIST, the voters largely to disagree with them but keep their own counsel.

    When the Left Liberal progressive minority go off on one about people complaining about immigration, the bulk of the country will roll their eyes and get on with life... until they vote.
    What about the Right liberal minority?

    I thought the whole idea of Vote Leave getting the nod was to attract more than just the Faragist anti immigration core vote 30%
    Well I'm sure these past quotes won't be mentioned. No sir.

    Gove 2013: "The PM has struck exactly the right note on migration"

    Boris 2013: "I’m the only politician willing to say he’s pro-immigration"
    Response: "Well if he had kept his promise to get immigration down...but it's not possible in the EU...Leave!"
    Those quotes I believe were after some bad immigration figures were released
    If you're explaining, you're losing
    I think it's legitimate to explain when hypocritical, opportunist tossers are being hypocritical and opportunist.
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    TOPPING said:

    .

    It would be a shame if the legitimate debate about immigration ended up with the UK bringing down the temple around us by leaving the EU.

    It would be a shame indeed

    But leaving the EU isn't going to bring the temple down.

    We'll do just fine.
  • Options
    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    edited May 2016

    Indigo said:

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Expect the metropolitan elite both in the media and here to go into a tizzy about it and run around calling everyone a RAAAACCCCCIIIST, the voters largely to disagree with them but keep their own counsel.

    When the Left Liberal progressive minority go off on one about people complaining about immigration, the bulk of the country will roll their eyes and get on with life... until they vote.
    What about the Right liberal minority?

    I thought the whole idea of Vote Leave getting the nod was to attract more than just the Faragist anti immigration core vote 30%
    Many they have information that when taking other factors into consideration, immigration swinging it for more than 30%. They might not be a core "anti immigration" voter and Faragist, but they might still feel it matters, as apparently the PM did when he promised 10s of thousands in his contract.

    http://www.natcen.ac.uk/news-media/press-releases/2014/january/more-than-3-in-4-want-reduction-in-immigration/
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,311
    Charles said:

    TOPPING said:

    .

    It would be a shame if the legitimate debate about immigration ended up with the UK bringing down the temple around us by leaving the EU.

    It would be a shame indeed

    But leaving the EU isn't going to bring the temple down.

    We'll do just fine.
    We'll hang on, right?
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Indigo said:

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Expect the metropolitan elite both in the media and here to go into a tizzy about it and run around calling everyone a RAAAACCCCCIIIST, the voters largely to disagree with them but keep their own counsel.

    When the Left Liberal progressive minority go off on one about people complaining about immigration, the bulk of the country will roll their eyes and get on with life... until they vote.
    What about the Right liberal minority?

    I thought the whole idea of Vote Leave getting the nod was to attract more than just the Faragist anti immigration core vote 30%
    Well I'm sure these past quotes won't be mentioned. No sir.

    Gove 2013: "The PM has struck exactly the right note on migration"

    Boris 2013: "I’m the only politician willing to say he’s pro-immigration"
    Response: "Well if he had kept his promise to get immigration down...but it's not possible in the EU...Leave!"
    Those quotes I believe were after some bad immigration figures were released
    If you're explaining, you're losing
    Is Boris is still in favour of an amnesty for illegal immigrants?

    #AskingForAFriend
    Do you propose rounding them up and kicking them out? And how will you achieve that?

    #PracticalRealitiesOfLife
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Indigo said:

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Expect the metropolitan elite both in the media and here to go into a tizzy about it and run around calling everyone a RAAAACCCCCIIIST, the voters largely to disagree with them but keep their own counsel.

    When the Left Liberal progressive minority go off on one about people complaining about immigration, the bulk of the country will roll their eyes and get on with life... until they vote.
    What about the Right liberal minority?

    I thought the whole idea of Vote Leave getting the nod was to attract more than just the Faragist anti immigration core vote 30%
    We have seen LEAVE get a minimum split (ignoring dont know) of 40+per cent. REMAIN has been propped up with soft Labour voters. Its working class supporters is a very large block of votes that could either vote for LEAVE or abstain.
    Which is why I understand making immigration one prong of the argument. I disagree but respectfully see it as a part of the coalition needed to get to over 50%.

    To solely campaign on that for the next few weeks to the exclusion of anything else is to throw the baby out with the bathwater.

    Looking back it seems if Remain does win as expected then Obama's intervention could have been critical. Not in isolation but until then Leave had some great lines about how we would be better off economically as an nation open to trading to the whole global economy rather than tied to a small sclerotic and shrinking part of it. After Obama though Leave seems to have given up on winning the economic argument. That is a tragedy.
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    TOPPING said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Indigo said:

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Expect the metropolitan elite both in the media and here to go into a tizzy about it and run around calling everyone a RAAAACCCCCIIIST, the voters largely to disagree with them but keep their own counsel.

    When the Left Liberal progressive minority go off on one about people complaining about immigration, the bulk of the country will roll their eyes and get on with life... until they vote.
    What about the Right liberal minority?

    I thought the whole idea of Vote Leave getting the nod was to attract more than just the Faragist anti immigration core vote 30%
    Well I'm sure these past quotes won't be mentioned. No sir.

    Gove 2013: "The PM has struck exactly the right note on migration"

    Boris 2013: "I’m the only politician willing to say he’s pro-immigration"
    Response: "Well if he had kept his promise to get immigration down...but it's not possible in the EU...Leave!"
    Those quotes I believe were after some bad immigration figures were released
    If you're explaining, you're losing
    I think it's legitimate to explain when hypocritical, opportunist tossers are being hypocritical and opportunist.
    I didn't it wasn't legitimate - I believe in free speech. Just that it won't work.
  • Options
    CD13CD13 Posts: 6,351
    edited May 2016
    Dr P,

    "And there's also the point that Ed actually knows the environment brief."

    He certainly does. I retired in 2010 and with my small lump sum, I bought solar panels because of Ed's largesse. The best deal I've ever done in my life. Money for old rope, as they say. They pay me even if I use all the electricity myself. Index-linked and going up with inflation for another twenty years.

    He may have known the environment brief, but he has no idea about economics. To all UK taxpayers and to Ed, I say ... Cheers and thanks a lot.
  • Options
    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    Morning all

    "Is this Ed Miliband’s route back to the Labour leadership?"


    Cheers Mr Eagle, best Sunday morning laugh out loud for quite a while.
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Indigo said:

    Indigo said:

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Expect the metropolitan elite both in the media and here to go into a tizzy about it and run around calling everyone a RAAAACCCCCIIIST, the voters largely to disagree with them but keep their own counsel.

    When the Left Liberal progressive minority go off on one about people complaining about immigration, the bulk of the country will roll their eyes and get on with life... until they vote.
    What about the Right liberal minority?

    I thought the whole idea of Vote Leave getting the nod was to attract more than just the Faragist anti immigration core vote 30%
    Many they have information that when taking other factors into consideration, immigration swinging it for more than 30%. They might not be a core "anti immigration" voter and Faragist, but they might still feel it matters, as apparently the PM did when he promised 10s of thousands in his contract.

    http://www.natcen.ac.uk/news-media/press-releases/2014/january/more-than-3-in-4-want-reduction-in-immigration/
    More than 3 in 4 may want a reduction if they can have their cake and eat it too. Less than 50% want a reduction over all other concerns including but not limited to the economy. Leave need to win more than just the immigration argument.
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    TOPPING said:

    Charles said:

    TOPPING said:

    .

    It would be a shame if the legitimate debate about immigration ended up with the UK bringing down the temple around us by leaving the EU.

    It would be a shame indeed

    But leaving the EU isn't going to bring the temple down.

    We'll do just fine.
    We'll hang on, right?
    Not sure. The number of ABs who I meet - admittedly mainly from the older families - who are thinking hard about leave does surprise me. I've only met one person enthusiatically for 'Remain' and even that was driven by fear.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,472
    TOPPING said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Indigo said:

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Expect the metropolitan elite both in the media and here to go into a tizzy about it and run around calling everyone a RAAAACCCCCIIIST, the voters largely to disagree with them but keep their own counsel.

    When the Left Liberal progressive minority go off on one about people complaining about immigration, the bulk of the country will roll their eyes and get on with life... until they vote.
    What about the Right liberal minority?

    I thought the whole idea of Vote Leave getting the nod was to attract more than just the Faragist anti immigration core vote 30%
    Well I'm sure these past quotes won't be mentioned. No sir.

    Gove 2013: "The PM has struck exactly the right note on migration"

    Boris 2013: "I’m the only politician willing to say he’s pro-immigration"
    Response: "Well if he had kept his promise to get immigration down...but it's not possible in the EU...Leave!"
    Those quotes I believe were after some bad immigration figures were released
    If you're explaining, you're losing
    I think it's legitimate to explain when hypocritical, opportunist tossers are being hypocritical and opportunist.
    I think I'm going to break a rib laughing were Remain to win, especially comfortably, after Leave had spent the last month of the campaign banging on about immigration.

    Would mean the immigration obsessives are out of touch with the country, after spending years telling us liberal metropolitan elite types that we were the ones out of touch.
  • Options
    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966

    Indigo said:

    Indigo said:

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Expect the metropolitan elite both in the media and here to go into a tizzy about it and run around calling everyone a RAAAACCCCCIIIST, the voters largely to disagree with them but keep their own counsel.

    When the Left Liberal progressive minority go off on one about people complaining about immigration, the bulk of the country will roll their eyes and get on with life... until they vote.
    What about the Right liberal minority?

    I thought the whole idea of Vote Leave getting the nod was to attract more than just the Faragist anti immigration core vote 30%
    Many they have information that when taking other factors into consideration, immigration swinging it for more than 30%. They might not be a core "anti immigration" voter and Faragist, but they might still feel it matters, as apparently the PM did when he promised 10s of thousands in his contract.

    http://www.natcen.ac.uk/news-media/press-releases/2014/january/more-than-3-in-4-want-reduction-in-immigration/
    More than 3 in 4 may want a reduction if they can have their cake and eat it too. Less than 50% want a reduction over all other concerns including but not limited to the economy. Leave need to win more than just the immigration argument.
    Your speculation vs mine. We will know what really counts in about three weeks.
  • Options
    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966

    TOPPING said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Indigo said:

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Expect the metropolitan elite both in the media and here to go into a tizzy about it and run around calling everyone a RAAAACCCCCIIIST, the voters largely to disagree with them but keep their own counsel.

    When the Left Liberal progressive minority go off on one about people complaining about immigration, the bulk of the country will roll their eyes and get on with life... until they vote.
    What about the Right liberal minority?

    I thought the whole idea of Vote Leave getting the nod was to attract more than just the Faragist anti immigration core vote 30%
    Well I'm sure these past quotes won't be mentioned. No sir.

    Gove 2013: "The PM has struck exactly the right note on migration"

    Boris 2013: "I’m the only politician willing to say he’s pro-immigration"
    Response: "Well if he had kept his promise to get immigration down...but it's not possible in the EU...Leave!"
    Those quotes I believe were after some bad immigration figures were released
    If you're explaining, you're losing
    I think it's legitimate to explain when hypocritical, opportunist tossers are being hypocritical and opportunist.
    I think I'm going to break a rib laughing were Remain to win, especially comfortably, after Leave had spent the last month of the campaign banging on about immigration.

    Would mean the immigration obsessives are out of touch with the country, after spending years telling us liberal metropolitan elite types that we were the ones out of touch.
    On the other hand if Leave win, a period of quiet reflection might be in order ;)
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,898
    Morning. What on Earth is the question for Labour, to which the answer is Ed Miliband? There's a quote somewhere about doing the same thing again and expecting a different result.

    Quite a few Tories lining up for a go at the PM in today's papers, one gets the feeling that if the referendum result is any closer than 60:40 he's going to be a lame duck in Parliament, unable to pass anything except spending cuts.
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    Scott_P said:

    @JananGanesh: Imagine getting to age 51 and still being Andrew Bridgen.

    Andrew Bridgen together with Stewart Jackass (late of this parish) are a brace of Conservative MP's for whom the public should enjoy an open season - 1st January - 31st December.

    Although to be fair the latter could hardly be termed sport as he is such a total dullard he makes makes Bridgen appear Churchillian in political acumen.

  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,249
    CD13 said:

    Dr P,

    "And there's also the point that Ed actually knows the environment brief."

    He certainly does. I retired in 2010 and with my small lump sum, I bought solar panels because of Ed's largesse. The best deal I've ever done in my life. Money for old rope, as they say. They pay me even if I use all the electricity myself. Index-linked and going up with inflation for another twenty years.

    He may have known the environment brief, but he has no idea about economics. To all UK taxpayers and to Ed, I say ... Cheers and thanks a lot.

    The previous owner of my house also got solar panels on the back of Miliband's largesse. However, most unfortunately they did it through one of these dodgy companies. So I get no actual money and when it is generating income for them, I am not in the house to benefit from free power. So Miliband's scheme has led to somebody becoming rich because he already had money, without really benefitting the householder whose energy use it is supposed to be supporting.

    That's a really good use of taxpayer funds...
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,472
    Indigo said:

    TOPPING said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Indigo said:

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Expect the metropolitan elite both in the media and here to go into a tizzy about it and run around calling everyone a RAAAACCCCCIIIST, the voters largely to disagree with them but keep their own counsel.

    When the Left Liberal progressive minority go off on one about people complaining about immigration, the bulk of the country will roll their eyes and get on with life... until they vote.
    What about the Right liberal minority?

    I thought the whole idea of Vote Leave getting the nod was to attract more than just the Faragist anti immigration core vote 30%
    Well I'm sure these past quotes won't be mentioned. No sir.

    Gove 2013: "The PM has struck exactly the right note on migration"

    Boris 2013: "I’m the only politician willing to say he’s pro-immigration"
    Response: "Well if he had kept his promise to get immigration down...but it's not possible in the EU...Leave!"
    Those quotes I believe were after some bad immigration figures were released
    If you're explaining, you're losing
    I think it's legitimate to explain when hypocritical, opportunist tossers are being hypocritical and opportunist.
    I think I'm going to break a rib laughing were Remain to win, especially comfortably, after Leave had spent the last month of the campaign banging on about immigration.

    Would mean the immigration obsessives are out of touch with the country, after spending years telling us liberal metropolitan elite types that we were the ones out of touch.
    On the other hand if Leave win, a period of quiet reflection might be in order ;)
    Well I'm fleeing the country on June the 26th.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,984
    Mr. Eagles, unless we vote Leave. Then foreign travel will become impossible due to the harpies and dragons dominating the skies.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,898
    F1 betting tip: No safety car, currently 8 with Betfair.

    The two GP2 races on Friday and yesterday didn't feature one, the Monégasque marshals are the best in the world and managed to clear a dozen wrecked cars during the two races under the VSC. It seems that the organisers won't deploy the SC unless they really need to, so a big first corner shunt or if they need to send rescue or medical care onto the track. Caveat: it might rain.
  • Options
    SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    Boris is proving how unfit he is to be party leader/PM.. Gove should know better.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,472
    JackW said:

    Scott_P said:

    @JananGanesh: Imagine getting to age 51 and still being Andrew Bridgen.

    Andrew Bridgen together with Stewart Jackass (late of this parish) are a brace of Conservative MP's for whom the public should enjoy an open season - 1st January - 31st December.

    Although to be fair the latter could hardly be termed sport as he is such a total dullard he makes makes Bridgen appear Churchillian in political acumen.

    General Boles sums it up nicely

    Who the fuck is Andrew Bridgen?

    Ah diddums, did the nasty man hurt your feelings during the #EUref?

    You're like the fucking Lib Dems, shocked to discover the PM fights to win and exactly how few people care about your obsession
  • Options
    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    edited May 2016

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Yes, not much talk of a brave new Britain engaging with the world in the next 3 weeks.

    149 000 non EU migrants last year. Not much impact on stopping those with the new visa rules etc was there? On that alone the Tories have failed - and May at the Home Office most of all.

    Assuming that some EU migrants are either needed, or the work that our Greek Doctors and Portuguese Nurses do is replaced by more non-EU migration, then after Brexit we should expect 200 000 to 250 000 new migrants each year.
    Half of all the visas issued to non-EEA are students, mostly fee paying,

    Asylum applications have also bumped up 30% this year.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,984
    Mr. Sandpit, that's an interesting observation about the VSC. My concern would be the rain. Race is going to be around two hours, and the forecast I checked (yesterday evening) suggested a very strong chance of rain.

    Hmm. Interesting tip, though.
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,755

    JackW said:

    Scott_P said:

    @JananGanesh: Imagine getting to age 51 and still being Andrew Bridgen.

    Andrew Bridgen together with Stewart Jackass (late of this parish) are a brace of Conservative MP's for whom the public should enjoy an open season - 1st January - 31st December.

    Although to be fair the latter could hardly be termed sport as he is such a total dullard he makes makes Bridgen appear Churchillian in political acumen.

    General Boles sums it up nicely

    Who the fuck is Andrew Bridgen?

    Ah diddums, did the nasty man hurt your feelings during the #EUref?

    You're like the fucking Lib Dems, shocked to discover the PM fights to win and exactly how few people care about your obsession
    Tough night ?
  • Options
    CD13CD13 Posts: 6,351
    Ydoethur,

    "That's a really good use of taxpayer funds... "

    I totally agree. I'm not a Greeny, I'm a Greedy, but I'm also a taxpayer. It was my chance to recoup something, The whole idea was bonkers, but if the Government was determined to squander taxpayers money, I'll join the queue for the handout.

    The timing was perfect. Do I go on a cruise, or do I grab free money. I know, I'll do the latter and have the cruise in the future.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,472

    JackW said:

    Scott_P said:

    @JananGanesh: Imagine getting to age 51 and still being Andrew Bridgen.

    Andrew Bridgen together with Stewart Jackass (late of this parish) are a brace of Conservative MP's for whom the public should enjoy an open season - 1st January - 31st December.

    Although to be fair the latter could hardly be termed sport as he is such a total dullard he makes makes Bridgen appear Churchillian in political acumen.

    General Boles sums it up nicely

    Who the fuck is Andrew Bridgen?

    Ah diddums, did the nasty man hurt your feelings during the #EUref?

    You're like the fucking Lib Dems, shocked to discover the PM fights to win and exactly how few people care about your obsession
    Tough night ?
    For me? Yeah. This PB thread was written in a nightclub whilst I was attempting to do the funky chicken.

    I'm going to bed now.
  • Options
    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    edited May 2016
    Does anyone know when we can expect the Independent's monthly ORB? I thought they usually published on the final Saturday of the month.
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,755

    JackW said:

    Scott_P said:

    @JananGanesh: Imagine getting to age 51 and still being Andrew Bridgen.

    Andrew Bridgen together with Stewart Jackass (late of this parish) are a brace of Conservative MP's for whom the public should enjoy an open season - 1st January - 31st December.

    Although to be fair the latter could hardly be termed sport as he is such a total dullard he makes makes Bridgen appear Churchillian in political acumen.

    General Boles sums it up nicely

    Who the fuck is Andrew Bridgen?

    Ah diddums, did the nasty man hurt your feelings during the #EUref?

    You're like the fucking Lib Dems, shocked to discover the PM fights to win and exactly how few people care about your obsession
    Tough night ?
    For me? Yeah. This PB thread was written in a nightclub whilst I was attempting to do the funky chicken.

    I'm going to bed now.
    Probably best. youre sounding uncharacteristically bad humoured.

    That's my job and I dont want you muscling in.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,898

    Mr. Sandpit, that's an interesting observation about the VSC. My concern would be the rain. Race is going to be around two hours, and the forecast I checked (yesterday evening) suggested a very strong chance of rain.

    Hmm. Interesting tip, though.

    I thought that would make you think! Yes there's a chance of some rain during the race, but unless there's a downpour or a big shunt they won't bring the SC out. I watched both GP2 races precisely to think of this bet, it would have happened last year too but when young Versappen hit the barrier hard at Ste. Devote they sent a medical car for him. If they all get through the first lap unscathed it should really be about evens.
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    It really does make one wonder what Peterborough has done to the gods to deserve such a pair of MP's over the past two decades as Helen Clark and Stewart Jackson.

    Surely it must have been something so abominable and egregious that the poor folk of that pitiable constituency are so blighted, a toxic wasteland such as to be considered the Chernobyl of British political life.

    Pray for them this Sunday ....
  • Options
    weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820

    Charles said:

    Indigo said:

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Expect the metropolitan elite both in the media and here to go into a tizzy about it and run around calling everyone a RAAAACCCCCIIIST, the voters largely to disagree with them but keep their own counsel.

    When the Left Liberal progressive minority go off on one about people complaining about immigration, the bulk of the country will roll their eyes and get on with life... until they vote.
    What about the Right liberal minority?

    I thought the whole idea of Vote Leave getting the nod was to attract more than just the Faragist anti immigration core vote 30%
    Well I'm sure these past quotes won't be mentioned. No sir.

    Gove 2013: "The PM has struck exactly the right note on migration"

    Boris 2013: "I’m the only politician willing to say he’s pro-immigration"
    Response: "Well if he had kept his promise to get immigration down...but it's not possible in the EU...Leave!"
    Those quotes I believe were after some bad immigration figures were released
    Does 'Bad Immigration figures' mean too many? Funny! I didn't think you were Pro Leave.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,472
    weejonnie said:

    Charles said:

    Indigo said:

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Expect the metropolitan elite both in the media and here to go into a tizzy about it and run around calling everyone a RAAAACCCCCIIIST, the voters largely to disagree with them but keep their own counsel.

    When the Left Liberal progressive minority go off on one about people complaining about immigration, the bulk of the country will roll their eyes and get on with life... until they vote.
    What about the Right liberal minority?

    I thought the whole idea of Vote Leave getting the nod was to attract more than just the Faragist anti immigration core vote 30%
    Well I'm sure these past quotes won't be mentioned. No sir.

    Gove 2013: "The PM has struck exactly the right note on migration"

    Boris 2013: "I’m the only politician willing to say he’s pro-immigration"
    Response: "Well if he had kept his promise to get immigration down...but it's not possible in the EU...Leave!"
    Those quotes I believe were after some bad immigration figures were released
    Does 'Bad Immigration figures' mean too many? Funny! I didn't think you were Pro Leave.
    No. Bad as in relative to the PM's pledge
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,472

    JackW said:

    Scott_P said:

    @JananGanesh: Imagine getting to age 51 and still being Andrew Bridgen.

    Andrew Bridgen together with Stewart Jackass (late of this parish) are a brace of Conservative MP's for whom the public should enjoy an open season - 1st January - 31st December.

    Although to be fair the latter could hardly be termed sport as he is such a total dullard he makes makes Bridgen appear Churchillian in political acumen.

    General Boles sums it up nicely

    Who the fuck is Andrew Bridgen?

    Ah diddums, did the nasty man hurt your feelings during the #EUref?

    You're like the fucking Lib Dems, shocked to discover the PM fights to win and exactly how few people care about your obsession
    Tough night ?
    For me? Yeah. This PB thread was written in a nightclub whilst I was attempting to do the funky chicken.

    I'm going to bed now.
    Probably best. youre sounding uncharacteristically bad humoured.

    That's my job and I dont want you muscling in.
    I'm in great humour, you should have heard my chat up line last night.

    Obviously not suitable before the lagershed
  • Options
    Innocent_AbroadInnocent_Abroad Posts: 3,294

    Charles said:

    I don't think the electorate would like that.

    They've already given their verdict on Mr Miliband once - not up to it - and will be irritated to have the same proposal made again

    You're right in one sense, but that was before Corbyn was the option. Labourites possibly also believe that bringing back Ed would somehow enable his brother to return too.
    Eccentric suggestion of the day? It would make it significantly less likely that David would return. What it would do would be reinforce the impression that the PLP is rallying behind Corbyn. And there's also the point that Ed actually knows the environment brief - there is something to be said for having (shadow) ministers who have a genuine interest in their subjects.

    Note that TSE isn't predicting it would happen, just that it would start to look more likely, making it a good trading bet. That might well be true, but you'd probably need to wait to 2020 or later to execute it.

    Incidentally, there's a good, balanced piece on the Chakrabarti anti-Semitism enquiry where you might not expect it, wrestling with the question of when criticism of Israel shares into anti-semitism:

    https://www.morningstaronline.co.uk/a-8995-Unravelling-the-charge-of-Labour-Party-anti-semitism#.V0qUF3n2apo
    They're surely right to say that the Inquiry will need good luck. Which it won't get. Just because Labour doesn't want to choose between the Jewish vote and the Muslim vote doesn't mean it won't have to. Class politics is finished: the politics of identity - with its despite of reason, as Indigo earlier reminded us - is upon us.
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    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,755

    JackW said:

    Scott_P said:

    @JananGanesh: Imagine getting to age 51 and still being Andrew Bridgen.

    Andrew Bridgen together with Stewart Jackass (late of this parish) are a brace of Conservative MP's for whom the public should enjoy an open season - 1st January - 31st December.

    Although to be fair the latter could hardly be termed sport as he is such a total dullard he makes makes Bridgen appear Churchillian in political acumen.

    General Boles sums it up nicely

    Who the fuck is Andrew Bridgen?

    Ah diddums, did the nasty man hurt your feelings during the #EUref?

    You're like the fucking Lib Dems, shocked to discover the PM fights to win and exactly how few people care about your obsession
    Tough night ?
    For me? Yeah. This PB thread was written in a nightclub whilst I was attempting to do the funky chicken.

    I'm going to bed now.
    Probably best. youre sounding uncharacteristically bad humoured.

    That's my job and I dont want you muscling in.
    I'm in great humour, you should have heard my chat up line last night.

    Obviously not suitable before the lagershed
    Did it involve melted chocolate, SamCam and a salami substitute ?
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,984
    edited May 2016
    Mr. Sandpit, the rain's a big if, though. That's something else that made betting especially difficult. It could rain throughout. Might even have a safety car start.

    Odds are hefty, though.

    Edited extra bit: decided to put a small sum on.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,472
    edited May 2016

    JackW said:

    Scott_P said:

    @JananGanesh: Imagine getting to age 51 and still being Andrew Bridgen.

    Andrew Bridgen together with Stewart Jackass (late of this parish) are a brace of Conservative MP's for whom the public should enjoy an open season - 1st January - 31st December.

    Although to be fair the latter could hardly be termed sport as he is such a total dullard he makes makes Bridgen appear Churchillian in political acumen.

    General Boles sums it up nicely

    Who the fuck is Andrew Bridgen?

    Ah diddums, did the nasty man hurt your feelings during the #EUref?

    You're like the fucking Lib Dems, shocked to discover the PM fights to win and exactly how few people care about your obsession
    Tough night ?
    For me? Yeah. This PB thread was written in a nightclub whilst I was attempting to do the funky chicken.

    I'm going to bed now.
    Probably best. youre sounding uncharacteristically bad humoured.

    That's my job and I dont want you muscling in.
    I'm in great humour, you should have heard my chat up line last night.

    Obviously not suitable before the lagershed
    Did it involve melted chocolate, SamCam and a salami substitute ?
    No. It involved asking someone if she had any Yorkshire in her, if not, would she like some.
  • Options
    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,339



    General Boles sums it up nicely

    Who the fuck is Andrew Bridgen?

    Ah diddums, did the nasty man hurt your feelings during the #EUref?

    You're like the fucking Lib Dems, shocked to discover the PM fights to win and exactly how few people care about your obsession

    In fairness, a few of us know of Andrew Bridgen, but General Boles is some anonymous internet blogger who I've never bothered to read. And I expect Andrew Bridgen has never heard of me, completing the circle. We can all play that game.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,898

    weejonnie said:

    Charles said:

    Indigo said:

    The Sunday Times:
    Boris and Gove lash Cameron on immigration ......
    Letter accuses PM of ‘corroding public trust’

    Expect LEAVE to concentrate on immigration, immigration, immigration non-stop for the final three weeks of the referendum campaign.

    Expect the metropolitan elite both in the media and here to go into a tizzy about it and run around calling everyone a RAAAACCCCCIIIST, the voters largely to disagree with them but keep their own counsel.

    When the Left Liberal progressive minority go off on one about people complaining about immigration, the bulk of the country will roll their eyes and get on with life... until they vote.
    What about the Right liberal minority?

    I thought the whole idea of Vote Leave getting the nod was to attract more than just the Faragist anti immigration core vote 30%
    Well I'm sure these past quotes won't be mentioned. No sir.

    Gove 2013: "The PM has struck exactly the right note on migration"

    Boris 2013: "I’m the only politician willing to say he’s pro-immigration"
    Response: "Well if he had kept his promise to get immigration down...but it's not possible in the EU...Leave!"
    Those quotes I believe were after some bad immigration figures were released
    Does 'Bad Immigration figures' mean too many? Funny! I didn't think you were Pro Leave.
    No. Bad as in relative to the PM's pledge
    The PMs pledge is meaningless when there's 50% youth unemployment in parts of Europe and such widespread wage disparity that professionals in some EU countries can earn more working for minimum wage in the UK than as lawyers and accountants in their home countries. Also he can't stop arranged marriages from the sub continent thanks to European judges.
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,755

    JackW said:

    Scott_P said:

    @JananGanesh: Imagine getting to age 51 and still being Andrew Bridgen.

    Andrew Bridgen together with Stewart Jackass (late of this parish) are a brace of Conservative MP's for whom the public should enjoy an open season - 1st January - 31st December.

    Although to be fair the latter could hardly be termed sport as he is such a total dullard he makes makes Bridgen appear Churchillian in political acumen.

    General Boles sums it up nicely

    Who the fuck is Andrew Bridgen?

    Ah diddums, did the nasty man hurt your feelings during the #EUref?

    You're like the fucking Lib Dems, shocked to discover the PM fights to win and exactly how few people care about your obsession
    Tough night ?
    For me? Yeah. This PB thread was written in a nightclub whilst I was attempting to do the funky chicken.

    I'm going to bed now.
    Probably best. youre sounding uncharacteristically bad humoured.

    That's my job and I dont want you muscling in.
    I'm in great humour, you should have heard my chat up line last night.

    Obviously not suitable before the lagershed
    Did it involve melted chocolate, SamCam and a salami substitute ?
    No. It involved asking someone if she had any Yorkshire in her, if not, would she like some.
    Shouldn't that be "he". I understand your Yorkie bars arent for girls.

    Which does raise some questions.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,472

    JackW said:

    Scott_P said:

    @JananGanesh: Imagine getting to age 51 and still being Andrew Bridgen.

    Andrew Bridgen together with Stewart Jackass (late of this parish) are a brace of Conservative MP's for whom the public should enjoy an open season - 1st January - 31st December.

    Although to be fair the latter could hardly be termed sport as he is such a total dullard he makes makes Bridgen appear Churchillian in political acumen.

    General Boles sums it up nicely

    Who the fuck is Andrew Bridgen?

    Ah diddums, did the nasty man hurt your feelings during the #EUref?

    You're like the fucking Lib Dems, shocked to discover the PM fights to win and exactly how few people care about your obsession
    Tough night ?
    For me? Yeah. This PB thread was written in a nightclub whilst I was attempting to do the funky chicken.

    I'm going to bed now.
    Probably best. youre sounding uncharacteristically bad humoured.

    That's my job and I dont want you muscling in.
    I'm in great humour, you should have heard my chat up line last night.

    Obviously not suitable before the lagershed
    Did it involve melted chocolate, SamCam and a salami substitute ?
    No. It involved asking someone if she had any Yorkshire in her, if not, would she like some.
    Shouldn't that be "he". I understand your Yorkie bars arent for girls.

    Which does raise some questions.
    I was/am in the heart of the Red Rose county.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,472
    Economists overwhelmingly reject Brexit in boost for Cameron

    Poll shows 88% of 600 experts fear long-term fall in GDP if UK leaves single market, and 82% are alarmed over impact on household income

    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/may/28/economists-reject-brexit-boost-cameron
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,898

    Mr. Sandpit, the rain's a big if, though. That's something else that made betting especially difficult. It could rain throughout. Might even have a safety car start.

    Odds are hefty, though.

    Edited extra bit: decided to put a small sum on.

    Good luck! I'm on for an Ayrton. Should be a good race with Ricciardo at the front on a different strategy, assuming it stays dry that is. The Sky coverage starts 90 mins before the race by the way, will give an idea of the weather. It's currently cloudy but not raining.
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    General Boles sums it up nicely

    Who the fuck is Andrew Bridgen?

    Ah diddums, did the nasty man hurt your feelings during the #EUref?

    You're like the fucking Lib Dems, shocked to discover the PM fights to win and exactly how few people care about your obsession

    It's been of the the funniest aspects of this campaign that PB Tories on the LEAVE side have recoiled in horror at the PM employing the same tactics to win this campaign that he did in the AV and SINDY referendums and 2015 General Election.

    They cheered Cameron to the rafters then. No praise was too high, no amount of gratitude was too much and no accolade unworthy. Cameron had seen off voting reform, Salmond's independence threat, Ed and Nick in short measure and delivered a totally unexpected majority government. And more, he provided the EU referendum they craved.

    But now it's Boo, Hiss. Dave the EU devil incarnate is the panto villain par excellence.

    He's behind you ..... :smiley:

  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Economists overwhelmingly reject Brexit in boost for Cameron

    Poll shows 88% of 600 experts fear long-term fall in GDP if UK leaves single market, and 82% are alarmed over impact on household income

    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/may/28/economists-reject-brexit-boost-cameron

    Didn't 366 economists reject Thatcher's reforms?
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    edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,150
    Do we believe this Sun story?
    http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/politics/7181963/Brexiters-plan-shootout-with-David-Cameron-after-Referendum.html

    I get the point of trying to preemptively head off a purge but if Remain wins, I'm having a hard time seeing the majority of the Tory parliamentary party voting to ditch the leader who just proved he has the voters on his side, especially since he'll be going soon anyhow. In which case they make their move, Cameron beats them and has a perfect excuse to take revenge on the rebels.
  • Options
    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658

    Do we believe this Sun story?
    http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/politics/7181963/Brexiters-plan-shootout-with-David-Cameron-after-Referendum.html

    I get the point of trying to preemptively head off a purge but if Remain wins, I'm having a hard time seeing the majority of the Tory parliamentary party voting to ditch the leader who just proved he has the voters on his side, especially since he'll be going soon anyhow. In which case they make their move, Cameron beats them and has a perfect excuse to take revenge on the rebels.

    I'm wondering how a new Tory leader and "Leave supporter" is going to address immigration at the next election, given that they have basically said that they can't control it. Perhaps they might pledge another referendum...
This discussion has been closed.